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Cien. Inv. Agr. 37(2):101-109. 2010
                                                                                                www.rcia.uc.cl
                                              research paper




      An analysis of factors affecting the adoption of economic and
         productive data recording methods of Chilean farmers

                           Alejandra Engler,1 and Roger Toledo2
  1
   Departamento de Economía Agraria, Facultad de Ciencias Agrarias, Universidad de Talca, Casilla 747
                                              Talca, Chile.
2
  Departamento de Economía Agraria, Instituto de Investigaciones Agropecuarias INIA Quilamapu, Casilla
                                          426 Chillán, Chile.



                                                  Abstract


       A. Engler, and R. Toledo. 2010. An analysis of factors affecting the adoption of economic
       and productive data recording methods of Chilean farmers. Cien. Inv. Agr. 37(2): 101- 109.
       Integration of the Chilean domestic economy into international markets has created the need
       to incorporate more technology, information, and management tools and to generate better
       entrepreneurial skills at the farm level. These changes require the development of strategic
       capabilities and farmer changes in attitude. The goal for farmers is to be more prepared for
       the decision-making process and to have adequate evaluation and control systems to face the
       complexity of the farm business. The literature suggests that using management tools positively
       correlates with profits and concludes that management skills are positively related to farmers’
       well-being. Survey information on 211 farmers from central and southern Chile was used to
       estimate a probit model where the dependent variable was record-keeping by farmers. The
       results show that the farmers’ educational level, age, membership a Technological Transfer
       Group, land leasing, and the farmers’ own perception of their aversion to risk are statistically
       significant variables in the model. The model goodness of fit is 0.41, and the model has good
       predictive power for groups of farmers.


       Key words: Record-keeping, management skills, probability models.



Introduction                                            agri-food exporters. However, this goal de-
                                                        mands developing a more competitive and inclu-
                                                        sive agriculture along with the agri-food supply
Past decades, the Chilean agricultural sector           (Barrera, 2005). To meet this challenge, large
has evolved into a more specialized business by         and small farmers will need to incorporate more
increasing product and export value. In the last        technology, information, and management tools
decade alone, the agricultural PIB increased 1.3        and to develop better entrepreneurial skills, all
times, while the export value grew 2.7 times            of which imply developing strategic capabilities
(ODEPA, 2009). The development of the sec-              and a change of attitude (McElwee et al., 2006).
tor has allowed the country to set the short-run
objective of becoming a member of the top ten
                                                        Some of the required skills can be achieved by
                                                        developing effective management strategies,
Received July 23, 2009. Accepted August 21, 2009.       making informed decisions, and having bet-
Corresponding author: mengler@utalca.cl                 ter evaluation and control systems for the farm
102                              ciencia e investigación agraria



business. Controlling economic and produc-           of Cer Los Lagos and CEAgroChile, personal
tive results of the agricultural activity leads to   communication).
efficient business management. El-Osta et al.
(2007) even conclude that management skills
                                                     After a decade, only a small portion of the po-
are positively related to the well-being of farm-
                                                     tential farmer population is made up of MC cli-
ers. Moreover, there are studies that reveal that
                                                     ents or associates. The need today is to develop
computer use on the farm is positively cor-
                                                     and increase farmers´ management abilities, and
related to profitability, indicating that the use
                                                     a relevant concern is the capacity farmers have
of information in decision making increases
                                                     to process information for decision making.
business performance (Gelb et al. 2001). Nut-
                                                     Keeping economic and financial records are the
hall (2004) concludes that even though he
                                                     first steps in promoting modern management
could not find a relationship between computer
                                                     tools in the farming business. Record-keeping
use and profitability, computer use does allow
                                                     is essential in building up management skills
farmers to methodologically collect, enter, and
                                                     and making informed decisions. The objective
interpret data, all of which has a synergistic
                                                     of this paper is twofold: first, to identify how
effect on mental decisions. The primary use of
                                                     popular the practice of keeping digital econom-
computers on the farm is record-keeping. Ac-
                                                     ic and/or productive records is in the Chilean
cording to Batte (2005), 89.1% of a sample of
                                                     agricultural sector, and second, to determine
farmers in Ohio, USA indicated that their pri-
                                                     which factors favor a higher probability of keep-
mary use of computers was for keeping finan-
                                                     ing such records. Understanding of these factors
cial and economic records, and 76.7% think
                                                     will permit policy makers to create incentives
keeping records is one of the most important
                                                     to improve farmers´ management abilities and
applications.
                                                     will allow MCs to focus their marketing strat-
                                                     egy on farmers who are more willing to adopt
Governmental and private institutions in             advanced management practices.
Chile have been generating mechanisms to
help farmers keep and analyze economic               To address these objectives, we administered
and productive information. As a result of           a comprehensive survey to a sample of farm-
these initiatives, several Management Cen-           ers from central and southern Chile. The sur-
ters (MCs) have been created throughout the          vey collected current management and record-
country since the late 1990s to implement            keeping practices utilized by farmers, as well
economic record-keeping to support the deci-         as farm and farmer characteristics. A probit
sion-making process of their associated farm-        model was estimated to assess the probabil-
ers. Each MC was created to group farmers of         ity of implementing a record-keeping system.
the same geographic area, having the same or         Probability models have been extensively used
different agricultural activities. The farmer        in adoption literature (technology, quality mea-
is visited by a professional of the MC staff         sures, standards, and management tools) and
once a month to collect economic information         are, therefore, a suitable model for our purposes
and to give him/her feedback on the monthly          (Ampansah, 1995; Hoag et al., 1999; Batte et al.,
expense and income statements prepared by            2005).
the MC. Each MC holds an annual workshop
to analyze the final economic results of each
crop. The dynamics of the MCs have allowed           Materials and methods
farmers to (i) know the results of each of their
productive activities, (ii) improve efficiency
                                                     Description of sample and data collection
in aspects where they had higher costs com-
pared to the group, and (iii) increase profits
on the whole. MC managers generally report
that farmers have increased profits since they       Factors that influence the use of computers
have been participating in the MC (Managers          on the farm or the use of data in the decision-
VOLUME 37 Nº2 MAY - AUGUST 2010                                                     103



making process have been analyzed in previ-          vary throughout the zone. The most important
ous literature (Nuthall, 2004; Batte, 2005;          activities are cereals, dairy, and cattle farming.
Just et al., 2003). The main conclusions have        The three regions accounted for approximately
been the relevance of both demographic vari-         33% of the national agricultural production in
ables and agricultural system factors. Educa-        2008, including 92% of milk, 78% of wheat, and
tion, business size, off-farm income, invest-        57% of bovine meat in 2007 (ODEPA, 2009).
ments, and regional location have been found
to be particularly significant (Batte, 2005; Just
et al., 2003). Byma and Tauer (2007) found           Estimation procedure
that, along with higher operator education and
larger farm size, other factors contributing to
                                                     The dependent variable was constructed as a bi-
increased farm operation efficiency were ex-
                                                     nary variable and assigned the value 1 for farm-
tended participation in a farm management
                                                     ers who kept productive and/or economic records
program and younger farmer age. Using these
                                                     digital form and 0 for those farmers who did not
results, our study was based on statistical anal-
                                                     have records of any kind. Based on the approach
yses of a survey of a random sample of 400
                                                     of rational choice theory (Chai, 2001) in which
farmers from central and southern Chile, in-
                                                     individuals are assumed to be purposive and in-
cluding the Bio-Bio, La Araucanía, Los Lagos,
                                                     tentional and in which decisions and actions are
and Los Ríos Regions (In 2008, the Los Lagos
                                                     shaped by rational preferences and constraints,
and Los Rios Regions started operating as sep-
                                                     we argue that keeping records for decision-mak-
arate administrative areas. When the survey
                                                     ing is a choice related to farmer and farm sys-
was conducted, both corresponded to the Los
                                                     tem characteristics. Following this approach, a
Lagos Region; therefore, the Los Lagos Region
includes the two new regions in this article).       farmer i is likely to adopt records if the utility
In-person surveys were conducted between             of adopting, U i1, is greater than the utility of not
May and August 2006. From the original sam-          adopting, U i 0 , as shown in equation 1:
ple, only 358 were correctly completed and
used in the study. The Bio-Bio, La Araucanía,             U = β ′Z i1 + ε i1
                                                     (1)  i1
                                                         
and Los Lagos Regions turned out 136, 112,
                                                         U i 0 = β ´Z i 0 + ε i 0
and 110 surveys, respectively. For the study at
hand, only farmers who keep digital records
                                                     where Z i1 is a vector of farmer and farm sys-
and farmers who do not keep any records were
                                                     tem characteristics associated with choosing
considered. By using this selection criterion,
                                                     to keep records, Z i 0 are characteristics asso-
the sample was reduced to 211 observations,
                                                     ciated with not keeping them, β is a vector
in which 159 farmers declared keeping digital
                                                     of parameters to be estimated, and ε i1 and
records, and 52 did not keep any records. The
remaining 147 farmers who declared keeping
                                                     ε i 0 are random error terms assumed to fol-
                                                     low a normal distribution. Therefore, the
records in notebooks were left out in order
to generate a strong differentiation between         probability of adoption can be expressed as
farmers who use and do not use records in their      P(U i1 > U i 0 ) = P( β ´Z i1 − β ´Z i 0 > ε i 0 − ε i1 )   o     r
management. The criterion was selected using                                                            *
                                                      P( y > 0) = P(ε > −α ´ X i ) , where y
                                                          *                *
                                                                                                        i states
                                                                                                        the
the argument that the computer allows farm-               i                i

ers to methodologically collect, enter, and in-      differences in utility, ε i the difference in er-
                                                                                 *


terpret data (Nuthall, 2004). Furthermore, on-       ror terms, and α ´ X i is the systematic compo-
farm information will provide the farmer with        nent of the equation that includes all farmer-
a decision-making tool to evaluate and control       and farm-system characteristics referred to
his/her business (Amponsah, 1995).                   as the index function (Greene, 2003). The
                                                     above-mentioned equation is known as the la-
                                                     tent regression model where the variable yi*
Agriculture is considered a traditional occupation   is not observable and can be linked to yi = 1
in the area studied, although farming systems        when yi* > 0. For P( yi = 1) = F (α ´ X i ) , F is the
104                                       ciencia e investigación agraria



normal cumulative distribution function that                          size (size), income sources (inc), and leased land
depends on α and X i parameters and vari-                             (lease). A summary of the variable statistics is
ables. Parameters of the model were estimat-                          presented in Table 2.
ed by maximum likelihood estimators with
NLogit 4.0.
                                                                      It can be observed from the descriptive statistics
                                                                      that 25% of the sample did not keep records of
Results and discussion                                                any kind, meaning that 75% kept digital records
                                                                      of his/ her activities. Was a difference between
                                                                      the two groups regarding their participation in
Data description                                                      MCs and TTGs. In both cases, the proportion
                                                                      of farmers who participated in these initiatives
                                                                      was higher in the digital record-keepers. This
The dependent variable, digital record-keeping                        was expected because farmers associated with
as explained in the methodology, was a binary                         an MC are more interested in using information
variable whose value was 1 when the surveyed                          and improving management skills, or they at
farmer kept productive and/or economic digital                        least consider management as a relevant busi-
records and 0 when he/she did not. Table 1 pro-                       ness factor. Technological Transfer Groups,
vides a detailed explanation of the independent                       which were created to increase opportunities
variables used in the model. They were divided                        for sharing knowledge and technology between
into the following two groups: (i) farmer char-                       farmers, were also expected to influence record-
acteristics that included age (age), educational                      keeping since management tools are one of the
level (edu), own perception of risk-aversion                          topics discussed and analyzed in the group
(relav), membership in a Management Center                            meetings along with technological topics. The
(MC) and Technological Transfer Group (TTG);                          age and education level variables also exhib-
and (ii) farm system characteristics including                        ited differences between groups. The group



Table 1. Description of independent variables.

      Code                                       Description                                           Type of variable

  lease       1 = Farm uses leased land.                                                            Binary variable
              0 = otherwise

  TTG         1 = Belongs to a Technological Transfer Group.                                        Binary variable
              0 = otherwise

  MC          1 = Belongs to a Management Center                                                    Binary variable
              0 = otherwise


  Age         Age of the producer                                                                   Continuous, measured in
                                                                                                    years

  Edu         Categorical variable that indicates the level of education from 1 to 11, where        Discrete
              1 means no education and 11 means a graduate degree.

  Relav       Categorical variable that measures the farmers’ perception of his/her risk-           Discrete
              aversion. The categories are: 1 = the farmer is willing to take more risks than the
              mean only on a few occasions, 2 = the farmer is willing to take more risks than
              the mean on some occasions, and 3 = is generally willing to take more risks.

  Inc         Categorical variable that indicates the proportion of the total income that is        Discrete
              derived from agricultural activities: 1 = low proportion, 2 = close to 50%,
              3 = high proportion, 4 = 100%.

  Size        Total hectares dedicated to the business.                                             Continuous, measured in
                                                                                                    hectares
VOLUME 37 Nº2 MAY - AUGUST 2010                                               105



Table 2. Characteristics of farmers, farm systems, and groups with and without digital record-keeping.


       Variable           Description                      No record-keeping                   Digital record-keeping

                   Number of farmers                               52                                    159
                                                                  25%                                    75%

 Farmer characteristics
 Age              Mean age                                      56 years                               47 years


 Edu              Category mean of                                  5                                     8
                  educational level from 1 to
                  11 (higher category implies
                  higher educational level).



 Relav            Percentage of farmers in a     1.: Will rarely take more risk than the     1. Will take more risk than the
                  risk-aversion category.        mean: 54%                                   mean: 35%
                                                 2. Will take more risk than the mean on     2. Will take more risk than the
                                                 some occasions: 31%                         mean on some occasions: 41%
                                                 3. Will generally take more risk than the   3. Will generally take more
                                                 mean : 15%                                  risk than the mean: 24%

 TTG              Percentage of farmers                           12%                                    40%
                  participating in a
                  Technological Transfer
                  Group.

 MC               Percentage of farmers                            8%                                    45%
                  participating in a
                  Management Center.


 Farm system characteristics

 Size             Mean size of the                              281.9 ha                               533 ha
                  productive system

 Inc              Percentage of farmers          1. Low proportion derived from              1. Low proportion derived
                  in each income source          agriculture: 13%                            from agriculture: 14%
                  category.                      2. Close to 50% derived from                2. Close to 50% derived from
                                                 agriculture: 13%                            agriculture: 9%
                                                 3. High proportion derived from             3. High proportion derived
                                                 agriculture: 23%                            from agriculture: 36%
                                                 4. All income derived from agriculture:     4. All income derived from
                                                 50%                                         agriculture: 41%
 Lease            Percentage of farmers who                       29%                                    50%
                  lease land.


of record-keepers tended to be younger and to                   ence in size. Record-keepers tended to have
have achieved a higher educational level. In this               larger farms with a mean of 533 hectares, and
group, the mean educational category was 8                      non-record-keepers 281.9 hectares. The in-
(technical certification from a professional in-                come source distribution was similar in both
stitute), while in the non-record-keeper group,                 groups, with approximately 75% of farmers re-
the mean category was 5 (high school comple-                    porting that either most or all of their income
tion). These results were consistent with Batte’s               comes from agricultural activities. However,
(2005) findings analyzing computer use by                       in the non-record-keeper group, the percent-
farmers in Ohio, USA.                                           age of farmers whose income was exclusively
                                                                derived from agriculture was higher. On the
When analyzing differences in the production                    other hand, the percentage of farmers who
between groups, there was an evident differ-                    leased land was higher in the record-keeper
106                               ciencia e investigación agraria



group. We argue that producers who lease land          the same range used for R 2, where a 0.25 value
need to control better the results of each ac-         or lower is considered weak, 0.5 to 0.74 strong,
tivity in order to evaluate the convenience of         and 0.75 or higher as very strong (Estrella,
future leasing.                                        1998). Moreover, by analyzing the predictive
                                                       success of the model, it can be observed that
                                                       it correctly predicted a digital record-keeper
Finally, another variable considered in the
                                                       92% of the time, and a non–record-keeper 50%
study was the farmers’ own perception of their
                                                       of the time, meaning the model had a high pre-
aversion to risk. The question asked how often
                                                       dictive power. The variables in the model that
they were willing to take more risk compared
                                                       were significant included educational level,
to other farmers. Twenty-four percent of the
                                                       age, membership in a TTG, the producer’s rel-
record-keepers reported generally taking more
                                                       ative aversion to risk, and if the farm system
risks than other farmers, whereas only 15% of
                                                       had any leased land.
the non-record-keeper group made this state-
ment. Thus, on average, digital record-keepers
declared themselves less risk-averse.                  Previous studies identified age and educational
                                                       level as relevant factors when predicting the use
The descriptive statistics reveal that there were      of information in decision making and com-
significant differences between the two groups         puter use (Batte, 2005: Amponsah, 1995). Ac-
of farmers. The tendency showed record-keep-           cording to our results, both variables were high-
ers as younger, more educated, less risk-averse,       ly significant with less than 1% probability of
and more likely to be leasing land. The prob-          rejection. As expected, when educational level
ability model in the next section answers the          increased, the probability of keeping records
question of how relevant each of these factors         was higher. For the age variable, the coefficient
was in determining the use of records.                 indicates that older farmers were less likely to
                                                       adopt digital records, a fact consistent with the
                                                       field observations. In general, new generations
Estimation results                                     of farmers are more conscious of running the
                                                       farm as a business and of incorporating man-
                                                       agement tools in their decisions.
Estimation results are shown in Table 3. The
coefficients reported correspond to maximum            An interesting feature of the model was that
likelihood estimators which indicate the great-        belonging to a TTG also influenced the sig-
est probability of obtaining the observed value.       nificance factor, and these farmers were more
The coefficient signs determine the direction          likely to keep digital records. In this case, TTG
of the effect of the variables on the probability      usually deal with technological issues because
that the farmer will keep records. The model           this is their primary objective, but many of
was estimated correcting for heteroscedastic-          them have been incorporating the use of man-
ity using a variance function for MC and inc.          agement tools as a technological topic in their
The distribution of the variance function was          regular meetings, a fact which explains our
not significant for the other variables included       results. On the contrary, belonging to an MC
in the model. The model performance can be             is not a significant variable. We expected that
rated as slightly strong because it presents an        MCs would have motivated farmers to improve
Estrella criterion value of goodness of fit of         management abilities and make them more will-
0.41. Estrella measures goodness of fit of bi-         ing to adopt management tools. However, MCs
nary dependent variable regressions by using a         keep records for their members and so it may
transformation of the log-likelihood function.         be that these farmers do not feel the need to
The measure is comparable to R 2 in terms of its       adopt a record-keeping system. The estimation
range and the underlying relationship with the         result showed that are neutral in the probability
test statistics, and it is therefore a suitable mea-   of keeping digital records, which could be ex-
sure for the estimated model. The interpreta-          plained by the two hypotheses offsetting each
tion of the interior point can be assimilated to       other. As seen in the descriptive statistics, there
VOLUME 37 Nº2 MAY - AUGUST 2010                                                   107



Table 3. Estimation results of the probit model and goodness of fit measurements.
 Variable                                                 Coefficient                Standard error             P-value
 Probability Index function
 Constant                                                       2.88**                    1.23                   0.02
 Lease                                                          0.42*                     0.25                   0.09
 TTG                                                            1.92***                   0.74                   0.009
 MC                                                             0.49                      0.62                   0.42
 Age                                                           -0.07***                   0.02                   0.001
 Edu                                                            0.20**                    0.08                   0.01
 Relav                                                         -0.34***                   0.13                   0.009
 Inc                                                            0.08                      0.25                   0.74
 Size                                                           -0.0001                   0.00008                0.14
 Variance function
 MC                                                            -11.63***                  0.28                  <0.001
 Inc                                                             0.39***                  0.11                  <0.001
 Log-likelihood                                                -73.749
 Restricted log-likelihood                                    -117.822
 Estrella =1-(L/L0)-2L0/n                                       0.41
 McFadden R2                                                    0.37
 Number of observations     a
                                                                211
                                                                                      ˆ       ˆ             ˆ
Legend: *p<0.1;**p<0.05; ***p<0.01. McFadden R2 is calculated R 2 McF = 1 − (ln Lu /ln Lr ) as, where Lu is the unrestricted
                             ˆ
log-likelihood function and Lr is the restricted log-likelihood function. Count R2 is based on the table of observed and
predicted outcomes and is calculated as R 2 Count = 1 / N − ∑ n jj where n jj represents the correct predictions for outcome j.
                                                          j




was a higher participation in MCs among the                        of total sales was significant for computer use as
digital record-keeper group. Nevertheless, from                    a management tool. Contrary to our hypothesis,
the aforementioned results, it can be inferred                     size was not significant. This result revealed that
that the possibility of sharing the experience of                  small and large farmers have the same potential
using management tools, such as in the TTG,                        to increase their management ability, and the rel-
was an effective way to increase management                        evant variable in this case would be educational
ability among producers.                                           level and age, as already shown. Using the same
                                                                   arguments, we would have expected that as long
The lease variable, which indicated whether the                    as the agricultural activities represented a high-
farmer had leased land and had to pay annual                       er portion of the total income of the farmer, the
rent, was also significant and positive, mean-                     probability of keeping records would increase,
ing that producers who needed to pay rent were                     but the inc variable was not significant.
more likely to adopt digital records of their busi-
ness performance. This result is understandable                    Finally, a variable was included in the model to
in that farmers who lease land to increase their                   capture the impact of the farmers’ perception
business were constantly evaluating the conve-                     of their own aversion to risk. The hypothesis
nience of renting or not. Size of the farm was ex-                 was that as farmers declared themselves more
pected to be relevant in record-keeping. Larger                    risk-averse, they would be more likely to adopt
farms manage more resources and for this rea-                      records. The variable was scaled in three levels
son it was expected that they would need more                      where 1 represented more aversion and 3 less
management tools to support decisions. Batte                       aversion. The results show that the variable was
(2005) found that farm size measured in terms                      negatively significant, thus our hypothesis.
108                                ciencia e investigación agraria



Conclusion                                               and was not a relevant variable in the decision
                                                         to keep information. The possibility of shar-
                                                         ing experience through TTGs increased the
The present study has provided strong evidence           probability of keeping digital records. Finally,
that the adoption of management tools, repre-            younger farmers with higher levels of educa-
sented in this case by digital economic and              tion were more willing to adopt digital records.
productive information records, was affected             Given these results, it can be concluded that an
by farmer and production system characteris-             effective way to incorporate management tools
tics. Results were consistent with the theory            throughout Chilean agriculture is by directing
of farmers as rational because producers who             established groups of farmers to into the use
lease land and believe they are more risk-               of record keeping tool. What is more, younger
averse show a higher probability of keeping              farmers should be targeted, since they present
information to make decisions. On the other              a higher rate of adoption of computer tools.
hand, size was not significant in the model




                                                  Resumen


      A. Engler y R. Toledo. 2010. Análisis de los factores que afectan la adopción de métodos
      registros productivos y económicos entre productores chilenos. Cien. Inv. Agr. 37(2):
      101-109. La integración de la economía chilena a los mercados internacionales ha creado la
      necesidad de incorporar más tecnología, información, nuevas herramientas de gestión y generar
      nuevas habilidades empresariales a nivel de predio, lo cual implica el desarrollo de capacidades
      estratégicas y un cambio en la actitud por parte de los agricultores. El objetivo para el agricultor
      es estar mejor preparados para la toma de decisiones y contar con sistemas de evaluación y
      control adecuados a la complejidad del negocio agrícola. La literatura sugiere que el uso de
      herramientas de gestión tiene una correlación positiva con los beneficios, lo que permite concluir
      que la capacidad de gestión incrementa las posibilidades de buenos resultados. A partir de una
      encuesta a 211 agricultores de la zona centro y centro sur de Chile se estimó un modelo probit,
      donde la variable dependiente corresponde a productores que mantienen registros digitales.
      Los resultados muestran que el nivel educacional del productor, edad, pertenencia a un Grupo
      de Transferencia Tecnológica, arriendo de tierra y la percepción personal respecto a aversión
      al riesgo son variables estadísticamente significativas. La bondad de ajuste del modelo es de
      0,41, y presenta un buen nivel de predicción, para agricultores con diferente método de registro.


      Palabras clave: Registro de datos, capacidad de gestión, modelos probabilístico.




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    ference Questionnaires and Symposium. Pro-        ODEPA. 2009. Statistical Databases. Available on-
    ceedings of the European Conference of Infor-         line at: www.odepa.cl Website accessed March,
    mation Technology in Agriculture.                     2009.
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analisis de factores que afectan la adopcion detecnologia

  • 1. Cien. Inv. Agr. 37(2):101-109. 2010 www.rcia.uc.cl research paper An analysis of factors affecting the adoption of economic and productive data recording methods of Chilean farmers Alejandra Engler,1 and Roger Toledo2 1 Departamento de Economía Agraria, Facultad de Ciencias Agrarias, Universidad de Talca, Casilla 747 Talca, Chile. 2 Departamento de Economía Agraria, Instituto de Investigaciones Agropecuarias INIA Quilamapu, Casilla 426 Chillán, Chile. Abstract A. Engler, and R. Toledo. 2010. An analysis of factors affecting the adoption of economic and productive data recording methods of Chilean farmers. Cien. Inv. Agr. 37(2): 101- 109. Integration of the Chilean domestic economy into international markets has created the need to incorporate more technology, information, and management tools and to generate better entrepreneurial skills at the farm level. These changes require the development of strategic capabilities and farmer changes in attitude. The goal for farmers is to be more prepared for the decision-making process and to have adequate evaluation and control systems to face the complexity of the farm business. The literature suggests that using management tools positively correlates with profits and concludes that management skills are positively related to farmers’ well-being. Survey information on 211 farmers from central and southern Chile was used to estimate a probit model where the dependent variable was record-keeping by farmers. The results show that the farmers’ educational level, age, membership a Technological Transfer Group, land leasing, and the farmers’ own perception of their aversion to risk are statistically significant variables in the model. The model goodness of fit is 0.41, and the model has good predictive power for groups of farmers. Key words: Record-keeping, management skills, probability models. Introduction agri-food exporters. However, this goal de- mands developing a more competitive and inclu- sive agriculture along with the agri-food supply Past decades, the Chilean agricultural sector (Barrera, 2005). To meet this challenge, large has evolved into a more specialized business by and small farmers will need to incorporate more increasing product and export value. In the last technology, information, and management tools decade alone, the agricultural PIB increased 1.3 and to develop better entrepreneurial skills, all times, while the export value grew 2.7 times of which imply developing strategic capabilities (ODEPA, 2009). The development of the sec- and a change of attitude (McElwee et al., 2006). tor has allowed the country to set the short-run objective of becoming a member of the top ten Some of the required skills can be achieved by developing effective management strategies, Received July 23, 2009. Accepted August 21, 2009. making informed decisions, and having bet- Corresponding author: mengler@utalca.cl ter evaluation and control systems for the farm
  • 2. 102 ciencia e investigación agraria business. Controlling economic and produc- of Cer Los Lagos and CEAgroChile, personal tive results of the agricultural activity leads to communication). efficient business management. El-Osta et al. (2007) even conclude that management skills After a decade, only a small portion of the po- are positively related to the well-being of farm- tential farmer population is made up of MC cli- ers. Moreover, there are studies that reveal that ents or associates. The need today is to develop computer use on the farm is positively cor- and increase farmers´ management abilities, and related to profitability, indicating that the use a relevant concern is the capacity farmers have of information in decision making increases to process information for decision making. business performance (Gelb et al. 2001). Nut- Keeping economic and financial records are the hall (2004) concludes that even though he first steps in promoting modern management could not find a relationship between computer tools in the farming business. Record-keeping use and profitability, computer use does allow is essential in building up management skills farmers to methodologically collect, enter, and and making informed decisions. The objective interpret data, all of which has a synergistic of this paper is twofold: first, to identify how effect on mental decisions. The primary use of popular the practice of keeping digital econom- computers on the farm is record-keeping. Ac- ic and/or productive records is in the Chilean cording to Batte (2005), 89.1% of a sample of agricultural sector, and second, to determine farmers in Ohio, USA indicated that their pri- which factors favor a higher probability of keep- mary use of computers was for keeping finan- ing such records. Understanding of these factors cial and economic records, and 76.7% think will permit policy makers to create incentives keeping records is one of the most important to improve farmers´ management abilities and applications. will allow MCs to focus their marketing strat- egy on farmers who are more willing to adopt Governmental and private institutions in advanced management practices. Chile have been generating mechanisms to help farmers keep and analyze economic To address these objectives, we administered and productive information. As a result of a comprehensive survey to a sample of farm- these initiatives, several Management Cen- ers from central and southern Chile. The sur- ters (MCs) have been created throughout the vey collected current management and record- country since the late 1990s to implement keeping practices utilized by farmers, as well economic record-keeping to support the deci- as farm and farmer characteristics. A probit sion-making process of their associated farm- model was estimated to assess the probabil- ers. Each MC was created to group farmers of ity of implementing a record-keeping system. the same geographic area, having the same or Probability models have been extensively used different agricultural activities. The farmer in adoption literature (technology, quality mea- is visited by a professional of the MC staff sures, standards, and management tools) and once a month to collect economic information are, therefore, a suitable model for our purposes and to give him/her feedback on the monthly (Ampansah, 1995; Hoag et al., 1999; Batte et al., expense and income statements prepared by 2005). the MC. Each MC holds an annual workshop to analyze the final economic results of each crop. The dynamics of the MCs have allowed Materials and methods farmers to (i) know the results of each of their productive activities, (ii) improve efficiency Description of sample and data collection in aspects where they had higher costs com- pared to the group, and (iii) increase profits on the whole. MC managers generally report that farmers have increased profits since they Factors that influence the use of computers have been participating in the MC (Managers on the farm or the use of data in the decision-
  • 3. VOLUME 37 Nº2 MAY - AUGUST 2010 103 making process have been analyzed in previ- vary throughout the zone. The most important ous literature (Nuthall, 2004; Batte, 2005; activities are cereals, dairy, and cattle farming. Just et al., 2003). The main conclusions have The three regions accounted for approximately been the relevance of both demographic vari- 33% of the national agricultural production in ables and agricultural system factors. Educa- 2008, including 92% of milk, 78% of wheat, and tion, business size, off-farm income, invest- 57% of bovine meat in 2007 (ODEPA, 2009). ments, and regional location have been found to be particularly significant (Batte, 2005; Just et al., 2003). Byma and Tauer (2007) found Estimation procedure that, along with higher operator education and larger farm size, other factors contributing to The dependent variable was constructed as a bi- increased farm operation efficiency were ex- nary variable and assigned the value 1 for farm- tended participation in a farm management ers who kept productive and/or economic records program and younger farmer age. Using these digital form and 0 for those farmers who did not results, our study was based on statistical anal- have records of any kind. Based on the approach yses of a survey of a random sample of 400 of rational choice theory (Chai, 2001) in which farmers from central and southern Chile, in- individuals are assumed to be purposive and in- cluding the Bio-Bio, La Araucanía, Los Lagos, tentional and in which decisions and actions are and Los Ríos Regions (In 2008, the Los Lagos shaped by rational preferences and constraints, and Los Rios Regions started operating as sep- we argue that keeping records for decision-mak- arate administrative areas. When the survey ing is a choice related to farmer and farm sys- was conducted, both corresponded to the Los tem characteristics. Following this approach, a Lagos Region; therefore, the Los Lagos Region includes the two new regions in this article). farmer i is likely to adopt records if the utility In-person surveys were conducted between of adopting, U i1, is greater than the utility of not May and August 2006. From the original sam- adopting, U i 0 , as shown in equation 1: ple, only 358 were correctly completed and used in the study. The Bio-Bio, La Araucanía, U = β ′Z i1 + ε i1 (1)  i1  and Los Lagos Regions turned out 136, 112, U i 0 = β ´Z i 0 + ε i 0 and 110 surveys, respectively. For the study at hand, only farmers who keep digital records where Z i1 is a vector of farmer and farm sys- and farmers who do not keep any records were tem characteristics associated with choosing considered. By using this selection criterion, to keep records, Z i 0 are characteristics asso- the sample was reduced to 211 observations, ciated with not keeping them, β is a vector in which 159 farmers declared keeping digital of parameters to be estimated, and ε i1 and records, and 52 did not keep any records. The remaining 147 farmers who declared keeping ε i 0 are random error terms assumed to fol- low a normal distribution. Therefore, the records in notebooks were left out in order to generate a strong differentiation between probability of adoption can be expressed as farmers who use and do not use records in their P(U i1 > U i 0 ) = P( β ´Z i1 − β ´Z i 0 > ε i 0 − ε i1 ) o r management. The criterion was selected using * P( y > 0) = P(ε > −α ´ X i ) , where y * * i states the the argument that the computer allows farm- i i ers to methodologically collect, enter, and in- differences in utility, ε i the difference in er- * terpret data (Nuthall, 2004). Furthermore, on- ror terms, and α ´ X i is the systematic compo- farm information will provide the farmer with nent of the equation that includes all farmer- a decision-making tool to evaluate and control and farm-system characteristics referred to his/her business (Amponsah, 1995). as the index function (Greene, 2003). The above-mentioned equation is known as the la- tent regression model where the variable yi* Agriculture is considered a traditional occupation is not observable and can be linked to yi = 1 in the area studied, although farming systems when yi* > 0. For P( yi = 1) = F (α ´ X i ) , F is the
  • 4. 104 ciencia e investigación agraria normal cumulative distribution function that size (size), income sources (inc), and leased land depends on α and X i parameters and vari- (lease). A summary of the variable statistics is ables. Parameters of the model were estimat- presented in Table 2. ed by maximum likelihood estimators with NLogit 4.0. It can be observed from the descriptive statistics that 25% of the sample did not keep records of Results and discussion any kind, meaning that 75% kept digital records of his/ her activities. Was a difference between the two groups regarding their participation in Data description MCs and TTGs. In both cases, the proportion of farmers who participated in these initiatives was higher in the digital record-keepers. This The dependent variable, digital record-keeping was expected because farmers associated with as explained in the methodology, was a binary an MC are more interested in using information variable whose value was 1 when the surveyed and improving management skills, or they at farmer kept productive and/or economic digital least consider management as a relevant busi- records and 0 when he/she did not. Table 1 pro- ness factor. Technological Transfer Groups, vides a detailed explanation of the independent which were created to increase opportunities variables used in the model. They were divided for sharing knowledge and technology between into the following two groups: (i) farmer char- farmers, were also expected to influence record- acteristics that included age (age), educational keeping since management tools are one of the level (edu), own perception of risk-aversion topics discussed and analyzed in the group (relav), membership in a Management Center meetings along with technological topics. The (MC) and Technological Transfer Group (TTG); age and education level variables also exhib- and (ii) farm system characteristics including ited differences between groups. The group Table 1. Description of independent variables. Code Description Type of variable lease 1 = Farm uses leased land. Binary variable 0 = otherwise TTG 1 = Belongs to a Technological Transfer Group. Binary variable 0 = otherwise MC 1 = Belongs to a Management Center Binary variable 0 = otherwise Age Age of the producer Continuous, measured in years Edu Categorical variable that indicates the level of education from 1 to 11, where Discrete 1 means no education and 11 means a graduate degree. Relav Categorical variable that measures the farmers’ perception of his/her risk- Discrete aversion. The categories are: 1 = the farmer is willing to take more risks than the mean only on a few occasions, 2 = the farmer is willing to take more risks than the mean on some occasions, and 3 = is generally willing to take more risks. Inc Categorical variable that indicates the proportion of the total income that is Discrete derived from agricultural activities: 1 = low proportion, 2 = close to 50%, 3 = high proportion, 4 = 100%. Size Total hectares dedicated to the business. Continuous, measured in hectares
  • 5. VOLUME 37 Nº2 MAY - AUGUST 2010 105 Table 2. Characteristics of farmers, farm systems, and groups with and without digital record-keeping. Variable Description No record-keeping Digital record-keeping Number of farmers 52 159 25% 75% Farmer characteristics Age Mean age 56 years 47 years Edu Category mean of 5 8 educational level from 1 to 11 (higher category implies higher educational level). Relav Percentage of farmers in a 1.: Will rarely take more risk than the 1. Will take more risk than the risk-aversion category. mean: 54% mean: 35% 2. Will take more risk than the mean on 2. Will take more risk than the some occasions: 31% mean on some occasions: 41% 3. Will generally take more risk than the 3. Will generally take more mean : 15% risk than the mean: 24% TTG Percentage of farmers 12% 40% participating in a Technological Transfer Group. MC Percentage of farmers 8% 45% participating in a Management Center. Farm system characteristics Size Mean size of the 281.9 ha 533 ha productive system Inc Percentage of farmers 1. Low proportion derived from 1. Low proportion derived in each income source agriculture: 13% from agriculture: 14% category. 2. Close to 50% derived from 2. Close to 50% derived from agriculture: 13% agriculture: 9% 3. High proportion derived from 3. High proportion derived agriculture: 23% from agriculture: 36% 4. All income derived from agriculture: 4. All income derived from 50% agriculture: 41% Lease Percentage of farmers who 29% 50% lease land. of record-keepers tended to be younger and to ence in size. Record-keepers tended to have have achieved a higher educational level. In this larger farms with a mean of 533 hectares, and group, the mean educational category was 8 non-record-keepers 281.9 hectares. The in- (technical certification from a professional in- come source distribution was similar in both stitute), while in the non-record-keeper group, groups, with approximately 75% of farmers re- the mean category was 5 (high school comple- porting that either most or all of their income tion). These results were consistent with Batte’s comes from agricultural activities. However, (2005) findings analyzing computer use by in the non-record-keeper group, the percent- farmers in Ohio, USA. age of farmers whose income was exclusively derived from agriculture was higher. On the When analyzing differences in the production other hand, the percentage of farmers who between groups, there was an evident differ- leased land was higher in the record-keeper
  • 6. 106 ciencia e investigación agraria group. We argue that producers who lease land the same range used for R 2, where a 0.25 value need to control better the results of each ac- or lower is considered weak, 0.5 to 0.74 strong, tivity in order to evaluate the convenience of and 0.75 or higher as very strong (Estrella, future leasing. 1998). Moreover, by analyzing the predictive success of the model, it can be observed that it correctly predicted a digital record-keeper Finally, another variable considered in the 92% of the time, and a non–record-keeper 50% study was the farmers’ own perception of their of the time, meaning the model had a high pre- aversion to risk. The question asked how often dictive power. The variables in the model that they were willing to take more risk compared were significant included educational level, to other farmers. Twenty-four percent of the age, membership in a TTG, the producer’s rel- record-keepers reported generally taking more ative aversion to risk, and if the farm system risks than other farmers, whereas only 15% of had any leased land. the non-record-keeper group made this state- ment. Thus, on average, digital record-keepers declared themselves less risk-averse. Previous studies identified age and educational level as relevant factors when predicting the use The descriptive statistics reveal that there were of information in decision making and com- significant differences between the two groups puter use (Batte, 2005: Amponsah, 1995). Ac- of farmers. The tendency showed record-keep- cording to our results, both variables were high- ers as younger, more educated, less risk-averse, ly significant with less than 1% probability of and more likely to be leasing land. The prob- rejection. As expected, when educational level ability model in the next section answers the increased, the probability of keeping records question of how relevant each of these factors was higher. For the age variable, the coefficient was in determining the use of records. indicates that older farmers were less likely to adopt digital records, a fact consistent with the field observations. In general, new generations Estimation results of farmers are more conscious of running the farm as a business and of incorporating man- agement tools in their decisions. Estimation results are shown in Table 3. The coefficients reported correspond to maximum An interesting feature of the model was that likelihood estimators which indicate the great- belonging to a TTG also influenced the sig- est probability of obtaining the observed value. nificance factor, and these farmers were more The coefficient signs determine the direction likely to keep digital records. In this case, TTG of the effect of the variables on the probability usually deal with technological issues because that the farmer will keep records. The model this is their primary objective, but many of was estimated correcting for heteroscedastic- them have been incorporating the use of man- ity using a variance function for MC and inc. agement tools as a technological topic in their The distribution of the variance function was regular meetings, a fact which explains our not significant for the other variables included results. On the contrary, belonging to an MC in the model. The model performance can be is not a significant variable. We expected that rated as slightly strong because it presents an MCs would have motivated farmers to improve Estrella criterion value of goodness of fit of management abilities and make them more will- 0.41. Estrella measures goodness of fit of bi- ing to adopt management tools. However, MCs nary dependent variable regressions by using a keep records for their members and so it may transformation of the log-likelihood function. be that these farmers do not feel the need to The measure is comparable to R 2 in terms of its adopt a record-keeping system. The estimation range and the underlying relationship with the result showed that are neutral in the probability test statistics, and it is therefore a suitable mea- of keeping digital records, which could be ex- sure for the estimated model. The interpreta- plained by the two hypotheses offsetting each tion of the interior point can be assimilated to other. As seen in the descriptive statistics, there
  • 7. VOLUME 37 Nº2 MAY - AUGUST 2010 107 Table 3. Estimation results of the probit model and goodness of fit measurements. Variable Coefficient Standard error P-value Probability Index function Constant 2.88** 1.23 0.02 Lease 0.42* 0.25 0.09 TTG 1.92*** 0.74 0.009 MC 0.49 0.62 0.42 Age -0.07*** 0.02 0.001 Edu 0.20** 0.08 0.01 Relav -0.34*** 0.13 0.009 Inc 0.08 0.25 0.74 Size -0.0001 0.00008 0.14 Variance function MC -11.63*** 0.28 <0.001 Inc 0.39*** 0.11 <0.001 Log-likelihood -73.749 Restricted log-likelihood -117.822 Estrella =1-(L/L0)-2L0/n 0.41 McFadden R2 0.37 Number of observations a 211 ˆ ˆ ˆ Legend: *p<0.1;**p<0.05; ***p<0.01. McFadden R2 is calculated R 2 McF = 1 − (ln Lu /ln Lr ) as, where Lu is the unrestricted ˆ log-likelihood function and Lr is the restricted log-likelihood function. Count R2 is based on the table of observed and predicted outcomes and is calculated as R 2 Count = 1 / N − ∑ n jj where n jj represents the correct predictions for outcome j. j was a higher participation in MCs among the of total sales was significant for computer use as digital record-keeper group. Nevertheless, from a management tool. Contrary to our hypothesis, the aforementioned results, it can be inferred size was not significant. This result revealed that that the possibility of sharing the experience of small and large farmers have the same potential using management tools, such as in the TTG, to increase their management ability, and the rel- was an effective way to increase management evant variable in this case would be educational ability among producers. level and age, as already shown. Using the same arguments, we would have expected that as long The lease variable, which indicated whether the as the agricultural activities represented a high- farmer had leased land and had to pay annual er portion of the total income of the farmer, the rent, was also significant and positive, mean- probability of keeping records would increase, ing that producers who needed to pay rent were but the inc variable was not significant. more likely to adopt digital records of their busi- ness performance. This result is understandable Finally, a variable was included in the model to in that farmers who lease land to increase their capture the impact of the farmers’ perception business were constantly evaluating the conve- of their own aversion to risk. The hypothesis nience of renting or not. Size of the farm was ex- was that as farmers declared themselves more pected to be relevant in record-keeping. Larger risk-averse, they would be more likely to adopt farms manage more resources and for this rea- records. The variable was scaled in three levels son it was expected that they would need more where 1 represented more aversion and 3 less management tools to support decisions. Batte aversion. The results show that the variable was (2005) found that farm size measured in terms negatively significant, thus our hypothesis.
  • 8. 108 ciencia e investigación agraria Conclusion and was not a relevant variable in the decision to keep information. The possibility of shar- ing experience through TTGs increased the The present study has provided strong evidence probability of keeping digital records. Finally, that the adoption of management tools, repre- younger farmers with higher levels of educa- sented in this case by digital economic and tion were more willing to adopt digital records. productive information records, was affected Given these results, it can be concluded that an by farmer and production system characteris- effective way to incorporate management tools tics. Results were consistent with the theory throughout Chilean agriculture is by directing of farmers as rational because producers who established groups of farmers to into the use lease land and believe they are more risk- of record keeping tool. What is more, younger averse show a higher probability of keeping farmers should be targeted, since they present information to make decisions. On the other a higher rate of adoption of computer tools. hand, size was not significant in the model Resumen A. Engler y R. Toledo. 2010. Análisis de los factores que afectan la adopción de métodos registros productivos y económicos entre productores chilenos. Cien. Inv. Agr. 37(2): 101-109. La integración de la economía chilena a los mercados internacionales ha creado la necesidad de incorporar más tecnología, información, nuevas herramientas de gestión y generar nuevas habilidades empresariales a nivel de predio, lo cual implica el desarrollo de capacidades estratégicas y un cambio en la actitud por parte de los agricultores. El objetivo para el agricultor es estar mejor preparados para la toma de decisiones y contar con sistemas de evaluación y control adecuados a la complejidad del negocio agrícola. La literatura sugiere que el uso de herramientas de gestión tiene una correlación positiva con los beneficios, lo que permite concluir que la capacidad de gestión incrementa las posibilidades de buenos resultados. A partir de una encuesta a 211 agricultores de la zona centro y centro sur de Chile se estimó un modelo probit, donde la variable dependiente corresponde a productores que mantienen registros digitales. Los resultados muestran que el nivel educacional del productor, edad, pertenencia a un Grupo de Transferencia Tecnológica, arriendo de tierra y la percepción personal respecto a aversión al riesgo son variables estadísticamente significativas. La bondad de ajuste del modelo es de 0,41, y presenta un buen nivel de predicción, para agricultores con diferente método de registro. Palabras clave: Registro de datos, capacidad de gestión, modelos probabilístico. References ic, and H. Rojas (eds). Economía del crecimiento y Nueva Agricultura. LOM Ediciones Ltda. San- tiago, Chile. 325 pp. Amponsah, W. 1995. Computer adoption and use of Batte, M. 2005. Changing computer use in agricul- information services by North Carolina commer- ture: evidence of Ohio. Computers and Electron- cial farmers. Journal of Agricultural and Applied ics in Agriculture 47: 1 - 13. Economics 27: 565 - 576. Byma, J., and L. Tauer. 2007. Exploring the role of Barrera, A. 2005. La nueva institucionalidad pública managerial ability in determining firm efficiency. alimentaria. In: Barrera, A., V. Venegas, T. Tom- Paper presented at the Annual Meeting of the
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