Philip Lohrmann speaks as a representative of the civilian-layman-environmental enthusiast margin and is currently a construction project manager working out of Shanghai. Philip’s educational background is in Civil Engineering with a focus on the environmental and structural disciplines, particularly water resources. His work experience includes LEED projects in Shanghai, river restoration projects on the West Coast of the United States, and water quality studies in Indiana and Zhejiang. He has also served as a volunteer with community-led local green energy initiatives, disaster relief efforts in the wake of Hurricane Katrina, and the non-profit organization Green Empowerment which conceives and implements water, energy and bio-sphere protection projects in South America and Southeast Asia. His turnoffs are end-of-the-tailpipe solutions, end-of-the-conveyor belt quality checks, and need-of-the-moment firefighting.
2. Background – The Startling Figures
- Water Resources for China
25%
of
the
world’s
average
water
per
capita
33%
of
600
cities
are
“water
scarce”
17%
“badly
scarce”
of
water
70%
Lakes
and
Rivers
are
contaminated
45%
of
Waters
graded
IV
or
worse
270
Million
People
with
no
access
to
potable
water
Shanghai
3. Background – The Startling Figures
- Water Imbalance
Spatial
Imbalance
Floods
in
the
South
Drought
in
the
North
Natural
Disasters
from
1980
-
2010
~$26
Trillion
$62
Billion
(~3.81
Trillion
CNY)
spent
on
N-‐S
Water
Diversion
Project
Temporal
Imbalance
Most
rain
comes
during
seasonal
downpours
~$31
Billion
budgeted
for
3
Gorges
Dam,
still
insuf]icient
to
effectively
tame
the
Yangtze
http://www.wilsoncenter.org/publication/quenching-‐the-‐dragons-‐thirst-‐the-‐
south-‐
north-‐water-‐transfer-‐project8212old-‐plumbing-‐for
http://www.preventionweb.net/english/countries/statistics/?cid=36
https://www.chinadialogue.net/article/show/single/en/5108-‐Floods-‐test-‐Three-‐Gorges-‐
~$21
Trillion
~$157
Trillion
~$48
Trillion
4. Background – The Startling Figures
- Flood RiskChina
overall
is
high
]lood
risk
1998
>
238
million
people
affected
by
major
]lood
disasters
Damage
=
30Billion
USD
(~1.8
Trillion
CNY)
1991
>
210
million
people
affected
by
major
]looding
1931
~
3.7
million
people
died
due
to
]looding
Of
40
Asian
cities
most
vulnerable
to
major
]looding,
1/2
are
in
China
Shanghai
recently
ranked
at
greatest
risk
of
major
cities
in
the
world
In
2003
17,000
residents
in
Anhui
evacuated
so
that
dikes
could
be
blown
and
]loodwaters
released
before
joining
the
Yangtze
River
"A
1-‐in-‐100
year
]lood
in
Shanghai
would
lead
to
widespread
damage,
with
serious
consequences
for
the
city,
across
China
and,
through
wider
economic
links,
for
the
whole
world,“
~
Researcher
@
U.
of
Leeds
http://www.statista.com/statistics/267750/economic-‐damage-‐caused-‐by-‐]loods-‐
http://www.eurekalert.org/pub_releases/2012-‐08/uol-‐frr082112.php
worldwide/
https://www.chinadialogue.net/blog/5126-‐Shanghai-‐]lood-‐risk-‐or-‐]lood-‐safe-‐/en
https://www.chinadialogue.net/article/show/single/en/5148-‐Sinking-‐Shanghai-‐not-‐prepared-‐to-‐admit-‐climate-‐change-‐threat
5. Solution! . . .?
At
the
center
of
China’s
solution
to
multiple
problems
is
Urbanization
People
in
China
without
reliable
access
to
potable
water:
~300,000,000
Estimated
“]loating
population”:
~250,000,000
Planned
migration
to
cities
by
2025:
~250-‐400
Million
.
.
.
Coincidence?
6.
7. Where to begin?
Overdrawn
Natural
Capital
Social
Inequality
Water
Stress
Energy
Demand
Pollution
The
many
dimensions
of
water
ills
are
interconnected
in
very
complicated
ways,
a
solution
can
only
be
found
by
going
to
the
roots
of
the
problem
8. The beginning
China’s
water
challenges
have
become
chronic
problems
over
the
centuries
due
to
mismanagement
of
natural
resources
and
continued
destruction
of
ecosystems
fueled
by
unsustainable
growth
Natural
Resource
Innovations
/
Migrations
Jevons
Paradox
Resource
Scarcity
Water
Needed
Growth
Exceed
Capacity
Industrialization
Energy
production
pollutes
water
&
consumes
ecosystems
Energy
Needed
to
get
water
Natural
Resources
consumed
to
make
energy
9. Not only China - For Example
2007
2008
3.1
km
Watch
a
video:
http://www.wearepowershift.org/healing-‐walks
12. Dow Chemical on how to achieve
China’s water requirements . . .
Low
Energy
Membrane
Technology
Desalination
Energy
Reducing
Technologies
Reverse
Osmosis
Membrane
Ultra-‐]iltration
Fibers
Ion
Exchange
Resin
Beads
13. To address China’s problems, we need
a cradle-to-cradle design, brainstorm:
Captures
and
stores
rainwater
Filters
rainwater
and
wastewater
Is100%
recyclable
Stabilizes
soils
Filters
airborne
pollution
including
]ine
particulates
Is
an
appropriate
technology
that
can
be
installed
and
maintained
with
little
or
no
technical
training
14. And some other goals with consideration
for Global Climate Change:
No
fossil
fuels
required
-‐
solar
powered
Changes
carbon
dioxide
into
oxygen
gas
Production
is
completely
carbon
neutral
Captures
and
stores
carbon
Reduces
local
temperatures
Provides
shelter
from
sun,
wind,
and
rain
Regulates
temperature
&
rainfall
]luctuations
15. . . . And it would be nice if:
Increases
in
value
and
becomes
more
ef]icient
with
age
Aesthetically
pleasing
and
comes
in
a
variety
of
shapes
sizes
and
colors
When
decommissioned
it
can
be
up-‐cycled
to
become
multiple
useful
products
Compatible
with
other
hardware
platforms
Self-‐repairing
Self-‐reproducing
Can
produce
food
as
a
byproduct
Can
provide
habitat
for
a
variety
of
creatures
It
is
fun
for
children
and
adults
Helps
]ight
cancer
in
a
variety
of
ways
16. Oh, A Tree
30.5
m
(100
feet)
Other
plants
Leaves
Mulch
Humus
Earth
+
Roots
2.5
mm
of
rainfall;
1.8
m3
of
rain
captured
Can
capture
rains
or
]lood
waters
equivalent
to
57,000
gallons
(215
m3
)
of
water
Ecosystem
17. Oh, A Tree
Andy
Lipkis,
President
of
Tree
People,
on
how
to
solve
Los
Angeles
water
woes
Storm
Water
Pollution
Water
Supply
The
current
Approach
Flood
Control
Sanitation
Health-‐
care
1. Rain
provides
enough
water
to
meet
50%
of
L.A.’s
water
needs
2. L.A.
City
Stormwater
Management
collects
and
pre-‐treats
the
rainwater
through
engineering
measures
3. L.A.
Country
Flood
Control
gets
all
the
rainwater
water
out
of
the
city
as
quickly
as
possible
4. L.A.
City
pump’s
water
from
Colorado
River,
Owens
Valley,
LA
Aqueduct,
Sacramento
River
Delta,
and
others
5. In
the
late
1990s
L.A.
was
planning
to
spend
$20
Billion
to
upgrade
the
infrastructure,
including
a
$47
Million
storm
drain
in
Sun
Valley
Neighborhood
18. What Andy did
Retro]it
Suburban
Home
to
capture
100
year
storm
Convinced
School
to
invest
in
Smart
Green
Infrastructure
Instead
of
repaving
the
parking
lot
Convinced
county
to
install
$200M
urban
community
forest
in
Sun
Valley
rather
than
a
$47M
stormdrain
Released
Second
Nature-
the
result
of
100
Engineers
&
Architects
and
200
Scientists
and
Economists
how
Urban
Forests
can
provide
a
better,
more
sustainable
future
(It
would
save
$300M)
Read
their
story:
www.treepeople.org
19. The Urban Forest System
Rain
becomes
storm
water
Storm
water
carrying
pollutants
]lows
into
swales,
gardens,
and
lawns
First
Flush
pollutants
treated
in
underground
system
onsite
%
water
in]iltrated
Ground
water
recharge
(Future)
Smart
controls
can
divert
water
to
balance
the
system
or
purge
it
before
a
]lood
Water
available
for
later
use
Filtered
water
goes
into
underground
cisterns
20. Crenshaw Highschool, Los Angeles, CA
The Benefit Analysis
(excluding socioeconomic benefits)
Total
Estimated
Cost:
$1,600,000
Total
Value/year:
$229,100
Return
Period
(assuming
5%
interest):
Less
than
9
Years
22. The Development Model Extended
~100
dams
under
construction
along
the
Yangtze
and
its
tributaries
in
2013
~$48
Trillion
Market
in
2010
for
water-‐
related
capital
expenditures
25. More water evaporates from reservoirs
than is consumed by humans
http://www.unep.org/dewa/vitalwater/
article46.html
26. Damage
to
Undo
Water
Storage
function
of
China’s
forests
worth
RMB
7.5T;
3x
Value
of
the
Timber
in
those
forests
Yangtze
长江
*In
1949
**Numbers
have
increased
today
but
primarily
2nd
growth
timber
worth
only
a
fraction
of
the
original
growth
***
Shennongjia
神农架
27. Forests Are Good for Big Business
CDP
Global
Water
Report
2012;
The
Carbon
Disclosure
Project;
Deloitte
28. Takeaways – What can we do?
Attitudes
Think
more
critically
and
educate
yourselves
about
the
problems
(Start
by
readying
China’s
Water
Crisis
《中国水危机》,
by
Ma
Jun)
Realize
that
you
are
a
player
in
the
system,
and
own
it
Day
to
day
behavior
Reduce
consumption
of
meats
and
water-‐intensive
crops
(check
out
www.waterfootprint.org)
Reduce
use
of
water
Reduce
use
of
electricity
(39%
of
your
water
footprint
is
for
electricity)
Action
Plant
trees,
trees,
and
more
trees,
or
donate
to
reforestation
efforts,
fungi
as
well
as
native
shrubs
and
grasses
can
keep
the
tree
company
Start
conservation
programs
in
your
of]ice
or
community,
anyone
can
do
it,
see
how
Andy
Lipkis
did
it
(
Check
out
www.ariesonline.org
(Arti:icial
Intelligence
for
Ecosystem
Services)
&
www.naturalcapitalproject.org
(InVEST
-
INtegrated
Valuation
of
Ecosystem
Services
and
Tradeoffs
)
29. How can our cities meet our
increasing water demands
Increase
ef]iciency
to
reduce
water
and
power
consumption
Retro]it
infrastructure
to
utilize
rainwater
and
prevent
pollution
of
water
resources
Mobilize
our
technical,
]inancial,
and
creative
resources
towards
repairing
the
damage
of
the
last
600
years