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Riding the Wave of Exponential Innovation
The document discusses the nature of innovation, emphasizing the importance of incremental innovation alongside disruptive innovation. It references various concepts and models, such as the 'long nose of innovation,' which suggests that substantial growth ideas require a lengthy maturation process. Overall, it advocates for a balanced approach to refine existing technologies while pursuing novel creations to achieve exponential innovation.
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Riding the Wave of Exponential Innovation
- 1. Human-Computer Interaction, UniversitätHamburg Prof. Dr. Frank Steinicke Riding the Wave of Exponential Innovation Elephants do not eat mice, but cheetahs eat gnus
- 2. It's not theBIG … … that eats the SMALL,
- 3. … but it'sthe FAST that eats the SLOW! censored
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- 6. „Adding manpower toa late software project makes it later.“ Frederick Phillips Brooks, Jr.
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- 9. Xerox PARC, XeroxPalo, 1973
- 10. William English &Douglas C. Engelbart, 1968
- 11. Rainer Mallebrein (Telefunken):Rollkugel , 1968
- 12. 12 Invention Refinement &Augmentation Traction Time W. Buxton: The Long Nose of Innovation, Businessweek, 2008 15-25 years
- 13. Long Nose 13 Invention Refinement& Augmentation Traction Time W. Buxton: The Long Nose of Innovation, Businessweek, 2008 15-25 years Growthofanidea
- 14. Long Nose 14 Invention Refinement& Augmentation Traction Growthofanidea Time Radar W. Buxton: The Long Nose of Innovation, Businessweek, 2008 15-25 years
- 16. Long Nose 16 Invention Refinement& Augmentation Traction Growthofanidea Time Radar W. Buxton: The Long Nose of Innovation, Businessweek, 2008 15-25 years Incremental Innovation
- 17. Incremental Innovation 15-25 yearsof incremental improvements
- 18. Long Nose 18 Invention Refinement& Augmentation Traction Growthofanidea Time Radar W. Buxton: The Long Nose of Innovation, Businessweek, 2008 15-25 years Incremental Innovation ?
- 19. Ambalappuzha Sri KrishnaTemple
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- 21. Legend of AmbalappuzhaPal Payasam
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- 23. 32 64 128 256512 1024 2048 4096 8192 16384 32868 64K 128K 256K 512K 1M
- 24. 32 64 128 256512 1024 2048 4096 8192 16384 32868 64K 128K 256K 512K 1M 2M 4M 8M 16M 32M 64M 128M 256M 512M 1G 2G 4G 8G 16G 32G 64G 128G 256G 512G 1T 2T 4T 8T 16T 32T 64T 128T 256T 512T 1P 2P 4P 8P 16P 32P 64P 128P 256P 512P 1E 2E 4E 8E
- 25. Legend of AmbalappuzhaPal Payasam
- 26. Exponential Growth Example 26W.A. Wagenaar,S.D. Sagaria: Misperception of exponential growth, Perception & Psychophysics, 1975 Year # index 1971 2,300 1972 3,500 1974 4,500 1976 8,500 1978 29,000 • Group 1: How large will the index be in 1989? • Group 2: In which year will the index surpass 275,000?
- 27. 27 Gordon E. Moore “Withunit cost falling as the number of components per circuit rises, by 1975 economics may dictate squeezing as many as 65,000 components on a single silicon chip.”
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- 29. TIME: The YearMan Becomes Immortal, 2011
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- 32. Stock chart: EastmanKodak Company
- 34. Steven J. Sasson:Portable all electronic still camera, 1975
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- 37. Digital Music Implications 37 audio CD CDreader CD writer CD copies
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- 39. Digital Fabrication Implications 39 physical objects 3Dscanner 3D printer physical copies
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- 42. Disruptive Innovation Result of~20 years of Incremental Innovation
- 43. 43 Invention Refinement &Augmentation Traction Growthofanidea Time Radar W. Buxton: The Long Nose of Innovation, Businessweek, 2008 15-25 years Incremental Innovation DisruptiveInnovation Exponential Innovation
- 44. Exponential Innovation To avoiddeath, we should focus on incremental innovation by refining existing technologies, as much as on disruptive innovation by novel creation and research. This ability is at the heart of exponential innovation. 44
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