Chaim Yudkowsky, CPA, CITP, CGMA - Byte of Success Delivered multiple times in 1997 - looks at technology trends of the time.

1. HAL 9000 and More:HAL 9000 and More:
Trends in TechnologyTrends in Technology
presented bypresented by
Grabush, Newman & Co., P.A.Grabush, Newman & Co., P.A.
Certified Public Accountants & Management ConsultantsCertified Public Accountants & Management Consultants
Chaim Yudkowsky, CPA

3. ObjectivesObjectives
To provide you with a look at
new technologies and trends
Discussion of business,
cultural, and social impacts of
those technologies to the
communication field

4. Why (continue to) useWhy (continue to) use
technology?technology?
Increase recreation and entertainment
Improve productivity
Improve convenience
Improve accuracy
Improve efficiency
Improve clarity and neatness
Increase timeliness
Increase accessibility
Reduce costs

5. Any sufficiently advanced technology
is indistinguishable from magic.
Arthur L. Clarke,
The Lost Worlds of 2001

6. TrendTrend
Fundamental societal shift to
being “Knowledge based.”
Peter Drucker,
The Post Capitalist Society

7. Technology -Technology - ExistingExisting
Personal computers and GUI
VCR / TV
CD-ROM services
Color printing
E-mail
Fax
Voice mail
Wireless
OCR Scanning
Internet

8. The Internet seems pervasive, but...The Internet seems pervasive, but...

9. . . . it involves many technologies!. . . it involves many technologies!

10. Vision is the art of seeing things
invisible.
Jonathan Swift,
Thoughts on Various Subjects

11. Technology -Technology -Near-term emergingNear-term emerging
Groupware
Multimedia
Animation
Personal digital assistants
Kiosks
DVD
Internet push technology

12. “In the world of the Internet, is there a place for a
packager of services? Does the customer want to go
surf the Net and go to every one of 50,000 Web sites?
Or will people pay a reasonable amount for somebody
to go out and preselect and package what they want?
My guess is that both will coexist.”
Lou Gerstner
CEO IBM / Prodigy Services Partner
Business Week Oct 30, 1995

13. Technology -Technology - Longer-term emergingLonger-term emerging
Video conferencing
Virtual reality
Imaging
Interactive TV
– Experiment in Orlando
Intelligent agent
Web TV
– Niche segment appeal for next 5 years

14. Technology -Technology - Ongoing emergingOngoing emerging
Chips -- Pentium MMX, II, and beyond
Electronic commerce
Data warehouse leveraging
High-definition TV
Voice synthesis & recognition
Intranet / Extranet
Two-way paging
PCS extension of wireless

15. Technology -Technology - Novelty and NicheNovelty and Niche
Fanny pack PC
Virtual pets
TruePosition geographical positioning
Net games
Child playgrounds

16. The Information Highway will
transform our culture as dramatically
as Gutenberg’s press did in the middle
ages.
Bill Gates, CEO, Microsoft
The Road Ahead

17. Today, many technologyToday, many technology
innovations seem to involveinnovations seem to involve
information and communication.information and communication.

18. A man’s feet must be planted in his
country, but his eyes should survey
the world.
George Santayana, philosopher

19. Technology DriversTechnology Drivers
Globalization and global competition
Pace of change / pace of communication
Collaboration
Continuous pressure to outperform
Downsizing of resources
Hunger for knowledge

20. Knowledge has become the “key
resource” of the world economy. The
traditional factors - land, labor, capital
- are becoming restraints rather than
driving forces.
Peter Drucker

21. Decision Information OverloadDecision Information Overload
High High
Low Low
Ability
to Make
a Decision
Quality
of
knowledge
Quality of information
Low High

22. Technology changingTechnology changing
expectationsexpectations
Mass customization / mass niche marketing
Infotainment
Telecomputer convergence
Info-intensive value chain
Telecommuting
Virtual corporation
Virtual shopping

23. Who is using it?Who is using it?
Xers, Boomers, and Matures
“Technology sometimes intimidates me.” -
55:57:64
Simplicity sells
Xers = practicality
Boomers = efficiency
Matures = accessibility

24. Overall technology issuesOverall technology issues
Speed and degradation
Privacy
Confidentiality
Security
Permanency
Copyright
Usage policy
Quality of life

25. AICPA IT Committee 1997AICPA IT Committee 1997
Top 10Top 10
1. Security.
2. Image Processing.
3. General communication technology.
4. The Internet and public online services.
5. Training and technology competency.

26. AICPA IT Committee 1997AICPA IT Committee 1997
Top 10Top 10
6. The Year 2000.
7. Electronic commerce.
8. Workflow.
9. Private networks, including intranets.
10. Electronic data interchange (EDI).

27. Specific technologySpecific technology
implementationsimplementations
Database management
Document preparation
Electronic mail
Contact management
Presentations

28. Point to ponderPoint to ponder
Senior managers who do not make
information technology an integral
part of their business strategy will
find their future seriously threatened
by competitors who do.
Jaak Juison, Asst Professor of IS
Fordham University
Reader of Business Week

29. Discussion / QuestionsDiscussion / Questions

30. THE ENDTHE END