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Using LTE to Boost ARPU
Breakfast Briefing
By Zahid Ghadialy
Managing Director eXplanoTech Ltd.
And
Webmaster 3g4g.co.uk, 3g4g.blogspot.com
What is ARPU?
Average Revenue Per User (ARPU) is a measure used
primarily by consumer communications and
networking companies. It is the total revenue divided
by the number of subscribers
Source: Wikipedia
2
Mobile Traffic will keep growing
Source: 3GPP
3
New Sources of Mobile Traffic
Source: 3G Americas
4
Global ARPU Trends
Source: GSMA, Dec. 09
6
‘Dumb Pipes’
 All operators have some kind of flat rate ‘all
you can eat’ packages.
 Though most of them put an upper cap or
clauses like ‘fair usage’ policy
 These packages have put strain on the
network
 The packages are widely abused as well
 A recent report mentioned that 3% of the
users generate 40% of the traffic
 Some operators have started fighting back
 Vodafone recently announced that it will
charge people for out-of-bundle data.
 AT&T planning to go the Vodafone way as
well
‘Smart-Pipes’ and ‘Happy-Pipes’
 Some people now use the term
‘Smart-Pipes’ to emphasise
Policy Control, QoS and so forth
 Dean Bubley from Disruptive wireless recently mentioned the word
‘Happy-Pipes’ to emphasise:
 There is a huge value in deploying and running a network well
 The smartest networks are the ones which work collaboratively *with*
Internet and content companies, not antagonistically against them. This
specifically related to areas like policy management.
 There is much under-exploited potential for revenue around wholesale
models. There are many potential business opportunities, both for "bulk"
wholesale and "slice and dice" methods of deriving extra fees for capacity
and value-added services.
More users does not mean more ARPU
 Some operators offer huge rebates to get customers onboard
 Rebates don’t work well in most cases
 They assume, “more users means more ARPU”
 Their simplistic assumption relies on customer loyalty
 Customer loyalty does not exist in this day and age.
Capex/Opex savings via Network Sharing
Example: Two MNOs jointly rolling out an LTE network. Operators jointly roll out a new build
of 2500 sites in a developed economy. This will typically achieve a 30% capex saving
accumulated over five years and would also reduce opex by 15% per year by year five.
Source: Analysis Mason, May 2010
 Though these savings don’t translate to ARPU, they
can certainly reduce the pressure to increase ARPU
LTE Needed for maintaining existing ARPU
 This statement may be too simplistic
So how can LTE help boost ARPU?
Faster and more Reliable Mobile Broadband
 But this may not be enough
Lots of Amazing Applications
 iPhone has more than
185,000+ apps
 More than 4 billion Apps
have been downloaded
already
 50,000+ apps available for
Android based phones
 Over 100,000 apps
downloaded per month
Real Time Mobile Apps
 Live blogging with facility to easily add pictures and
videos
 Giving rise to m-Reporters and real time citizen journalism
 VoIP based Voice and Video calling and conferencing
apps
 Live Radio and TV Streaming
 Real time games
Positioning, Monitoring and Tracking Apps
 Find me or find my friend type applications
 Satnav
 Find the nearest xyz
 Guide me or guide someone
 Track my xyz in real time
16
And you can use these apps to your own advantage ;)
Social Networking Apps
Facebook, Twitter, Linkedin, Orkut, etc.
17
M-Health Apps
 If operators create a
complete health based
portal, can they charge
extra?
 Will users be willing to
pay extra for:
 Having a remote nurse
available all the time to
answer queries
 To have their health
checked remotely
 To remind them about
taking medicines, etc.
Killer App
 We are still waiting for the killer app
Are Apps the only way to increase ARPU?
Fixed Mobile Convergence
 Triple play
 Quad Play
 Quintuple Play
 Do subscribers become more loyal to operators and
give operators the right to charge more?
‘3D’ Mobile
 This is big on device manufacturers agenda.
 There are already plans for:
 3D movies
 Live games (Football, Soccer, etc.) in 3D
 3D Videogames
 No one is sure how much bandwidth will a ‘3D’
broadcast/streaming hog but few people may pay premium for
this service.
22
HD (High Definition)
 HD Voice on mobiles
 HD Video/Movies on mobile
 Blu-Ray for mobiles?
Quality of Service and Quality of Experience
 Are we willing to pay extra to:
 Always get connectivity
 Get high speed connectivity even if the network is congested
 Operators can give higher priority to their
own/preferred portals
 Faster songs download
 Faster movies download
Femtocells
 Are people willing to pay extra for:
 Reliable connectivity at home
 High speed data transfer while at home
 Differences with respect to WiFi:
 Mobile broadband consumes less power for the Mobile
 The security is far better in Mobile Broadband
Special offers for Premium Subscribers
 O2 in UK has a similar
concept called the O2
priority
 Orange in UK gives 2 for 1
for movies on wednesdays.
 Can this concept be
enhanced for premium
subscribers
Things to think about
Revenue v/s ARPU
 ARPU will only be a useful measure if:
 Revenue increases on a regular basis and
 Number of users increase
 Do we focus too much on ARPU?
Do passive ‘data only’ devices reduce ARPU?
 Operators can charge limited fees for data only
devices like the e-book readers, mobile Sat-Nav’s, etc.
 Should they be included in the calculation of ARPU?
 Do we need a different measure for these devices?
 The operators generally get much higher margin on
these with a much lower churn
Some points raised in discussion during
the ‘Breakfast Briefing’
Discussion Notes - 1
 Operators have to focus on much more than just
voice and video
 Do M2M devices take away the revenue from
operator
 Can content providers use the location information
for their own advantage
 Sending advertisement which are relevant to location
information
 What about Spam?
 Are people comfortable disclosing their location?
 Location can be used by employers/partners/stalkers; not
acceptable in either case.
Discussion Notes - 2
 LTE can allow people to get rid of their landlines and
instead the LTE to WiFi conversion could be used.
 Billing is a very important weapon in the hands of
the operator. They can use it to charge for services
and content thereby taking a cut.
 Users are willing to trust the operator more than 3rd parties
for charging them
 The credit card details, etc do not have to be disclosed to
others
Credits
 Thanks to the following people who attended the
breakfast briefing and making it a lively discussion:
 Gunnar Hakansson, Ericsson
 Michael Morash, Bridgewater systems
 Margaret Hu, Huawei
 Umesh Date, Mindtree
 Mehul Patel, Mindtree
 Mohammad Bin Aris, Mobily
 Thanks also to the various contributors at the LTE
group on Linkedin who contributed to this
discussion out there.
Presented by Zahid Ghadialy
© eXplanoTech Ltd.
34

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Using LTE to Boost ARPU

  • 1. Using LTE to Boost ARPU Breakfast Briefing By Zahid Ghadialy Managing Director eXplanoTech Ltd. And Webmaster 3g4g.co.uk, 3g4g.blogspot.com
  • 2. What is ARPU? Average Revenue Per User (ARPU) is a measure used primarily by consumer communications and networking companies. It is the total revenue divided by the number of subscribers Source: Wikipedia 2
  • 3. Mobile Traffic will keep growing Source: 3GPP 3
  • 4. New Sources of Mobile Traffic Source: 3G Americas 4
  • 5.
  • 6. Global ARPU Trends Source: GSMA, Dec. 09 6
  • 7. ‘Dumb Pipes’  All operators have some kind of flat rate ‘all you can eat’ packages.  Though most of them put an upper cap or clauses like ‘fair usage’ policy  These packages have put strain on the network  The packages are widely abused as well  A recent report mentioned that 3% of the users generate 40% of the traffic  Some operators have started fighting back  Vodafone recently announced that it will charge people for out-of-bundle data.  AT&T planning to go the Vodafone way as well
  • 8. ‘Smart-Pipes’ and ‘Happy-Pipes’  Some people now use the term ‘Smart-Pipes’ to emphasise Policy Control, QoS and so forth  Dean Bubley from Disruptive wireless recently mentioned the word ‘Happy-Pipes’ to emphasise:  There is a huge value in deploying and running a network well  The smartest networks are the ones which work collaboratively *with* Internet and content companies, not antagonistically against them. This specifically related to areas like policy management.  There is much under-exploited potential for revenue around wholesale models. There are many potential business opportunities, both for "bulk" wholesale and "slice and dice" methods of deriving extra fees for capacity and value-added services.
  • 9. More users does not mean more ARPU  Some operators offer huge rebates to get customers onboard  Rebates don’t work well in most cases  They assume, “more users means more ARPU”  Their simplistic assumption relies on customer loyalty  Customer loyalty does not exist in this day and age.
  • 10. Capex/Opex savings via Network Sharing Example: Two MNOs jointly rolling out an LTE network. Operators jointly roll out a new build of 2500 sites in a developed economy. This will typically achieve a 30% capex saving accumulated over five years and would also reduce opex by 15% per year by year five. Source: Analysis Mason, May 2010  Though these savings don’t translate to ARPU, they can certainly reduce the pressure to increase ARPU
  • 11. LTE Needed for maintaining existing ARPU  This statement may be too simplistic
  • 12. So how can LTE help boost ARPU?
  • 13. Faster and more Reliable Mobile Broadband  But this may not be enough
  • 14. Lots of Amazing Applications  iPhone has more than 185,000+ apps  More than 4 billion Apps have been downloaded already  50,000+ apps available for Android based phones  Over 100,000 apps downloaded per month
  • 15. Real Time Mobile Apps  Live blogging with facility to easily add pictures and videos  Giving rise to m-Reporters and real time citizen journalism  VoIP based Voice and Video calling and conferencing apps  Live Radio and TV Streaming  Real time games
  • 16. Positioning, Monitoring and Tracking Apps  Find me or find my friend type applications  Satnav  Find the nearest xyz  Guide me or guide someone  Track my xyz in real time 16
  • 17. And you can use these apps to your own advantage ;) Social Networking Apps Facebook, Twitter, Linkedin, Orkut, etc. 17
  • 18. M-Health Apps  If operators create a complete health based portal, can they charge extra?  Will users be willing to pay extra for:  Having a remote nurse available all the time to answer queries  To have their health checked remotely  To remind them about taking medicines, etc.
  • 19. Killer App  We are still waiting for the killer app
  • 20. Are Apps the only way to increase ARPU?
  • 21. Fixed Mobile Convergence  Triple play  Quad Play  Quintuple Play  Do subscribers become more loyal to operators and give operators the right to charge more?
  • 22. ‘3D’ Mobile  This is big on device manufacturers agenda.  There are already plans for:  3D movies  Live games (Football, Soccer, etc.) in 3D  3D Videogames  No one is sure how much bandwidth will a ‘3D’ broadcast/streaming hog but few people may pay premium for this service. 22
  • 23. HD (High Definition)  HD Voice on mobiles  HD Video/Movies on mobile  Blu-Ray for mobiles?
  • 24. Quality of Service and Quality of Experience  Are we willing to pay extra to:  Always get connectivity  Get high speed connectivity even if the network is congested  Operators can give higher priority to their own/preferred portals  Faster songs download  Faster movies download
  • 25. Femtocells  Are people willing to pay extra for:  Reliable connectivity at home  High speed data transfer while at home  Differences with respect to WiFi:  Mobile broadband consumes less power for the Mobile  The security is far better in Mobile Broadband
  • 26. Special offers for Premium Subscribers  O2 in UK has a similar concept called the O2 priority  Orange in UK gives 2 for 1 for movies on wednesdays.  Can this concept be enhanced for premium subscribers
  • 28. Revenue v/s ARPU  ARPU will only be a useful measure if:  Revenue increases on a regular basis and  Number of users increase  Do we focus too much on ARPU?
  • 29. Do passive ‘data only’ devices reduce ARPU?  Operators can charge limited fees for data only devices like the e-book readers, mobile Sat-Nav’s, etc.  Should they be included in the calculation of ARPU?  Do we need a different measure for these devices?  The operators generally get much higher margin on these with a much lower churn
  • 30. Some points raised in discussion during the ‘Breakfast Briefing’
  • 31. Discussion Notes - 1  Operators have to focus on much more than just voice and video  Do M2M devices take away the revenue from operator  Can content providers use the location information for their own advantage  Sending advertisement which are relevant to location information  What about Spam?  Are people comfortable disclosing their location?  Location can be used by employers/partners/stalkers; not acceptable in either case.
  • 32. Discussion Notes - 2  LTE can allow people to get rid of their landlines and instead the LTE to WiFi conversion could be used.  Billing is a very important weapon in the hands of the operator. They can use it to charge for services and content thereby taking a cut.  Users are willing to trust the operator more than 3rd parties for charging them  The credit card details, etc do not have to be disclosed to others
  • 33. Credits  Thanks to the following people who attended the breakfast briefing and making it a lively discussion:  Gunnar Hakansson, Ericsson  Michael Morash, Bridgewater systems  Margaret Hu, Huawei  Umesh Date, Mindtree  Mehul Patel, Mindtree  Mohammad Bin Aris, Mobily  Thanks also to the various contributors at the LTE group on Linkedin who contributed to this discussion out there.
  • 34. Presented by Zahid Ghadialy © eXplanoTech Ltd. 34