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Preben Mejer Bestfmd og IT Guru   preben@mejer.com
TEKNOLOGI         FORRETNINGTeknisk           Rentabilitetvidenskab         MarketingNaturvidenskab    FinansieringUdvikli...
Det store perspektiv:Smart Computing Hver ny cyklus: ny tech, ratio til GDP stiger, 8 år senere ”fordøjelse” Mainframes 19...
Smart Computing Data i alt, fra alt, overalt  • Sensorer, RFID, NFC ..
Smart Computing Data i alt, fra alt, overalt  • Sensorer, RFID, NFC .. Sammenhæng i systemer, data i skyen, nye forretning...
Smart Computing Sammenhæng i systemer, data i skyen, nye forretningsmodeller  • Real Time Reality Mining  • Fra OnLine til...
Smart Computing Data i alt, fra alt, overalt  • Sensorer, RFID, NFC .. Sammenhæng i systemer, data i skyen, nye forretning...
Smart Computing Anywhere computing  • Pervasive Mobility Post PC æraen  • Forecast 2011, Gartner  • 488m Smartphones Fra 2...
Smart ComputingOpbrud i værdikædenAlt ligger I skyenFrom device centric to servicecentricNye forretningsmodeller – service...
The PC is dying - Post PC eraPersonal Computing lives on The PC is dying  • at least the 1978 gas guzzling x86 and Wintel ...
Fra online til OnSite Vi forventer svar på stedet !!
Enhederne og osMultiple devices 177m US online, 105m own 2+ devices
Enhederne -Nye materialer Printede OLED skærme Skærme, tynde som et lag maling Slutningen af årtiet Kulstof nano rør – fan...
Interaktion Tap is the new click Freeform – Kinect Electrovibration  • Skaber fornemmelse af    vibration og friktion,    ...
Enhederne i en ”Post PC” æra Formaterne i fremtiden  • Small – MID  • Smartphone  • Slimbook / eller tablet  • Large-forma...
Morphing Screens PC, tablet, mobil grænserne udviskes
Smart ComputingOpbrud i værdikædenAlt ligger I skyenFrom device centric to servicecentricNye forretningsmodeller – service...
Samsung 120b                                                       Google                                                 ...
Personal CloudAlle enheder integrerer til minPersonal Cloud • Organiserer og gemmer    personlige og arbejds-data,    doku...
Enhederne i en SmartComputing æra Low calorie – lean back
Ambient devicesLow calorie information displays – easyto relate toUse scenarios:Convenience and safeguards  • Automating d...
NFC, Share, Discover, Pay, Ticket 2014, NFC based payments acct for 1/3 of 1.13b usd worldwide mobile transactions IEmarke...
Bilen, printeren,firmafrugtkurven med budget Med udsigt til et finere og mere granuleret NFC baseret betalingssystem kan m...
Den digital overfrakke Foursquare, GoWalla, Stickybits Shopkicks signal hardware triggers check-ins
Det intelligente hjem
Det intelligente hjem - fra 1888 Showcase – kommende teknologi Grøn uden afsavn – halver strømforbruget, uden bøvl og uden...
Det intelligente hjem - fra 1888Status oktober 2011 Showcase – kommende teknologi Grøn uden afsavn – installeres nu, forve...
Android@home Android device hub Tungsten to bridge wireless devices with Android phones/tablets/tv’s/? Low power (900Mhz?)...
Android talking DLNA provide protocols on appliance side, leaving client software and devices to inegrate as they chose – ...
Everything is Getting Smarter… Well Almost
Household Savings Up to 30%
The New Design – My HomeGreenWave Reality Company Confidential   GreenWave Reality Company Confidential
Home Energy PortalGreenWave Reality Company Confidential   GreenWave Reality Company Confidential
2 grader Natsænkning om dagen – away from home funktion, og ferie ditto 2 graders sænkning når jeg ikke er der – eller om ...
Madspild I Tyskland fordærves fødevarer for 7 mia kroner om året Overflødige indkøb Bosch/Siemens 30 pct of our food is th...
Self-tracking Quantter, a web site where you can track your daily activities using Twitter MoodScope, web based app for me...
ArbejdspladsenThe Anywhere Enterprise Domicilets død? Multiperson activities Cloud workspaces Roam, Atlanta  • Members liv...
DevicesCorporate goesmobile By 2015, half of the devices on corporate networks will be mobile – Gartner Mobile business ap...
Personal Computing Scenario 2016 Devices Most individuals will carry smartphone, knowledge workers also a tablet/lightweig...
Personal Computing Scenario 2016 Sensing Detailed awareness of context, situation, location and user status 2016 devices w...
From the desktop to the room Orchestration of information flows via personal cloud service Information input or changed on...
Real Time Reality Mining The emerging sensor web From model based targeting to Real time reality mining of information sha...
Real Time Occupant Feedback
Smart Office Building Interoperability of building information systems Optimization of system set points using energy simu...
The Building Information Network Providing Opportunity with One Network                                                   ...
Typical Results   Typical floor in San Jose                                        Traditional                           C...
workstation                                                          den                                 recreation       ...
The Banyan Building: Built for Sustainability         Environmental                                                       ...
Smart Work Center       Smart Work Center (SWC) offers a flexible and user-centric work       space with enhanced communic...
Proximity NFC  • Parring af devices, overførsel af data,    betjening Mobil via Wifi, Bluetooth eller mobilnet  • ”her er ...
KonklusionSmart Computing • Data i alt, fra alt, overalt - Sensorer, RFID, NFC • Sammenhæng i systemerne - Realtime Realit...
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The future in high resolution af Preben Mejer

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Oplægget blev holdt ved InfinIT-arrangementet "Workshop: Smart Grid & Intelligente Bygninger" afholdt den 1. november 2011.
Læs mere på http://www.infinit.dk/dk/hvad_kan_vi_goere_for_dig/viden/reportager/danske_virksomheder_paa_rette_vej.htm

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Transcript of "The future in high resolution af Preben Mejer"

  1. 1. Preben Mejer Bestfmd og IT Guru preben@mejer.com
  2. 2. TEKNOLOGI FORRETNINGTeknisk Rentabilitetvidenskab MarketingNaturvidenskab FinansieringUdvikling OrganisationAnvendelighed INNOVATION BRUGERBEHOV Ønskelighed Psykologi Antropologi DesignDiscovery DrivenInnovation– users, tech, context
  3. 3. Det store perspektiv:Smart Computing Hver ny cyklus: ny tech, ratio til GDP stiger, 8 år senere ”fordøjelse” Mainframes 1960-1976, automatisere rutine transaktioner PC’s 1976-1992, computere til folket Networked computing 1992-2008 internet revolutionen 2010-2020 Smart computing, pervasive mobility, location aware i real-time
  4. 4. Smart Computing Data i alt, fra alt, overalt • Sensorer, RFID, NFC ..
  5. 5. Smart Computing Data i alt, fra alt, overalt • Sensorer, RFID, NFC .. Sammenhæng i systemer, data i skyen, nye forretningsmodeller • Real Time Reality Mining
  6. 6. Smart Computing Sammenhæng i systemer, data i skyen, nye forretningsmodeller • Real Time Reality Mining • Fra OnLine til Onsite – instant discovery San Francisco will become the first major city to use sensors in the road to alter meter prices Nudging people to park in less congested areas Smartphone apps will display vacant spaces
  7. 7. Smart Computing Data i alt, fra alt, overalt • Sensorer, RFID, NFC .. Sammenhæng i systemer, data i skyen, nye forretningsmodeller • Real Time Reality Mining Anywhere computing • Pervasive Mobilty
  8. 8. Smart Computing Anywhere computing • Pervasive Mobility Post PC æraen • Forecast 2011, Gartner • 488m Smartphones Fra 2014 mere end 50 pct af total mobil • 385m PC’s • 58m Media Tablets
  9. 9. Smart ComputingOpbrud i værdikædenAlt ligger I skyenFrom device centric to servicecentricNye forretningsmodeller – service istedet for købCloud baserede XaaS er strategiskvigtigere og forretningsmæssigtmere attraktivt end HW da cloud erongoing – for lifeFra Wintel over iOS/Android tilPersonal Cloud – den nye slagmark
  10. 10. The PC is dying - Post PC eraPersonal Computing lives on The PC is dying • at least the 1978 gas guzzling x86 and Wintel is ARM and other efficient architectures will take over • Chips aimed at mobile OS migrate towards mobile • Win 8 UI related to Win mobile 7. • Mac and IOS merge in 2016
  11. 11. Fra online til OnSite Vi forventer svar på stedet !!
  12. 12. Enhederne og osMultiple devices 177m US online, 105m own 2+ devices
  13. 13. Enhederne -Nye materialer Printede OLED skærme Skærme, tynde som et lag maling Slutningen af årtiet Kulstof nano rør – fantastiske ledende egenskaber
  14. 14. Interaktion Tap is the new click Freeform – Kinect Electrovibration • Skaber fornemmelse af vibration og friktion, klæbrig, bumpy, tekstur Slutningen af årtiet Styring ved tankens kraft
  15. 15. Enhederne i en ”Post PC” æra Formaterne i fremtiden • Small – MID • Smartphone • Slimbook / eller tablet • Large-format display • Outdoor/public display High calorie – lean forward Low calorie – lean back Producenter vil søge at integrere med cloud
  16. 16. Morphing Screens PC, tablet, mobil grænserne udviskes
  17. 17. Smart ComputingOpbrud i værdikædenAlt ligger I skyenFrom device centric to servicecentricNye forretningsmodeller – service istedet for købCloud baserede XaaS er strategiskvigtigere og forretningsmæssigtmere attraktivt end HW da cloud erongoing – for lifeFra Wintel over iOS/Android tilPersonal Cloud – den nye slagmark
  18. 18. Samsung 120b Google 158b Nokia 22b Microsoft 201b Motorola 11b HP 48b Apple 330mGoogle køber Motorola – patenter og accessMicrosoft ? Nokia og HTCHP exit – hvem køber HP PC biz – Samsung?Hvem køber WebOS – HTC? IBM 188b Cisco 82bDen store iPad konkurrent bliver …. ?
  19. 19. Personal CloudAlle enheder integrerer til minPersonal Cloud • Organiserer og gemmer personlige og arbejds-data, dokumenter, media og kommunikation • Kan tilgås fra en bred vifte af enheder • Pga kompleksitet og datamængde, livslangt forhold ? • Apple, Microsoft, Google• HW mindre væsentlig, men med “fordele” og short cuts • Android med Google+, Flickr. • Microsoft med Bing og Facebook. • Apple med Twitter
  20. 20. Enhederne i en SmartComputing æra Low calorie – lean back
  21. 21. Ambient devicesLow calorie information displays – easyto relate toUse scenarios:Convenience and safeguards • Automating dull, repetive tasks like vacuum cleaning or avoid domestic disasters, like putting metal in the microwaveBetter communications • Freeing you from the PC, ambient devicesGetting more organized and stayinginformedHumanizing technology • Forrester
  22. 22. NFC, Share, Discover, Pay, Ticket 2014, NFC based payments acct for 1/3 of 1.13b usd worldwide mobile transactions IEmarket research est 50pct of all smartphones NFC enabled in 2014 Google
  23. 23. Bilen, printeren,firmafrugtkurven med budget Med udsigt til et finere og mere granuleret NFC baseret betalingssystem kan man forestille sig Enheder får et budget • Din bil har sit eget budget når betalingsringen kommer • Printeren har et budget – for dit forbrug • Frugtkurven giver bonus i kantinen • Dit køleskab tæller op og ned på kalorier og økonomi
  24. 24. Den digital overfrakke Foursquare, GoWalla, Stickybits Shopkicks signal hardware triggers check-ins
  25. 25. Det intelligente hjem
  26. 26. Det intelligente hjem - fra 1888 Showcase – kommende teknologi Grøn uden afsavn – halver strømforbruget, uden bøvl og uden islandske sweatere, din fryser kigger på klokken Dematerilization – slut med DVD’er, CD’er, .. Aviser, ”Beam me up Scotty” videokonf hjemme fra i høj kvalitet Care anywhere - tryghed, sikkerhed, wellness – huset kender dig, låser hoveddøren op og slår alarmen fra når du nærmer dig - eller åbner for VVS manden, ”spiller filmen igen”, checker fryseren, badeværelset leverer wellness info
  27. 27. Det intelligente hjem - fra 1888Status oktober 2011 Showcase – kommende teknologi Grøn uden afsavn – installeres nu, forventning uændret, halvering af strøm- forbrug. PC’er pensioneres, IT forenkles, belysning LED, intelligent styring af strømslugere • Hvis reduktion 50pct, så resten solceller Dematerilization – Musik OK, video er TDC IP tv baseret, aviser er på vej på iPads • Abonnementsmodeller på iPads et problem Care anywhere – Låse, alarmer og video OK
  28. 28. Android@home Android device hub Tungsten to bridge wireless devices with Android phones/tablets/tv’s/? Low power (900Mhz?)mech protocol similar to ZigBee, but able to carry audio and low res video. Up to 500 devices 50m apart Protocol will be free, developed with LED co LSGC Arduino based open source developer platform
  29. 29. Android talking DLNA provide protocols on appliance side, leaving client software and devices to inegrate as they chose – LAN needed UPNP device to device, no network needed, broader range of features Android@home provide unified client and protocol Android open accessory support – makes it possible for anything to integrate to Android, if app needed you are automatically directed to Android Market USB support available, Bluetooth support will be announced
  30. 30. Everything is Getting Smarter… Well Almost
  31. 31. Household Savings Up to 30%
  32. 32. The New Design – My HomeGreenWave Reality Company Confidential GreenWave Reality Company Confidential
  33. 33. Home Energy PortalGreenWave Reality Company Confidential GreenWave Reality Company Confidential
  34. 34. 2 grader Natsænkning om dagen – away from home funktion, og ferie ditto 2 graders sænkning når jeg ikke er der – eller om natten. Besparelser på 6-15 pct per grad i ressourceforbrug til opvarming i regulerede rum For husstanden mulig total besparelse 17-40 pct på varmeregningen (familie og single) Fraunhofer
  35. 35. Madspild I Tyskland fordærves fødevarer for 7 mia kroner om året Overflødige indkøb Bosch/Siemens 30 pct of our food is thrown away The Guardian
  36. 36. Self-tracking Quantter, a web site where you can track your daily activities using Twitter MoodScope, web based app for measuring, tracking, sharing your mood Withings Wifi Bodyscale, digital wireless body fat monitor and scale Philips DirectLife, set of activity programs A nightshirt to monitor sleep • NYX devices, embedded with fabric electronics, monitor breathing patterns • Chip in pocket process data to determine REM, light, deep sleep • Launch 2012, 100usd Wearable stress sensor • Measuring skin conductance to and thus stress level • Used for tailoring treatments of autistic children, people with post traumatic stress disorders and drug addicts • Q Sensor from Affectiva
  37. 37. ArbejdspladsenThe Anywhere Enterprise Domicilets død? Multiperson activities Cloud workspaces Roam, Atlanta • Members live in 10km radius • Corporate employees (IBM), feelance entrepreneurs, small business The Hat Factory, San Francisco • The Hat Factory is a coworking space located in San Franciscos Dogpatch
  38. 38. DevicesCorporate goesmobile By 2015, half of the devices on corporate networks will be mobile – Gartner Mobile business apps flourish at IBM, Google Google has created an internal mobile app store
  39. 39. Personal Computing Scenario 2016 Devices Most individuals will carry smartphone, knowledge workers also a tablet/lightweight laptop Will be robust compute devices able to work without network Devices will “dock” wirelessly with stationary computers at home/work obtaining • Additional graphics power, compute muscle • Easy integration into local systems and peripherals • Extended displays and projectors • Microsoft Craig Mundie / Forrester
  40. 40. Personal Computing Scenario 2016 Sensing Detailed awareness of context, situation, location and user status 2016 devices will be able to read emotions, identify owners, detect and classify nearby individuals and their devices and owners vital signs Will be able to respond to voice and gestures Microsoft Craig Mundie / Forrester
  41. 41. From the desktop to the room Orchestration of information flows via personal cloud service Information input or changed on one device is synced to all other A richer and more immersive experience A lot more displays, on surfaces and on the walls Using speech, gesture and touch in a more integrated way Graphical interfaces will not disappear, but computers may present themselves in a personified way Microsoft Craig Mundie / Forrester
  42. 42. Real Time Reality Mining The emerging sensor web From model based targeting to Real time reality mining of information shadow of people, goods and objects From cookies to real world tracking. Merging together web and data of individuals life streams. From microblogging to geo positional / motional data Where next: Path intelligence app, guiding in shopping center, based on cell phone data also used to optimize shop layout. Citysense app.
  43. 43. Real Time Occupant Feedback
  44. 44. Smart Office Building Interoperability of building information systems Optimization of system set points using energy simulation Demand Response Technologies and “smart grid” integration Real Time Occupant Feedback The raw data of how many people are occupying a space in real-time will allow the precise alignment of occupancy and energy use, and create new metrics for space planning
  45. 45. The Building Information Network Providing Opportunity with One Network Building Systems Lighting Tenant Services ElevatorsHigh Speed Internet 24/7 MonitoringWireless HVAC SensorsUnifiedCommunications Fire ControlInteractive Media Dashboards Video SecurityDigital Signage ` ``` ` Submit Energy Management Monitoring Control MaintenanceIP Telephony Management Presentation_ID © 2010 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential 45
  46. 46. Typical Results Typical floor in San Jose Traditional Cisco Connected WorkplaceUsable Area 49,000 sq. ft. 49,000 sq. ft. 70% individual 30% individualWork Space 30% collaborative 70% collaborativeUse Pattern Traditional, Assigned Flexible, Group AssignedDesign Capacity 300 (fixed) 440 (nominal)Enclosed Meeting Spaces 16 72Usable Area / Capacity* 163 sq. ft. 111 sq. ft.Chargeback per Employee $5,162 per year $2,596 per year Presentation_ID © 2010 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential 46
  47. 47. workstation den recreation audio privacyPresentation_ID © 2010 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential 47
  48. 48. The Banyan Building: Built for Sustainability Environmental Economic Above LEED Standards: Annual Payback of:  25% above for lighting energy  OpEx savings of ~15%  27% above for water  Employee productivity of +9% consumption  Energy efficiency of +30%  31% above for cooling energy Total Savings: 1005 MWh  Enhanced air quality by 30% Social Collaboration Areas Cafeteria Child Care Centre © 2006 Cisco Systems, Inc. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential 48
  49. 49. Smart Work Center Smart Work Center (SWC) offers a flexible and user-centric work space with enhanced communication technologies and a community inclusive service setting, designed to improve employee collaboration and productivity.Presentation_ID © 2010 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential 49
  50. 50. Proximity NFC • Parring af devices, overførsel af data, betjening Mobil via Wifi, Bluetooth eller mobilnet • ”her er jeg” tænd, sluk, åbne, lukke Hus/hjem/lokaler ved at du er gået, hvor mange er der i bygningen/lokalet Varme, lys, dørlåse, alarmer
  51. 51. KonklusionSmart Computing • Data i alt, fra alt, overalt - Sensorer, RFID, NFC • Sammenhæng i systemerne - Realtime Reality Mining • Smartphone som remote control, databærer, position, transaktionDet intelligente hjem • Android@home eller Greenwave Reality, en standard til enhver lejlighed, sub-Zigbee, Jennet, Android / åbne platforme • Belysning med chipset i soklen, NXPArbejdspladsen • Real-time Reality Mining, smart office building • Ved hvor mange og hvem der er i bygningen • Cisco, Banyan, 15pct OPEX besparelse, 30pct bedre på energi, 9pct bedre medarbejder effektivitet. MEN Smart Work Center.. • Proximity styring, NFC og mobilpreben@ilab.dk
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