Consensus and interaction on a long term strategy for Sustainable DevelopmentKarel Mulder                                 ...
Why a long term vision?Generally:Required for every investment: How do I get an ROI?But,                “In the long term,...
Time frames matterLonger term perspectives lead to different actions:•     cut tree, rent tree, use tree•     success of ‘...
Grand SD challenges of today•   Climate change•   Depletion of resources•   Declining Biodiversity•   Overpopulation•   Fo...
Why a long term vision?• These global problems take persistent action, during many  years………….• But still, why a long term...
SUSTAINABLE TECHNOLOGY????                             6
Sustainable car?   "The car’s body is composed 90% by                   plate panels which are cut according              ...
Were cars around 1900 Sustainable?
•In 1818, New York City Council: regulation. Manure collection &processing: special "manure-yards" to process: "rotting“, ...
Sustainability is not one thing, it ismany things….. Which have to bebalanced• The technological improvements have effects...
Requirements for a long term SDvision• Equity next generation• Systemic technological changes: how to get out of  lock-in....
Short term solutions mightcounteract long term solutionsR&D Investments, you can spend your euro only once• More efficient...
Nobody can decide on the solutionsalone!• We need to work consistently towards a long term  goal that implies working on t...
Strategic decisions with long termconsequences!These need to be- widely accepted!- Not ending up in a dead end street but ...
a tremendous challenge for scientistsand engineers!“The engineer” knows as little of technological strategy, as a fish kno...
Broadening the Innovation process andlong term vision                                        16
17
Upcoming SlideShare
Loading in …5
×

Consensus and interaction on a long term strategy for sustainable development

904 views

Published on

Published in: Education
0 Comments
0 Likes
Statistics
Notes
  • Be the first to comment

  • Be the first to like this

No Downloads
Views
Total views
904
On SlideShare
0
From Embeds
0
Number of Embeds
132
Actions
Shares
0
Downloads
4
Comments
0
Likes
0
Embeds 0
No embeds

No notes for slide

Consensus and interaction on a long term strategy for sustainable development

  1. 1. Consensus and interaction on a long term strategy for Sustainable DevelopmentKarel Mulder 1
  2. 2. Why a long term vision?Generally:Required for every investment: How do I get an ROI?But, “In the long term, we are all dead”John Maynard Keynes 2
  3. 3. Time frames matterLonger term perspectives lead to different actions:• cut tree, rent tree, use tree• success of ‘family business 3
  4. 4. Grand SD challenges of today• Climate change• Depletion of resources• Declining Biodiversity• Overpopulation• Food security• Persistent pollution• Mega risks• Inequity• Intolerance• …… 4
  5. 5. Why a long term vision?• These global problems take persistent action, during many years………….• But still, why a long term vision?• Why not just work on the problems step by step?• A few examples from transport: 5
  6. 6. SUSTAINABLE TECHNOLOGY???? 6
  7. 7. Sustainable car? "The car’s body is composed 90% by plate panels which are cut according to the desired finish and the rests are recycled, and completed with thermo-formed pieces”. The front and back trains, the engine and the stick present a complexity similar to the one of a three wheels charge vehicle. The Nexo car can be equipped with an engine which could get to 20 hp, enough to reach 80 kilometres an hour to go around the city. It can work with a 9 square metres CNG tank that can fuel up to 250 kilometres. As an alternative, there’s also the option of an electric engine, but with less power. http://www.treehugger.com/files/2006/11/nexo_the_argent.php
  8. 8. Were cars around 1900 Sustainable?
  9. 9. •In 1818, New York City Council: regulation. Manure collection &processing: special "manure-yards" to process: "rotting“, overturningand exposure to weathering.Problems:•Abt. 1200 tons of manure daily on the streets: dust, typhoid•dead animals (In 1880, New York City removed 15,000 dead horsesfrom its streets)•Noise•1908: 20.000 death?
  10. 10. Sustainability is not one thing, it ismany things….. Which have to bebalanced• The technological improvements have effects for several SD issues. E.g. • Food vs. Fuel • Fuel Efficiency vs. safety • unhealthy but affordable • Energy efficient but not recyclable Long term vision represents consensus on a balance of these demands 10
  11. 11. Requirements for a long term SDvision• Equity next generation• Systemic technological changes: how to get out of lock-in. We carry our histories: • size of Saturn rocket • Qwerty • 220/240 Volts, Pb in gasoline 11
  12. 12. Short term solutions mightcounteract long term solutionsR&D Investments, you can spend your euro only once• More efficient use of coal, or windpower?• Cutting less rainforest, or developing alternative timber?• Stimulating rail traffic, or going for clean electric cars?• Light weight composites or recyclable materials? 12
  13. 13. Nobody can decide on the solutionsalone!• We need to work consistently towards a long term goal that implies working on technology, on laws, on culture and habits• Many stakeholders have ‘blocking’ power: if they are not involved, they might derail the improvements: researchers, companies, customers, suppliers, national agencies, municipalities, etc. 13
  14. 14. Strategic decisions with long termconsequences!These need to be- widely accepted!- Not ending up in a dead end street but at SD!- Adaptable according to changing conditions. 14
  15. 15. a tremendous challenge for scientistsand engineers!“The engineer” knows as little of technological strategy, as a fish knows of hydrodynamics 15
  16. 16. Broadening the Innovation process andlong term vision 16
  17. 17. 17

×