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The Future of Work:
Winning With An Agile
Workforce
Did you envision yourself in your
current career, when you were 10?
2
3
Did you envision
your city?
4
Did you envision your city?
Your office
building?
5
Your desk?
6
Your commute?
7
You
probably
didn’t
envision
this
8
Or this
http://www.remoteyear.com/how-it-works/
9
Historically, work was
where
10http://www.logospike.com/company-logos-1382/
And for which company
11
But work
is an
evolving
term
12
How did we
get here?
13
Hunter-gather groups move constantly
Prior to ~12,000BC
14
http://www.regentsprep.org/regents/global/themes/change/neohttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Neolithic_Revolution; .cfm; Scanned from 1000 Fragen an die Natur,
via The Metropolitan Museum of Art, Rogers Fund, 1948., Public Domain, https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?curid=2959985
Permanent encampments form
Neolithic Revolution ~12,000BC
15
America is a nation of small, rural
farms
Agrarian America (early 1600s – late 1700s)
https://www.flickr.com/photos/jjc3/8220180903
16By E.L. Hoskyn - Plate from More Pictures of British History, London, 1914, p.61. Publisher: London. Adam
and Charles Black. 1914, Public Domain, https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?curid=8386342
Farms  factories
Industrial Revolution (late 1700s – early
1800s)
17http://www.autoguide.com/auto-news/2010/09/model-t-plant-to-become-a-museum.html
Factories  more, bigger, more efficient
factories
2nd Industrial Revolution (late 1800s – early
1900s)
18
By The Opte Project - Originally from the English Wikipedia; description page is/was here., CC BY 2.5,
https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?curid=1538544
Mechanical  digital
3rd Industrial Revolution (2nd half
1900s)
19
The way we work evolves for decades and
centuries
…until brief but explosive periods of change
20
Is the 4th Industrial
Revolution underway?
21https://www.mbopartners.com/uploads/files/state-of-independence-
reports/2016_MBO_Partners_State_of_Independence_Report.pdf
For millions today, and more
tomorrow, work is changing
2015 2021
29
34
# Americans working independently (Millions)
Option 1
22US census; https://www.mbopartners.com/uploads/files/state-of-independence-
reports/2016_MBO_Partners_State_of_Independence_Report.pdf
For millions today, and more
tomorrow, work is changing
Independent work accelerating
Option 2
Individual proprietorships
added, ’04-144M
Americans working
independently, ’15-215M
The “gig” economy has grown
exponentially
23
24
The lifetime “company man” ideal
has gone by the wayside.
For whom we work...
How we source work…
Where we work…
For how long we work…
…are all
changing.
Intuit. Twenty Trends That Will Shape The Next Decade. Mountain
View, CA. 2010.
“The brick & mortar office will be a thing
of the past…work will increasingly
shift…toward an in-my-own place, and on-
my-own-time regiment.” – Intuit
25
https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2016/02/the-future-of-work/.
“New technologies are enabling…remote working, co-
working spaces and teleconferencing. Organizations are
likely to have an ever-smaller pool of core full-time
employees.” – World Economic Forum
26
https://www.microsoft.com/mscorp/execmail/2005/05-19newworldofwork.mspxLeopold, Till Alexander, Vesselina Ratcheva, Saadia Zahidi. Future of Jobs. World Economic Forum. 2016
“…a generation of young people who grew up with the
Internet is entering the workforce, bringing along
workstyles and technologies that feel as natural to them
as pen and paper.” – Bill Gates
27
28
Why?
29
Let’s consider four
topics
Workforce1
Employment landscape2
Other aids4
Technology enablement3
30
The workforce today is more
educated
of the workforce has at least a bachelor’s
degree versus 27% twenty years ago39%
US census; 25 and older; Aug 2016 versus Aug 1996
31
The workforce today is less
unionized
of employed workers are union members
versus 18% thirty years ago11%
US census; 2015 versus 1985
32
The workforce today is more
‘Millennial’
of the workforce is from the Millennial
generation34%
http://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2015/05/11/millennials-surpass-gen-xers-as-the-largest-
generation-in-u-s-labor-force/ (data is 1Q2015); US census
33
Millennials think about their
careers differently
Expect to see themselves at their current job
a decade from now16%
Would like more opportunities to work
remotely75%
Feel confident and in control of their career
paths77%
The Deloitte Millennial Survey 2016
34
WORKFORCE
Millennials work and
communicate differently
MBO partners; http://www.wsj.com/articles/millennials-prefer-single-family-homes-in-the-suburbs-
1421896797; kpcb.com/InternetTrends; http://www.forbes.com/sites/neilhowe/2015/07/15/why-
millennials-are-texting-more-and-talking-less/#75da08015576
 More open to unconventional career
paths and independent work
 Attracted to autonomy and control
 Want to communicate via social media or
email
 Text ~2.5x as much as Baby Boomers
35
Like father like son? A tale of two careers
• Born mid-50s
• Massachusetts public high school
• BS in business from New England
liberal arts college
• 37 years and counting at
commercial bank
• Born early-80s
• Massachusetts public high school
• BA in economics from New England
liberal arts college
• 4 years investing (2 companies)
• Masters degree
• 1 year (overseas) at multi-national
company
• 3 years at large consulting firm
• 6 months and counting starting
business and independent
consulting (via Catalant platform)
Father Son
36US census, current data is 2015; data represents December of each year (seasonally adjusted)
Employment above long-term
avg Unemployment for the total workforce, below the 40-year
average (6%)5%
Unemployment rate for workforce participants ages 20-24,
below the 40-year avg (10%) and significantly below
recession-driven 16% reached in 2009
9%
37US census
Manufacturing  service-oriented
industries
Jobs lost in manufacturing
Jobs added in education &
health serv., prof. & biz
services, and hospitality
23%
35%
Job movement, 2000 - 2015
38US census, Aug 1996 and 2016
Worker  manager
Jobs lost from ‘sales and office’
and ‘production, transportation,
and material moving’
Jobs added to ‘management
and professional’
11%
41%
Job movement, 1996 - 2016
39
Source: Manyika, James, Susan Lund, Byron Auguste and Sreenivas Ramaswamy.
Help wanted: The future of work in advanced economies. McKinsey Global
Institute. 2012.
“By 2020, the United States may have 1.5 million too few
workers with college or graduate degrees and nearly 6
million too many who have not completed high school” –
McKinsey Global Institute
40
KPCB.com/internettrends;
https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Carnabotnet_geovideo_lowres.gif
~Ubiquitous global internet…
billion internet users, 42% of
global population
3
41KPCB.com/internettrends;
https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Carnabotnet_geovideo_lowres.gif
…and ~ubiquitous smart
phone
billion smart phone users, more
than 5x penetration in 2010
2.5
42Comscore
Even more so in the US
million smart phone users, 80% of
all cell phones
200
43http://fortune.com/2016/08/04/america-internet-speed-spikes/
Internet speeds are fast…
Mbps --- average download speed on broadband in the
US in June 2016, up 42% Y-o-Y55
Mbps --- avg download speed on mobile, up 33% Y-o-Y20
44Fortune.com
…and getting faster…
Gbps --- expected top download speed
on 5G mobile networks1
45Akamai State of the Internet 1Q2016
…everywhere
Countries with faster average connection
speeds than the US14
46By Fuelrefuel - Own work, CC BY-SA 3.0, https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?curid=5146472;
https://www.skype.com/en/meetings/; https://blogs.skype.com/2016/04/28/over-1-billion-skype-mobile-
downloads-thank-you/
Video calls available to everyone
billion Skype downloads, as of 4/161
From:
To:
47
KPBC; By Victorgrigas - Own work, CC BY-SA 3.0,
https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?curid=20348454
Storage way up
10 billion petabytes
of data in the digital
universe, growing
50% p.a.
~$0.06 per GB of
storage, falling 20%
per annum
Storage costs
way down
48https://www.cnet.com/how-to/onedrive-dropbox-google-drive-and-box-which-cloud-storage-
service-is-right-for-you/
Secure cloud storage and file
sharing available to all
Gigabytes of free storage
15 10 5 2
49http://www.naiop.org/en/Magazine/2015/Winter-2015-2016/Development-Ownership/The-
Future-of-Shared-Office-Space.aspx; https://blog.coworkworldwide.com/2016/01/26/the-global-
coworking-survey-20152016/; http://coworkworldwide.com/top-coworking-spaces-world
Coworking space expanding rapidly
Number of coworking spaces globally
20132005 2016
3,0001
7,800
50https://www.dol.gov/sites/default/files/ebsa/researchers/statistics/retirement-
bulletins/historicaltables.pdf
Traditional pensions a thing of the
past
# of private defined-benefit pensions
1983 2013
175k
44k
51
Workers no
longer reliant
upon employer-
sponsored
healthcare 
healthcare.gov
52
What’s changed so far?
Education digitizing1
Remote work increasing2
HR teams changing approach4
Gig economy ‘mainstreamed’3
53
Number represent fall of each year; 2002 number estimated;
http://onlinelearningconsortium.org/read/online-report-card-tracking-online-education-united-
states-2015/
Online education continues to grow
2002 2014
1.2
5.8
# of higher education students enrolled
in at least one online course
(Millions)
28% of all
enrolled
students
54https://2u.com/impact/impact-report-2016/individual/
Case study: 2U. “We power the
world’s best online degree
programs”
students enrolled since inception in
2008, with 83% retention21,000
faculty members at 14 university
partners, including 6 of the top 251,000
55
Remote working: rare 
common
https://www.entrepreneur.com/article/270585; Gallup poll
1996 2015
9%
37%
Workers that have worked remotely
56Remoteyear.com
Case study: Remote Year. “Travel
the world while working remotely”
applications per day to enroll in the program2,000
http://nextjuggernaut.com/blog/on-demand-economy-survey-stats-future-economy-funding-trends-on-demand-startups/;
MeasuringGigEconomy_1609.pdf staffingindustry.com
57
The on-demand economy is
the new norm
of US workers did gig work in 201529%
of US adults have used at least one
on-demand startup42%
58Gocatalant.com
Case study: Catalant. “Changing the way
knowledge is discovered and talent is harnessed”
consultants on the platform, growing
organically 500 per week
31,000
Fortune 1,000 clients and several hundred
SMBs
100+
59
“home-working will no longer be defined as a Friday luxury, but a more
efficient way to work enabled by technology, taking the physical strain from
megacities and regionalising work locations.” - World Economic Forum
Employers are responding with a
range of remote and flexible jobs
60
Where has the impact been
felt?
61sf.eater.com
Task-oriented
work
62
Travel & transportation
63
Tech: engineers,
developers,
designers, product
managers
64
Consulting
“we are seeing the beginnings of a shift in consulting’s competitive dynamic from the
primacy of integrated solution shops…to modular providers…The shift is generally
triggered when customer realize that they are paying too much for features they don’t
value.” – Harvard Business Review
HBR: Consulting on the Cusp of Disruption
65
Legal
“The legal market has historically lacked transparency, making it difficult for us to
deviate from using incumbent, brand-name law firms…Things are changing now.”
HBR: Consulting on the Cusp of Disruption
“AdvanceLaw survey of general counsel found that 52% agree (and only 28%
disagree) with the statement that general counsel “will make greater use of temporary
contract attorneys,” and 79% agree that “unbundling of legal services…will rise.” –
Harvard Business Review
66
Where else?
Shifting consulting budgets, decreasing
staff, changing HR strategy
Large
companies
Access to resources not previously
available at affordable rates
SMBs
Automation and robotics reducing labor
demand
Manufact-
uring
67
Where are we
going?[a few guesses]
68
Smaller FTE core
Lower need for physical space and
associated costs
Real estate
Ongoing and increased need for
investing in and/or managing technology
that enables remote work
Technology
Newly emphasized skill set in sourcing
short-term talent; HR evolves and
becomes even more important
HR
69
Changing competition for talent
 Shorter average tenure requires more-frequent
talent acquisition and competition
“As many as 230 million [globally] could find new jobs more
quickly [by 2025], reducing the duration of unemployment, while
200 million who are inactive or employed part time could gain
additional hours through freelance platforms.” – McKinsey Global
Institute
 Companies compete both with each other and
with ‘going independent’ for FTEs
70
More nimble and versatile
career paths
“Millennials will likely continue to seek out independent work in
greater numbers. In addition to being attracted to the freedom,
autonomy and control it provides, they see independent work as
a viable career path.” – MBO Partners, State of Independence
in America
Typical promotion path dies in favor of more
flexibility within (and outside of) organizations
Source: MBO Partners. America’s Independents A Rising Economic Force– 2016 State of
Independence in America. Herndon, VA: MBO Partners, 2016
71
What remains
to be solved?
[a lot]
72
How will we train the next
generation of workers and
leaders…
…if they aren’t showing up in
the office to do trust falls?
73
How will leaders cultivate
corporate culture…
…when employees aren’t
together 40 hours per week?
74
How will our system of
external validation evolve to
ensure career and salary
progression…
…if more and more people
work independently?
75
How will companies provide
benefits and incentives…
…if “employee” becomes a
more-fluid term?
76
What will we do with all that office
space?
77
Let’s sum it up
78
We are living in a golden age
The next period of massive change
79
Where there is massive change…
…there is massive opportunity
A collective vision of what a company
looks like embracing the Future of Work
• The organization ‘wins’ by efficiently accessing, engaging and deploying the best capability in the world, no matter where it sits
• Projects are the core unit of work and team members are measured, incentivized and reviewed based on specific performance
• There is no longer a distinction between ‘our employees’ and ‘talent’ we access dynamically, inside and outside of our company
• HR’s focus expands beyond talent ‘acquisition’ to constantly engaging and re-engaging unique talent in the most efficient way
• The company strives constantly to be the engager of choice and not just great to work at, but also great to work with
• People are matched with projects based on talent AND passion, creating special and consistent mission and purpose
• Retention isn’t about securing FTEs – it’s about engaging and supporting talent throughout its career journey
Key organization changes required
to achieve our vision
Planning /
Budgeting
Human
Resources
Legal /
Procurement
Culture /
Behaviors
Internal
Training
• Design our
budgeting process
to shift from
headcount to cost
orientation;
match funding to
support specific
“jobs to be done”
• Train managers
on how to scope
and select skills
required for a
need, and
accurately
diagnose when
outside help
makes sense
• Develop the
ability and
competency to
give real-time,
project-based
feedback to
people who we
may never meet
in person
• Develop
mechanisms to
keep external
talent aligned
with long-term
project success
• Partner with our
legal teams to
help them
understand how
to ensure
compliance while
engaging with
external help
• Develop process
to provide
external team
members access
while protecting
intellectual
property of the
company
• Re-align on-
boarding and off-
boarding to
support specific
projects but still
create
understanding of
the mission and
culture
• Ensure external
team members fit
with social norms
(or whether they
don’t, when we’re
looking for
someone to
disrupt our
normal way of
operating)
• Focus leadership
training on
leading teams
that may be
remote and
consist of both
employees and
external team
members
• Enable teams to
organize and
form with clear
roles and
responsibilities,
dynamically and
quickly
82
For more information visit:
www.gocatalant.com
617-997-6734
280 Summer St. | Boston, MA

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The Future of Work: Winning With an Agile Workforce

Editor's Notes

  1. More than ½ of the US population lives in one of 48 ‘urban areas’; 2010; http://www.citylab.com/housing/2012/03/us-urban-population-what-does-urban-really-mean/1589/
  2. US spends ~$38B per year on office construction (2013); https://www.census.gov/const/C30/release.pdf
  3. Average commute time in US is 26 minutes each way (2014), up from 22 minutes in 1985, https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/wonk/wp/2016/02/25/how-much-of-your-life-youre-wasting-on-your-commute/
  4. 52% of employed Americans work for the largest 0.3% of companies (2013), up from 47% in 1993 and 49% in 2003; Census: SUSB
  5. Work hasn’t always meant what it means today Work won’t always mean what it means today
  6. with little use for defined occupations; Starting to go full circle – people moving again
  7. The first occupations are born: warrior, priest, craftsman, farmer
  8. Jamestown was formed in 1607 and the Plymouth company was founded in 1620 10 slowest growing states since 1900 are mostly traditional farming states: Nebraska, Vermont, Maine, West Virginia, Mississippi, Missouri, Kansas, Pennsylvania, Kentucky, South Dakota --- http://www.infoplease.com/ipa/A0004986.html
  9. Technological innovations sew the seeds of a new American economy Samuel Slater opens America’s first cotton factory (1790), utilizing (stolen) IP to replicate cotton spinners utilized in England Eli Whitney’s cotton gin (1793) leads to larger plantations (and more slave labor). Cotton becomes America’s leading export by mid-century Eli Whitney’s interchangeable parts (1798) leads to dramatic improvements in manufacturing. Factories of many types spring up over following decades Frances Cabot Lowell, Nathan Appleton And Patrick Johnson form The Boston Manufacturing Company (1813) and build America's first integrated textile factory. Young, unmarried women move from New England farms into the mills (“Mill Girls”). Other corporations follow suit http://www.ushistory.org/us/25d.asp
  10. “Technological revolution” --- Rapid industrialization driven by dramatic technological improvements in metals, electricity, machining, chemicals, auto manufacturing, marine, and more Transcontinental Railroad completed (1869), connecting the coasts and accelerating business and trade JP Morgan and Charles Schwab conspire to buy Carnegie Steel (1901), valuing the newly formed entity at $1.4 billion upon its launch (first billion dollar corporation) In 1924 2 million T-Fords were produced and retailed $290 each https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Second_Industrial_Revolution
  11. “Digital revolution” --- Invention, production, and widespread adoption of computing technologies rapidly transforms the way we live and work And yet…not much in terms of our daily work lives changed --- still go to work, face to face, commute, etc. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Digital_Revolution
  12. Note from report: Independents are adult Americans of all ages, skill, and income levels who turn to consulting, freelancing, contract work, temporary assignments or on-call work regularly each week for income, opportunity and satisfaction; includes full time and part time If you add “occasional independents, the 2021 number will be 49 million, just over 40% of the non-farm workforce By 2021, nearly half of the population (48%) will be independent or have tried independent work in their lifetime --- https://www.mbopartners.com/state-of-independence ~44M in total contingent workforce, accounting for temps -- MeasuringGigEconomy_1609.pdf – staffingindustry.com Schedule C employment now >16% of US employment versus ~13% in 2000 (was steady ’92-00) http://www.sole-jole.org/16375.pdf
  13. Note from report: Independents are adult Americans of all ages, skill, and income levels who turn to consulting, freelancing, contract work, temporary assignments or on-call work regularly each week for income, opportunity and satisfaction; includes full time and part time If you add “occasional independents, the 2021 number will be 49 million, just over 40% of the non-farm workforce By 2021, nearly half of the population (48%) will be independent or have tried independent work in their lifetime --- https://www.mbopartners.com/state-of-independence ~44M in total contingent workforce, accounting for temps -- MeasuringGigEconomy_1609.pdf – staffingindustry.com Schedule C employment now >16% of US employment versus ~13% in 2000 (was steady ’92-00) http://www.sole-jole.org/16375.pdf
  14. 29% of US workers did gig work in 2015 --- MeasuringGigEconomy_1609.pdf – staffingindustry.com
  15. Sources:
  16. Sources:
  17. Sources:
  18. Already the largest generation. By 2024, Millennials and Gen Z will be more than half.
  19. Note: Millennials have not yet actually changed jobs more frequently than previous generations, potentially driven by many of them entering the workforce during a recession  http://fivethirtyeight.com/datalab/enough-already-about-the-job-hopping-millennials/
  20. Note: 2 ways to show jobs, on this page and next. This page shows jobs by industry. The following page shows jobs by occupation. % are of total in 2000 Manu = 4M jobs lost; ed and health, prof and biz services, and hosp = 12M gained
  21. Note: 2 ways to show jobs, on prior page and this one. This page shows jobs by occupation. The prior page shows jobs by industry. % are of total in 1996 Just lost = 3M; jobs gained =17M
  22. A looming education gap gives highly educated labor control and choice
  23. and more than 2x penetration in 2008
  24. 90% of cell phones for users 25-34 in the US as of 12/14
  25. 5G expected in 2020; top speed on 4G is 1 Gbps
  26. South Korea, Norway, Sweden, Hong Kong, Switzerland, Latvia, Japan, Netherlands, Czech Republic, Finland,, Denmark, Singapore, Romania, Bulgaria Note: Akamai ranks US #16, but I can’t find any country ranked 11th in their list
  27. ~300 million users http://fortune.com/2015/09/21/skype-users-unable-calls/ http://cloudtweaks.com/2015/03/15-cloud-based-video-conferencing-services-start-ups-enterprises/
  28. Disconnecting physical office space (i.e., file cabinets)
  29. Google Drive, Box, Microsoft OneDrive, Dropbox
  30. Total enrollment has actually fallen slightly Note: 2 data sets here that don’t match; we used the 2014 number from one data set and estimated 2002 based on the ratio of data in 2012 (both data sets have 2012)
  31. Also good stats on why working remotely is better - https://www.entrepreneur.com/article/279869 103% increase in employees telecommuting full time ’05-15
  32. ~$800B in spend on contingent labor in US in 2015 (same source);
  33. World Economic Forum Quote - Dunne, Nialle. "How Technology Will Change the Future of Work." February 24, 2016. Accessed August 9, 2016. https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2016/02/the-future-of-work/. IBM – Utilizes its “Blue Talent Cloud: A cloud platform that matches remote workers to short term assignments [and] external temporary reployment: temporarily assigns IBMers to an opening with external partners or clients”. Also, 68% f their employeeswork remotely (http://www.businessinsider.com/the-most-flexible-companies-in-america-2015-5) Dell - Mohammed Chahdi, Dell's global director of HR services, stated that "We're pushing a culture where it just doesn't matter. Your location simply doesn't matter anymore,” http://money.cnn.com/2016/06/09/pf/dell-work-from-home/ Apple – Hires ”at home advisors” – customer service to work from home rather than staffing people in typical call centers. This is a win-win as they will now safe on office space Amazon – Has a large portion of “virtual location” jobs where employees can work from whereever they want – currently there are 193 jobs listed wher eyou can work virutally listed https://www.amazon.jobs/en/locations/virtual-locations?base_query=&loc_query=&job_count=10&result_limit=10&sort=relevant&location%5B%5D=virtual-locations&cache Deloitte – Provides employees with 16 weeks caregiver leave – this is a new wave of flexibiliyt Cisco – 74% of workers work remotely – which is the highest of any companies mentioned and a new precident http://www.businessinsider.com/the-most-flexible-companies-in-america-2015-5 Kraft – Uses a program called Fast Adapts which allows workers to “swap shifts, take single-day vacations, and request job-sharing arrangements, pending the approval of their plant manager or supervisor. It also allows plants to utilize retirees to cover shifts for employees out on leave, on vacation or out with extended illnesses. KPMG – Supports “job sharing” and “glide hours” in addition to working from home Job sharing: where two employees share the duties and responsibilities of one full-time job”. “Glide time means working core hours (10:00am to 4:00pm) but starting work between 8:00-10:00am and finishing between 4:00-6:00pm. (https://www.kpmgcareers.co.uk/who-we-are/work-life-balance) “
  34. Manufacturing: limited desire from Millennials reducing labor supply Manufacturing sources: On automation reducing labor demand - “The Boston Consulting Group predicts that investment in industrial robots will grow 10% a year in the world's 25-biggest export nations through 2025, up from 2% to 3% a year now. The investment will pay off in lower costs and increased efficiency. Robots will cut labor costs by 33% in South Korea, 25% in Japan, 24% in Canada and 22% in the United States and Taiwan. Only 10% of jobs that can be automated have already been taken by robots. By 2025, the machines will have more than 23%, Boston Consulting forecasts.: http://www.latimes.com/business/la-fi-robots-jobs-20150211-story.html On Millennials – “In addition to retirements and economic expansion, other factors contribute to the shortage of skilled workforce [in the manufacturing industry], including loss of embedded knowledge due to movement of experienced workers, a negative image of the manufacturing industry among younger generations, lack of STEM (science, technology, engineering and mathematics) skills among workers, and a gradual decline of technical education programs in public high schools.” Deloitte and the Mnaufacturing Institute – The skills gap in US Manufacturing http://www.themanufacturinginstitute.org/~/media/827DBC76533942679A15EF7067A704CD.ashx
  35. Note: have not