Oplægget blev holdt ved InfinIT-arrangementet "Workshop: Smart Grid & Intelligente Bygninger" afholdt den 1. november 2011. Læs mere på http://www.infinit.dk/dk/hvad_kan_vi_goere_for_dig/viden/reportager/danske_virksomheder_paa_rette_vej.htm

1. Preben Mejer
Bestfmd og IT Guru
preben@mejer.com

2. TEKNOLOGI FORRETNING
Teknisk Rentabilitet
videnskab Marketing
Naturvidenskab Finansiering
Udvikling Organisation
Anvendelighed
INNOVATION
BRUGERBEHOV
Ønskelighed
Psykologi
Antropologi
Design
Discovery Driven
Innovation
– users, tech, context

3. Det store perspektiv:
Smart Computing
Hver ny cyklus: ny tech, ratio til GDP stiger, 8 år senere ”fordøjelse”
Mainframes 1960-1976, automatisere rutine transaktioner
PC’s 1976-1992, computere til folket
Networked computing 1992-2008 internet revolutionen
2010-2020 Smart computing, pervasive mobility, location aware i real-time

4. Smart Computing
Data i alt, fra alt, overalt
• Sensorer, RFID, NFC ..

5. Smart Computing
Data i alt, fra alt, overalt
• Sensorer, RFID, NFC ..
Sammenhæng i systemer, data i
skyen, nye forretningsmodeller
• Real Time Reality Mining

6. Smart Computing
Sammenhæng i systemer, data i skyen,
nye forretningsmodeller
• Real Time Reality Mining
• Fra OnLine til Onsite – instant
discovery
San Francisco will become the first
major city to use sensors in the road to
alter meter prices
Nudging people to park in less
congested areas
Smartphone apps will display vacant
spaces

7. Smart Computing
Data i alt, fra alt, overalt
• Sensorer, RFID, NFC ..
Sammenhæng i systemer, data i
skyen, nye forretningsmodeller
• Real Time Reality Mining
Anywhere computing
• Pervasive Mobilty

8. Smart Computing
Anywhere computing
• Pervasive Mobility
Post PC æraen
• Forecast 2011, Gartner
• 488m Smartphones Fra 2014 mere
end 50 pct af total mobil
• 385m PC’s
• 58m Media Tablets

9. Smart Computing
Opbrud i værdikæden
Alt ligger I skyen
From device centric to service
centric
Nye forretningsmodeller – service i
stedet for køb
Cloud baserede XaaS er strategisk
vigtigere og forretningsmæssigt
mere attraktivt end HW da cloud er
ongoing – for life
Fra Wintel over iOS/Android til
Personal Cloud – den nye slagmark

10. The PC is dying - Post PC era
Personal Computing lives on
The PC is dying
• at least the 1978 gas guzzling x86 and Wintel is
ARM and other efficient architectures will take over
• Chips aimed at mobile
OS migrate towards mobile
• Win 8 UI related to Win mobile 7.
• Mac and IOS merge in 2016

11. Fra online til OnSite
Vi forventer svar på stedet !!

12. Enhederne og os
Multiple devices
177m US online, 105m own 2+ devices

13. Enhederne -
Nye materialer
Printede OLED skærme
Skærme, tynde som et lag maling
Slutningen af årtiet
Kulstof nano rør – fantastiske ledende
egenskaber

14. Interaktion
Tap is the new click
Freeform – Kinect
Electrovibration
• Skaber fornemmelse af
vibration og friktion,
klæbrig, bumpy, tekstur
Slutningen af årtiet
Styring ved tankens kraft

15. Enhederne i en ”Post PC” æra
Formaterne i fremtiden
• Small – MID
• Smartphone
• Slimbook / eller tablet
• Large-format display
• Outdoor/public display
High calorie – lean forward
Low calorie – lean back
Producenter vil søge at integrere med cloud

16. Morphing Screens
PC, tablet, mobil grænserne
udviskes

17. Smart Computing
Opbrud i værdikæden
Alt ligger I skyen
From device centric to service
centric
Nye forretningsmodeller – service i
stedet for køb
Cloud baserede XaaS er strategisk
vigtigere og forretningsmæssigt
mere attraktivt end HW da cloud er
ongoing – for life
Fra Wintel over iOS/Android til
Personal Cloud – den nye slagmark

18. Samsung 120b
Google
158b
Nokia 22b
Microsoft
201b Motorola
11b
HP 48b
Apple 330m
Google køber Motorola – patenter og access
Microsoft ? Nokia og HTC
HP exit – hvem køber HP PC biz – Samsung?
Hvem køber WebOS – HTC? IBM 188b Cisco 82b
Den store iPad konkurrent bliver …. ?

19. Personal Cloud
Alle enheder integrerer til min
Personal Cloud
• Organiserer og gemmer
personlige og arbejds-data,
dokumenter, media og
kommunikation
• Kan tilgås fra en bred vifte af
enheder
• Pga kompleksitet og
datamængde, livslangt forhold ?
• Apple, Microsoft, Google
• HW mindre væsentlig, men med
“fordele” og short cuts
• Android med Google+, Flickr.
• Microsoft med Bing og Facebook.
• Apple med Twitter

20. Enhederne i en Smart
Computing æra
Low calorie – lean back

21. Ambient devices
Low calorie information displays – easy
to relate to
Use scenarios:
Convenience and safeguards
• Automating dull, repetive tasks like
vacuum cleaning or avoid domestic
disasters, like putting metal in the
microwave
Better communications
• Freeing you from the PC, ambient
devices
Getting more organized and staying
informed
Humanizing technology
• Forrester

22. NFC, Share, Discover, Pay, Ticket
2014, NFC based payments acct for 1/3 of 1.13b usd worldwide mobile
transactions IEmarket research est
50pct of all smartphones NFC enabled in 2014 Google

23. Bilen, printeren,
firmafrugtkurven med budget
Med udsigt til et finere og mere granuleret NFC
baseret betalingssystem kan man forestille sig
Enheder får et budget
• Din bil har sit eget budget når betalingsringen
kommer
• Printeren har et budget – for dit forbrug
• Frugtkurven giver bonus i kantinen
• Dit køleskab tæller op og ned på kalorier og
økonomi

24. Den digital overfrakke
Foursquare, GoWalla, Stickybits
Shopkicks signal hardware triggers
check-ins

25. Det intelligente hjem

26. Det intelligente hjem - fra 1888
Showcase – kommende teknologi
Grøn uden afsavn – halver strømforbruget,
uden bøvl og uden islandske sweatere, din
fryser kigger på klokken
Dematerilization – slut med DVD’er, CD’er, ..
Aviser, ”Beam me up Scotty” videokonf
hjemme fra i høj kvalitet
Care anywhere - tryghed, sikkerhed, wellness –
huset kender dig, låser hoveddøren op og slår
alarmen fra når du nærmer dig - eller åbner for
VVS manden, ”spiller filmen igen”, checker
fryseren, badeværelset leverer wellness info

27. Det intelligente hjem - fra 1888
Status oktober 2011
Showcase – kommende teknologi
Grøn uden afsavn – installeres nu,
forventning uændret, halvering af strøm-
forbrug. PC’er pensioneres, IT forenkles,
belysning LED, intelligent styring af
strømslugere
• Hvis reduktion 50pct, så resten solceller
Dematerilization – Musik OK, video er TDC IP
tv baseret, aviser er på vej på iPads
• Abonnementsmodeller på iPads et problem
Care anywhere – Låse, alarmer og video OK

28. Android@home
Android device hub Tungsten to bridge
wireless devices with Android
phones/tablets/tv’s/?
Low power (900Mhz?)mech protocol
similar to ZigBee, but able to carry audio
and low res video. Up to 500 devices 50m
apart
Protocol will be free, developed with LED
co LSGC
Arduino based open source developer
platform

29. Android talking
DLNA provide protocols on appliance side, leaving client
software and devices to inegrate as they chose – LAN
needed
UPNP device to device, no network needed, broader range
of features
Android@home provide unified client and protocol
Android open accessory support – makes it possible for
anything to integrate to Android, if app needed you are
automatically directed to Android Market
USB support available, Bluetooth support will be
announced

30. Everything is Getting Smarter… Well Almost

31. Household Savings Up to 30%

32. The New Design – My Home
GreenWave Reality Company Confidential GreenWave Reality Company Confidential

33. Home Energy Portal
GreenWave Reality Company Confidential GreenWave Reality Company Confidential

34. 2 grader
Natsænkning om dagen – away from
home funktion, og ferie ditto
2 graders sænkning når jeg ikke er der
– eller om natten.
Besparelser på 6-15 pct per grad i
ressourceforbrug til opvarming i
regulerede rum
For husstanden mulig total besparelse
17-40 pct på varmeregningen (familie
og single) Fraunhofer

35. Madspild
I Tyskland fordærves fødevarer for 7 mia
kroner om året
Overflødige indkøb
Bosch/Siemens
30 pct of our food is thrown away
The Guardian

36. Self-tracking
Quantter, a web site where you can track your daily activities using Twitter
MoodScope, web based app for measuring, tracking, sharing your mood
Withings Wifi Bodyscale, digital wireless body fat monitor and scale
Philips DirectLife, set of activity programs
A nightshirt to monitor sleep
• NYX devices, embedded with fabric
electronics, monitor breathing patterns
• Chip in pocket process data to determine REM, light, deep sleep
• Launch 2012, 100usd
Wearable stress sensor
• Measuring skin conductance to and thus stress level
• Used for tailoring treatments of autistic children, people
with post traumatic stress disorders and drug addicts
• Q Sensor from Affectiva

37. Arbejdspladsen
The Anywhere Enterprise
Domicilets død?
Multiperson activities
Cloud workspaces
Roam, Atlanta
• Members live in 10km radius
• Corporate employees (IBM), feelance
entrepreneurs, small business
The Hat Factory, San Francisco
• The Hat Factory is a coworking space located
in San Francisco's Dogpatch

38. Devices
Corporate goes
mobile
By 2015, half of the devices on corporate
networks will be mobile – Gartner
Mobile business apps flourish at IBM,
Google
Google has created an internal mobile
app store

39. Personal Computing Scenario 2016
Devices
Most individuals will carry smartphone, knowledge
workers also a tablet/lightweight laptop
Will be robust compute devices able to work without network
Devices will “dock” wirelessly with stationary computers at
home/work obtaining
• Additional graphics power, compute muscle
• Easy integration into local systems and peripherals
• Extended displays and projectors
• Microsoft Craig Mundie / Forrester

40. Personal Computing Scenario 2016
Sensing
Detailed awareness of context, situation, location and user
status
2016 devices will be able to read emotions, identify owners,
detect and classify nearby individuals and their devices and
owners vital signs
Will be able to respond to voice and gestures
Microsoft Craig Mundie / Forrester

41. From the desktop to the room
Orchestration of information flows via personal cloud service
Information input or changed on one device is synced to all
other
A richer and more immersive experience
A lot more displays, on surfaces and on the walls
Using speech, gesture and touch in a more integrated way
Graphical interfaces will not disappear, but computers may
present themselves in a personified way
Microsoft Craig Mundie / Forrester

42. Real Time Reality Mining
The emerging sensor web
From model based targeting to Real time reality mining of information shadow
of people, goods and objects
From cookies to real world tracking. Merging together web and data of
individuals life streams. From microblogging to geo positional / motional data
Where next: Path intelligence app, guiding in shopping center, based on cell
phone data also used to optimize shop layout. Citysense app.

43. Real Time Occupant Feedback

44. Smart Office Building
Interoperability of building information systems
Optimization of system set points using energy
simulation
Demand Response Technologies and “smart
grid” integration
Real Time Occupant Feedback
The raw data of how many people are occupying
a space in real-time will allow the precise
alignment of occupancy and energy use, and
create new metrics for space planning

45. The Building Information Network
Providing Opportunity with One Network
Building Systems
Lighting
Tenant Services Elevators
High Speed Internet 24/7 Monitoring
Wireless HVAC Sensors
Unified
Communications Fire Control
Interactive Media Dashboards Video Security
Digital Signage `
``` ` Submit
Energy Management
Monitoring Control
Maintenance
IP Telephony
Management
Presentation_ID © 2010 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential 45

46. Typical Results
Typical floor in San Jose Traditional Cisco Connected Workplace
Usable Area 49,000 sq. ft. 49,000 sq. ft.
70% individual 30% individual
Work Space
30% collaborative 70% collaborative
Use Pattern Traditional, Assigned Flexible, Group Assigned
Design Capacity 300 (fixed) 440 (nominal)
Enclosed Meeting Spaces 16 72
Usable Area / Capacity* 163 sq. ft. 111 sq. ft.
Chargeback per Employee $5,162 per year $2,596 per year
Presentation_ID © 2010 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential 46

47. workstation den
recreation audio privacy
Presentation_ID © 2010 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential 47

48. The Banyan Building: Built for Sustainability
Environmental Economic
Above LEED Standards: Annual Payback of:
 25% above for lighting energy  OpEx savings of ~15%
 27% above for water  Employee productivity of +9%
consumption
 Energy efficiency of +30%
 31% above for cooling energy
Total Savings: 1005 MWh
 Enhanced air quality by 30%
Social
Collaboration Areas Cafeteria Child Care Centre
© 2006 Cisco Systems, Inc. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential 48

49. Smart Work Center
Smart Work Center (SWC) offers a flexible and user-centric work
space with enhanced communication technologies and a community
inclusive service setting, designed to improve employee collaboration
and productivity.
Presentation_ID © 2010 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential 49

50. Proximity
NFC
• Parring af devices, overførsel af data,
betjening
Mobil via Wifi, Bluetooth eller mobilnet
• ”her er jeg” tænd, sluk, åbne, lukke
Hus/hjem/lokaler ved at du er gået, hvor mange
er der i bygningen/lokalet
Varme, lys, dørlåse, alarmer

51. Konklusion
Smart Computing
• Data i alt, fra alt, overalt - Sensorer, RFID, NFC
• Sammenhæng i systemerne - Realtime Reality Mining
• Smartphone som remote control, databærer, position, transaktion
Det intelligente hjem
• Android@home eller Greenwave Reality, en standard til enhver
lejlighed, sub-Zigbee, Jennet, Android / åbne platforme
• Belysning med chipset i soklen, NXP
Arbejdspladsen
• Real-time Reality Mining, smart office building
• Ved hvor mange og hvem der er i bygningen
• Cisco, Banyan, 15pct OPEX besparelse, 30pct bedre på energi,
9pct bedre medarbejder effektivitet. MEN Smart Work Center..
• Proximity styring, NFC og mobil
preben@ilab.dk