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CBI Energy Conference
Reforming the Electricity Market
   22 February 2011

June 2011
Tony Quinlan – Finance Director, Drax Group plc
Agenda

Introduction to Drax



Electricity Market Reform
    Drivers of Change

    Independent Generator Requirements

    Assessment of Proposals



Summary and Conclusions




1   Drax Group plc   CBI Presentation – June 2011
Introduction to Drax
Independent Merchant Generator
                                                                 Indicative Annual Net Output / Supply from Verticos
Strategic value
                                                          100
 Largest, most efficient UK coal-fired
  power station                                            50
 4GW – supplies 7% of UK electricity                                                                                   Total Supply
                                                                                                                              less
 Flexibility – provides key support




                                                    TWh
                                                            0
                                                                                                                       Total Generation =
  services to grid                                                                                                        c.50TWh pa
                                                           -50
Position in UK power market
 Net physical short position of Verticos is              -100




                                                                                              E.ON
                                                                    EDF


                                                                              SSE




                                                                                                        CNA


                                                                                                                 SPW
                                                                                       RWE
  c. 50TWh per annum
 Drax can supply c. 40% of net short via                                 Generation                 Supply
  wholesale power market
                                                                 Indicative Net Output* from Independent Generators
Strategic direction
 Progressively decarbonise generation
                                                                   Others                                     Drax
  through biomass
      2010: highest renewable output from
       single UK facility
                                                                 Conoco
 Expansion of direct supply through                             Phillips

  Haven Power
                                                                   Intergen



                                                                                       GDF Suez / Intl Power

2   Drax Group plc   CBI Presentation – June 2011                *Excludes volume sold to Verticos under tolling contracts
Electricity Market Reform
  Policy Objectives and Independent Generator Requirements



               Key drivers of change                         As an IPP(1) – what does Drax need?

        Ageing fleet                 Security of supply

 c. 25% out of                     Reliable and             Regulatory                Investment
  service by 2020                    dependable                 stability                  signals


      Decarbonisation                   Affordability
 30%+ electricity
                                    Mitigate fuel poverty      Liquidity              Appropriate
  from renewable
  sources by 2020
                                     and maintain              beyond two               support for
                                     competitiveness
                                                                  years                  biomass
 20% CO2 reduction
  by 2020 (vs. 1990)

                                                                             (1)   IPP = Independent power producer


  3     Drax Group plc   CBI Presentation – June 2011
Electricity Market Reform
Assessment

                                     Regulatory                         Investment          Biomass
                                                        Liquidity
                                      stability                           Signals           Support

    Feed-in-tariffs
    for low carbon
                                                                                            
                                  No windfalls       Compels          Bankable vs.     Possible index
      generation
                                  Cost effective      trading           targets           to fuel costs

       Capacity
     payments for
                                             ?             ?                 ?                 ?
                                  Proposal too       Proposal         Need adequate    Need to reward
       back-up
                                   little too late     adverse to        return for        flexibility
      generation                                       wholesale mkt     capacity


     Carbon price                                                                           
       support                    Windfalls          Distorts         Not bankable     No net CO2
                                  Political risk      wholesale mkt     vs. targets       reduction

      Emissions
     Performance                             =             =                                   =
                                                                        New unabated
      Standard
                                                                         coal unlikely

4   Drax Group plc   CBI Presentation – June 2011
Summary and Conclusions

Complementary mix of generating technologies
required to deliver policy objectives
                                                      Biomass Generation
UK target: 30%+ electricity from renewables by
2020 (vs. c. 7% today)
   Financial impact significant – DECC estimates
    price increase of c. 40%                          Low carbon
   More reliable / flexible generation required as
    backup for intermittency                                Low cost
Biomass can make a significant contribution                        Low risk
4th largest energy source after oil, coal and gas
   Carbon neutral when sustainably managed
   Cost effective, secure and flexible

Large scale biomass generation through
existing coal plant is significantly cheaper than
offshore wind

Working with Government to make this a reality


5   Drax Group plc   CBI Presentation – June 2011
Disclaimer

These presentation slides (and any subsequent discussions arising thereon) may contain certain statements, statistics and
projections that are or may be forward-looking. The accuracy and completeness of all such statements, including, without
limitation, statements regarding the future financial position, strategy, projected costs, plans and objectives for the
management of future operations of Drax Group plc (“Drax”) and its subsidiaries (the “Group”) are not warranted or
guaranteed. By their nature, forward-looking statements involve risk and uncertainty because they relate to events and
depend on circumstances that may occur in the future. Although Drax believes that the expectations reflected in such
statements are reasonable, no assurance can be given that such expectations will prove to be correct. There are a number
of factors, many of which are beyond the control of the Group, which could cause actual results and developments to differ
materially from those expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. These factors include, but are not limited to,
factors such as: future revenues being lower than expected; increasing competitive pressures in the industry; and/or general
economic conditions or conditions affecting the relevant industry, both domestically and internationally, being less favourable
than expected. We do not intend to publicly update or revise these projections or other forward-looking statements to reflect
events or circumstances after the date hereof, and we do not assume any responsibility for doing so.
In making these presentation slides available, Drax makes no recommendation to buy, sell or otherwise deal in shares in the
Group or in any other securities or investments whatsoever, and you should neither rely nor act upon, directly or indirectly,
any of the information contained in these presentation slides in respect of any such investment activity. Past performance is
no guide to future performance. If you are considering engaging in investment activity, you should seek appropriate
independent financial advice and make your own assessment.
Recipients in jurisdictions outside the United Kingdom should inform themselves about and observe any applicable legal or
regulatory requirements in relation to the distribution or possession of these presentation slides to or in that jurisdiction. In
this respect, neither Drax nor any of its connected persons accepts any liability to any person in relation to the distribution or
possession of these presentation slides to or in any such jurisdiction.
By accepting these presentation slides, you agree to be bound by the above conditions and limitations.




6   Drax Group plc   Investor Presentation – June 2011
CBI Conference
Reforming the Electricity Market
June 2011

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CBI energy conference 2011 - Tony Quinlan

  • 1. CBI Energy Conference Reforming the Electricity Market 22 February 2011 June 2011 Tony Quinlan – Finance Director, Drax Group plc
  • 2. Agenda Introduction to Drax Electricity Market Reform  Drivers of Change  Independent Generator Requirements  Assessment of Proposals Summary and Conclusions 1 Drax Group plc CBI Presentation – June 2011
  • 3. Introduction to Drax Independent Merchant Generator Indicative Annual Net Output / Supply from Verticos Strategic value 100  Largest, most efficient UK coal-fired power station 50  4GW – supplies 7% of UK electricity Total Supply less  Flexibility – provides key support TWh 0 Total Generation = services to grid c.50TWh pa -50 Position in UK power market  Net physical short position of Verticos is -100 E.ON EDF SSE CNA SPW RWE c. 50TWh per annum  Drax can supply c. 40% of net short via Generation Supply wholesale power market Indicative Net Output* from Independent Generators Strategic direction  Progressively decarbonise generation Others Drax through biomass  2010: highest renewable output from single UK facility Conoco  Expansion of direct supply through Phillips Haven Power Intergen GDF Suez / Intl Power 2 Drax Group plc CBI Presentation – June 2011 *Excludes volume sold to Verticos under tolling contracts
  • 4. Electricity Market Reform Policy Objectives and Independent Generator Requirements Key drivers of change As an IPP(1) – what does Drax need? Ageing fleet Security of supply  c. 25% out of  Reliable and Regulatory Investment service by 2020 dependable stability signals Decarbonisation Affordability  30%+ electricity  Mitigate fuel poverty Liquidity Appropriate from renewable sources by 2020 and maintain beyond two support for competitiveness years biomass  20% CO2 reduction by 2020 (vs. 1990) (1) IPP = Independent power producer 3 Drax Group plc CBI Presentation – June 2011
  • 5. Electricity Market Reform Assessment Regulatory Investment Biomass Liquidity stability Signals Support Feed-in-tariffs for low carbon      No windfalls  Compels  Bankable vs.  Possible index generation  Cost effective trading targets to fuel costs Capacity payments for ? ? ? ?  Proposal too  Proposal  Need adequate  Need to reward back-up little too late adverse to return for flexibility generation wholesale mkt capacity Carbon price     support  Windfalls  Distorts  Not bankable  No net CO2  Political risk wholesale mkt vs. targets reduction Emissions Performance = =  =  New unabated Standard coal unlikely 4 Drax Group plc CBI Presentation – June 2011
  • 6. Summary and Conclusions Complementary mix of generating technologies required to deliver policy objectives Biomass Generation UK target: 30%+ electricity from renewables by 2020 (vs. c. 7% today)  Financial impact significant – DECC estimates price increase of c. 40% Low carbon  More reliable / flexible generation required as backup for intermittency Low cost Biomass can make a significant contribution Low risk 4th largest energy source after oil, coal and gas  Carbon neutral when sustainably managed  Cost effective, secure and flexible Large scale biomass generation through existing coal plant is significantly cheaper than offshore wind Working with Government to make this a reality 5 Drax Group plc CBI Presentation – June 2011
  • 7. Disclaimer These presentation slides (and any subsequent discussions arising thereon) may contain certain statements, statistics and projections that are or may be forward-looking. The accuracy and completeness of all such statements, including, without limitation, statements regarding the future financial position, strategy, projected costs, plans and objectives for the management of future operations of Drax Group plc (“Drax”) and its subsidiaries (the “Group”) are not warranted or guaranteed. By their nature, forward-looking statements involve risk and uncertainty because they relate to events and depend on circumstances that may occur in the future. Although Drax believes that the expectations reflected in such statements are reasonable, no assurance can be given that such expectations will prove to be correct. There are a number of factors, many of which are beyond the control of the Group, which could cause actual results and developments to differ materially from those expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. These factors include, but are not limited to, factors such as: future revenues being lower than expected; increasing competitive pressures in the industry; and/or general economic conditions or conditions affecting the relevant industry, both domestically and internationally, being less favourable than expected. We do not intend to publicly update or revise these projections or other forward-looking statements to reflect events or circumstances after the date hereof, and we do not assume any responsibility for doing so. In making these presentation slides available, Drax makes no recommendation to buy, sell or otherwise deal in shares in the Group or in any other securities or investments whatsoever, and you should neither rely nor act upon, directly or indirectly, any of the information contained in these presentation slides in respect of any such investment activity. Past performance is no guide to future performance. If you are considering engaging in investment activity, you should seek appropriate independent financial advice and make your own assessment. Recipients in jurisdictions outside the United Kingdom should inform themselves about and observe any applicable legal or regulatory requirements in relation to the distribution or possession of these presentation slides to or in that jurisdiction. In this respect, neither Drax nor any of its connected persons accepts any liability to any person in relation to the distribution or possession of these presentation slides to or in any such jurisdiction. By accepting these presentation slides, you agree to be bound by the above conditions and limitations. 6 Drax Group plc Investor Presentation – June 2011
  • 8. CBI Conference Reforming the Electricity Market June 2011