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PARAGUAY AFTER 60 YEARS OF ONE PARTY RULE Fernando Masi April 2009
CONTENT ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Economic and Social Conditions ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL CONDITIONS ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL CONDITIONS ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Source: DGEEC and BCP. Paraguay’s Main Economic and Social Indicators 1998 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 GDP Growth  (%)   3.0 -3.3 2.1 0.0 3.8 4.1 2.9 4.3 6.8 5.8 Inflation rate 14.6 8.6 8.4 14.6 9.3 2.8 9.9 12.5 6.0 7.5 Fiscal Surplus (Deficit)   (as % of GDP) - (4.6) (1.2) (3.8) (0.6) 1.6 1.6 - 1.0 0.5 Debt  (as % of GDP) - 46.1 47.7 65.5 60.7 47.8 40.7 33.0 25.9 21.4 Reserves  (in millions of US$) 874.8 771.9 723.1 641.3 983.4 1168.0 1293.0 1703.1 2461.8 2864.1 Poverty  (as % of population) 32.1 33.9 33.9 - - - 38.2 - 35.6 - Extreme poverty  (as % of population) - - - 21.7 20.1 17.1 15.5 - 19.4 - Unemployment –  formal sector  (% of labor force) 14.3 15.9 15.3 16.4 13.0 10.9 9.4 11.4 5.6 - Underemployment – informal sector  (% of labor force) 19.1 17.6 22.1 22.4 24.1 24.2 25.1 24.0 26.5 -
ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL CONDITIONS ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
THE STATE IN PARAGUAY ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
POLITICAL SITUATION ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
POLITICAL SITUATION ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Paraguay’s Presidential Elections, 2003–2008 CANDIDATE VOTES PERCENTAGE 2003 2008 2003 2008 2003 2008 Duarte Frutos Ovelar de Duarte 547,232 573,562 37.1  30.6 Sánchez Oviedo 208,391 410,637 13.5  21.9 Total for ANR & UNACE 755,623 984,199 50.6 52.5 Julio Franco Lugo 370,349 766,502 24.0 40.9 Fadul Fadul 328,916 44,060 21.3 2.4 Total for Opposition 699,265 810,562 45.3 43.3 + ANR is the Colorado Party; UNACE is the National Union of Ethical Citizens; PLRA is the Liberal Party; and PPQ is the Beloved Homeland Party. ‡ The PLRA ran alone in 2003 and as part of the APC coalition in 2008.
POLITICAL SITUATION ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
POLITICAL SITUATION ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Government First Steps ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Government First Steps ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Government First Steps ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Government Limitations and Setbacks ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Government Limitations and Setbacks ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Scenarios ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

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Paraguay After 60 Years Of One Party Rule

  • 1. PARAGUAY AFTER 60 YEARS OF ONE PARTY RULE Fernando Masi April 2009
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  • 6. Source: DGEEC and BCP. Paraguay’s Main Economic and Social Indicators 1998 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 GDP Growth (%) 3.0 -3.3 2.1 0.0 3.8 4.1 2.9 4.3 6.8 5.8 Inflation rate 14.6 8.6 8.4 14.6 9.3 2.8 9.9 12.5 6.0 7.5 Fiscal Surplus (Deficit) (as % of GDP) - (4.6) (1.2) (3.8) (0.6) 1.6 1.6 - 1.0 0.5 Debt (as % of GDP) - 46.1 47.7 65.5 60.7 47.8 40.7 33.0 25.9 21.4 Reserves (in millions of US$) 874.8 771.9 723.1 641.3 983.4 1168.0 1293.0 1703.1 2461.8 2864.1 Poverty (as % of population) 32.1 33.9 33.9 - - - 38.2 - 35.6 - Extreme poverty (as % of population) - - - 21.7 20.1 17.1 15.5 - 19.4 - Unemployment – formal sector (% of labor force) 14.3 15.9 15.3 16.4 13.0 10.9 9.4 11.4 5.6 - Underemployment – informal sector (% of labor force) 19.1 17.6 22.1 22.4 24.1 24.2 25.1 24.0 26.5 -
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  • 11. Paraguay’s Presidential Elections, 2003–2008 CANDIDATE VOTES PERCENTAGE 2003 2008 2003 2008 2003 2008 Duarte Frutos Ovelar de Duarte 547,232 573,562 37.1 30.6 Sánchez Oviedo 208,391 410,637 13.5 21.9 Total for ANR & UNACE 755,623 984,199 50.6 52.5 Julio Franco Lugo 370,349 766,502 24.0 40.9 Fadul Fadul 328,916 44,060 21.3 2.4 Total for Opposition 699,265 810,562 45.3 43.3 + ANR is the Colorado Party; UNACE is the National Union of Ethical Citizens; PLRA is the Liberal Party; and PPQ is the Beloved Homeland Party. ‡ The PLRA ran alone in 2003 and as part of the APC coalition in 2008.
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