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Roger Tattersall

Porto Conference Presentation by Roger Tattersall. Climate change is caused by orbital resonance in the solar system.

Science

CLIMATE CHANGE:
SOLAR-INTERPLANETARY FORCES
NOT HUMAN ACTIVITY
ROGER TATTERSALL & STUART GRAHAM
TALLBLOKE.WORDPRESS.COM
ROG@TALLBLOKE.NET

THE LAPLACE RESONANCE IN GALILEAN MOONS
The classical view
compares orbital
periods and
observes an
approximate 4:2:1
Mean Motion
Resonance

THE 1:2:3 SYNODIC RESONANCE IN GALILEAN MOONS
Our new finding is
that there is a more
exact 1:2:3 ratio
between the
synodic
conjunctions of the
moon pairs.

EXOPLANETARY SYSTEMS WITH 1:2:3 SYNODIC RESONANCE
Trappist-1 has a 1:2:3:6:9 synodic pair resonance series
After discussing orbital
periods only in their
original write up, the
Trappist-1 investigators
rushed out a paper
describing the synodic
resonances 3 months after
it was published at
Tallblokes Talkshop

EXOPLANETARY SYSTEMS WITH 1:2:3 SYNODIC RESONANCE
Gliese 876 c,b,e HR 8799 b,c,d
Astrophysicists
estimate 40% of
exoplanetary systems
contain syzygy pairs
exhibiting orbital
resonance. We think
it will be more.

MORE RESONANT MOON TRIPLETS NOW DISCOVERED
Styx, Nix and Hydra’s synodics
exhibit a 2:3:5 resonance around
Pluto.
Miranda-Ariel = 3.21845 d [* 18 = 57.9321 d]
Ariel-Umbriel = 6.432386 d [* 9 = 57.891474 d]
Miranda-Umbriel = 2.145132 d [* 27 = 57.918564 d]

MAJOR SYNODIC RESONANCE IN OUR SOLAR SYSTEM
5 Jupiter and 2 Saturn orbits form 3 synodic conjunctions every ~60 years
Kepler’s Trigon - De Stella Nova 1606
42 Kepler trigons precess through 360 degrees over
a period of 2503 years which coincides with a
paleoclimate periodicity called the Hallstatt Cycle.

MULTI-BODY RESONANCES IN OUR SOLAR SYSTEM
Bond Events occur every 1470 years coinciding with cyclic planetary alignments

SOLAR BARYCENTRIC MOTION AND ACTIVITY CYCLES
60 year harmonious and
120 year chaotic periods
form the ~180 year Jose
Cycle of 3 Kepler trigons.
These coincide with high
and low solar activity
periods varying over a
2403 year cycle.
Ivanka Charvatova: The solar motion and the variability of solar activity

INTEGRATING THE SOLAR DATA TO MIMIC OCEAN RESPONSE
Integral of the 10Be solar
reconstruction
correlateswell with
Michael Mann’s multiproxy
global temperature
reconstruction at the
millennial timescale.

INTEGRATING THE SOLAR DATA TO MIMIC OCEAN RESPONSE
9500 year Solar
integral of 10Be
data appears to
match historical
warm and cold
epochs in Earth’s
ever changing
climate.

MODELLING SOLAR VARIATION USING PLANETARY PERIODICITIES
Rick Salvador’s model
replicates the 10Be
TSI reconstruction
over the last 4000
years to a Pearson
R^2 value of 0.72.

MODELLING SOLAR VARIATION USING PLANETARY PERIODICITIES
The same model
replicates the
Sunspot Number
since 1749 to a
Pearson R^2 value
of 0.91

SOLAR-PLANETARY MODEL PREDICTION TO 2100
The model prediction
made in 2013 now
has 5 years of
additional solar data
to compare against.
So far, so good.

SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE PREDICTION TO 2050
Using Solar model
integral, AMO cycle,
LnCO2 0.4C per
doubling and SOI to
‘curve fit’ a simple
empirical model.
Predictive power?
Time will tell.

THANK YOU FOR YOUR
ATTENTION
PLEASE VISIT TALLBLOKE’S TALKSHOP AT
TALLBLOKE.WORDPRESS.COM

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Porto rog-tallbloke

1. CLIMATE CHANGE: SOLAR-INTERPLANETARY FORCES NOT HUMAN ACTIVITY ROGER TATTERSALL & STUART GRAHAM TALLBLOKE.WORDPRESS.COM ROG@TALLBLOKE.NET

2. THE LAPLACE RESONANCE IN GALILEAN MOONS The classical view compares orbital periods and observes an approximate 4:2:1 Mean Motion Resonance

3. THE 1:2:3 SYNODIC RESONANCE IN GALILEAN MOONS Our new finding is that there is a more exact 1:2:3 ratio between the synodic conjunctions of the moon pairs.

4. EXOPLANETARY SYSTEMS WITH 1:2:3 SYNODIC RESONANCE Trappist-1 has a 1:2:3:6:9 synodic pair resonance series After discussing orbital periods only in their original write up, the Trappist-1 investigators rushed out a paper describing the synodic resonances 3 months after it was published at Tallblokes Talkshop

5. EXOPLANETARY SYSTEMS WITH 1:2:3 SYNODIC RESONANCE Gliese 876 c,b,e HR 8799 b,c,d Astrophysicists estimate 40% of exoplanetary systems contain syzygy pairs exhibiting orbital resonance. We think it will be more.

6. MORE RESONANT MOON TRIPLETS NOW DISCOVERED Styx, Nix and Hydra’s synodics exhibit a 2:3:5 resonance around Pluto. Miranda-Ariel = 3.21845 d [* 18 = 57.9321 d] Ariel-Umbriel = 6.432386 d [* 9 = 57.891474 d] Miranda-Umbriel = 2.145132 d [* 27 = 57.918564 d]

7. MAJOR SYNODIC RESONANCE IN OUR SOLAR SYSTEM 5 Jupiter and 2 Saturn orbits form 3 synodic conjunctions every ~60 years Kepler’s Trigon - De Stella Nova 1606 42 Kepler trigons precess through 360 degrees over a period of 2503 years which coincides with a paleoclimate periodicity called the Hallstatt Cycle.

8. MULTI-BODY RESONANCES IN OUR SOLAR SYSTEM Bond Events occur every 1470 years coinciding with cyclic planetary alignments

9. SOLAR BARYCENTRIC MOTION AND ACTIVITY CYCLES 60 year harmonious and 120 year chaotic periods form the ~180 year Jose Cycle of 3 Kepler trigons. These coincide with high and low solar activity periods varying over a 2403 year cycle. Ivanka Charvatova: The solar motion and the variability of solar activity

10. INTEGRATING THE SOLAR DATA TO MIMIC OCEAN RESPONSE Integral of the 10Be solar reconstruction correlateswell with Michael Mann’s multiproxy global temperature reconstruction at the millennial timescale.

11. INTEGRATING THE SOLAR DATA TO MIMIC OCEAN RESPONSE 9500 year Solar integral of 10Be data appears to match historical warm and cold epochs in Earth’s ever changing climate.

12. MODELLING SOLAR VARIATION USING PLANETARY PERIODICITIES Rick Salvador’s model replicates the 10Be TSI reconstruction over the last 4000 years to a Pearson R^2 value of 0.72.

13. MODELLING SOLAR VARIATION USING PLANETARY PERIODICITIES The same model replicates the Sunspot Number since 1749 to a Pearson R^2 value of 0.91

14. SOLAR-PLANETARY MODEL PREDICTION TO 2100 The model prediction made in 2013 now has 5 years of additional solar data to compare against. So far, so good.

15. SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE PREDICTION TO 2050 Using Solar model integral, AMO cycle, LnCO2 0.4C per doubling and SOI to ‘curve fit’ a simple empirical model. Predictive power? Time will tell.

16. THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION PLEASE VISIT TALLBLOKE’S TALKSHOP AT TALLBLOKE.WORDPRESS.COM

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