1. Agenda Mini MPPC Meeting Dec. 15, 2021
• Overview, Recent Accomplishments and updates
• UN Our Common Agenda RTD
• 2030 SOFI RTD
• Node Updates
• Open discussion

2. Draft Outline
State of the Future
20.0
• Executive Summary
• 15 Global Challenge
• State of the Future Index
• Global Developments (RTD)
• Artificial Intelligence: Narrow to General
• UN Office on Strategic Threats
• World Future Day
• Covid Scenarios Reflections

3. Accomplishments since last MPPC 6/20
• Published Three Futures for Covid-19 Pandemic in the USA January 1, 2022
• RTDelphi on global developments with EY (Ernst & Young) as input to the next State of the
Future report to be released in early 2022.
• New Nodes: Denmark (Copenhagen Institute for Futures Studies) and Nepal (Nepal
Institute for International Cooperation and Engagement) making a total of 70 Nodes now
• Letter to the UN Secretary-General signed by over 200 thought leaders calling for a UN
Office of Strategic or Existential Threats (concept in Our Common Agenda report)
• World Future Day March 1st was the eighth annual 24-hour no-agenda round-the-world
conversation. UNESCO endorsed WFD request by UAE’s for Dec 2nd on its national day
• Paul Saffo New Board Member
• Communications Director Mara Di Berardo
• Managed 14 Interns during 2021: 5 from China, 2 from the USA, and 1 each from Brazil,
Canada, Germany, Mexico, Netherlands, South Korea, and the UK.

4. Global Futures/Foresight Elements
1. UN Trusteeship Council as a multi-
stakeholder foresight body
2. UN Summit on the Future (2023)
3. Futures Lab
4. High-level Advisory Board led by former
Heads of State and/or Government
5. Special Envoy for Future Generations
6. Strategic Foresight and Global Risk Report 2
to 5 years (which includes strategic or
existential threats)

5. What's Next for the COVID Pandemic?
THREE FUTURES OF THE COVID-19 PANDEMIC
IN THE UNITED STATES JANUARY 1, 2022
Implications for all of us
Source: National Human Genome Research Institute, US National Institute of Health
A report by
The Millennium Project Covid Scenarios Team
October 2020
This 145-page report available at:
http://www.millennium-project.org/covid-19/
• Organized uncertainties into three scenarios
• Each describes how the pandemic may evolve to 2022
• Input from over 250 medical doctors, public health officials,
emergency relief staff, economists, and futurists
• Provides coherent, integrated, holistic views
• Each is about 10 pages rich in cause-effect links & decisions
• Useful for planning and public understanding
• Distributed by Dr. Faici’s Chief of Staff
• Translated in China, Korea, Israel, and Spanish speaking
countries
• Contact tracing by returned Peace Corps Volunteers
• Helped provide a more wholistic understanding

6. Three richly detailed Covid Scenarios
to January 2022 …some implications
• Vaccines may not lead to herd immunity as
mutations continue
• Mutations will continue from poorer regions: less
running water, insufficient PPE, and social distance
• The virus may have greater economic and social
well being impacts than public health
• We need a Global Pandemic New Deal lead by the
G-7 with new US leadership with COVAX vaccine
distribution, some debt forgiveness, suspension of
debt service payments, and other debt re-
negotiations to free funds to fight Covid
• We will have to learn to live with this like AIDS and
the Spanish Flu

7. “These scenarios are the best integration of medical, health,
socio-economic, and psychological factors of the possible
future courses of the COVID pandemic we have.”
Trevor Riggen
Senior VP
American Red Cross

8. First World “Global Time-Out”
…. to stop and re-think everything
Disasters in nature,
new growth occurs.
After WWII we got the
United Nations and
many forms of multi-
national cooperation.

9. Next
• RTDelphi for 2030 State of the Future Index – best/worse and weights
• Executive Office of the UNSG RTD on the implantation planning for “Our
Common Agenda.”
• Write and publish State of the Future 20.0
• Continue preparations and fundraising for the AGI governance study
• SOFIs in preparation in Greece and the Philippines
• Futures Research Methodology 4.0