Technology Trends :
 Impacts to Thai Industries


Assoc.Prof. Dr. Thanachart Numnonda
Director
Software Park Thailand
22 September 2012
                                      1
Source: http://www.futureagenda.org/   2
Source: http://www.futureagenda.org/   3
Source: http://www.futureagenda.org/   4
Source: http://www.futureagenda.org/   5
Source: http://www.futureagenda.org/   6
Source: http://www.futureagenda.org/   7
Source: http://www.futureagenda.org/   8
Source: http://www.futureagenda.org/   9
Source: http://www.futureagenda.org/   10
Source: http://www.futureagenda.org/   11
Source: http://www.futureagenda.org/   12
Source: http://www.futureagenda.org/   13
Source: http://www.futureagenda.org/   14
Source: http://www.futureagenda.org/   15
Source: http://www.futureagenda.org/   16
Source: http://www.futureagenda.org/   17
Source: http://www.futureagenda.org/   18
Source: http://www.futureagenda.org/   19
Source: http://www.futureagenda.org/   20
Source: http://www.futureagenda.org/   21
Source: http://www.futureagenda.org/   22
Source: http://www.futureagenda.org/   23
Source: http://www.futureagenda.org/   24
Source: http://www.futureagenda.org/   25
Source: http://www.futureagenda.org/   26
Source: http://www.futureagenda.org/   27
Source: http://www.futureagenda.org/   28
Source: http://www.futureagenda.org/   29
Source: http://www.futureagenda.org/   30
31
Source: http://www.futureagenda.org/   32
IT Trends




            33
34
Things that Baby Born after 2011
         does not know
Video tape
Travel Agents
Paper maps
Long distance call
Wired phones
Yellow and White Pages:
etc..
                                   35
Current Technologies My Newborn
                  Son Won’t Use




http://gizmodo.com/5901576/15-current-technologies-my-newborn-son-wont-use   36
Current Technologies My Newborn
                  Son Won’t Use




http://gizmodo.com/5901576/15-current-technologies-my-newborn-son-wont-use   37
Digital Revolution




                     38
39
Gartner Hype Cycle of Emerging
      Technologies 2011




                                 40
Gartner Technology Trends 2012
Media tablets and beyond
Mobile-centric applications and interfaces
Social and contextual user experience
Application stores and marketplace
The Internet of everything
Next-generation analytics
Big data
In-memory computing
Extreme low-energy servers
Cloud computing
                                             41
Media tablets and beyond
         By 2015 media tablet shipments will reach
         around 50% of laptop shipments
         the smartphone arena, prices will fall to $75
         iOS/Android will dominate the market with 80% of
         tablets shipped by 2015.
         The era of PC dominance with Windows as the
         single platform will be replaced with a post-PC
         era where Windows is one of a variety of
         environments IT

Source: By Michael Cooney, Network World                    42
Mobile-centric applications and interfaces
         By 2014, there will be more than 70 billion mobile
         application downloads from app stores every year
         By 2014, at least half of the tools optimized for
         app store application development in 2010 will
         have been acquired or will have ceased to exist.




Source: By Michael Cooney, Network World                      43
Social and contextual user experience
         By 2015, 40% of the world's smartphone users
         will opt in to context service providers
         The tipping point here could be technology such
         as near-field communications getting into more
         and more devices




Source: By Michael Cooney, Network World                   44
Application stores and marketplace
         The key here is the rise of enterprise application
         stores that can develop specific apps for users.
         Enterprises should use a managed diversity
         approach to focus app store efforts and segment
         apps by risk and value.




Source: By Michael Cooney, Network World                      45
The Internet of everything
         The idea here is that we are building on
         pervasive computing where cameras, sensors,
         microphones, image recognition -- everything -- is
         now part of the environment.




                                                              46
Source: By Michael Cooney, Network World
Next-generation analytics
         IT can focus on developing analytics that enable
         and track collaborative decision making..




Source: By Michael Cooney, Network World                    47
Big Data
         By February 2011, a Google search on "big data"
         yielded 2.9 million hits, and vendors now
         advertise their products as solutions to the big
         data challenge.




Source: By Michael Cooney, Network World                    48
In-memory computing
         We will see huge use of flash memory in
         consumer devices, entertainment devices,
         equipment and other embedded IT systems.
         As lower-cost -- and lower-quality -- flash is used
         in the data center, software that can optimize the
         use of flash and minimize the endurance cycles
         becomes critical.




Source: By Michael Cooney, Network World                       49
Extreme low-energy servers
         What if you could turn 10 virtual machines in one
         box into 40 slow physical servers that are tiny
         and use very low amounts of energy?
         Gartner says that 10%-15% of enterprise
         workloads are good for this.




                                                             50
Source: By Michael Cooney, Network World
Cloud computing
         This topic went from No. 1 last year to No. 10 this
         year, but it's still an important trend.
         It will become the next-generation battleground
         for the likes of Google and Amazon.
         Going forward, enterprise IT will be concerned
         with developing hybrid private/public cloud apps,
         improving security and governance.



                                                               51
Source: By Michael Cooney, Network World
Top 10 Gadget Trends
Nintendo Wii U
Android 4.0
iPad Mini
UltraBook
New MacAir
Kindle Fire II
iPhone 5
New iPad
Playstation Vista
Windows 8                          52
IT Trends




            53
Mega IT Trends

Mobile Computing
Cloud Computing
Social Technologies
Intelligent Devices




                           54
Mobile Technologies




                      55
Mobile Cloud Computing




                                    56
Source: wikipedia
57
2014
           Mobile will become the most common
              way of accessing the Internet




                                                  58
Source :Trending the future: Mobile Trends 2011
Welcome to
The Post-PC Era



                  59
SmartPhones




Smartphone usage in Thailand in 2010 is 18% and expect
to grow to 60-65% in 2015 [Frost & Sullivan]
                                                         60
61
62
Source :London Futurists; mz@envisioningtech.com
SmartPhone Market Shares Q3 2011




                                     63
Source :Gartner 2011
Smartphone Market Share




                          64
Smartphone Sales Prediction




                              65
Global smartphones annual sales will grow
about 46 percent to 687.9 million units this year
    and will touch 1.05 billion units in 2014


              [Credit Suisse; Apr 2012]




                                                    66
More than 480,000 Tablets sold in Thailand




                                        67
One Tablet per Child (OTPC)




                              68
Tablet Sales Prediction




                          69
Mobile Payments Heat Up
                                                         Near field communications
                                                         (NFC)
                                                         U.S. made strides toward
                                                         the tech, especially with
                                                         the arrival of Google
                                                         Wallet, which allows users
                                                         to store credit and loyalty
                                                         cards on their mobile
                                                         device.


                                                                                       70
Source :8 Big Trends That Shaped the Mobile Phone Industry in 2011
QR Codes
                                                         QR codes started to pop
                                                         up more in digital and print
                                                         marketing campaigns in
                                                         2011.
                                                          For example,Sears and
                                                         Kmart integrated the
                                                         concept into their holiday
                                                         marketing initiatives.



                                                                                        71
Source :8 Big Trends That Shaped the Mobile Phone Industry in 2011
Mobile Gaming Explode
                                                         Games were the most
                                                         popular type of apps
                                                         among smartphone users,
                                                         beating out search,
                                                         maps/navigation, and
                                                         social networking and
                                                         music apps for the top
                                                         spot.
                                                         93% of all users are
                                                         willing to pay for a mobile
                                                         game.
                                                                                       72
Source :8 Big Trends That Shaped the Mobile Phone Industry in 2011
The Cloud
                                                         Apple introduced its
                                                         highly-anticipated iCloud
                                                         service.
                                                         Google also launched a
                                                         similar music service
                                                         earlier in the year,




                                                                                     73
Source :8 Big Trends That Shaped the Mobile Phone Industry in 2011
Intelligent Devices




                      74
75
76
Source :London Futurists; mz@envisioningtech.com
77
เครื่องวัดความดัน




                    78
79
80
81
Source :London Futurists; mz@envisioningtech.com
82
Source :London Futurists; mz@envisioningtech.com
Mobile Cloud Computing




                                    83
Source: wikipedia
84
85
It’s no longer about smartphones
Key ecosystems are expanding across 4 screens



                PC       smartphone     tablet                  smart TV




               Mac        iPhone        iPad                     Apple TV
             computers




              Chrome      Android      Android                  Google TV
              browser                   tablets



             Windows,     Windows     Windows 8                     Xbox
              Office       Phone                  Copyright VisionMobile 2012
Convergence in 2015 will be around ecosystems
and experience roaming across many types of devices

              2005              2010                     2015
               one bill,       one device,         one ecosystem,
              triple play    1,000s of apps         10s of screens

 vision




 focal
 point         network           device                 ecosystems



compete        price of         number                 experience
based on       service          of apps                 roaming

                                              Copyright VisionMobile 2012
Mobile Applications




                      88
องค์กรในยุค 2012
      Mobile Worker
      Global (ลูกค้า ผู้ร่วมงาน พันธมิตร)
      Anywhere, Anytime
      การทำงานอย่างต่อเนื่อง (Business Continuity)
      การเปลี่ยนแปลงสู่ชีวิตดิจิตอล (Digital Life
      Convergence)

                                                     89
Source : http://www.rickscloud.com/
แนวโน้มการใช้ซอฟต์แวร์
ต้องสามารถใช้ได้กับทุกอุปกรณ์ Notebook,Tablet,SmartPhone
สามารถเข้าถึงข้อมูลได้ทุกที่ ทุกเวลา และ ทุกอุปกรณ์
สามารถใช้งานได้อย่างต่อเนื่อง โดยไม่หยุดชะงัก และข้อมูลไม่สูญหาย
คิดค่าใช้จ่ายตามการใช้งาน OPEX ไม่ใช่ CAPEX
เป็นบริการ (Service) ไม่ใช่ ผลิตภัณฑ์ (Product)


                                                                   90
Ten Cutting Edge Mobile App 2012

 Location Based Services
 Social Networking
 Mobile Search
 Mobile Commerce
 Mobile Payment
 Context Aware Service
 Object Recognition
                                   91
Ten Cutting Edge Mobile App 2012

 Mobile Instant Messaging
 Mobile e-mail
 Mobile Video




                                   92
93
Source: PwC   94
GMail




        95
Picasa




         96
Google Calendar




                  97
Google Calendar




                  98
Dropbox




          99
Dropbox




          100
Wongnai




          101
OokBee




         102
B2S BookStore




                103
E-Book / Newspaper




                     104
e-Booking




            105
e-Commerce




             106
e-Commerce




             107
108
109
Internet Banking




                   110
Mobile Banking : Example




                           111
Your Bank




                                     112
Source : @2009 Tieto Corporation
113
114
Why Trends?




In 1950; GDP per capita < $100; Need Financial aids
                                                      115
The Chonggyechon river,
     South Korea




                          116
117
118
119
120
121
122
123
Time to Change!!
for The New Opportunities



                            124
www.facebook.com/softwareparkthailand




                                        125
Thank you

thanachart@swpark.or.th
twitter.com/thanachart
www.facebook.com/thanachart
www.swpark.or.th
www.facebook.com/softwareparkthailand   126

Technology Trends : Impacts to Thai Industries