This document summarizes a deep decarbonization pathway for Mexico to reduce greenhouse gas emissions by 2050. Key points:
- Mexico's GHG emissions are rising due to increased fossil fuel use. A deep decarbonization strategy is needed before new infrastructure is built.
- The pathway models reducing the carbon intensity of electricity generation through renewable energy and switching fuel use in sectors like industry and transport to less carbon intensive options like natural gas and biofuels.
- Primary energy would transition from oil dependence to natural gas, renewables, and nuclear. End uses would rely mainly on electricity and natural gas.
- Following this pathway could reduce Mexico's energy-related CO2 emissions by 53%
This document summarizes a report on renewable energy prospects in Mexico. It outlines how Mexico can achieve a transition to renewable energy by 2030 through concerted actions. Specifically:
- Mexico has excellent renewable resource potential and is committed to transitioning to sustainable energy. It recently reformed its energy sector and enacted renewable energy laws to promote renewables.
- The report models pathways for Mexico to double its renewable energy share by 2030 through taking advantage of its renewable resources and building on recent progress. This would result in a cleaner and more secure energy system.
- International cooperation will be important for Latin America to double its renewable energy share by 2030. Mexico is well-positioned to lead the region in this
Mexico commits to unconditionally reduce emissions 25% below business as usual by 2030, including a 22% reduction of greenhouse gases and 51% reduction of black carbon. This commitment could increase to a 40% reduction conditional on international support. Mexico also commits to adaptation actions like increasing resilience of infrastructure and ecosystems and establishing early warning systems. This nationally determined contribution puts Mexico on a pathway to decouple emissions from economic growth and transition to low-carbon development.
Presentation and Webinar Energy Collective on Mexico Energy ReformEnergy for One World
The document discusses Mexico's energy reform and whether the country is now open for business with the international energy community. It notes that Mexico has reformed its energy sector to allow foreign direct investment and partnerships in oil and gas exploration. While Mexico is providing the right business incentives and licensing programs to attract investment, there are still uncertainties that could impact how successfully it engages with international energy companies. The reform process is ongoing and its ultimate success will depend on how Mexico and international companies adapt to each other's needs and opportunities.
This document provides an overview and analysis of Mexico's recent energy reforms. It discusses the economic drivers behind the reforms, including declining GDP growth and oil production. The reforms aim to introduce competition in oil, gas, and electricity markets through opening upstream oil and gas to private investment while maintaining state ownership. It notes many details still need to be addressed, such as midstream infrastructure challenges. The document analyzes proposals to restructure institutions and transition from direct government intervention to regulation. It argues electricity reforms could boost the economy by reducing costs for manufacturers. A deeper legislative review may strengthen reforms and ensure maximum benefits.
This document summarizes the energy consumption and carbon emissions of several major countries. It finds that countries attempting to "catch up" economically, like China, India, and Indonesia, have seen sharply increasing energy use and carbon emissions driven by rapid industrialization and economic growth relying heavily on fossil fuels. Mature economies like South Korea show a slowing of emissions increases as they develop cleaner energy sources. The document analyzes data using Kaya's model and finds a close correlation between GDP, energy use, and carbon emissions in these countries. It concludes some developing nations will resist emission cuts until reaching maturity due to their priority of economic development over environmental goals.
The document discusses reasons to support renewable energy development globally. It notes trends in global population, economic growth, and energy consumption pointing to increasing demand. Charts show the majority of current energy comes from fossil fuels but renewable sources are growing. Successful examples of countries like Iceland and Denmark meeting most energy needs from renewables are mentioned. Major organizations are now supporting strong climate agreements and transitioning away from fossil fuels due to economic and security risks of climate change. The goal of powering the world completely with wind, water, and solar is evaluated as technologically and economically feasible if key social and political barriers can be overcome.
Il World Energy Inside è una pubblicazione mensile del World Energy Council (WEC) contenente interviste a rappresentanti del WEC e dei Comitati Nazionali, overview e aggiornamenti sulle attività recenti e future del WEC in tutto il mondo e, approfondimenti sulle ultime news in ambito energetico.
President Obama's Action Plan on Climate Change and Its Relevance for the Uni...Patton Boggs LLP
This document summarizes President Obama's Action Plan on climate change and discusses its relevance for the United Arab Emirates. The plan aims to cut US greenhouse gases by 17% below 2005 levels by 2020. It also calls for limits on carbon pollution from power plants and increased investment in clean energy technologies. The plan emphasizes international cooperation on climate finance and promoting renewable energy and resilience. The firm Patton Boggs will offer workshops in the UAE on topics like carbon offsetting and developing additional revenue streams from sustainable projects.
This document summarizes a report on renewable energy prospects in Mexico. It outlines how Mexico can achieve a transition to renewable energy by 2030 through concerted actions. Specifically:
- Mexico has excellent renewable resource potential and is committed to transitioning to sustainable energy. It recently reformed its energy sector and enacted renewable energy laws to promote renewables.
- The report models pathways for Mexico to double its renewable energy share by 2030 through taking advantage of its renewable resources and building on recent progress. This would result in a cleaner and more secure energy system.
- International cooperation will be important for Latin America to double its renewable energy share by 2030. Mexico is well-positioned to lead the region in this
Mexico commits to unconditionally reduce emissions 25% below business as usual by 2030, including a 22% reduction of greenhouse gases and 51% reduction of black carbon. This commitment could increase to a 40% reduction conditional on international support. Mexico also commits to adaptation actions like increasing resilience of infrastructure and ecosystems and establishing early warning systems. This nationally determined contribution puts Mexico on a pathway to decouple emissions from economic growth and transition to low-carbon development.
Presentation and Webinar Energy Collective on Mexico Energy ReformEnergy for One World
The document discusses Mexico's energy reform and whether the country is now open for business with the international energy community. It notes that Mexico has reformed its energy sector to allow foreign direct investment and partnerships in oil and gas exploration. While Mexico is providing the right business incentives and licensing programs to attract investment, there are still uncertainties that could impact how successfully it engages with international energy companies. The reform process is ongoing and its ultimate success will depend on how Mexico and international companies adapt to each other's needs and opportunities.
This document provides an overview and analysis of Mexico's recent energy reforms. It discusses the economic drivers behind the reforms, including declining GDP growth and oil production. The reforms aim to introduce competition in oil, gas, and electricity markets through opening upstream oil and gas to private investment while maintaining state ownership. It notes many details still need to be addressed, such as midstream infrastructure challenges. The document analyzes proposals to restructure institutions and transition from direct government intervention to regulation. It argues electricity reforms could boost the economy by reducing costs for manufacturers. A deeper legislative review may strengthen reforms and ensure maximum benefits.
This document summarizes the energy consumption and carbon emissions of several major countries. It finds that countries attempting to "catch up" economically, like China, India, and Indonesia, have seen sharply increasing energy use and carbon emissions driven by rapid industrialization and economic growth relying heavily on fossil fuels. Mature economies like South Korea show a slowing of emissions increases as they develop cleaner energy sources. The document analyzes data using Kaya's model and finds a close correlation between GDP, energy use, and carbon emissions in these countries. It concludes some developing nations will resist emission cuts until reaching maturity due to their priority of economic development over environmental goals.
The document discusses reasons to support renewable energy development globally. It notes trends in global population, economic growth, and energy consumption pointing to increasing demand. Charts show the majority of current energy comes from fossil fuels but renewable sources are growing. Successful examples of countries like Iceland and Denmark meeting most energy needs from renewables are mentioned. Major organizations are now supporting strong climate agreements and transitioning away from fossil fuels due to economic and security risks of climate change. The goal of powering the world completely with wind, water, and solar is evaluated as technologically and economically feasible if key social and political barriers can be overcome.
Il World Energy Inside è una pubblicazione mensile del World Energy Council (WEC) contenente interviste a rappresentanti del WEC e dei Comitati Nazionali, overview e aggiornamenti sulle attività recenti e future del WEC in tutto il mondo e, approfondimenti sulle ultime news in ambito energetico.
President Obama's Action Plan on Climate Change and Its Relevance for the Uni...Patton Boggs LLP
This document summarizes President Obama's Action Plan on climate change and discusses its relevance for the United Arab Emirates. The plan aims to cut US greenhouse gases by 17% below 2005 levels by 2020. It also calls for limits on carbon pollution from power plants and increased investment in clean energy technologies. The plan emphasizes international cooperation on climate finance and promoting renewable energy and resilience. The firm Patton Boggs will offer workshops in the UAE on topics like carbon offsetting and developing additional revenue streams from sustainable projects.
CUSP: 2020 Recommendations to Enhance Ambition, Signal Strategies and Acceler...CUSP | Univ of Guelph
The document provides 5 recommendations for Canada to enhance its climate ambition and accelerate collective action in its 2020 update to its Nationally Determined Contribution commitments under the Paris Agreement. The recommendations are to: 1) align its 2030 greenhouse gas reduction target with the IPCC recommendation of 45% below 2010 levels; 2) integrate a National Urban Strategy; 3) commit to achieving net-zero carbon emissions by 2050; 4) align federal policies and funding with the new targets and strategies; and 5) step up multilevel climate action implementation. The document argues that adopting these recommendations will help Canada play its part in limiting global warming to 1.5°C as called for by the Paris Agreement.
Net zero by 2050 roadmap for global energy sectorPatrickTanz
This document summarizes a report by the International Energy Agency (IEA) that outlines a pathway for the global energy sector to reach net zero emissions by 2050. The report involved extensive modeling and analysis. It identifies over 400 milestones across all sectors and technologies that must be achieved between now and 2050 to transform the global energy system from one dominated by fossil fuels to one powered predominantly by renewable energy. The pathway is challenging but achievable if all stakeholders take urgent action. It presents both a huge challenge and opportunity for economic growth and job creation through the transition to clean energy.
This document provides an overview and introduction to the "Canada Energy [R]evolution" scenario report, which analyzes Canada's energy efficiency potential and choices for the transport sector. It discusses the need to shift toward renewable energy sources and implement energy efficiency measures to mitigate climate change impacts from greenhouse gas emissions. The scenario examines how Canada can achieve at least a 25% reduction in emissions by 2020 and deeper cuts by 2050 through ambitious development of renewable energy and a transition away from fossil fuels in the energy sector. It presents the energy [r]evolution scenario as a practical blueprint for maintaining economic growth while significantly reducing emissions.
President Obama's Action Plan on Climate Change and Its Relevance for Saudi A...Patton Boggs LLP
This document summarizes President Obama's 21-page Action Plan on climate change, which aims to cut US greenhouse gases by 17% below 2005 levels by 2020. It also discusses opportunities for business and industry from the international component of the plan, including financing for carbon abatement projects and income from carbon offsetting. PattonBoggs will be delivering workshops on revenue streams, carbon offsetting, and technologies and innovation to help businesses and governments in the region take advantage of these opportunities.
Il World Energy Inside è una pubblicazione mensile del World Energy Council (WEC) contenente interviste a rappresentanti del WEC e dei Comitati Nazionali, overview e aggiornamenti sulle attività recenti e future del WEC in tutto il mondo e, approfondimenti sulle ultime news in ambito energetico.
This document discusses drivers and opportunities for biofuels in Victoria. It outlines key strategic drivers like climate change, peak oil, and energy security that are pushing the development of biofuels. The document also notes potential barriers to biofuels like public acceptance issues and competition from other low-emissions transport options. It concludes that while biofuels still face challenges, governments are investing in the industry and technologies are improving, so conditions may be right for increased biofuel production and use.
Il World Energy Focus, nuovo mensile online della WEC's community, una e-publication gratuita per essere sempre aggiornato sugli sviluppi del settore energetico. Il World Energy Focus contiene news, interviste esclusive e uno spazio dedicato agli eventi promossi dai singoli Comitati Nazionali.
The document discusses sustainability, renewable energy, energy access, and climate change as priorities for the C20 Turkey working group. It provides background on the challenges of energy access and investment in renewables. It also summarizes the G20's existing commitments related to sustainability, energy and climate change. However, it notes the G20 could strengthen its leadership and ambition in areas like climate finance. The Turkish G20 Presidency has placed renewable energy and climate finance on the 2015 agenda.
Il World Energy Focus è il nuovo mensile online della WEC's community, una e-publication gratuita per essere sempre aggiornato sugli sviluppi del settore energetico. Il World Energy Focus contiene news, interviste esclusive e uno spazio dedicato agli eventi promossi dai singoli Comitati Nazionali.
Ricardo Implementing the Paris Climate Agreement (COP21 OECD side event)Trevor Glue
Ricardo Energy and Environment presented at the Paris Climate Negotiations in November 2015 providing information on the 5 pillars of INDC implementation.
WWF: Policy Expectations for COP 19 WarsawWWF ITALIA
Oggi possiamo salvare il clima e conquistare un futuro di benessere per noi e i nostri figli. Bruciare i combustibili fossili per procurarsi energia e calore ha portato la concentrazione di CO2 in atmosfera ai livelli di 3 milioni di anni fa. Dobbiamo riconquistare l'energia, puntare sulle fonti rinnovabili e l’efficienza energetica. Occorre investire le risorse pubbliche e private nel nostro futuro. E invece i nostri soldi continuano a finanziare il passato fossile. E' ora di cambiare noi, non il clima." Mariagrazia Midulla, Responsabile Clima ed Energia
http://www.wwf.it/riprenditilenergia.cfm
The global wind energy market has grown substantially in recent years and now supplies a significant portion of electricity in some countries. Drivers for this growth include concerns about energy security given volatile fossil fuel prices and supplies, environmental concerns about climate change and pollution, and the improving economics and competitiveness of wind power. The report examines wind energy potential and development trends globally and recommends policies to promote further growth, such as legally binding renewable energy targets and market reforms.
On June 30, 2008, Prime Minister Manmohan Singh released India’s first National Action Plan on Climate Change (NAPCC) outlining existing and future policies and programs addressing climate mitigation and adaptation. The plan identifies eight core “national missions” running through 2017 .New NDA governent has added 4 more plan in the mission and old plans are being enhanced
Canada's energy policies have been increasingly shaped by environmental considerations. Laws like the Renewable Fuels Strategy and Energy Efficiency Act have promoted renewable energy and reduced emissions. However, the document suggests Canada's primary motivations may have been energy security and economic factors rather than just environmental protection. While partnerships with the US have improved efficiency and supported emission targets, they also helped secure Canada's economic relationship and growth. Overall, while environmental issues have contributed to Canada's energy strategies, concerns over trade, security and economic impacts may have been equally or more influential drivers of policy changes.
Connecting IPCC and COP, and the Asian energy realityipcc-media
The bulk of incremental global CO2 emissions comes from Asia Pacific driven by India and Southeast Asia. In a Paris-compatible scenario, India and Southeast Asia would need substantial reductions in coal power and increases in renewable energy. However, there is a large gap between the COP/IPCC narrative and Asian energy reality. Coal remains the most abundant and cheapest resource in countries like India. Raising energy prices through carbon taxes is extremely unpopular, especially in developing countries where priorities lie with education, healthcare, and jobs over climate change. Carbon neutrality will only be possible when zero-carbon technologies can be deployed at affordable prices.
The role of subnational actors in energy system transitionsipcc-media
This document discusses the increasing climate action being taken by subnational actors like states, regions, and businesses. It notes that these non-federal actors currently represent over half of US greenhouse gas emissions and two-thirds of the population, and if combined would be the second largest economy in the world. The document outlines some of the policy tools and actions subnational actors are implementing to reduce emissions, like renewable portfolio standards, carbon pricing, vehicle standards, and coal power plant retirement. It concludes by thanking the audience.
A tragedy with a happy ending? The United States before the Paris Climate SummitWorldwatch Institute
Opening presentation by Worldwatch Institute's Alexander Ochs for the "Climate change: Implications for technological development and industrial competitiveness” workshop.
Madrid, Spain. 4th November 2015.
The document summarizes UNIDO's Energy Programme, which has three pillars: industrial energy efficiency, renewable energy for productive uses, and climate policy and networks. It describes the structure of UNIDO's Energy Branch and its three units focusing on these pillars. It also outlines some of UNIDO's flagship programmes, including the Low-Carbon Low-Emission Clean Energy Technologies Transfer Programme and the Global Cleantech Innovation Programme for SMEs. The overall aim of UNIDO's Energy Programme is to promote sustainable energy solutions to support inclusive and sustainable industrial development.
The second Sustainable Energy for All Forum was held from 18-21 May 2015 in New York. Over 1,500 people attended the four-day event, which included multi-stakeholder dialogue sessions and a Global Energy Ministerial Dialogue at the UN. Key commitments and initiatives were announced to mobilize financing for sustainable energy projects and access. A new Global Sustainable Energy for All Commitment Platform was also launched to provide an institutional framework for partnerships to accelerate achieving the initiative's objectives of universal energy access, increased energy efficiency, and greater renewable energy use by 2030.
The document discusses transitioning to low-emission development. It summarizes that international climate change negotiations aim to establish a new global agreement by 2015 to reduce emissions starting in 2020. Many countries have already developed low-emission development strategies and climate action plans. Transitioning to low-emission development will require significant emission reductions through policies like carbon pricing, clean technology development, reducing deforestation, and changing consumption behaviors. Governments are also promoting energy savings through initiatives like efficiency standards, consumer information programs, and incentives. Rapid urbanization presents both challenges and opportunities for reducing emissions through more sustainable city development.
This document discusses a proposal for a "Global Green New Deal" (GGND) in response to the current economic crisis and long-term sustainability challenges. The GGND would invest 1% of global GDP over 2 years to stimulate the economy and transition to a greener future. It proposes targeting fiscal stimulus at green infrastructure, reforming policies to reduce subsidies and incentivize sustainability, and coordinating internationally on trade, technology and carbon markets. The objectives are reviving economies, creating jobs, promoting sustainable growth, and reducing carbon dependency and environmental degradation.
CUSP: 2020 Recommendations to Enhance Ambition, Signal Strategies and Acceler...CUSP | Univ of Guelph
The document provides 5 recommendations for Canada to enhance its climate ambition and accelerate collective action in its 2020 update to its Nationally Determined Contribution commitments under the Paris Agreement. The recommendations are to: 1) align its 2030 greenhouse gas reduction target with the IPCC recommendation of 45% below 2010 levels; 2) integrate a National Urban Strategy; 3) commit to achieving net-zero carbon emissions by 2050; 4) align federal policies and funding with the new targets and strategies; and 5) step up multilevel climate action implementation. The document argues that adopting these recommendations will help Canada play its part in limiting global warming to 1.5°C as called for by the Paris Agreement.
Net zero by 2050 roadmap for global energy sectorPatrickTanz
This document summarizes a report by the International Energy Agency (IEA) that outlines a pathway for the global energy sector to reach net zero emissions by 2050. The report involved extensive modeling and analysis. It identifies over 400 milestones across all sectors and technologies that must be achieved between now and 2050 to transform the global energy system from one dominated by fossil fuels to one powered predominantly by renewable energy. The pathway is challenging but achievable if all stakeholders take urgent action. It presents both a huge challenge and opportunity for economic growth and job creation through the transition to clean energy.
This document provides an overview and introduction to the "Canada Energy [R]evolution" scenario report, which analyzes Canada's energy efficiency potential and choices for the transport sector. It discusses the need to shift toward renewable energy sources and implement energy efficiency measures to mitigate climate change impacts from greenhouse gas emissions. The scenario examines how Canada can achieve at least a 25% reduction in emissions by 2020 and deeper cuts by 2050 through ambitious development of renewable energy and a transition away from fossil fuels in the energy sector. It presents the energy [r]evolution scenario as a practical blueprint for maintaining economic growth while significantly reducing emissions.
President Obama's Action Plan on Climate Change and Its Relevance for Saudi A...Patton Boggs LLP
This document summarizes President Obama's 21-page Action Plan on climate change, which aims to cut US greenhouse gases by 17% below 2005 levels by 2020. It also discusses opportunities for business and industry from the international component of the plan, including financing for carbon abatement projects and income from carbon offsetting. PattonBoggs will be delivering workshops on revenue streams, carbon offsetting, and technologies and innovation to help businesses and governments in the region take advantage of these opportunities.
Il World Energy Inside è una pubblicazione mensile del World Energy Council (WEC) contenente interviste a rappresentanti del WEC e dei Comitati Nazionali, overview e aggiornamenti sulle attività recenti e future del WEC in tutto il mondo e, approfondimenti sulle ultime news in ambito energetico.
This document discusses drivers and opportunities for biofuels in Victoria. It outlines key strategic drivers like climate change, peak oil, and energy security that are pushing the development of biofuels. The document also notes potential barriers to biofuels like public acceptance issues and competition from other low-emissions transport options. It concludes that while biofuels still face challenges, governments are investing in the industry and technologies are improving, so conditions may be right for increased biofuel production and use.
Il World Energy Focus, nuovo mensile online della WEC's community, una e-publication gratuita per essere sempre aggiornato sugli sviluppi del settore energetico. Il World Energy Focus contiene news, interviste esclusive e uno spazio dedicato agli eventi promossi dai singoli Comitati Nazionali.
The document discusses sustainability, renewable energy, energy access, and climate change as priorities for the C20 Turkey working group. It provides background on the challenges of energy access and investment in renewables. It also summarizes the G20's existing commitments related to sustainability, energy and climate change. However, it notes the G20 could strengthen its leadership and ambition in areas like climate finance. The Turkish G20 Presidency has placed renewable energy and climate finance on the 2015 agenda.
Il World Energy Focus è il nuovo mensile online della WEC's community, una e-publication gratuita per essere sempre aggiornato sugli sviluppi del settore energetico. Il World Energy Focus contiene news, interviste esclusive e uno spazio dedicato agli eventi promossi dai singoli Comitati Nazionali.
Ricardo Implementing the Paris Climate Agreement (COP21 OECD side event)Trevor Glue
Ricardo Energy and Environment presented at the Paris Climate Negotiations in November 2015 providing information on the 5 pillars of INDC implementation.
WWF: Policy Expectations for COP 19 WarsawWWF ITALIA
Oggi possiamo salvare il clima e conquistare un futuro di benessere per noi e i nostri figli. Bruciare i combustibili fossili per procurarsi energia e calore ha portato la concentrazione di CO2 in atmosfera ai livelli di 3 milioni di anni fa. Dobbiamo riconquistare l'energia, puntare sulle fonti rinnovabili e l’efficienza energetica. Occorre investire le risorse pubbliche e private nel nostro futuro. E invece i nostri soldi continuano a finanziare il passato fossile. E' ora di cambiare noi, non il clima." Mariagrazia Midulla, Responsabile Clima ed Energia
http://www.wwf.it/riprenditilenergia.cfm
The global wind energy market has grown substantially in recent years and now supplies a significant portion of electricity in some countries. Drivers for this growth include concerns about energy security given volatile fossil fuel prices and supplies, environmental concerns about climate change and pollution, and the improving economics and competitiveness of wind power. The report examines wind energy potential and development trends globally and recommends policies to promote further growth, such as legally binding renewable energy targets and market reforms.
On June 30, 2008, Prime Minister Manmohan Singh released India’s first National Action Plan on Climate Change (NAPCC) outlining existing and future policies and programs addressing climate mitigation and adaptation. The plan identifies eight core “national missions” running through 2017 .New NDA governent has added 4 more plan in the mission and old plans are being enhanced
Canada's energy policies have been increasingly shaped by environmental considerations. Laws like the Renewable Fuels Strategy and Energy Efficiency Act have promoted renewable energy and reduced emissions. However, the document suggests Canada's primary motivations may have been energy security and economic factors rather than just environmental protection. While partnerships with the US have improved efficiency and supported emission targets, they also helped secure Canada's economic relationship and growth. Overall, while environmental issues have contributed to Canada's energy strategies, concerns over trade, security and economic impacts may have been equally or more influential drivers of policy changes.
Connecting IPCC and COP, and the Asian energy realityipcc-media
The bulk of incremental global CO2 emissions comes from Asia Pacific driven by India and Southeast Asia. In a Paris-compatible scenario, India and Southeast Asia would need substantial reductions in coal power and increases in renewable energy. However, there is a large gap between the COP/IPCC narrative and Asian energy reality. Coal remains the most abundant and cheapest resource in countries like India. Raising energy prices through carbon taxes is extremely unpopular, especially in developing countries where priorities lie with education, healthcare, and jobs over climate change. Carbon neutrality will only be possible when zero-carbon technologies can be deployed at affordable prices.
The role of subnational actors in energy system transitionsipcc-media
This document discusses the increasing climate action being taken by subnational actors like states, regions, and businesses. It notes that these non-federal actors currently represent over half of US greenhouse gas emissions and two-thirds of the population, and if combined would be the second largest economy in the world. The document outlines some of the policy tools and actions subnational actors are implementing to reduce emissions, like renewable portfolio standards, carbon pricing, vehicle standards, and coal power plant retirement. It concludes by thanking the audience.
A tragedy with a happy ending? The United States before the Paris Climate SummitWorldwatch Institute
Opening presentation by Worldwatch Institute's Alexander Ochs for the "Climate change: Implications for technological development and industrial competitiveness” workshop.
Madrid, Spain. 4th November 2015.
The document summarizes UNIDO's Energy Programme, which has three pillars: industrial energy efficiency, renewable energy for productive uses, and climate policy and networks. It describes the structure of UNIDO's Energy Branch and its three units focusing on these pillars. It also outlines some of UNIDO's flagship programmes, including the Low-Carbon Low-Emission Clean Energy Technologies Transfer Programme and the Global Cleantech Innovation Programme for SMEs. The overall aim of UNIDO's Energy Programme is to promote sustainable energy solutions to support inclusive and sustainable industrial development.
The second Sustainable Energy for All Forum was held from 18-21 May 2015 in New York. Over 1,500 people attended the four-day event, which included multi-stakeholder dialogue sessions and a Global Energy Ministerial Dialogue at the UN. Key commitments and initiatives were announced to mobilize financing for sustainable energy projects and access. A new Global Sustainable Energy for All Commitment Platform was also launched to provide an institutional framework for partnerships to accelerate achieving the initiative's objectives of universal energy access, increased energy efficiency, and greater renewable energy use by 2030.
The document discusses transitioning to low-emission development. It summarizes that international climate change negotiations aim to establish a new global agreement by 2015 to reduce emissions starting in 2020. Many countries have already developed low-emission development strategies and climate action plans. Transitioning to low-emission development will require significant emission reductions through policies like carbon pricing, clean technology development, reducing deforestation, and changing consumption behaviors. Governments are also promoting energy savings through initiatives like efficiency standards, consumer information programs, and incentives. Rapid urbanization presents both challenges and opportunities for reducing emissions through more sustainable city development.
This document discusses a proposal for a "Global Green New Deal" (GGND) in response to the current economic crisis and long-term sustainability challenges. The GGND would invest 1% of global GDP over 2 years to stimulate the economy and transition to a greener future. It proposes targeting fiscal stimulus at green infrastructure, reforming policies to reduce subsidies and incentivize sustainability, and coordinating internationally on trade, technology and carbon markets. The objectives are reviving economies, creating jobs, promoting sustainable growth, and reducing carbon dependency and environmental degradation.
1) Nationally Appropriate Mitigation Actions (NAMAs) are voluntary domestic mitigation actions undertaken by developing countries in the context of sustainable development.
2) NAMAs can take many forms, including policies, programs, and projects, and aim to result in measurable greenhouse gas reductions. Developing countries are encouraged to submit information on proposed NAMAs through the UNFCCC NAMA Registry.
3) At a recent UNFCCC workshop, countries discussed developing guidance for NAMA preparation and support, building capacity for NAMA development and implementation, and taking stock of existing capacity building activities to support NAMAs.
2013 – 2014 Strategy and Sustainability Highlights ReportSchneider Electric
Since sustainable development is an integral part of Schneider Electric’s strategy, our Group is publishing a combined Business and Sustainable Development document (Key figures, interviews with stakeholders, actions in favor of new behaviors, …).
2018 GGSD Forum - Opening Session - Keynote PresentationOECD Environment
The document discusses the urgent need to accelerate climate action to close the gap between current commitments and what is required to meet the Paris Agreement temperature targets. It argues that the next decade is critical to establish low-carbon development and transition the global economy onto a sustainable path. A just transition is required to build consensus for strong climate action by managing the transition inclusively through job retraining, social protections, and relocating public services to support affected communities.
A high-ambition climate agreement in 2015 is essential to achieving the Sustainable Development Goals by 2030 according to a new policy brief. The brief finds that a climate agreement limiting warming to 2°C through zero net carbon emissions would significantly improve prospects for ending poverty, ensuring access to water and energy, and achieving other SDGs in the developing world. In contrast, a low-ambition agreement allowing 3-5°C of warming would undermine progress on the SDGs. Country case studies show the nature and severity of impacts vary but a low-ambition deal consistently increases risks of failing to meet development targets across nations. Ambitious SDGs and climate action are thus mutually reinforcing, with the former encouraging policies for
This report analyzes global climate ambition ahead of the 2020 deadline set by the Paris Agreement. It finds that 112 nations representing 53% of emissions intend to revise their climate plans, with 75 aiming to enhance ambition on mitigation and/or adaptation. Meanwhile, 53 countries are preparing long-term strategies for carbon neutrality by mid-century. However, current climate plans still put the world on track for a 10.7% rise in emissions by 2030, underscoring the need for bolder action. The UN Secretary-General is calling for commitments at the September 2019 Climate Action Summit to halve emissions by 2030 and achieve net-zero by 2050.
The document provides emerging recommendations from stakeholders on actions needed to achieve a healthy planet and prosperity for all. It summarizes key messages from four leadership dialogues on: 1) the urgent need for action to achieve a healthy planet, 2) achieving a sustainable recovery from COVID-19, 3) financing nature and climate action, and 4) just transitions. For the first dialogue, stakeholders called for urgent global action on climate change, biodiversity loss, and pollution. This includes protecting rights and nature, transitioning to renewable energy, and supporting a just transition away from fossil fuels. Stakeholders also emphasized the need for fair multilateralism and recognizing the human right to a clean environment.
Red dy set grow part1 a broefing for financial institutionsDr Lendy Spires
This document provides a briefing for financial institutions on opportunities for investing in forest carbon markets. It discusses the significant investment needed, estimated at $17-33 billion annually, to halve emissions from deforestation by 2030. Financial institutions can play important roles as investors, fund managers, and lenders to forestry projects and companies. However, forest carbon projects also carry risks that must be mitigated, such as regulatory and market uncertainty. The briefing aims to educate financial institutions on current forest carbon opportunities and encourage greater investment to support emissions reductions from reducing deforestation and degradation and increasing afforestation and reforestation.
Promoting Sustainability Agenda at Micro Level: Translating Ideas into RealityFarhan Helmy
The advancement of science and technology and subsequent industrial processes such as Industry 4.0 should be perceived as an opportunity to transform society from unsustainable living to more sustainable future. One of the challenging issues is how to engage non-state actors, particularly community at grassroot level. The presentation will share some concerns of the issues based on the lesson learnt in promoting sustaibility agenda in some initiatives in Indonesia.
Declaración para Rio+20: 63 laureados de medio ambiente de 37 paises piden a los gobiernos en Rio+20 ser pioneros del cambio y la inovación social.
Declaration on Rio+20: 63 Environmental Laureates from 37 countries ask governments in Rio+20 to be pioneers and and social innovators.
REDDy Set g\Grow p\Part2: Private Sector suggestions for International Climat...Dr Lendy Spires
This document provides suggestions from the private sector to international climate change negotiators on designing an effective financing regime for reducing emissions from deforestation and forest degradation (REDD+). It discusses the need to mobilize large-scale private sector finance and investment in addition to government funds. The document analyzes different policy scenarios for a future international REDD+ regime and argues that a "nested approach" could help stimulate private sector finance by addressing risks and creating a clear price signal for carbon.
This chapter provides an introduction to climate change mitigation. It discusses the current status and trends of climate change, responses that have been undertaken to date at the global and Cambodia policy levels, and mitigation actions that have occurred. At the global level, key policies include Nationally Determined Contributions under the Paris Agreement and the Kyoto Protocol. The Warsaw International Mechanism addresses loss and damage from climate impacts. Technologies like solar, wind and batteries have significantly decreased in cost, making low-emission options more viable. Nationally, many countries have implemented policies and laws to reduce emissions.
This interim report from the Deep Decarbonization Pathways Project (DDPP) outlines pathways for 15 countries to achieve deep decarbonization of their energy systems and economies consistent with the goal of limiting global warming to 2 degrees Celsius. The report finds that global CO2 emissions must decline to near zero by 2050 to stay within the remaining carbon budget for this goal. It presents preliminary results from each country's decarbonization pathway, finding opportunities across power, transport, buildings and industry to deploy low-carbon technologies at scale. Additional analysis is still needed on costs, infrastructure transitions, and policy frameworks to fully implement the pathways.
The document provides a quick guide to the Clean Development Mechanism (CDM) for audiences in developing countries. It introduces the CDM, which allows developed countries to offset emissions by implementing projects in developing countries that sequester carbon. Afforestation and reforestation projects are eligible under the CDM. The guide explains the rules and regulations surrounding the CDM, how countries and project developers can prepare for participating, and what the future may hold as the carbon market develops. It aims to help land managers understand opportunities for forest and agricultural sequestration projects under the CDM.
The document summarizes preparations for the Youth4Climate event in Milan from September 28-October 2, 2021 ahead of COP26. Over 8,700 youth ages 15-29 from 186 countries applied and nearly 400 were selected, including 40% from marginalized groups. Participants will discuss climate solutions along themes of sustainable recovery, resilience, participation, and climate change impacts. Selected youth provided input through questionnaires to develop "zero-draft" proposals on topics. The proposals will be discussed and finalized in Milan to ensure youth ownership of the process and outcomes. The event aims to amplify youth voices and drive greater climate ambition and action.
Agriculture and Climate Change: Science and Policy Contexts FAO
Authors: Francesco N. Tubiello, MAGHG Team
-The Science Context: Climate Change Dimensions
-International Climate Policy
-Critical Issues for Agriculture in the coming decade
-The Monitoring and Assessment of GHG Project
-Objectives of the workshop
Second FAO Workshop on Statistics for Greenhouse Gas Emissions 3-4 June 2013, Port of Spain, Trinidad and Tobago.
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The Big Oil Reality Check report finds that the climate pledges and plans of 8 international oil and gas companies fail to align with international agreements to phase out fossil fuels and to limit global temperature rise to 1.5ºC.
Publication May 2021
IEA publication, May 2024
Critical minerals, which are essential for a range of clean energy technologies, have risen up the policy agenda in recent years due to increasing demand, volatile price movements, supply chain bottlenecks and geopolitical concerns. The dynamic nature of the market necessitates greater transparency and reliable information to facilitate informed decision-making, as underscored by the request from Group of Seven (G7) ministers for the IEA to produce medium- and long-term outlooks for critical minerals.
The Global Critical Minerals Outlook 2024 follows the IEA’s inaugural review of the market last year. It provides a snapshot of industry developments in 2023 and early 2024 and offers medium- and long-term outlooks for the demand and supply of key energy transition minerals based on the latest technology and policy trends.
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Science Publication
Global projections of macroeconomic climate-change damages typically consider
impacts from average annual and national temperatures over long time horizons1–6
.
Here we use recent empirical fndings from more than 1,600 regions worldwide over
the past 40 years to project sub-national damages from temperature and precipitation,
including daily variability and extremes7,8
. Using an empirical approach that provides
a robust lower bound on the persistence of impacts on economic growth, we fnd that
the world economy is committed to an income reduction of 19% within the next
26 years independent of future emission choices (relative to a baseline without
climate impacts, likely range of 11–29% accounting for physical climate and empirical
uncertainty). These damages already outweigh the mitigation costs required to limit
global warming to 2 °C by sixfold over this near-term time frame and thereafter diverge
strongly dependent on emission choices. Committed damages arise predominantly
through changes in average temperature, but accounting for further climatic
components raises estimates by approximately 50% and leads to stronger regional
heterogeneity. Committed losses are projected for all regions except those at very
high latitudes, at which reductions in temperature variability bring benefts. The
largest losses are committed at lower latitudes in regions with lower cumulative
historical emissions and lower present-day income.
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existing coal and conventional gas and oil resources, respectively, need to
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model based on estimates and locations of conventional oil resources and
socio-environmental criteria to construct a global atlas of unburnable oil. The
results show that biodiversity hotspots, richness centres of endemic species,
natural protected areas, urban areas, and the territories of Indigenous Peoples
in voluntary isolation coincide with 609 gigabarrels (Gbbl) of conventional oil
resources. Since 1524 Gbbl of conventional oil resources are required to be left
untapped in order to keep global warming under 1.5 °C, all of the above-
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limits to oil extraction. The model provides spatial guidelines to select
unburnable fossil fuels resources while enhancing collateral socio-
environmental benefits.
This document is a report from the Inter-agency Task Force on Financing for Development summarizing the current state of financing for sustainable development. It finds financing gaps have increased to $4 trillion annually for developing countries. Progress on reducing poverty and hunger has stalled or reversed in some cases. Many developing economies face high debt burdens, exacerbating financing challenges. The report calls for $500 billion in additional annual investments in sustainable development and climate action through measures like development bank reforms, debt relief for vulnerable countries, and international financial system reforms to better support developing countries in achieving the SDGs. It will help inform discussions at the upcoming Fourth International Conference on Financing for Development.
This report analyzes global trends in corporate sustainability policies and practices. It finds that nearly 10,000 listed companies representing $85 trillion in market capitalization disclosed sustainability information in 2022. Most large companies report greenhouse gas emissions and set reduction targets, though target baselines are often missing. The report also examines board oversight of sustainability issues, executive compensation linked to ESG metrics, corporate lobbying activities, and stakeholder engagement practices. It concludes by recommending flexibility in disclosure standards and increased assurance of sustainability reports.
European Court of Human Rights: Judgment Verein KlimaSeniorinnen Schweiz and ...Energy for One World
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3.
1 Pathways to deep decarbonization — 2014 report
Preface
The Deep Decarbonization Pathways Project
(DDPP) is a collaborative initiative, convened
under the auspices of the Sustainable Develop-
ment Solutions Network (SDSN) and the Institute
for Sustainable Development and International
Relations (IDDRI), to understand and show how
individual countries can transition to a low-carbon
economy and how the world can meet the inter-
nationally agreed target of limiting the increase
in global mean surface temperature to less than
2 degrees Celsius (°C). Achieving the 2°C limit
will require that global net emissions of green-
house gases (GHG) approach zero by the second
half of the century. This will require a profound
transformation of energy systems by mid-century
through steep declines in carbon intensity in all
sectors of the economy, a transition we call “deep
decarbonization.”
Currently, the DDPP comprises 15 Country Re-
search Partners composed of leading researchers
and research institutions from countries repre-
senting 70% of global GHG emissions and dif-
ferent stages of development. Each Country Re-
search Partner has developed pathway analysis for
deep decarbonization, taking into account nation-
al socio-economic conditions, development as-
pirations, infrastructure stocks, resource endow-
ments, and other relevant factors. The pathways
developed by Country Research Partners formed
the basis of the DDPP 2014 report: Pathways to
Deep Decarbonization, which was developed for
the UN Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon in support
of the Climate Leaders’ Summit at the United
Nations on September 23, 2014. The report can
be viewed at deepdecarbonization.org along with
all of the country-specific chapters.
This chapter provides a detailed look at a sin-
gle Country Research Partner’s pathway analysis.
The focus of this analysis has been to identify
technically feasible pathways that are consistent
with the objective of limiting the rise in global
temperatures below 2°C. In a second—later—
stage the Country Research Partner will refine
the analysis of the technical potential, and also
take a broader perspective by quantifying costs
and benefits, estimating national and internation-
al finance requirements, mapping out domestic
and global policy frameworks, and considering in
more detail how the twin objectives of develop-
ment and deep decarbonization can be met. This
comprehensive analysis will form the basis of a
report that will be completed in the first half of
2015 and submitted to the French Government,
host of the 21st Conference of the Parties (COP-
21) of the United Nations Framework Convention
on Climate Change (UNFCCC).
We hope that the analysis outlined in this re-
port chapter, and the ongoing analytical work
conducted by the Country Research Team, will
support national discussions on how to achieve
deep decarbonization. Above all, we hope that
the findings will be helpful to the Parties of the
UNFCCC as they craft a strong agreement on cli-
mate change mitigation at the COP-21 in Paris
in December 2015.
4.
Pathways to deep decarbonization — 2014 report 2
1. Country profile 3
1.1. The national context for deep decarbonization
and sustainable development 3
1.2. GHG emissions: current levels, drivers, and past trends 4
2. National deep decarbonization pathways 4
2.1. Illustrative deep decarbonization pathway 4
2.1.1. High-level characterization 4
2.1.2. Sectoral characterization 7
2.2. Assumptions 9
2.3. Alternative pathways and pathway robustness 10
2.4. Additional measures and deeper pathways 10
2.5. Challenges, opportunities and enabling conditions 10
2.6. Near-term priorities 10
Contents
Preface 1
5. Pathways to deep decarbonization — 2014 report 3
Mexico
Daniel Buira,
Instituto Nacional de Ecología
y Cambio Climático
Jorge Tovilla,
Independent Consultant
1Country profile
1.1 The national context for deep decarbonization
and sustainable development
GHG emissions in Mexico are rising due to an increasing use of fossil
fuels. As the population slowly stabilizes (projected to be 151 million
by 2050)1 and continued economic growth is expected, it is crucial to
design a deep decarbonization strategy before new infrastructure is
built. Many actions to mitigate climate change have valuable co-benefits
(local health improvement, economic savings, and greater productivity,
among others), and some are also linked to poverty reduction and social
inclusion (for example food and energy security).
Proven reserves of oil in Mexico are estimated to be around 1,340 million
tons of oil equivalent (toe), while gas reserves represent an additional 430
million toe.2 The national energy reform approved recently is expected
to boost investments in oil and gas production. Electricity generation is
mainly produced from natural gas (50%), oil (11%), hydro (15%), and coal
(13%); energy-intensive industry accounts for 13% of GDP.
Urban population reached 72% in 2010, and it is expected to be close
to 83% by 2030. Around 98% of households have access to electricity
to date, and there are 210 vehicles per 1,000 people. In some rural
areas, wood is still used as the main fuel for heating and cooking.
1
1 Comisión Nacional de Población (CONAPO), at: http://www.conapo.gob.mx
2 Data reported for January 2014. SENER, 2014,
at: http://egob2.energia.gob.mx/SNIH/Reportes/
Portal.swf?ProgGuid=FCAF8F9D-21D6-4661-98B5-55D84B9C1D85
Mexico
6. Mexico Mexico
Pathways to deep decarbonization — 2014 report 4
The majority of future economic growth is ex-
pected to be driven by tertiary activities (services),
which could account for nearly 70% of national
GDP by 2050; in 2010 they represented around
62% of the total GDP. As this sector is less inten-
sive both in energy and in CO2 than other eco-
nomic activities in Mexico, this shift is expected
to decrease GHG emissions.
As GDP per capita increases, medium-sized cities
are expected to grow. Historic trends show that
urban centers expand in patterns that increase
energy consumption and land use change. Smart
urban development has been identified as a key
way to transition towards more efficient and sus-
tainable green growth schemes in Mexico.
1.2 GHG emissions: current levels,
drivers, and past trends
Total GHG emissions in Mexico reached
748 MtCO2e in 2010.3 The largest source of
emissions is the combustion of fossil fuels
(56%), and the greatest contributors to this
category are the transport sector and electricity
generation (Figure 1).
Historically, GHG emissions in Mexico have been
driven by increases in both population and in GDP
per capita (Figure 2a).4 Energy use per capita has
increased as well, at an average rate of about 1%
per year between 1995 and 2010.
Total energy consumption reached around 176
million toe in 2010, including all consumption by
final users (transport, industry, buildings), energy
industries, and transmission losses.5 The distri-
bution of final energy use was spread over the
following fuels: gasoline (32%), electricity (16%),
diesel (16%), natural gas (11%), LPG (10%), and
wood (5%). Approximately 30% of all energy use
is dedicated to transportation, and close to 70%
of that energy is consumed by passenger transport
alone. This trend reflects the increase in vehicle
ownership, which doubled from 2000 to 2010 to
approximately 207 vehicles per thousand people.
This increased ownership and use has caused GHG
emissions from the transport sector to increase at
an annual rate of 3.2% between 1990 and 2010.
2National deep decarbonization pathways
2.1 Illustrative deep
decarbonization pathway
2.1.1 High-level characterization
The illustrative deep decarbonization scenario de-
scribed in this report has been devised to achieve
reductions of CO2 emissions as a result of changes
in energy use and production towards less emis-
sion-intensive alternatives. As shown in Table 1, this
analysis assumes a GDP growth rate of 3% every
year,6 from around 950 billion USD (at 2008 prices)
in 2010 to some 3,100 billion USD in 2050.GDP per
capita would reach $20,425 USD/person by 2050.
Much of projected reduction in CO2 emissions
across sectors relies on reducing the carbon in-
tensity of electricity generation coupled with a
2
3 Inventario Nacional de Emisiones de Gases de Efecto Invernadero 1990-2010, INECC-SEMARNAT, 2013.
4 GDP increased 28% from 1995 to 2000 causing final energy per dollar of GDP to decrease noticeably in the same
period. The significant increase in GDP reflects a recovery from the economic crisis of 1995, so only a limited amount
of information can be gained from an examination of the 1995 to 2000 time period.
5 Balance Nacional de Energía, Sistema de Información Energética, SENER, 2014.
6 In this study we assume 3% annual growth as illustrative of long-term sustained growth. Official estimates for an-
nual GDP growth in 2014 have been recently adjusted from 3.1% to 2.8% (Banco de México, communiqué: http://
www.banxico.org.mx/informacion-para-la-prensa/comunicados/resultados-de-encuestas/expectativas-de-los-espe-
cialistas/%7BB22F53FD-4129-ECE1-85E3-BCA42D652B16%7D.pdf).
7. Mexico
5 Pathways to deep decarbonization — 2014 report
switch from the combustion of fossil fuels to use
of electricity in those final uses of energy where it
is possible to do so. Although some assumptions
were made regarding the future energy consump-
tion of some appliances, the deep decarbonization
scenario modeled does not include the effects of
0
50
100
150
200
250 MtCO2
Agriculture
Waste
LULUCF
Processes
Coal
Natural Gas
Petroleum Products
Total MtCO2
Electricity
(Allocation
by End Use Sector)
Figure 1. Decomposition of GHG and Energy CO2 Emissions in 2010
1a. GHG emissions, by source 1b. Energy-related CO2 emissions by fuel and sectors
Electricity Generation
Industry
Transportation
Buildings
Other
44
Fugitive83
92
61
MtCO2 eq
748
(Land Use, Land Use Change, and Forestry)
Energy-related
emissions
162 56 153 33 0
+ 47
421
246
126
33
405
100
0
200
300
400
500 MtCO2
0%
-10%
-20%
-30%
10%
20%
30%
2b. Energy-related CO2 emissions by sectors2a. Energy-related CO2 emissions drivers
Figure 2. Decomposition of historical energy-related CO2 Emissions, 1990 to 2010
Population
GDP per capita
Energy per GDP
Energy Related
CO2 Emissions
per Energy
1995
1990
2000
1995
2005
2000
2010
2005 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010
Electricity Generation
Industry
Transportation
Buildings
295
342
373
405
269
Five-year variation rate of the drivers
Table 1. Development Indicators and Energy Service Demand Drivers
2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
Population [Millions] 113 127 137 145 151
GDP per capita [$/capita] 8,339 9,987 12,407 15,764 20,425
8. Mexico
Pathways to deep decarbonization — 2014 report 6
dedicated schemes to accelerate improvement
of energy efficiency faster than historical trends.
Non-electric fuel switches include a shift to natural
gas from petroleum coke, coking coal, diesel, and
residual fuel oil used in industry, as well as partial
use of ethanol, natural gas, and biodiesel in trans-
port to reduce gasoline and diesel consumption.
This exploratory deep decarbonization scenario
to 2050 assumes that primary energy systems in
Mexico migrate from a heavy dependence on oil
to pipeline gas and renewables and that end-use
energy will be provided mainly by electricity and
natural gas (Figure 3). However, it is important
to emphasize that a number of factors make it
impossible to anticipate what specific technology
choices will be made in Mexico, including the fact
that the country is undergoing a major reform
of its energy sector, which will affect regulation,
planning, and the presence of private sector pro-
viders. As a result, this scenario in no way rep-
resents an expected or recommended pathway,
and is neither government policy nor an official
8
6
4
2
0
10
8
6
4
2
0
+ 48 %
3a. Primary Energy
Natural Gas
Natural Gas w CCS
Oil
Coal
Coal w CCS
Renewables Biomass
Nuclear
Figure 3. Energy Pathways, by source
EJ
EJ
2010 2050
+ 43 %
3b. Final Energy
Electricity
Biomass
Liquids
Gas
Coal
Coal w CCS
2010 2050
10.40
7.02
5.85
8.36
0.03
0.47
2.21
3.71
0.59
0.09
2.93
3.57
2.26
1.02
0.30
0.23
1.05
0.27
3.04
1.34
0.14
4.33
0.11
1.38
2.34
0.21
0%
-20%
-40%
-60%
-80%
-100%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
4a. Energy-related CO2 emissions drivers
- 53 %
- 96%
+ 32 pt
5.9
541
19
51
2.8
MJ/$
gCO2/kWh
%
2010
2050
2010
2050
2010
2050
Pillar 1.
Energy efficiency Energy Intensity of GDP
Pillar 2.
Decarbonization of electricity Electricity Emissions Intensity
Share of electricity in total final energy
Pillar 3.
Electrification of end-uses
Population
GDP per capita
Energy per GDP
Energy-related CO2 Emissions
per Energy
Figure 4. Energy-related CO2 Emissions Drivers, 2010 to 2050
4b. The pillars of decarbonization
2020
2010
2030
2020
2040
2030
2050
2040
22
Ten-year variation rate of the drivers
9. Mexico
7 Pathways to deep decarbonization — 2014 report
document of planning or intent. It merely seeks to
lay out what a potential scenario could look like,
in order to explore possible interplays between
technologies and their feasibility considerations.
This deep decarbonization scenario shows a sub-
stantial (96%) reduction in the GHG emissions
released per unit of electricity produced from
2010 and 2050 (Figure 4). Energy intensity of
GDP also decreases, at a less aggressive rate
of 2% each year to yield an overall reduction
of 53% from 2010 to 2050. Finally, there is a
substantial increase in the share of electricity
in final energy use from 19% in 2010 to 51%
by 2050.
The scenario assumes drastic reductions in the
GHG emissions from electricity generation and
transportation and lower reductions in buildings
when comparing emission levels from 2050 to
2010 (Figure 5).
2.1.2 Sectoral characterization
The prominent role of electrification as a de-
carbonization strategy prioritizes a reduction
of GHG emissions intensity in the electricity
generation sector.
Electricity generation
In 2010, electricity generation was associated
with a CO2 emissions intensity of 541 gCO2 per
kWh. Results of an initial analysis show that in
order to be consistent with the deep decarbon-
ization objective, carbon intensity would need
to fall to around 20 gCO2 per kWh by 2050. To
accomplish this, the illustrative deep decarboni-
zation scenario assumes electricity in Mexico will
be generated from a larger share of renewables
(especially solar), and natural gas with CCS.
The additional electrical power required to
enable the electrification of energy demand
is substantial at nearly 1,200 TWh by 2050.
To meet this electricity generation need, the
full potential for renewable energy resourc-
0
100
300
200
500
400
MtCO2
- 44 %
Figure 5. Energy-related CO2 Emissions Pathway,
by Sector, 2010 to 2050
Electricity Generation
Industry
Transportation
Buildings
2010 2050
456
254
28
20
109
99
26
155
116
158
Note:
2010 Industry data from the present
analysis include an estimate for CO2
emissions from the oil and gas production
industry that is not included in the official
inventory estimate.
200
0
600
1000
400
800
1200
200
400
0
600
TWh
gCO2/kWh
Figure 6. Energy Supply Pathway for Electricity Generation, by Source
2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
Coal with CCS
Natural Gas
Natural Gas w CCS
Nuclear
Hydro
Wind
Solar
Biomass
Other renewables
Oil
Coal
541
22
Carbon intensity
10. Mexico
Pathways to deep decarbonization — 2014 report 8
es identified to date has been taken into ac-
count7, which includes 6,500 TWh/year of solar,
88 TWh/year of wind, 77 TWh/year of geother-
mal, 70 TWh/year of hydro,8 and 11 TWh/year
of biomass. Assuming that technological ad-
vances make it feasible to incorporate high
levels of intermittency into the grid by 2050
(by developing energy storage capabilities, for
example) a balanced mix was composed with
the two main energy sources: solar (40%) and
natural gas (35%). It is assumed that the rest
of the supply is provided by wind (11%), hydro
(6%), geothermal (2%), coal (2%), nuclear (2%)
and oil (1%). Electricity generation from all
fossil fuels (464 TWh) will require CCS in all
generation plants (+60 GW) to comply with
the stringent CO2 emission intensity discussed
above. Such a generation mix would have a
share of intermittent renewable power of 50%
and an average emission factor of only 19 g of
CO2 per kWh produced (Figure 6).
Energy consumption
Under the deep decarbonization scenario illus-
trated here, final energy consumption would
amount to approximately 205 million toe by
2050 (from industry, transport, and buildings).
In this exercise, the reduction in carbon inten-
sity of the industrial activity is achieved by the
massive substitution of oil products (residual
fuel oil, coke and, diesel) by largely decar-
bonized electricity (to around 62% of energy
demand projected by 2050) and natural gas
(30%). The resulting carbon intensity after such
measures would be about half of the current
value (Figure 7a).
1.5
1.0
0.5
0
2.0
2.5
3.5
5.0
3.0
4.0
4.5
1.5
1.0
0.5
0
2.0
2.5
3.0
1.5
1.0
0.5
0
2.0
2.5
3.0
30
40
50
0
10
20
30
40
50
0
10
20
60
30
40
50
0
10
20
60
70
Figure 7. Energy Use Pathways for Each Sector, by Fuel, 2010 – 2050
EJ
EJ EJ
gCO2/MJ
gCO2/MJ
gCO2/MJ
Pipeline Gas
Liquid fuels
Grid
electricity
Coal
Pipeline gas
Liquid fuels
Solid biomass
Grid
electricity Liquid fuels
Pipeline gas
Grid
electricity
7a. Industry 7b. Buildings 7c. Transportation
2010 2050 2010 2050 2010 2050
50.3
23.9
28.9
11.0
71.9
48.1
Carbon intensity
Note: Carbon intensity for each sector includes only direct end-use emissions and excludes indirect emissions related to electricity or hydrogen production.
11. Mexico
9 Pathways to deep decarbonization — 2014 report
Due to the low energy requirements in households
and Mexico´s relatively mild weather, GHG emis-
sions from buildings (residential and commercial
sectors) have not historically been increasing at
high rates. However, steps must be taken to ensure
household energy consumption does not emulate
North American trends. To reduce the building-re-
lated direct energy emissions, the scenario explores
the substitution of gas (both LPG and natural gas)
by electricity in final energy uses (Figure 7b).
In the transport sector, a massive fuel shift from
gasoline and diesel to electricity and natural gas
has been considered as an illustrative decarbon-
ization approach (Figure 7c and Figure 8), using
three exploratory assumptions:
1. A passenger modal shift to mass-public electric
transportation systems to satisfy the increasing
travel demand;
2. Freight shift to electric trains and gas powered
trucks; and
3. 60% of light vehicles (private cars and taxis) would
switch to electricity, and 90% of freight would
switch to natural gas and biodiesel by 2050.
2.2 Assumptions
The preliminary deep decarbonization scenario
outlined in this report relies heavily on the com-
plementarity between the electrification of en-
ergy usage across sectors and the simultaneous
abatement of GHG emissions in the power sector.
In order to do this the implementation of large
infrastructure and investments for clean energy
are required. In this scenario, we have emphasized
the role of solar energy, together with extensive
use of CCS techniques at gas power plants.
Achieving this very ambitious solar target
(≈270 TWh/year, assuming a capacity factor of
20%) requires an aggressive cost reduction strat-
egy that allows massive roll-out of said technology,
both as dedicated solar power plants feeding the
grid, as well as distributed production for house-
holds and industries, and investment in trans-
mission lines. Further advances in energy storage
technology and smart grids will also be required to
integrate so much intermittent resource into the
grid, where these technologies would help limit
demand on the grid and the need for even more
generation and transmission infrastructure.
Given the large share of gas-fueled electricity project-
ed in this scenario, Mexico would need the potential
capacity to store approximately 200 million tons of
CO2 everyyear.Atheoreticalstoragepotentialof100
GtCO2 has been identified in a preliminary study.9
Increasing the amount of electricity produced
from renewable sources other than solar would
require further exploration and technological
development to exploit lower-yield potentials in
wind, geothermal, and biomass resources.
The preliminary approach followed to deeply de-
carbonize the transport sector assumes the fea-
sibility of implementation of extensive electric
inter-modal mass transport systems. For this to
be true at the required scale it would be neces-
sary to change the present urban growth patterns.
Today’s medium-sized cities are expected to drive
7 Inventario Nacional de Energías Renovables, SENER, 2014, in http://iner.energia.gob.mx/publica/version2.0/
8 Includes estimates for large and small scale hydropower.
9 The North American Carbon Storage Atlas (NACSA), 1st Edition, 2012. www.nacsap.org
1.5
1.0
0.5
0
2.0
Figure 8. Land passenger travels, by mode
0.9
1.6
2010 2050
EJ
Personal car taxi
Short-distance bus
Short-distance rail
12. Mexico
Pathways to deep decarbonization — 2014 report 10
most of the future growth and would need to
adopt and enforce best smart growth practices.
This scenario also assumed that by 2050 electric
vehicles will be widely available, and that it will be
possible to divert freight from the road to electric
trains without major technical issues.
2.3 Alternative pathways and pathway
robustness
Given the dependence of this approach on the
decarbonization of the electricity generation sec-
tor, it is important to explore alternative techno-
logical scenarios for this sector. In this analysis
we assume the presence of competitive energy
storage systems that enable grids to include a
high share of intermittent sources (solar or wind
power) and are valuable to manage overall de-
mand. However, if such a solar plan is unfeasible,
an alternative pathway must be devised, perhaps
by increasing the share of nuclear power or natural
gas with CCS.
2.4 Additional measures and deeper
pathways
The projected GHG emissions resulting from meas-
ures considered in the illustrative deep decarbon-
ization scenario could be further reduced by addi-
tional actions that have not been yet evaluated.
Other options that have not been explored at full
capacity in the present study and that may have
interesting potential are: additional renewables
(wind, geothermal, and marine power), industrial
processes redesigned to decrease energy intensity
and byproduct GHG emissions, large-scale CCS in
industrial facilities, massive adoption of hybrid ve-
hicles, large-scale production of bio-fuels for trans-
port, and partially substituting the natural gas in
the pipeline network with lower-carbon alternatives.
Municipal and agricultural waste can be a source
of biogas, rather than GHG emissions. Utilizing
biogas from landfills and water treatment oper-
ations might help lower future consumption of
natural gas for electricity generation.
2.5 Challenges, opportunities and
enabling conditions
Major challenges that may deter realization of
this scenario include current energy subsidies
(both for fossil fuels and electricity), economic
potential, lack of resources to fund the transition,
and the technological availability of cost-effec-
tive options for CCS, electric vehicles, solar power
harvesting, and biofuels production.
Amongst the enabling conditions that require
international cooperation, we identify technol-
ogy development for energy storage and energy
management (smart demand and smart grids),
carbon taxes to imports and exports of fossil fuels,
and the development of zero carbon or carbon
negative agriculture and forestry techniques to
support production of sustainable bioenergy crops
and reduce emissions from these sectors.
2.6 Near-term priorities
Although this is an initial exploration of deep de-
carbonization in Mexico, some conclusions can
be drawn from the magnitude of the challenge
at hand. Adoption of better practices in urbani-
zation and territorial planning could prove crucial
to lower future energy consumption per capita
and simultaneously improve quality of life. Bet-
ter-organized cities could induce the behavioral
changes needed for mode shifts in transportation.
A robust low-carbon electricity generation policy
is required to evaluate different future alterna-
tives, increase certainty over governmental plans,
and provide an economically feasible route for
future development.
Energy efficiency programs coupled with appro-
priate energy price signals could help decrease the
financial burden of the transformation needed by
reducing energy demand and thus reducing the
amount of funds needed to transition towards
a deep decarbonization development pathway.
13.
14. COUNTRY RESEARCH PARTNERS. Australia. Climate Works Australia; Crawford
School of Public Policy, Australian National University (ANU); Commonwealth Scien-
tific and Industrial Research Organization (CSIRO); Centre of Policy Studies, Victoria
University. Brazil. COPPE, Federal University, Rio de Janeiro. Canada. Carbon Man-
agement Canada; Navius Research; Simon Fraser University; Sharp. China. Institute
of Energy, Environment, Economy, Tsinghua University; National Center for Climate
Change Strategy and International Cooperation (NCSC). France. Université Grenoble
Alpes, CNRS, EDDEN, PACTE; Centre International de Recherche sur l’Environnement et
le Développement (CIRED), CNRS. Germany. Dialogik. India. The Energy and Resource
Institute (TERI). Indonesia. Center for Research on Energy Policy-Bandung Institute of
Technology, CRE-ITB; Centre for Climate Risk and Opportunity Management-Bogor Ag-
riculture University (CCROM-IPB). Japan. National Institute for Environmental Studies
(NIES); Mizuho Information and Research Institute (MIRI). Mexico. Instituto Nacional de
Ecología y Cambio Climático (INECC). Russia. Russian Presidential Academy of National
Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA); High School of Economics, Moscow.
South Africa. The Energy Research Centre (ERC) University of Cape Town (UCT). South
Korea. School of Public Policy and Management, Korea Development Institute (KDI);
Korea Energy Economics Institute (KEEI); Korea Institute of Energy Research (KIER);
Korea Environment Institute (KEI). United Kingdom. University College London (UCL)
Energy Institute. United States of America. Energy + Environmental Economics (E3).
DDPP PARTNERS ORGANIZATIONS. German Development Institute (GDI);
International Energy Agency (IEA); International Institute for Applied Systems
Analysis (IIASA); World Business Council on Sustainable Development (WBCSD).
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