Forecasting of Damage Length of Maritime Structures Caused by Typhoons Based on Improved CP Method

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International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC Davos 2010 Davos, Switzerland May 30 – June 3, 2010 Ryusuke Hashimura Department of EcoDesign, Sojo University, Japan Forecasting of Damage Length of Maritime Structures Caused by Typhoons Based on Improved CP METHOD

IDRC 2010, Forecasting of Damage Length of MS by Improved CP METHOD ,[object Object],[object Object]

IDRC 2010, Forecasting of Damage Length of MS by Improved CP METHOD ,[object Object]

IDRC 2010, Forecasting of Damage Length of MS by Improved CP METHOD Fig.1 The 4 coastal regions locate in the Kumamoto Prefecture In Kumamoto Prefecture, the coasts face open and closed seas. The open sea is East China Sea. The closed seas are Ariake and Yatsushhiro seas.

IDRC 2010, Forecasting of Damage Length of MS by Improved CP METHOD Fig.1 The 4 coastal regions locate in the Kumamoto Prefecture In this paper, we divided the coastline into 4 coastal regions . Each coast has different topographical characteristics.

IDRC 2010, Forecasting of Damage Length of MS by Improved CP METHOD Fig. 3 Surrounded area including Kyushu Island All typhoons had passed through an area delineated by a latitude of 30 ° and 35°N and a longitude of 127˚ and 132°E in the past 25 years from 1980 to 2004. The number of typhoons passing through the delineated area is 74 .

IDRC 2010, Forecasting of Damage Length of MS by Improved CP METHOD ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

IDRC 2010, Forecasting of Damage Length of MS by Improved CP METHOD ,[object Object],Fig. 2 13 courses of typhoons

IDRC 2010, Forecasting of Damage Length of MS by Improved CP METHOD ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Fig. 2 13 courses of typhoons

[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],IDRC 2010, Forecasting of Damage Length of MS by Improved CP METHOD

IDRC 2010, Forecasting of Damage Length of MS by Improved CP METHOD ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

IDRC 2010, Forecasting of Damage Length of MS by Improved CP METHOD ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

IDRC 2010, Forecasting of Damage Length of MS by Improved CP METHOD ,[object Object],The total length of damage induced by a coming typhoon for a coast can be estimated as follows:

IDRC 2010, Forecasting of Damage Length of MS by Improved CP METHOD ,[object Object],(3) Then the maximum sensitivity value of central pressure is determined from the path and the coast based on this table 2.

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Forecasting of Damage Length of Maritime Structures Caused by Typhoons Based on Improved CP Method

1. International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC Davos 2010 Davos, Switzerland May 30 – June 3, 2010 Ryusuke Hashimura Department of EcoDesign, Sojo University, Japan Forecasting of Damage Length of Maritime Structures Caused by Typhoons Based on Improved CP METHOD

4. IDRC 2010, Forecasting of Damage Length of MS by Improved CP METHOD Fig.1 The 4 coastal regions locate in the Kumamoto Prefecture In Kumamoto Prefecture, the coasts face open and closed seas. The open sea is East China Sea. The closed seas are Ariake and Yatsushhiro seas.

5. IDRC 2010, Forecasting of Damage Length of MS by Improved CP METHOD Fig.1 The 4 coastal regions locate in the Kumamoto Prefecture In this paper, we divided the coastline into 4 coastal regions . Each coast has different topographical characteristics.

6. IDRC 2010, Forecasting of Damage Length of MS by Improved CP METHOD Fig. 3 Surrounded area including Kyushu Island All typhoons had passed through an area delineated by a latitude of 30 ° and 35°N and a longitude of 127˚ and 132°E in the past 25 years from 1980 to 2004. The number of typhoons passing through the delineated area is 74 .

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Forecasting of Damage Length of Maritime Structures Caused by Typhoons Based on Improved CP Method

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