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Dr. Dimitrios Kanellopoulos
6th November 2015
Give me a good reason to support
renewable development in the world
http://willemhoekstra.aminus3.com/portfolio/?p=P8aSn
•Energy use today and future trends,
what drives them?
•Have citizens & investors change their
attitudes for energy from fossil fuels?
•Do we need goals?
•Can we identify the bottlenecks?
•Is it a utopia to think that the world can
run on 100% RES?
2
The European Environment State and Outlook 2015, SOER-2015
In 2015 EU stands roughly halfway between the initiation of
EU environmental policy in the early 1970’s and the EU’s vision
of living well within the limits of the planet.
3
Global figures: population trends 1950-2100
4
Global figures: projected economic growth 2000-2050
5
Global projections: ENERGY consumption till 2040, IEA
“All
economies
should build
on a sound
global eco-
environment,
and green,
low-carbon
circular
sustainable
development
should be
pursued.”
President Xi
Jinping of
China,
28.9.2015
6
BP: primary energy consumption for electricity production in the world,
2012-2013
-
2000,0
4000,0
6000,0
8000,0
10000,0
12000,0
14000,0
Oil Natural Gas Coal Nuclear EnergyHydroelectric Renewables Total
milliontofoilequivalent
7
EU facts: percentage share of RES
Above 25%
GR
DUK
8
EU facts: Share of renewables in gross final energy consumption, 2013 and
2020 (%)
2013 : electricity generated from renewable energy sources
contributed more than one quarter (25.4 %) of the EU-28’s gross
electricity consumption. In Austria (68.1 %) and Sweden (61.8 %)
GR
D
UK
S
A
9
EU facts: Electricity Generation, TWh
•Biomass
•Solar
•wind
Hydro = 45.5% of total RES in
2013
10
Leonardo Di Caprio Joins Divestment Call as
Fossil Fuels Could Lose Billions in Investment
Sixth Avenue during the 2014 People's Climate in New York. (Photo: Timothy A. Clary/AFP/Getty Images)
Over the past year, investors holding $2.6 trillion in
assets have pledged to divest from companies that
produce coal, oil, and natural gas,
11
Spiritual leaders call for strong Paris climate deal to limit warming
Islamic Declaration on
Global Climate Change
In the name of Allah,
Most Merciful, Most
Compassionate
UN climate conference 30 Nov - 11 Dec 2015
12
Big Banks Call For 'Strong' Climate Deal
 Bank of America, Citi, JPMorgan Chase, Goldman
Sachs, Morgan Stanley and Wells Fargo arguing in
a joint release that government action, in addition
to private business investment, is needed to
address climate change.
 The banks said that putting a price on carbon
emissions is crucial to increasing investments in
clean energy. The right policy frameworks, they
wrote, "can help unlock the incremental public and
private capital needed to ensure" that the
estimated $90 trillion in new infrastructure
investments projected over the next 15 years will
help reduce, not increase, carbon emissions.
Without government
action, private
investment won't be
enough. September 2015
13
Source: Munich RE Extreme weather
14
Source:DWD, Hamburg-Dresden-Frankfurt am Main-Mannheim-Munich
1950
year
1980 2000
15
Temperature rise
update 1.10.2015 ?
48
The United Nations launches a landmark new
framework for sustainable development that will
aim to end poverty and build a life of dignity for
all, leaving no one behind.
Transforming Our World: the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development ,
composed of 17 goals and 169 targets to wipe out poverty, fight inequality and
tackle climate over the next 15 years.
• SUSTAINABLE
ENERGY-HELPS
TO END POVERTY
AND ADVANCES
CLIMATE JUSTICE
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uSGEWw_zW58
www.youtube.com/watch?v=uSGEWw_zW58
•Universal
accessibility to
modern energy
sources,
•Double the world
wide rate of
energy efficiency
improvement,
•Double the global
share of renewable
energy
19
UN: Energy - Framework for action
 We reaffirm support for the implementation of national and subnational policies and
strategies, based on individual national circumstances and development aspirations,
using an appropriate energy mix to meet developmental needs, including through
increased use of renewable energy sources and other low-emission technologies,
 the more efficient use of energy, greater reliance on advanced energy technologies,
including cleaner fossil fuel technologies, and the sustainable use of traditional energy
resources.
 We commit to promoting sustainable modern energy services for all through national
and subnational efforts, inter alia, on electrification and dissemination of sustainable
cooking and heating solutions, including through collaborative actions to share best
practices and adopt policies, as appropriate.
 We urge governments to create enabling environments that facilitate public and
private sector investment in relevant and needed cleaner energy technologies.
20
IEA
Electrification of transport
Centralized power &
heat generation
RES
Smart transmissions
& distribution
Storage
21
IEA, Market Analysis and forecasts to 2020
Is it possible to
develop RES only
within the market
rules?
More investors are beginning to realize the risk
posed by climate change. Analyses from Citigroup,
HSBC, the IEA, Bank of England, and others have
yielded evidence of a “significant, quantifiable risk
to portfolios exposed to fossil fuel assets
23
•COST of Energy in a 100% WWS system= cost TODAY.
•Barriers to a 100% conversion to WWS power worldwide
are primary social and political, not technological or even
economic.
Evaluating the feasibility of providing all energy for all purposes from Wind Water and
the Sun, WWS.
ICELAND
Population:330.000
72% hydroelectricity,
28% geothermal, wind, solar power,
less than 0.1% combustible fuel
Norway
Population:5.14 million
96% hydroelectricity,
2% combustible fuel,
2% geothermal, wind, and solar
Samso, Denmark
Population:3800
net greater than 100% wind power
and biomass, connected to
mainland for balance and backup
power
Denmark's wind power flowering: A small country
with big dreams of a fossil-free future
Energy ministers from the G20 countries and heads of IGOs affirmed their
commitment to renewable energy at the first-ever G20 Energy Ministers Meeting in
Istanbul. The high-level participants endorsed a Communiqué, which included the
adoption of a renewable energy toolkit, which provides options for G20 countries to
take a long-term, integrated and sustainable approach towards enhanced deployment
of renewable energy.
FIRST time renewable energy was on the agenda 2.10.2015
In July 2015, a report by the US
Defense Department called
climate change an "urgent and
growing threat" to national
security, and this week NATO's
parliament demanded stronger
action by member states to
tackle a warming planet.
"Climate change is a threat to peace," said French Foreign Minister Laurent
Fabius, describing a world where floods, desertification and droughts will intensify
conflicts over ever-scarcer resources and spark a massive wave of environmental
refugees, 10.2015
IMF chief Christine Lagarde has warned of dire consequences
if we fail to take action on climate change. She also advocated
introducing a carbon tax to generate more funds to sponsor
poorer countries' climate goals. Lima-Peru. 10.2015
Global warming will
have us 'roasted
and toasted'
World Bank Group President, Jim Kim
announced that the World Bank Group will
provide about $29 billion per year by 2020 to
help fight climate change.
coal coal
hydro
solar
2 degrees scenario
Thanks for your
attention
We live well within the limits of the planet.
Award-winning climate expert Mojib Latif:
'I am not afraid of the future'

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RES DK 6.11.2015

  • 1. Dr. Dimitrios Kanellopoulos 6th November 2015 Give me a good reason to support renewable development in the world
  • 2. http://willemhoekstra.aminus3.com/portfolio/?p=P8aSn •Energy use today and future trends, what drives them? •Have citizens & investors change their attitudes for energy from fossil fuels? •Do we need goals? •Can we identify the bottlenecks? •Is it a utopia to think that the world can run on 100% RES?
  • 3. 2 The European Environment State and Outlook 2015, SOER-2015 In 2015 EU stands roughly halfway between the initiation of EU environmental policy in the early 1970’s and the EU’s vision of living well within the limits of the planet.
  • 4. 3 Global figures: population trends 1950-2100
  • 5. 4 Global figures: projected economic growth 2000-2050
  • 6. 5 Global projections: ENERGY consumption till 2040, IEA “All economies should build on a sound global eco- environment, and green, low-carbon circular sustainable development should be pursued.” President Xi Jinping of China, 28.9.2015
  • 7. 6 BP: primary energy consumption for electricity production in the world, 2012-2013 - 2000,0 4000,0 6000,0 8000,0 10000,0 12000,0 14000,0 Oil Natural Gas Coal Nuclear EnergyHydroelectric Renewables Total milliontofoilequivalent
  • 8. 7 EU facts: percentage share of RES Above 25% GR DUK
  • 9. 8 EU facts: Share of renewables in gross final energy consumption, 2013 and 2020 (%) 2013 : electricity generated from renewable energy sources contributed more than one quarter (25.4 %) of the EU-28’s gross electricity consumption. In Austria (68.1 %) and Sweden (61.8 %) GR D UK S A
  • 10. 9 EU facts: Electricity Generation, TWh •Biomass •Solar •wind Hydro = 45.5% of total RES in 2013
  • 11. 10 Leonardo Di Caprio Joins Divestment Call as Fossil Fuels Could Lose Billions in Investment Sixth Avenue during the 2014 People's Climate in New York. (Photo: Timothy A. Clary/AFP/Getty Images) Over the past year, investors holding $2.6 trillion in assets have pledged to divest from companies that produce coal, oil, and natural gas,
  • 12. 11 Spiritual leaders call for strong Paris climate deal to limit warming Islamic Declaration on Global Climate Change In the name of Allah, Most Merciful, Most Compassionate UN climate conference 30 Nov - 11 Dec 2015
  • 13. 12 Big Banks Call For 'Strong' Climate Deal  Bank of America, Citi, JPMorgan Chase, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley and Wells Fargo arguing in a joint release that government action, in addition to private business investment, is needed to address climate change.  The banks said that putting a price on carbon emissions is crucial to increasing investments in clean energy. The right policy frameworks, they wrote, "can help unlock the incremental public and private capital needed to ensure" that the estimated $90 trillion in new infrastructure investments projected over the next 15 years will help reduce, not increase, carbon emissions. Without government action, private investment won't be enough. September 2015
  • 14. 13 Source: Munich RE Extreme weather
  • 15. 14 Source:DWD, Hamburg-Dresden-Frankfurt am Main-Mannheim-Munich 1950 year 1980 2000
  • 17. The United Nations launches a landmark new framework for sustainable development that will aim to end poverty and build a life of dignity for all, leaving no one behind. Transforming Our World: the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development , composed of 17 goals and 169 targets to wipe out poverty, fight inequality and tackle climate over the next 15 years.
  • 18. • SUSTAINABLE ENERGY-HELPS TO END POVERTY AND ADVANCES CLIMATE JUSTICE
  • 19. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uSGEWw_zW58 www.youtube.com/watch?v=uSGEWw_zW58 •Universal accessibility to modern energy sources, •Double the world wide rate of energy efficiency improvement, •Double the global share of renewable energy
  • 20. 19 UN: Energy - Framework for action  We reaffirm support for the implementation of national and subnational policies and strategies, based on individual national circumstances and development aspirations, using an appropriate energy mix to meet developmental needs, including through increased use of renewable energy sources and other low-emission technologies,  the more efficient use of energy, greater reliance on advanced energy technologies, including cleaner fossil fuel technologies, and the sustainable use of traditional energy resources.  We commit to promoting sustainable modern energy services for all through national and subnational efforts, inter alia, on electrification and dissemination of sustainable cooking and heating solutions, including through collaborative actions to share best practices and adopt policies, as appropriate.  We urge governments to create enabling environments that facilitate public and private sector investment in relevant and needed cleaner energy technologies.
  • 21. 20 IEA Electrification of transport Centralized power & heat generation RES Smart transmissions & distribution Storage
  • 22. 21 IEA, Market Analysis and forecasts to 2020
  • 23. Is it possible to develop RES only within the market rules? More investors are beginning to realize the risk posed by climate change. Analyses from Citigroup, HSBC, the IEA, Bank of England, and others have yielded evidence of a “significant, quantifiable risk to portfolios exposed to fossil fuel assets
  • 24. 23 •COST of Energy in a 100% WWS system= cost TODAY. •Barriers to a 100% conversion to WWS power worldwide are primary social and political, not technological or even economic. Evaluating the feasibility of providing all energy for all purposes from Wind Water and the Sun, WWS.
  • 25. ICELAND Population:330.000 72% hydroelectricity, 28% geothermal, wind, solar power, less than 0.1% combustible fuel
  • 26. Norway Population:5.14 million 96% hydroelectricity, 2% combustible fuel, 2% geothermal, wind, and solar
  • 27. Samso, Denmark Population:3800 net greater than 100% wind power and biomass, connected to mainland for balance and backup power Denmark's wind power flowering: A small country with big dreams of a fossil-free future
  • 28. Energy ministers from the G20 countries and heads of IGOs affirmed their commitment to renewable energy at the first-ever G20 Energy Ministers Meeting in Istanbul. The high-level participants endorsed a Communiqué, which included the adoption of a renewable energy toolkit, which provides options for G20 countries to take a long-term, integrated and sustainable approach towards enhanced deployment of renewable energy. FIRST time renewable energy was on the agenda 2.10.2015
  • 29. In July 2015, a report by the US Defense Department called climate change an "urgent and growing threat" to national security, and this week NATO's parliament demanded stronger action by member states to tackle a warming planet. "Climate change is a threat to peace," said French Foreign Minister Laurent Fabius, describing a world where floods, desertification and droughts will intensify conflicts over ever-scarcer resources and spark a massive wave of environmental refugees, 10.2015
  • 30. IMF chief Christine Lagarde has warned of dire consequences if we fail to take action on climate change. She also advocated introducing a carbon tax to generate more funds to sponsor poorer countries' climate goals. Lima-Peru. 10.2015 Global warming will have us 'roasted and toasted'
  • 31. World Bank Group President, Jim Kim announced that the World Bank Group will provide about $29 billion per year by 2020 to help fight climate change.
  • 33. Thanks for your attention We live well within the limits of the planet. Award-winning climate expert Mojib Latif: 'I am not afraid of the future'