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PLANS:
   Nordic PIAAC network 2013-2014
PIAAC data analyses in Estonia and links
           to skills strategy

               Aune Valk
          October 22, 2012 Paris
Nordic PIAAC network
• Network on NPM (national project manager)
  teams from 5 countries in Nordic region:
  Denmark, Estonia, Finland, Norway, Sweden
• Financed since 2010 by the Nordic Council of
  Ministers
• First meeting in 2010 in Örebro (SWE)
• 2011 meeting in Copenhagen, creating Nordic
  database of Field Test data in the Statistics
  Denmark
Nordic PIAAC network
• 2011 Research seminar in Tartu (EST), based
  on the Nordic data-base
• 2012 meeting in Helsinki (FIN). Plans for
  Nordic database of Main Study data + register
  data + Nordic PIAAC report.
Nordic PIAAC network – plans 2013+
• November 2013 Norway – Seminar of the first
  findings and launching of the Nordic
  database
• 2014 Publication of the Nordic PIAAC report
• 2014 Fall – Nordic PIAAC conference (?)
Reporting plans
International (OECD)                   Nordic                       Estonian
OECD skills outlook: First results     General report without Adult skills in Estonia and in the
…                                      fixed title            world
The use of skills in the workplace
Skills and labour market                                            Skills and labour market
outcomes                                                            outcomes, incl enterpreneurship
                                                                    skills and skills of enterpreneurs
Skills mismatch                                                     Skills mismatch
A closer look at the population                                     Risk groups in relation to skills
with low levels of proficiency
Digital literacy, problem solving in
TRE, and ICT use
Trends, ageing and the                 Skills acquisition, skills   Skills and lifelong learning, incl
determinants of skills                 loss and agening             participation in culture
                                                                    Do skills help to explain wage
                                                                    gaps, incl language skills
                                                                    Skills and the quality of education,
                                                                    incl drop outs
Skills strategy and PIAAC. Estonian case
Economic growth in Estonia before crisis (and since
2010) have been rather quick. Comparing the growth
factors to other EU countries it can be concluded:
• We have exhausted the opportunity to „activate
  skills supply“ (more working hours; longer working
  life), except reducing unemployment that appeared during the
  crisis
• Future growth should be based mainly on capital
  accumulation and TFP (total factor productivity)
  that includes skills, technology, innovation,
  organisation …
            (Estonian Development Fund 2008: The competitiveness of
                 Estonian economy: state of art and look to the future)
OECD skills strategy
Skills strategy and PIAAC. Estonian case

„… Lifelong learning would strengthen employability.
Vocational education should be further focused on
equipping graduates with employable skills by intensifying
co-operation with employers, and access to tertiary
education should be widened further. The enterprise
support framework should increasingly target innovation,
thereby contributing to productivity-driven export
growth.“

                 (OECD 2012: Economic Survey of Estonia)
Where could be the potential for skills
       development in Estonia if …
• adults (25-64) have in average good
  qualifications (2010):
  • only 11% are below upper secondary education
    (26% OECD),
  • 35% have tertiary education (OECD 30%);
Education attainment of population 25-64
Where could be the potential for skills
       development in Estonia if …
• adults (25-64) have in average good qualifications (2010):
   • only 11% are below upper secondary education (26% OECD),
   • 35% have tertiary education (OECD 30%);
• students’ skills are above OECD average in all 3 domains
  (PISA)
• access to higher education is together with Nordic
  countries quite equal;
• participation in adult education has increased rapidly and
  is above OECD and EU average;
• education stresses general skills and flexibility;
• labour force participation rate among 25-64 is one of the
  highest in OECD.
… but also
• we do not have (comparative) data on adult skills in
  Estonia;
• perceived shortage of skills – need for additional training
  to cope well with current job is high - 20% (OECD 13%);
• educational differences between men and women are
  one of the highest in the world;
• unemployment is one of the highest in OECD;
• immigration is very low;
• there are less than in average in OECD students with very
  high level skills (5-6th level in PISA);
• employers are complaining that education does not
  correspond to the needs of the job market: more need
  for vocational education;
• …                                                         12
Several reforms in education are in process:
• Updating infrastructure and curricula in VET (last 5 years)
• Review of occupatiuonal qualifications and extensive
  support to adult education
• New curriculum in general education since last year;
• 60% of subjects in Estonian language in upper secondary
  schools where main language of tuition was Russian
  (since 2011);
• Higher education studies fully financed by the state
  (2013): quality requirements + full-time participation +
  needs based scholarships
• Reform of general school network (in near future):
  separating basic and upper secondary schools, state-run
  bigger and stronger upper secondary schools
• New lifelong learning strategy is under development
Summary
• There is need for skills development
   – even if economy is increasing and
   – educational indicators are by and large strong.
• But as many reforms are running or just started,
• and we expect to be much wiser after international,
  Nordic and Estonian PIAAC reports,
• we have postponed desicion on skills strategy for 2-3
  years.
• For a while we keep learning in the fruitful
  Nordic cooperation.

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Nordic PIAAC network 2013-2014 PIAAC data analyses in Estonia and links to skills strategy

  • 1. PLANS: Nordic PIAAC network 2013-2014 PIAAC data analyses in Estonia and links to skills strategy Aune Valk October 22, 2012 Paris
  • 2. Nordic PIAAC network • Network on NPM (national project manager) teams from 5 countries in Nordic region: Denmark, Estonia, Finland, Norway, Sweden • Financed since 2010 by the Nordic Council of Ministers • First meeting in 2010 in Örebro (SWE) • 2011 meeting in Copenhagen, creating Nordic database of Field Test data in the Statistics Denmark
  • 3. Nordic PIAAC network • 2011 Research seminar in Tartu (EST), based on the Nordic data-base • 2012 meeting in Helsinki (FIN). Plans for Nordic database of Main Study data + register data + Nordic PIAAC report.
  • 4. Nordic PIAAC network – plans 2013+ • November 2013 Norway – Seminar of the first findings and launching of the Nordic database • 2014 Publication of the Nordic PIAAC report • 2014 Fall – Nordic PIAAC conference (?)
  • 5. Reporting plans International (OECD) Nordic Estonian OECD skills outlook: First results General report without Adult skills in Estonia and in the … fixed title world The use of skills in the workplace Skills and labour market Skills and labour market outcomes outcomes, incl enterpreneurship skills and skills of enterpreneurs Skills mismatch Skills mismatch A closer look at the population Risk groups in relation to skills with low levels of proficiency Digital literacy, problem solving in TRE, and ICT use Trends, ageing and the Skills acquisition, skills Skills and lifelong learning, incl determinants of skills loss and agening participation in culture Do skills help to explain wage gaps, incl language skills Skills and the quality of education, incl drop outs
  • 6. Skills strategy and PIAAC. Estonian case Economic growth in Estonia before crisis (and since 2010) have been rather quick. Comparing the growth factors to other EU countries it can be concluded: • We have exhausted the opportunity to „activate skills supply“ (more working hours; longer working life), except reducing unemployment that appeared during the crisis • Future growth should be based mainly on capital accumulation and TFP (total factor productivity) that includes skills, technology, innovation, organisation … (Estonian Development Fund 2008: The competitiveness of Estonian economy: state of art and look to the future)
  • 8. Skills strategy and PIAAC. Estonian case „… Lifelong learning would strengthen employability. Vocational education should be further focused on equipping graduates with employable skills by intensifying co-operation with employers, and access to tertiary education should be widened further. The enterprise support framework should increasingly target innovation, thereby contributing to productivity-driven export growth.“ (OECD 2012: Economic Survey of Estonia)
  • 9. Where could be the potential for skills development in Estonia if … • adults (25-64) have in average good qualifications (2010): • only 11% are below upper secondary education (26% OECD), • 35% have tertiary education (OECD 30%);
  • 10. Education attainment of population 25-64
  • 11. Where could be the potential for skills development in Estonia if … • adults (25-64) have in average good qualifications (2010): • only 11% are below upper secondary education (26% OECD), • 35% have tertiary education (OECD 30%); • students’ skills are above OECD average in all 3 domains (PISA) • access to higher education is together with Nordic countries quite equal; • participation in adult education has increased rapidly and is above OECD and EU average; • education stresses general skills and flexibility; • labour force participation rate among 25-64 is one of the highest in OECD.
  • 12. … but also • we do not have (comparative) data on adult skills in Estonia; • perceived shortage of skills – need for additional training to cope well with current job is high - 20% (OECD 13%); • educational differences between men and women are one of the highest in the world; • unemployment is one of the highest in OECD; • immigration is very low; • there are less than in average in OECD students with very high level skills (5-6th level in PISA); • employers are complaining that education does not correspond to the needs of the job market: more need for vocational education; • … 12
  • 13. Several reforms in education are in process: • Updating infrastructure and curricula in VET (last 5 years) • Review of occupatiuonal qualifications and extensive support to adult education • New curriculum in general education since last year; • 60% of subjects in Estonian language in upper secondary schools where main language of tuition was Russian (since 2011); • Higher education studies fully financed by the state (2013): quality requirements + full-time participation + needs based scholarships • Reform of general school network (in near future): separating basic and upper secondary schools, state-run bigger and stronger upper secondary schools • New lifelong learning strategy is under development
  • 14. Summary • There is need for skills development – even if economy is increasing and – educational indicators are by and large strong. • But as many reforms are running or just started, • and we expect to be much wiser after international, Nordic and Estonian PIAAC reports, • we have postponed desicion on skills strategy for 2-3 years. • For a while we keep learning in the fruitful Nordic cooperation.