04.2012, REPORT, Polit Barometer (english version), Sant Maral Foundation
1. “SANT MARAL” Foundation
POLITBAROMETER 11(44), April 2012
The “Sant Maral” foundation presents the results of the March-April 2012 survey. The
representative sample of 5020 respondents from the capital Ulan Bator and 21 aymags (sample
distributed proportionally to the aymags population) was collected from March 16 to April 14
Tabulations are band by Ulan Bator, Countryside and Nationwide areas when necessary.
Director
Voting intention
1. “If elections were held tomorrow, would you participate?”
Countryside Ulan Bator Nationwide
“Yes” 79.0 75.2 77.3
“No” 13.3 16.0 14.4
(No answer) .6 1.2 .8
(Don’t know) 7.2 7.7 7.4
2. “If Parliament Elections were held tomorrow, which party would you
vote1
for?”
Nationwide
Countryside Ulan Bator % Valid %
2
Mongolian People’s Party 18.0 14.4 16.5 31.9
Democratic Party 17.2 17.5 17.3 33.4
MPRP-MNDP union
3
5.5 7.3 6.3 12.1
Civic Will - Green Party 1.2 3.0 1.9 3.7
Republican Party .2 .9 .5 1.0
Other Party 1.7 .8 1.3 2.6
Independent 5.3 11.9 8.0 15.4
Depends on a candidate 7.6 6.3 7.0
100.0(No answer) 11.1 14.3 12.4
(Don’t know) 32.3 23.5 28.7
1
The vote distribution in our survey is based on: one voter - one vote.
2
Excluding “No answer”, “Depends on a candidate” and “Don’t know”
3
Only two parties were member of the union at the time of the survey. MPRP is a new party formed by ex-
president Enhbayar. Mongolian National Democratic Party(MNDP) is renamed New National Party. The union has
the partnership agreement with the Republican Party and other small parties.
2. 2
ELECTIONS 2012 block
i. In your opinion was it right or wrong to dismantle Coalition
government before Elections?
Countryside Ulan Bator Nationwide
“Right” 22.9 24.6 23.6
“Wrong” 44.8 43.0 44.0
(No answer) 3.1 2.2 2.7
(Don’t know) 29.2 30.3 29.7
ii. To improve the political situation should we replace the
composition of the current Parliament?
Countryside Ulan Bator Nationwide
Yes, replace all 26.2 27.3 26.6
Replace the majority 36.2 35.5 35.9
Replace some members 23.4 20.7 22.3
Keep it as it is 5.8 6.3 6.0
(No answer) 1.7 3.1 2.3
(Don’t know) 6.7 7.2 6.9
iii. In your opinion, is the new Elections law in Mongolia
protecting interests of voters, or it is more in favour of
lawmakers interest?
Countryside Ulan Bator Nationwide
It is in favour of voters 4.6 6.4 5.4
It is in favour of lawmakers 46.4 41.3 44.3
It is in interest of both 18.9 23.8 20.9
(No answer) .4 .6 .5
(Don’t know) 29.6 27.9 28.9
iv. In your opinion, do we need Electoral Revolution to make
qualitative improvement in Parliament activity?
Countryside Ulan Bator Nationwide
Yes 70.5 68.0 69.4
No 6.9 7.5 7.2
(No answer) 2.7 3.5 3.0
(Don’t know) 19.9 21.0 20.4
3. 3
V. Do you approve or disapprove following
statements
Approve
4
Disapprove
DK
Noanswers
1. The present economic and political system allows
oligarchic clans to have too much power
88.3 5.0 5.5 1.1
2. The political situation in Mongolia is stagnant. The
political elite does not want to provide any changes
that may threaten their position
85.4 5.0 8.2 1.3
3. The members of parliament have alienated them-
selves from the people who elected them. They are
no longer true representatives of the people.
89.3 5.1 4.6 1.0
4. Leadership of the two main political parties has lost
the support of the party grassroots
81.3 7.4 9.6 1.7
5. The current system of nominating candidates by
parties is not in accordance to the internal party
democracy. This situation prevents new people to
enter politics
79.7 5.3 13.4 1.6
6. The state bureaucracy is becoming unbearable to
the private business and citizens
91.4 3.8 3.6 1.2
7. The gap between riches and poor people is too
wide. It may lead to civil unrests
88.0 6.4 4.4 1.2
8. The boom in mining will solve all problems. 58.3 31.8 8.5 1.4
VI. If it happens to you during Elections to choose between two
candidates: a man and a woman, and if both have equal qualities,
what will be a chance that you will vote for the woman?
Countryside Ulan Bator Nationwide
More likely 53.0 46.8 50.5
No difference 28.9 33.3 30.7
Less likely 7.0 11.6 9.0
(No answer) 1.6 .9
(Don’t know) 9.4 8.3 9.0
4
Includes Fully approve, Approve, Rather approve. Same way Disapprove includes Rather disapprove, Disap-
prove, Complete disapprove.
4. 4
.
13. Rating of socio-political or economic problems in Mongolia today
(nationwide)
1. Unemployment 33.4
2. Standard of living poverty income 17.7
3. Price increase Inflation 16.4
4. Law enforcement 6.3
5. Corruption 4.6
6. Economy manufacturingmining 4.5
7. Education 4.0
8. Ecology Environment 3.2
9. Social Justice 3.1
10. State administration 2.2
18. Government greatest success
Dealing with:
19. Government biggest failure
Dealing with
1. Agriculture 25.1 1. Price increase Inflation 21.4
2. Economy manufactur-
ingmining
10.5
2. Growing of unemployment
20.2
3. Education
8.1
3. Declining of standard of liv-
ing poverty income
12.1
4. Reduction of unemployment 3.2 4. Corruption 9.3
5. Improving of standard of living
poverty income
2.6
5. Law enforcement
8.3
6. Ecology Environment
1.9
6. Economy manufactur-
ingmining
5.9
7. Corruption 1.8 7. Social Justice 4.1
8. Election/Election promises 1.8 8. Ecology Environment 3.7
9. Social Justice 1.0 9. State administration 3.4
10. Price increase Inflation .9 10. Election/Election promises 1.6
11. Law enforcement .8 11. Education 1.6
12. State administration
.6
12. Agriculture (Goats
/Cashmere)
.3
20. How do you approve or disapprove the following statement: “In
principal you can trust that the government is doing the right things
for citizens”?
Countryside Ulan Bator Nationwide
Fully approve 9.4 4.9 7.5
Rather approve 41.7 43.3 42.3
Rather disapprove 23.2 28.2 25.3
Totally disapprove 20.1 18.8 19.6
(No answer) .8 1.1 .9
(Don’t know) 4.8 3.8 4.4
5. 5
35. Confidence in state institutions (nationwide)
President Parliament Judiciary
system
Gvt
admin
Political
parties
Civil
society
confident 24.0 11.7 11.5 23.3 5.9 20.8
rather confident 34.4 32.1 27.2 40.0 26.0 34.2
rather not confident 18.3 27.1 24.1 18.9 26.5 18.2
not confident 17.6 22.6 29.6 13.5 32.3 16.5
(No answer) 1.3 1.4 1.6 1.1 1.9 1.6
(Don’t know) 4.4 5.2 6.0 3.2 7.4 8.7
41.Which country is the best partner for Mongolia?
Cumulative percentage, valid cases only.
Countryside Ulan Bator Nationwide
Russia 75.1% 59.6% 68.2%
China 20.4% 18.6% 19.6%
USA 24.8% 40.5% 31.8%
European Union 10.9% 16.9% 13.5%
Japan 20.3% 24.2% 22.0%
South Korea 11.1% 12.3% 11.6%
Others 5.9% 8.7% 7.2%
Total 168.4% 180.7% 173.9%
6. 6
54. “Whom of the prominent persons in the country would you like to
name; who, in your opinion, should play an important role in politics?”
(No names were suggested, each respondent could mention up to three persons. Responses are
listed here in a ranking order by percentage of cases. The cumulative percentage could be up to
300%.)
Top 10 politicians
55. in Ulan Bator 56. in Countryside
1. Ganbaatar 29.6% 1. Ganbaatar 23.4%
2. Enhbayar 17.1% 2. Enkhbayar 17.4%
3. Elbegdorj 14.8% 3. Elbegdorj 14.6%
4. Batbold S. 11.7% 4. Batbold SB 12.8%
5. Altay 11.0% 5. Oyuun 7.6%
6. Oyun 9.9% 6. Bagabandi 7.0%
7. Bagababdi 8.5% 7. Battulga Kh. 7.0%
8. Battulga Kh. 7.9% 8. S. Bayar 6.7%
9. Bayar S. 6.9% 9. Jargalsaikhan 4.5%
10.Temuujin. 6.9% 10.Temuujin 4.2%
- NATIONWIDE -
25.8
17.3
14.7
12.4
8.5 7.6 7.3 6.9 6.8
5.3
0
10
20
30
Ganbaatar
Enhbayar
Elbegdorj
BatboldS
Oyun
Bagabandi
BattulgaKh
Altay
BayarS.
Jargalsaihan