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Mr. Andrew R. Major




162nd IN BDE - Security Force Assistance BN
                                              1
2/1/2013




           How did we prefer to fight wars prior to
                       Sept 11, 2001?




                         Unclassified            2
2/1/2013


           Traditional Warfare                   Irregular Warfare
    • Warfare between nation-states     • Among state and non-state actors

                                           • Indirect approach/elements of
   • Direct military confrontation           national power important
Playing into their hands. A military force, culturally programmed to
respond conventionally (and predictably) to insurgent attacks, is akin to
      Seeks to defeat adversary’s military • Seeks to erode power, influence,
the• bull that repeatedly charges a matador’s cape – only to tire and
                                             and will
eventually be defeated by a much weaker opponent. This is predictable –
the bull does what comes naturally. While a conventional approach is
   • Influence adversary’s is self defeating.
instinctive, that behavior government • Gain legitimacy and influence
                   COMISAF Gen McChrystal a relevant population
                                             over

   • Operations focusedGuidance 2010 • Operations focused on relevant
                   COIN on terrain
                                          population

    • Offensive and defensive
       operations                       • Complex mix of offense, defense,
       predominate                        and
                                          stability operations



                                        Unclassified                         3
2/1/2013

              “There is no substitute for a "close reading" of the
              environment. But it is a reading that resides in no book,
              but around you; in the terrain, the people, their social
              and cultural institutions, the way they act and think. You
              have to be a participant observer. And the key is to see
              beyond the surface differences between our societies
              and these environments to the deeper social and
              cultural drivers of conflict, drivers that locals would
Why ASCOPE?   understand on their own terms
                                          David Kilcullen
                                          Small Wars Journal 2007

                                          ISAFs CDR’s COIN Guidance:
                                          Protecting the people is the mission
                                          The conflict will be won by
                                          persuading the population, not by
                                          destroying the enemy

                                           Secure and Serve the Population:
                                           The decisive terrain is the human
                                           terrain. The people are the center
                                           of gravity

                                   Unclassified                                  4
2/1/2013


             Action: Define the Operational
             Environment Using the ASCOPE
             Methodology
 Terminal
             Conditions: Given a class of approximately
 Learning    20 students, course handouts, PowerPoint
             slides, and a regular classroom setting
 Objective
             Standards: Demonstrate understanding the
             Operating Environment using the ASCOPE
             method IAW FM 3-24.2 (Tactics in COIN)
                I. Given a printed exam, correctly answering
                5 out of 7 questions to receive a GO for this
                course.

                             Unclassified                       5
2/1/2013
                 •   Class Conduct
                          •   Speak up if uncertain, mutual learning environment
                          •   Look out for the person to your left and right
                          •   Maintain professionalism, keep conduct appropriate, don’t
                              distract from soldiers seeking improvement
                 •   Safety Requirements
                          •   If building evac is necessary, conduct link up in the front
                              parking lot

Administrative   •
                          •   Stay alert, stay safe
                     Risk Assessment: Low
Notes            •   Environmental Considerations:
                          •   It is mandatory for all DA civilians and service members to
                              protect the environment from waste and damage. Army
                              values and general courtesy apply
                 •   Evaluation:
                          •   There are multiple checks on learning throughout the class
                          •   ELO B concludes with a peer graded PE
                          •   A printed exam will be completed following ELO B. Students will
                              be graded based on a GO/NO-GO basis. Students must
                              correctly answer 5 out of 7 questions to receive a GO.
                 •   Formal Introduction: Mr. Major facilitating the learning
                     discussion on Defining the Operational Environment Using
                     ASCOPE.
                                              Unclassified                                  6
2/1/2013




               Action: Recognize the purpose of ASCOPE
               and it’s function
   Enabling
   Learning    Conditions: Given a class of approximately
               20 students, course handouts, PowerPoint
Objective: A   slides and a regular classroom setting

               Standards:
               I. Describe the components of ASCOPE
               II.Identify significant elements within the OE to produce
                  ASCOPE
               IAW FM 3-24.2 (Tactics in COIN)



                                   Unclassified                      7
2/1/2013
                OE: Operating Environment
                A composite of the conditions, circumstances, and influences
                that affect the employment of capabilities and bear on the
                decisions of the commander.” In other words, the operational
                environment is everything, everybody and every event
                around you.


                COIN: Counterinsurgency
                Counterinsurgency is those military, paramilitary, economic,
                psychological and civil actions taken by a government to

  Terms and     defeat an insurgency (JP 1-02)



  Definitions
                IPB: Intelligence Preparation of the Battlefield
                It is the systematic, continuous process of analyzing the threat,
                terrain, and environment. It is conducted throughout planning
                and the execution of the operation.




                IW: Irregular Warfare
                A violent struggle among state and non-state actors for
                legitimacy and influence over the relevant populations.
                Irregular warfare favors indirect and asymmetric approaches,
                though it may employ the full range of military and other
                capabilities.
                                         Unclassified                               8
2/1/2013
                OAKOC: Terrain Analysis
                Observation/fields of fire, Avenues of approach, Key terrain,
                Obstacles, Cover & concealment, Civilian considerations




                METT-TC: Mission Variables
                Mission, Enemy, Terrain/Weather, Troop/Support – Time, Civil
                Considerations
  Terms and
  Definitions
                PMES-II: Operational Variables
                Political, Military, Economic, Social – Infrastructure,
                Information




                ASCOPE: Civil Considerations
                Areas, Structures, Capabilities, Organizations, People, Events




                                          Unclassified                           9
2/1/2013

            • In a COIN environment ASCOPE is used to
             analyze the cultural and human environment or
             what is sometimes referred to as “human terrain”


            • Understanding ASCOPE is essential to identifying
             the Root Causes of an insurgency

   ASCOPE   • It provides the who, what, when, where, why,
             and how of the environment. ASCOPE helps us
             approach the problem from the perspective of
             the nature of the population and nature of the
             insurgency


            • It is essentially a tool that anyone can use at any
             level to see the environment through the eyes of
             the populace

                              Unclassified                   10
2/1/2013




What ASCOPE
Can Look Like




                Unclassified   11
2/1/2013



                     Address Terrain Analysis From A Civilian
                                  Perspective.

                   • Religious boundaries
                   • Political boundaries
           Areas   • Social enclaves
                   • Criminal enclaves
                   • Agricultural, mining, labor regions
                   • Trade routes
                   • Government centers
                   • Police centers
                   • Military Centers
                   • Temporary settlements for IDPs

                                     Unclassified          12
2/1/2013




               How does a structure’s location, function,
                  and capabilities support or hinder
                             operations?

              Traditional high payoff targets: bridges,
 Structures   communications towers, power plants, and dams.

              International and locally significant sites: churches,
              mosques, national libraries, and hospitals,
              cemeteries, historical ruins, religious sites, cultural
              areas, and other protected sites

              Practical sites: jails, warehouses, toxic industrial
              storage sites, print plants, television and radio
              stations; may influence operations.


                                 Unclassified                        13
2/1/2013




               Capabilities: the ability of local authorities
               to provide key functions and services.

               Those areas whereuseful tool to look at
                    “SWEAT-MS” is the populace needs
                                    Capabilities
               help after combat operations:
Capabilities            Public health
               Sewer – Local government (Mayor and council)
               Water – Security
                         Tribal leader (historical - for hundreds of
               years, tribal leader controlled and protected wells.
                        Public works and utilities
               Electricity – Town engineer
                        Economics
               Academic – Government and religious leaders
               Trash – Private business (local entrepreneurs)
                        Commerce
               Medical – Tribal doctors
               Security – Police, tribal militia




                                   Unclassified                  14
2/1/2013




                Consider all nonmilitary groups or
                institutions in the AO (Political, Cultural,
                Social, Religious)


Organizations      •
                   •
                       Tribes
                       Political Wings of Insurgent Groups
                   •   PRT
                   •   Non-government organizations (NGO)
                   •   Private Sector (Companies, Contractors)
                   •   International Red Cross
                   •   Other Government Agencies (OGA)
                   •   Media (TV, Radio, Newspapers, periodicals)
                   •   Criminal organizations


                                  Unclassified                 15
2/1/2013



                    All nonmilitary personnel that military
                    forces encounter in the AO… whose
                    actions, opinions, or political influence can
                    affect the mission

           People       •   City council leaders
                        •   Imams/clerics
                        •   Professionals
                        •   Displaced persons or “squatters”
                        •   Sources
                        •   Mullahs, Tribal Leaders
                    • Identify the key communicators and the formal and
                      informal processes used to influence people.

                    • In addition, consider how historical, cultural, and social
                      factors that shape public perceptions beliefs, goals,
                      and expectations.
                                        Unclassified                       16
2/1/2013




                    Events are routine, cyclical, planned, or
                    spontaneous activities that significantly
                    affect organizations, people, or military
                    operations.
           Events      •   National Elections
                       •   Anniversaries (independence, etc.)
                       •   Carnival/Ramadan (religious)
                       •   Funerals
                       •   Political Rallies
                       •   SIGACTS (Significant Activities)
                       •   Weather and Climate Patterns




                                      Unclassified              17
2/1/2013
             A - Area:
             • Where do people live, work, play, meet,
               worship?

             S - Structures:
             • Why are structures in the area important?



  ASCOPE     C - Capabilities:
             • Who in the community is capable of providing

Simplified
               for the people?

             O - Organizations:
             • What are the different groups of people in the
               area?

             P - People:
             • How do the people communicate/interact?


             E - Events:
             • When are things occurring?

                    Unclassified                           18
2/1/2013        A - Area: S - Structures:Capabilities: P - People:
                                     C-       O - Organizations:
                                                             E - Events:
                • Where doWhy are live, work, What are thedo the people
                          • people•structures in communitydifferent things occurring?
                                       Who in •
                                              the the • How• isWhen are
                  play, meet, worship?
                            area important? groups of people in the
                                       capable of providing for the
                                                         communicate/interact?
                                       people? area?


                                                                                                                                                 Mosque                       NGO
                                                       Gov.                                                       Tribe B
             NGO                                      Council                                                                            M
                                                         Poor
                                                      Member                                                                   Merchants
                              G                                    IED RPG

                                                                                                                                                       Graffiti
            Tea                                             IED         IED
                                                                                                                             IED


           Shops                                                                                                                                                       Poor
                                                      IED         IED




      Overlay
                                                                                                                       IED

                                          RPG               IED
                                                                                                                 RPG
                                                                                                                                             G
                                               M N
                                              IED             RPG




           Mosque
                                   T    RPG
                                          RPG                                                                                                                      N

      Example
                                                IED
                                               RPG
                                                    RPG IED
                                                                                          IED
                                                                                                 IED
                                                                                                                                                                        Gov.
                                                       RPG IED
                                                            RPG
                                                                                                       RPG              Graffiti                               G       Council
                            Tribe A
                                                                                    IED

                                                                                           IED
                                                                                                                                                                       Member           Poor
                                                                              RPG
                                                                                                             G
                                                                                IED                                                                                    Merchants

                             Mosque
                                                                                                             M                     IED                       Tribe D
                                                                                                                                                                                 Rich
                                                            Tribe C                                                                                           Gov.            Ex Regime
                                                                                                  G
                          Legend                                                                                                                             Council                     $

                                                                                                                 Merchants                                                    G
                    IED    IED Attack
                                                                                                                                                             Member
                           SAF                                 Gov.                                                                                            Poor
                                                              Council
                                                                                                                                                       IED

                           Looting                                                                                                               IED


                                                              Member                                                Tea                          T           IED
                           Assassination                                                                                                                                          M
                    $      Extortion                                                                               Shops                                     Mosque


                                                                                           Unclassified                                                                            20
2/1/2013




    Example
Spreadsheet




              Unclassified   21
2/1/2013




 Example
Combined




           Unclassified   22
2/1/2013




           ELO A Action: Identify the purpose of
           ASCOPE and it’s functions


    ELO
Summary
               Questions, Comments?



                         Unclassified              23
2/1/2013




            • What does the acronym ASCOPE represent?
              Area, Structure, Capabilities, Organizations, People,
              Events


 Check on   • Which type of warfare is the U.S. currently
              employing in Afghanistan?
 Learning     IW or Irregular Warfare


            • Which acronym is useful for defining the
              Capabilities of an AO?
              SWEAT-MS




                            Unclassified                      24
2/1/2013




           Unclassified   25
2/1/2013




               Action: Produce an ASCOPE chart that accurately
               defines the immediate operational environment

   Enabling    Conditions: Given a classroom setting, PPT
   Learning    presentation, student packet containing a partially
               filled ASCOPE sheet, a brief fictional narrative and
Objective: B   memory aids

               Standards: Students will demonstrate an
               understanding of the assigned OE by completing
               an ASCOPE chart within 5 minutes, IAW FM 3-24.2
               (Tactics in COIN)




                                Unclassified                   26
2/1/2013

            •    Understanding the nature of IW and change of mindset
                    •    “Killing a fly with a brick”
                    •    “Patching bullet wounds with Band-Aids”
                    •    “Experiencing Afghanistan for the first time 12 years in
                         a row”


            •    What resources are out there to help jump-start
 Where to        ASCOPE development?
                    • RIP/TOA Unit
   Start?           • Partnered or Host Nation Security Forces
                    • HN Populace (Elders, leaders, prominent individuals,
                        random…)
                    •   NGO
                    •   Inter/Intra-agencies (DEA, CIA, DoS, CF Equivalents…)
                    •   CF Intel Networks (S-2, CA, CMO, COist, etc…)
                    •   Personal research

            • It has been said that Afghanistan is the graveyard not of
                empires, but of databases. There is so much information out
                there that has been gathered and then lost in the morass of
                isolated (unlinked) proprietary databases.
                                    Unclassified                           27
2/1/2013




            Think outside the box, but write
  Bottom    your answer in the box… where
     Line   you can find it when you need it.




                       Unclassified         28
2/1/2013                        ASCOPE Practical Exercise Narrative

                        After six months of arriving in country, you’ve noticed an
                    increase in hostility towards the CF and Host Nation
                    Government. IEDs have substantially increased in your area and
                    local officials are being kidnapped or assassinated almost
                    weekly. From the time of your initial arrival until now, things were
                    relatively quiet in the area. Projects were being developed,
                    resources were distributed amongst the locals, and the local
                    officials were making progress gaining back the trust of the
                    populace, more so within the urbanized regions where most of
                    the wealthier and educated citizens resided. However, the Capabilities Organizations
                                                               #      Areas  Structures                       People     Events

                    outlying rural swamplands, primarily occupied by

The Standard
                                                                   AORs                 Security   Primary   Local
                    undereducated and poorer citizens, are still seeing small pockets
                                                                   within OE            HN         tribe     Official
                                                                                                                         Arrival
                    of insurgents, criminals and sporadic violence.                     Decreasing           s
                                                               1
                        The two sub-tribes of the dominant Leesvillan tribe
PE Normal Speed     (Beaudreauxs and Thibideauxs) have both contributed members
                    to the local government and security forces. Bernard
                    Beaudreaux, the Beaudreaux’s tribal elder has made significant
                                                                  Rural
                    progress towards settling ancient blood feuds with the
                                                                  swamps


                  • Once you’re comfortable with what you do
                                                               2
                    Thibideauxs by using the customary and accepted form of
                    community council, the Shira, locally referred to as a “Crawfish
                    Boil”. The “Boil” takes place monthly at the district center

                    know, start looking for what you don’t.
                    located near the Government HQ building in downtown
                    Leesville. Official members from the Leesvillans along with both
                                                               3
                    sub-tribes attend the council to include the two sub-tribe leaders
                    Bernard Beaudreaux and Hebert Thibideaux, their deputies
                    Bobby Beaudreaux and Henry Thibideaux, varied other tribal
                    officials and seniors, and of course concerned citizens. USAID

                  • Try to identify sources to fill those
                    reps have also been seen in attendance but they usually just
                    return to their HQ located a few miles south of the local market
                    without providing any input or feedback.
                                                               4



                    information gaps. You can add ?s to the
                                    Things appeared to be stabilizing until recently and
                    the CF/HN intelligence analysts cannot identify the source of the
                    recent escalation in violence. Maybe ASCOPE can help reduce
                    ASCOPE as well
                    some of this instability or at least identify the cause before your
                    remaining six months are up.
                                                               5




                                                            Unclassified                                                29
2/1/2013




                           After six months of arriving in country, you’ve noticed an
                          increase in hostility towards the CF and Host Nation
                          Government. IEDs have substantially increased in your area
                          and local officials are being kidnapped or assassinated almost
The Product               weekly.

PE Talk Through Process

                          #     Areas     Structures   Capabilities    Organizations   People      Events
                                                       Security:
                              OP areas:                                                          Arrival to
                                                       HNSF, CF
                              CF, HNSF,                                                          the OE
                          1   HN Govt
                                                       Trending down



                                                                                                IEDs
                                                                                                Assassinations
                          2                                                                     Kidnapping
                                                                                                Weekly




                          3




                                                       Unclassified                                  30
2/1/2013




                                From the time of your initial arrival until now, things
                                were relatively quiet in the area. Projects were being
                                developed, resources were distributed amongst the

The Product
                                locals, and the local officials were making progress
                                gaining back the trust of the populace….
PE Walk Through Process

                          #      Areas        Structures   Capabilities    Organizations       People          Events
                                                           Security:                       Local official
                              OP areas:     Projects                                       legitimacy        Arrival to
                                                           HNSF, CF
                              CF, HNSF,                                                                      the OE
                          1   HN Govt
                                                           Trending down


                              Areas of HN
                                                                                                            IEDs
                              Influence
                                                                                                            Assassinations
                          2                                                                                 Kidnapping
                                                                                                            Weekly

                                                                                                            Project
                                                                                                            development,
                          3                                                                                 Resources
                                                                                                            distribution



                                                           Unclassified                                          31
2/1/2013




             •   Do not overthink the scenario. Just focus on
                 placing identified elements in proper categories

             •   ASCOPE can be subjective in certain cases. If it
                 makes sense to you, make sure you can explain
                 why
  Practice   •   Only add what you see in the scenario. Don’t
                 add implied or unspecified elements. When
                 defining the OE, what you DON’T know is just as
                 important as what you do. Blanks or “Gaps” in the
                 data equal questions and focus points for your
                 next patrol




                                Unclassified                  32
2/1/2013




             • Minimize talking until after the PE

             • You have 5 minutes to complete
 Practical     this task
 Exercise




                           Unclassified         33
#   2/1/2013
         Areas              Structures      Capabilities    Organizations           People            Events
    Social classes:     District Center   Governance:      USAID               Tribe B. Elder:   Violence:
    Wealthy                               T. Elders                            Bernard           IED,
1   Poor                                  HN Govt                              Beaudreaux        Assassinations,
                                          Trending down                        Deputy: Bobby     Kidnappings,
                                                                                                 Sporadic
    Education levels:   Govt HQ           Academics:       Tribe: Leesvillan   Tribe T. Elder:   Crawfish Boil
    Higher, Lower                         HN               Sub: Thib. And      Hebert
2
                                          Neutral          Beaux               Thibideaux
                                                                               Deputy: Henry
    Tribes:             USAID HQ          Economic:        Criminal            Monthly council   Projects,
    Beaudreaux                            HN, USAID                            “Crawfish Boil”   resource dist.
3   Thibideaux                            Neutral                              Speeches/anno


    PE Review
                                                                               uncements

    Govt trust:         Market            Security:        Insurgent           Other senior      Downturn of
4   Urban                                 HNSF, CF                             officials         stability
    Rural                                 Trending down                        Word of mouth
    Violence:           Schools           Intel:           “Boil” attendees    Marketplace       Arrival in
5   High levels, low                      HNSF, CF                             Word of mouth     country, halfway
    levels                                Trending down                                          mark
    Govt legitimacy:                                       Merchants           USAID reps        Blood feud
6   HN vs Tribal                                                               ???               Historical and
                                                                                                 current
    Social classes:     District Center   Governance:      USAID               Tribe B. Elder:   Violence:
    Wealthy                               T. Elders                            Bernard           IED,
7   Poor                                  HN Govt                              Beaudreaux        Assassinations,
                                          Trending down                        Deputy: Bobby     Kidnappings,
                                                                                                 Sporadic
    Education levels:   Govt HQ           Academics:       Tribe: Leesvillan   Tribe T. Elder:   Crawfish Boil
    Higher, Lower                         HN               Sub: Thib. And      Hebert
8
                                          Neutral          Beaux               Thibideaux
                                                           Unclassified        Deputy: Henry               34
2/1/2013




           ELO B: Action Produce an ASCOPE chart
           that accurately defines the immediate
           operational environment

    ELO
Summary
               Questions, Comments?



                        Unclassified           35
2/1/2013



            •   What is the tool ASCOPE used for?
                  Defining the Operational Enviroment, attacking
                  the root sources of insurgency, seeing issues
                  through the populace


 Check on   •   Who uses ASCOPE and when?

 Learning         Anyone, anytime they need information on their
                  surroundings


            •   Name 2 resources available in theater
                for obtaining ASCOPE information?
                  RIP/TOA Unit, Partnered or Host Nation Security
                  Forces,HN Populace (Elders, leaders, prominent
                  individuals, random…), NGO, etc…



                             Unclassified                     36
2/1/2013




           Unclassified   37
2/1/2013




             Action: Define the Operational Environment Using
             the ASCOPE Methodology

 Terminal    Conditions: Given a class of approximately 20

 Learning
             students, course handouts, PowerPoint slides, and a
             regular classroom setting

 Objective   Standards: Demonstrate understanding the
             Operating Environment using the ASCOPE method
             IAW FM 3-24.2 (Tactics in COIN)
                 I. Given a printed exam, correctly answering 5 out
                 of 7 questions to receive a GO for this course.




                                Unclassified                       38
2/1/2013



             Student Evaluation:
             • Given 3 minutes to complete the printed test,
                students must identify which ASCOPE category
                correctly corresponds with the adjacent
                statements.
Evaluation   • Students must properly identify 5 out of 7
Statement      statements to receive a GO

             • Any students receiving a NO GO will conduct
               retesting shortly after ABIC class concludes in this
               classroom (140)




                              Unclassified                    39
2/1/2013




                   Start   1 Minute          2 Minutes        Stop



           Timer




                              Unclassified               40
2/1/2013       Defining the Operational Environment Using ASCOPE
                      Circle the letter that corresponds with the appropriate category


The town’s IED maker is arrested                                                    A S C O P E

The DEA is operating nearby                                                         A S C O P E

Local law enforcement’s jurisdiction                                                A S C O P E

The nearest detention facility                                                      A S C O P E

The Mayor’s alias is “Al-Shabuti”                                                   A S C O P E

The insurgents operate at will, local security is
                                                                                    A S C O P E
ineffective
The Mayor calls local law enforcement and has the
                                                                                    A S C O P E
IED maker released due to unfair treatment
            Student                              Grader                                 Score
Name:                             Name:                                               _____ Of 7
Date:                             Date:                                              GO / NO-GO


                                                        Unclassified                               41
2/1/2013




           TLO Action: Define the Operational
           Environment Using the ASCOPE
           Methodology

    TLO    ELO A: Action: Recognize the purpose of
Summary    ASCOPE and it’s function in today’s
           environment

           ELO B: Action Produce an ASCOPE chart
           that accurately defines the immediate
           operational environment
                Questions, Comments?
                         Unclassified            42
2/1/2013



            •   What does the A in ASCOPE represent?
                 Areas


            •   True or False: Only Intel, Special
 Check on       Operations or TOC personnel should use
                ASCOPE?
 Learning        False, anyone who’s operations affect or are
                 affected by the population should use ASCOPE


            •   The two primary types of warfare are
                ________ and ______?
                 (IW) Irregular Warfare, Traditional (Conventional)




                              Unclassified                      43
ASCOPE

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ASCOPE

  • 1. Mr. Andrew R. Major 162nd IN BDE - Security Force Assistance BN 1
  • 2. 2/1/2013 How did we prefer to fight wars prior to Sept 11, 2001? Unclassified 2
  • 3. 2/1/2013 Traditional Warfare Irregular Warfare • Warfare between nation-states • Among state and non-state actors • Indirect approach/elements of • Direct military confrontation national power important Playing into their hands. A military force, culturally programmed to respond conventionally (and predictably) to insurgent attacks, is akin to Seeks to defeat adversary’s military • Seeks to erode power, influence, the• bull that repeatedly charges a matador’s cape – only to tire and and will eventually be defeated by a much weaker opponent. This is predictable – the bull does what comes naturally. While a conventional approach is • Influence adversary’s is self defeating. instinctive, that behavior government • Gain legitimacy and influence COMISAF Gen McChrystal a relevant population over • Operations focusedGuidance 2010 • Operations focused on relevant COIN on terrain population • Offensive and defensive operations • Complex mix of offense, defense, predominate and stability operations Unclassified 3
  • 4. 2/1/2013 “There is no substitute for a "close reading" of the environment. But it is a reading that resides in no book, but around you; in the terrain, the people, their social and cultural institutions, the way they act and think. You have to be a participant observer. And the key is to see beyond the surface differences between our societies and these environments to the deeper social and cultural drivers of conflict, drivers that locals would Why ASCOPE? understand on their own terms David Kilcullen Small Wars Journal 2007 ISAFs CDR’s COIN Guidance: Protecting the people is the mission The conflict will be won by persuading the population, not by destroying the enemy Secure and Serve the Population: The decisive terrain is the human terrain. The people are the center of gravity Unclassified 4
  • 5. 2/1/2013 Action: Define the Operational Environment Using the ASCOPE Methodology Terminal Conditions: Given a class of approximately Learning 20 students, course handouts, PowerPoint slides, and a regular classroom setting Objective Standards: Demonstrate understanding the Operating Environment using the ASCOPE method IAW FM 3-24.2 (Tactics in COIN) I. Given a printed exam, correctly answering 5 out of 7 questions to receive a GO for this course. Unclassified 5
  • 6. 2/1/2013 • Class Conduct • Speak up if uncertain, mutual learning environment • Look out for the person to your left and right • Maintain professionalism, keep conduct appropriate, don’t distract from soldiers seeking improvement • Safety Requirements • If building evac is necessary, conduct link up in the front parking lot Administrative • • Stay alert, stay safe Risk Assessment: Low Notes • Environmental Considerations: • It is mandatory for all DA civilians and service members to protect the environment from waste and damage. Army values and general courtesy apply • Evaluation: • There are multiple checks on learning throughout the class • ELO B concludes with a peer graded PE • A printed exam will be completed following ELO B. Students will be graded based on a GO/NO-GO basis. Students must correctly answer 5 out of 7 questions to receive a GO. • Formal Introduction: Mr. Major facilitating the learning discussion on Defining the Operational Environment Using ASCOPE. Unclassified 6
  • 7. 2/1/2013 Action: Recognize the purpose of ASCOPE and it’s function Enabling Learning Conditions: Given a class of approximately 20 students, course handouts, PowerPoint Objective: A slides and a regular classroom setting Standards: I. Describe the components of ASCOPE II.Identify significant elements within the OE to produce ASCOPE IAW FM 3-24.2 (Tactics in COIN) Unclassified 7
  • 8. 2/1/2013 OE: Operating Environment A composite of the conditions, circumstances, and influences that affect the employment of capabilities and bear on the decisions of the commander.” In other words, the operational environment is everything, everybody and every event around you. COIN: Counterinsurgency Counterinsurgency is those military, paramilitary, economic, psychological and civil actions taken by a government to Terms and defeat an insurgency (JP 1-02) Definitions IPB: Intelligence Preparation of the Battlefield It is the systematic, continuous process of analyzing the threat, terrain, and environment. It is conducted throughout planning and the execution of the operation. IW: Irregular Warfare A violent struggle among state and non-state actors for legitimacy and influence over the relevant populations. Irregular warfare favors indirect and asymmetric approaches, though it may employ the full range of military and other capabilities. Unclassified 8
  • 9. 2/1/2013 OAKOC: Terrain Analysis Observation/fields of fire, Avenues of approach, Key terrain, Obstacles, Cover & concealment, Civilian considerations METT-TC: Mission Variables Mission, Enemy, Terrain/Weather, Troop/Support – Time, Civil Considerations Terms and Definitions PMES-II: Operational Variables Political, Military, Economic, Social – Infrastructure, Information ASCOPE: Civil Considerations Areas, Structures, Capabilities, Organizations, People, Events Unclassified 9
  • 10. 2/1/2013 • In a COIN environment ASCOPE is used to analyze the cultural and human environment or what is sometimes referred to as “human terrain” • Understanding ASCOPE is essential to identifying the Root Causes of an insurgency ASCOPE • It provides the who, what, when, where, why, and how of the environment. ASCOPE helps us approach the problem from the perspective of the nature of the population and nature of the insurgency • It is essentially a tool that anyone can use at any level to see the environment through the eyes of the populace Unclassified 10
  • 11. 2/1/2013 What ASCOPE Can Look Like Unclassified 11
  • 12. 2/1/2013 Address Terrain Analysis From A Civilian Perspective. • Religious boundaries • Political boundaries Areas • Social enclaves • Criminal enclaves • Agricultural, mining, labor regions • Trade routes • Government centers • Police centers • Military Centers • Temporary settlements for IDPs Unclassified 12
  • 13. 2/1/2013 How does a structure’s location, function, and capabilities support or hinder operations? Traditional high payoff targets: bridges, Structures communications towers, power plants, and dams. International and locally significant sites: churches, mosques, national libraries, and hospitals, cemeteries, historical ruins, religious sites, cultural areas, and other protected sites Practical sites: jails, warehouses, toxic industrial storage sites, print plants, television and radio stations; may influence operations. Unclassified 13
  • 14. 2/1/2013 Capabilities: the ability of local authorities to provide key functions and services. Those areas whereuseful tool to look at “SWEAT-MS” is the populace needs Capabilities help after combat operations: Capabilities Public health Sewer – Local government (Mayor and council) Water – Security Tribal leader (historical - for hundreds of years, tribal leader controlled and protected wells. Public works and utilities Electricity – Town engineer Economics Academic – Government and religious leaders Trash – Private business (local entrepreneurs) Commerce Medical – Tribal doctors Security – Police, tribal militia Unclassified 14
  • 15. 2/1/2013 Consider all nonmilitary groups or institutions in the AO (Political, Cultural, Social, Religious) Organizations • • Tribes Political Wings of Insurgent Groups • PRT • Non-government organizations (NGO) • Private Sector (Companies, Contractors) • International Red Cross • Other Government Agencies (OGA) • Media (TV, Radio, Newspapers, periodicals) • Criminal organizations Unclassified 15
  • 16. 2/1/2013 All nonmilitary personnel that military forces encounter in the AO… whose actions, opinions, or political influence can affect the mission People • City council leaders • Imams/clerics • Professionals • Displaced persons or “squatters” • Sources • Mullahs, Tribal Leaders • Identify the key communicators and the formal and informal processes used to influence people. • In addition, consider how historical, cultural, and social factors that shape public perceptions beliefs, goals, and expectations. Unclassified 16
  • 17. 2/1/2013 Events are routine, cyclical, planned, or spontaneous activities that significantly affect organizations, people, or military operations. Events • National Elections • Anniversaries (independence, etc.) • Carnival/Ramadan (religious) • Funerals • Political Rallies • SIGACTS (Significant Activities) • Weather and Climate Patterns Unclassified 17
  • 18. 2/1/2013 A - Area: • Where do people live, work, play, meet, worship? S - Structures: • Why are structures in the area important? ASCOPE C - Capabilities: • Who in the community is capable of providing Simplified for the people? O - Organizations: • What are the different groups of people in the area? P - People: • How do the people communicate/interact? E - Events: • When are things occurring? Unclassified 18
  • 19. 2/1/2013 A - Area: S - Structures:Capabilities: P - People: C- O - Organizations: E - Events: • Where doWhy are live, work, What are thedo the people • people•structures in communitydifferent things occurring? Who in • the the • How• isWhen are play, meet, worship? area important? groups of people in the capable of providing for the communicate/interact? people? area? Mosque NGO Gov. Tribe B NGO Council M Poor Member Merchants G IED RPG Graffiti Tea IED IED IED Shops Poor IED IED Overlay IED RPG IED RPG G M N IED RPG Mosque T RPG RPG N Example IED RPG RPG IED IED IED Gov. RPG IED RPG RPG Graffiti G Council Tribe A IED IED Member Poor RPG G IED Merchants Mosque M IED Tribe D Rich Tribe C Gov. Ex Regime G Legend Council $ Merchants G IED IED Attack Member SAF Gov. Poor Council IED Looting IED Member Tea T IED Assassination M $ Extortion Shops Mosque Unclassified 20
  • 20. 2/1/2013 Example Spreadsheet Unclassified 21
  • 21. 2/1/2013 Example Combined Unclassified 22
  • 22. 2/1/2013 ELO A Action: Identify the purpose of ASCOPE and it’s functions ELO Summary Questions, Comments? Unclassified 23
  • 23. 2/1/2013 • What does the acronym ASCOPE represent? Area, Structure, Capabilities, Organizations, People, Events Check on • Which type of warfare is the U.S. currently employing in Afghanistan? Learning IW or Irregular Warfare • Which acronym is useful for defining the Capabilities of an AO? SWEAT-MS Unclassified 24
  • 24. 2/1/2013 Unclassified 25
  • 25. 2/1/2013 Action: Produce an ASCOPE chart that accurately defines the immediate operational environment Enabling Conditions: Given a classroom setting, PPT Learning presentation, student packet containing a partially filled ASCOPE sheet, a brief fictional narrative and Objective: B memory aids Standards: Students will demonstrate an understanding of the assigned OE by completing an ASCOPE chart within 5 minutes, IAW FM 3-24.2 (Tactics in COIN) Unclassified 26
  • 26. 2/1/2013 • Understanding the nature of IW and change of mindset • “Killing a fly with a brick” • “Patching bullet wounds with Band-Aids” • “Experiencing Afghanistan for the first time 12 years in a row” • What resources are out there to help jump-start Where to ASCOPE development? • RIP/TOA Unit Start? • Partnered or Host Nation Security Forces • HN Populace (Elders, leaders, prominent individuals, random…) • NGO • Inter/Intra-agencies (DEA, CIA, DoS, CF Equivalents…) • CF Intel Networks (S-2, CA, CMO, COist, etc…) • Personal research • It has been said that Afghanistan is the graveyard not of empires, but of databases. There is so much information out there that has been gathered and then lost in the morass of isolated (unlinked) proprietary databases. Unclassified 27
  • 27. 2/1/2013 Think outside the box, but write Bottom your answer in the box… where Line you can find it when you need it. Unclassified 28
  • 28. 2/1/2013 ASCOPE Practical Exercise Narrative After six months of arriving in country, you’ve noticed an increase in hostility towards the CF and Host Nation Government. IEDs have substantially increased in your area and local officials are being kidnapped or assassinated almost weekly. From the time of your initial arrival until now, things were relatively quiet in the area. Projects were being developed, resources were distributed amongst the locals, and the local officials were making progress gaining back the trust of the populace, more so within the urbanized regions where most of the wealthier and educated citizens resided. However, the Capabilities Organizations # Areas Structures People Events outlying rural swamplands, primarily occupied by The Standard AORs Security Primary Local undereducated and poorer citizens, are still seeing small pockets within OE HN tribe Official Arrival of insurgents, criminals and sporadic violence. Decreasing s 1 The two sub-tribes of the dominant Leesvillan tribe PE Normal Speed (Beaudreauxs and Thibideauxs) have both contributed members to the local government and security forces. Bernard Beaudreaux, the Beaudreaux’s tribal elder has made significant Rural progress towards settling ancient blood feuds with the swamps • Once you’re comfortable with what you do 2 Thibideauxs by using the customary and accepted form of community council, the Shira, locally referred to as a “Crawfish Boil”. The “Boil” takes place monthly at the district center know, start looking for what you don’t. located near the Government HQ building in downtown Leesville. Official members from the Leesvillans along with both 3 sub-tribes attend the council to include the two sub-tribe leaders Bernard Beaudreaux and Hebert Thibideaux, their deputies Bobby Beaudreaux and Henry Thibideaux, varied other tribal officials and seniors, and of course concerned citizens. USAID • Try to identify sources to fill those reps have also been seen in attendance but they usually just return to their HQ located a few miles south of the local market without providing any input or feedback. 4 information gaps. You can add ?s to the Things appeared to be stabilizing until recently and the CF/HN intelligence analysts cannot identify the source of the recent escalation in violence. Maybe ASCOPE can help reduce ASCOPE as well some of this instability or at least identify the cause before your remaining six months are up. 5 Unclassified 29
  • 29. 2/1/2013 After six months of arriving in country, you’ve noticed an increase in hostility towards the CF and Host Nation Government. IEDs have substantially increased in your area and local officials are being kidnapped or assassinated almost The Product weekly. PE Talk Through Process # Areas Structures Capabilities Organizations People Events Security: OP areas: Arrival to HNSF, CF CF, HNSF, the OE 1 HN Govt Trending down IEDs Assassinations 2 Kidnapping Weekly 3 Unclassified 30
  • 30. 2/1/2013 From the time of your initial arrival until now, things were relatively quiet in the area. Projects were being developed, resources were distributed amongst the The Product locals, and the local officials were making progress gaining back the trust of the populace…. PE Walk Through Process # Areas Structures Capabilities Organizations People Events Security: Local official OP areas: Projects legitimacy Arrival to HNSF, CF CF, HNSF, the OE 1 HN Govt Trending down Areas of HN IEDs Influence Assassinations 2 Kidnapping Weekly Project development, 3 Resources distribution Unclassified 31
  • 31. 2/1/2013 • Do not overthink the scenario. Just focus on placing identified elements in proper categories • ASCOPE can be subjective in certain cases. If it makes sense to you, make sure you can explain why Practice • Only add what you see in the scenario. Don’t add implied or unspecified elements. When defining the OE, what you DON’T know is just as important as what you do. Blanks or “Gaps” in the data equal questions and focus points for your next patrol Unclassified 32
  • 32. 2/1/2013 • Minimize talking until after the PE • You have 5 minutes to complete Practical this task Exercise Unclassified 33
  • 33. # 2/1/2013 Areas Structures Capabilities Organizations People Events Social classes: District Center Governance: USAID Tribe B. Elder: Violence: Wealthy T. Elders Bernard IED, 1 Poor HN Govt Beaudreaux Assassinations, Trending down Deputy: Bobby Kidnappings, Sporadic Education levels: Govt HQ Academics: Tribe: Leesvillan Tribe T. Elder: Crawfish Boil Higher, Lower HN Sub: Thib. And Hebert 2 Neutral Beaux Thibideaux Deputy: Henry Tribes: USAID HQ Economic: Criminal Monthly council Projects, Beaudreaux HN, USAID “Crawfish Boil” resource dist. 3 Thibideaux Neutral Speeches/anno PE Review uncements Govt trust: Market Security: Insurgent Other senior Downturn of 4 Urban HNSF, CF officials stability Rural Trending down Word of mouth Violence: Schools Intel: “Boil” attendees Marketplace Arrival in 5 High levels, low HNSF, CF Word of mouth country, halfway levels Trending down mark Govt legitimacy: Merchants USAID reps Blood feud 6 HN vs Tribal ??? Historical and current Social classes: District Center Governance: USAID Tribe B. Elder: Violence: Wealthy T. Elders Bernard IED, 7 Poor HN Govt Beaudreaux Assassinations, Trending down Deputy: Bobby Kidnappings, Sporadic Education levels: Govt HQ Academics: Tribe: Leesvillan Tribe T. Elder: Crawfish Boil Higher, Lower HN Sub: Thib. And Hebert 8 Neutral Beaux Thibideaux Unclassified Deputy: Henry 34
  • 34. 2/1/2013 ELO B: Action Produce an ASCOPE chart that accurately defines the immediate operational environment ELO Summary Questions, Comments? Unclassified 35
  • 35. 2/1/2013 • What is the tool ASCOPE used for? Defining the Operational Enviroment, attacking the root sources of insurgency, seeing issues through the populace Check on • Who uses ASCOPE and when? Learning Anyone, anytime they need information on their surroundings • Name 2 resources available in theater for obtaining ASCOPE information? RIP/TOA Unit, Partnered or Host Nation Security Forces,HN Populace (Elders, leaders, prominent individuals, random…), NGO, etc… Unclassified 36
  • 36. 2/1/2013 Unclassified 37
  • 37. 2/1/2013 Action: Define the Operational Environment Using the ASCOPE Methodology Terminal Conditions: Given a class of approximately 20 Learning students, course handouts, PowerPoint slides, and a regular classroom setting Objective Standards: Demonstrate understanding the Operating Environment using the ASCOPE method IAW FM 3-24.2 (Tactics in COIN) I. Given a printed exam, correctly answering 5 out of 7 questions to receive a GO for this course. Unclassified 38
  • 38. 2/1/2013 Student Evaluation: • Given 3 minutes to complete the printed test, students must identify which ASCOPE category correctly corresponds with the adjacent statements. Evaluation • Students must properly identify 5 out of 7 Statement statements to receive a GO • Any students receiving a NO GO will conduct retesting shortly after ABIC class concludes in this classroom (140) Unclassified 39
  • 39. 2/1/2013 Start 1 Minute 2 Minutes Stop Timer Unclassified 40
  • 40. 2/1/2013 Defining the Operational Environment Using ASCOPE Circle the letter that corresponds with the appropriate category The town’s IED maker is arrested A S C O P E The DEA is operating nearby A S C O P E Local law enforcement’s jurisdiction A S C O P E The nearest detention facility A S C O P E The Mayor’s alias is “Al-Shabuti” A S C O P E The insurgents operate at will, local security is A S C O P E ineffective The Mayor calls local law enforcement and has the A S C O P E IED maker released due to unfair treatment Student Grader Score Name: Name: _____ Of 7 Date: Date: GO / NO-GO Unclassified 41
  • 41. 2/1/2013 TLO Action: Define the Operational Environment Using the ASCOPE Methodology TLO ELO A: Action: Recognize the purpose of Summary ASCOPE and it’s function in today’s environment ELO B: Action Produce an ASCOPE chart that accurately defines the immediate operational environment Questions, Comments? Unclassified 42
  • 42. 2/1/2013 • What does the A in ASCOPE represent? Areas • True or False: Only Intel, Special Check on Operations or TOC personnel should use ASCOPE? Learning False, anyone who’s operations affect or are affected by the population should use ASCOPE • The two primary types of warfare are ________ and ______? (IW) Irregular Warfare, Traditional (Conventional) Unclassified 43