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 The	
  Future	
  of	
  Government	
  	
  
	
  Insights	
  from	
  Discussions	
  Building	
  on	
  an	
  Ini4al	
  Perspec4ve	
  by:	
  
	
  Cheryl	
  Chung	
  |	
  Futures	
  Division,	
  Ministry	
  of	
  Transport	
  |	
  Govt.	
  of	
  Singapore	
  
Context	
  
The	
  ini4al	
  perspec4ve	
  on	
  the	
  Future	
  of	
  Government	
  kicked	
  off	
  the	
  	
  
Future	
  Agenda	
  2.0	
  global	
  discussions	
  taking	
  place	
  through	
  2015.	
  	
  
This	
  summary	
  builds	
  on	
  the	
  ini4al	
  view	
  and	
  is	
  updated	
  as	
  we	
  progress.	
  
Ini4al	
  
Perspec4ves	
  
Q4	
  2014	
  
Global	
  
Discussions	
  
Q1/2	
  2015	
  
Insight	
  
Synthesis	
  
Q3	
  2015	
  
Sharing	
  	
  
Output	
  
Q4	
  2015	
  
Mee2ng	
  Demand	
  With	
  Limited	
  Capacity	
  
There	
  is	
  a	
  need	
  for	
  increased	
  government	
  capacity	
  to	
  deal	
  with	
  the	
  increased	
  
demands	
  placed	
  on	
  the	
  state.	
  In	
  many	
  countries,	
  this	
  has	
  been	
  exacerbated	
  by	
  
an	
  underinvestment	
  in	
  public	
  sector	
  capacity	
  over	
  the	
  past	
  few	
  decades.	
  	
  
Keeping	
  Pace	
  
we	
  see	
  a	
  compression	
  of	
  4mescales	
  within	
  which	
  the	
  state	
  operates.	
  	
  
The	
  key	
  ques4on	
  to	
  answer	
  is	
  can	
  governance	
  keep	
  	
  
pace	
  with	
  the	
  changes	
  in	
  the	
  rest	
  of	
  society?	
  	
  
Outdated	
  Measures	
  of	
  Success	
  
In	
  a	
  network,	
  the	
  state	
  is	
  but	
  one	
  of	
  many	
  stakeholders.	
  Without	
  economies	
  	
  
of	
  scale	
  through	
  centralisa4on,	
  common	
  market-­‐based	
  measures	
  of	
  state	
  
performance,	
  like	
  efficiency	
  and	
  produc4vity,	
  also	
  become	
  less	
  useful.	
  	
  
Changing	
  Role	
  of	
  Government	
  
En44es	
  compete	
  with	
  the	
  state	
  for	
  influence	
  -­‐	
  environmental,	
  human	
  rights,	
  
and	
  other	
  ac4vist	
  NGOs	
  –	
  and	
  operate	
  at	
  many	
  levels	
  of	
  government	
  around	
  
the	
  world.	
  This	
  new	
  dynamic	
  changes	
  the	
  role	
  of	
  the	
  state.	
  	
  
City-­‐zens	
  
The	
  current	
  governance	
  system	
  is	
  not	
  good	
  at	
  taking	
  into	
  account	
  	
  
factors	
  such	
  as	
  the	
  preferences	
  of	
  the	
  non-­‐voter	
  (for	
  example,	
  city-­‐zens),	
  	
  
the	
  environment	
  and	
  future	
  genera4ons.	
  
Hard	
  Choices	
  
In	
  a	
  society	
  where	
  there	
  is	
  a	
  widening	
  gulf	
  between	
  rich	
  and	
  poor,	
  	
  
the	
  rich	
  may	
  live	
  increasingly	
  separate	
  lives	
  and	
  	
  
provide	
  for	
  their	
  own	
  “public	
  services”.	
  
Enabling	
  Scale	
  
The	
  poten4al	
  for	
  greater	
  collabora4on	
  …	
  creates	
  a	
  specific	
  role	
  for	
  the	
  	
  
state	
  in	
  the	
  network	
  to	
  iden4fy	
  successful	
  ideas	
  and	
  scale	
  them,	
  	
  
leveraging	
  its	
  resources	
  to	
  augment	
  the	
  delivery	
  of	
  public	
  services.	
  
Par2cipatory	
  Government	
  
One	
  of	
  the	
  ways	
  that	
  the	
  state	
  can	
  legi4mize	
  itself	
  to	
  its	
  cons4tuents	
  	
  
might	
  be	
  to	
  facilitate	
  the	
  building	
  of	
  rela4onships	
  with	
  the	
  people	
  	
  
and	
  other	
  sectors	
  to	
  co-­‐provide	
  solu4ons	
  to	
  problems.	
  	
  
Closing	
  the	
  Inequality	
  Gap	
  
One	
  of	
  the	
  challenges	
  facing	
  the	
  state	
  is	
  how	
  to	
  balance	
  equity	
  	
  
and	
  autonomy.	
  A	
  centralised	
  system	
  is	
  ocen	
  viewed	
  to	
  be	
  	
  
more	
  equitable	
  at	
  the	
  expense	
  of	
  autonomy.	
  	
  
A	
  New	
  Opera2ng	
  Environment	
  
The	
  influence	
  of	
  non-­‐state	
  actors	
  has	
  expanded.	
  Jurisdic4on	
  has	
  grown	
  beyond	
  
boundaries	
  and	
  technological	
  change	
  has	
  outpaced	
  society.	
  The	
  role	
  of	
  the	
  
state	
  has	
  had	
  to	
  evolve	
  and	
  to	
  succeed	
  in	
  this	
  new	
  opera4ng	
  environment	
  	
  
Public-­‐Private	
  City	
  Partnerships	
  
To	
  collec4vely	
  address	
  major	
  urban	
  challenges,	
  as	
  shown	
  by	
  Medellin	
  in	
  
Colombia,	
  governments	
  increasingly	
  openly	
  collaborate	
  with	
  business	
  to	
  
improve	
  the	
  ins4tu4onal	
  fabric	
  of	
  ci4es	
  as	
  well	
  as	
  core	
  infrastructure.	
  	
  
Societal	
  Stra2fica2on	
  
Inequality	
  gaps	
  persist	
  between	
  /	
  within	
  countries.	
  This	
  leads	
  to	
  a	
  
	
  stra4fica4on	
  of	
  society	
  and	
  greater	
  poten4al	
  for	
  forced	
  disloca4on	
  	
  
among	
  the	
  disenfranchised	
  and,	
  in	
  some	
  cases,	
  violent	
  acts	
  of	
  revolt.	
  
Life-­‐long	
  Learning	
  
Educa4on	
  is	
  a	
  high	
  priority	
  for	
  all	
  na4ons	
  to	
  remain	
  compe44ve	
  in	
  a	
  global	
  
market	
  place:	
  It	
  is	
  increasingly	
  available	
  on	
  line.	
  Widespread	
  internet	
  access	
  
allows	
  governments	
  to	
  make	
  life-­‐long	
  learning	
  available	
  for	
  those	
  who	
  want	
  it.	
  
In	
  Control	
  of	
  Happiness	
  
We	
  see	
  measures	
  of	
  self-­‐actualisa4on	
  developing	
  which	
  are	
  based	
  	
  
on	
  happiness	
  and	
  balance	
  in	
  life.	
  These	
  are	
  dictated	
  by	
  individuals	
  	
  
and	
  not	
  limited	
  by	
  external	
  circumstances.	
  
The	
  Influence	
  /	
  Need	
  Gap	
  
People	
  dependent	
  on	
  the	
  provisions	
  of	
  government	
  are	
  not	
  those	
  who	
  pay	
  	
  
or	
  influence	
  decisions	
  taken.	
  As	
  the	
  inequality	
  gap	
  grows,	
  those	
  making	
  
decisions	
  are	
  increasingly	
  out	
  of	
  touch	
  with	
  society’s	
  real	
  needs.	
  
Future	
  Agenda	
  
84	
  Brook	
  Street	
  
London	
  
W1K	
  5EH	
  
+44	
  203	
  0088	
  141	
  
futureagenda.org	
  
The	
  world’s	
  leading	
  open	
  foresight	
  program	
  
What	
  do	
  you	
  think?	
  
Join	
  In	
  |	
  Add	
  your	
  views	
  into	
  the	
  mix	
  
	
  
www.futureagenda.org	
  

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Future of government - Insights from discussions building on an initial perspective - Cheryl Chung, Lead Strategist, Futures Division at Ministry of Transport, Government of Singapore.

  • 1.  The  Future  of  Government      Insights  from  Discussions  Building  on  an  Ini4al  Perspec4ve  by:    Cheryl  Chung  |  Futures  Division,  Ministry  of  Transport  |  Govt.  of  Singapore  
  • 2. Context   The  ini4al  perspec4ve  on  the  Future  of  Government  kicked  off  the     Future  Agenda  2.0  global  discussions  taking  place  through  2015.     This  summary  builds  on  the  ini4al  view  and  is  updated  as  we  progress.   Ini4al   Perspec4ves   Q4  2014   Global   Discussions   Q1/2  2015   Insight   Synthesis   Q3  2015   Sharing     Output   Q4  2015  
  • 3. Mee2ng  Demand  With  Limited  Capacity   There  is  a  need  for  increased  government  capacity  to  deal  with  the  increased   demands  placed  on  the  state.  In  many  countries,  this  has  been  exacerbated  by   an  underinvestment  in  public  sector  capacity  over  the  past  few  decades.    
  • 4. Keeping  Pace   we  see  a  compression  of  4mescales  within  which  the  state  operates.     The  key  ques4on  to  answer  is  can  governance  keep     pace  with  the  changes  in  the  rest  of  society?    
  • 5. Outdated  Measures  of  Success   In  a  network,  the  state  is  but  one  of  many  stakeholders.  Without  economies     of  scale  through  centralisa4on,  common  market-­‐based  measures  of  state   performance,  like  efficiency  and  produc4vity,  also  become  less  useful.    
  • 6. Changing  Role  of  Government   En44es  compete  with  the  state  for  influence  -­‐  environmental,  human  rights,   and  other  ac4vist  NGOs  –  and  operate  at  many  levels  of  government  around   the  world.  This  new  dynamic  changes  the  role  of  the  state.    
  • 7. City-­‐zens   The  current  governance  system  is  not  good  at  taking  into  account     factors  such  as  the  preferences  of  the  non-­‐voter  (for  example,  city-­‐zens),     the  environment  and  future  genera4ons.  
  • 8. Hard  Choices   In  a  society  where  there  is  a  widening  gulf  between  rich  and  poor,     the  rich  may  live  increasingly  separate  lives  and     provide  for  their  own  “public  services”.  
  • 9. Enabling  Scale   The  poten4al  for  greater  collabora4on  …  creates  a  specific  role  for  the     state  in  the  network  to  iden4fy  successful  ideas  and  scale  them,     leveraging  its  resources  to  augment  the  delivery  of  public  services.  
  • 10. Par2cipatory  Government   One  of  the  ways  that  the  state  can  legi4mize  itself  to  its  cons4tuents     might  be  to  facilitate  the  building  of  rela4onships  with  the  people     and  other  sectors  to  co-­‐provide  solu4ons  to  problems.    
  • 11. Closing  the  Inequality  Gap   One  of  the  challenges  facing  the  state  is  how  to  balance  equity     and  autonomy.  A  centralised  system  is  ocen  viewed  to  be     more  equitable  at  the  expense  of  autonomy.    
  • 12. A  New  Opera2ng  Environment   The  influence  of  non-­‐state  actors  has  expanded.  Jurisdic4on  has  grown  beyond   boundaries  and  technological  change  has  outpaced  society.  The  role  of  the   state  has  had  to  evolve  and  to  succeed  in  this  new  opera4ng  environment    
  • 13. Public-­‐Private  City  Partnerships   To  collec4vely  address  major  urban  challenges,  as  shown  by  Medellin  in   Colombia,  governments  increasingly  openly  collaborate  with  business  to   improve  the  ins4tu4onal  fabric  of  ci4es  as  well  as  core  infrastructure.    
  • 14. Societal  Stra2fica2on   Inequality  gaps  persist  between  /  within  countries.  This  leads  to  a    stra4fica4on  of  society  and  greater  poten4al  for  forced  disloca4on     among  the  disenfranchised  and,  in  some  cases,  violent  acts  of  revolt.  
  • 15. Life-­‐long  Learning   Educa4on  is  a  high  priority  for  all  na4ons  to  remain  compe44ve  in  a  global   market  place:  It  is  increasingly  available  on  line.  Widespread  internet  access   allows  governments  to  make  life-­‐long  learning  available  for  those  who  want  it.  
  • 16. In  Control  of  Happiness   We  see  measures  of  self-­‐actualisa4on  developing  which  are  based     on  happiness  and  balance  in  life.  These  are  dictated  by  individuals     and  not  limited  by  external  circumstances.  
  • 17. The  Influence  /  Need  Gap   People  dependent  on  the  provisions  of  government  are  not  those  who  pay     or  influence  decisions  taken.  As  the  inequality  gap  grows,  those  making   decisions  are  increasingly  out  of  touch  with  society’s  real  needs.  
  • 18. Future  Agenda   84  Brook  Street   London   W1K  5EH   +44  203  0088  141   futureagenda.org   The  world’s  leading  open  foresight  program   What  do  you  think?   Join  In  |  Add  your  views  into  the  mix     www.futureagenda.org