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Forest and Wood Residues
in a Low Carbon Future




C. Scott Miller
Price BIOstock, Marketing Consultant
BIOstock Blog, Editor
May, 2008
The Price Companies Business Model

                       Provide all services upstream
                        of the wood processing facility:
                         – Paper and pulp mills
                         – Saw mills
                       Services include:
                         – Procurement
                         – Harvesting and hauling logistics
                         – Design/construction of the
                            receiving/processing site
                         – Processing site management
14+ million tons
                                            per year




Victoria, Australia



                      PBS Headquarters

                      Wood Chipping
The Price BIOstock Mission:

     To apply The Price Companies business model
       to making biomass supply simple for
       emerging bioenergy companies.

The Commitment:

     Use the most environmentally sustainable
       biomass available to supply emerging
       bioenergy technologies - wood, energy
       crops, MSW, etc.
Raven Energy
Kamloops, BC




                                        Range Fuels
                                        Soperton, GA



               PB Headquarters

               Biorefinery Agreements
Overview:


   Woody biomass fundamentals

   Lessons learned from the
    forest products industry

   The need to manage forests

   State and federal policies that
    frustrate market development
Woody biomass fundamentals
Wood built and powered early America

Quad
BTU
40               Fossil fuels are carbon positive             Petroleum
                  and “getting dirtier”
30               Biofuels are carbon neutral
                  and “getting cleaner”
                                                                   Natural
20                                                                   Gas
                                             Coal

10                                                                      Nuclear
                        Wood                                 Hydro

 0
       1800              1850         1900           1950                        2000

                                                      Energy Information Administration
Forests do not consume resources

                    Palm                  Sugar
            Corn     Oil   Soy   Canola   Cane
Lifecycle
 GHG vs.      Roughly        25-50%       >75%
               equal           less       less
Oil-based




                                                  The Nature Conservancy
Forests do not consume resources

                        Palm                   Sugar
             Corn        Oil    Soy   Canola   Cane
Lifecycle
 GHG vs.       Roughly            25-50%       >75%
                equal               less       less
Oil-based
 Water



Fertilizer



Pesticides



 Energy




                                      Resource Consumption
                    Very High                                Low



                                                                   The Nature Conservancy
Forests do not consume resources

                        Palm                   Sugar   Agric.    Woody
             Corn        Oil    Soy   Canola   Cane    Waste     Biomass

Lifecycle
 GHG vs.       Roughly            25-50%       >75%       >95% less to
                equal               less       less    net sequestration*
Oil-based
 Water



Fertilizer



Pesticides



 Energy



                                                                                  *depends on methods & type
                                      Resource Consumption
                    Very High                                               Low



                                                                                       The Nature Conservancy
Forests do not consume resources

                        Palm                   Sugar   Agric.    Woody       Switch    Native
             Corn        Oil    Soy   Canola   Cane    Waste     Biomass      grass    prairie        Algae

Lifecycle
 GHG vs.       Roughly            25-50%       >75%       >95% less to                    Net
                equal               less       less    net sequestration*             sequestration
Oil-based
 Water



Fertilizer



Pesticides



 Energy



                                                                                  *depends on methods & type
                                      Resource Consumption
                    Very High                                               Low



                                                                                       The Nature Conservancy
Wood industry produces residuals

Residues of logging & forest products industry




                                                 USDA Billion Ton Report, 4/2005
Lessons learned from
the forest products industry
‘70’s “Cradle-to-grave” material value cycle



Wood Biomass         +$
& Grid Power




                                      Biomass
                                      Conversion



                  Waste
                   to                 Pulp & Paper
                 Landfill
‘80’s “Cradle-to-cradle” bioenergy value cycle



Wood Biomass        +$


  Waste as
  an Energy                           Biomass
  Feedstock                           Conversion
                     Parasitic
  - Black liquor       Load
  - Sawdust
  - Wood residues
  - Bark                              Pulp & Paper
New “Cradle-to-cradle” bioenergy value cycle

Flexible
Feedstock
- Wood
- Energy crops               +$
- Residues
- MSW


                 Waste as                     Biomass
                                  Parasitic   Conversion
                 an Energy
                                    Load
                 Feedstock
                                                   Flexible
                                                   Products
                                                   -Pulp & Paper
                                                   -Biofuels
                                                   -Bioplastics
                                                   -Centralized Heat
                                                   -Power to Grid
Stumpage Prices
Example: $25/ton Biomass Delivered to Mill



                                     $7
                                  Stumpage

             $13
        Site Logging
       and Processing
                               $5
                             Freight
The need to manage forests
Forest Service litigation 1989-2002

    728 land management cases over 13 years


            4%
    18%

                     58%
  21%




                                     Society of American Foresters, 2007
USDA - Greenhouse Gas Impact 1990-2030




Temperature
                 USDA Climate Change Program Office May 2008 Report based on IPCC, 2006
USDA - Greenhouse Gas Impact 1990-2030




Temperature                               Precipitation
                 USDA Climate Change Program Office May 2008 Report based on IPCC, 2006
Multiple stresses of a changing climate




                 2003 National Assessment Synthesis Team, US Global Change Research Program
Forest Management means Fire Prevention
                        6 of the 7 worst fire seasons

                U.S. Forest Fires
                   1960-2007




                                        National Interagency Fire Center, 2008
2002 fire - 80,000 acres

                           Where there’s fire,
                           there’s smoke.



                           Colorado Hayman Fire,
                           emitted more CO2 in one
                           day than all the cars in the
                           U.S. in one week.
                                                 - NASA

                           Lasted 14 days.
The problem of forest density

“Many forests, particularly those on public
lands, have grown dangerously overcrowded
due to a century of fire suppression and
decades of restricted timber harvesting.”




                                              4-10 times
                                              more dense
Thomas Bonnicksen, Ph.D
We need “more
infrastructure.”

   Rod Vineyard
   Eagle Lake Ranger District
   Lassen National Forest
2002 fire - Cone fire
GHG during decay




Unsalvaged trunks
contribute 300%
more GHG during
decay




      “Nearly four years after fires burned more than
      133,000 acres of national forest land in California, less
      than one percent of those acres have been replanted.”
                                        The Forest Foundation
The sustainable solution:


1.   Salvage decaying biomass
     to pay for forest management
2.   Reforest to historic model
3.   Mechanically thin vulnerable
     forests for biomass




                   Tahoe - 1911   Tahoe - 2003
Beetle kill deforestation
Hurricane disaster debris




Destruction demolition waste




                                              Katrina knockdown - 5,000,000 acres
                                                 (Mount St. Helens - 130,000 acres)




                               J.Q. Chambers et al., Science 318, 1107 (2007) Published by AAAS
State and federal policies that
frustrate market development
1. CARB LCFS land use change


      Direct - cultivating corn and energy crops adds
       carbon to the atmosphere
        – Tilling soil - releases Biogenic carbon
        – Fossil inputs - fertilizer and diesel fuel
1. CARB LCFS land use change


      Direct - cultivating corn and energy crops adds
       carbon to the atmosphere
        – Tilling soil - releases Biogenic carbon
        – Fossil inputs - fertilizer and diesel fuel

      Indirect - Developing countries will deforest acres
       to compensate for acres changed in U.S.
        – Soy acres changed to corn acres in U.S. means…
        – Amazonian deforestation to soy acres in Brazil
Future carbon improvements

   No-till agriculture
   Increased yield per acre
   Biogenic inputs replace
    fossil inputs
   Hybrid crops that are:
     – Perennial
     – Faster growing
     – Nitrogen fixing
     – Bug & drought resistant
If we don’t create alternative fuels here…

    Won’t that increase market demand
        for creating it elsewhere?
2. 15% Ethanol Blend Wall
   Billion Gallons/Year
              40


              35                Other Biofuels
                                BioDiesel
              30


              25                                            21B
                                Cellulosic
                                Biofuels
15% Blend Wall
        20


              15
10% Blend Wall
              10
2005                            Corn Ethanol
7.5B x 2012                                                 15B
               5


               0

                                             Green Car Congress
3. EISA’s RFS2 definition


                                  Georgia before EISA RFS
                                         23,000,000 acres




                                                      One dot = 5,000 acres
                                                      Federal land




                       USDA Forest Service - Forest Inventory and Analysis National Program
3. EISA’s RFS2 definition


                                  Georgia before EISA RFS
                                         23,000,000 acres
                                      vs. 7,300,000 acres
                                                              After RFS

                                                      One dot = 5,000 acres
                                                      Federal land




                       USDA Forest Service - Forest Inventory and Analysis National Program
3. EISA’s RFS2 definition
         75 Miles




         50 Miles



         25 Miles
                               Logistics uneconomical

                               Feedstock tracking
                                unworkable
3. EISA’s RFS2 definition


                               California before EISA RFS
                                        19,000,000 acres




                                                      One dot = 5,000 acres
                                                      Federal land




                       USDA Forest Service - Forest Inventory and Analysis National Program
3. EISA’s RFS2 definition


                               California before EISA RFS
                                        19,000,000 acres
                                       vs. 500,000 acres
                                                              After RFS

                                                      One dot = 5,000 acres
                                                      Federal land




                       USDA Forest Service - Forest Inventory and Analysis National Program
Bad precedents beget bad policies


The same RFS2 definitions are being
   used as RES definitions in the
Waxman / Markey cap and trade bill
Summary


   Bioenergy addresses carbon
    footprint challenge
   Forest products industry is
    a blueprint for developing
    integrated biorefineries
   Bioenergy infrastructure
    helps environment
   Biomass opportunities and
    challenges require advocacy
    and public education
BIOenergy BlogRing @
Biostock.blogspot.com




C. Scott Miller
Price BIOstock, Marketing Consultant
May, 2008

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Forest and Wood Residues in a Low Carbon Future

  • 1. Forest and Wood Residues in a Low Carbon Future C. Scott Miller Price BIOstock, Marketing Consultant BIOstock Blog, Editor May, 2008
  • 2. The Price Companies Business Model  Provide all services upstream of the wood processing facility: – Paper and pulp mills – Saw mills  Services include: – Procurement – Harvesting and hauling logistics – Design/construction of the receiving/processing site – Processing site management
  • 3. 14+ million tons per year Victoria, Australia PBS Headquarters Wood Chipping
  • 4. The Price BIOstock Mission: To apply The Price Companies business model to making biomass supply simple for emerging bioenergy companies. The Commitment: Use the most environmentally sustainable biomass available to supply emerging bioenergy technologies - wood, energy crops, MSW, etc.
  • 5. Raven Energy Kamloops, BC Range Fuels Soperton, GA PB Headquarters Biorefinery Agreements
  • 6. Overview:  Woody biomass fundamentals  Lessons learned from the forest products industry  The need to manage forests  State and federal policies that frustrate market development
  • 8. Wood built and powered early America Quad BTU 40  Fossil fuels are carbon positive Petroleum and “getting dirtier” 30  Biofuels are carbon neutral and “getting cleaner” Natural 20 Gas Coal 10 Nuclear Wood Hydro 0 1800 1850 1900 1950 2000 Energy Information Administration
  • 9. Forests do not consume resources Palm Sugar Corn Oil Soy Canola Cane Lifecycle GHG vs. Roughly 25-50% >75% equal less less Oil-based The Nature Conservancy
  • 10. Forests do not consume resources Palm Sugar Corn Oil Soy Canola Cane Lifecycle GHG vs. Roughly 25-50% >75% equal less less Oil-based Water Fertilizer Pesticides Energy Resource Consumption Very High Low The Nature Conservancy
  • 11. Forests do not consume resources Palm Sugar Agric. Woody Corn Oil Soy Canola Cane Waste Biomass Lifecycle GHG vs. Roughly 25-50% >75% >95% less to equal less less net sequestration* Oil-based Water Fertilizer Pesticides Energy *depends on methods & type Resource Consumption Very High Low The Nature Conservancy
  • 12. Forests do not consume resources Palm Sugar Agric. Woody Switch Native Corn Oil Soy Canola Cane Waste Biomass grass prairie Algae Lifecycle GHG vs. Roughly 25-50% >75% >95% less to Net equal less less net sequestration* sequestration Oil-based Water Fertilizer Pesticides Energy *depends on methods & type Resource Consumption Very High Low The Nature Conservancy
  • 13. Wood industry produces residuals Residues of logging & forest products industry USDA Billion Ton Report, 4/2005
  • 14. Lessons learned from the forest products industry
  • 15. ‘70’s “Cradle-to-grave” material value cycle Wood Biomass +$ & Grid Power Biomass Conversion Waste to Pulp & Paper Landfill
  • 16. ‘80’s “Cradle-to-cradle” bioenergy value cycle Wood Biomass +$ Waste as an Energy Biomass Feedstock Conversion Parasitic - Black liquor Load - Sawdust - Wood residues - Bark Pulp & Paper
  • 17. New “Cradle-to-cradle” bioenergy value cycle Flexible Feedstock - Wood - Energy crops +$ - Residues - MSW Waste as Biomass Parasitic Conversion an Energy Load Feedstock Flexible Products -Pulp & Paper -Biofuels -Bioplastics -Centralized Heat -Power to Grid
  • 19. Example: $25/ton Biomass Delivered to Mill $7 Stumpage $13 Site Logging and Processing $5 Freight
  • 20. The need to manage forests
  • 21. Forest Service litigation 1989-2002 728 land management cases over 13 years 4% 18% 58% 21% Society of American Foresters, 2007
  • 22. USDA - Greenhouse Gas Impact 1990-2030 Temperature USDA Climate Change Program Office May 2008 Report based on IPCC, 2006
  • 23. USDA - Greenhouse Gas Impact 1990-2030 Temperature Precipitation USDA Climate Change Program Office May 2008 Report based on IPCC, 2006
  • 24. Multiple stresses of a changing climate 2003 National Assessment Synthesis Team, US Global Change Research Program
  • 25. Forest Management means Fire Prevention 6 of the 7 worst fire seasons U.S. Forest Fires 1960-2007 National Interagency Fire Center, 2008
  • 26. 2002 fire - 80,000 acres Where there’s fire, there’s smoke. Colorado Hayman Fire, emitted more CO2 in one day than all the cars in the U.S. in one week. - NASA Lasted 14 days.
  • 27. The problem of forest density “Many forests, particularly those on public lands, have grown dangerously overcrowded due to a century of fire suppression and decades of restricted timber harvesting.” 4-10 times more dense Thomas Bonnicksen, Ph.D
  • 28. We need “more infrastructure.” Rod Vineyard Eagle Lake Ranger District Lassen National Forest
  • 29. 2002 fire - Cone fire
  • 30. GHG during decay Unsalvaged trunks contribute 300% more GHG during decay “Nearly four years after fires burned more than 133,000 acres of national forest land in California, less than one percent of those acres have been replanted.” The Forest Foundation
  • 31. The sustainable solution: 1. Salvage decaying biomass to pay for forest management 2. Reforest to historic model 3. Mechanically thin vulnerable forests for biomass Tahoe - 1911 Tahoe - 2003
  • 33. Hurricane disaster debris Destruction demolition waste Katrina knockdown - 5,000,000 acres (Mount St. Helens - 130,000 acres) J.Q. Chambers et al., Science 318, 1107 (2007) Published by AAAS
  • 34. State and federal policies that frustrate market development
  • 35. 1. CARB LCFS land use change  Direct - cultivating corn and energy crops adds carbon to the atmosphere – Tilling soil - releases Biogenic carbon – Fossil inputs - fertilizer and diesel fuel
  • 36. 1. CARB LCFS land use change  Direct - cultivating corn and energy crops adds carbon to the atmosphere – Tilling soil - releases Biogenic carbon – Fossil inputs - fertilizer and diesel fuel  Indirect - Developing countries will deforest acres to compensate for acres changed in U.S. – Soy acres changed to corn acres in U.S. means… – Amazonian deforestation to soy acres in Brazil
  • 37. Future carbon improvements  No-till agriculture  Increased yield per acre  Biogenic inputs replace fossil inputs  Hybrid crops that are: – Perennial – Faster growing – Nitrogen fixing – Bug & drought resistant
  • 38. If we don’t create alternative fuels here… Won’t that increase market demand for creating it elsewhere?
  • 39. 2. 15% Ethanol Blend Wall Billion Gallons/Year 40 35 Other Biofuels BioDiesel 30 25 21B Cellulosic Biofuels 15% Blend Wall 20 15 10% Blend Wall 10 2005 Corn Ethanol 7.5B x 2012 15B 5 0 Green Car Congress
  • 40. 3. EISA’s RFS2 definition Georgia before EISA RFS 23,000,000 acres One dot = 5,000 acres Federal land USDA Forest Service - Forest Inventory and Analysis National Program
  • 41. 3. EISA’s RFS2 definition Georgia before EISA RFS 23,000,000 acres vs. 7,300,000 acres After RFS One dot = 5,000 acres Federal land USDA Forest Service - Forest Inventory and Analysis National Program
  • 42. 3. EISA’s RFS2 definition 75 Miles 50 Miles 25 Miles  Logistics uneconomical  Feedstock tracking unworkable
  • 43. 3. EISA’s RFS2 definition California before EISA RFS 19,000,000 acres One dot = 5,000 acres Federal land USDA Forest Service - Forest Inventory and Analysis National Program
  • 44. 3. EISA’s RFS2 definition California before EISA RFS 19,000,000 acres vs. 500,000 acres After RFS One dot = 5,000 acres Federal land USDA Forest Service - Forest Inventory and Analysis National Program
  • 45. Bad precedents beget bad policies The same RFS2 definitions are being used as RES definitions in the Waxman / Markey cap and trade bill
  • 46. Summary  Bioenergy addresses carbon footprint challenge  Forest products industry is a blueprint for developing integrated biorefineries  Bioenergy infrastructure helps environment  Biomass opportunities and challenges require advocacy and public education
  • 47. BIOenergy BlogRing @ Biostock.blogspot.com C. Scott Miller Price BIOstock, Marketing Consultant May, 2008