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SMF projections of public
attitudes
To what extent corruption is affecting your personal
life, business environment, political life?
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.5
4
Percentage of bribe giving households
in last 3 monthes
26%
28%
23%
22%
19%
21%
15%
20%
16%
13%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
Mar-06 Sep-06 Mar-07 Sep-07 Mar-08 Sep-08 Mar-09 Sep-09 Mar-10 Sep-10
Which party will you vote for?
September 2010
21
21
88
44
MPRP
Democratic Party
other parties
Independent
Missing/ DK
November 2001
44
27
8
14
8
MPRP
Democratic Party
other parties
Independent
Missing/ DK
Confidence in state institutions (nationwide)
November 2001
President Parliament Judiciary
system
State
organisations
Political
parties
very confident 17 9 4 3 4
rather confident 48 41 19 29 26
rather not
confident
15 23 36 32 34
totally not
confident
6 7 19 11 13
no answer 14 20 23 26 23
Confidence in state institutions (nationwide)
2010 September
President Parliament Judiciary
system
Gvt
admin
Political
parties
Civil
society
confident
26.1 16.0 11.6 18.6 7.2 19.2
rather confident
36.5 36.5 30.3 43.6 29.8 37.9
rather not confident
18.7 28.4 33.5 23.4 30.1 23.1
not confident
14.8 16.2 21.3 11.7 28.4 13.4
(No answer)
.9 .9 1.1 .8 1.2 .9
(Don’t know)
3.0 2.0 2.2 1.9 3.3 5.5
In your opinion is the MPRP headed in the right or wrong
direction?
Countryside Nationwide
Right direction 27.1 24.2 25.9
Wrong direction 36.1 39.6 37.5
(No answer) 3.3 2.9 3.2
(Don’t know) 33.5 33.3 33.4
In your opinion is the DP headed in the right or wrong
direction?
Countryside Nationwide
Right direction 30.8 21.9 27.3
Wrong direction 31.5 40.4 35.1
(No answer) 4.0 4.0 4.0
(Don’t know) 33.6 33.8 33.7
Ulaanbaatar National surveys
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
Mar.
2007
Oct.
2007
Supporters of a
liberal
market economy
38% 34% 27%
19% 15% 18% 17% 18% 13% 12% 17% 13%
Supporters of a
social
market economy
25% 42% 33% 35% 38% 43%
23% 28% 18%
Supporters of
democratic
socialism
18% 23% 22%
Passive system
supporters
30% 22% 37% 28% 19% 24% 29% 21% 13% 29% 11% 19%
Pessimistic group 26% 33% 25% 18% 14% 15% 14% 19% 23%
18% 21% 28%
Group of
alienated citizens
6% 11% 11% 9% 8% 9% 5% 4% 8%
Table 4 Spectrum of Political Orientation
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
Supporters of a liberal
market economy
19% 15% 18% 19% 17% 11% 11% 14%
Supporters of a social
market economy
19% 37% 30% 31% 34% 39%
15% 16%
Supporters of democratic
socialism
17% 15%
Passive system supporters 29% 24% 25% 28% 22% 14% 35% 21%
Pessimistic group 23% 17% 20% 17% 22% 26%
22% 34%
Group of alienated citizens 10% 7% 7% 5% 5% 10%
Table 5 Development of Political Orientation in Ulaanbaatar
Data for 2007 is from the latest survey, conducted in October
Party preferences of
Supporters of a
liberal market
economy
For comparison:
Party preferences of all
respondents (average)
Difference between
group and average
(percentage points)
April
2006
March
2007
Oct.
2007
April
2006
March
2007
Oct.
2007
April
2006
March
2007
Oct.
2007
MPRP 51% 44% 44% 32% 34% 34% +19 +10 +10
DP 23% 29% 27% 27% 35% 32% -4 -6 -5
Motherl.-MDNSP 3% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% +2 0 0
CWP 4% 5% 7% 6% 6% 5% -2 -1 +2
RP 1% 2% 1% 1% 1% 2% 0 +1 -1
"Coalition" 3% 3% 5% 6% 4% 3% -3 -1 +2
Other party 1% 5% 6% 1% 4% 5% 0 +1 +1
No party 15% 12% 9% 24% 16% 17% -9 -4 -8
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Party preferences of
Supporters of a
social market
economy
For comparison:
Party preferences of
all respondents
(average)
Difference between
group and average
(percentage points)
April
2006
March
2007
Oct.
2007
April
2006
March
2007
Oct.
2007
April
2006
March
2007
Oct.
2007
MPRP 47% 46% 51% 32% 34% 34% +15 +12 +17
DP 26% 36% 27% 27% 35% 32% -1 +1 -5
Motherl.-MDNSP 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 0 0 0
CWP 3% 6% 5% 6% 6% 5% -3 0 0
RP 2% 0% 0% 1% 1% 2% +1 -1 -1
"Coalition" 8% 4% 5% 6% 4% 3% +2 0 +2
Other party 0% 2% 2% 1% 4% 5% -1 -2 -3
No party 13% 5% 8% 24% 16% 17% -11 -11 -9
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Party preferences of
Supporters of
democratic
socialism
For comparison:
Party preferences of
all respondents
(average)
Difference between
group and average
(percentage points)
April
2006
March
2007
Oct.
2007
April
2006
March
2007
Oct.
2007
April
2006
March
2007
Oct.
2007
MPRP 40% 37% 35% 32% 34% 34% +8 +3 +1
DP 24% 36% 33% 27% 35% 32% -3 +1 +1
Motherl.-MDNSP 0% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 0 0 0
CWP 3% 6% 4% 6% 6% 5% -3 0 -1
RP 1% 1% 3% 1% 1% 2% 0 0 +1
"Coalition" 8% 3% 2% 6% 4% 3% +2 +1 -1
Other party 0% 2% 7% 1% 4% 5% -1 -2 +2
No party 23% 13% 15% 24% 16% 17% -1 -3 -2
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Party preferences of
Passive system
supporters
For comparison:
Party preferences of
all respondents
(average)
Difference between
group and average
(percentage points)
April
2006
March
2007
Oct.
2007
April
2006
March
2007
Oct.
2007
April
2006
March
2007
Oct.
2007
MPRP 18% 14% 24% 32% 34% 34% -14 -20 -10
DP 31% 43% 40% 27% 35% 32% +4 +8 +8
Motherl.-MDNSP 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 0 0 0
CWP 8% 9% 6% 6% 6% 5% +2 +3 +1
RP 1% 1% 2% 1% 1% 2% 0 0 0
"Coalition" 6% 6% 3% 6% 4% 3% 0 +2 0
Other party 3% 3% 3% 1% 4% 5% +2 -1 -2
No party 32% 23% 20% 24% 16% 17% +8 +7 +3
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Party preferences
of the
Pessimistic group
For comparison:
Party preferences of
all respondents
(average)
Difference between
group and average
(percentage points)
April
2006
March
2007
Oct.
2007
April
2006
March
2007
Oct.
2007
April
2006
March
2007
Oct.
2007
MPRP 16% 14% 19% 32% 34% 34% -16 -20 -20
DP 30% 31% 33% 27% 35% 32% +3 -4 +2
Motherl.-MDNSP 1% 1% 0% 1% 1% 1% 0 0 -1
CWP 11% 8% 6% 6% 6% 5% +5 +2 +1
RP 1% 3% 2% 1% 1% 2% 0 +2 0
"Coalition" 4% 3% 2% 6% 4% 3% -2 -1 -1
Other party 0% 6% 6% 1% 4% 5% -1 +2 +1
No party 36% 35% 30% 24% 16% 17% +12 +19 +13
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

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  • 1. SMF projections of public attitudes
  • 2. To what extent corruption is affecting your personal life, business environment, political life? 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4
  • 3. Percentage of bribe giving households in last 3 monthes 26% 28% 23% 22% 19% 21% 15% 20% 16% 13% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% Mar-06 Sep-06 Mar-07 Sep-07 Mar-08 Sep-08 Mar-09 Sep-09 Mar-10 Sep-10
  • 4. Which party will you vote for? September 2010 21 21 88 44 MPRP Democratic Party other parties Independent Missing/ DK November 2001 44 27 8 14 8 MPRP Democratic Party other parties Independent Missing/ DK
  • 5. Confidence in state institutions (nationwide) November 2001 President Parliament Judiciary system State organisations Political parties very confident 17 9 4 3 4 rather confident 48 41 19 29 26 rather not confident 15 23 36 32 34 totally not confident 6 7 19 11 13 no answer 14 20 23 26 23
  • 6. Confidence in state institutions (nationwide) 2010 September President Parliament Judiciary system Gvt admin Political parties Civil society confident 26.1 16.0 11.6 18.6 7.2 19.2 rather confident 36.5 36.5 30.3 43.6 29.8 37.9 rather not confident 18.7 28.4 33.5 23.4 30.1 23.1 not confident 14.8 16.2 21.3 11.7 28.4 13.4 (No answer) .9 .9 1.1 .8 1.2 .9 (Don’t know) 3.0 2.0 2.2 1.9 3.3 5.5
  • 7. In your opinion is the MPRP headed in the right or wrong direction? Countryside Nationwide Right direction 27.1 24.2 25.9 Wrong direction 36.1 39.6 37.5 (No answer) 3.3 2.9 3.2 (Don’t know) 33.5 33.3 33.4 In your opinion is the DP headed in the right or wrong direction? Countryside Nationwide Right direction 30.8 21.9 27.3 Wrong direction 31.5 40.4 35.1 (No answer) 4.0 4.0 4.0 (Don’t know) 33.6 33.8 33.7
  • 8. Ulaanbaatar National surveys 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 Mar. 2007 Oct. 2007 Supporters of a liberal market economy 38% 34% 27% 19% 15% 18% 17% 18% 13% 12% 17% 13% Supporters of a social market economy 25% 42% 33% 35% 38% 43% 23% 28% 18% Supporters of democratic socialism 18% 23% 22% Passive system supporters 30% 22% 37% 28% 19% 24% 29% 21% 13% 29% 11% 19% Pessimistic group 26% 33% 25% 18% 14% 15% 14% 19% 23% 18% 21% 28% Group of alienated citizens 6% 11% 11% 9% 8% 9% 5% 4% 8% Table 4 Spectrum of Political Orientation
  • 9. 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Supporters of a liberal market economy 19% 15% 18% 19% 17% 11% 11% 14% Supporters of a social market economy 19% 37% 30% 31% 34% 39% 15% 16% Supporters of democratic socialism 17% 15% Passive system supporters 29% 24% 25% 28% 22% 14% 35% 21% Pessimistic group 23% 17% 20% 17% 22% 26% 22% 34% Group of alienated citizens 10% 7% 7% 5% 5% 10% Table 5 Development of Political Orientation in Ulaanbaatar Data for 2007 is from the latest survey, conducted in October
  • 10. Party preferences of Supporters of a liberal market economy For comparison: Party preferences of all respondents (average) Difference between group and average (percentage points) April 2006 March 2007 Oct. 2007 April 2006 March 2007 Oct. 2007 April 2006 March 2007 Oct. 2007 MPRP 51% 44% 44% 32% 34% 34% +19 +10 +10 DP 23% 29% 27% 27% 35% 32% -4 -6 -5 Motherl.-MDNSP 3% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% +2 0 0 CWP 4% 5% 7% 6% 6% 5% -2 -1 +2 RP 1% 2% 1% 1% 1% 2% 0 +1 -1 "Coalition" 3% 3% 5% 6% 4% 3% -3 -1 +2 Other party 1% 5% 6% 1% 4% 5% 0 +1 +1 No party 15% 12% 9% 24% 16% 17% -9 -4 -8 Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
  • 11. Party preferences of Supporters of a social market economy For comparison: Party preferences of all respondents (average) Difference between group and average (percentage points) April 2006 March 2007 Oct. 2007 April 2006 March 2007 Oct. 2007 April 2006 March 2007 Oct. 2007 MPRP 47% 46% 51% 32% 34% 34% +15 +12 +17 DP 26% 36% 27% 27% 35% 32% -1 +1 -5 Motherl.-MDNSP 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 0 0 0 CWP 3% 6% 5% 6% 6% 5% -3 0 0 RP 2% 0% 0% 1% 1% 2% +1 -1 -1 "Coalition" 8% 4% 5% 6% 4% 3% +2 0 +2 Other party 0% 2% 2% 1% 4% 5% -1 -2 -3 No party 13% 5% 8% 24% 16% 17% -11 -11 -9 Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
  • 12. Party preferences of Supporters of democratic socialism For comparison: Party preferences of all respondents (average) Difference between group and average (percentage points) April 2006 March 2007 Oct. 2007 April 2006 March 2007 Oct. 2007 April 2006 March 2007 Oct. 2007 MPRP 40% 37% 35% 32% 34% 34% +8 +3 +1 DP 24% 36% 33% 27% 35% 32% -3 +1 +1 Motherl.-MDNSP 0% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 0 0 0 CWP 3% 6% 4% 6% 6% 5% -3 0 -1 RP 1% 1% 3% 1% 1% 2% 0 0 +1 "Coalition" 8% 3% 2% 6% 4% 3% +2 +1 -1 Other party 0% 2% 7% 1% 4% 5% -1 -2 +2 No party 23% 13% 15% 24% 16% 17% -1 -3 -2 Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
  • 13. Party preferences of Passive system supporters For comparison: Party preferences of all respondents (average) Difference between group and average (percentage points) April 2006 March 2007 Oct. 2007 April 2006 March 2007 Oct. 2007 April 2006 March 2007 Oct. 2007 MPRP 18% 14% 24% 32% 34% 34% -14 -20 -10 DP 31% 43% 40% 27% 35% 32% +4 +8 +8 Motherl.-MDNSP 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 0 0 0 CWP 8% 9% 6% 6% 6% 5% +2 +3 +1 RP 1% 1% 2% 1% 1% 2% 0 0 0 "Coalition" 6% 6% 3% 6% 4% 3% 0 +2 0 Other party 3% 3% 3% 1% 4% 5% +2 -1 -2 No party 32% 23% 20% 24% 16% 17% +8 +7 +3 Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
  • 14. Party preferences of the Pessimistic group For comparison: Party preferences of all respondents (average) Difference between group and average (percentage points) April 2006 March 2007 Oct. 2007 April 2006 March 2007 Oct. 2007 April 2006 March 2007 Oct. 2007 MPRP 16% 14% 19% 32% 34% 34% -16 -20 -20 DP 30% 31% 33% 27% 35% 32% +3 -4 +2 Motherl.-MDNSP 1% 1% 0% 1% 1% 1% 0 0 -1 CWP 11% 8% 6% 6% 6% 5% +5 +2 +1 RP 1% 3% 2% 1% 1% 2% 0 +2 0 "Coalition" 4% 3% 2% 6% 4% 3% -2 -1 -1 Other party 0% 6% 6% 1% 4% 5% -1 +2 +1 No party 36% 35% 30% 24% 16% 17% +12 +19 +13 Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%