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Socio-Political trends in
April 2014
Presentation of the Sant Maral
foundation
Prepared by:
L. Sumati
2. “Which party would you vote for?” (June 2012)
Nationwide
Countryside UB % Valid %
Mongolian People’s Party 21.3 15.0 18.8 27.9
Democratic Party 30.0 26.5 28.6 42.4
MPRP, MNDP Coalition 17.0 14.3 15.9 23.6
Civic Will - Green Party .8 4.3 2.2 3.3
Third Power Coalition 1.2 1.5 1.3 1.9
MTUP (Traditional United) .3 .1 .1
Other Party .3 1.0 .6 .9
(No answer) 7.4 12.0 9.2
(Don’t know) 22.0 25.3 23.3
2. “If Parliament Elections were held tomorrow, which party would
you vote for?” (April 2013)
Nationwide
Countryside Ulan Bator % Valid %
Mongolian People’s Party 23.8 12.2 19.2 31.9
Democratic Party 25.6 32.2 28.3 47.0
MPRP 11.3 9.1 10.4 17.3
Civic Will - Green Party .3 2.1 1.1 1.7
MNDP .3 .1 .3 .4
Republican Party .1 .1 .1 .2
Other Party .5 1.4 .9 1.4
(No answer) 10.2 12.4 11.1
(Don’t know) 27.8 30.4 28.9
2. “If Parliament Elections were held tomorrow, which party would
you vote for?” (March 2014)
Nationwide
Countryside Ulan Bator % Valid %
Mongolian People’s Party 21.0 11.9 17.3 29.8
Democratic Party 27.1 37.1 31.3 54.0
MPRP 6.0 7.5 6.6 11.4
Civic Will - Green Party .6 1.4 .9 1.6
MNDP .3 .4 .3 .6
Other Party 1.5 1.6 1.6 2.7
(No answer) 14.1 11.9 13.2
(Don’t know) 29.4 28.2 28.9
21.3
23.8
21
30
25.6 27.1
17
11.3
6
2012 2013 2014
Rural area
Mongolian People’s Party Democratic Party MPRP
15
12.2 11.9
26.5
32.2
37.1
14.3
9.1 7.5
2012 2013 2014
Ulan Bator
Mongolian People’s Party Democratic Party MPRP
27.9
31.9 29.8
42.4
47
54
23.6
17.3
11.4
2012 2013 2014
Nationwide
Mongolian People’s Party Democratic Party MPRP
2012 2013 2014
Column1 Column2 Column3 Column4 Column5 Column6
1. Unemployment 27.8 Unemployment 33 Unemployment 31.1
2. Standard of living
poverty income 15.6
Standard of living
poverty income 15.9
Price increase Inflation
20.8
3. Price increase Inflation
14.6
Price increase Inflation
15.1
Standard of living
poverty income 17.6
4. Law enforcement
8.9
Law enforcement
7.3
Economy
manufacturingmining 5.8
5. Corruption 8 Social Justice 5.4 Law enforcement 5.1
6. Social Justice
4.9
Economy
manufacturingmining 5
Education
5.1
7. Economy
manufacturingmining 4.4
Corruption
4.9
Corruption
4.5
8. Education 4.2 Education 4.3 Social Justice 4
9. Ecology Environment 3.7 Ecology Environment 3.4 Ecology Environment 2.3
10. State
administration 3.5
State administration
2.5
State administration
2.1
Very
satisfied
Somewhat
satisfied
Somewhat
dissatisfied
Very
dissatisfied
DK
Dec-12 2.4% 24.8% 49.7% 17.6% 5.5%
May-13 0.0% 20.3% 52.7% 18.5% 8.5%
Oct-13 1.2% 19.4% 48.5% 23.9% 7.0%
0.0%
10.0%
20.0%
30.0%
40.0%
50.0%
60.0%
How satisfied or dissatisfied are you with the general
business environment in Mongolia?
Improved Stayed the same Worsened DK
Dec-12 42.4% 39.7% 11.8% 6.1%
May-13 33.3% 46.4% 11.5% 8.8%
Oct-13 30.3% 39.7% 23.3% 6.7%
0.0%
10.0%
20.0%
30.0%
40.0%
50.0%
During the last 6 months have investment conditions for
company operations improved, worsened or stayed the
same?
9.8
47.4
21.6
15.5
9.2
44.7
26.7
13.2
10.6
40.7
26.2
15.1
Fully approve Rather approve Rather disapprove Totally disapprove
Government Approval (nationwide)
2012 2013 2014
Biggest success of the government
2012 Column1 2013 Column2 2014 Column3
1. Agriculture 25.1 Dealing with Corruption 14 Dealing with Corruption 10.9
2. Economy
manufacturingmining 10.5
Agriculture
7.2
Agriculture
10.3
3. Education
8.1
Economy
manufacturingmining 6.3
Economy manufacturing
mining 7.4
4. Reduction of
unemployment 3.2
Education
5.5
Education
6.1
5. Improving of
standard of living
poverty income 2.6
Reduction of
unemployment
4
Reduction of
unemployment
5.8
6. Ecology
Environment 1.9
Law enforcement
3.3
Infrastructure
3.8
7. Dealing with
Corruption 1.8
State administration
2.7
Law enforcement
2.7
8. Election/Election
promises 1.8
Social security
2.3
Ecology Environment
2.5
9. Social Justice
1
Ecology Environment
1.9
State administration/ open
government 2.3
10. Price increase
Inflation 0.9
Improving of standard of
living 1.6
Social Justice
1.9
Mar-10
Sep-10
Apr-11
Nov-12
Mar-13
Sep-13
Mar-14
Mar-10 Sep-10 Apr-11 Nov-12 Mar-13 Sep-13 Mar-14
Always 47.5% 43.3% 49.2% 40.8% 32.3% 33.9% 28.1%
Sometimes 45.1% 46.5% 36.0% 50.7% 52.6% 53.6% 56.7%
Rarely 6.4% 8.6% 10.1% 7.3% 11.4% 10.1% 11.8%
Never 0.9% 1.6% 4.7% 1.2% 3.7% 2.4% 3.4%
In your opinion, how often public officials are acting in violation of conflicts
of interests?
15.10%
7.80%
79.80%
88.70%
2012 2013
Have there been times in the past 12
months when you or your family have
gone hungry?
Yes No
21.0
75.5
3.6
12.7
83.2
4.1
below average average above average
Living Standard
2012 2013
Countryside Ulan Bator Nationwide
The government has to eliminate
income differences
37.2 33.5 35.7
The government has to take
moderate action to reduce
income differences
43.3 49.6 45.9
The government should not
interfere
7.1 6.5 6.8
Spontaneously: ( it may interfere,
or may not interfere)
6.3 7.1 6.6
(No answer) 0.4 0.4 0.4
(Don’t know) 5.7 3 4.6

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28.04.2014, Socio-Political Situation in Spring 2014, L.Sumati

  • 1. Socio-Political trends in April 2014 Presentation of the Sant Maral foundation Prepared by: L. Sumati
  • 2. 2. “Which party would you vote for?” (June 2012) Nationwide Countryside UB % Valid % Mongolian People’s Party 21.3 15.0 18.8 27.9 Democratic Party 30.0 26.5 28.6 42.4 MPRP, MNDP Coalition 17.0 14.3 15.9 23.6 Civic Will - Green Party .8 4.3 2.2 3.3 Third Power Coalition 1.2 1.5 1.3 1.9 MTUP (Traditional United) .3 .1 .1 Other Party .3 1.0 .6 .9 (No answer) 7.4 12.0 9.2 (Don’t know) 22.0 25.3 23.3
  • 3. 2. “If Parliament Elections were held tomorrow, which party would you vote for?” (April 2013) Nationwide Countryside Ulan Bator % Valid % Mongolian People’s Party 23.8 12.2 19.2 31.9 Democratic Party 25.6 32.2 28.3 47.0 MPRP 11.3 9.1 10.4 17.3 Civic Will - Green Party .3 2.1 1.1 1.7 MNDP .3 .1 .3 .4 Republican Party .1 .1 .1 .2 Other Party .5 1.4 .9 1.4 (No answer) 10.2 12.4 11.1 (Don’t know) 27.8 30.4 28.9
  • 4. 2. “If Parliament Elections were held tomorrow, which party would you vote for?” (March 2014) Nationwide Countryside Ulan Bator % Valid % Mongolian People’s Party 21.0 11.9 17.3 29.8 Democratic Party 27.1 37.1 31.3 54.0 MPRP 6.0 7.5 6.6 11.4 Civic Will - Green Party .6 1.4 .9 1.6 MNDP .3 .4 .3 .6 Other Party 1.5 1.6 1.6 2.7 (No answer) 14.1 11.9 13.2 (Don’t know) 29.4 28.2 28.9
  • 5. 21.3 23.8 21 30 25.6 27.1 17 11.3 6 2012 2013 2014 Rural area Mongolian People’s Party Democratic Party MPRP
  • 6. 15 12.2 11.9 26.5 32.2 37.1 14.3 9.1 7.5 2012 2013 2014 Ulan Bator Mongolian People’s Party Democratic Party MPRP
  • 7. 27.9 31.9 29.8 42.4 47 54 23.6 17.3 11.4 2012 2013 2014 Nationwide Mongolian People’s Party Democratic Party MPRP
  • 8. 2012 2013 2014 Column1 Column2 Column3 Column4 Column5 Column6 1. Unemployment 27.8 Unemployment 33 Unemployment 31.1 2. Standard of living poverty income 15.6 Standard of living poverty income 15.9 Price increase Inflation 20.8 3. Price increase Inflation 14.6 Price increase Inflation 15.1 Standard of living poverty income 17.6 4. Law enforcement 8.9 Law enforcement 7.3 Economy manufacturingmining 5.8 5. Corruption 8 Social Justice 5.4 Law enforcement 5.1 6. Social Justice 4.9 Economy manufacturingmining 5 Education 5.1 7. Economy manufacturingmining 4.4 Corruption 4.9 Corruption 4.5 8. Education 4.2 Education 4.3 Social Justice 4 9. Ecology Environment 3.7 Ecology Environment 3.4 Ecology Environment 2.3 10. State administration 3.5 State administration 2.5 State administration 2.1
  • 9. Very satisfied Somewhat satisfied Somewhat dissatisfied Very dissatisfied DK Dec-12 2.4% 24.8% 49.7% 17.6% 5.5% May-13 0.0% 20.3% 52.7% 18.5% 8.5% Oct-13 1.2% 19.4% 48.5% 23.9% 7.0% 0.0% 10.0% 20.0% 30.0% 40.0% 50.0% 60.0% How satisfied or dissatisfied are you with the general business environment in Mongolia?
  • 10. Improved Stayed the same Worsened DK Dec-12 42.4% 39.7% 11.8% 6.1% May-13 33.3% 46.4% 11.5% 8.8% Oct-13 30.3% 39.7% 23.3% 6.7% 0.0% 10.0% 20.0% 30.0% 40.0% 50.0% During the last 6 months have investment conditions for company operations improved, worsened or stayed the same?
  • 11. 9.8 47.4 21.6 15.5 9.2 44.7 26.7 13.2 10.6 40.7 26.2 15.1 Fully approve Rather approve Rather disapprove Totally disapprove Government Approval (nationwide) 2012 2013 2014
  • 12. Biggest success of the government 2012 Column1 2013 Column2 2014 Column3 1. Agriculture 25.1 Dealing with Corruption 14 Dealing with Corruption 10.9 2. Economy manufacturingmining 10.5 Agriculture 7.2 Agriculture 10.3 3. Education 8.1 Economy manufacturingmining 6.3 Economy manufacturing mining 7.4 4. Reduction of unemployment 3.2 Education 5.5 Education 6.1 5. Improving of standard of living poverty income 2.6 Reduction of unemployment 4 Reduction of unemployment 5.8 6. Ecology Environment 1.9 Law enforcement 3.3 Infrastructure 3.8 7. Dealing with Corruption 1.8 State administration 2.7 Law enforcement 2.7 8. Election/Election promises 1.8 Social security 2.3 Ecology Environment 2.5 9. Social Justice 1 Ecology Environment 1.9 State administration/ open government 2.3 10. Price increase Inflation 0.9 Improving of standard of living 1.6 Social Justice 1.9
  • 13. Mar-10 Sep-10 Apr-11 Nov-12 Mar-13 Sep-13 Mar-14 Mar-10 Sep-10 Apr-11 Nov-12 Mar-13 Sep-13 Mar-14 Always 47.5% 43.3% 49.2% 40.8% 32.3% 33.9% 28.1% Sometimes 45.1% 46.5% 36.0% 50.7% 52.6% 53.6% 56.7% Rarely 6.4% 8.6% 10.1% 7.3% 11.4% 10.1% 11.8% Never 0.9% 1.6% 4.7% 1.2% 3.7% 2.4% 3.4% In your opinion, how often public officials are acting in violation of conflicts of interests?
  • 14. 15.10% 7.80% 79.80% 88.70% 2012 2013 Have there been times in the past 12 months when you or your family have gone hungry? Yes No
  • 15. 21.0 75.5 3.6 12.7 83.2 4.1 below average average above average Living Standard 2012 2013
  • 16. Countryside Ulan Bator Nationwide The government has to eliminate income differences 37.2 33.5 35.7 The government has to take moderate action to reduce income differences 43.3 49.6 45.9 The government should not interfere 7.1 6.5 6.8 Spontaneously: ( it may interfere, or may not interfere) 6.3 7.1 6.6 (No answer) 0.4 0.4 0.4 (Don’t know) 5.7 3 4.6