What's on the Horizon? Trends and Trials in Educational Technology
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For the past 10 years, the New Media Consortium has released an annual Horizon Report, evaluating current trends in technology, and forecasting newer technologies' importance and uptake in education over a multi-year horizon. We will review previous Horizon Reports' predictions with a focus on the 2014 Horizon Report Higher Ed Edition's findings and forecasts. Particular emphasis will be placed on challenges in the educational technology realm, including faculty training and readiness, innovation scalability, and the ultimate question - when should new technologies be used? Are we jumping on the bandwagon? When should we jump off? http://stream.lib.utah.edu/index.php?c=details&id=10298
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What's on the Horizon? Trends and Trials in Educational Technology
- 1. Whatโs on the Horizon? Trends and Trials in Educational Technology Melissa L. Rethlefsen, MLS, AHIP @mlrethlefsen
- 2. 2006
- 9. Before or After Melissaโs Presentation October 14, 2006
- 10. iPhone Before or After Oct 2006
- 11. iPhone: 6/29/07 After Oct 2006
- 12. Smartphone Before or After Oct 2006
- 13. Smartphone: 1999 (in Japan) Before Oct 2006
- 14. YouTube Before or After Oct 2006
- 15. YouTube: February 2005 Before Oct 2006
- 16. Facebook Before or After Oct 2006
- 17. Facebook: May 2004 Before Oct 2006
- 18. Facebook Released to Public Before or After Oct 2006
- 19. Facebook Released to Public: September 26, 2006 Before Oct 2006
- 20. Twitter Before or After Oct 2006
- 21. Twitter: March 21, 2006 Before Oct 2006
- 22. Google Scholar Before or After Oct 2006
- 23. Google Scholar: November 2004 Before Oct 2006
- 24. Google Docs Before or After Oct 2006
- 25. Google Docs: It Depends Before Oct 2006: Writely (8/05) / Docs (8/06) Before Oct 2006: Google Spreadsheets (6/06) After Oct 2006: Google Docs presentations (9/07) After Oct 2006: Google Docs released from beta (7/09)
- 26. iPad Before or After Oct 2006
- 27. iPad: April 3, 2010 After Oct 2006
- 28. Wikipedia Before or After Oct 2006
- 29. Wikipedia: January 2001 Before Oct 2006
- 30. Blogs Before or After Oct 2006
- 31. Blogs: 1998/9 Before Oct 2006 Open Diary: 1998 LiveJournal: 1999 Blogger: 1999 WordPress: May 2003
- 32. iTunes U Before or After Oct 2006
- 33. iTunes U: May 30, 2007 After Oct 2006 Before Oct 2006: iTunes (2001), iTunes Store (2003)
- 34. World of Warcraft Before or After Oct 2006
- 35. World of Warcraft: 2004 Before Oct 2006
- 36. Flipped Classroom Before or After Oct 2006
- 37. Flipped Classroom: 2007 After Oct 2006
- 38. Touchscreen Before or After Oct 2006
- 39. Touchscreen: 1965 Before Oct 2006 1983: 1st home computer 1993: Apple Newton 1996: Palm 2002: Windows XP Tablet
- 40. Dropbox Before or After Oct 2006
- 41. Dropbox: September 2008 After Oct 2006
- 42. Horizon Report โข Outlines timelines for adoption of technology โ 20% of educational institutions adopt โ 3 time horizons: โข 1 year โข 2-3 years โข 4-5 years โข Started in 2004, updated annually โข Team uses apps, iTunes U, wiki, RSS feeds
- 43. Learning Objects Scalable Vector Graphics Extended Learning Ubiquitous Wireless Rapid Prototyping Multimodal Interfaces Social Computing Personal Broadcasting Intelligent Search Educational Gaming User-Created Content Social Networking Knowledge Webs Phones in their Pockets Educational Gaming Grassroots Video Collaboration Webs Context-Aware Computing Social Networks/Knowledge Webs Context-Aware Computing/Augmented Reality Mobile Phones Virtual Worlds Cloud Computing Augmented Reality and Enhanced Visualization Context-Aware Environments and Devices Mobile Broadband Data Mashups Mobile Computing Open Content eBooks Geo Everything Personal Web Mobiles New Scholarship/Emerging Forms of Publication Massively Multiplayer Educational Gaming Collective Intelligence Social Operating Systems eBooks Simple Augmented Reality Mobile Apps Tablet Computing Semantic-Aware Applications Smart Objects Augmented Reality Game-Based Learning Massive Open Online Courses Tablet Computing
- 44. Educational Gaming (2008) Educational Gaming (2009) Massively Multiplayer Educational Gaming (2012) (2014) Game-Based Learning
- 45. Context-Aware Computing (2009) Context-Aware Computing/Augmented Reality (2010) Augmented Reality and Enhanced Visualization Context-Aware Environments and Devices (2011) (2013) Simple Augmented Reality Smart Objects Augmented Reality (2014)
- 46. Learning Objects Scalable Vector Graphics Extended Learning Ubiquitous Wireless Social Computing Personal Broadcasting User-Created Content Social Networking Grassroots Video Collaboration Webs Mobile Phones Cloud Computing Mobile Computing Open Content eBooks Mobiles Mobile Apps Tablet Computing Massive Open Online Courses Tablet Computing
- 47. Predicted to Happen This Year โข Gesture-Based Computing (also 2016, 2017) โข Visual Data Analysis โข Game-Based Learning (also 2016, 2017) โข Learning Analytics (also 2016) โข Flipped Classroom (also 2016)
- 48. 2014 Horizon Report โข Key technologies โข Trends with impact โข Key challenges teaching, learning, creative inquiry
- 49. Key Trends โข Ubiquitous Social Media โข Integration of Online, Hybrid, Collaborative Learning โข Data-Driven Learning/Assessment โข Students as Creators โข Agile Change โข Online Learning Evolution
- 50. Key Technologies โข Flipped Classroom โข Learning Analytics โข 3D Printing โข Games and Gamification โข Quantified Self โข Virtual Assistants
- 51. Key Challenges โข Low Digital Fluency of Faculty โข Relative Lack of Rewards for Teaching โข Competition from New Models of Education โข Scaling Teaching Innovations โข Expanding Access โข Keeping Education Relevant
- 52. Low Digital Fluency What is it, and how can we get better?
- 53. The Bandwagon Yes, I know a Conestoga wagon isnโt *quite* a bandwagonโฆ
- 54. Key Technologies โข Flipped Classroom โข Learning Analytics โข 3D Printing โข Games and Gamification โข Quantified Self โข Virtual Assistants
- 55. Learning Objects Scalable Vector Graphics Extended Learning Ubiquitous Wireless Rapid Prototyping Multimodal Interfaces Social Computing Personal Broadcasting Intelligent Search Educational Gaming User-Created Content Social Networking Knowledge Webs Phones in their Pockets Educational Gaming Grassroots Video Collaboration Webs Context-Aware Computing Social Networks/Knowledge Webs Context-Aware Computing/Augmented Reality Mobile Phones Virtual Worlds Cloud Computing Augmented Reality and Enhanced Visualization Context-Aware Environments and Devices Mobile Broadband Data Mashups Mobile Computing Open Content eBooks Geo Everything Personal Web Mobiles New Scholarship/Emerging Forms of Publication Massively Multiplayer Educational Gaming Collective Intelligence Social Operating Systems eBooks Simple Augmented Reality Mobile Apps Tablet Computing Semantic-Aware Applications Smart Objects Augmented Reality Game-Based Learning Massive Open Online Courses Tablet Computing
- 62. Melissa L. Rethlefsen, MLS, AHIP @mlrethlefsen Thanks!
Editor's Notes
- secure social network
- But, hey, it was in Hawaii; ended up being a watershed moment for me in a few ways
- Does anyone recognize what this is? Earthquake one morning of the conference, took out power in Oahu for over 12 hours. Nothing quite as surreal as walking around Waikiki with absolutely no lights anywhere. Watershed moment here: never travel without cash and food
- We knew the project was a total failure by this time. Though we had a couple of ideas to sustain it so as to regain some of our lost time developing, promoting, and teaching this tool, the writing was on the wall. It was too hard to use for the purposes originally wanted. Students didnโt see a need, nor did the faculty or administration. Wanted a user-friendly experience with student part-time developers. It was a good lesson in letting go, yet learning from failure.
- Those lessons were great, but the thing I remember most, maybe even more than driving around the island looking for someplace with a generator so we could get food, were the cell phones. Because the conference was in Hawaii, there was a large contingent of Japanese educators. Their cell phone technology was way ahead of ours at that pointโor at least ahead of mine. I may have owned a pay as you go track phone. I went to one presentation where a group of educators had their students using their cell phones as audience response systems to increase class engagement. It kind of blew my mind. But what blew my mind even more was seeing, for the first time, someone take a photo of a speakerโs powerpoint presentation. I think we can all agree thatโs pretty old hat by this point, but the first time I saw it at the E-Learn conference, I was completely stunned. What a brilliant idea. Now I document everything with my smartphone: receipts, slides, notes, whiteboard scratchings, drawings, you name it.
- So what does this have to do with the Horizon report? The Horizon report, which I will discuss in more detail in a few minutes, is all about technology trends. Trends that take a long time to materialize and trends that seem to come out of nowhere and yet completely change our educational landscape. Letโs play a little game
- So why discuss those dates? The Horizon Report is all about time. Look at consumer-oriented technology as well as educational technology specifically. Look at hardware, infrastructure, software, and web-based technology โ all forms of emerging technology Report on 6 technologies that have implications for education, even if not already in practice or intuitive Beginning in 2005, the executive summary also included key trends in technology that set the context for the items in the report In 2006, the Critical Challenges section was also added to the Executive Summary to specifically discuss barriers for why these might not be adopted It wasnโt until 2014โs report that the Key Trends and Critical Challenges got as much print as the Technologies to Watch
- This one feels a little like wishful thinking to me. Weโll see it make an appearance again after 2014.
- Werenโt sure when it was coming or how they related or didnโt relate to each other, but they knew it was important.
- These are all ones that were predicted to happen within one year.
- Which key technologies will be most important to teaching, learning, and creative inquiry in the next 5 years? which ones should all educational institutions be using broadly which technologies from consumer, entertainment, or industry should educational institutions look for ways to apply? what technologies are developing to the point where we should take notice? Emphasize a few categories of technology: consumer technologies, digital strategies, internet technologies, learning technologies, social media technologies, visualization technologies, and enabling technologies
- Ask for what digital fluency is Learn from students โ partner with them Work with librarians to learn, build confidence Boot camps Faculty professional development communities, digital and/or in person Institutional support Ask for ideas
- One of the reasons I think low digital fluency exists is that people donโt know when to jump on the bandwagon (or off the bandwagon), because technology changes so quickly. Itโs a fair question. How do you know whether to invest time in learning about these technologies? When are you just jumping on the bandwagon for the sake of following a trend?
- Letโs go back to the key technologies that the 2014 Horizon Report predicts are coming our way. I think we may need a reminder that not all of these technologies are going to be applicable to all fields of study all of the time. 3D printing might not be applicable for all English majors, but it might be very relevant for medicine, architecture, design, and engineering. I suspect that a few English majors could even find a good use. That doesnโt necessarily mean that all faculty need to learn CAD software.
- Taking a look back at the Horizon Reportsโ predictions for past years makes it clear that education is not the driving force behind most or even many of the technologies or technology strategies. The commercial, entertainment, and industrial or military uses of some of these technologies are what drive their wide adoption. If educational institutions arenโt flexible enough to recognize their potential and plan for the technology trends of the future, however, students simply wonโt see the relevance of their education to their lives. Some of the key predictions of the Horizon Report have come to pass in ways that back in 2004 or 2005, maybe we wouldnโt have imagined the impact they would have on us. The predictions for 2006 in particular, which I realize are faint and miniature on this slide, are integral to the way we do business on this campus. They were ubiquitous wireless and extended learning, which was their term for blended learning, or having components of courses online. I am pretty sure that a couple of you in this room are benefitting from the ubiquitous wireless right now. Mobile computing, mobile broadband, and mobile apps have completely changed the way that most of us, and our students, interact with the world. Our phones and tablets serve a huge role in our lives. I am not sure I remember what I did before I could search Google right from my phone. I think I must have just not looked up answers or saved all my questions for times when I had a computer.
- As educators, we canโt ignore the technological reality that surrounds us and our students. My 3 year old is perfectly adept at swiping through the photos on my phone and doesnโt quite understand why or how you would talk to someone on a phone without video. That means that if we try to stay current with technology, and even more so if we try to innovate with technology, weโre bound to sometimes fail. Maybe itโs even more likely that weโll fail if we innovate.
- My foray into social networking for medical students that was the subject of that 2006 presentation was a failure on many levels. It was too soon in some respects, but it was too old in others. The technology we used, LiveJournal, was too unfriendly to have anyone who wasnโt dedicated use it. Social networking, which the students who were lucky enough to go to schools with Facebook access, was certainly already at play, even though it wasnโt really mentioned in the Horizon Report until 2007.
- The idea didnโt die, though. By 2009, less than 3 years after Facebook opened to the public, Mayo Medical School was using it as a replacement for new student orientation. They bragged about it on YouTube.
- For most of us, teaching itself is an experiment. We continually try to adapt our teaching methods to achieve the learning outcomes we want our students to achieve. Using technology where it meets and helps achieve those learning outcomes can only help, even if sometimes we fail.
- Sometimes you might be ahead of the bandwagon, sometimes you might be behind it, and sometimes you might even feel the need to jump right on, but I encourage you pay attention to the technological trends in our society and use them to enhance your teaching, learning, and creative inquiry.
- And I also encourage you to carry some cash when you travel. https://www.flickr.com/photos/athrasher/2823255013/