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Sustainability: What it can mean for
     people and communities?

                   By
             Peter Newman
       Professor of Sustainability
            Curtin University
The Sustainability Story
Mid 90’s to 2000’s

                               Environmental
              Ecological       Protection and
              Economics
                                Improvement
Economic
Development   Sustainability


       Community        “Sense of
       Health             Place”

             Social
          Development
Sustainability in cities: reducing footprint whilst
             increasing liveability…
My niche…
    ‘Oil vulnerability’ and
     ‘car dependence’….

….born out of the pain of the
     1970’s oil crises
The Hubbert Peak
 Sci Amer 1971
The Polycentric City. Walkable, green, smart
    centres linked by quality transit….
Community activist journey began in Fremantle in
        1979… ‘the last train to Freo’
Corruption
 revealed
100,000
signatures
on petition
We won!


    Supplementary policies on traffic demand
management, parking restrictions, congestion taxes…. can
all help, but will be reduced to marginal exercises unless
the structure of the city is addressed in terms of the
relative speed of traffic compared to sustainable transport
modes.
Then won three more times…
7 mill pass/yr to 57 mill/yr in 15
              years
1992 - Northern Suburbs Railway
Now equal to 8 lanes of traffic….
Year        Route Km


1982        42km
1983        63km

1993        92km

2004        96km

2005        100km

2006        172km

Total       172km


 54 kms within freeway
       median
Opening of new Southern Railway
 90% approval ratings and already paid off.
Carrying 65,000 per day cf 14,000 on buses.

 • Click to edit Master text styles
    – Second level
       • Third level
          – Fourth level
              » Fifth level
Meanwhile the academic….Fuel Use Decreases as Density
                      Increases
National and global model…
$17 mill per km…. higher numbers from
         Travel Smart suburbs!
iANNUALRAILBOARDINGS('000s: TrainandTram)




          0
              10,000
                       20,000
                                        30,000
                                                    40,000
                                                             50,000
                                                                      60,000
                                                                               70,000




       1988
       1989
       1990
       1991
       1992
       1993
       1994
       1995
       1996
       1997
       1998




Y
       1999




 EAR
       2000
       2001
       2002
       2003
       2004
       2005
       2006
       2007
       2008
       2009
       2010
       2011
                                Perth
                                         Adelaide
Next phase light rail…
• Click to edit Master text styles
  – Second level
    • Third level
       – Fourth level
           » Fifth level
The next phase in Perth….
 • Click to edit Master text styles
   – Second level
     • Third level
        – Fourth level
            » Fifth level
Perth: 21st Century City
   Focus on the 13 big development projects
in Perth and show how they can be:
• Leading demonstrations of low carbon,
  renewable, green development
• Dense, mixed use centres made viable
  through light rail
• Financed by a new private-public
  mechanism that captures the value inherent
  in green, transit oriented
  development….Committee for Perth report.
INFRASTRUCTURE AUSTRALIA
  Nation Building package –
  55% urban rail….historic!
Adelaide’s electrification and Seaford
extension like Perth’s northern and southern
                  rail lines
Why rail must continue to be the
           priority….
Peak oil has happened….
Climate policy: Oil's tipping point has passed 
     Nature  481,433–435 26 January 2012
• Click to edit Master text styles
  – Second level
    • Third level
       – Fourth level
           » Fifth level
Peak oil happened in 2008 in the economy… $140 per bl
September 15th 2008
Impact on cities?
• Some US suburbs collapsed in
  GFC
Global oil production has not risen
             for 5 years…
• Inexorable rise in oil price of 5% per year.
• Dramatic rise in 2008 revealing vulnerabilities of car
  dependent cities.
• Car use beginning to decline…
Car use growth trends in developed cities from 1960 to 2005
              using Global Cities Database.




                                                                                       45
                                                                                                 4 1 .8
     P e r c e n t a g e a v e r a g e in c r e a s e in c a r V K T p e r c a p ita




                                                                                       40


                                                                                       35


                                                                                       30
                                                                                                                    2 5 .7
                                                                                       25                                              2 2 .9

                                                                                       20


                                                                                       15


                                                                                       10

                                                                                                                                                          5 .1
                                                                                        5


                                                                                        0
                                                                                            1 9 6 0 -1 9 7 0   1 9 7 0 -1 9 8 0   1 9 8 0 -1 9 9 0   1 9 9 5 -2 0 0 5
Passenger-kilometres by private car and light trucks, 1990 –
                          2009,
                   index (1990 = 100)
 160


 150
                                                                                                         Germany


 140

                                                                                                         Australia
 130
                                                                                                          France

 120                                                                                                       United
                                                                                                         Kingdom

                                                                                                           United
 110                                                                                                       States
                                                                                                            Japan


 100


  90                                                                                 Oil price shock
                                                                                         and start of
                                                                                                crisis

  80
       1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
Peak Car Use - US cities...
• 7 years of decline
• $80 a barrel in
  2004
• Cities coming
  back in…
19
   76




             6
                 7
                     8
                         9
                             10
                                  11
                                       12
                                                     13
                                                                                 14
                                                                                                                                                                                15
19 -7 7
   77
19 -7 8
   78
19 -7 9
   79
19 -8 0
   80
1 9 -8 1




                                            Hobart
   81
                                                                                                   Sydney



                                                     Adelaide
                                                                Brisbane
19 -8 2
   82
19 - 8 3
   83
19 - 8 4
   84
19 - 8 5
   85
19 - 8 6
                                                                Perth



                                            Darwin




   86
                                                     Canberra




19 - 8 7
                                                                                                                       Melbourne




   87
19 -8 8
   88
19 -8 9
                                                                           '000 Kms per capita by car, commercial vehicle and motorcycle




   89
19 -9 0
   90
19 -9 1
   91
19 -9 2
   92
19 -9 3
   93
19 - 9 4
   94
19 - 9 5
   95
19 - 9 6
   96
19 - 9 7
   97
19 - 9 8
                                                                                                                                                                                     Per Capita Private Travel by City




   98
19 -9 9
   99
20 -0 0
   00
20 -0 1
   01
20 -0 2
   02
20 -0 3
   03
20 -0 4
   04
20 -0 5
   05
2 0 -0 6
   06
2 0 -0 7
                                                                                                           Source: BTRE (2011): Australian Infrastructure Statistics Yearbook




   07
2 0 -0 8
   08
      -0
         9
0
              0.2
                    0.4
                                    0.6
                                                       0.8
                                                                          1
                                                                                                                1.4
                                                                                                                      1.6
                                                                                                                            1.8
                                                                                                                                                                                                       2




                                                                                              per
1976-77
1977-78




                                                                                          Kms 1.2 Capita
1978-79
1979-80
1980-81
1981-82
1982-83
1983-84
1984-85
1985-86
1986-87
1987-88
1988-89
1989-90
1990-91
1991-92
1992-93
                                                                                                                                  Source: BTRE (2011): Australian Infrastructure Statistics Yearbook




1993-94
1994-95
1995-96
1996-97
1997-98
1998-99
1999-00
2000-01
2001-02
                                                                                                                                                                                                           Per Capita Public Transport Travel by City




2002-03
2003-04
2004-05
2005-06
2006-07
2007-08
2008-09
                                                                                     e


                                                                  Perth




                                   Hobart
                          Darwin
                                                                                                       Sydney




                                                       Adelaide
                                                                          Brisbane




                                            Canberra
                                                                                     Melbourn
Annual vehicle miles per driver by age, USA,
             1995, 2001, 2009
‘Cars are so yesterday: young and rich
            leave guzzlers behind’

                                   From 2001 to 2009, the
                                  average annual number of
                                  vehicle-miles travelled by
                                   young people (16 to 34
                                  year olds) decreased from
                                    10,300 miles to 7900
                                   miles per capita – a drop
“From 2001 to 2009, young               of 23 per cent.
people (16- to 34-year-olds)
who lived in households with
annual incomes of over
$70,000 increased their use of
public transit by 100 per cent,
biking by 122 per cent, and
walking by 37 percent.”
Shanghai 1990 and 2010
ck to edit Master text styles
econd level
• Third level
   – Fourth level
       » Fifth level
1990’s - Flirting with the American
               model…
Rapidly filled…

So what can be done?
Shanghai Metro…12 lines, 273 stations, 420km
            covering 80% of metro area…
                Built mostly since 2000; carries 8 million per day




k to edit Master text styles
econd level
Third level
  – Fourth level
      » Fifth level
Global growth now in rail and first
   signs of declines in car use…
• 82 Chinese cities building metros and
  high speed rail between cities
• 14 Indian cities building metros
• Middle east cities building rail for first
  time
Economic waves

The next era of innovation….the Green Economy




                                                   Green
                                                Economy
Green economy symbol,
     Cheonggyecheon River in Seoul,
          buried under freeway



• Click to edit Master text styles
  – Second level
    • Third level
       – Fourth level
           » Fifth level
⑥ ー 1   Cheonggyecheon Area
         after Restoration
(http://www.metro.seoul.kr/kor2000/chungaehome/en/seoul/2sub.htm/)



 • Click to edit Master text styles
       – Second level
            • Third level
                 – Fourth level
                     » Fifth level
History of innovation and energy….
                                .
Next era of city building is REDUCED CARBON – green economy.


                                                  Renewable
                                       Oil            s
                                                    & Gas
                           Coal


                  Woo
                   d
     Water
History of innovation and cities….
                Transport shapes
Each era changes the city form. Cities keep the best of that era and move on.
                        Next era of city building ….

                                                CAR S            ELECTRIC
                                                                   and
                                  ELECT        TRUCK u
                                                                Renewable
                                   RIC         PLANE p             Gas
                                  TRAIN              e          Vehicles &
                                                     r             NMT
                                  TRAM
                      STEA                           h
                       M                             i
                      TRAI                           g
                       N                             h
    SHIP/
                                                     w
    WALK
                                                     a
                                                     y
So what can communities do?

Communities hold all the cards….10
people focused on an issue can
transform a city.
The Sustainability Story

Sectoral Dimensions

 Market               Community
 -goods &               -values &
 services                  visions


             Government
            -regulations &
            infrastructure
At home?
• Get out of that car, at least ensure
  only one car.
• Can save $750,000 over a lifetime by
  using one less car.
Vauban Frieburg
Eco-village with car-
   free housing.
Vauban freedom...
Christie
Walk Eco-
Village,
Adelaide.
Strawbale
apartments in
central city;
grey water to
permaculture
gardens; PV;
no parking.
Will we get out of cars if given a bit
              of help?
TravelSmart from 1990’s….
Travel Smart
Walking School Bus
Walk/bike use
increases productivity
  in workplace by 6%
Consistent reductions in car use of
around 15% - with 27% increase in
muscle-powered transport... Creates
culture of alternative transport.




                             Whole new
                         profession created
                           of TravelSmart
                               Officers
• Click to edit Master text styles
  – Second level
       Tim Darby and
    • Third level

          Shani Graham
       – Fourth level
           » Fifth level




           The Hulbert
           Street Story
k to edit Master text styles
econd level
Third level
  – Fourth level
      » Fifth level
• Click to edit Master text styles
  – Second level
    • Third level
       – Fourth level
           » Fifth level
Imagine the Possibilities




                               Transformation of a city…

Photo Series: UrbanAdvantage
Sustainable Communities SA - presentation by Professor Peter Newman
Sustainable Communities SA - presentation by Professor Peter Newman
Sustainable Communities SA - presentation by Professor Peter Newman

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Sustainable Communities SA - presentation by Professor Peter Newman

  • 1. Sustainability: What it can mean for people and communities? By Peter Newman Professor of Sustainability Curtin University
  • 2. The Sustainability Story Mid 90’s to 2000’s Environmental Ecological Protection and Economics Improvement Economic Development Sustainability Community “Sense of Health Place” Social Development
  • 3. Sustainability in cities: reducing footprint whilst increasing liveability…
  • 4. My niche… ‘Oil vulnerability’ and ‘car dependence’…. ….born out of the pain of the 1970’s oil crises
  • 5.
  • 6. The Hubbert Peak Sci Amer 1971
  • 7. The Polycentric City. Walkable, green, smart centres linked by quality transit….
  • 8. Community activist journey began in Fremantle in 1979… ‘the last train to Freo’
  • 9.
  • 12. We won! Supplementary policies on traffic demand management, parking restrictions, congestion taxes…. can all help, but will be reduced to marginal exercises unless the structure of the city is addressed in terms of the relative speed of traffic compared to sustainable transport modes.
  • 13.
  • 14. Then won three more times… 7 mill pass/yr to 57 mill/yr in 15 years
  • 15. 1992 - Northern Suburbs Railway Now equal to 8 lanes of traffic….
  • 16.
  • 17. Year Route Km 1982 42km 1983 63km 1993 92km 2004 96km 2005 100km 2006 172km Total 172km 54 kms within freeway median
  • 18. Opening of new Southern Railway 90% approval ratings and already paid off. Carrying 65,000 per day cf 14,000 on buses. • Click to edit Master text styles – Second level • Third level – Fourth level » Fifth level
  • 19.
  • 20. Meanwhile the academic….Fuel Use Decreases as Density Increases
  • 21. National and global model… $17 mill per km…. higher numbers from Travel Smart suburbs!
  • 22. iANNUALRAILBOARDINGS('000s: TrainandTram) 0 10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 60,000 70,000 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 Y 1999 EAR 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Perth Adelaide
  • 23. Next phase light rail… • Click to edit Master text styles – Second level • Third level – Fourth level » Fifth level
  • 24. The next phase in Perth…. • Click to edit Master text styles – Second level • Third level – Fourth level » Fifth level
  • 25. Perth: 21st Century City Focus on the 13 big development projects in Perth and show how they can be: • Leading demonstrations of low carbon, renewable, green development • Dense, mixed use centres made viable through light rail • Financed by a new private-public mechanism that captures the value inherent in green, transit oriented development….Committee for Perth report.
  • 26. INFRASTRUCTURE AUSTRALIA Nation Building package – 55% urban rail….historic!
  • 27.
  • 28. Adelaide’s electrification and Seaford extension like Perth’s northern and southern rail lines
  • 29. Why rail must continue to be the priority….
  • 30. Peak oil has happened….
  • 31. Climate policy: Oil's tipping point has passed  Nature  481,433–435 26 January 2012
  • 32. • Click to edit Master text styles – Second level • Third level – Fourth level » Fifth level
  • 33. Peak oil happened in 2008 in the economy… $140 per bl
  • 35. Impact on cities? • Some US suburbs collapsed in GFC
  • 36. Global oil production has not risen for 5 years… • Inexorable rise in oil price of 5% per year. • Dramatic rise in 2008 revealing vulnerabilities of car dependent cities. • Car use beginning to decline…
  • 37. Car use growth trends in developed cities from 1960 to 2005 using Global Cities Database. 45 4 1 .8 P e r c e n t a g e a v e r a g e in c r e a s e in c a r V K T p e r c a p ita 40 35 30 2 5 .7 25 2 2 .9 20 15 10 5 .1 5 0 1 9 6 0 -1 9 7 0 1 9 7 0 -1 9 8 0 1 9 8 0 -1 9 9 0 1 9 9 5 -2 0 0 5
  • 38. Passenger-kilometres by private car and light trucks, 1990 – 2009, index (1990 = 100) 160 150 Germany 140 Australia 130 France 120 United Kingdom United 110 States Japan 100 90 Oil price shock and start of crisis 80 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
  • 39. Peak Car Use - US cities... • 7 years of decline • $80 a barrel in 2004 • Cities coming back in…
  • 40. 19 76 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 19 -7 7 77 19 -7 8 78 19 -7 9 79 19 -8 0 80 1 9 -8 1 Hobart 81 Sydney Adelaide Brisbane 19 -8 2 82 19 - 8 3 83 19 - 8 4 84 19 - 8 5 85 19 - 8 6 Perth Darwin 86 Canberra 19 - 8 7 Melbourne 87 19 -8 8 88 19 -8 9 '000 Kms per capita by car, commercial vehicle and motorcycle 89 19 -9 0 90 19 -9 1 91 19 -9 2 92 19 -9 3 93 19 - 9 4 94 19 - 9 5 95 19 - 9 6 96 19 - 9 7 97 19 - 9 8 Per Capita Private Travel by City 98 19 -9 9 99 20 -0 0 00 20 -0 1 01 20 -0 2 02 20 -0 3 03 20 -0 4 04 20 -0 5 05 2 0 -0 6 06 2 0 -0 7 Source: BTRE (2011): Australian Infrastructure Statistics Yearbook 07 2 0 -0 8 08 -0 9
  • 41. 0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 1.4 1.6 1.8 2 per 1976-77 1977-78 Kms 1.2 Capita 1978-79 1979-80 1980-81 1981-82 1982-83 1983-84 1984-85 1985-86 1986-87 1987-88 1988-89 1989-90 1990-91 1991-92 1992-93 Source: BTRE (2011): Australian Infrastructure Statistics Yearbook 1993-94 1994-95 1995-96 1996-97 1997-98 1998-99 1999-00 2000-01 2001-02 Per Capita Public Transport Travel by City 2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 e Perth Hobart Darwin Sydney Adelaide Brisbane Canberra Melbourn
  • 42. Annual vehicle miles per driver by age, USA, 1995, 2001, 2009
  • 43.
  • 44.
  • 45. ‘Cars are so yesterday: young and rich leave guzzlers behind’ From 2001 to 2009, the average annual number of vehicle-miles travelled by young people (16 to 34 year olds) decreased from 10,300 miles to 7900 miles per capita – a drop “From 2001 to 2009, young of 23 per cent. people (16- to 34-year-olds) who lived in households with annual incomes of over $70,000 increased their use of public transit by 100 per cent, biking by 122 per cent, and walking by 37 percent.”
  • 46. Shanghai 1990 and 2010 ck to edit Master text styles econd level • Third level – Fourth level » Fifth level
  • 47. 1990’s - Flirting with the American model…
  • 49. Shanghai Metro…12 lines, 273 stations, 420km covering 80% of metro area… Built mostly since 2000; carries 8 million per day k to edit Master text styles econd level Third level – Fourth level » Fifth level
  • 50. Global growth now in rail and first signs of declines in car use… • 82 Chinese cities building metros and high speed rail between cities • 14 Indian cities building metros • Middle east cities building rail for first time
  • 51. Economic waves The next era of innovation….the Green Economy Green Economy
  • 52. Green economy symbol, Cheonggyecheon River in Seoul, buried under freeway • Click to edit Master text styles – Second level • Third level – Fourth level » Fifth level
  • 53. ⑥ ー 1   Cheonggyecheon Area after Restoration (http://www.metro.seoul.kr/kor2000/chungaehome/en/seoul/2sub.htm/) • Click to edit Master text styles – Second level • Third level – Fourth level » Fifth level
  • 54.
  • 55. History of innovation and energy…. . Next era of city building is REDUCED CARBON – green economy. Renewable Oil s & Gas Coal Woo d Water
  • 56. History of innovation and cities…. Transport shapes Each era changes the city form. Cities keep the best of that era and move on. Next era of city building …. CAR S ELECTRIC and ELECT TRUCK u Renewable RIC PLANE p Gas TRAIN e Vehicles & r NMT TRAM STEA h M i TRAI g N h SHIP/ w WALK a y
  • 57. So what can communities do? Communities hold all the cards….10 people focused on an issue can transform a city.
  • 58. The Sustainability Story Sectoral Dimensions Market Community -goods & -values & services visions Government -regulations & infrastructure
  • 59. At home? • Get out of that car, at least ensure only one car. • Can save $750,000 over a lifetime by using one less car.
  • 60.
  • 61. Vauban Frieburg Eco-village with car- free housing.
  • 62.
  • 64. Christie Walk Eco- Village, Adelaide. Strawbale apartments in central city; grey water to permaculture gardens; PV; no parking.
  • 65. Will we get out of cars if given a bit of help?
  • 69.
  • 71. Consistent reductions in car use of around 15% - with 27% increase in muscle-powered transport... Creates culture of alternative transport. Whole new profession created of TravelSmart Officers
  • 72. • Click to edit Master text styles – Second level Tim Darby and • Third level Shani Graham – Fourth level » Fifth level The Hulbert Street Story
  • 73. k to edit Master text styles econd level Third level – Fourth level » Fifth level
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  • 75. • Click to edit Master text styles – Second level • Third level – Fourth level » Fifth level
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  • 94. Imagine the Possibilities Transformation of a city… Photo Series: UrbanAdvantage