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African swine fever in Russia
and Eastern Europe
an overview of 10-year epidemic
and the latest news from Europe
Presented at Allen D. Leman Swine Conference
18th September 2017
z.umn.edu/SwineDiseaseSurveillance
Global
surveillance
program
African Swine Fever: Some Important Points
PROBLEMS FOR
ASF CONTROL
No vaccine available
Domestic & Wild
animals affected
Carrier animals
Ticks
Very resistant in
the environment
Clinical signs similar to
other diseases
High variability
23 genotypes in AFRICA
OUT: Only type II TCC-RF
Type I Sardinia
Laboratory diagnosis
needed
Pigs &products
Freezer
No neutralizing
Ab
From: Professor J. M.
Sanchez-Vizcaino
ASF: history
• First described in 1921
• Endemic in African countries
• Major outbreaks outside Africa:
Year Country Source of the virus introduction
1960 Portugal Importation of meat products
1978 Brazil Untreated food waste from an international airport
1978 Malta Untreated food waste from a sea port
1978 Sardinia Untreated food waste from a sea port
1980 Cuba Importation of live pigs and pork products
1983 Italy Importation of pork products
adopted from Sanchez-Vizcaino, OIE, 2010
Schematic scenario of
the ASF movement
across the Eastern
Europe
2017 as of September, 13th
• Two new countries affected: Czech
Republic and Romania
• Rise of incidence in domestic pigs
ASF: Yearly dynamics Russia vs Europe
Russia
Europe
ASF: Russia vs Europe
• Cases in wild boars prevail among reported outbreaks in EU
• Specifics of reporting in EU vs RF (1 case = 1 outbreak)
• Wild boar population density in EU (>10 times denser in EU)
• Wild boar hunting is a traditional gaming activity in Europe
ASF: main transmission pathways
Source of infection
Number Percent
Trade of infected pigs 1 0.3 %
Direct contact between neighboring farms
(backyards)
5 1.7 %
Contaminated food waste brought by farm personnel 1 0.3 %
Contaminated vehicles 108 38.0 %
Contact with wild boars 4 1.4 %
Feeding contaminated fodders 100 35.0 %
Not defined 65 23.0 %
Results of study in Russia for the period of ASF spread 2007 – 2012:
Adopted from: Belyanin, 2013.
PhD Thesis ‘Dynamics of spread and monitoring of
the ASF epidemic process’
ASF: main transmission pathways
• Ornithodoros: present in southern regions only, but no
evidence of its role in Russia and EU
• Feeding pigs by contaminated fodders and waste
• Wild boars and free-range pigs may have an access to
open dumps and illegal burials of dead pigs
ASF: main transmission pathways
• Transportation and trade of [infected] pigs and
[contaminated] pork production
– Often, farmers tend to sell their pigs as soon as ASF is detected in the
area [problem of insufficient indemnities]
• Costard, S., Zagmutt, F.J., Porphyre, T., Pfeiffer, D.U., 2015. Small-scale pig farmers’
behavior, silent release of African swine fever virus and consequences for disease
spread. Sci. Rep. 5, 17074. doi:10.1038/srep17074
– This can lead to long-distance spread of the disease
ASF in Russia 2017
Omsk region
Irkutsk region
~ 1500 km
900 mi
ASF: main transmission pathways
• Domestic pigs vs wild boars
– Direct contacts between wild boars and domestic pigs are possible in
low-biosecurity farms (free-range pigs; mainly in southern areas)
– The virus transmission from domestic pigs to wild boars is far more
plausible than vise versa
• Wild boars contacts with garbage in villages, towns etc
© pictures collected throughout the Web
ASF: who infects whom?
• Domestic Pigs vs Wild Boars
• Will mass WB shooting stop the ASF spread?
– Vergne, T., Gogin, A., Pfeiffer, D.U., 2015. Statistical Exploration of Local
Transmission Routes for African Swine Fever in Pigs in the Russian
Federation, 2007-2014. Transbound. Emerg. Dis.
doi:10.1111/tbed.12391
• DP outbreaks do not demonstrate a statistically significant
tendency towards grouping around WB outbreaks
• Interactions between WB and DP populations are possible but
less likely
ASF: control and preventive measures
• Russia:
– Infected farm: culling all susceptible pigs
– High risk zone (5 – 20 km around an infected farm): depopulation of all
susceptible pigs
– Surveillance zone (up to 150 km): enhanced surveillance, prohibition
on pigs’ transportation etc.
• EU:
– Infected farm: culling all susceptible pigs
– High risk zone (3 – 5 km around an infected farm): enhanced
surveillance, prohibition on pigs’ transportation etc.
– Surveillance zone (30 km): enhanced surveillance
WB increase in Spain
0
50000
100000
150000
200000
250000
1980-81 1985-86 1990-91 1995-96 2000-01 2005-06 2010-11
Increase from 1980-2010  719%
Source: Jose Luis Garrido/FEDENCA
From: Professor J. M. Sanchez-Vizcaino
EVALUATING THE RISK OF ASFV
ENTRANCE IN CHINA
2500km aprox.
Increasing commercial and cooperation
relations with African continent
From: Professor J. M.
Sanchez-Vizcaino
Thank you for your attention!
FKORENNOY@YANDEX.RU
APEREZ@UMN.EDU

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African swine fever in Russia and Eastern Europe: an overview of 10-year epidemic

  • 1. African swine fever in Russia and Eastern Europe an overview of 10-year epidemic and the latest news from Europe Presented at Allen D. Leman Swine Conference 18th September 2017
  • 3. African Swine Fever: Some Important Points PROBLEMS FOR ASF CONTROL No vaccine available Domestic & Wild animals affected Carrier animals Ticks Very resistant in the environment Clinical signs similar to other diseases High variability 23 genotypes in AFRICA OUT: Only type II TCC-RF Type I Sardinia Laboratory diagnosis needed Pigs &products Freezer No neutralizing Ab From: Professor J. M. Sanchez-Vizcaino
  • 4. ASF: history • First described in 1921 • Endemic in African countries • Major outbreaks outside Africa: Year Country Source of the virus introduction 1960 Portugal Importation of meat products 1978 Brazil Untreated food waste from an international airport 1978 Malta Untreated food waste from a sea port 1978 Sardinia Untreated food waste from a sea port 1980 Cuba Importation of live pigs and pork products 1983 Italy Importation of pork products adopted from Sanchez-Vizcaino, OIE, 2010
  • 5. Schematic scenario of the ASF movement across the Eastern Europe
  • 6. 2017 as of September, 13th • Two new countries affected: Czech Republic and Romania • Rise of incidence in domestic pigs
  • 7. ASF: Yearly dynamics Russia vs Europe Russia Europe
  • 8. ASF: Russia vs Europe • Cases in wild boars prevail among reported outbreaks in EU • Specifics of reporting in EU vs RF (1 case = 1 outbreak) • Wild boar population density in EU (>10 times denser in EU) • Wild boar hunting is a traditional gaming activity in Europe
  • 9. ASF: main transmission pathways Source of infection Number Percent Trade of infected pigs 1 0.3 % Direct contact between neighboring farms (backyards) 5 1.7 % Contaminated food waste brought by farm personnel 1 0.3 % Contaminated vehicles 108 38.0 % Contact with wild boars 4 1.4 % Feeding contaminated fodders 100 35.0 % Not defined 65 23.0 % Results of study in Russia for the period of ASF spread 2007 – 2012: Adopted from: Belyanin, 2013. PhD Thesis ‘Dynamics of spread and monitoring of the ASF epidemic process’
  • 10. ASF: main transmission pathways • Ornithodoros: present in southern regions only, but no evidence of its role in Russia and EU • Feeding pigs by contaminated fodders and waste • Wild boars and free-range pigs may have an access to open dumps and illegal burials of dead pigs
  • 11. ASF: main transmission pathways • Transportation and trade of [infected] pigs and [contaminated] pork production – Often, farmers tend to sell their pigs as soon as ASF is detected in the area [problem of insufficient indemnities] • Costard, S., Zagmutt, F.J., Porphyre, T., Pfeiffer, D.U., 2015. Small-scale pig farmers’ behavior, silent release of African swine fever virus and consequences for disease spread. Sci. Rep. 5, 17074. doi:10.1038/srep17074 – This can lead to long-distance spread of the disease
  • 12. ASF in Russia 2017 Omsk region Irkutsk region ~ 1500 km 900 mi
  • 13. ASF: main transmission pathways • Domestic pigs vs wild boars – Direct contacts between wild boars and domestic pigs are possible in low-biosecurity farms (free-range pigs; mainly in southern areas) – The virus transmission from domestic pigs to wild boars is far more plausible than vise versa • Wild boars contacts with garbage in villages, towns etc © pictures collected throughout the Web
  • 14. ASF: who infects whom? • Domestic Pigs vs Wild Boars • Will mass WB shooting stop the ASF spread? – Vergne, T., Gogin, A., Pfeiffer, D.U., 2015. Statistical Exploration of Local Transmission Routes for African Swine Fever in Pigs in the Russian Federation, 2007-2014. Transbound. Emerg. Dis. doi:10.1111/tbed.12391 • DP outbreaks do not demonstrate a statistically significant tendency towards grouping around WB outbreaks • Interactions between WB and DP populations are possible but less likely
  • 15. ASF: control and preventive measures • Russia: – Infected farm: culling all susceptible pigs – High risk zone (5 – 20 km around an infected farm): depopulation of all susceptible pigs – Surveillance zone (up to 150 km): enhanced surveillance, prohibition on pigs’ transportation etc. • EU: – Infected farm: culling all susceptible pigs – High risk zone (3 – 5 km around an infected farm): enhanced surveillance, prohibition on pigs’ transportation etc. – Surveillance zone (30 km): enhanced surveillance
  • 16.
  • 17. WB increase in Spain 0 50000 100000 150000 200000 250000 1980-81 1985-86 1990-91 1995-96 2000-01 2005-06 2010-11 Increase from 1980-2010  719% Source: Jose Luis Garrido/FEDENCA From: Professor J. M. Sanchez-Vizcaino
  • 18. EVALUATING THE RISK OF ASFV ENTRANCE IN CHINA 2500km aprox. Increasing commercial and cooperation relations with African continent From: Professor J. M. Sanchez-Vizcaino
  • 19. Thank you for your attention! FKORENNOY@YANDEX.RU APEREZ@UMN.EDU