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CUTTING YOUR TEETH




                Cutting Your Teeth: Learning from
                Entrepreneurial Experience

    Chuck Eesley (Stanford), Edward B. Roberts (MIT)
    Organization Science Winter Conference
    Feb. 3-7th, 2010
     1

                           S T A N F O R D U N I V E R S I T Y • Management Science & Engineering
Motivation
CUTTING YOUR TEETH




                      When do new ventures benefit from the prior entrepreneurial
                       experience of their founders?

                      Under what conditions does organizational learning get
                       transferred by individuals to new organizations (what type of
                       learning in the case of entrepreneurial experience)?




             2

                                       S T A N F O R D U N I V E R S I T Y • Management Science & Engineering
Organizational Learning
CUTTING YOUR TEETH


                      Gruber, 1994; Rapping, 1965; Thornton & Thompson, 2001

                      Strategic Contexts:
                      acquisitions (Finkelstein &Haleblian, 2002; Haleblian& Finkelstein, 1999; Hayward, 2002;
                      Vermeulen&Barkema, 2001), alliances (Anand, B. and T. Khanna, 2000; Hoang
                      &Rothaermel, 2005) and internationalization (Bingham, Eisenhardt, &
                      Davis, 2009), innovation (Katila&Ahuja, 2002)




                      Type of Experience
                      Successes/failures (Sitkin, 1992), variety (Schilling, Vidal,
                      Ployhart, &Marangoni, 2003), complexity, voluntary or not
                      (Haunschild& Sullivan, 2002; Haunschild& Rhee, 2004)


                      Transfer of learning across organizations                              (Ingram & Baum,
                      1997; Kim & Miner, 2007; Miner &Haunschild, 1995)                     Vicarious
                      (Haunschild& Miner, 1997; Huber, 1991)




                                                S T A N F O R D U N I V E R S I T Y • Management Science & Engineering
Motivation: Types of learning experiences
CUTTING YOUR TEETH



                      Organization or industry-level phenomenon (Cyert& March, 1963; Baum &
                      Ingram, 1998) Individual level?

                      Simon (1991):
                      1) by ‘ingesting’ new members who have knowledge not previously in the
                      organization, or
                      2) by its members learning

                      Huckmanand Pisano (2006) - experience within particular organization

                      Hire employees / management to access internally (rather than externally)
                      the accumulated learning – strategy/OT (Beckman & Burton, 2008;
                      Ahuja&Katila, 2001)

                      Hypothesis 1: The benefit from learning transferred by an individual will be
                      higher with greater levels of prior experience.

                      Hypothesis 2: The benefit from learning transferred by an individual will be
                      higher with prior successful experience.

                                            S T A N F O R D U N I V E R S I T Y • Management Science & Engineering
CUTTING YOUR TEETH



                     Transfer effects - loss of performance if skill is wrongly applied in a different
                     context (Haleblian& Finkelstein, 1999; March, 1991)

                     Hypothesis 3a: The benefit from learning transferred by an individual will
                     be higher with prior experience in the same industry.

                     Industry evolution - automobiles (Abernathy, 1978) typesetters (Tripsas,
                     1997)

                     Major disruptions - learning in the previous environment no longer relevant
                     Find the right causal relationships and models to fit the changed environment
                     (Kaplan &Tripsas, 2008)

                     Hypothesis 3b: The benefit from learning transferred by an individual
                     with prior experience will be lower after a significant shift in the industry.

                     Hypothesis 4: The benefit from learning transferred by an individual will
                     be higher with more recent prior experience.

             5

                                            S T A N F O R D U N I V E R S I T Y • Management Science & Engineering
Shedding light on what the individual is learning
CUTTING YOUR TEETH




                     Existing work mainly argues that processes and routines are learned from
                     operating experience (Nelson & Winter, 1982; Winter, 2000)

                     Bingham, Eisenhardt, and Davis (2009) - rather than routines, increasingly
                     sophisticated and refined portfolios of heuristics to guide actions

                     Content knowledge as important or more so than process knowledge

                     Hypothesis 5: The benefit from learning transferred by an individual will
                     come from content learning about the industry gained from prior
                     experience rather than about process learning.




             6

                                           S T A N F O R D U N I V E R S I T Y • Management Science & Engineering
MIT Data
CUTTING YOUR TEETH


                         Long time horizon in the cross section (1930s-2003)
                         Note: not MIT-originated technology

                      Alumni: 105,000 surveyed; 42,930 records in 2001
                         – Date of birth, country of citizenship, gender, major at MIT, highest
                           attained degree
                         – 7,798 indicated founding at least one company

                      Survey of self-identified MIT alumni entrepreneurs in 2003
                         – 2,067 respondents (r.r. 27%)
                         – More detailed info; new venture founding history (multi-founder r.r. of
                            30.4%, 1.79 vs. 2.13 reported)

                      80% of the company names D&B database (obtain a credit rating) no bias
                      towards larger firms (Aldrich, Kalleberg, Marsden and Cassell, 1989)
                      VEIC  SIC codes (Dushnitsky& Lenox, 2005)


                                                   S T A N F O R D U N I V E R S I T Y • Management Science & Engineering
Univariatet-tests of means
CUTTING YOUR TEETH



                           Panel A   No prior founding experience                           At least 1 prior founding experience

                          Revenues                   13.957                                                        14.219*

                          Exits                       0.205                                                        0.240**
                                       Prior founding exper. in a                              Prior founding exper. in the same
                          Panel B          different industry                                              industry

                          Revenues                   14.042                                                        14.854**

                          Exits                       0.060                                                        0.173***
                                     Before dotcom boom, no prior                                Before dotcom boom, has prior
                          Panel C+          founding exper.                                             founding exper.

                          Revenues                   14.614                                                        15.227*

                          Exits                       0.275                                                         0.391*
                                     After dotcom boom, no prior                                  After dotcom boom, has prior
                          Panel D+       founding experience                                          founding experience

                          Revenues                   12.810                                                         13.375

                          Exits                       0.182                                                        0.061**
             8

                                          S T A N F O R D U N I V E R S I T Y • Management Science & Engineering
Methods
CUTTING YOUR TEETH


                     OLS
                     Y = F(α + 1’θi + 2’*(exper.) + 3’*(exper.)*(ind. disruption) + ’Xi + τt+ ηj + εi)

                     Cox Hazard Rate Model (robust to logit)
                     Prob (Y= 1) = F(α + 1’*(experience) + ’Xi + τt+ ηj + εi)

                      Dependent variable: Revenues, exit (acquisition, IPO)

                      # prior experiences, # exits (acquired, IPO), same/different industry

                      Xi = Set of controls for firm age, external funding, num. cofounders,
                       functional diversity, initial capital
                      Include (τ + η) year, industry sector fixed effects
                      Before and after significant industry disruption


                                                                                                         Proportional Hazards Test   9
                                                S T A N F O R D U N I V E R S I T Y • Management Science & Engineering
Revenues
CUTTING YOUR TEETH



                                   Pr(Exited)    Ln(Rev)        Pr(Exited)             Ln(Rev)             Pr(Exited)          Ln(Rev)   Pr(Exited)    Ln(Rev)
                                      (4-1)       (4-2)            (4-3)                (4-4)                 (4-5)             (4-6)       (4-7)       (4-8)
                     Exper.
                     Founder       1.568***     0.453**

                                   (0.219)      (0.181)
                     Num. Prior
                     Exper.                                    1.167**              0.272***

                                                                (0.083)              (0.064)

                     Prior exits                                                                          1.382***            0.401***

                                                                                                           (0.116)            (0.137)

                     Same SIC                                                                                                            1.166        1.167***

                                                                                                                                         (0.356)      (0.429)




                               N=1106, 911. Controls for firm age, num. cofounders, functional diversity,
                               industry, year, initial capital, VC funding are controlled.
                                    (more)

                                                     S T A N F O R D U N I V E R S I T Y • Management Science & Engineering
Large Industry Disruption
CUTTING YOUR TEETH



                                       Pr(Exite   Ln(Revenu           Ln(Revenu               Ln(Revenu              Ln(Revenu      Ln(Revenu
                      VARIABLES           d)         es)                  es)                     es)                    es)           es)      Pr(Exited)
                                                                        Before                  Before                  After         After
                                        (5-1)        (5-2)               (5-3)                   (5-4)                  (5-5)         (5-6)        (5-7)
                      Exper. founder    0.407      1.333**             2.139***                                         0.440
                                       (0.287)     (0.596)              (0.697)                                        (0.527)
                      Post-
                      1997*Experien
                      ced founder      -1.214**    -0.302
                                        (0.522)    (0.840)
                      Prior exits                                                                1.173**                              0.545
                                                                                                  (0.473)                            (0.438)
                      Lag 25-50th
                      quartile                                                                                                                   2.453**
                                                                                                                                                 (1.085)
                      Lag 50-75th
                      quartile                                                                                                                    1.633
                                                                                                                                                 (1.407)
                      Lag 75th+
                      quartile                                                                                                                  -6.608***
                                                                                                                                                 (2.549)
                      Age founded      -0.021*      -0.029               -0.0537*               -0.0663*                    0.024     0.022       -0.015

                     Software firms only; N=205 Standard errors in parentheses *** p<0.01, ** p<0.05, * p<0.1
                     Controls: age founded, num. cofounders, Bachelor’s, Master’s, initial capital, firm age
                                                   S T A N F O R D U N I V E R S I T Y • Management Science & Engineering
Content vs. process
CUTTING YOUR TEETH


                      VARIABLES              Log(Rev)         Pr(Exited)               Log(Rev)                  Log(Rev)         Log(Rev)     Log(Rev)
                      Priorexper.          0.368***         1.263**                0.388***                  0.356***
                                            (0.072)         (0.131)                (0.087)                   (0.074)
                      Prior
                      exper.*External
                      funding              -0.416***        1.098
                                           (0.149           (0.183)
                      Prior exper.*angel                                           -0.553**
                                                                                   (0.273)
                      Prior exper.*VC                                                                        -0.387**
                                                                                                             (0.176)
                      Same SIC                                                                                                  1.124***
                                                                                                                                (0.392)
                      Same SIC*VC                                                                                               -2.399***
                                                                                                                                (0.904)
                           Standard errors in parentheses *** p<0.01, ** p<0.05, * p<0.1
                      Different SIC                                                                                                          0.265***
                                                                                                                                             (0.066)
                      Different SIC*VC                                                                                                       -0.489
                                                                                                                                             (0.592)
                      VC                                                                                     1.016**            0.496        0.462
                      1063 firms, 234 events and 16,068 years at risk. All models include controls for Master’s and Doctorate
                      degrees, the number of cofounders, log(firm age), functional diversity and constant terms, but the coefficients
                      are not shown to save space. Model (6-3) excludes firms that were VC funded. Models (6-4), (6-5) and (6-6)
                      exclude firms that were funded by angel investors. The results are robust to leaving these firms in as well.
                                                       S T A N F O R D U N I V E R S I T Y • Management Science & Engineering
Alternative stories/Robustness checks
CUTTING YOUR TEETH




                       1.    Unique to particular measures of “performance”
                       2.    More talented or persistent individuals select into serial
                             entrepreneurship (individual fixed effects)
                       3.    Learning about the start-up process (evidence on industries)


                       4.     Increased social network size (evidence on location)
                            -     most communication is with those in closer physical proximity

                       5.    Wealth




                                          S T A N F O R D U N I V E R S I T Y • Management Science & Engineering
Conclusion and Implications
CUTTING YOUR TEETH



                                                           Hypothesis:                                                    Supported?
                           The benefit from learning transferred by an individual will be higher
                     H1                                                                                                       Y
                           with greater levels of prior experience.
                     H2    “… higher with prior successful experience                                                         Y
                     H3a   “… higher with prior experience in the same industry                                               Y
                     H3b   “… lower after a significant shift in the industry                                                 Y
                     H4    “… higher with more recent prior experience                                                        Y
                           “… will come from content learning about the industry gained from prior
                     H5                                                                                                       Y
                           experience rather than about process learning.
                      Organizational Learning and Entrepreneurship Literatures:
                      Individual Level
                           •    Learning by ingesting new members
                      Strategy
                           •    Micro-foundations of competitive advantage – content vs. process (Haliblian&
                                Finkelstein, 2002) diversification
                           •    Active view on identification of valuable resources (routines)
                           •    Level playing field after disruptions
                           •    Challenge of sectors with more serial entrepreneurs
                      Institutions
                           •    Fostering this type of experience (exit events, non-competes)             14
                                                 S T A N F O R D U N I V E R S I T Y • Management Science & Engineering
Relationship to Broader Research Stream
CUTTING YOUR TEETH


                     Drivers of entrepreneurial entry and performance (different contexts)

                     Developed economy
                      Entrepreneurs from Technology-Based Universities - with David Hsu
                       (Wharton), Ed Roberts (MIT)
                      Bringing Ideas to Life – Conditions when types of assets  performance

                     Developing economy
                      The Right Stuff
                         – Role of institutional environment in selection of high human capital
                            entrepreneurs
                      Entrepreneurial Performance in a Developing Country: Evidence from
                       China



      15

                                          S T A N F O R D U N I V E R S I T Y • Management Science & Engineering
CUTTING YOUR TEETH




                                                 Thank you!

                                 Chuck Eesley
                               Stanford University
                     Management Science & Engineering (MS&E)
                               cee@stanford.edu




                           S T A N F O R D U N I V E R S I T Y • Management Science & Engineering
Index of Backup Slides
CUTTING YOUR TEETH



                       Panel Data
                       Individual Fixed Effects
                       Learning about start-up
                        process
                       Descriptive statistics
                       Response Bias




                                        S T A N F O R D U N I V E R S I T Y • Management Science & Engineering
Alternative stories/Robustness checks
CUTTING YOUR TEETH




                       1.   Unique to particular measures of “performance”
                       2.   More talented or persistent individuals select into cross-functional
                            roles or attempt 2nd start-ups (individual fixed effects)
                       3.   Learning about the start-up process (evidence on industries)


                       More difficult to rule out
                       1.   Increased social network size (evidence on location, could be
                            mechanism)
                       2.   Wealth




                                          S T A N F O R D U N I V E R S I T Y • Management Science & Engineering
Probability of Acquisition
CUTTING YOUR TEETH


                                                                              Dep. Variable = Acquisition year
                                                                          (subjects start being at risk at year of founding)
                                                                         Note: reported coefficients are hazard ratios
                     Independent variables      Model 7-1                     Model 7-2                Model 7-3                   Model 7-4

                     Age at founding              0.989                             0.955**                               0.969      0.965
                                                 (0.034)                            (0.021)                              (0.020)    (0.029)
                     # of start-ups              2.224**                               --                                   --         --
                     founded                     (1.444)
                     Number of                    1.551                               1.563                               1.489      1.578
                     Cofounders                  (0.492)                             (0.527)                             (0.470)    (0.928)

                     Prior acquisitions            --                              2.011***                                  --       --
                                                                                    (0.370)
                     Prior IPOs                    --                                1.777                                   --       --
                                                                                    (0.759)
                     # Same State                  --                                  --                               1.255**       --
                                                                                                                        (0.171)
                     # Different State             --                                   --                              1.333**       --
                                                                                                                        (0.234)
                     Same Industry                 --                                   --                                 --      37.621**
                                                                                                                                    (56.90)
                     Different Industry            --                                   --                                   --      3.675
                                                                                                                                    (3.015)


                                       Firm age, indiv. degree, Industry, year, initial capital, VC funding
                                       are controlled.

                                                        S T A N F O R D U N I V E R S I T Y • Management Science & Engineering
CUTTING YOUR TEETH
                       Panel Data
                                          PR(ACQUIRED)                            PR(IPO)                                LN(EMPL)               LN(SURVIVAL)
                     Num. of start-
                     ups founded             0.040         (0.051)              0.002             (0.069)                0.066        (0.057)    -0.028*        (0.016)
                     Num. prior
                     acquired            0.396***          (0.087)              0.084             (0.116)                0.160        (0.103)      0.058        (0.024)
                     Num. same 2
                     digit SIC             -0.239*         (0.125)             -0.014             (0.161)           0.442***          (0.143)      0.014        (0.034)
                     Age at founding
                     year               -0.012***          (0.004)              0.001             (0.005)          -0.012***          (0.004)      0.006        (0.001)
                     Gender
                     (1=male)             0.404**          (0.202)            0.372               (0.289)           0.582***          (0.153)      0.059        (0.052)
                     Masters                -0.016         (0.076)           0.170*               (0.103)           0.305***          (0.086)      0.040        (0.028)
                     Doctorate            -0.192*          (0.102)            0.117               (0.130)              0.181          (0.121)      0.111        (0.036)
                     ln(emp)             0.055***          (0.019)         0.188***               (0.025)
                     ln(firm age)        0.173***          (0.057)         0.358***               (0.097)           0.532***          (0.074)
                     MA                  0.330***          (0.081)         0.260***               (0.104)            0.214**          (0.098)      -0.021       (0.030)
                     CA                  0.389***          (0.092)         0.440***               (0.123)              -0.030         (0.102)       0.010       (0.033)
                     Constant               -1.422         (1.347)        -2.543***               (0.994)          -3.290***          (0.626)   1.412***        (0.198)
                     Year F.E.                    YES                             YES                                       YES                         YES
                     SIC F.E.                     YES                             YES                                       YES                         YES
                     Individual F.E.              NO                               NO                                        NO                          NO
                     R-squared                   0.160                            0.228                                     0.150                       0.622
                     Num. of obs.                1997                             1760                                      2092                        2217


                             ***, **, and * indicate statistical significance at the 1%, 5%, and 10% levels, respectively. Robust standard errors in parentheses.


                                                             S T A N F O R D U N I V E R S I T Y • Management Science & Engineering
Alternative stories/Robustness checks
CUTTING YOUR TEETH




                       1.   Unique to particular measures of “performance”
                       2.   More talented or persistent individuals select into cross-functional
                            roles or attempt 2nd start-ups (individual fixed effects)
                       3.   Learning about the start-up process (evidence on industries)


                       More difficult to rule out
                       1.   Increased social network size (evidence on location , could be
                            mechanism)
                       2.   Wealth




                                          S T A N F O R D U N I V E R S I T Y • Management Science & Engineering
CUTTING YOUR TEETH
                       Controls for individual characteristics
                                         PR(ACQUIRED)                            PR(IPO)                         LN(EMPLOYEES)                   LN(SURVIVAL)

                     Num. of start-
                     ups founded         2.326***         (0.181)            -0.099              (0.074)                0.029          (0.129)   0.161***      (0.043)
                     Num. prior
                     acquired           -5.105***         (0.221)        0.331***                (0.114)                0.078          (0.186)   -0.119**      (0.060)
                     Num. same 2
                     digit SIC              -0.298        (0.248)             0.090              (0.154)               -0.034          (0.208)      0.010      (0.064)
                     Age at
                     founding year      -0.103***   (0.010)                 0.000                (0.005)               -0.016          (0.011)      0.013      (0.013)
                     ln(emp)             -0.099**   (0.045)              0.158***                (0.025)
                     ln(firm age)         0.359**   (0.157)              0.394***                (0.093)             0.322**           (0.145)
                     Year F.E.                  YES                             YES                                        YES                         YES
                     SIC F.E.                   YES                             YES                                        YES                         YES
                     Individual F.E.              YES                               YES                                       YES                      YES
                     R-squared                    0.750                             0.206                                     0.750                    0.884
                     Num. of obs.                  463                              1771                                      2135                     2231




                             ***, **, and * indicate statistical significance at the 1%, 5%, and 10% levels, respectively. Robust standard errors in parentheses.


                                                              S T A N F O R D U N I V E R S I T Y • Management Science & Engineering
CUTTING YOUR TEETH
                     Alternative stories/Robustness checks

                       1.   Unique to particular measures of “performance”
                       2.   More talented or persistent individuals select into cross-functional
                            roles or attempt 2nd start-ups (individual fixed effects)
                       3.   Learning about the start-up process (evidence on industries)


                       More difficult to rule out
                       1.   Increased social network size (evidence on location , could be
                            mechanism)
                       2.   Wealth (no strong effects of prior IPO)




                                          S T A N F O R D U N I V E R S I T Y • Management Science & Engineering
Industry Context / Network
CUTTING YOUR TEETH



                     Independent                  Model 6-2                       Model 6-3                      Model 6-4
                                                                                                                                Model 7-3
                     variables                                                    Revenues                                        Acq.
                                                    (N=964)                        (N=648)                            (N=964)
                                                                                                                                  0.969
                     Founder char.
                     Age at founding                 -0.013                          -0.019                            -0.012
                                                                                                                                 (0.020)
                                                    (0.009)                         (0.012)                           (0.009)       --
                     Bachelor’s deg.                  0.298                         0.586+                             0.346
                                                     (0.256                         (0.335)                           (0.255)     1.489
                     Master’s degree                  0.402                          0.508                            0.434+     (0.470)
                                                    (0.255)                         (0.334)                           (0.254)
                     # Same State                   0.238*                                                                       1.255**
                                                    (0.096)                                                                      (0.171)
                     # Different State                0.125                                                                      1.333**
                                                    (0.104)                                                                      (0.234)
                     Same 2 digit SIC                                              1.675**                                          --
                                                                                   (0.614)
                     Different 2 digit SIC                                          0.153
                                                                                                                                   --
                                                                                    (0.623)
                     Prior acquisitions                                                                               0.445**
                                                                                                                      (0.189)
                     Prior IPOs                                                                                        0.408
                                                                                                                      (0.341)
                     R-squared                       0.291                           0.362                             0.346



                       Firm age, functional diversity, Industry, year, initial capital, VC
                       funding are controlled.
                                                   Charles Eesley – Cutting
                                             S T A N F O R D U N I V E R S I T Y • Management Science & Engineering
Alternative stories/Robustness checks
CUTTING YOUR TEETH




                       1.   Unique to particular measures of “performance”
                       2.   More talented or persistent individuals select into cross-functional
                            roles or attempt 2nd start-ups (individual fixed effects)
                       3.   Learning about the start-up process (evidence on industries)


                       More difficult to rule out
                       1.   Increased social network size (evidence on location , could be
                            mechanism)
                       2.   Wealth




                                          S T A N F O R D U N I V E R S I T Y • Management Science & Engineering
Descriptive Statistics
CUTTING YOUR TEETH


                            Variable        Obs.                     Mean                        Std. Dev.                  Min          Max
                      Log revenues                 1264                        14.05                           3.08               0.03         21.66
                      Acquired                     1840                         0.19                           0.39                  0             1
                      IPO                          1790                         0.11                           0.32                  0             1
                      Lag between                  1502                        12.11                           9.41                  0            50
                      Number of Firms              2058                         1.61                           1.30                  1            11
                      Prior Acquisitions           2067                         0.13                           0.42                  0             3
                      Prior IPOs                   2067                         0.04                           0.23                 0             3
                      Prior Same SIC               1473                         0.02                           0.14                 0             2
                      Prior Different SIC          1473                         0.02                           0.18                 0             3
                      Prior Foundings in           2067                         0.38                           0.90                 0             8
                      the Same State
                      Prior Foundings in           2067                         0.23                           0.79                 0             7
                      a Different State
                      Age Founded                  1807                        39.65                         10.59                 18            83
                      Bachelor's degree            2000                         0.43                          0.49                  0             1
                      Master's Degree              2000                         0.41                          0.49                  0             1
                      Operating Years              1837                        14.34                         11.30                  0            74
                      Industry                     1600                         9.77                          4.34                  1            16
                      Number of                    2056                         1.05                          1.22                  0             4
                      Cofounders
                      VC funded                    1691                         0.13                           0.34                  0             1
                      Log initial capital          1264                        11.91                           2.72               0.28         21.02
                      Functional                   1964                         1.23                           0.48                  1             3
                      Diversity of Team




                                                          Charles Eesley
                                                   S T A N F O R D U N I V E R S I T Y • Management Science & Engineering
Initial Evidence
CUTTING YOUR TEETH




                     Panel A – Likelihood of Exit Events and Revenues (in 2001 dollars)
                                                                                                                                      5th firms and
                                           1st firms                2nd firms                      3rd firms              4th firms           higher
                     Firm Rank            (N=556)                   (N=182)                         (N=84)                 (N=21)            (N=36)
                     Median
                     Revenues
                     (‘000s)                   836                        1,784                             924              1,181            7,274
                     Standard Dev.
                     (‘000s)               153,000                    117,000                        130,000                10,800          21,200




                              Revenues adjusted to constant 2006 dollars
                                                       Charles Eesley – Cutting
                                                 S T A N F O R D U N I V E R S I T Y • Management Science & Engineering
Characteristics of Non-respondents
CUTTING YOUR TEETH



                     Variable                          Responded to 2001 survey                  Did not respond to 2001 survey   t-stat for equal means
                                                             (N=43,668)                                    (N=62,260)
                     Male                                       0.83                                          0.86                        10.11
                     Engineering major                          0.48                                          0.47                        -4.49
                     Management major                           0.16                                          0.15                        -5.75
                     Science major                              0.23                                          0.23                         0.37
                     Social sciences major                      0.05                                          0.06                         4.07
                     Architecture major                         0.06                                          0.08                        11.82
                     Non-US citizen                             0.81                                          0.82                         3.77
                     North American (not US) citizen            0.13                                          0.11                        -4.14
                     Latin American citizen                     0.13                                          0.12                        -1.44
                     Asian citizen                              0.33                                          0.34                         1.45
                     European citizen                           0.30                                          0.26                        -5.08
                     Middle Eastern citizen                     0.05                                          0.08                         6.32
                     African citizen                            0.03                                          0.05                         6.25

                     Variable                          Responded to 2003 survey                  Did not respond to 2003 survey   t-stat for equal means
                                                              (N=2,111)                                     (N=6,131)
                     Male                                       0.92                                          0.92                         0.12
                     Engineering major                          0.52                                          0.47                        -3.63
                     Management major                           0.17                                          0.21                         4.17
                     Science major                              0.17                                          0.18                         1.09
                     Social sciences major                      0.06                                          0.05                         1.18
                     Architecture major                         0.09                                          0.09                         1.06
                     Non-US citizen                             0.82                                          0.81                        -1.36
                     North American (not US) citizen            0.17                                          0.14                        -1.34
                     Latin American citizen                     0.19                                          0.19                         0.13
                     Asian citizen                              0.22                                          0.24                         0.73
                     European citizen                           0.31                                          0.32                         0.38
                     Middle Eastern citizen                     0.08                                          0.07                        -0.59
                     African citizen                            0.04                                          0.04                         0.17

                                                               Charles Eesley – Cutting
                                                         S T A N F O R D U N I V E R S I T Y • Management Science & Engineering
CUTTING YOUR TEETH




                                                 Thank you!

                                 Chuck Eesley
                               Stanford University
                     Management Science & Engineering (MS&E)
                               cee@stanford.edu




                           S T A N F O R D U N I V E R S I T Y • Management Science & Engineering

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Cutting Your Teeth

  • 1. CUTTING YOUR TEETH Cutting Your Teeth: Learning from Entrepreneurial Experience Chuck Eesley (Stanford), Edward B. Roberts (MIT) Organization Science Winter Conference Feb. 3-7th, 2010 1 S T A N F O R D U N I V E R S I T Y • Management Science & Engineering
  • 2. Motivation CUTTING YOUR TEETH  When do new ventures benefit from the prior entrepreneurial experience of their founders?  Under what conditions does organizational learning get transferred by individuals to new organizations (what type of learning in the case of entrepreneurial experience)? 2 S T A N F O R D U N I V E R S I T Y • Management Science & Engineering
  • 3. Organizational Learning CUTTING YOUR TEETH Gruber, 1994; Rapping, 1965; Thornton & Thompson, 2001 Strategic Contexts: acquisitions (Finkelstein &Haleblian, 2002; Haleblian& Finkelstein, 1999; Hayward, 2002; Vermeulen&Barkema, 2001), alliances (Anand, B. and T. Khanna, 2000; Hoang &Rothaermel, 2005) and internationalization (Bingham, Eisenhardt, & Davis, 2009), innovation (Katila&Ahuja, 2002) Type of Experience Successes/failures (Sitkin, 1992), variety (Schilling, Vidal, Ployhart, &Marangoni, 2003), complexity, voluntary or not (Haunschild& Sullivan, 2002; Haunschild& Rhee, 2004) Transfer of learning across organizations (Ingram & Baum, 1997; Kim & Miner, 2007; Miner &Haunschild, 1995) Vicarious (Haunschild& Miner, 1997; Huber, 1991) S T A N F O R D U N I V E R S I T Y • Management Science & Engineering
  • 4. Motivation: Types of learning experiences CUTTING YOUR TEETH Organization or industry-level phenomenon (Cyert& March, 1963; Baum & Ingram, 1998) Individual level? Simon (1991): 1) by ‘ingesting’ new members who have knowledge not previously in the organization, or 2) by its members learning Huckmanand Pisano (2006) - experience within particular organization Hire employees / management to access internally (rather than externally) the accumulated learning – strategy/OT (Beckman & Burton, 2008; Ahuja&Katila, 2001) Hypothesis 1: The benefit from learning transferred by an individual will be higher with greater levels of prior experience. Hypothesis 2: The benefit from learning transferred by an individual will be higher with prior successful experience. S T A N F O R D U N I V E R S I T Y • Management Science & Engineering
  • 5. CUTTING YOUR TEETH Transfer effects - loss of performance if skill is wrongly applied in a different context (Haleblian& Finkelstein, 1999; March, 1991) Hypothesis 3a: The benefit from learning transferred by an individual will be higher with prior experience in the same industry. Industry evolution - automobiles (Abernathy, 1978) typesetters (Tripsas, 1997) Major disruptions - learning in the previous environment no longer relevant Find the right causal relationships and models to fit the changed environment (Kaplan &Tripsas, 2008) Hypothesis 3b: The benefit from learning transferred by an individual with prior experience will be lower after a significant shift in the industry. Hypothesis 4: The benefit from learning transferred by an individual will be higher with more recent prior experience. 5 S T A N F O R D U N I V E R S I T Y • Management Science & Engineering
  • 6. Shedding light on what the individual is learning CUTTING YOUR TEETH Existing work mainly argues that processes and routines are learned from operating experience (Nelson & Winter, 1982; Winter, 2000) Bingham, Eisenhardt, and Davis (2009) - rather than routines, increasingly sophisticated and refined portfolios of heuristics to guide actions Content knowledge as important or more so than process knowledge Hypothesis 5: The benefit from learning transferred by an individual will come from content learning about the industry gained from prior experience rather than about process learning. 6 S T A N F O R D U N I V E R S I T Y • Management Science & Engineering
  • 7. MIT Data CUTTING YOUR TEETH Long time horizon in the cross section (1930s-2003) Note: not MIT-originated technology  Alumni: 105,000 surveyed; 42,930 records in 2001 – Date of birth, country of citizenship, gender, major at MIT, highest attained degree – 7,798 indicated founding at least one company  Survey of self-identified MIT alumni entrepreneurs in 2003 – 2,067 respondents (r.r. 27%) – More detailed info; new venture founding history (multi-founder r.r. of 30.4%, 1.79 vs. 2.13 reported)  80% of the company names D&B database (obtain a credit rating) no bias towards larger firms (Aldrich, Kalleberg, Marsden and Cassell, 1989)  VEIC  SIC codes (Dushnitsky& Lenox, 2005) S T A N F O R D U N I V E R S I T Y • Management Science & Engineering
  • 8. Univariatet-tests of means CUTTING YOUR TEETH Panel A No prior founding experience At least 1 prior founding experience Revenues 13.957 14.219* Exits 0.205 0.240** Prior founding exper. in a Prior founding exper. in the same Panel B different industry industry Revenues 14.042 14.854** Exits 0.060 0.173*** Before dotcom boom, no prior Before dotcom boom, has prior Panel C+ founding exper. founding exper. Revenues 14.614 15.227* Exits 0.275 0.391* After dotcom boom, no prior After dotcom boom, has prior Panel D+ founding experience founding experience Revenues 12.810 13.375 Exits 0.182 0.061** 8 S T A N F O R D U N I V E R S I T Y • Management Science & Engineering
  • 9. Methods CUTTING YOUR TEETH OLS Y = F(α + 1’θi + 2’*(exper.) + 3’*(exper.)*(ind. disruption) + ’Xi + τt+ ηj + εi) Cox Hazard Rate Model (robust to logit) Prob (Y= 1) = F(α + 1’*(experience) + ’Xi + τt+ ηj + εi)  Dependent variable: Revenues, exit (acquisition, IPO)  # prior experiences, # exits (acquired, IPO), same/different industry  Xi = Set of controls for firm age, external funding, num. cofounders, functional diversity, initial capital  Include (τ + η) year, industry sector fixed effects  Before and after significant industry disruption Proportional Hazards Test 9 S T A N F O R D U N I V E R S I T Y • Management Science & Engineering
  • 10. Revenues CUTTING YOUR TEETH Pr(Exited) Ln(Rev) Pr(Exited) Ln(Rev) Pr(Exited) Ln(Rev) Pr(Exited) Ln(Rev) (4-1) (4-2) (4-3) (4-4) (4-5) (4-6) (4-7) (4-8) Exper. Founder 1.568*** 0.453** (0.219) (0.181) Num. Prior Exper. 1.167** 0.272*** (0.083) (0.064) Prior exits 1.382*** 0.401*** (0.116) (0.137) Same SIC 1.166 1.167*** (0.356) (0.429) N=1106, 911. Controls for firm age, num. cofounders, functional diversity, industry, year, initial capital, VC funding are controlled. (more) S T A N F O R D U N I V E R S I T Y • Management Science & Engineering
  • 11. Large Industry Disruption CUTTING YOUR TEETH Pr(Exite Ln(Revenu Ln(Revenu Ln(Revenu Ln(Revenu Ln(Revenu VARIABLES d) es) es) es) es) es) Pr(Exited) Before Before After After (5-1) (5-2) (5-3) (5-4) (5-5) (5-6) (5-7) Exper. founder 0.407 1.333** 2.139*** 0.440 (0.287) (0.596) (0.697) (0.527) Post- 1997*Experien ced founder -1.214** -0.302 (0.522) (0.840) Prior exits 1.173** 0.545 (0.473) (0.438) Lag 25-50th quartile 2.453** (1.085) Lag 50-75th quartile 1.633 (1.407) Lag 75th+ quartile -6.608*** (2.549) Age founded -0.021* -0.029 -0.0537* -0.0663* 0.024 0.022 -0.015 Software firms only; N=205 Standard errors in parentheses *** p<0.01, ** p<0.05, * p<0.1 Controls: age founded, num. cofounders, Bachelor’s, Master’s, initial capital, firm age S T A N F O R D U N I V E R S I T Y • Management Science & Engineering
  • 12. Content vs. process CUTTING YOUR TEETH VARIABLES Log(Rev) Pr(Exited) Log(Rev) Log(Rev) Log(Rev) Log(Rev) Priorexper. 0.368*** 1.263** 0.388*** 0.356*** (0.072) (0.131) (0.087) (0.074) Prior exper.*External funding -0.416*** 1.098 (0.149 (0.183) Prior exper.*angel -0.553** (0.273) Prior exper.*VC -0.387** (0.176) Same SIC 1.124*** (0.392) Same SIC*VC -2.399*** (0.904) Standard errors in parentheses *** p<0.01, ** p<0.05, * p<0.1 Different SIC 0.265*** (0.066) Different SIC*VC -0.489 (0.592) VC 1.016** 0.496 0.462 1063 firms, 234 events and 16,068 years at risk. All models include controls for Master’s and Doctorate degrees, the number of cofounders, log(firm age), functional diversity and constant terms, but the coefficients are not shown to save space. Model (6-3) excludes firms that were VC funded. Models (6-4), (6-5) and (6-6) exclude firms that were funded by angel investors. The results are robust to leaving these firms in as well. S T A N F O R D U N I V E R S I T Y • Management Science & Engineering
  • 13. Alternative stories/Robustness checks CUTTING YOUR TEETH 1. Unique to particular measures of “performance” 2. More talented or persistent individuals select into serial entrepreneurship (individual fixed effects) 3. Learning about the start-up process (evidence on industries) 4. Increased social network size (evidence on location) - most communication is with those in closer physical proximity 5. Wealth S T A N F O R D U N I V E R S I T Y • Management Science & Engineering
  • 14. Conclusion and Implications CUTTING YOUR TEETH Hypothesis: Supported? The benefit from learning transferred by an individual will be higher H1 Y with greater levels of prior experience. H2 “… higher with prior successful experience Y H3a “… higher with prior experience in the same industry Y H3b “… lower after a significant shift in the industry Y H4 “… higher with more recent prior experience Y “… will come from content learning about the industry gained from prior H5 Y experience rather than about process learning. Organizational Learning and Entrepreneurship Literatures: Individual Level • Learning by ingesting new members Strategy • Micro-foundations of competitive advantage – content vs. process (Haliblian& Finkelstein, 2002) diversification • Active view on identification of valuable resources (routines) • Level playing field after disruptions • Challenge of sectors with more serial entrepreneurs Institutions • Fostering this type of experience (exit events, non-competes) 14 S T A N F O R D U N I V E R S I T Y • Management Science & Engineering
  • 15. Relationship to Broader Research Stream CUTTING YOUR TEETH Drivers of entrepreneurial entry and performance (different contexts) Developed economy  Entrepreneurs from Technology-Based Universities - with David Hsu (Wharton), Ed Roberts (MIT)  Bringing Ideas to Life – Conditions when types of assets  performance Developing economy  The Right Stuff – Role of institutional environment in selection of high human capital entrepreneurs  Entrepreneurial Performance in a Developing Country: Evidence from China 15 S T A N F O R D U N I V E R S I T Y • Management Science & Engineering
  • 16. CUTTING YOUR TEETH Thank you! Chuck Eesley Stanford University Management Science & Engineering (MS&E) cee@stanford.edu S T A N F O R D U N I V E R S I T Y • Management Science & Engineering
  • 17. Index of Backup Slides CUTTING YOUR TEETH  Panel Data  Individual Fixed Effects  Learning about start-up process  Descriptive statistics  Response Bias S T A N F O R D U N I V E R S I T Y • Management Science & Engineering
  • 18. Alternative stories/Robustness checks CUTTING YOUR TEETH 1. Unique to particular measures of “performance” 2. More talented or persistent individuals select into cross-functional roles or attempt 2nd start-ups (individual fixed effects) 3. Learning about the start-up process (evidence on industries) More difficult to rule out 1. Increased social network size (evidence on location, could be mechanism) 2. Wealth S T A N F O R D U N I V E R S I T Y • Management Science & Engineering
  • 19. Probability of Acquisition CUTTING YOUR TEETH Dep. Variable = Acquisition year (subjects start being at risk at year of founding) Note: reported coefficients are hazard ratios Independent variables Model 7-1 Model 7-2 Model 7-3 Model 7-4 Age at founding 0.989 0.955** 0.969 0.965 (0.034) (0.021) (0.020) (0.029) # of start-ups 2.224** -- -- -- founded (1.444) Number of 1.551 1.563 1.489 1.578 Cofounders (0.492) (0.527) (0.470) (0.928) Prior acquisitions -- 2.011*** -- -- (0.370) Prior IPOs -- 1.777 -- -- (0.759) # Same State -- -- 1.255** -- (0.171) # Different State -- -- 1.333** -- (0.234) Same Industry -- -- -- 37.621** (56.90) Different Industry -- -- -- 3.675 (3.015) Firm age, indiv. degree, Industry, year, initial capital, VC funding are controlled. S T A N F O R D U N I V E R S I T Y • Management Science & Engineering
  • 20. CUTTING YOUR TEETH Panel Data PR(ACQUIRED) PR(IPO) LN(EMPL) LN(SURVIVAL) Num. of start- ups founded 0.040 (0.051) 0.002 (0.069) 0.066 (0.057) -0.028* (0.016) Num. prior acquired 0.396*** (0.087) 0.084 (0.116) 0.160 (0.103) 0.058 (0.024) Num. same 2 digit SIC -0.239* (0.125) -0.014 (0.161) 0.442*** (0.143) 0.014 (0.034) Age at founding year -0.012*** (0.004) 0.001 (0.005) -0.012*** (0.004) 0.006 (0.001) Gender (1=male) 0.404** (0.202) 0.372 (0.289) 0.582*** (0.153) 0.059 (0.052) Masters -0.016 (0.076) 0.170* (0.103) 0.305*** (0.086) 0.040 (0.028) Doctorate -0.192* (0.102) 0.117 (0.130) 0.181 (0.121) 0.111 (0.036) ln(emp) 0.055*** (0.019) 0.188*** (0.025) ln(firm age) 0.173*** (0.057) 0.358*** (0.097) 0.532*** (0.074) MA 0.330*** (0.081) 0.260*** (0.104) 0.214** (0.098) -0.021 (0.030) CA 0.389*** (0.092) 0.440*** (0.123) -0.030 (0.102) 0.010 (0.033) Constant -1.422 (1.347) -2.543*** (0.994) -3.290*** (0.626) 1.412*** (0.198) Year F.E. YES YES YES YES SIC F.E. YES YES YES YES Individual F.E. NO NO NO NO R-squared 0.160 0.228 0.150 0.622 Num. of obs. 1997 1760 2092 2217 ***, **, and * indicate statistical significance at the 1%, 5%, and 10% levels, respectively. Robust standard errors in parentheses. S T A N F O R D U N I V E R S I T Y • Management Science & Engineering
  • 21. Alternative stories/Robustness checks CUTTING YOUR TEETH 1. Unique to particular measures of “performance” 2. More talented or persistent individuals select into cross-functional roles or attempt 2nd start-ups (individual fixed effects) 3. Learning about the start-up process (evidence on industries) More difficult to rule out 1. Increased social network size (evidence on location , could be mechanism) 2. Wealth S T A N F O R D U N I V E R S I T Y • Management Science & Engineering
  • 22. CUTTING YOUR TEETH Controls for individual characteristics PR(ACQUIRED) PR(IPO) LN(EMPLOYEES) LN(SURVIVAL) Num. of start- ups founded 2.326*** (0.181) -0.099 (0.074) 0.029 (0.129) 0.161*** (0.043) Num. prior acquired -5.105*** (0.221) 0.331*** (0.114) 0.078 (0.186) -0.119** (0.060) Num. same 2 digit SIC -0.298 (0.248) 0.090 (0.154) -0.034 (0.208) 0.010 (0.064) Age at founding year -0.103*** (0.010) 0.000 (0.005) -0.016 (0.011) 0.013 (0.013) ln(emp) -0.099** (0.045) 0.158*** (0.025) ln(firm age) 0.359** (0.157) 0.394*** (0.093) 0.322** (0.145) Year F.E. YES YES YES YES SIC F.E. YES YES YES YES Individual F.E. YES YES YES YES R-squared 0.750 0.206 0.750 0.884 Num. of obs. 463 1771 2135 2231 ***, **, and * indicate statistical significance at the 1%, 5%, and 10% levels, respectively. Robust standard errors in parentheses. S T A N F O R D U N I V E R S I T Y • Management Science & Engineering
  • 23. CUTTING YOUR TEETH Alternative stories/Robustness checks 1. Unique to particular measures of “performance” 2. More talented or persistent individuals select into cross-functional roles or attempt 2nd start-ups (individual fixed effects) 3. Learning about the start-up process (evidence on industries) More difficult to rule out 1. Increased social network size (evidence on location , could be mechanism) 2. Wealth (no strong effects of prior IPO) S T A N F O R D U N I V E R S I T Y • Management Science & Engineering
  • 24. Industry Context / Network CUTTING YOUR TEETH Independent Model 6-2 Model 6-3 Model 6-4 Model 7-3 variables Revenues Acq. (N=964) (N=648) (N=964) 0.969 Founder char. Age at founding -0.013 -0.019 -0.012 (0.020) (0.009) (0.012) (0.009) -- Bachelor’s deg. 0.298 0.586+ 0.346 (0.256 (0.335) (0.255) 1.489 Master’s degree 0.402 0.508 0.434+ (0.470) (0.255) (0.334) (0.254) # Same State 0.238* 1.255** (0.096) (0.171) # Different State 0.125 1.333** (0.104) (0.234) Same 2 digit SIC 1.675** -- (0.614) Different 2 digit SIC 0.153 -- (0.623) Prior acquisitions 0.445** (0.189) Prior IPOs 0.408 (0.341) R-squared 0.291 0.362 0.346 Firm age, functional diversity, Industry, year, initial capital, VC funding are controlled. Charles Eesley – Cutting S T A N F O R D U N I V E R S I T Y • Management Science & Engineering
  • 25. Alternative stories/Robustness checks CUTTING YOUR TEETH 1. Unique to particular measures of “performance” 2. More talented or persistent individuals select into cross-functional roles or attempt 2nd start-ups (individual fixed effects) 3. Learning about the start-up process (evidence on industries) More difficult to rule out 1. Increased social network size (evidence on location , could be mechanism) 2. Wealth S T A N F O R D U N I V E R S I T Y • Management Science & Engineering
  • 26. Descriptive Statistics CUTTING YOUR TEETH Variable Obs. Mean Std. Dev. Min Max Log revenues 1264 14.05 3.08 0.03 21.66 Acquired 1840 0.19 0.39 0 1 IPO 1790 0.11 0.32 0 1 Lag between 1502 12.11 9.41 0 50 Number of Firms 2058 1.61 1.30 1 11 Prior Acquisitions 2067 0.13 0.42 0 3 Prior IPOs 2067 0.04 0.23 0 3 Prior Same SIC 1473 0.02 0.14 0 2 Prior Different SIC 1473 0.02 0.18 0 3 Prior Foundings in 2067 0.38 0.90 0 8 the Same State Prior Foundings in 2067 0.23 0.79 0 7 a Different State Age Founded 1807 39.65 10.59 18 83 Bachelor's degree 2000 0.43 0.49 0 1 Master's Degree 2000 0.41 0.49 0 1 Operating Years 1837 14.34 11.30 0 74 Industry 1600 9.77 4.34 1 16 Number of 2056 1.05 1.22 0 4 Cofounders VC funded 1691 0.13 0.34 0 1 Log initial capital 1264 11.91 2.72 0.28 21.02 Functional 1964 1.23 0.48 1 3 Diversity of Team Charles Eesley S T A N F O R D U N I V E R S I T Y • Management Science & Engineering
  • 27. Initial Evidence CUTTING YOUR TEETH Panel A – Likelihood of Exit Events and Revenues (in 2001 dollars) 5th firms and 1st firms 2nd firms 3rd firms 4th firms higher Firm Rank (N=556) (N=182) (N=84) (N=21) (N=36) Median Revenues (‘000s) 836 1,784 924 1,181 7,274 Standard Dev. (‘000s) 153,000 117,000 130,000 10,800 21,200 Revenues adjusted to constant 2006 dollars Charles Eesley – Cutting S T A N F O R D U N I V E R S I T Y • Management Science & Engineering
  • 28. Characteristics of Non-respondents CUTTING YOUR TEETH Variable Responded to 2001 survey Did not respond to 2001 survey t-stat for equal means (N=43,668) (N=62,260) Male 0.83 0.86 10.11 Engineering major 0.48 0.47 -4.49 Management major 0.16 0.15 -5.75 Science major 0.23 0.23 0.37 Social sciences major 0.05 0.06 4.07 Architecture major 0.06 0.08 11.82 Non-US citizen 0.81 0.82 3.77 North American (not US) citizen 0.13 0.11 -4.14 Latin American citizen 0.13 0.12 -1.44 Asian citizen 0.33 0.34 1.45 European citizen 0.30 0.26 -5.08 Middle Eastern citizen 0.05 0.08 6.32 African citizen 0.03 0.05 6.25 Variable Responded to 2003 survey Did not respond to 2003 survey t-stat for equal means (N=2,111) (N=6,131) Male 0.92 0.92 0.12 Engineering major 0.52 0.47 -3.63 Management major 0.17 0.21 4.17 Science major 0.17 0.18 1.09 Social sciences major 0.06 0.05 1.18 Architecture major 0.09 0.09 1.06 Non-US citizen 0.82 0.81 -1.36 North American (not US) citizen 0.17 0.14 -1.34 Latin American citizen 0.19 0.19 0.13 Asian citizen 0.22 0.24 0.73 European citizen 0.31 0.32 0.38 Middle Eastern citizen 0.08 0.07 -0.59 African citizen 0.04 0.04 0.17 Charles Eesley – Cutting S T A N F O R D U N I V E R S I T Y • Management Science & Engineering
  • 29. CUTTING YOUR TEETH Thank you! Chuck Eesley Stanford University Management Science & Engineering (MS&E) cee@stanford.edu S T A N F O R D U N I V E R S I T Y • Management Science & Engineering