This document provides an overview and analysis of the potential economic impacts of policies under President Trump. It first establishes baseline economic data and then outlines key Trump administration policies in areas like immigration, national security, tariffs, deregulation, taxes, infrastructure and the Federal Reserve. For each policy area, it discusses the main features and then assesses potential macroeconomic impacts as well as implications for specific sectors like manufacturing, finance, energy and communities. While outcomes are uncertain, policies could boost growth but also increase deficits, inflation and trade tensions depending on how they are implemented and whether they face retaliation.
Where's the Money? State and Local Government Finance Forecast - Outlook 2015Jon Yoffie
"IT’S NOT DOING MORE WITH LESS, IT’S DOING MORE WITH THE SAME." Governing Publisher Mark Funkhouser coined this one in the "Where’s the Money?" briefing on state and local government revenues and budgets. State and local government revenues are up 3.3% overall, but spending next year will be a bit below the pre-Recession peak, and long-term growth rates are going to be lower than projected long-term liabilities (pensions, government retiree healthcare, Medicaid, etc.), even as federal-to-state and state-to-local funds decline. So while we’ve moved beyond doing more with less, the bottom line is still (and for the foreseeable future will be) the bottom line. Finding ways to cut costs, increase efficiencies and fund programs with creative revenue-generating or private-sector partnership solutions will be paramount.
A new white paper issued by consulting firm Deloitte titled, "America's newfound power: What the U.S. should do to capitalize on the shale and renewable energy revolutions". The paper makes the case that the U.S. shale revolution is not an end but mearly a means to an end--a renewal energy future. Written by Joseph Stanislaw.
Jed Smith, Managing Director, Quantitative Research
NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
North Carolina Real Estate Summit
Cary, North Carolina
July 16, 2013
Fiscal Austerity & the Federal System (Paul Posner, 2013 ABFM Conf)PublicFinanceTV
"Fiscal Austerity & the Federal System" presentation by Paul Posner, George Mason Unviersity, presented during "Sequestration's Impact on State Budgets" plenary session, 2013 ABFM Annual Conference, October 3, 2013
Too many governments are looking at stop gap areas to help shore up support. The problem is many stop gap areas are not strong policies.
If you want to fixed income disparity then it is not by one off policies, but many policies.
Alaska's Fiscal Situation: Where We've Been, Where We're Headed (10.26.2019)Brad Keithley
A presentation to UAA Prof. Willie Hensley's "Alaska Policy Frontiers" seminar on October 26, 2019, on Alaska's current fiscal situation, how we got here, where we are and the options for where we go from here.
Where's the Money? State and Local Government Finance Forecast - Outlook 2015Jon Yoffie
"IT’S NOT DOING MORE WITH LESS, IT’S DOING MORE WITH THE SAME." Governing Publisher Mark Funkhouser coined this one in the "Where’s the Money?" briefing on state and local government revenues and budgets. State and local government revenues are up 3.3% overall, but spending next year will be a bit below the pre-Recession peak, and long-term growth rates are going to be lower than projected long-term liabilities (pensions, government retiree healthcare, Medicaid, etc.), even as federal-to-state and state-to-local funds decline. So while we’ve moved beyond doing more with less, the bottom line is still (and for the foreseeable future will be) the bottom line. Finding ways to cut costs, increase efficiencies and fund programs with creative revenue-generating or private-sector partnership solutions will be paramount.
A new white paper issued by consulting firm Deloitte titled, "America's newfound power: What the U.S. should do to capitalize on the shale and renewable energy revolutions". The paper makes the case that the U.S. shale revolution is not an end but mearly a means to an end--a renewal energy future. Written by Joseph Stanislaw.
Jed Smith, Managing Director, Quantitative Research
NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
North Carolina Real Estate Summit
Cary, North Carolina
July 16, 2013
Fiscal Austerity & the Federal System (Paul Posner, 2013 ABFM Conf)PublicFinanceTV
"Fiscal Austerity & the Federal System" presentation by Paul Posner, George Mason Unviersity, presented during "Sequestration's Impact on State Budgets" plenary session, 2013 ABFM Annual Conference, October 3, 2013
Too many governments are looking at stop gap areas to help shore up support. The problem is many stop gap areas are not strong policies.
If you want to fixed income disparity then it is not by one off policies, but many policies.
Alaska's Fiscal Situation: Where We've Been, Where We're Headed (10.26.2019)Brad Keithley
A presentation to UAA Prof. Willie Hensley's "Alaska Policy Frontiers" seminar on October 26, 2019, on Alaska's current fiscal situation, how we got here, where we are and the options for where we go from here.
Fred Dickson, Chief Investment Strategist for DA Davidson spoke at the Southern Oregon Business Conference on January 26, 2011. While our region has some specific challenges, it is good to hear that we are avoiding a double-dip recession and we can expect to continue a slow recovery.
The Oregon Office of Economic Analysis forecasts the state The economy and General Fund and Lottery Fund revenues. This slide presentation is part of the December 2020 forecast, released November 18th.
Guarantee Income| Canada| Analysis and Commentary| February 2019paul young cpa, cga
Social welfare is key area for people, especially when they are in between jobs. The problem is too many governments want to use tax dollars to provide guarantee income to able-body people.
The emphasis on welfare should be given more money to people that need it more in terms their social-economic background
Working from home is a long-run growth opportunity. Many such workers bring their jobs with them or start their own business in part because it is harder to find a similar job locally. One key need is good, reliable broadband. Overall Oregon does better than much of the country in terms of working from home and broadband access, however gaps exist. Furthermore there are a lot of inequities regarding access to technology. Broadband is important for social, economic, and educational needs.
Stephen Harper and CPC (Conservative Party of Canada) fiscal record is a cata...paul young cpa, cga
This presentation discusses Harper as well as other governments in Canada as part of highlighting how each government responded to the issues they faced while governing Canada.
This presentation will highlight the fact many people will have a say when it comes to Harper as well as Justin Trudeau and the Liberals. It is up to individuals to not take anybody's word at face value!
The slide is mainly related to the PESTLE analysis of America. It is useful in setting up of business. We are analyzing every aspect which can create an impact on the business.
HB 202 (HFIN): Comments of Alaskans for Sustainable BudgetsBrad Keithley
Comments filed on behalf of Alaskans for Sustainable Budgets with the House Finance Committee on HB 202 (Rep. Merrick) proposing a restructuring of and cuts in the Alaska Permanent Fund Dividend (PFD).
Please take the opportunity to view this presentation on why there are positives out there in the market, while looking at those that still concern us!
Fred Dickson, Chief Investment Strategist for DA Davidson spoke at the Southern Oregon Business Conference on January 26, 2011. While our region has some specific challenges, it is good to hear that we are avoiding a double-dip recession and we can expect to continue a slow recovery.
The Oregon Office of Economic Analysis forecasts the state The economy and General Fund and Lottery Fund revenues. This slide presentation is part of the December 2020 forecast, released November 18th.
Guarantee Income| Canada| Analysis and Commentary| February 2019paul young cpa, cga
Social welfare is key area for people, especially when they are in between jobs. The problem is too many governments want to use tax dollars to provide guarantee income to able-body people.
The emphasis on welfare should be given more money to people that need it more in terms their social-economic background
Working from home is a long-run growth opportunity. Many such workers bring their jobs with them or start their own business in part because it is harder to find a similar job locally. One key need is good, reliable broadband. Overall Oregon does better than much of the country in terms of working from home and broadband access, however gaps exist. Furthermore there are a lot of inequities regarding access to technology. Broadband is important for social, economic, and educational needs.
Stephen Harper and CPC (Conservative Party of Canada) fiscal record is a cata...paul young cpa, cga
This presentation discusses Harper as well as other governments in Canada as part of highlighting how each government responded to the issues they faced while governing Canada.
This presentation will highlight the fact many people will have a say when it comes to Harper as well as Justin Trudeau and the Liberals. It is up to individuals to not take anybody's word at face value!
The slide is mainly related to the PESTLE analysis of America. It is useful in setting up of business. We are analyzing every aspect which can create an impact on the business.
HB 202 (HFIN): Comments of Alaskans for Sustainable BudgetsBrad Keithley
Comments filed on behalf of Alaskans for Sustainable Budgets with the House Finance Committee on HB 202 (Rep. Merrick) proposing a restructuring of and cuts in the Alaska Permanent Fund Dividend (PFD).
Please take the opportunity to view this presentation on why there are positives out there in the market, while looking at those that still concern us!
On Thursday, May 11, 2017, Nicola Wealth Management hosted their annual Strategic Outlook event featuring presentations by NWM Chairman and CEO John Nicola and Chief Investment Officer Rob Edel.
201 Election| Canada and World| Slow Economic Growth| August 2019paul young cpa, cga
I have written many blogs on GDP as such GDP was never what at Justin Trudeau made it out to be for Canada.
There are few major things driving the issues
1. Brexit (UK split from EU)
2. Global Protectionism policies
3. WTO not being reformed
4. Too much push for carbon tax and the climate change agenda
5. Too many governments focusing on keynesian economics.
6. Global immigration and integration
7. Anti-Natural Resources agenda
8. Automation (internet of things, machine learning, AI)
9. Lack of quality in terms of government leaders
10. Too many governments are pushing radical agendas including regressive taxation.
The government’s economic policy is defined by five-year economic plans. China is at a critical stage of her development China will have move up the ‘value chain’ as it loses its competitive edge in labour-intensive sectors. China is still a relatively poor country with an estimated GDP per capita on a PPP basis of US$12,879 in 2014, lower than Thailand. Policies to increase the real incomes of China’s middle class will encourage more consumption as a share of GDP and make the economy less reliant on exports and investment as key sources of economic growth.
The Chinese economy has many structural imbalances that will need to be addressed for sustainable growth to be maintained:
Chinese economy remains reliant on credit growth, with overall debt rising to 280% of GDP in mid-2015
China will need to shift away from imitating/copying Western technologies to generating more innovation Increasing competitive challenges are coming from lower-unit cost countries such as Vietnam, Indonesia and Mexico. Wages in the Chinese manufacturing sector have more than tripled since 2008.
2019 Election| World Economy| Slow Growth| Canada| July 2019paul young cpa, cga
This presentation will discuss issues facing the Canadian economy as it heads for slower economic growth.
World economies are facing difficulties due to many factors like Brexit or China/USA trade wars or Excessive Government Regulations or lack of investment infrastructure
Geopolitical events in Middle East, South Asia Sea, Government changes in UK, Australia, etc.
Based on our scuttlebutt and feedback from industry sources and ground views of experts regarding the current state of affairs in India due to Coronavirus lockdown, We shall now present our thoughts on investment strategy for post lock down period.
On April 4th, 2017, Nicola Wealth Management hosted our annual Strategic Outlook seminar in Kelonwa where we will discussed what 2017 has in store for investors.
Similar to The Economy Under Trump - Manko, Gold, Katcher & Fox (20)
Econsult Solutions, Inc. (ESI) Senior Vice President and Principal Peter Angelides, PH.D., presented at the Pennsylvania Intergovernmental Cooperation Authority's (PICA) fourth annual fall conference on Naturally Occurring Affordable Housing.
Senior Vice President and Principal Peter Angelides and Senior Advisor Catherine Timko present a sustainable downtown marketing plan and design strategy to the Williamsburg Economic Development Office and Planning Department
Lee Huang examines the details of a return on investment case and the alterations that have taken place over time. Presented to a Organizational Dynamics class at the University of Pennyslvania.
Lee Huang reviews the changes in access to capital half a century after the passing of the Community Reinvestment Act and ways to improve upon that level of access with the Urban Affairs Commission.
Lee Huang reviews the ideas of a Responsible Banking Ordinance, the available access to capital, and CRA and its possible impact on low-income communities and communities of color.
Dr. Peter Angelides details to the Pennsylvania chapter of the American Planning Association how the recent increase in Big Data collection can be used to make insights about the real estate sector.
Dr. Richard Voith discusses recent trends and occurrences in the transportation sector at the Delaware Valley Regional Planning Commission event Changing Lanes.
The Changing Landscape of Economic Development: Opportunities and Equity Issu...Econsult Solutions, Inc.
Dr. Richard Voith presents to Drexel University the historical changes in demographics and real estate and lifestyle preferences and their effects on economic development.
Dr. Richard Voith discusses the importance of access to transportation, recent housing trends in the city of Philadelphia, and possible courses of action for future improvements.
What's in Store for the Philadelphia Regional Economy in 2016? January 2016Econsult Solutions, Inc.
Steve Mullin presents predictions for the economic climate in the Greater Philadelphia region for the fiscal year 2016 to the Philadelphia Business Journal.
Kitchen Incubators in the U.S.: Overview and Real Estate Implications Decembe...Econsult Solutions, Inc.
Lee Huang presents to the Association of International Certified Public Accountants how entrepreneurs, the food industry, and real estate can benefit from the use of kitchen incubators.
Media Borough Economic Development Strategy and Implementation Plan October 2017Econsult Solutions, Inc.
Dr. Peter Angelides and Brittany Forman on the economic development strategy and implementation plan developed for the Borough of Media, Pa. Project performed in collaboration with The Riddle Company and JVM Studio.
Report available here: http://www.econsultsolutions.com/report/economic-development-strategy-and-implementation-plan-in-media-borough/
Cracking the Workplace Discipline Code Main.pptxWorkforce Group
Cultivating and maintaining discipline within teams is a critical differentiator for successful organisations.
Forward-thinking leaders and business managers understand the impact that discipline has on organisational success. A disciplined workforce operates with clarity, focus, and a shared understanding of expectations, ultimately driving better results, optimising productivity, and facilitating seamless collaboration.
Although discipline is not a one-size-fits-all approach, it can help create a work environment that encourages personal growth and accountability rather than solely relying on punitive measures.
In this deck, you will learn the significance of workplace discipline for organisational success. You’ll also learn
• Four (4) workplace discipline methods you should consider
• The best and most practical approach to implementing workplace discipline.
• Three (3) key tips to maintain a disciplined workplace.
Unveiling the Secrets How Does Generative AI Work.pdfSam H
At its core, generative artificial intelligence relies on the concept of generative models, which serve as engines that churn out entirely new data resembling their training data. It is like a sculptor who has studied so many forms found in nature and then uses this knowledge to create sculptures from his imagination that have never been seen before anywhere else. If taken to cyberspace, gans work almost the same way.
[Note: This is a partial preview. To download this presentation, visit:
https://www.oeconsulting.com.sg/training-presentations]
Sustainability has become an increasingly critical topic as the world recognizes the need to protect our planet and its resources for future generations. Sustainability means meeting our current needs without compromising the ability of future generations to meet theirs. It involves long-term planning and consideration of the consequences of our actions. The goal is to create strategies that ensure the long-term viability of People, Planet, and Profit.
Leading companies such as Nike, Toyota, and Siemens are prioritizing sustainable innovation in their business models, setting an example for others to follow. In this Sustainability training presentation, you will learn key concepts, principles, and practices of sustainability applicable across industries. This training aims to create awareness and educate employees, senior executives, consultants, and other key stakeholders, including investors, policymakers, and supply chain partners, on the importance and implementation of sustainability.
LEARNING OBJECTIVES
1. Develop a comprehensive understanding of the fundamental principles and concepts that form the foundation of sustainability within corporate environments.
2. Explore the sustainability implementation model, focusing on effective measures and reporting strategies to track and communicate sustainability efforts.
3. Identify and define best practices and critical success factors essential for achieving sustainability goals within organizations.
CONTENTS
1. Introduction and Key Concepts of Sustainability
2. Principles and Practices of Sustainability
3. Measures and Reporting in Sustainability
4. Sustainability Implementation & Best Practices
To download the complete presentation, visit: https://www.oeconsulting.com.sg/training-presentations
Enterprise Excellence is Inclusive Excellence.pdfKaiNexus
Enterprise excellence and inclusive excellence are closely linked, and real-world challenges have shown that both are essential to the success of any organization. To achieve enterprise excellence, organizations must focus on improving their operations and processes while creating an inclusive environment that engages everyone. In this interactive session, the facilitator will highlight commonly established business practices and how they limit our ability to engage everyone every day. More importantly, though, participants will likely gain increased awareness of what we can do differently to maximize enterprise excellence through deliberate inclusion.
What is Enterprise Excellence?
Enterprise Excellence is a holistic approach that's aimed at achieving world-class performance across all aspects of the organization.
What might I learn?
A way to engage all in creating Inclusive Excellence. Lessons from the US military and their parallels to the story of Harry Potter. How belt systems and CI teams can destroy inclusive practices. How leadership language invites people to the party. There are three things leaders can do to engage everyone every day: maximizing psychological safety to create environments where folks learn, contribute, and challenge the status quo.
Who might benefit? Anyone and everyone leading folks from the shop floor to top floor.
Dr. William Harvey is a seasoned Operations Leader with extensive experience in chemical processing, manufacturing, and operations management. At Michelman, he currently oversees multiple sites, leading teams in strategic planning and coaching/practicing continuous improvement. William is set to start his eighth year of teaching at the University of Cincinnati where he teaches marketing, finance, and management. William holds various certifications in change management, quality, leadership, operational excellence, team building, and DiSC, among others.
3.0 Project 2_ Developing My Brand Identity Kit.pptxtanyjahb
A personal brand exploration presentation summarizes an individual's unique qualities and goals, covering strengths, values, passions, and target audience. It helps individuals understand what makes them stand out, their desired image, and how they aim to achieve it.
What are the main advantages of using HR recruiter services.pdfHumanResourceDimensi1
HR recruiter services offer top talents to companies according to their specific needs. They handle all recruitment tasks from job posting to onboarding and help companies concentrate on their business growth. With their expertise and years of experience, they streamline the hiring process and save time and resources for the company.
Business Valuation Principles for EntrepreneursBen Wann
This insightful presentation is designed to equip entrepreneurs with the essential knowledge and tools needed to accurately value their businesses. Understanding business valuation is crucial for making informed decisions, whether you're seeking investment, planning to sell, or simply want to gauge your company's worth.
Explore our most comprehensive guide on lookback analysis at SafePaaS, covering access governance and how it can transform modern ERP audits. Browse now!
The world of search engine optimization (SEO) is buzzing with discussions after Google confirmed that around 2,500 leaked internal documents related to its Search feature are indeed authentic. The revelation has sparked significant concerns within the SEO community. The leaked documents were initially reported by SEO experts Rand Fishkin and Mike King, igniting widespread analysis and discourse. For More Info:- https://news.arihantwebtech.com/search-disrupted-googles-leaked-documents-rock-the-seo-world/
Affordable Stationery Printing Services in Jaipur | Navpack n PrintNavpack & Print
Looking for professional printing services in Jaipur? Navpack n Print offers high-quality and affordable stationery printing for all your business needs. Stand out with custom stationery designs and fast turnaround times. Contact us today for a quote!
Putting the SPARK into Virtual Training.pptxCynthia Clay
This 60-minute webinar, sponsored by Adobe, was delivered for the Training Mag Network. It explored the five elements of SPARK: Storytelling, Purpose, Action, Relationships, and Kudos. Knowing how to tell a well-structured story is key to building long-term memory. Stating a clear purpose that doesn't take away from the discovery learning process is critical. Ensuring that people move from theory to practical application is imperative. Creating strong social learning is the key to commitment and engagement. Validating and affirming participants' comments is the way to create a positive learning environment.
5. Where We Are: Conventional
Facts vs. Alternative Facts
1. Global Population and Global Income
2. Employment Trends
3. Unemployment Rate
4. Inflation
5. Federal Deficit
6. Federal Debt Payments
7. State of Cities
8. Labor and Capital
9. Immigration
10.Relative Global Wages
6. Global Population & Global Income
China 19%
India 18%
United
States 4%
Indonesia 4%
Brazil 3%
Russian Federation
2%
Mexico 2%
Other Countries 53%
US 24%
China 15%
India 3%
Russia 2%
Mexico 2%
Brazil 2%Indonesia 1%
Other Countries
51%
7. Employment Trends
Bill Clinton Barack ObamaGeorge W. Bush
69%
Of Trump Supporters believe
the job situation has gotten worse
8. Unemployment Rate
George W. Bush Barack Obama
“I’ve seen numbers of 24% -- I actually saw a
number of 42% unemployment. Forty-two
percent” - Donald Trump, September 28,2015
21. – Key Features
• Travel Ban 7 Majority Muslim Countries
– Reduced Legal and Illegal Immigration
• Border Wall with Mexico
– Shorten H1B Visa Periods
Immigration
22. – Social Security and Demographics
– National Competitiveness
– Regulatory / Enforcement Costs
o Will Policies Improve Security?
o Will Policies Improve the Competitiveness
of US Workers?
Macro Impacts: Immigration
23. – Key Features
• Increased Military Expenditures
• America First Policy
National Security
24. – Increased Economic Activity Near Term
– Rising Federal Debt or
• Reduced Expenditures in Other Areas
– Greater Uncertainty for Global Business
Macro Impacts: National Security
25. – Key Features
• “Border Adjustments”
• Weak Dollar Policy
• Renegotiating or Opting Out of Treaties
Tariffs & Dollar
26. Macro Impacts: Tariffs and Dollar
– Higher Costs
– Inflation
– Reduced Imports
– Higher Interest Rates
– Risks
• Retaliation
• Global Downturn
• Where Will Global Companies Invest?
28. – Lower Costs for Businesses Near Term
– Lower Costs for Infrastructure
– Changing Health Costs
– Increased Risks Associated with Bad
Financial Behavior
o Is Climate Change a Hoax?
o Great Recession in Part Caused by Poorly
Regulated Shadow Banking
Macro Impacts: Deregulation
29. – Key Features
• Simplification in Theory
• Increased Complexity with Increased Use
of Tax Credits
• Lower Marginal rates for High Income
• Reduce or Eliminate Corporate Income
Tax
• Eliminate Carried Interest
• Reduced Total Taxes
Tax Reform
30. – Corporate Income Tax Reduction/Reform
will Improve Competitiveness
– Lower Marginal Rates on High Income
• Higher Deficits
• Higher Interest Rates
• Greater Interest Paid on Debt
– Recession Risk in 3 years
Macro Impacts: Tax Reform
31. – Key Features
• Trillion Dollar Infrastructure Investment
• Tax Credits a Key Funding Sources
Infrastructure
32. – Increased Economic Activity
– Potentially Higher Inflation/ Interest Rates
Improved Productivity
o Will Infrastructure Have Public Benefits if
o Guided Heavily by Private Profit?
Macro Impacts: Infrastructure
33. – Uncertainty About President Trump’s
Intentions with Respect to the FED
– Loss of Independence Would Be a Disaster
Federal Reserve
34. – President Trump Views Himself as a Master
Negotiator
– Most Believe that the Economy Is Too
Complex to Effectively Deal on a One-off
Basis
Jawboning
35. – Healthcare Is a Major Cost Element for
Employers
– Healthcare Is a Major Player in Most State’s
Economies
Repeal ACA
36.
37. 1. Education and Healthcare
2. Manufacturing
3. Finance
4. Construction and Real Estate
5. Retail
6. Energy
7. Regions, Cities and Communities
Impacts By Sector/Area
38. – Uncertainty -> Inhibits Hiring and Growth
– Immigration
• Negative for High Skilled Labor
• Many Rural Doctors are Immigrants
• Lost of Full Freight Students
Eds and Meds
39. – Tariffs
• May Benefit if No Retaliation
• Incentives to Move Plants Overseas if Retaliation
• Disrupt Global Supply Chains
– Infrastructure
• Enhances Productivity
– Higher Interest Rates Adversely Affect Cyclical Industries
– Mixed Bag for Auto Manufacturing
Manufacturing
40. • Deregulation
– Boon to Finance, Short Term
• Immigration—
– Talent Constraint
– Services Can Be Produced Elsewhere
Finance
41. – Infrastructure Spending Improves
Construction if Major Program Approved
– Real Estate at Risk From Higher Interest
Rates
Construction and Real Estate
42. – Immigration
• Disrupts Supply Chains
• Lowers Labor Supply
– Continued Challenge from Online
Retail
43. – Deregulation
• Boon to Fossil Fuel Suppliers, Pipelines
• Negative for Some Rail Shippers
• Negative for Renewable Energy
– Fossil fuel prices under continued pressure
Energy
44. – Immigration
• Immigrants have been lifeblood of cities,
some rural communities
– Tariffs
• Adversely affect ports and border
communities
– Energy
• Communities differentially affected by
Climate Change
– Regulation: little impact in states that impose
regulations anyway
Communities
45. – Huge Uncertainty
– Trade War or Capitulation?
– War or Capitulation?
– Is Trump Crazy or Crazy Like a Fox?
Conclusion