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Voting Patterns
Factors that Influence Voting
 Sociological Factors
◦ Income and occupation
◦ Education
◦ Sex and age
◦ Religious and ethnic background
◦ Region of the country where you live
◦ Family makeup
 Psychological Factors
◦ Party affiliation and identification
◦ Perception of candidate’s policies and/or
image
◦ The feeling that your vote will make a
statement
How Do People Vote?
 Income and Occupation
◦ Lower income=Democratic
◦ Upper-middle & upper-income=Republican
◦ Citizens with higher incomes and more
education vote in greater numbers as a whole;
the #1 factor in determining voter turnout
 Gender
◦ Gender Gap—significant deviation between the way
men and women vote
◦ Since 1988, women have voted for Democratic
candidates in greater percentages than men did
◦ 1996: Clinton and Dole split the male vote 50-50;
women voted for Clinton by more than 10%
 “Soccer Moms”—appealing to issues women care about
◦ 2004: new gender gap between single and married
women
◦ 2008: Obama attracted women to the Dem. ticket
◦ 2016: gap still exists, but women split along racial
 Youth (18-29)
◦ Both parties want to capture the youth vote
(but of you don’t capture it, does it matter?)
◦ Tend to vote Democratic
 2014 House midterms—54% D to 43% R
◦ Continue to vote in the lowest numbers
 2014 midterms—21.5%
◦ Registration has increased due to public-
service campaigns
 Religious and Ethnic Background
◦ Strongly affiliated religious groups tend to vote
more often
◦ Traditionally, Catholics and Jews voted
Democratic
 Catholics have moved back and forth in recent years
◦ Northern Protestants tend to vote Republican
◦ 2000 and 2004—religious gap: churchgoers
voted Republican; nonchurchgoers voted Dem.
 Due to Clinton scandal?
◦ Minority voters do not vote as much as white
voters
◦ Minorities vote heavily Democratic
 Geography
◦ After Civil War, South voted Democratic
◦ During Civil Rights era, Southerners moved
Republican
◦ South has tended to vote Republican for national
elections and Democratic for local elections
◦ Northerners vote in larger numbers
◦ New England and Sunbelt states=Republican
◦ Big cities=Democratic
◦ Industrial states=toss up, often Democratic b/c of
union activity
 Example: Ohio in 2008 and 2012 (As Ohio goes, so goes
the nation)
 Union voters are becoming less reliable Dem voters (see
 Party Affiliation
◦ More people are registering as Independents
◦ Greater overall Democratic registration
 32% D 23% R 39% I (highest in 75 yrs)
◦ Americans tend to vote on individual
candidates and issues rather than party
identification alone
 Especially true for Presidential elections
 Ticket-splitting for Pres and Congress occurs
regularly
 1996—Clinton reelected but Congress controlled by
Repubs. (Contract With America)
 2012—Obama elected but HOR controlled by

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Voting patterns

  • 2. Factors that Influence Voting  Sociological Factors ◦ Income and occupation ◦ Education ◦ Sex and age ◦ Religious and ethnic background ◦ Region of the country where you live ◦ Family makeup
  • 3.  Psychological Factors ◦ Party affiliation and identification ◦ Perception of candidate’s policies and/or image ◦ The feeling that your vote will make a statement
  • 4. How Do People Vote?  Income and Occupation ◦ Lower income=Democratic ◦ Upper-middle & upper-income=Republican ◦ Citizens with higher incomes and more education vote in greater numbers as a whole; the #1 factor in determining voter turnout
  • 5.  Gender ◦ Gender Gap—significant deviation between the way men and women vote ◦ Since 1988, women have voted for Democratic candidates in greater percentages than men did ◦ 1996: Clinton and Dole split the male vote 50-50; women voted for Clinton by more than 10%  “Soccer Moms”—appealing to issues women care about ◦ 2004: new gender gap between single and married women ◦ 2008: Obama attracted women to the Dem. ticket ◦ 2016: gap still exists, but women split along racial
  • 6.  Youth (18-29) ◦ Both parties want to capture the youth vote (but of you don’t capture it, does it matter?) ◦ Tend to vote Democratic  2014 House midterms—54% D to 43% R ◦ Continue to vote in the lowest numbers  2014 midterms—21.5% ◦ Registration has increased due to public- service campaigns
  • 7.  Religious and Ethnic Background ◦ Strongly affiliated religious groups tend to vote more often ◦ Traditionally, Catholics and Jews voted Democratic  Catholics have moved back and forth in recent years ◦ Northern Protestants tend to vote Republican ◦ 2000 and 2004—religious gap: churchgoers voted Republican; nonchurchgoers voted Dem.  Due to Clinton scandal? ◦ Minority voters do not vote as much as white voters ◦ Minorities vote heavily Democratic
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  • 10.  Geography ◦ After Civil War, South voted Democratic ◦ During Civil Rights era, Southerners moved Republican ◦ South has tended to vote Republican for national elections and Democratic for local elections ◦ Northerners vote in larger numbers ◦ New England and Sunbelt states=Republican ◦ Big cities=Democratic ◦ Industrial states=toss up, often Democratic b/c of union activity  Example: Ohio in 2008 and 2012 (As Ohio goes, so goes the nation)  Union voters are becoming less reliable Dem voters (see
  • 11.  Party Affiliation ◦ More people are registering as Independents ◦ Greater overall Democratic registration  32% D 23% R 39% I (highest in 75 yrs) ◦ Americans tend to vote on individual candidates and issues rather than party identification alone  Especially true for Presidential elections  Ticket-splitting for Pres and Congress occurs regularly  1996—Clinton reelected but Congress controlled by Repubs. (Contract With America)  2012—Obama elected but HOR controlled by