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The Next Phase of Web2.0: Data
Jamie Taylor
eschew mentalistic
explanations

you tend not to get
caught up in them
when working with
preverbal animals
Internet Trolls: are shy
                                                     people who engage in
                                                     argumentation to fulļ¬ll their
                                                     need for conversation and
                                                     human contact.

                                                     Really? How do you know?




http://www.ļ¬‚ickr.com/photos/pagedooley/2789916201/
Let the data speak for itself

This is a description of a
community

2 users engaged in closed
exchange
Building
                    communities of data




 Build Flexible
Applications with
  Graph Data
12 Million Nodes
350 Million Links
Item #3 of
"what is web2.0"
http://www.plasticbag.org/ļ¬les/native/
#2 what is
                                        web2.0:

                                        Harnessing
                                        Collective
                                        Intelligence




Network effects from user contributions are the
 key to market dominance in the Web 2.0 era.
                                  - Tim O'Reilly
How do you design for Network Effects?




Network Effects
What is the story about?



Multiplying a scarce resource via community

                             This is an economic tale
                             The community was altered
                             The rules of exchange were altered
                             Changed the Economy

                             community = economy
So far...


Jamie is an economist in disguise
Stone Soup is an economic tale
Community is another word for economy
Models of Participation   In a community
Participatory Communities


                Visitors
              Contributing

               0.16%

               0.2%


               4.56%


             Source: Hitwise, reported by Bill Tancer 4/25/2007 in Time Magazine
Pyramid of Contribution
Following Bradley Horowitz




http://www.ļ¬‚ickr.com/photos/arancidamoeba/3421129195/
Pyramid of Contribution
Following Bradley Horowitz



                                                        Creators


                                                        Synthesizers



                                                        Consumers




http://www.ļ¬‚ickr.com/photos/arancidamoeba/3421129195/
Methylene Blue, methylthionine chloride or 3,7-
bis(dimethylamino)phenothiazin-5-ium chloride, with a
molecular formula of C16H18ClN3S, is a dye and medication
used in Gram's stain, Wright stain, and the treatment of
metoxyhemoglobinemia.
Its CAS number is 61-73-4: its EC number is 200-515-2 .
Pyramids of Contribution Opportunities




                           Community at any scale.
                           Not just one pyramid.

                           Each Pyramid of contribution fosters many others.
http://www.ļ¬‚ickr.com/photos/russellbernice/2947422039/
Bifurcation
?
Users will create/ļ¬ll-in
missing mechanisms. Can
we capture/extend their
work (to take advantage of
the data they are creating.)
Branch/Merge well know to technical community - how do
we extend to the broader community?
Need to understand the structure of
the conversation to analyze it.
Percolation




              http://www.ļ¬‚ickr.com/photos/hllewellyn/2614771667/
RT
1   2       6   7


2   3   4   5   6


3               7



4   5
P = 0.6
after 60 steps
Coupling




http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Railroad_Coupling_(CMRR).jpg
The Architecture of Participation
  ...modular architecture that allows easy
  participation by independent or loosely
          coordinated developers.
                            - Tim O'Reilly
NK Boolean Networks




                N Nodes
                K Connections

                As you increase the
                number of connections
A parameterized
model of coupling.

As K increases, the
space of values
becomes less
predictable.
Scale
Linear Value
     N
Metcalfe's Law
     N  2
Group Formation Networks
          2 N
Reed's Law




                     N
Value




                     N^2
                     2^N




             N
2N
Value




        N       N2


                  N


   Broadcast   Email   Chatrooms
#
2N
Value




        N       N2


                 N


   Broadcast   Feeds        #tags
Controlled Vocabulary




                        http://www.ļ¬‚ickr.com/photos/acme/2707444462
<script type="text/javascript"
           src="http://ajax.googleapis.com/ajax/libs/jquery/1.3.2/jquery.min.js"></script>
<script type="text/javascript"
           src="http://freebaselibs.com/static/suggest/1.0.1/suggest.min.js"></script>


<script type="text/javascript">
$(function() {
   $("#suggestinput").suggest()
      .bind("fb-select", function(e, data) {
        $('#proļ¬leid').val(data.id);
    });
});
</script>


http://freebase.com/docs/suggest
Using well-known
semantics connects you
to other communities:
- Open Graph Protocol
- Freebase
- HTML5 Microformats
Cumulative Advantage




                       http://www.ļ¬‚ickr.com/photos/amagill/3366720659/
Clocks didnā€™t
have to look
like this.
Many early
clocks were 24
hour clocks.
10,000 year clock

Conceived by Danny
Hillis, co-founder of
Metaweb
Enough people started
using this format that it
became the standard....

VHS/Betamax anyone?
Is Justin Timberlake a Product of
         Cumulative Advantage?



http://www.nytimes.com/2007/04/15/magazine/15wwlnidealab.t.html
The rich get richer
                  and
Connected data attracts more connections
The foundation behind:

-Scale Free Networks
-Small World Networks
"If you need scale in order to create value, it's hard
to get scale, because there's little incentive for the
ļ¬rst people to use the product. Ideally, the system
should be useful for user number one."

                             -Joshua Schachter, 2006
Old - but still ļ¬lled
with great ideas!
Dan Bricklin:
Cornucopia of the Commons
ā€¢   Three ways to build a database
    ā€¢   Organize manually
    ā€¢   Organize mechanically
    ā€¢   Get volunteers to build it
"...one can predict the success of a particular
system for building a shared database by how much
the database is aided through normal, selļ¬sh use."

                               -Dan Bricklin, 2001
http://www.ļ¬‚ickr.com/photos/nortinirt/2113818464/
Stone Soup Review

   Multiplying a scarce resource via community
                                 Cumulative Advantage:
                                 -once people started to contribute....easier
                                 for others to contribute....positive feedback.

                                 Architecture for Participation:
Cumulative advantage             - loosely coupled.
                                 - If one contribution failed, others could
                                 succeed.
Architecture for participation   Community at all scales:
                                 -Different type of contribution
Community at all scales          -Individual contributions,
                                 -family contributions,
                                 -pre cooked contributions
                                 -community contributions
ā€£Think about data accumulation in interaction design
ā€£Design for Network Effects
 -Allow community to work at all scales
 -Provide tools for bifurcation management
 -Facilitate Percolation (but don't over connect)
 -Couple contributions loosely
 -Foster Group Forming Networks (2      N scaling)


 -Guide data convergence through vocabulary
 -Leverage cumulative advantage
ā€£Deliver value, create data, deliver value

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