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Velocity Campus:
Customer Discovery 2



Presented by Henry Shi
                                @henrythe9ths
                         henry@henrythe9th.com
Introduction
Startups from My Experience

Goals and Expectations

How to Test/Validate Your Idea

How to Build a Sexy Launch Page (mini sales site)

Adwords, A/B Testing, Keyword Tips
Resources
Convert: Designing Web Sites to Increase
 Traffic and Conversion – Ben Hunt

The Definitive Guide to Adwords – Perry Marshall

Running Lean – Ash Maurya

Themeforest – Professional Designs at affordable prices
Various resources around the web
Henrythe9th.com – 14 Day Startup Challenge
About Me
• Henry Shi
  o CTO, BetterU – a Next36 Company
  o Founder, Sendalysis – 14 Day Startup Challenge
  o Bloomberg Sports
        • Statistics and Predictive Analytics for MLB
        • Rails Powered App, Java/C++ services
  o Undergraduate Research
        • Machine Learning and predictive modeling of bias in college
          football polls
  o Teachings:
      Learning to Code for Startup MVP @ Velocity
      Student Leadership Program Facilitator
Agenda

1. Startup + Online Market

2. Build a Launch Page

3. Test/Evaluate Market using AdWords

4. A/B Testing
Questions?
Startups
• Why do Startups Fail?
Why do Startups Fail?
• Building Something that No One wants
• “Life is too short to keep building something nobody
    (or not enough people) want” – Ash Maurya


• Given time and resources, we can build our solution
    to spec, but it is the market that is both the riskiest
    and most unforgiving to startups

•   The biggest risk of a startup is not failing, but wasting
    years of your life with an idea that will go nowhere
Example: Review Site for Mechanics
• Car Mechanic industry is broken:
  o   very low transparency
  o   high commissions
  o   high variability in service quality
  o   many poor experiences
  o   long waiting time
  o   over budget services


• Ripe for disruption with our fancy Web 2.0 app?
• Make revenue on affiliate, sponsored ads, etc
Wrong
Wrong – Until we validate our
hypotheses
• What are our hypotheses?
  o Do people have a problem with their current
    mechanic?
      Maybe I’ve been visiting my neighborhood mechanic for the
       past 20yrs
  o Who are the target demographics for dissatisfied car
    owners?
      Do they use the internet for opinons/review?
      Are they likely to post reviews?
  o What do people care about when they see a car
    mechanic?
      Price, Speed, Quality, Experience, Convenience?
  o Do I see a mechanic often enough to care?
Product Meets Market
• What is the core problem?
• Most, if not all of your assumptions will be
  proven totally or partially incorrect when you put
  your product to the market

• Why waste months of your life and thousands of
  dollars building something that doesn’t solve a
  (painful enough) problem?
• Ideas are cheap, your life isn’t
Startups
• Startup is a business != side project
• Funnel of Demand
  o   People who like your product
  o   People who would use your product
  o   People who actually use your product
  o   People who would pay for your product
  o   People who actually pay for your product
  o   People who pay for your product now
  o   People who have paid you
  o   People who continue to pay you
Reduce Market Risk
• This session is to help you reduce your market
  risks as much as possible
  o Test, validate/invalidate as many market risks as possible
    before writing a single line of code
  o Secure prepayment before the product is finished
  o Self fund your startup
  o Negotiate better terms with investors, early employees
  o sleep better at night 


• Evaluating Demand for Your Idea
Lean Startup
• Won’t be covered in this session
• Lean Methodology – Eric Reas
  o Theory and concept, but not helpful in application
• Running Lean – Ash Maurya
  o Best book I’ve read about startups
  o Step by step process for executing the lean
    methodology
• henrythe9th.com
  o I blogged the everyday, step-by-step process of
    starting a startup from scratch in 14 days
Bootstrapping to 30K Users
• uMentioned
  o 0 lines of code in production
  o 100% self funded and bootstrapped
  o Reached over 20 schools across Canada
Reducing Market Risk: 0 Lines of
Code
• uMentioned
  o 0 lines of code in production
  o 100% self funded and bootstrapped
  o Reached over 20 schools across Canada


• Successfully validated core value proposition
  of anonymous social interactions

• Significantly reduced market risk
Building a Launch Page
• What is the purpose of a launch page?
• What should be on the launch page?
• When should you put up a launch page?
• What are my options for building/hosting a
  launch page?
Launch Page - Purpose
• Mini (Fake) Sales Site – Lean Principle
• Pretend that you have a working product/
  service fully built, with
  screenshots, pricing, quotes, signup, etc

• Watch behavior of real website visitors as
  they click through your website, browse, and
  signup, try or buy
Launch Page – Purpose
• Asking people if they’d use your product is
    inherently biased
•   Only way to find out for sure if people would use
    your product is if they think they are really trying or
    buying it when they visit your sales site

• Every time someone clicks try or buy, you record
    that action, and notify that your product is still under
    development, and ask for their email
•   Track your conversion metrics too see if there’s
    enough demand (more on this later)
Launch Page – Bad Example
Launch Page – What to include
• Mini Sales site should have (only) the following:
  o   Home
  o   Product Tour/ Screenshots (optional)
  o   *Pricing*
  o   Signup


• Home page should have a list of features,
  and a Call to Action to Try/Buy
Launch Page - www.sendalysis.com
• Clear CTA
•   Tracking on
    every action,
    event, click,
    scroll, visit
    duration, etc

•   Fake reports,
    graphic, icons…

•   Manual reports
Launch Page – What to include
• Analytics Tracking Tools
• CRITICAL!!!
Launch Page – Tracking Tools
• Won’t go into details of landing page metrics
    and optimization here
•   In essence:
    o profit = traffic * conversion

• Monitor some key metrics:
    o   Bounce Rate
    o   Visit Duration
    o   Pages/Visitor
    o   Inbound Traffic Referrals
    o   % new vs returning visitors
Launch Page – Conversion Funnel




Group Visitors into Cohorts if possible
Launch Page – Events Tracking
• Tracking Individual events will tell you so
  much more than just Google Analytics
Launch Page – Analytics Tools
•   Google Analytics
     o   King of Analytics. No site should be on the internet without it.
     o   Can be used for simple pageview and referral tracking or complex event based tracking
•   Clicktale
     o   Great screen recording tool
     o   Records the user’s mouse movements, clicks, scrolls
     o   Can view recorded browsing sessions, as well as heatmaps of mouse movements/clicks
•   Woopra
     o   Very powerful real time analytics
     o   Great for real time stats and funnel analysis
•   Mixpanel
     o   Advanced event based tracking tool
     o   Has a Free tier but I didn’t bother writing JavaScript code to track every event.
•   ClickDesk
     o   A live help chat tool that’s free for 1 operator
     o   Clickdesk integrates with your GChat/Gmail or Skype, so you can chat to your website
         visitors on GChat or Skype!

•   All have very powerful Free Tier
Launch Page – When to put it up?
•   When you have a set of core value propositions that you
    want to test

•   Put up a launch page to test if your value propositions
    are solving a real, pain point

•   Make sure to define falsible hypotheses before
    deciding what to put on the landing page

•   Make sure your landing page is testing those hypotheses
    and record results following a scientific method
Launch Page – What about Stealth?
• Life’s too short to be building something that
  no one (not enough people) want

• Have a brilliant stealth idea? Try calling your
  competitor’s engineering department about
  your idea and try to make them take your
  idea and build it
Launch Page – What about Design?
• Any fisherman will tell you that the best rod
  and bait in the world won’t do you any good
  in a mud puddle

• A Good market beats content, copy and
  design any day.

• Even the best design won’t save you from a
  rough market. Eg. Wunderkit
Launch Page – What about Design?
Launch Page – Building/Hosting
• Depends on your skillset and timeframe
• Unless you are a designer, highly
  recommended to use a template or template

• Themeforest.com has thousands of amazing
  landing page templates for $10-$15
Themeforest – Examples
Launch Page - Hosting
• Doesn’t really matter
• Launchrock.com is great for simple sign up
    pages, but too inflexible for the home page

•   Ramnode VPS
    o 2CPU, 512MB Ram, 60GB HD + SSD Cache, 2TB bandwitdh for
       $5~/month
    o Extremely flexible and cheap
    http://serverbear.com/ for all-in-one comparison of hosting solutions
Questions?
http://henrythe9th.com/resources/how-to-build-
  a-killer-landing-page/
Testing and Evaluating a Market
• How do we gauge the market demand for our
  product/service?

• How do we access potential customers outside of
  our geographic confinements?

• How do we study the characteristic and
  demographics and behaviour of our target market?


               The Internet!
AdWords
• Variety of Ad Networks, display ads, video ads, etc,
  but we’ll focus on Google’s text search ads


• From Wikipedia:
   o Google AdWords is Google's main advertising
     product and main source of revenue. Google's total
     advertising revenues were USD$42.5 billion in 2012
Adwords
• Why Adwords:
• No Minimum investment
   o unlike most advertising
• Can target very specific niches
   o Location, demographics, time of day
• Can be turned on/off instantly
• Relatively inexpensive
• Simple and fast turnaround time
• Customers who search as actively looking for a
  solution
AdWords: Assessing Market Health
• View past search volume and cost to assess
 market health
  o Avoid too competitive markets and markets that have
    no volume


• www.askhowie.com/mpg
• www.spyfu.com
• Google AdWords’ Keyword tool
AdWords MPG – Example
• Walkthrough of assessing market health
 using MPG tool
AdWords – Creating Your
Campaign
• Make sure to use Google’s $100 credit for $25
  spent on AdWords coupon when you sign up

• Sample coupon codes 
  3d6t3-uftd9-aj3p
  9coan-janag-dvdq
  7dgfh-d33q4-vtf6
  cj4mt-9ehxw-mrxj
  9vx9w-matl6-hnyh
  auqnr-utgy4-fyhh
AdWords – Creating Your
Campaign
• Fundamental Rule is Relevance
• High relevance between your keywords and
    your ad
•   High relevance between your ad and your
    site content

• You will be rewarded by high
    relevance, punished by low relevance
AdWords - Relevance
• Your Relative Position = (Your Bid Price) x (Your
    Clickthrough Rate)
•   Showing highly relevant ads will increase your click rate, and help drive
    down your costs.
•   For example, if I can increase my clickrates from 1% to 2%, then I can only
    bid $0.5 on an ad that would have otherwise cost me $1


• Echo Your Customer’s Inner Voice
•   Offer your customer precisely what he’s looking for as soon as he arrives
•   Make sure your ad precisely matches your keyword and you content
    matches your ad.
•   You will likely need different ads for different keywords and even different
    urls, content pages for different ads (more on this later)
AdWords – Keyword Research
• Identify attractive target keywords for your
    web pages
•   Keywords are terms (single words or
    phrases) that you want your page to appear
    to be about
•   Three important criteria of keywords:
    1. High relevance
    2. High traffic
    3. Low competition
AdWords – Keyword Research
• You have to rank high, within the 1-3 ranked ads




• Strategy is to target specific “long-tailed”
  keywords
AdWord – Keyword Research
• Start with your general topic, then use free or
  paid tools to help generate more keywords
AdWords – Keyword Research
• Best free tool is ubersuggest.org, based off of
  Google’s own auto suggests
AdWords - Keywords
•   Make sure to prevent Google from auto matching
    broader keywords by putting quotes around all your
    keywords (increase relevance)




•   Make sure to include a list of negative keywords to
    prevent matching similar, but distinct markets
AdWords – Creating the Ad
• Writing Good Copy
  o Beyond the scope of this session
  o Keep relevance at the top of your mind




• Input keywords
• Set Max CPC bid, max budget/day
AdWords - Conclusions
• Profit?
• In the long run, Adwords is a poor strategy for
    sustained growth
    o Eg, 1% conversion rate, need 100 visits/sale, $1/visit
      = $100 to acquire customer

•   Better to use inbound marketing, blogging, organic
    growth, SEO, etc
Split Test
• All about the Scientific Method
• A vs B, which is better?
Split Test
• Always A/B test your Ads, landing
    pages, copy, etc
•   Switch out the poorer performing one for a
    new test
•   Continuous improvements
Split Test - Tools
• Many tools to help automate A/B Tests
• https://www.optimizely.com/
• http://visualwebsiteoptimizer.com/
• Google Analytics Content Analytics (free)
Split Test - Results
• Simple Landing page 10x effective:
  o 36% Signup rate vs 0% previously
  o 27.5% usage rate (sent email to check for spam) vs
    5.4% previously


• Spam Test Tool AdWord much more effective
  o 9.09% avg CTR vs 4.88% CTR of other Ad
Questions?
• henry@henrythe9th.com
• @henrythe9ths
• henrythe9th.com

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Velocity Campus - Customer Discovery 2

  • 1. Velocity Campus: Customer Discovery 2 Presented by Henry Shi @henrythe9ths henry@henrythe9th.com
  • 2. Introduction Startups from My Experience Goals and Expectations How to Test/Validate Your Idea How to Build a Sexy Launch Page (mini sales site) Adwords, A/B Testing, Keyword Tips
  • 3. Resources Convert: Designing Web Sites to Increase Traffic and Conversion – Ben Hunt The Definitive Guide to Adwords – Perry Marshall Running Lean – Ash Maurya Themeforest – Professional Designs at affordable prices Various resources around the web Henrythe9th.com – 14 Day Startup Challenge
  • 4. About Me • Henry Shi o CTO, BetterU – a Next36 Company o Founder, Sendalysis – 14 Day Startup Challenge o Bloomberg Sports • Statistics and Predictive Analytics for MLB • Rails Powered App, Java/C++ services o Undergraduate Research • Machine Learning and predictive modeling of bias in college football polls o Teachings:  Learning to Code for Startup MVP @ Velocity  Student Leadership Program Facilitator
  • 5. Agenda 1. Startup + Online Market 2. Build a Launch Page 3. Test/Evaluate Market using AdWords 4. A/B Testing
  • 7. Startups • Why do Startups Fail?
  • 8. Why do Startups Fail? • Building Something that No One wants • “Life is too short to keep building something nobody (or not enough people) want” – Ash Maurya • Given time and resources, we can build our solution to spec, but it is the market that is both the riskiest and most unforgiving to startups • The biggest risk of a startup is not failing, but wasting years of your life with an idea that will go nowhere
  • 9. Example: Review Site for Mechanics • Car Mechanic industry is broken: o very low transparency o high commissions o high variability in service quality o many poor experiences o long waiting time o over budget services • Ripe for disruption with our fancy Web 2.0 app? • Make revenue on affiliate, sponsored ads, etc
  • 10. Wrong
  • 11. Wrong – Until we validate our hypotheses • What are our hypotheses? o Do people have a problem with their current mechanic?  Maybe I’ve been visiting my neighborhood mechanic for the past 20yrs o Who are the target demographics for dissatisfied car owners?  Do they use the internet for opinons/review?  Are they likely to post reviews? o What do people care about when they see a car mechanic?  Price, Speed, Quality, Experience, Convenience? o Do I see a mechanic often enough to care?
  • 12. Product Meets Market • What is the core problem? • Most, if not all of your assumptions will be proven totally or partially incorrect when you put your product to the market • Why waste months of your life and thousands of dollars building something that doesn’t solve a (painful enough) problem? • Ideas are cheap, your life isn’t
  • 13. Startups • Startup is a business != side project • Funnel of Demand o People who like your product o People who would use your product o People who actually use your product o People who would pay for your product o People who actually pay for your product o People who pay for your product now o People who have paid you o People who continue to pay you
  • 14. Reduce Market Risk • This session is to help you reduce your market risks as much as possible o Test, validate/invalidate as many market risks as possible before writing a single line of code o Secure prepayment before the product is finished o Self fund your startup o Negotiate better terms with investors, early employees o sleep better at night  • Evaluating Demand for Your Idea
  • 15. Lean Startup • Won’t be covered in this session • Lean Methodology – Eric Reas o Theory and concept, but not helpful in application • Running Lean – Ash Maurya o Best book I’ve read about startups o Step by step process for executing the lean methodology • henrythe9th.com o I blogged the everyday, step-by-step process of starting a startup from scratch in 14 days
  • 16. Bootstrapping to 30K Users • uMentioned o 0 lines of code in production o 100% self funded and bootstrapped o Reached over 20 schools across Canada
  • 17. Reducing Market Risk: 0 Lines of Code • uMentioned o 0 lines of code in production o 100% self funded and bootstrapped o Reached over 20 schools across Canada • Successfully validated core value proposition of anonymous social interactions • Significantly reduced market risk
  • 18. Building a Launch Page • What is the purpose of a launch page? • What should be on the launch page? • When should you put up a launch page? • What are my options for building/hosting a launch page?
  • 19. Launch Page - Purpose • Mini (Fake) Sales Site – Lean Principle • Pretend that you have a working product/ service fully built, with screenshots, pricing, quotes, signup, etc • Watch behavior of real website visitors as they click through your website, browse, and signup, try or buy
  • 20. Launch Page – Purpose • Asking people if they’d use your product is inherently biased • Only way to find out for sure if people would use your product is if they think they are really trying or buying it when they visit your sales site • Every time someone clicks try or buy, you record that action, and notify that your product is still under development, and ask for their email • Track your conversion metrics too see if there’s enough demand (more on this later)
  • 21. Launch Page – Bad Example
  • 22. Launch Page – What to include • Mini Sales site should have (only) the following: o Home o Product Tour/ Screenshots (optional) o *Pricing* o Signup • Home page should have a list of features, and a Call to Action to Try/Buy
  • 23. Launch Page - www.sendalysis.com • Clear CTA • Tracking on every action, event, click, scroll, visit duration, etc • Fake reports, graphic, icons… • Manual reports
  • 24. Launch Page – What to include • Analytics Tracking Tools • CRITICAL!!!
  • 25. Launch Page – Tracking Tools • Won’t go into details of landing page metrics and optimization here • In essence: o profit = traffic * conversion • Monitor some key metrics: o Bounce Rate o Visit Duration o Pages/Visitor o Inbound Traffic Referrals o % new vs returning visitors
  • 26. Launch Page – Conversion Funnel Group Visitors into Cohorts if possible
  • 27. Launch Page – Events Tracking • Tracking Individual events will tell you so much more than just Google Analytics
  • 28. Launch Page – Analytics Tools • Google Analytics o King of Analytics. No site should be on the internet without it. o Can be used for simple pageview and referral tracking or complex event based tracking • Clicktale o Great screen recording tool o Records the user’s mouse movements, clicks, scrolls o Can view recorded browsing sessions, as well as heatmaps of mouse movements/clicks • Woopra o Very powerful real time analytics o Great for real time stats and funnel analysis • Mixpanel o Advanced event based tracking tool o Has a Free tier but I didn’t bother writing JavaScript code to track every event. • ClickDesk o A live help chat tool that’s free for 1 operator o Clickdesk integrates with your GChat/Gmail or Skype, so you can chat to your website visitors on GChat or Skype! • All have very powerful Free Tier
  • 29. Launch Page – When to put it up? • When you have a set of core value propositions that you want to test • Put up a launch page to test if your value propositions are solving a real, pain point • Make sure to define falsible hypotheses before deciding what to put on the landing page • Make sure your landing page is testing those hypotheses and record results following a scientific method
  • 30. Launch Page – What about Stealth? • Life’s too short to be building something that no one (not enough people) want • Have a brilliant stealth idea? Try calling your competitor’s engineering department about your idea and try to make them take your idea and build it
  • 31. Launch Page – What about Design? • Any fisherman will tell you that the best rod and bait in the world won’t do you any good in a mud puddle • A Good market beats content, copy and design any day. • Even the best design won’t save you from a rough market. Eg. Wunderkit
  • 32. Launch Page – What about Design?
  • 33. Launch Page – Building/Hosting • Depends on your skillset and timeframe • Unless you are a designer, highly recommended to use a template or template • Themeforest.com has thousands of amazing landing page templates for $10-$15
  • 35. Launch Page - Hosting • Doesn’t really matter • Launchrock.com is great for simple sign up pages, but too inflexible for the home page • Ramnode VPS o 2CPU, 512MB Ram, 60GB HD + SSD Cache, 2TB bandwitdh for $5~/month o Extremely flexible and cheap http://serverbear.com/ for all-in-one comparison of hosting solutions
  • 37. Testing and Evaluating a Market • How do we gauge the market demand for our product/service? • How do we access potential customers outside of our geographic confinements? • How do we study the characteristic and demographics and behaviour of our target market? The Internet!
  • 38. AdWords • Variety of Ad Networks, display ads, video ads, etc, but we’ll focus on Google’s text search ads • From Wikipedia: o Google AdWords is Google's main advertising product and main source of revenue. Google's total advertising revenues were USD$42.5 billion in 2012
  • 39. Adwords • Why Adwords: • No Minimum investment o unlike most advertising • Can target very specific niches o Location, demographics, time of day • Can be turned on/off instantly • Relatively inexpensive • Simple and fast turnaround time • Customers who search as actively looking for a solution
  • 40. AdWords: Assessing Market Health • View past search volume and cost to assess market health o Avoid too competitive markets and markets that have no volume • www.askhowie.com/mpg • www.spyfu.com • Google AdWords’ Keyword tool
  • 41. AdWords MPG – Example • Walkthrough of assessing market health using MPG tool
  • 42. AdWords – Creating Your Campaign • Make sure to use Google’s $100 credit for $25 spent on AdWords coupon when you sign up • Sample coupon codes  3d6t3-uftd9-aj3p 9coan-janag-dvdq 7dgfh-d33q4-vtf6 cj4mt-9ehxw-mrxj 9vx9w-matl6-hnyh auqnr-utgy4-fyhh
  • 43. AdWords – Creating Your Campaign • Fundamental Rule is Relevance • High relevance between your keywords and your ad • High relevance between your ad and your site content • You will be rewarded by high relevance, punished by low relevance
  • 44. AdWords - Relevance • Your Relative Position = (Your Bid Price) x (Your Clickthrough Rate) • Showing highly relevant ads will increase your click rate, and help drive down your costs. • For example, if I can increase my clickrates from 1% to 2%, then I can only bid $0.5 on an ad that would have otherwise cost me $1 • Echo Your Customer’s Inner Voice • Offer your customer precisely what he’s looking for as soon as he arrives • Make sure your ad precisely matches your keyword and you content matches your ad. • You will likely need different ads for different keywords and even different urls, content pages for different ads (more on this later)
  • 45. AdWords – Keyword Research • Identify attractive target keywords for your web pages • Keywords are terms (single words or phrases) that you want your page to appear to be about • Three important criteria of keywords: 1. High relevance 2. High traffic 3. Low competition
  • 46. AdWords – Keyword Research • You have to rank high, within the 1-3 ranked ads • Strategy is to target specific “long-tailed” keywords
  • 47. AdWord – Keyword Research • Start with your general topic, then use free or paid tools to help generate more keywords
  • 48. AdWords – Keyword Research • Best free tool is ubersuggest.org, based off of Google’s own auto suggests
  • 49. AdWords - Keywords • Make sure to prevent Google from auto matching broader keywords by putting quotes around all your keywords (increase relevance) • Make sure to include a list of negative keywords to prevent matching similar, but distinct markets
  • 50. AdWords – Creating the Ad • Writing Good Copy o Beyond the scope of this session o Keep relevance at the top of your mind • Input keywords • Set Max CPC bid, max budget/day
  • 51. AdWords - Conclusions • Profit? • In the long run, Adwords is a poor strategy for sustained growth o Eg, 1% conversion rate, need 100 visits/sale, $1/visit = $100 to acquire customer • Better to use inbound marketing, blogging, organic growth, SEO, etc
  • 52. Split Test • All about the Scientific Method • A vs B, which is better?
  • 53. Split Test • Always A/B test your Ads, landing pages, copy, etc • Switch out the poorer performing one for a new test • Continuous improvements
  • 54. Split Test - Tools • Many tools to help automate A/B Tests • https://www.optimizely.com/ • http://visualwebsiteoptimizer.com/ • Google Analytics Content Analytics (free)
  • 55. Split Test - Results • Simple Landing page 10x effective: o 36% Signup rate vs 0% previously o 27.5% usage rate (sent email to check for spam) vs 5.4% previously • Spam Test Tool AdWord much more effective o 9.09% avg CTR vs 4.88% CTR of other Ad