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Explosive Detection

        NSF / ICORP Program


   Ying Wang (Lead)
       Yu Lei (PI)
Mike Wisniewski (Mentor)
Presentation Outline
•   Show Canvas: Old and New
•   Here’s What We Did/Found
     – Show demo slide
     – Marketing: build demand creation budget and forecast
     – Customer acquisition cost
     – Value Proposition
     – Customer lifetime value
     – Channel incentives
•   Here’s What We Are Going to Do/Going Forward




                                                              NSF / ICORP
New Canvas (10/25)
                                                      Field Test
                                                      Dedicate Personal
                        Production   Reliable
Manufacture of                                        Assistance            Profit Explosives
machine                              Cheap                                  Detection/Cleanup
                                                      Demo
                                                                            Organizations
Flir                                 Easy to use      Training              (Development
                                                                            Initiative Limited)
Smith Detection                      Large scale

                                     Wider spectrum                         Non-profit
                                                        Direct Sale         Organizations
                    IP                                                      (HALO)
                                                        Partner’s
                    Chemicals
                                                        distribution
                    Facilities                          channels




           Production                                              Sensing materials




Proved             Changes/New Hypothesis                              NSF / ICORP
New Canvas (11/01)
                                                      Field Test
                                                      Dedicate Personal
                        Production   Reliable
Manufacture of                                        Assistance            Profit Explosives
machine                              Cheap                                  Detection/Cleanup
                                                      Demo
                                                                            Organizations
Flir                                 Easy to use      Training              (Development
                                                                            Initiative Limited)
Smith Detection                      Large scale

                                     Wider spectrum                         Non-profit
                                                        Direct Sale         Organizations
                    IP               Sensitivity                            (HALO)
                                                        Partner’s
                    Chemicals
                                                        distribution
                    Facilities                          channels




           Production                                              Sensing materials




Proved             Changes/New Hypothesis                              NSF / ICORP
Prototype Demo
• Explosive vapor




                                                         1 µg 100 ng 10 ng 1 ng
                      TNB TNT Tetryl PETN RDX HMX TATP


• Explosive contaminated hand-print


                                                                                  Clean Handprint   Contaminated
                                                                                                     Handprint



• Buried explosives



                                                                                       NSF / ICORP
Marketing Campaign
• Public relations (Increase brand awareness)
   - Journal publications
   - Conference presentations (AIChE, Minneapolis, MN, 2011)
• Ask customers/partners for referrals (Quality leads)
  - UConn news (helped to gain Smiths Detection lead)

  - Prototype demo
  - Using the results of the field test
• Offer humanitarian landmine mapping (Materials)
   - Free samples for small areas in developing countries who can not
   afford




                                                      NSF / ICORP
Demand Creation
• Budget
  - Public relations: $5,000 (long-term impact, organic growth)
  - Demo and field test: $14,000 (short-term impact)
  - Free samples: $11,000 (2000 sq m2)
• Forecast
  - Publishing will educate research academics (long-term impact)
  - Demo will build credibility (short-term impact)
  - Good PR and communication by helping dev. countries




                                                       NSF / ICORP
Customer Acquisition Cost

• Total customer acquisition expense: $30,000

• Number of new customers: 6

• Per customer acquisition cost: $5,000 (year -1)




                                              NSF / ICORP
Value Proposition Focus

• Market type hypotheses: Resegmented market
• Our customers may come from those existing markets:
   - Metal detector
   - Trained animals: dogs, rats, etc
   - Surface penetrating radar

• The compelling needs of those customers:
    - Reduce false alarms
    - Expand further than use of current techniques, cover more area
    - Reduce cost

• The compelling features of our products (Value Proposition):
    - Sensitivity
    - Large scale
    - Low cost

                                                                       NSF / ICORP
Customer Lifetime Value (LTV)
                                 with High Efficiency


                           Acquisition Year           Second Year     Third Year
Customers                  6                          4               3
Retention Rate             65%                        75%             80%
Orders per Year            1                          2               2
Avg Order Size             1 sq km2                   5 sq km2        10 sq km2
Total Revenue              $ 24 M                     $ 160 M         $ 240 M


Costs                      70%                        65%             65%
Cost of Sales              $ 16.8 M                   $ 104 M         $ 156 M
Acquisition/person         $ 5,000                    $ 2,000         $ 2,000
Marketing Costs            $ 30,000                   $ 8,000         $ 8,000
Total Costs                $ 16,830,000               $ 104,008,000   $ 156,008,000


Gross Profit               $ 7,170,000                $ 55,992,000    $ 83,992,000
Cumulative Profit          $ 7,170,000                $ 63,162,000    $ 147,154,000
Customer LTV               $ 1.12 M                   $ 10 M          $ 24 M


                    http://www.dbmarketing.com/articles/Art251a.htm
                                                                            NSF / ICORP
Channel Incentives
• Our Product extends existing revenues (such as dogs,
  metal detectors, and radars) for the channels.
• Channel strategy:
   -   Build relations with our partners and distributors
   -   Educate to end-users
   -   Differentiate from competitions
   -   Gather valuable customer data
   -   Maintain an ongoing marketing dialog with our channels




                                                            NSF / ICORP
Going Forward

• Meet with…
   – Customers
     Follow-up discussion with Dr. Steve Saffin (Operation Manager of “Development Initiative Limited”). He
     offered real field test sites in Africa to us.
     Face-to-face meeting with Mr. Morris (Director of “Development Initiative Limited”) on this Wedn, Nov. 2nd,
     at UConn. He would take the flight from Africa and we are going to pick him up at Hartford, CT.
   – DHS
      Dr. Paul Ragsdale, Science advisor of US Department of Homeland Security. We have sent our briefing
     slides and request to forward our request to the right person in DOD

   – Experts in explosive detection area
     Prof. Timothy M. Swager, MIT Chemistry. He sold explosive detection device > 2000 units to US army with a
     unit price ~ $ 50K.
     Prof. Michael Accorsi, Director, National Transportation Security Center of Excellence (NTSCOE), University
     of Connecticut
      ALERT  (Awareness and Localization of Explosives-Related Threats), Department of Homeland Security
     Center of Excellence, Northeastern University
     Center of Excellence for Explosives Detection, Mitigation and Response, Energetics Laboratory, Chemistry
     Department, University of Rhode Island



                                                                                       NSF / ICORP
Thank You!



             NSF / ICORP

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Landmine lecture 6 revenue model

  • 1. Explosive Detection NSF / ICORP Program Ying Wang (Lead) Yu Lei (PI) Mike Wisniewski (Mentor)
  • 2. Presentation Outline • Show Canvas: Old and New • Here’s What We Did/Found – Show demo slide – Marketing: build demand creation budget and forecast – Customer acquisition cost – Value Proposition – Customer lifetime value – Channel incentives • Here’s What We Are Going to Do/Going Forward NSF / ICORP
  • 3. New Canvas (10/25) Field Test Dedicate Personal Production Reliable Manufacture of Assistance Profit Explosives machine Cheap Detection/Cleanup Demo Organizations Flir Easy to use Training (Development Initiative Limited) Smith Detection Large scale Wider spectrum Non-profit Direct Sale Organizations IP (HALO) Partner’s Chemicals distribution Facilities channels Production Sensing materials Proved Changes/New Hypothesis NSF / ICORP
  • 4. New Canvas (11/01) Field Test Dedicate Personal Production Reliable Manufacture of Assistance Profit Explosives machine Cheap Detection/Cleanup Demo Organizations Flir Easy to use Training (Development Initiative Limited) Smith Detection Large scale Wider spectrum Non-profit Direct Sale Organizations IP Sensitivity (HALO) Partner’s Chemicals distribution Facilities channels Production Sensing materials Proved Changes/New Hypothesis NSF / ICORP
  • 5. Prototype Demo • Explosive vapor 1 µg 100 ng 10 ng 1 ng TNB TNT Tetryl PETN RDX HMX TATP • Explosive contaminated hand-print Clean Handprint Contaminated Handprint • Buried explosives NSF / ICORP
  • 6. Marketing Campaign • Public relations (Increase brand awareness) - Journal publications - Conference presentations (AIChE, Minneapolis, MN, 2011) • Ask customers/partners for referrals (Quality leads) - UConn news (helped to gain Smiths Detection lead) - Prototype demo - Using the results of the field test • Offer humanitarian landmine mapping (Materials) - Free samples for small areas in developing countries who can not afford NSF / ICORP
  • 7. Demand Creation • Budget - Public relations: $5,000 (long-term impact, organic growth) - Demo and field test: $14,000 (short-term impact) - Free samples: $11,000 (2000 sq m2) • Forecast - Publishing will educate research academics (long-term impact) - Demo will build credibility (short-term impact) - Good PR and communication by helping dev. countries NSF / ICORP
  • 8. Customer Acquisition Cost • Total customer acquisition expense: $30,000 • Number of new customers: 6 • Per customer acquisition cost: $5,000 (year -1) NSF / ICORP
  • 9. Value Proposition Focus • Market type hypotheses: Resegmented market • Our customers may come from those existing markets: - Metal detector - Trained animals: dogs, rats, etc - Surface penetrating radar • The compelling needs of those customers: - Reduce false alarms - Expand further than use of current techniques, cover more area - Reduce cost • The compelling features of our products (Value Proposition): - Sensitivity - Large scale - Low cost NSF / ICORP
  • 10. Customer Lifetime Value (LTV) with High Efficiency Acquisition Year Second Year Third Year Customers 6 4 3 Retention Rate 65% 75% 80% Orders per Year 1 2 2 Avg Order Size 1 sq km2 5 sq km2 10 sq km2 Total Revenue $ 24 M $ 160 M $ 240 M Costs 70% 65% 65% Cost of Sales $ 16.8 M $ 104 M $ 156 M Acquisition/person $ 5,000 $ 2,000 $ 2,000 Marketing Costs $ 30,000 $ 8,000 $ 8,000 Total Costs $ 16,830,000 $ 104,008,000 $ 156,008,000 Gross Profit $ 7,170,000 $ 55,992,000 $ 83,992,000 Cumulative Profit $ 7,170,000 $ 63,162,000 $ 147,154,000 Customer LTV $ 1.12 M $ 10 M $ 24 M http://www.dbmarketing.com/articles/Art251a.htm NSF / ICORP
  • 11. Channel Incentives • Our Product extends existing revenues (such as dogs, metal detectors, and radars) for the channels. • Channel strategy: - Build relations with our partners and distributors - Educate to end-users - Differentiate from competitions - Gather valuable customer data - Maintain an ongoing marketing dialog with our channels NSF / ICORP
  • 12. Going Forward • Meet with… – Customers Follow-up discussion with Dr. Steve Saffin (Operation Manager of “Development Initiative Limited”). He offered real field test sites in Africa to us. Face-to-face meeting with Mr. Morris (Director of “Development Initiative Limited”) on this Wedn, Nov. 2nd, at UConn. He would take the flight from Africa and we are going to pick him up at Hartford, CT. – DHS  Dr. Paul Ragsdale, Science advisor of US Department of Homeland Security. We have sent our briefing slides and request to forward our request to the right person in DOD – Experts in explosive detection area Prof. Timothy M. Swager, MIT Chemistry. He sold explosive detection device > 2000 units to US army with a unit price ~ $ 50K. Prof. Michael Accorsi, Director, National Transportation Security Center of Excellence (NTSCOE), University of Connecticut  ALERT (Awareness and Localization of Explosives-Related Threats), Department of Homeland Security Center of Excellence, Northeastern University Center of Excellence for Explosives Detection, Mitigation and Response, Energetics Laboratory, Chemistry Department, University of Rhode Island NSF / ICORP
  • 13. Thank You! NSF / ICORP