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2020 Recommendations
To enhance Canadaโ€™s climate
ambition, send clear signals
+ accelerate collective action
1
โ€œCities are engines of growth, innovation and prosperity.
The right investments can build sustainable and liveable
cities and communities that will help us achieve the
Sustainable Development Goals and the objectives of the
Paris Agreement. It is possible and realistic to realize net-
zero urban emissions by 2050. But to get there, we will
need the full engagement of city governments combined
with national action and support.โ€
Antรณnio Guterres, Secretary-General of the United Nations
2
2020 Summary Recommendations
1. Align GHG reduction target in 2020 NDC update to IPCC
recommendation of 45% by 2030 based on 2010 levels
2. Integrate a โ€˜National Urban Strategyโ€™ into 2020 NDC update
3. Commit to net-zero carbon by 2050
4. Align federal policy framework and funding with 2030 and
2050 commitments and strategies
5. Step up multilevel climate action implementation
3
Contents of Proposal
Page 5 Page 8
Page 28Page 21
Page 17
4
Paris Agreement
Reporting Requirements
5
Paris Agreement Reporting Requirements
a) Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs)
NDCs are intended to reflect each countryโ€™s highest possible
ambition through 2030 towards achieving the global goals of the
Paris Agreement.
โ€ข Efforts to be strengthened and NDCโ€™s enhanced with each five-
year collective stocktake (2020 and 2025).
โ€ข All Parties also to report regularly on their emissions and on
their implementation efforts.
โ€ข Canadaโ€™s initial NDC filed in 2016 then revised in 2017 upon
adoption of the Pan-Canadian Framework (PCF).
โ€ข Canadaโ€™s Paris Agreement (NDC) target mirrors the PCF;
30% reductions by 2030 (based on 2005 levels)
6
Paris Agreement Reporting Requirements
b) Long Term Strategies (LTS)
โ€ข Parties to communicate, by 2020, mid-century, long-term
low GHG development strategies
โ€ข A growing number of governments have also adopted mid-
century net-zero targets.
โ€ข Canada submitted its Mid-Century Long-Term GHG
Development Strategy at COP22 in 2016.
โ€ข Canadaโ€™s LTS:
โ€ข does not contain a 2050 target or a set pathway.
โ€ข compiles and reports expert research and best practices
โ€ข models possible pathways for 80% reductions by 2050
โ€ข is to be a living document.
7
Diverse Voices Calling for
Ambition, Alignment, and Action
Canadaโ€™s 2020 Update to its NDCs
8
We have entered the Climate Decade
โ€ข Many countriesโ€™ 2030 targets are not consistent with
the achievement of net-zero carbon by mid-century.
Canadaโ€™s 2030 target is incompatible.
โ€ข Initial NDCs are to be updated in 2020
(as early as Earth Day April 22nd, as late as start of COP26 Nov 9th)
โ€ข NDCs that do not reflect an increase in ambition is a
clear violation of the relevant provisions of the
agreement (Article 4.3) which requires Partiesโ€™
successive NDC submissions to be more ambitious.
โ€˜The wide range of action
required to achieve a 1.5ยฐC
scenario leaves little room
for delay or failure over
the coming decade.โ€™
- C40 Urban Consumption in
a 1.5 Degree World
https://www.c40.org/consumption
The IPCC (SR1.5) states that if the required emission reductions for 2030
are not met (45%), the ability to limit warming to 1.5หšC is compromised.
9
Third Party Evaluation
Source: 2019 Brown-to-Green Report Canada
10
Canadaโ€™s Federal Oversight and Evaluation
Office of the Auditor General, Environment and Sustainable Development
- Andrew Hayes, Interim Commissioner,
Environment and Sustainable Development
โ€œThe progress report stated that current and planned actions
under the PCF would enable Canada to meet or exceed its 2030
target for reducing greenhouse gas emissions. We found that this
statement was not supported by the projections in the progress
report or by other documentation.โ€
โ€œI am concerned by the lack of coordination between various tools
intended to move sustainable development forward in Canada.
Layering disconnected strategies on more strategies is confusing for
government officials trying to make a difference and for Canadians
trying to understand the countryโ€™s progress toward meeting
sustainable development commitments.โ€
โ€œIn June 2019, Employment and Social Development Canada
released its interim Towards Canadaโ€™s 2030 Agenda National
Strategy and Environment and Climate Change Canada released its
new Federal Sustainable Development Strategy (2019 to 2022).
โ€œThe issue I see is that both approaches aim to achieve the same
objective and yet have separate strategies, which remain largely
uncoordinated and disconnected. This lack of coordination is a
persistent problem, both across and within federal organizations.โ€
11
Multisector Calls for Enhancing Ambition,
Improving Alignment, Accelerating Climate Action
Cities
โ€œCities require massive and targeted
investment to realize their ambition to
tackle the climate challenge. Through
GCOM, cities have established targets,
and developed strategies to meet or
exceed the requirements of the Paris
Climate Agreement, but to fully achieve
this ambition, significant investment at
the local level will be required.โ€
- Global Covenant of Mayors for Climate and
Energy (GCOM) โ€” representing 10,000 cities
and local government around the world
Institutional Investors
โ€œPublic policy provides the signals and
incentives that direct the flow of capital
across the global economy. Policymakers
need to create policy frameworks that
support investment in low carbon assets,
enable investment in adaptation
measures, and enact a just transition for
affected workers and communities. They
also need to ensure that investors take
full account of the risks
and opportunities presented by climate
change in their decision-making.โ€
- The Investor Agenda
12
The Constituency of Local and Regional Governments Calls for a
โ€˜Multilevel Action COP26โ€ with Roadmap to Glasgow
6 key priorities to be enabled and
supported by national governments
and other actors:
1. Raise the climate ambition of local
and regional governments
2. Ensure NDC vertical integration
and transparency
3. Localize climate finance
4. Take a balanced approach to
mitigation and adaptation
5. Link climate to circular economy
and nature
6. Amplify global climate action
A call for increased climate ambition and action by
national governments, including the full engagement
of local and regional governments in the preparation
of the second NDCs at home throughout the year on
the road to COP26 in 2020.
โ€œThe second Nationally Determined Contributions
(NDCs) to be presented in Glasgow have to reflect the
urgency of ambitious action to respond climate
emergency and seize the opportunities of the
transformative power of the Urban Worldโ€
โ€œLocal, regional and other subnational governments
should be actively engaged by national governments
in the preparation of the second NDCs throughout
2020.โ€
Source: Roadmap to Glasgow by ICLEI and Cities and Regions to UNFCCC Process13
The Coalition for Urban Transitionsโ€™ Priorities for National Action
to Achieve Inclusive, Zero-carbon, Resilient Cities
Source: https://urbantransitions.global/en/publication/climate-emergency-urban-opportunity/14
The Investor Agendaโ€™s Global Investor Statement to
Governments on Climate Change
631 investor signatories managing over US $37T in assets under
management have called on world governments to:
1. Achieve the Paris Agreementโ€™s goals
2. Accelerate private sector investment into the low carbon transition
3. Commit to improve climate-related financial reporting
The Investor Agenda Resources:
Full statement
Open letter from the CEOs of The Investor Agenda Founding Partners
outlining the key asks
Briefing paper which provides more details and justification/background
for the key asks in the statement
15
Public Supports Greater Ambition and Combined Action to
Address Climate Change and Growing Inequities
Source: Climate Emergency Poll, July 2019, 2,000 residents of Canada, Abacus Data
โ€ข 82% say climate change is a
serios problem, including 47%
who describe it as an extremely
serious problem.
โ€ข 3 in 4 say they or someone close
to them have experienced the
effects of climate change in
some way.
โ€ข 8 in 10 Canadians support a shift
towards clean and renewable
energy.
โ€ข Half think itโ€™s possible to cut
GHG emissions by 50% by 2030
and to be carbon-zero by 2050.
โ€ข 6 in 10 feel that the Federal
government is doing too little to
combat climate change.
16
Opportunities to Enhance Ambition
Canadaโ€™s 2020 Update to its NDCs
17
Energy efficiency and demand
side management are urban
solutions that will be important
to meeting enhanced ambition.
โ€˜The International Energy Agency estimates
that 38% of required global reductions
associated with a 2ยฐC pathway could be
met via energy efficiency improvements.โ€™
- Canadaโ€™s Mid-Century Long-Term Strategy
Climate action pathways favouring energy
end-use demand reductions will deliver the
greatest synergies and fewest tradeoffs
with Sustainable Development Goals.
- IPCC SR 1.5 Summary for Policymakers
Cities are Central to Addressing the Climate Crisis and
Achieving Sustainable Development Goals
18
Urban Consumption in a 1.5 Degree World โ€“ C40 Cities
Source: https://www.c40.org/consumption
This C40 study included participation from Cities of Toronto, Montreal and Vancouver
โ€œEmissions from consumption
in high-income cities must decrease by
two thirds within the next decade.โ€
โ€ข Cities drive the global economy, and urban
decisions have an impact on GHG generation
beyond city boundaries.
โ€ข 60% of C40 citiesโ€™ consumption-based emissions
occur outside the cities, but within their respective
countries.
โ€ข Urban action on consumption can significantly
reduce emissions from key consumption categories
(e.g. buildings, transportation, food, textiles,
electronics).
19
Detailed List of Opportunities to Enhance 2020 NDCs
DIAGNOSTIC QUESTIONS TO IDENTIFY OPTIONS FOR NDC ENHANCEMENT
Improving Paris alignment
โ€ข Does the NDC as a whole, and its treatment of each sector individually, lead to a
trajectory that aligns with the benchmarks for achieving Paris Agreement temperature
goals?
Reflecting new developments, innovation and best practices
โ€ข Does the treatment of the sector in the initial NDC reflect up-to-date assumptions
regarding available technologies and their costs?
โ€ข Does the NDC as a whole, and its treatment of each sector individually, reflect the
relevant plans, policies and measures that are being implemented and considered at the
national level or that ought to be considered based on available best practices?
โ€ข Does the NDC as a whole, and its treatment of each sector individually, reflect the
relevant climate action commitments being made by nonstate and subnational actors in
the country?
Maximizing the benefits
โ€ข Does the NDC as a whole, and its treatment of each sector individually, maximize
synergies and reduce potential conflicts with development objectives, including with the
Sustainable Development Goals and with climate resilience? How can the NDC best
achieve those objectives?
Filling the gaps
โ€ข Does the NDC address all relevant sectors, subsectors and gases?
Addressing finance and implementation issues
โ€ข Could the NDC better reflect finance needs for NDC implementation and/or policy
actions to align finance flows with climate goals?
โ€ข Does the NDC address important cross-sectoral interactions?
โ€ข Could the NDC otherwise facilitate strengthened implementation?
Source: Enhancing NDCs 2020, UNDP, WRI
20
Five Recommendations
To enhance ambition, send clear signals, and accelerate collective action
21
2020 Recommendations
1. Align GHG reduction target in 2020 NDC update to IPCC
recommendation of 45% by 2030 based on 2010 levels
2. Integrate a โ€˜National Urban Strategyโ€™ into 2020 NDC update
3. Commit to net-zero carbon by 2050
4. Align federal policy framework and funding with 2030 and
2050 commitments and strategies
5. Step up multilevel climate action implementation
22
1. Align GHG reduction target in 2020 NDC update to IPCC
recommendation of 45% by 2030 based on 2010 levels
โ€ข Submit updated NDCs, at the earliest possible date in 2020, and
representing the highest possible level of ambition to 2030, but no
less than 45% below 2010 levels.
โ€ข Current 2030 target is insufficient:
23
2. Integrate a โ€˜National Urban Strategyโ€™ into 2020 NDC
Current interventions reflected in the PCF are insufficient to meet 30% (or 45%)
GHG reductions by 2030. We propose the Government work with Canadaโ€™s
large and leading cities to build a bottom-up cities strategy for 2020 and embed
this urban strategy into the 2020 NDC to enhance its ambition.
Benefits:
โ€ข Additional measures can be identified, strategies can be aligned, and
implementation can be more collaborative and effective.
โ€ข Integration will provide assurances, clarity, and transparency to the pubic and
private sector which will unleash financial flows and transform markets.
โ€ข Localizing climate action and the SDGs enables equity-centred strategies and
implementation, and the central tenet to โ€˜leave no one behindโ€™.
24
3. Commit to net-zero carbon by 2050
Set a mid-century target of net zero carbon emissions, enshrine this
target in legislation.
The government will โ€œset a target to achieve net-zero emissions by 2050,โ€ an โ€œambitious
but necessaryโ€ goal for both economic growth and environmental protection. โ€œCanadaโ€™s
children and grandchildren will judge this generation by its action โ€” or inaction โ€” on the
defining challenge of the time: climate change.โ€
- December 2019 Throne Speech, Governor General Payette said
25
4. Align federal policy framework and funding with 2030
and 2050 commitments and strategies
โ€ข Integrate and align NDC and LTS targets and strategies with updates
to the policy framework contained within the PCF, Federal Sustainable
Development Strategy (FSDS) and SDG strategies.
โ€ข Resource impact-driven strategies in partnership with cities and
according to these integrated plans which embed the National Urban
Strategy.
โ€ข Send clear signals to investment community with these integrated
plans, federal funding, regulations and risk disclosure requirements
(TCFD), etc.
26
5. Step-up multilevel climate action implementation
Through enhanced support for capacity
building and capital investment in
cities, accelerate and increase climate
action commensurate with 45%
reductions by 2030 based on 2010
levels, and net zero carbon by 2050.
Source: the Coalition for Urban Transitionโ€™s Climate Emergency, Urban Opportunity
โ€œMultilevel and collaborative climate action
should be the new normal in every community
and in every country in the era of the Paris
Agreement. This is why the Constituency is
calling on COP26 to be the โ€˜Multilevel Action
COPโ€™. More ambitious climate action can only be
achieved through collaboration with and support
of local and regional governments.โ€
- Gino Van Begin, Sec. General of ICLEI
27
Timing and Approach
To federal government advancement of these 2020 Recommendations
28
Strategic Opportunity
1. We are entering โ€˜The Climate Decadeโ€™, we must remove barriers to action at scale if we are to
transform systems.
This is the decade by which we must accelerate action and achieve significant (45-50%) greenhouse gas
reductions if we are to be on track to achieve carbon neutrality by 2050 in order to limit global warming to 1.5
degrees by midcentury. NDCs are updated only every 5 years (2020 and 2025); we must have multilevel
integration and alignment of planned actions throughout the entire Climate Decade if we are to enhance
ambition, be mutually reinforcing, and achieve implementation at scale.
2. There is momentum and support for spending
As a new minority Liberal government and 43rd session of parliament begins with the refreshed Cabinet and
Throne Speech focusing heavily on national climate action, existing funding programs will continue, and the
focus will be on rapid implementation and replication of successful projects across the country, along with
more comprehensive moves on climate action.
3. There is unparalleled, multi-party support and ambition for climate action
A minority Liberal government requires the support of another party(ies) to advance their initiatives, and
climate action is believed to be an area where the government will find support with the NDP, Green Party and
Bloc Quebecois, provided theyโ€™re ambitious enough. Summaries of December 13, 2019 mandate letters to
Cabinet ministers are available upon request. 29
Strategic Opportunity, contโ€™d.
4. Many federal/provincial government relationships are strained necessitating direct support and
collaboration with cities.
The relationship between the Liberal government and the provincial governments of Alberta, Saskatchewan,
Ontario and New Brunswick are strained particularly on climate and environmental topics (i.e. carbon tax and
pipelines), so the federal government may find it more effective and efficient to work directly with cities,
particularly in these provinces.
5. Urban advocacy for climate action support is needed and justified.
FCM, in coordination with its Big City Mayorsโ€™ Caucus (BCMC), used the federal election as a springboard for
action โ€” a centralized voice for municipal governments across the country โ€” with climate action being a priority
policy area for FCM, but stronger urban advocacy is required, particularly on behalf of Canadaโ€™s largest cities and
economic centres where there is the largest opportunity for GHG reductions and risk mitigation.
6. The public appetite for immediate, bold climate action and tangible solutions by all levels of
government is strong, with support now among the highest levels in Canadian history.
A national opinion survey of 2,000 people conducted by Abacus Data in July 2019, shows that โ€œthe public is
ahead of our politicsโ€, says Seth Klein, Adjunct Professor at SFU Urban Studies and former BC director of the
Canadian Centre for Policy Alternatives. โ€œA large share of Canadians is already deeply worried about the climate
crisis, and they are increasingly ready for bold and ambitious actions.โ€
30
CUSPโ€™s Proposed Intergovernmental Relations Strategy
โ€ข Partner with FCM, national environmental non-governmental
organizations (ENGOs), and institutional investors, etc. to advocate to
federal government on these 2020 recommendations
โ€ข In coordination with FCM and other partners:
โ€ข organize Ottawa delegations including meetings with key senior
staff and Ministers, NDC policy working group
โ€ข Identify earned media opportunities (i.e. Op-Eds, events etc.) to
share CUSP key messages
31
Proposed Next Steps for CUSP Staff and Members
1. CUSP to reach out to key national partners to coordinate meetings
with federal officials.
2. Municipal sustainability staff to coordinate briefings with their IGR
staff and Mayorsโ€™ offices; embed 2020 recommendations and key
messages into all materials.
3. Each member city to identify federal outreach opportunities from
now through September.
โ€ข FCM/Big City Mayorsโ€™ Caucus/BCAT/Minister Meetings, Federal Budget
etc.
32

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CUSP: 2020 Recommendations to Enhance Ambition, Signal Strategies and Accelerate Action

  • 1. 2020 Recommendations To enhance Canadaโ€™s climate ambition, send clear signals + accelerate collective action 1
  • 2. โ€œCities are engines of growth, innovation and prosperity. The right investments can build sustainable and liveable cities and communities that will help us achieve the Sustainable Development Goals and the objectives of the Paris Agreement. It is possible and realistic to realize net- zero urban emissions by 2050. But to get there, we will need the full engagement of city governments combined with national action and support.โ€ Antรณnio Guterres, Secretary-General of the United Nations 2
  • 3. 2020 Summary Recommendations 1. Align GHG reduction target in 2020 NDC update to IPCC recommendation of 45% by 2030 based on 2010 levels 2. Integrate a โ€˜National Urban Strategyโ€™ into 2020 NDC update 3. Commit to net-zero carbon by 2050 4. Align federal policy framework and funding with 2030 and 2050 commitments and strategies 5. Step up multilevel climate action implementation 3
  • 4. Contents of Proposal Page 5 Page 8 Page 28Page 21 Page 17 4
  • 6. Paris Agreement Reporting Requirements a) Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs) NDCs are intended to reflect each countryโ€™s highest possible ambition through 2030 towards achieving the global goals of the Paris Agreement. โ€ข Efforts to be strengthened and NDCโ€™s enhanced with each five- year collective stocktake (2020 and 2025). โ€ข All Parties also to report regularly on their emissions and on their implementation efforts. โ€ข Canadaโ€™s initial NDC filed in 2016 then revised in 2017 upon adoption of the Pan-Canadian Framework (PCF). โ€ข Canadaโ€™s Paris Agreement (NDC) target mirrors the PCF; 30% reductions by 2030 (based on 2005 levels) 6
  • 7. Paris Agreement Reporting Requirements b) Long Term Strategies (LTS) โ€ข Parties to communicate, by 2020, mid-century, long-term low GHG development strategies โ€ข A growing number of governments have also adopted mid- century net-zero targets. โ€ข Canada submitted its Mid-Century Long-Term GHG Development Strategy at COP22 in 2016. โ€ข Canadaโ€™s LTS: โ€ข does not contain a 2050 target or a set pathway. โ€ข compiles and reports expert research and best practices โ€ข models possible pathways for 80% reductions by 2050 โ€ข is to be a living document. 7
  • 8. Diverse Voices Calling for Ambition, Alignment, and Action Canadaโ€™s 2020 Update to its NDCs 8
  • 9. We have entered the Climate Decade โ€ข Many countriesโ€™ 2030 targets are not consistent with the achievement of net-zero carbon by mid-century. Canadaโ€™s 2030 target is incompatible. โ€ข Initial NDCs are to be updated in 2020 (as early as Earth Day April 22nd, as late as start of COP26 Nov 9th) โ€ข NDCs that do not reflect an increase in ambition is a clear violation of the relevant provisions of the agreement (Article 4.3) which requires Partiesโ€™ successive NDC submissions to be more ambitious. โ€˜The wide range of action required to achieve a 1.5ยฐC scenario leaves little room for delay or failure over the coming decade.โ€™ - C40 Urban Consumption in a 1.5 Degree World https://www.c40.org/consumption The IPCC (SR1.5) states that if the required emission reductions for 2030 are not met (45%), the ability to limit warming to 1.5หšC is compromised. 9
  • 10. Third Party Evaluation Source: 2019 Brown-to-Green Report Canada 10
  • 11. Canadaโ€™s Federal Oversight and Evaluation Office of the Auditor General, Environment and Sustainable Development - Andrew Hayes, Interim Commissioner, Environment and Sustainable Development โ€œThe progress report stated that current and planned actions under the PCF would enable Canada to meet or exceed its 2030 target for reducing greenhouse gas emissions. We found that this statement was not supported by the projections in the progress report or by other documentation.โ€ โ€œI am concerned by the lack of coordination between various tools intended to move sustainable development forward in Canada. Layering disconnected strategies on more strategies is confusing for government officials trying to make a difference and for Canadians trying to understand the countryโ€™s progress toward meeting sustainable development commitments.โ€ โ€œIn June 2019, Employment and Social Development Canada released its interim Towards Canadaโ€™s 2030 Agenda National Strategy and Environment and Climate Change Canada released its new Federal Sustainable Development Strategy (2019 to 2022). โ€œThe issue I see is that both approaches aim to achieve the same objective and yet have separate strategies, which remain largely uncoordinated and disconnected. This lack of coordination is a persistent problem, both across and within federal organizations.โ€ 11
  • 12. Multisector Calls for Enhancing Ambition, Improving Alignment, Accelerating Climate Action Cities โ€œCities require massive and targeted investment to realize their ambition to tackle the climate challenge. Through GCOM, cities have established targets, and developed strategies to meet or exceed the requirements of the Paris Climate Agreement, but to fully achieve this ambition, significant investment at the local level will be required.โ€ - Global Covenant of Mayors for Climate and Energy (GCOM) โ€” representing 10,000 cities and local government around the world Institutional Investors โ€œPublic policy provides the signals and incentives that direct the flow of capital across the global economy. Policymakers need to create policy frameworks that support investment in low carbon assets, enable investment in adaptation measures, and enact a just transition for affected workers and communities. They also need to ensure that investors take full account of the risks and opportunities presented by climate change in their decision-making.โ€ - The Investor Agenda 12
  • 13. The Constituency of Local and Regional Governments Calls for a โ€˜Multilevel Action COP26โ€ with Roadmap to Glasgow 6 key priorities to be enabled and supported by national governments and other actors: 1. Raise the climate ambition of local and regional governments 2. Ensure NDC vertical integration and transparency 3. Localize climate finance 4. Take a balanced approach to mitigation and adaptation 5. Link climate to circular economy and nature 6. Amplify global climate action A call for increased climate ambition and action by national governments, including the full engagement of local and regional governments in the preparation of the second NDCs at home throughout the year on the road to COP26 in 2020. โ€œThe second Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs) to be presented in Glasgow have to reflect the urgency of ambitious action to respond climate emergency and seize the opportunities of the transformative power of the Urban Worldโ€ โ€œLocal, regional and other subnational governments should be actively engaged by national governments in the preparation of the second NDCs throughout 2020.โ€ Source: Roadmap to Glasgow by ICLEI and Cities and Regions to UNFCCC Process13
  • 14. The Coalition for Urban Transitionsโ€™ Priorities for National Action to Achieve Inclusive, Zero-carbon, Resilient Cities Source: https://urbantransitions.global/en/publication/climate-emergency-urban-opportunity/14
  • 15. The Investor Agendaโ€™s Global Investor Statement to Governments on Climate Change 631 investor signatories managing over US $37T in assets under management have called on world governments to: 1. Achieve the Paris Agreementโ€™s goals 2. Accelerate private sector investment into the low carbon transition 3. Commit to improve climate-related financial reporting The Investor Agenda Resources: Full statement Open letter from the CEOs of The Investor Agenda Founding Partners outlining the key asks Briefing paper which provides more details and justification/background for the key asks in the statement 15
  • 16. Public Supports Greater Ambition and Combined Action to Address Climate Change and Growing Inequities Source: Climate Emergency Poll, July 2019, 2,000 residents of Canada, Abacus Data โ€ข 82% say climate change is a serios problem, including 47% who describe it as an extremely serious problem. โ€ข 3 in 4 say they or someone close to them have experienced the effects of climate change in some way. โ€ข 8 in 10 Canadians support a shift towards clean and renewable energy. โ€ข Half think itโ€™s possible to cut GHG emissions by 50% by 2030 and to be carbon-zero by 2050. โ€ข 6 in 10 feel that the Federal government is doing too little to combat climate change. 16
  • 17. Opportunities to Enhance Ambition Canadaโ€™s 2020 Update to its NDCs 17
  • 18. Energy efficiency and demand side management are urban solutions that will be important to meeting enhanced ambition. โ€˜The International Energy Agency estimates that 38% of required global reductions associated with a 2ยฐC pathway could be met via energy efficiency improvements.โ€™ - Canadaโ€™s Mid-Century Long-Term Strategy Climate action pathways favouring energy end-use demand reductions will deliver the greatest synergies and fewest tradeoffs with Sustainable Development Goals. - IPCC SR 1.5 Summary for Policymakers Cities are Central to Addressing the Climate Crisis and Achieving Sustainable Development Goals 18
  • 19. Urban Consumption in a 1.5 Degree World โ€“ C40 Cities Source: https://www.c40.org/consumption This C40 study included participation from Cities of Toronto, Montreal and Vancouver โ€œEmissions from consumption in high-income cities must decrease by two thirds within the next decade.โ€ โ€ข Cities drive the global economy, and urban decisions have an impact on GHG generation beyond city boundaries. โ€ข 60% of C40 citiesโ€™ consumption-based emissions occur outside the cities, but within their respective countries. โ€ข Urban action on consumption can significantly reduce emissions from key consumption categories (e.g. buildings, transportation, food, textiles, electronics). 19
  • 20. Detailed List of Opportunities to Enhance 2020 NDCs DIAGNOSTIC QUESTIONS TO IDENTIFY OPTIONS FOR NDC ENHANCEMENT Improving Paris alignment โ€ข Does the NDC as a whole, and its treatment of each sector individually, lead to a trajectory that aligns with the benchmarks for achieving Paris Agreement temperature goals? Reflecting new developments, innovation and best practices โ€ข Does the treatment of the sector in the initial NDC reflect up-to-date assumptions regarding available technologies and their costs? โ€ข Does the NDC as a whole, and its treatment of each sector individually, reflect the relevant plans, policies and measures that are being implemented and considered at the national level or that ought to be considered based on available best practices? โ€ข Does the NDC as a whole, and its treatment of each sector individually, reflect the relevant climate action commitments being made by nonstate and subnational actors in the country? Maximizing the benefits โ€ข Does the NDC as a whole, and its treatment of each sector individually, maximize synergies and reduce potential conflicts with development objectives, including with the Sustainable Development Goals and with climate resilience? How can the NDC best achieve those objectives? Filling the gaps โ€ข Does the NDC address all relevant sectors, subsectors and gases? Addressing finance and implementation issues โ€ข Could the NDC better reflect finance needs for NDC implementation and/or policy actions to align finance flows with climate goals? โ€ข Does the NDC address important cross-sectoral interactions? โ€ข Could the NDC otherwise facilitate strengthened implementation? Source: Enhancing NDCs 2020, UNDP, WRI 20
  • 21. Five Recommendations To enhance ambition, send clear signals, and accelerate collective action 21
  • 22. 2020 Recommendations 1. Align GHG reduction target in 2020 NDC update to IPCC recommendation of 45% by 2030 based on 2010 levels 2. Integrate a โ€˜National Urban Strategyโ€™ into 2020 NDC update 3. Commit to net-zero carbon by 2050 4. Align federal policy framework and funding with 2030 and 2050 commitments and strategies 5. Step up multilevel climate action implementation 22
  • 23. 1. Align GHG reduction target in 2020 NDC update to IPCC recommendation of 45% by 2030 based on 2010 levels โ€ข Submit updated NDCs, at the earliest possible date in 2020, and representing the highest possible level of ambition to 2030, but no less than 45% below 2010 levels. โ€ข Current 2030 target is insufficient: 23
  • 24. 2. Integrate a โ€˜National Urban Strategyโ€™ into 2020 NDC Current interventions reflected in the PCF are insufficient to meet 30% (or 45%) GHG reductions by 2030. We propose the Government work with Canadaโ€™s large and leading cities to build a bottom-up cities strategy for 2020 and embed this urban strategy into the 2020 NDC to enhance its ambition. Benefits: โ€ข Additional measures can be identified, strategies can be aligned, and implementation can be more collaborative and effective. โ€ข Integration will provide assurances, clarity, and transparency to the pubic and private sector which will unleash financial flows and transform markets. โ€ข Localizing climate action and the SDGs enables equity-centred strategies and implementation, and the central tenet to โ€˜leave no one behindโ€™. 24
  • 25. 3. Commit to net-zero carbon by 2050 Set a mid-century target of net zero carbon emissions, enshrine this target in legislation. The government will โ€œset a target to achieve net-zero emissions by 2050,โ€ an โ€œambitious but necessaryโ€ goal for both economic growth and environmental protection. โ€œCanadaโ€™s children and grandchildren will judge this generation by its action โ€” or inaction โ€” on the defining challenge of the time: climate change.โ€ - December 2019 Throne Speech, Governor General Payette said 25
  • 26. 4. Align federal policy framework and funding with 2030 and 2050 commitments and strategies โ€ข Integrate and align NDC and LTS targets and strategies with updates to the policy framework contained within the PCF, Federal Sustainable Development Strategy (FSDS) and SDG strategies. โ€ข Resource impact-driven strategies in partnership with cities and according to these integrated plans which embed the National Urban Strategy. โ€ข Send clear signals to investment community with these integrated plans, federal funding, regulations and risk disclosure requirements (TCFD), etc. 26
  • 27. 5. Step-up multilevel climate action implementation Through enhanced support for capacity building and capital investment in cities, accelerate and increase climate action commensurate with 45% reductions by 2030 based on 2010 levels, and net zero carbon by 2050. Source: the Coalition for Urban Transitionโ€™s Climate Emergency, Urban Opportunity โ€œMultilevel and collaborative climate action should be the new normal in every community and in every country in the era of the Paris Agreement. This is why the Constituency is calling on COP26 to be the โ€˜Multilevel Action COPโ€™. More ambitious climate action can only be achieved through collaboration with and support of local and regional governments.โ€ - Gino Van Begin, Sec. General of ICLEI 27
  • 28. Timing and Approach To federal government advancement of these 2020 Recommendations 28
  • 29. Strategic Opportunity 1. We are entering โ€˜The Climate Decadeโ€™, we must remove barriers to action at scale if we are to transform systems. This is the decade by which we must accelerate action and achieve significant (45-50%) greenhouse gas reductions if we are to be on track to achieve carbon neutrality by 2050 in order to limit global warming to 1.5 degrees by midcentury. NDCs are updated only every 5 years (2020 and 2025); we must have multilevel integration and alignment of planned actions throughout the entire Climate Decade if we are to enhance ambition, be mutually reinforcing, and achieve implementation at scale. 2. There is momentum and support for spending As a new minority Liberal government and 43rd session of parliament begins with the refreshed Cabinet and Throne Speech focusing heavily on national climate action, existing funding programs will continue, and the focus will be on rapid implementation and replication of successful projects across the country, along with more comprehensive moves on climate action. 3. There is unparalleled, multi-party support and ambition for climate action A minority Liberal government requires the support of another party(ies) to advance their initiatives, and climate action is believed to be an area where the government will find support with the NDP, Green Party and Bloc Quebecois, provided theyโ€™re ambitious enough. Summaries of December 13, 2019 mandate letters to Cabinet ministers are available upon request. 29
  • 30. Strategic Opportunity, contโ€™d. 4. Many federal/provincial government relationships are strained necessitating direct support and collaboration with cities. The relationship between the Liberal government and the provincial governments of Alberta, Saskatchewan, Ontario and New Brunswick are strained particularly on climate and environmental topics (i.e. carbon tax and pipelines), so the federal government may find it more effective and efficient to work directly with cities, particularly in these provinces. 5. Urban advocacy for climate action support is needed and justified. FCM, in coordination with its Big City Mayorsโ€™ Caucus (BCMC), used the federal election as a springboard for action โ€” a centralized voice for municipal governments across the country โ€” with climate action being a priority policy area for FCM, but stronger urban advocacy is required, particularly on behalf of Canadaโ€™s largest cities and economic centres where there is the largest opportunity for GHG reductions and risk mitigation. 6. The public appetite for immediate, bold climate action and tangible solutions by all levels of government is strong, with support now among the highest levels in Canadian history. A national opinion survey of 2,000 people conducted by Abacus Data in July 2019, shows that โ€œthe public is ahead of our politicsโ€, says Seth Klein, Adjunct Professor at SFU Urban Studies and former BC director of the Canadian Centre for Policy Alternatives. โ€œA large share of Canadians is already deeply worried about the climate crisis, and they are increasingly ready for bold and ambitious actions.โ€ 30
  • 31. CUSPโ€™s Proposed Intergovernmental Relations Strategy โ€ข Partner with FCM, national environmental non-governmental organizations (ENGOs), and institutional investors, etc. to advocate to federal government on these 2020 recommendations โ€ข In coordination with FCM and other partners: โ€ข organize Ottawa delegations including meetings with key senior staff and Ministers, NDC policy working group โ€ข Identify earned media opportunities (i.e. Op-Eds, events etc.) to share CUSP key messages 31
  • 32. Proposed Next Steps for CUSP Staff and Members 1. CUSP to reach out to key national partners to coordinate meetings with federal officials. 2. Municipal sustainability staff to coordinate briefings with their IGR staff and Mayorsโ€™ offices; embed 2020 recommendations and key messages into all materials. 3. Each member city to identify federal outreach opportunities from now through September. โ€ข FCM/Big City Mayorsโ€™ Caucus/BCAT/Minister Meetings, Federal Budget etc. 32