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The Risk of Risks: Reputation Risk and Resiliency 
Linda Locke 
Senior Vice President 
September 2014 
Twitter: Reputationista
1 
Whom do you love?
•The Economist Intelligence Unit survey: 
‒“Reputational risk emerged as the most significant threat to a business.” 
‒Reputation is prized, and vulnerable 
‒Major source of competitive advantage 
‒Difficult to categorize and quantify 
‒http://www.acegroup.com/eu-en/assets/risk-reputation-report.pdf 
•Zurich: 
‒70% of consumers say they avoid buying a product if they don’t like the company behind it 
‒Consumers are 350% more likely to purchase products from companies they like and trust 
‒Executives say 60% of a firm’s market value is attributable to reputation 
‒http://static.knowledgevision.com/account/idgenterprise/assets/attachment/Zurich_092012_RiskManagement_KV/Reputational_Risk1.pdf 
2 
The Risk of Risks
•Corporate inversion: Walgreens plans move to Switzerland to escape U.S. taxes 
•Two Stocks to Profit as Corporate America Rushes Abroad 
•Bangladesh Factory Collapse: Death Toll Climbs Past 1,000 
•Cruise Line’s Woes Are Far From Over as Ship Makes Port 
•For Homophobia-Free Pasta, Buy American 
3 
You know it when you see it, but do you know how to measure/manage it?
4 
Reputation = judgments and perceptions of others 
Customers 
Suppliers 
Investors 
Advocacy groups 
Regulators 
Policymakers 
General public
5 
The question is whether clients deliver on the expectations of their stakeholders 
Risk is predictable, if…. 
•You know your stakeholders 
•You understand what drives their perceptions 
•You are aware of their values 
•You listen to them
6 
Reputation risk is present when we do not deliver on stakeholder perceptions
•Reputational risk a top concern for boards 
‒75% of directors see reputational risk as top concern…and concerns are growing 
‒Primary concerns cover product quality, liability, customer satisfaction 
‒Secondary concerns: integrity, fraud, ethics 
‒Three-fourths of directors seek broad-based risk assessment… and they want to know more 
Annual Board of Directors Survey 2014 -Concerns About Risks Confronting Boards –EisnerAmp 
7 
What keeps boards up at night?
Situation 
The French bank had ~ $30B in trades between 2002 -2009 with Sudan, Iran, and Cuba, prohibited by US banking regulations. 
Costs: Fines of ~ $9B; guilty pleas, suspension of ability to clear dollars, criminal conviction. 
Impact: Analysis by Consensiv.com: 
•Rock bottom reputation premium 
•Peak reputation value risk 
•Net reputational health of only 10% of the company's potential. 
•Equity down about 9% ($7.5B) since the beginning of the year with loss attributable to reputation around $5B. 
8 
FINANCIAL TIMES: Biggest threat to BNP Paribas could be to its reputation 6/30/2014
•FT: The bank’s oil financing deals may be seen as propping up the government of Sudanese President Omar al-Bashir, who has been indicted by the International Criminal Court for alleged war crimes. 
Branding 
•BNP PARIBAS: The bank for a changing world 
•Committed to being a responsible bank 
•Being prepared to take risks, while ensuring close risk control 
•Following a strict ethical code 
9 
Why is this a reputation risk?
•Strategic risks: Which risk areas had/have/will have the most impact on your business strategy? 
10 
World of strategic risk is changing: Deloitte 
41% 
Brand 
28% 
Economic Trends 
26% 
Reputation 
2010 
40% 
Reputation 
32% 
Business model 
27% 
Economic trends/ 
Competition 
29% 
Economic trends 
26% 
Business model 
24% 
Reputation/ Competition 
Today 
2016
11 
A strong reputation can bring long-term 
sustainability 
Source: Trust Across America 
Based on: 
Financial stability 
Accounting 
conservatism 
Corporate integrity 
Transparency 
Sustainability
12 
Reputation advantage
13 
Reputation penalty
•The intangibles can comprise more than 60% of a company’s value 
•Public perception impacts profitability, book value, sales 
•Strong reputation can result in strong stock price growth 
•Investors use reputation in purchase decisions 
•Companies with a strong reputation can: 
‒Charge premium prices 
‒Hire the best candidates 
‒Attract the best business partners 
•A strong reputation can be a competitive differentiator 
14 
Why reputation matters
15 
Reputation is the connective tissue between business strategy and governance 
Financial 
stability 
Positive 
societal 
impact 
Responsible 
business 
operations
16 
Two challenges to managing reputation 
Reputation is not owned by the company; it can only influence it 
Reputation is built by decisions made across the organization
17 
Clients are often not well-equipped to manage reputation risk 
Reputationliteracy not on the risk agenda 
Riskliteracy not on the reputation agenda
•Reputation = judgments and perceptions of others 
18 
Reputation is owned by stakeholders 
‒Customers 
‒Suppliers 
‒Investors 
‒Advocacy groups 
‒Regulators 
‒Policymakers 
‒General public
•Risk is predictable, if…. 
19 
The question is whether clients deliver on the expectations of their stakeholders 
‒You know your stakeholders 
‒You understand what drives their perceptions 
‒You are aware of their values 
‒You listen to them
20 
Stakeholders expect resiliency
•Two sides of resiliency: 
‒Prevent conditions of risk 
‒Manage consequences of events 
21 
Resiliency: Ability to adapt to a continuously changing environment 
Source –Carnegie Mellon Software Engineering Institute
22 
Risk = Hazard + Outrage 
Source: evolve24
•Get input from reputation and crisis managers on sources 
•Bridge the gap between reputation and risk literacy 
•Help clients manage traditional risks better to reduce the likelihood of a reputation risk event 
23 
What should insurers do?
•Reputation measurement 
‒Use custom or third party survey of key stakeholders that cover major dimensions of reputation, as well as key attributes 
‒Identify what drives reputation for each stakeholder group 
‒Compare results by stakeholders 
‒Compare results to competitors 
‒Share results from board level down, throughout organization 
‒Build messaging plan that incorporates the drivers of reputation 
24 
Measuring reputation
25 
Identify the dimensions of reputation 
How do you make me feel? 
Source: Reputation Institute
•Reputation risk assessments 
‒Facilitate a dialogue with senior leadership to identify issues that cause risk to reputation 
‒Map out likelihood vs. expected impact of each issue 
‒Build proactive plans to address high impact/high probability issues 
26 
Conduct risk assessments 
Probability 
Low High 
Impact 
Low High
•Reputation monitoring 
‒Budget for a platform that can track the public dialogue about the company and its competitors 
‒Find a program that identifies drivers of negative emotion, including outrage, so you can set priorities, identify trajectory of risk 
‒Build a regular reporting program to track how perceptions have changed and identify when to signal to the c-suite that risk is serious 
27 
Monitor stakeholder perceptions 
Source: evolve24
•Diagnostic gap analysis: Compare perceptions of internal and external audiences 
‒If internal audience thinks the company meets/exceeds expectations, while external stakeholders think it performs weakly, it may be an opportunity for expanded communications 
‒If external audiences think the company performs well but internal audiences think it doesn’t, it is likely a risk waiting to blow up 
28 
Conduct a gap analysis
•Forcefieldanalysis 
‒Identify the forces that oppose/help the company achieve its reputation goals 
29 
Help the company understand the externalities or forces that impact its aspirations 
Reputational Goal: How you want your stakeholders to perceive you 
Driving ForceFOR Reputation 
Goal 
Score 
1-5 
Driving ForceAGAINST Reputational Goal 
Score 
1-5
•Scenario planning 
‒Identify scenarios that have or are likely to cause risk 
‒Consider how the organization appears from the outside in 
‒Create plans that reflect the POV of key stakeholders 
‒Lead tabletop exercises to test plan; identify weaknesses 
‒Develop messaging platform that shifts with likely follow-on events 
30 
Identify the scenarios likely to impact stakeholder perceptions
•Internal alignment: Build enterprise-wide reputation competence 
‒Turn employees into advocates. Help them answer the question of what positive impact the company has on society. 
‒Create reputation champions through all the business units. Help them integrate reputation risk planning and mitigation into their work. 
‒Share data. Offer analysis of new products, major changes in customer service, M&A, expansion. 
31 
Create enterprise-wide alignment
•Finding internal allies: ERM + BC/DR 
‒The Enterprise Risk Management, Business Continuity and Disaster Recovery teams all have reputation risk on their agendas. 
‒They likely do not have data or baseline measurement, so are guessing at the likely impact of risk issues on reputation. 
‒Make them your allies. Offer to participate in their planning sessions. Help flesh out their reporting upward to include reputational risk data. 
32 
Build bridges
A resilient organization manages all types of risk 
33 
Ability to manage risks and function/adapt throughout the lifecycle of operational disruptions 
Ability to maintain 
good stakeholder perceptions and 
supportive behavior 
at all times 
Operational 
Resiliency 
Reputation 
Resiliency
34 
Opportunity to bring reputation into risk management processes 
Reputation resiliency 
platform 
Develop mitigationstrategies 
Set the agenda: 
Identify key risks 
Monitor; 
report to 
c-suite/board 
Build risk competency 
at strategic level: Internal alignment
•Examine SEC filings for references to reputation risk to determine what worries your leadership. Also, examine competitors’ filings. 
•Examine all the negative sentiment expressed publicly in the past 12 months. Rank by degree of negativity, credibility of source, likely impact. 
•Engage the Enterprise Risk Management and Business Continuity teams to see what they have included in their plans for reputation risk. Make them your allies. Offer reputation risk impact analysis. 
35 
Where do I start?
•SEC mandated in 2005 that firms include risk factors in Form 10-K to present “the most significant factors that make the company speculative or risky.” 
•Business literature suggest directors/executives consider reputation a primary source of market valuations. 
•One analysis of Reputation Risk Materiality* showed: 
•Energy: Disclosers outperformed non-disclosers 
•IT: Non-disclosers had a 60% lower ROE 
•Consumer: Disclosers underperformed, with 33% lower ROE 
*http://consensiv.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/09/Significance-of-Reputation-Risk-Materiality-Disclosure-for-Public-Companies1.pdf 
36 
SEC reporting on reputation risk not yet rigorous or consistent
•Business units that understand reputation risks shift planning and design to accommodate stakeholder perceptions 
•Strategy that addresses drivers of reputation deepens trust –and supportive behavior –among stakeholders 
•Data that measures the reputational impact of crisis response helps improve response next time 
•Engaging c-suite and boards can result in focused investment for managing, avoiding and mitigating risk 
•Expands the number and influence of reputation champions in the enterprise 
37 
Reputation risk planning drives organizational resilience
The causes of outrage 
“Do I put up 
with this?”
39 
Stakeholders expect companies to share their values
40 
Stakeholders expect companies to share their values 
Gluttony 
Sloth 
Lust 
Wrath 
Hubris 
Envy 
Greed
41 
Values, vulnerabilities and outrage 
Hubris 
Greed 
Gluttony 
Wrath 
Envy 
Sloth 
Lust 
Young 
Elderly 
Human Error 
Media-Attractive 
Abuse of Power 
Lack of Responsiveness 
Impoverished
“Do I put up 
with this?” 
Pressure Groups 
“Have I noticed pressure groups focusing on it?” 
Awareness 
“Was there a problem? Did you let me know about it?” 
Choice 
“Did I choose to take the risk or 
was it imposed on me?” 
Nature 
“Is the risk natural 
or man-made?” 
Dread 
“Do I fear 
this risk?” 
Detectability 
“Can I touch/see it? 
Is it quantifiable/ 
Containable?” 
Media 
“Have I read about it/seen it in the news?” 
Equity 
“What does the risk do for me? Is anyone bearing the risk who doesn’t benefit from it?” 
Scientific View 
“Do experts understand it? Do they agree/disagree about it?” 
The causes of outrage 
Source: RegesterLarkin
43 
Our ultimate goal is trust 
Be trusted 
by the stakeholders 
who matter
Building, protecting and restoring reputations

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The risk of risks: Reputation risk and resiliency Sept. 2014

  • 1. The Risk of Risks: Reputation Risk and Resiliency Linda Locke Senior Vice President September 2014 Twitter: Reputationista
  • 2. 1 Whom do you love?
  • 3. •The Economist Intelligence Unit survey: ‒“Reputational risk emerged as the most significant threat to a business.” ‒Reputation is prized, and vulnerable ‒Major source of competitive advantage ‒Difficult to categorize and quantify ‒http://www.acegroup.com/eu-en/assets/risk-reputation-report.pdf •Zurich: ‒70% of consumers say they avoid buying a product if they don’t like the company behind it ‒Consumers are 350% more likely to purchase products from companies they like and trust ‒Executives say 60% of a firm’s market value is attributable to reputation ‒http://static.knowledgevision.com/account/idgenterprise/assets/attachment/Zurich_092012_RiskManagement_KV/Reputational_Risk1.pdf 2 The Risk of Risks
  • 4. •Corporate inversion: Walgreens plans move to Switzerland to escape U.S. taxes •Two Stocks to Profit as Corporate America Rushes Abroad •Bangladesh Factory Collapse: Death Toll Climbs Past 1,000 •Cruise Line’s Woes Are Far From Over as Ship Makes Port •For Homophobia-Free Pasta, Buy American 3 You know it when you see it, but do you know how to measure/manage it?
  • 5. 4 Reputation = judgments and perceptions of others Customers Suppliers Investors Advocacy groups Regulators Policymakers General public
  • 6. 5 The question is whether clients deliver on the expectations of their stakeholders Risk is predictable, if…. •You know your stakeholders •You understand what drives their perceptions •You are aware of their values •You listen to them
  • 7. 6 Reputation risk is present when we do not deliver on stakeholder perceptions
  • 8. •Reputational risk a top concern for boards ‒75% of directors see reputational risk as top concern…and concerns are growing ‒Primary concerns cover product quality, liability, customer satisfaction ‒Secondary concerns: integrity, fraud, ethics ‒Three-fourths of directors seek broad-based risk assessment… and they want to know more Annual Board of Directors Survey 2014 -Concerns About Risks Confronting Boards –EisnerAmp 7 What keeps boards up at night?
  • 9. Situation The French bank had ~ $30B in trades between 2002 -2009 with Sudan, Iran, and Cuba, prohibited by US banking regulations. Costs: Fines of ~ $9B; guilty pleas, suspension of ability to clear dollars, criminal conviction. Impact: Analysis by Consensiv.com: •Rock bottom reputation premium •Peak reputation value risk •Net reputational health of only 10% of the company's potential. •Equity down about 9% ($7.5B) since the beginning of the year with loss attributable to reputation around $5B. 8 FINANCIAL TIMES: Biggest threat to BNP Paribas could be to its reputation 6/30/2014
  • 10. •FT: The bank’s oil financing deals may be seen as propping up the government of Sudanese President Omar al-Bashir, who has been indicted by the International Criminal Court for alleged war crimes. Branding •BNP PARIBAS: The bank for a changing world •Committed to being a responsible bank •Being prepared to take risks, while ensuring close risk control •Following a strict ethical code 9 Why is this a reputation risk?
  • 11. •Strategic risks: Which risk areas had/have/will have the most impact on your business strategy? 10 World of strategic risk is changing: Deloitte 41% Brand 28% Economic Trends 26% Reputation 2010 40% Reputation 32% Business model 27% Economic trends/ Competition 29% Economic trends 26% Business model 24% Reputation/ Competition Today 2016
  • 12. 11 A strong reputation can bring long-term sustainability Source: Trust Across America Based on: Financial stability Accounting conservatism Corporate integrity Transparency Sustainability
  • 15. •The intangibles can comprise more than 60% of a company’s value •Public perception impacts profitability, book value, sales •Strong reputation can result in strong stock price growth •Investors use reputation in purchase decisions •Companies with a strong reputation can: ‒Charge premium prices ‒Hire the best candidates ‒Attract the best business partners •A strong reputation can be a competitive differentiator 14 Why reputation matters
  • 16. 15 Reputation is the connective tissue between business strategy and governance Financial stability Positive societal impact Responsible business operations
  • 17. 16 Two challenges to managing reputation Reputation is not owned by the company; it can only influence it Reputation is built by decisions made across the organization
  • 18. 17 Clients are often not well-equipped to manage reputation risk Reputationliteracy not on the risk agenda Riskliteracy not on the reputation agenda
  • 19. •Reputation = judgments and perceptions of others 18 Reputation is owned by stakeholders ‒Customers ‒Suppliers ‒Investors ‒Advocacy groups ‒Regulators ‒Policymakers ‒General public
  • 20. •Risk is predictable, if…. 19 The question is whether clients deliver on the expectations of their stakeholders ‒You know your stakeholders ‒You understand what drives their perceptions ‒You are aware of their values ‒You listen to them
  • 22. •Two sides of resiliency: ‒Prevent conditions of risk ‒Manage consequences of events 21 Resiliency: Ability to adapt to a continuously changing environment Source –Carnegie Mellon Software Engineering Institute
  • 23. 22 Risk = Hazard + Outrage Source: evolve24
  • 24. •Get input from reputation and crisis managers on sources •Bridge the gap between reputation and risk literacy •Help clients manage traditional risks better to reduce the likelihood of a reputation risk event 23 What should insurers do?
  • 25. •Reputation measurement ‒Use custom or third party survey of key stakeholders that cover major dimensions of reputation, as well as key attributes ‒Identify what drives reputation for each stakeholder group ‒Compare results by stakeholders ‒Compare results to competitors ‒Share results from board level down, throughout organization ‒Build messaging plan that incorporates the drivers of reputation 24 Measuring reputation
  • 26. 25 Identify the dimensions of reputation How do you make me feel? Source: Reputation Institute
  • 27. •Reputation risk assessments ‒Facilitate a dialogue with senior leadership to identify issues that cause risk to reputation ‒Map out likelihood vs. expected impact of each issue ‒Build proactive plans to address high impact/high probability issues 26 Conduct risk assessments Probability Low High Impact Low High
  • 28. •Reputation monitoring ‒Budget for a platform that can track the public dialogue about the company and its competitors ‒Find a program that identifies drivers of negative emotion, including outrage, so you can set priorities, identify trajectory of risk ‒Build a regular reporting program to track how perceptions have changed and identify when to signal to the c-suite that risk is serious 27 Monitor stakeholder perceptions Source: evolve24
  • 29. •Diagnostic gap analysis: Compare perceptions of internal and external audiences ‒If internal audience thinks the company meets/exceeds expectations, while external stakeholders think it performs weakly, it may be an opportunity for expanded communications ‒If external audiences think the company performs well but internal audiences think it doesn’t, it is likely a risk waiting to blow up 28 Conduct a gap analysis
  • 30. •Forcefieldanalysis ‒Identify the forces that oppose/help the company achieve its reputation goals 29 Help the company understand the externalities or forces that impact its aspirations Reputational Goal: How you want your stakeholders to perceive you Driving ForceFOR Reputation Goal Score 1-5 Driving ForceAGAINST Reputational Goal Score 1-5
  • 31. •Scenario planning ‒Identify scenarios that have or are likely to cause risk ‒Consider how the organization appears from the outside in ‒Create plans that reflect the POV of key stakeholders ‒Lead tabletop exercises to test plan; identify weaknesses ‒Develop messaging platform that shifts with likely follow-on events 30 Identify the scenarios likely to impact stakeholder perceptions
  • 32. •Internal alignment: Build enterprise-wide reputation competence ‒Turn employees into advocates. Help them answer the question of what positive impact the company has on society. ‒Create reputation champions through all the business units. Help them integrate reputation risk planning and mitigation into their work. ‒Share data. Offer analysis of new products, major changes in customer service, M&A, expansion. 31 Create enterprise-wide alignment
  • 33. •Finding internal allies: ERM + BC/DR ‒The Enterprise Risk Management, Business Continuity and Disaster Recovery teams all have reputation risk on their agendas. ‒They likely do not have data or baseline measurement, so are guessing at the likely impact of risk issues on reputation. ‒Make them your allies. Offer to participate in their planning sessions. Help flesh out their reporting upward to include reputational risk data. 32 Build bridges
  • 34. A resilient organization manages all types of risk 33 Ability to manage risks and function/adapt throughout the lifecycle of operational disruptions Ability to maintain good stakeholder perceptions and supportive behavior at all times Operational Resiliency Reputation Resiliency
  • 35. 34 Opportunity to bring reputation into risk management processes Reputation resiliency platform Develop mitigationstrategies Set the agenda: Identify key risks Monitor; report to c-suite/board Build risk competency at strategic level: Internal alignment
  • 36. •Examine SEC filings for references to reputation risk to determine what worries your leadership. Also, examine competitors’ filings. •Examine all the negative sentiment expressed publicly in the past 12 months. Rank by degree of negativity, credibility of source, likely impact. •Engage the Enterprise Risk Management and Business Continuity teams to see what they have included in their plans for reputation risk. Make them your allies. Offer reputation risk impact analysis. 35 Where do I start?
  • 37. •SEC mandated in 2005 that firms include risk factors in Form 10-K to present “the most significant factors that make the company speculative or risky.” •Business literature suggest directors/executives consider reputation a primary source of market valuations. •One analysis of Reputation Risk Materiality* showed: •Energy: Disclosers outperformed non-disclosers •IT: Non-disclosers had a 60% lower ROE •Consumer: Disclosers underperformed, with 33% lower ROE *http://consensiv.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/09/Significance-of-Reputation-Risk-Materiality-Disclosure-for-Public-Companies1.pdf 36 SEC reporting on reputation risk not yet rigorous or consistent
  • 38. •Business units that understand reputation risks shift planning and design to accommodate stakeholder perceptions •Strategy that addresses drivers of reputation deepens trust –and supportive behavior –among stakeholders •Data that measures the reputational impact of crisis response helps improve response next time •Engaging c-suite and boards can result in focused investment for managing, avoiding and mitigating risk •Expands the number and influence of reputation champions in the enterprise 37 Reputation risk planning drives organizational resilience
  • 39. The causes of outrage “Do I put up with this?”
  • 40. 39 Stakeholders expect companies to share their values
  • 41. 40 Stakeholders expect companies to share their values Gluttony Sloth Lust Wrath Hubris Envy Greed
  • 42. 41 Values, vulnerabilities and outrage Hubris Greed Gluttony Wrath Envy Sloth Lust Young Elderly Human Error Media-Attractive Abuse of Power Lack of Responsiveness Impoverished
  • 43. “Do I put up with this?” Pressure Groups “Have I noticed pressure groups focusing on it?” Awareness “Was there a problem? Did you let me know about it?” Choice “Did I choose to take the risk or was it imposed on me?” Nature “Is the risk natural or man-made?” Dread “Do I fear this risk?” Detectability “Can I touch/see it? Is it quantifiable/ Containable?” Media “Have I read about it/seen it in the news?” Equity “What does the risk do for me? Is anyone bearing the risk who doesn’t benefit from it?” Scientific View “Do experts understand it? Do they agree/disagree about it?” The causes of outrage Source: RegesterLarkin
  • 44. 43 Our ultimate goal is trust Be trusted by the stakeholders who matter
  • 45. Building, protecting and restoring reputations