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Lahore college for women university lahore
Govt. Postgraduate College for Women
Samnabd, Lahore
Submitted by :
Warda Aziz (101631058)
Submitted to:
Miss humaira mushtaq
Date of submission
Subject title:
Technical and business writing
Table of contents
➣ progress reports
o Sample Progress Report
 PROGRESS REPORT:
 SCOPE AND PURPOSE:
 PROGRESS:
 ADDITIONAL WORK:
 REMAINING QUESTIONS:
 EXPECTED RESULTS
➣ Leaflets:
o Sample of leaflets:
o Short tourist leaflet about Hill Station:
 INTRODUCTION
 How to go there
 Where to stay
 When to visit
 What to see
 Shopping
 Anything special
➣ Brouchers
o Key points to write an effective and powerful broucher.
➣ handbook
o Tips on how to write your first employee handbook.
o A college handbook should contain…
➣ Magazines articles
o Sample of magazine article:
➣ Researchpaper
o Sample of research paper
 Abstract
 Introduction
 Methods
 Results
 Conclusion
➣ feasibility report
o example of feasibility report
 description of problem
 objectives
 description of existing solution
 description of other possible solution
➣ project report
o Sample of project report:
 Contents
 Introduction
 Functional requirements
 Nonfunctional requirements
 System requirements
 Technologies to be used
 System modules
 Data flow diagram of System modules
 Event diagram
 Homepage
 Registration form and opening a new account
 How the user interacts with system
 Transaction page
 Conclusion
➣ technical report
 sample of technical report writing
➣ Reference
➣ progress reports
“A written document that explains how much progress is being made on something you
have previously planned.”
Sample ProgressReport
PROGRESS REPORT:
“Stratigraphic Architecture of Deep-Ramp Carbonates: Implications for Deposition of Volcanic
Ashes, Salona and Coburn Formations, Central Pennsylvania” by John Lerner.
SCOPE AND PURPOSE:
The Late Middle Ordovician-age Salona and Coburn formations of central Pennsylvania Show
cyclic patterns on a scale of tens of meters. Little research has been done on sequence
Stratigraphy of deep-water mixed carbonate/siliciclastic systems, and a depositional model for
this environment is necessary to understand the timing and processes of deposition. The
stratigraphic position of the bentonites at the base of the larger cycles is significant because it
indicates that they accumulated during a time of non-deposition in a deep water environment.
PROGRESS:
To date, I have described five lithofacies present in the Salona and Coburn formations. Two
lithofacies are interpreted as storm deposits and make up the limestone component of the thinly-
bedded couplets. Some trends were observed in the raw data; however, because of the “noisy”
nature of the data, a plot of the five-point moving average of bed thickness was created to define
the cycles better.
ADDITIONAL WORK:
Two key tasks are to be completed in the coming weeks. With the results of these tests and the
field observations, I will create a model for deposition of a deep-ramp mixed
carbonate/siliciclastic system in a foreland basin environment. The model will include
depositional processes, stratigraphic architecture, and tectonic setting.
REMAINING QUESTIONS:
Questions remain regarding the depositional processes responsible for the featureless micrite at
the base of the Salona Formation. How rapid was the transition? What record (if any?) remains
of the transition? Were bentonites not deposited, or were they selectively removed at certain
locations by erosive storm processes?
EXPECTED RESULTS
I expect to find that the large-scale cycles represent Para sequences. Flooding surfaces are
marked by bentonites and shales, with bentonites removed in some locations. If the cycles are
true para sequences, the implication is that eustatic sea level changes and not tectonic influences
controlled the depositional changes over the interval.
➣ Leaflets:
Leaflets are a type of open letter which is designed to be handed out to the people, either by
hand, by post, inserted in local newspapers for local distribution, to grab their attention.
Sample of leaflets:
Short tourist leaflet about Hill Station:
OOTY
Introduction:
Ooty is the queen of Hill with beautiful lakes, rivers, scenery, etc. It is situated in the heart of
Tamil Nadu.
How to go there:
Ooty is well connected with rest of India. One can go to Ooty by the way of Plane, Bus or Train:
Plane: Daily two flights namely IA – 550 and IA – 330 from Mumbai to Ooty are available.
Bus: The State Transport Bus Services and many other private Bus Services are available from
Mumbai to Ooty.
Train: There are many trains available which can take you to Ooty. The most convenient is
“Mumbai – Ooty Express”
Where to Stay:
Accommodation is no problem in Ooty. The Government tourist Hotels and other Big and Small
hotels are available to suit ever one’s budget.
When to Visit:
June to October is the best time of the year to visit Ooty.
What to See:
The climate and scenery of Ooty is mind – blowing. It is a well-planned hill station with huge
roads, parks, theatres, and gardens, there are many interesting places to see like Bull Temple,
Lord Ganesh Temple, Dolphin Nose, Flower Garden, Lord Murugan Temple, Palatial Buildings,
etc.
Shopping:
Shopping in Ooty is fun. One can buy very traditional and well as modern things from Ooty.
Ooty is very famous for woollen clothes.
Anything Special
As far as food is concerned Ooty is famous for Black tea, Idli, Vada, Sambar, Masala dosa, Idli
fry, Prawns fry, Mugal Briyani, etc. The people are very culture oriented and highly intelligent.
They give more importance to their education.
➣ Brouchers
“A brochure is an informative paper document (often also used for advertising), that can be
folded into a template, pamphlet or leaflet.”
Key points to write an effective and powerful brochure.
1. What is the purpose of the brochure?
Brochures are written to sell. To sell an idea, a product, a service, a corporate
image.
2. Who is the target audience?
You would need a different tone of voice while talking to shareholders than to
customers, retailers, employees, or business associates.
3. What is the key message?
A study of the competition and of the selling features of the product will help
develop the key message.
4. Write from the reader’s point of view.
Answer questions he might have. Overcome objections. Find out his needs and
show how the product fulfils them.
5. Write to grab attention and hold interest.
To do this effectively, you need to know your reader. If you’re writing to college
students, it pays to talk to a few or observe them to find out how they talk, what
they’re interested in, and then write in a language they are comfortable with.
6. Tell. Sell. And tell again.
Tell your prospect about your product benefits, not features.
7. Personalize for greater impact
Instead of writing to an amorphous crowd of “a target audience of 3,000”, speak
to one person, one-on-one. Let your brochure content follow a logical linear
sequence to complete the sales cycle.
8. Create an environment that stimulates interest
Keep interest alive so the reader keeps flipping the pages rather than throwing
your brochure in the trash. Intrigue or engage the reader. Introduce an element of
surprise, say with a little-known fact that grabs attention and relates to the
product.
9. Use words that make pictures and pictures that sell.
One way to do this is by using words that arouse emotion. Or arouse curiosity. An
example is: “Did you know that you can eat cheese and lose weight?” Use word
pictures to create atmosphere. Use photos to break up content and tell a story
that’s relevant to the product. Add captions to the photos. Research shows that
captions are highly read and remembered, and add to the credibility of a
photograph.
10. Support claims with verifiable facts
11. Ask for action.
Ask the customer to do something to move him along to the final objective, the
sale. Ask him to make an appointment, buy, fill a coupon, send a postcard, email,
make a deposit, fill in contact details, schedule a convenient time for a
representative to call on him, etc.
➣ handbook
A handbook is a type of reference work, or other collection of instructions, that is intended to
provide ready reference. The term originally applied to a small or portable book containing
information useful for its owner, but the Oxford English Dictionary defines the current sense as:
“any book...giving information such as facts on a particular subject, guidance in some art or
occupation, instructions for operating a machine, or information for tourists.”
Tips on How to Write Your First Employee Handbook
1. Use the handbook as a communication tool.
2. Safety and security. ...
3. Get a legal review. ...
4. Outline your expectations/Code of conduct. ...
5. Hours, benefits, and compensation. ...
6. Don't be redundant. ...
7. Make it readable. ...
8. Leave room for change.
A college handbook (for students) should contain
 Welcome
 Introduction
 Academic Calendar
 Academic Information
 General Regulations
 Life in the college
 Financial Information
 Fields of Concentration
 Secondary Fields
 Directory of Resources
 Addendum
➣ Magazines articles
An article is any nonfictional prose forming an independent part of a publication. magazine - a
periodic publication containing pictures and stories and articles of interest to those who purchase
it or subscribe to it.
Sample of magazine article:
➣ Researchpaper
“A substantial piece of academic writing, usually done as a requirement for a class, in
which the author does independent research into a topic and writes a description of the findings
of that research.”
Sample of research paper:
The experiment:
Say you have just conducted the Milgram Study. Now you want to write the research paper for
it.
--- START OF EXAMPLE ---
Page 1 - text aligned in the center and middle of the page]
"Behavioral Study of Obedience"
By [author], [University]
1999
[Page 2 - text starts at the top, left]
Abstract
There are little facts about the role of obedience when doing evil actions up until now (1961).
Most theories suggest that only very disturbed people do horrible actions if they are ordered to
do so. Our experiment tested people's obedience to authority. The results showed that most obey
all orders given by the authority-figure. The conclusion is that when it comes to people harming
others, the situation a person's in is more important than previously thought. In contrary to earlier
belief, individual characteristics are less important.
[Page 3-X - text starts in the top, left corner, no extra spacing to align text]
Introduction
Current theories focus on personal characteristics to explain wrong-doing and how someone can
intentionally harm others. In a survey, professionals such as doctors, psychologist and laymen
thought that very few out of a population (1-3%) would harm others if ordered to do so.
In the recent war trial with Adolph Eichmann, he claims to "only have been following orders".
The author wanted to test whether this is true, or just a cheap explanation. Can people harm
others because they obey the orders? Are good-hearted people able to do this?
The experiment will test whether a person can keep giving electric shocks to another person
just because they are told to do so. The expectation is that very few will keep giving shocks, and
that most persons will disobey the order.
Methods:-
Participants:
There were male 30 participants participating. They were recruited by advertisement in a
newspaper and were paid $4.50.
Instruments:
A "shock generator" was used to trick the participants into thinking that they gave shock to
another person in another room. The shock generator had switches labeled with different
voltages, starting at 30 volts and increasing in 15-volt increments all the way up to 450 volts.
The switches were also labeled with terms which reminded the participant of how dangerous the
shocks were.
Procedures:
The participant met another "participant" in the waiting room before the experiment. The other
"participant" was an actor. Each participant got the role as a "teacher" who would then deliver a
shock to the actor ("learner") every time an incorrect answer was produced. The participant
believed that he was delivering real shocks to the learner.
The learner was a confederate who would pretend to be shocked. As the experiment
progressed, the teacher would hear the learner plead to be released and complain about a heart
condition. Once the 300-volt level had been reached, the learner banged on the wall and
demanded to be released. Beyond this point, the learner became completely silent and refused to
answer any more questions. The experimenter then instructed the participant to treat this silence
as an incorrect response and deliver a further shock.
Results:
Of the 40 participants in the study, 26 delivered the maximum shocks. 14 persons did not obey
the experimenter and stopped before reaching the highest levels. All 40 participants continued to
give shocks up to 300 volts.
Discussion/Conclusion:
Most of the participants became very agitated, stressed and angry at the experimenter. Many
continued to follow orders all the time even though they were clearly uncomfortable. The study
shows that people are able to harm others intentionally if ordered to do so. It shows that the
situation is far more important than previously believed, and that personal characteristics are less
important in such a situation.
[New Page]
References
Tables and appendix
➣ feasibility report
“A feasibility report is a document that assesses potential solutions to the business problem or
opportunity, and determines which of these are viable for further analysis.”
Example of feasibility study report
1. Description of problem
Chong Hike Company is a small business enterprise that loans video to its customer. It
runs by one manager, two cashiers and one handyman. Currently the company has 518 members
and 2000 videos. This company has recording details of its members and videos manually on
paper. It uses a lot of papers and files to keep details of the members and videos. Registering new
member and video is very slow. Cashier has to provide member with “Member Registration
Form” for customer to fill in and store it in “Member” file. Video details are recorded on paper
“Video Registration Form” and store it in “Video” file. Records stored in file are messy, easily
lost and faded easily.
2. Objectives
-Business-related objectives:
-To make registration process faster.
-To save time / resources. Computer-related objectives:
-To create a database.
-Easy editing of records.
-Fast search of records.
3. Description of existing solution
-Member registration:
Process -Add Member
A form called “Member Registration Form” is given to customers who are interested to join
Video Library Member. Customer fills in the paper form and completed form will be filed in
“Member” file. Below is the “Member Registration Form”
Process - Edit Member
If there is modification, cashier will update the form by crossing the old details and write
over new information on the same paper.
Process -DeleteMember
If a member request to discontinue membership, their details will be cancel off and
chopped “Discontinued”. Details of the member remains in the “Member” file. Video
Registration:
Process – Add Video
A form called “Video Registration Form” is filled in by cashier to register new video.
Cashier fills in the paper form and completed form will be filed in “Video” file. Below is the
“Video Registration Form”:
Process - Edit Video
If there is modification, cashier will update the form by crossing the old details and write over
new information on the same paper.
Process - Delete Video
If a video is lost or damaged, the details will be cancel off. Details of the video remains in the
“Video” file.
2. Evaluation of existing solution with the current system,
There are advantages and disadvantages if the company continues to run manually.
Advantages:
-It runs cheap (e.g. no need to pay high electric bill).
Disadvantages:
-Slow processing.
Improvement:
Details of lost videos and discontinued members can be stored separately or be thrown away to
avoid duplication.
Description of other possible solutions.
A computerized database (proposed solution)
An interactive database system with simple interface that helps to hold member and
video data. It will use several short cut buttons to search, print, view member and video
details. Staff will need to undergo short training to understand how the system works. This
system will require a new personal desktop computer or laptop to run. It does not require
networking because it is dedicated for adding, editing, viewing purpose only. However,
computer needs to be maintained regularly against virus.
A computerized document (other solution)
Details of members and videos are stored in digital document. This system allow fast
search of data. Training staff is not necessary. This system will require a new personal desktop
computer or laptop to run. It must be installed with word processing software. It does not require
networking because it is dedicated for adding, editing, viewing purpose only. However,
computer needs to be maintained regularly against virus.
➣ project report
“The project report is a document, which gives an account of the project proposal to ascertain
the prospects of the proposed plan/activity.”
Sample of project report:
A Project Report on
Internet Banking System
Contents
• Introduction
• Project requirements
• System modules
• User interface specification
• Use case and data flow diagram’s 2
Introduction
An Internet Banking System
“Internet banking” refers to systems that enable bank customers to access accounts and general
information on bank products and services through a personal computer (PC) or other intelligent
device.
 Our aims at creation of secure banking system.
 This will be accessible to all users who have a valid user Id and password.
 A customer can access his account from anywhere.
Functional requirements:
 Customer can request details of the last ‘n’ number of transactions he has performed on
any account.
 Customer can make a funds transfer to another account in the same bank.
 Customer can request for cheque book
 Customer can view his monthly statement. She/he can also take print out of the same.
 Customer can make EFT’s to accounts at their and other banks. The system is providing
balance enquiry facility.
Non-functional requirements:
 Secure access of require data.
 24X7 availability
 user friendly
 Intelligent user interfaces
System Requirements:
Software Requirements Hardware Requirements
Operating System: Windows or linux or
MAC
Processor: any
User Interface: HTML, APPLET Hard Disk: 10 GB minimum
Programming Language: JAVA RAM: 256MB or more
Database : oracle Any screen
Web Server Tomcat-Apache 1.3
Technologies to be used:
•J2EE applications are made up of components. A J2EE component is a self-contained
functional software unit that is assembled into a J2EE application with its related classes and
files and that communicates with other components.
• A servlet is a Java programming language class that is used to extend the Capabilities of servers
that host applications access via a request-response Programming model. Although servlet can
respond to any type of request, they are commonly used to extend the applications hosted by web
servers.
•JAVASERVER Pages (JSP) technology allows you to easily create Web content that has both
static and dynamic components. JSP technology Makes available all the dynamic capabilities of
Java Servlet technology but provides a more natural approach to creating static content
System Modules:
systemModules Description
(a) Login Module A user can login with id & password
(b)Open Account New user can add a account
(c)Balance Enquiry User can check his balance
(d)Account History A user can check his account history
(e)Admin Module Admin can change in function or other action
(f)Loan Module User can apply for a loan(car,education..)
(g)Money Transfer User can transfer money
DATA FLOW DIAGRM OF SYSTEM MODULES
Enquiry LOGIN
MODULE
NEW
CUSTOME
R DATA
Balance
Money
Transfer
9 Loan Module
Account
opening/history
INTERNET
BANKING
Conclusion:
The application demonstrate the way to develop an online banking system by using interactive
web client by using JSP, Servlet with more secure way to access. This means the application
server easily deployable and accessible.
➣ technicalreport
“A technical report (also scientific report) is a document that describes the process, progress,
or results of technical or scientific research or the state of a technical or scientific research
problem. It might also include recommendations and conclusions of the research.”
Report
on
THE EFFECTS OF INCREASED ATMOSPHERIC CARBON DIOXIDE
Submitted
to
Mr. David McMurrey, Chairman
Coastal Real-Estate Developers Association
Corpus Christi, Texas
by
Environmental Research Associates, Inc.
December 9, 1982
TABLE OF CONTENTS
LIST OF FIGURES iii
ABSTRACT iv
I. INTRODUCTION 1
II. NATURAL WEATHER PATTERNS 3
III. MECHANISMS OF THE GREENHOUSE EFFECT 5
Natural Greenhouse Effect 5
Radiation Absorption by Carbon Dioxide and Water Vapor . 6
Positive Feedback Mechanisms 7
IV. CARBON CYCLE 8
CO2 From Fossil Fuel 8
Carbon Dioxide Produced by Different Fuels 10
Future Levels of Carbon Dioxide 11
V. CLIMATIC EFFECTS OF INCREASED CO2
CONCENTRATIONS
13
Changes in Local Weather Patterns 13
1930s as Climate Analog 13
Drought 14
Increased Tropical Storm Activity 14
Sea Level Increase 15
VI. WAYS TO REDUCE GREENHOUSE EFFECT 16
VII. SUMMARY 19
APPENDIX 20
Information Sources 21
ABSTRACT
Since the Industrial Revolution, man has introduced tremendous amounts of carbon dioxide into
the earth's atmosphere. While some of this CO2 is assimilated into natural reservoirs,
approximately 50% remains airborne. This increase in CO2 concentration causes what is
commonly known as the greenhouse effect. The greenhouse effect is a result of the absorption of
infrared radiation by the surface of the earth. This absorption causes an increase in the
atmospheric temperature. Increasing the earth's temperature in turn increases the amount of water
vapor in the atmosphere. Since water vapor is also a strong absorber of infrared radiation, a
positive feedback mechanism is created, leading to further infrared-radiation absorption. As
temperatures increase, atmospheric circulation patterns are altered which will change local
weather patterns.
These changes could have an enormous impact on agricultural production. Attendant to a rise in
the mean global temperature is a melting of small but significant portion of the polar ice caps.
This will result in a rise in sea level which would flood coastal areas including major population
centers. The problem of the greenhouse effect might be remedied by a reduction in the use of
fossil fuel, large scale reforestation to increase the capacity of the biotic sink, and development
of alternate energy sources such as solar and nuclear fusion. However, not much hope is held out
for these remedies.
Report on
THE EFFECTS OF INCREASED ATMOSPHERIC CARBON DIOXIDE
I. INTRODUCTION
Before the year 2020, the climate of the earth may be warmer than any time in the past thousand
years. This change, which is incredibly fast by geological time scales, will be brought about by
increased levels of carbon dioxide in the earth's atmosphere. The most important source of
excessive CO2 is the burning of carbon-based fossil fuels for energy production. Carbon dioxide
is a by-product of all living systems and is normally considered harmless. It is a minor element in
the earth's atmosphere comprising only about 0.03% of the total atmosphere. However, this small
amount of CO2, along with water vapor, is responsible for what is commonly known as the
greenhouse effect.
The fact that changes in CO2 concentrations in the atmosphere could cause changes in the earth's
climate has been known for over one hundred years. However, only in the last 5 to 10 years has
significant research been done in this field. The most ominous of the effects of a warmer climate
will be the shifting of local weather patterns. This shifting will have profound effects on
agricultural production in a world that is already unable to adequately feed its citizens today.
There will also be an accompanying redistribution of wealth which will likely lead to dangerous
social conflicts. It is obvious that the continued introduction of CO2 into the atmosphere will
have consequences far worse than producing a slightly balmier climate.
The purpose of this report is to examine the climatic changes caused by increased carbon
dioxide in the atmosphere and their implications for society. Also discussed will be the
mechanisms of the greenhouse effect, the sources and reservoirs of carbon dioxide, and some
possible methods to reduce the magnitude of the problem. Note, however, that the most we can
do at this point is lessen the severity of the situation. That the mean global temperature will
increase in the next few decades is certain. The only questions are how much and how fast.
The report examines the effects of increased CO2 concentrations in the earth's atmosphere. The
shifting of local weather patterns, the mechanisms of the greenhouse effect, and the sources and
sinks of CO2 are also discussed. A list of possible remedies to the problem concludes the report.
II. NATURAL WEATHER PATTERNS
The earth's climate naturally changes over extended periods of time. Temperatures have been
much warmer for 80 to 90 percent of the last 500 million years than they are today. The polar ice
caps, for example, are actually a relatively new phenomenon. They were formed 15 to 20 million
years ago in the Antarctic and perhaps as recently as 3 to 5 million years in the Arctic.
The climate is still dominated by natural cycles of warming and cooling. The most influential of
these natural weather patterns is the 180-year cycle. The 180-year cycle predicts that
temperatures in the Northern Hemisphere reach a minimum every 180 years. (Climate records
for the Southern Hemisphere are incomplete.) The bottom of the last cycle was in the early
1800s, which suggests that we may now be in a period of peak coldness. The winters of 1976
through 1979, which were unusually bitter, seem to reinforce the theory behind the 180-year
cycle. This current cooling trend would mask any warming caused by an increased greenhouse
effect.
However, the 180-year cycle predicts a natural warming trend will begin shortly before the end
of this century. At the same time, the effects of elevated CO2 levels on atmospheric temperatures
will have increased to new high levels. Figure 1 shows the combined effects of these warming
trends.
3
III. MECHANISMS OF THE GREENHOUSE EFFECT
For the mean global temperature to stay constant, the earth-atmosphere system must be in
radiative equilibrium with the sun. In other words, the incoming solar radiation must match the
outgoing thermal radiation from the earth. Of the incoming solar radiation, 35% is reflected back
into space. The reflectivity of the earth is its albedo. The albedo is taken into consideration when
the total energy flux of the earth-atmosphere system is calculated. Of the remaining 65% of solar
radiation that is not reflected back, 47% is absorbed by the surface and 18% is absorbed by the
atmosphere. For the temperature of our system to remain constant, this energy that is absorbed
by the atmosphere must be radiated back out. This radiation primarily takes place in the 5-micron
to 30-micron range of wave lengths, which is in the infrared portion of the electromagnetic
spectrum. A micron is one millionth of a meter [2:755].
Natural Greenhouse Effect
The effective radiating temperature is the temperature the earth should have for the amount of
solar radiation it absorbs. Calculation of the effective radiating temperature gives a value of -
2000 C. However, the observed mean global temperature is 140o C. The difference of 340o C is
caused by a natural greenhouse effect that takes place in the atmosphere. As the earth tries to lose
heat into space, the atmosphere absorbs infrared radiation emitted by
5
the surface. Specifically, the atmosphere allows 50% of the incoming solar radiation to reach the
surface but only 10% of the longwave radiation from the surface to escape. This causes the
temperature of the earth-atmosphere system to increase. The magnitude of the greenhouse effect
is defined as the difference between the upward infrared radiation from the surface and the
upward infrared radiation from the top of the atmosphere
Radiation Absorption by Carbon Dioxide and Water Vapor
The greenhouse effect is caused by minor constituents in the atmosphere, mainly carbon dioxide
and water vapor. The earth must radiate in the 5-micron to 30-micron region. However, water
vapor is a strong absorber of radiation over the entire thermal spectrum except in the 8-micron to
18-micron interval. The 12-micron to 18-micron interval is largely blocked by CO2 absorption.
In fact, current CO2 levels are sufficient to make the 15-micron band virtually opaque to infrared
radiation. The earth is, therefore, constrained to radiate its excess thermal energy in a nearly
transparent window from 8 microns to 12 microns. As anthropogenic carbon dioxide is
introduced into the atmosphere, mostly by combustion of fossil fuels, absorption of infrared
radiation in the 10-micron band and in the wings of the 15- micron band is increased. This
increased absorption results in an overall warming of the earth-atmosphere system.
6
Positive Feedback Mechanisms
As the climate becomes warmer, positive feedback mechanisms tend to exacerbate the problem.
Elevations in temperature decrease the solubility of CO2 in the oceans. Therefore, as temperature
increases, the oceans release more CO2 into the atmosphere, which causes another increase in
temperature. Even more threatening is the greenhouse water vapor coupling. The atmosphere
tends to attain a definite distribution of relative humidity in response to a change in temperature.
If the temperature is increased, the relative humidity, which is a measure of the amount of water
vapor in the atmosphere, is also increased. At the same time, the vapor pressure of water is
raised. The result is more water vapor in the atmosphere, which causes more greenhouse effect,
which raises temperatures even higher, which again increases the water vapor in the atmosphere.
This positive feedback mechanism approximately doubles the sensitivity of surface temperature
to a change in the amount of energy absorbed by the earth [1:19].
IV. THE CARBON CYCLE
The annual increase of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere is dependent on several factors. First is
the amount of carbon dioxide produced by consumption of carbon-based fuels. Subtracted from
this amount is the carbon dioxide that is removed from the atmosphere and stored in reservoirs,
or sinks. The most prominent sinks of carbon dioxide are the atmosphere, the oceans, and the
biosphere. Also contributing to a net increase in CO2 is the deforestation of large land areas each
year. The amount of carbon dioxide produced from fossil fuels and the annual increase in
atmospheric concentrations are both well known. Approximately 50% of the CO2 produced from
fossil fuel remains in the atmosphere. The rest is absorbed into sinks. The proportion of CO2 that
goes into each sink and the mechanisms of CO2 removal are poorly understood.
CO2 from Fossil Fuel
Since the advent of the Industrial Revolution, about 154.4 Giga tons (G ton) of carbon have been
added to the atmosphere. One Giga ton is equal to one billion tons. Even more alarming is the
fact that of this 154.4 G tons, about 27%, or 45 G tons, were produced from 1970 to 1978.
Overall, the use of carbon-based fuels has increased at an exponential rate of 4.3% per year from
1860 to the mid-1970s. (See Table 1.) High energy costs should help to slow the use of fuels,
8
Although no significant reductions in demand have yet been observed.
Table 1. Estimated Carbon Added to the Atmosphere
by the Burning of Fuels (G tons per year)
Year Carbon Added (G tons)
1950 1.63
1960 2.16
1970 3.96
1975 4.87
1978 5.62
Source: Gordon J. MacDonald. The Long-Term Impacts of Increasing Atmospheric
Carbon Dioxide Levels (Cambridge: Ballinger, 1982), 152.
It is expected that industrialized countries will be able to significantly reduce the use of fossil
fuels for energy production by using clean energy sources such as solar and nuclear. However, a
growing world population will place heavy pressure for increased energy use, especially in
developing countries. The percentage of CO2 produced by geographical regions in 1974 and the
projected contribution expected in 2025 is listed in Table 2. Even though the United States will
reduce its contribution from 27% to 8%, the amount produced by developing regions in the same
time will more than triple [4].
Carbon Dioxide Produced by Different Fuels
The amount of carbon added to the atmosphere depends on the type of fuel being burned. Fuels
with a high hydrogen- to-carbon ratio produce the most energy for each unit of carbon released.
The dirtiest fuels, in terms of carbon dioxide, are the various synthetic fuels that are produced
from coal. Synfuels release large amounts of CO2 because energy must be expended to extract
them from coal. Therefore, the carbon dioxide generated from producing the synfuel must be
added to that released by combustion. Because the world has very large coal reserves, research
into synfuel production has increased greatly. Although synfuels could significantly reduce the
dependence of the United States on petroleum, they would tend to accelerate the buildup of
carbon dioxide in the atmosphere. Table 3 lists the amount of CO2 released by each type of fuel.
Table 2. Percent of Atmospheric CO2 Contribution by Nation and
Continent
Nation or Continent 1974 2025
USA 27 8
Western Europe 18 10
Central Asia 8 19
Japan, Australia, N. Zealand 7 4
Developing Africa -- 2
Source: Committee on Governmental Affairs, U. S. Senate. Carbon Dioxide
Accumulation in the Atmosphere, Synthetic Fuels and Energy Policy (1979), 451.
10
Table 3. CO2 Contribution by Fuel Type. Carbon released per 100
quads of energy produced (1 quad=1015 Btu).
Fuel Carbon in 10[-15] Grams
Oil 2.00
Gas 1.45
Coal 2.50
Synfuels 3.40
Source: Committee on Governmental Affairs, U. S. Senate. Carbon Dioxide
Accumulation in the Atmosphere, Synthetic Fuels and Energy Policy (1979), 451.
Future Levels of Carbon Dioxide
Future inputs of carbon from fossil fuels are dependent upon world energy consumption and on
the mix of fuels used. Two models have been devised to estimate the world consumption of
carbon-based fuels in the future. The first model is based on the historical growth rate of 4.3%
per year.
11
If the world use of fossil fuels is maintained at that level, the proven energy reserves would be
exhausted by 2010 to 2015. The second model, and probably the more accurate one, postulates
that the current growth rate will continue until 1990, and then the rate of growth will decline to
zero over a fifty-year period. Figure 2 graphically compares growth rates from both models. This
tapered growth scenario would postpone the exhaustion of proven reserves by ten to fifteen
years. However, actual use of carbon-based fuels could continue for some time after this, since
the total amount of recoverable reserves is much greater than the proven reserves. Obviously,
these estimates are greatly simplified, since they were devised to give minimum times to
exhaustion of energy reserves.
Table 4. Doubling-Dates for Carbon Dioxide Concentrations for
Different Fuel Use Combinations.
Fuel
4.3% Exponential
Growth
Tapered
Growth
Current Fuel Mix 2035 2055
All Coal After 1990 2030 2045
All Synthetics After
1990
2022 2030
All Natural Gas After
1990
2043 2075
Source: Gordon J. MacDonald. The Long-Term Impacts, 84.
12
V. CLIMATIC EFFECTS OF INCREASED CO2 CONCENTRATIONS
Current estimates for doubling-dates of carbon dioxide concentrations range from about 2020 to
2075. A doubling of atmospheric CO2 levels will cause an increase in the mean global
temperature of about 30� to 50� C with an increase of about 120� C at the Polar Regions.
The reason for the amplified effect at the poles is that the atmosphere has a much lower
concentration of water vapor at the poles than at lower latitudes. Therefore, an increase in
atmospheric CO2 will cause a relatively larger increase in the greenhouse effect over the poles.
This warming then increases the water vapor present by melting ice, which causes the process to
be self-enhancing.
Changes in Local Weather Patterns
As the temperature of the atmosphere is increased, the global circulation patterns will be shifted.
This will cause widespread changes in local weather patterns. Although mathematical models
devised by meteorologists can describe overall climatic changes, they are not able to predict
these small-scale variations in local conditions. One method that can be used is to examine
weather records for a period when the temperature was higher than it is today.
The 1930s as Climate Analog
The most recent global peaked in the 1930s. The 1930s averaged about 10o C warmer than recent
decades have. In the United States, a 13 greater number of state records for high temperatures
were set in the 1930s than in any decade since the 1870s. The 1OC increase is analogous to the
initial decade of CO2-induced warming which should occur shortly after the turn of the century.
Drought
The most significant feature of a warmer climate is the absence of adequate precipitation. The
drought of the 1930s has been called the greatest disaster caused by meteorological factors.
Research into climate records by studying tree rings has determined that 1934 was the driest year
in the western United States since 1700. If the atmospheric circulation patterns of the 1930s
return early next century because of warmer temperatures, agricultural production and water
supplies could be seriously affected. Even though food production would decline, modern
agricultural practices would probably prevent a catastrophe like the dust bowl of the 1930s.
Water supply, however, is a different situation. Particularly hard hit will be the region of the
West that draws water off the Colorado River basin. This region, which is already plagued by
water shortages, could be devastated by a drought that lasts several years.
Increased Tropical Storm Activity
The warming of the atmosphere will cause the sea temperature to rise as well. This will result in
more tropical storms being generated. The 1930s were a period of increased tropical storm
activity.
14
Twenty-one tropical storms blew up in 1933, seventeen in 1936; the current average is nine per
year. These storms will also be able to reach higher latitudes because of warmer seas [1:35-50].
Sea Level Increase
Researchers have suggested that conditions similar to those of the 1930s could persist for as long
as 25 years. During this time the earth's temperature will still be increasing and a longer range
problem will become evident. The polar ice caps would begin to melt, raising the sea level. This
will be a slow process, but one that will be irreversible once the greenhouse threat is fully
realized. A rise in ocean levels of between 15 to 25 feet is possible in as little as 100 years.
Coastal regions would be flooded causing tremendous destruction of property. Along the Texas
coast, for example, Galveston, Corpus Christi, Beaumont, and Port Arthur all would be
permanently inundated. As many as 10 nuclear reactors would be in danger of flooding and
contaminating the ocean. The 15- to 25-foot raising of sea levels is for normal tides with storm
tides reaching even farther inland [4].
15
VI. WAYS TO REDUCE GREENHOUSE EFFECT
The severity of the consequences of this major climatic change requires that action be taken to
lessen man's input of carbon dioxide into the atmosphere. The greenhouse threat is a global
problem that calls for global action. Unfortunately, the political structure of the world tends to
impede cooperation on a global scale. Even with these difficulties, it is imperative that the use of
carbon-based fuels be reduced significantly. The United States, as the world's leading consumer
of energy, could influence world opinion and stimulate action by taking decisive measures. Some
of the steps that need to be taken are:
1. A concerted effort must be made to conserve fuel with a goal of reducing global
consumption 20% worldwide by the year 2000. Public knowledge of the effects of CO2
on the climate is needed. A tax on fossil fuel would provide an extra incentive to
conserve. The revenue from such a tax could be used to further development of alternate
energy sources.
2. The use of a combination of fossil fuels that will minimize the input of CO2 into the
atmosphere must be emphasized. Natural gas is the cleanest of the fossil fuels and large
reserves of gas have been found. Coal is also found in abundance in the United States and
is therefore likely to be increasingly used for energy production. However, coal releases
75% more CO2 into the atmosphere per unit of energy produced than does natural gas.
Because of this, use of coal should be de-emphasized and use of natural gas emphasized.
3. Alternate energy sources, such as solar and nuclear, should be developed. There is a
substantial amount of emotional opposition to nuclear power, which will impede the
expansion of its use. Solar power, as are wind and wave power, is ideal in that it is
constant and non-polluting. The technology is not quite at a stage where solar power is
economically feasible. A strong effort must be made to develop this highly attractive
source of energy.
4. Reforestation on a massive global scale is needed to provide a large biotic sink in the next
few decades. The total respiration of CO2 should be less than the total photosynthesis on
a regional and worldwide basis. Fast- growing trees, such as the American Sycamore, can
absorb as much as 750 tons of carbon per square kilometer per year. Water hyacinths can
absorb 6000 tons of carbon per square kilometer per year. The growth of biomass for
energy production could serve as an additional method of reducing CO2 accumulation
because it would only involve recycling between carbon pools of the biosphere and the
atmosphere.
5. Research into the carbon cycle is needed to reduce the uncertainties surrounding
predictions of climatic changes. Although the amount of carbon dioxide that is released
and the amount that
17
remains airborne is well known, the method by which CO2 is assimilated into sinks, such
as the ocean and the biosphere, is poorly understood. Typical estimates of the amounts of
CO2 absorbed annually by the ocean and the biosphere are 2 G tons and 1 ton,
respectively [4].
18
VII. SUMMARY
Carbon dioxide accumulation in the atmosphere is the most dangerous pollution problem
today. This excess of CO2 will cause an increase in the mean global temperature which
should be detectable shortly before the end of this century. This warming is caused by the
greenhouse effect. CO2 allows incoming radiation from the sun to enter the atmosphere.
The heat from the earth's surface, which must radiate in the infrared region of the
spectrum, is absorbed by CO2 and water vapor, thereby raising the atmospheric
temperature. The greenhouse water-vapor coupling provides a strong positive feedback
mechanism. Fossil-fuel use increases at an exponential rate of 4.3% annually. This should
cause a doubling of CO2 concentrations by between the year 2020 and the year 2075.
This doubling of atmospheric CO2 will cause an increase in the mean global temperature
of about 30O C to 50O C. Warmer temperatures will cause a shift in atmospheric
circulation patterns. This will cause local weather patterns to change. The results for the
United States could be intensive drought, increased tropical storm activity, and a rise in
the sea level caused by melting of the polar ice caps. To lessen the severity of the
problem, fossil fuel consumption must be curtailed and alternate energy sources
developed. Also, a global reforestation program should be undertaken to provide a large
biotic sink for CO2 in the new few decades.
19
INFORMATION SOURCES
1. Bernard, Harold W. The Greenhouse Effect. Cambridge: Ballinger, 1980.
2. Bryson, Reid A. "A Perspective on Climate Change." Science (May 17, 1974),
753-759.
3. Committee on Energy and Natural Resources, U. S. Senate. Hearings on the
Effects of Carbon Dioxide Buildup in the Atmosphere. Washington: U. S.
Government Printing Office, 1980.
4. Committee on Governmental Affairs, U. S. Senate. Carbon Dioxide Accumulation
in the Atmosphere, Synthetic Fuels and Energy Policy. A symposium.
Washington: U. S. Government Printing Office, Washington: 1979.
5. Gribbin, John. "Fossil Fuel: Future Shock?" New Scientist (December 1980), 541-
543.
20
➣ Reference:
https://www.wikipedia.org
http://www.dictionary.com/browse/leaflet
www.thefreedictionary.com/magazine+article
www.yourdictionary.com/research-paper
https://www.tpsgc-pwgsc.gc.ca/biens-property/sngp-npms/ti-it/etivcarftp-idsfvfrmd-eng.html
http://lubindia.com/msme/msme-faqs/project-report/
http://www.stocklayouts.com/Templates/Free-Templates/Free-Sample-Leaflet-Template-
Design.aspx
http://www.omtexclasses.com/2010/02/prepare-shot-tourist-leaflet-about-hill.html
http://entheosweb.com/content_writing/brochure_writing_tips.asp
https://wheniwork.com/blog/8-tips-on-how-to-write-your-first-employee-handbook/
https://handbook.fas.harvard.edu/book/welcome
https://www.slideshare.net/vishnukuntal/java-project-report-online-banking-
system?qid=3dd28dd4-f2ad-4f96-9a5d-ba648ba53d6e&v=&b=&from_search=3
http://www3.ntu.edu.sg/home/CFCavallaro/Reports/Sample%20report.htmorg/wiki/Technical_re
port

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technical and business writting

  • 1. Lahore college for women university lahore Govt. Postgraduate College for Women Samnabd, Lahore Submitted by : Warda Aziz (101631058) Submitted to: Miss humaira mushtaq Date of submission Subject title: Technical and business writing
  • 2. Table of contents ➣ progress reports o Sample Progress Report  PROGRESS REPORT:  SCOPE AND PURPOSE:  PROGRESS:  ADDITIONAL WORK:  REMAINING QUESTIONS:  EXPECTED RESULTS ➣ Leaflets: o Sample of leaflets: o Short tourist leaflet about Hill Station:  INTRODUCTION  How to go there  Where to stay  When to visit  What to see  Shopping  Anything special ➣ Brouchers o Key points to write an effective and powerful broucher. ➣ handbook o Tips on how to write your first employee handbook. o A college handbook should contain… ➣ Magazines articles o Sample of magazine article: ➣ Researchpaper o Sample of research paper  Abstract  Introduction  Methods  Results  Conclusion ➣ feasibility report o example of feasibility report  description of problem  objectives  description of existing solution  description of other possible solution ➣ project report
  • 3. o Sample of project report:  Contents  Introduction  Functional requirements  Nonfunctional requirements  System requirements  Technologies to be used  System modules  Data flow diagram of System modules  Event diagram  Homepage  Registration form and opening a new account  How the user interacts with system  Transaction page  Conclusion ➣ technical report  sample of technical report writing ➣ Reference
  • 4. ➣ progress reports “A written document that explains how much progress is being made on something you have previously planned.” Sample ProgressReport PROGRESS REPORT: “Stratigraphic Architecture of Deep-Ramp Carbonates: Implications for Deposition of Volcanic Ashes, Salona and Coburn Formations, Central Pennsylvania” by John Lerner. SCOPE AND PURPOSE: The Late Middle Ordovician-age Salona and Coburn formations of central Pennsylvania Show cyclic patterns on a scale of tens of meters. Little research has been done on sequence Stratigraphy of deep-water mixed carbonate/siliciclastic systems, and a depositional model for this environment is necessary to understand the timing and processes of deposition. The stratigraphic position of the bentonites at the base of the larger cycles is significant because it indicates that they accumulated during a time of non-deposition in a deep water environment. PROGRESS: To date, I have described five lithofacies present in the Salona and Coburn formations. Two lithofacies are interpreted as storm deposits and make up the limestone component of the thinly- bedded couplets. Some trends were observed in the raw data; however, because of the “noisy” nature of the data, a plot of the five-point moving average of bed thickness was created to define the cycles better. ADDITIONAL WORK: Two key tasks are to be completed in the coming weeks. With the results of these tests and the field observations, I will create a model for deposition of a deep-ramp mixed carbonate/siliciclastic system in a foreland basin environment. The model will include depositional processes, stratigraphic architecture, and tectonic setting. REMAINING QUESTIONS: Questions remain regarding the depositional processes responsible for the featureless micrite at the base of the Salona Formation. How rapid was the transition? What record (if any?) remains of the transition? Were bentonites not deposited, or were they selectively removed at certain locations by erosive storm processes? EXPECTED RESULTS I expect to find that the large-scale cycles represent Para sequences. Flooding surfaces are marked by bentonites and shales, with bentonites removed in some locations. If the cycles are true para sequences, the implication is that eustatic sea level changes and not tectonic influences controlled the depositional changes over the interval.
  • 5. ➣ Leaflets: Leaflets are a type of open letter which is designed to be handed out to the people, either by hand, by post, inserted in local newspapers for local distribution, to grab their attention. Sample of leaflets: Short tourist leaflet about Hill Station: OOTY Introduction: Ooty is the queen of Hill with beautiful lakes, rivers, scenery, etc. It is situated in the heart of Tamil Nadu. How to go there: Ooty is well connected with rest of India. One can go to Ooty by the way of Plane, Bus or Train: Plane: Daily two flights namely IA – 550 and IA – 330 from Mumbai to Ooty are available. Bus: The State Transport Bus Services and many other private Bus Services are available from Mumbai to Ooty. Train: There are many trains available which can take you to Ooty. The most convenient is “Mumbai – Ooty Express” Where to Stay: Accommodation is no problem in Ooty. The Government tourist Hotels and other Big and Small hotels are available to suit ever one’s budget.
  • 6. When to Visit: June to October is the best time of the year to visit Ooty. What to See: The climate and scenery of Ooty is mind – blowing. It is a well-planned hill station with huge roads, parks, theatres, and gardens, there are many interesting places to see like Bull Temple, Lord Ganesh Temple, Dolphin Nose, Flower Garden, Lord Murugan Temple, Palatial Buildings, etc. Shopping: Shopping in Ooty is fun. One can buy very traditional and well as modern things from Ooty. Ooty is very famous for woollen clothes. Anything Special As far as food is concerned Ooty is famous for Black tea, Idli, Vada, Sambar, Masala dosa, Idli fry, Prawns fry, Mugal Briyani, etc. The people are very culture oriented and highly intelligent. They give more importance to their education. ➣ Brouchers “A brochure is an informative paper document (often also used for advertising), that can be folded into a template, pamphlet or leaflet.”
  • 7. Key points to write an effective and powerful brochure. 1. What is the purpose of the brochure? Brochures are written to sell. To sell an idea, a product, a service, a corporate image. 2. Who is the target audience? You would need a different tone of voice while talking to shareholders than to customers, retailers, employees, or business associates. 3. What is the key message? A study of the competition and of the selling features of the product will help develop the key message. 4. Write from the reader’s point of view. Answer questions he might have. Overcome objections. Find out his needs and show how the product fulfils them. 5. Write to grab attention and hold interest. To do this effectively, you need to know your reader. If you’re writing to college students, it pays to talk to a few or observe them to find out how they talk, what they’re interested in, and then write in a language they are comfortable with. 6. Tell. Sell. And tell again. Tell your prospect about your product benefits, not features. 7. Personalize for greater impact Instead of writing to an amorphous crowd of “a target audience of 3,000”, speak to one person, one-on-one. Let your brochure content follow a logical linear sequence to complete the sales cycle. 8. Create an environment that stimulates interest Keep interest alive so the reader keeps flipping the pages rather than throwing your brochure in the trash. Intrigue or engage the reader. Introduce an element of surprise, say with a little-known fact that grabs attention and relates to the product. 9. Use words that make pictures and pictures that sell. One way to do this is by using words that arouse emotion. Or arouse curiosity. An example is: “Did you know that you can eat cheese and lose weight?” Use word pictures to create atmosphere. Use photos to break up content and tell a story that’s relevant to the product. Add captions to the photos. Research shows that captions are highly read and remembered, and add to the credibility of a photograph. 10. Support claims with verifiable facts 11. Ask for action.
  • 8. Ask the customer to do something to move him along to the final objective, the sale. Ask him to make an appointment, buy, fill a coupon, send a postcard, email, make a deposit, fill in contact details, schedule a convenient time for a representative to call on him, etc. ➣ handbook A handbook is a type of reference work, or other collection of instructions, that is intended to provide ready reference. The term originally applied to a small or portable book containing information useful for its owner, but the Oxford English Dictionary defines the current sense as: “any book...giving information such as facts on a particular subject, guidance in some art or occupation, instructions for operating a machine, or information for tourists.” Tips on How to Write Your First Employee Handbook 1. Use the handbook as a communication tool. 2. Safety and security. ... 3. Get a legal review. ... 4. Outline your expectations/Code of conduct. ... 5. Hours, benefits, and compensation. ... 6. Don't be redundant. ... 7. Make it readable. ... 8. Leave room for change.
  • 9. A college handbook (for students) should contain  Welcome  Introduction  Academic Calendar  Academic Information  General Regulations  Life in the college  Financial Information  Fields of Concentration  Secondary Fields  Directory of Resources  Addendum ➣ Magazines articles An article is any nonfictional prose forming an independent part of a publication. magazine - a periodic publication containing pictures and stories and articles of interest to those who purchase it or subscribe to it. Sample of magazine article:
  • 10.
  • 11. ➣ Researchpaper “A substantial piece of academic writing, usually done as a requirement for a class, in which the author does independent research into a topic and writes a description of the findings of that research.” Sample of research paper: The experiment: Say you have just conducted the Milgram Study. Now you want to write the research paper for it. --- START OF EXAMPLE --- Page 1 - text aligned in the center and middle of the page] "Behavioral Study of Obedience" By [author], [University] 1999 [Page 2 - text starts at the top, left] Abstract There are little facts about the role of obedience when doing evil actions up until now (1961). Most theories suggest that only very disturbed people do horrible actions if they are ordered to do so. Our experiment tested people's obedience to authority. The results showed that most obey all orders given by the authority-figure. The conclusion is that when it comes to people harming others, the situation a person's in is more important than previously thought. In contrary to earlier belief, individual characteristics are less important. [Page 3-X - text starts in the top, left corner, no extra spacing to align text]
  • 12. Introduction Current theories focus on personal characteristics to explain wrong-doing and how someone can intentionally harm others. In a survey, professionals such as doctors, psychologist and laymen thought that very few out of a population (1-3%) would harm others if ordered to do so. In the recent war trial with Adolph Eichmann, he claims to "only have been following orders". The author wanted to test whether this is true, or just a cheap explanation. Can people harm others because they obey the orders? Are good-hearted people able to do this? The experiment will test whether a person can keep giving electric shocks to another person just because they are told to do so. The expectation is that very few will keep giving shocks, and that most persons will disobey the order. Methods:- Participants: There were male 30 participants participating. They were recruited by advertisement in a newspaper and were paid $4.50. Instruments: A "shock generator" was used to trick the participants into thinking that they gave shock to another person in another room. The shock generator had switches labeled with different voltages, starting at 30 volts and increasing in 15-volt increments all the way up to 450 volts. The switches were also labeled with terms which reminded the participant of how dangerous the shocks were. Procedures: The participant met another "participant" in the waiting room before the experiment. The other "participant" was an actor. Each participant got the role as a "teacher" who would then deliver a shock to the actor ("learner") every time an incorrect answer was produced. The participant believed that he was delivering real shocks to the learner. The learner was a confederate who would pretend to be shocked. As the experiment progressed, the teacher would hear the learner plead to be released and complain about a heart condition. Once the 300-volt level had been reached, the learner banged on the wall and demanded to be released. Beyond this point, the learner became completely silent and refused to answer any more questions. The experimenter then instructed the participant to treat this silence as an incorrect response and deliver a further shock. Results:
  • 13. Of the 40 participants in the study, 26 delivered the maximum shocks. 14 persons did not obey the experimenter and stopped before reaching the highest levels. All 40 participants continued to give shocks up to 300 volts. Discussion/Conclusion: Most of the participants became very agitated, stressed and angry at the experimenter. Many continued to follow orders all the time even though they were clearly uncomfortable. The study shows that people are able to harm others intentionally if ordered to do so. It shows that the situation is far more important than previously believed, and that personal characteristics are less important in such a situation. [New Page] References Tables and appendix ➣ feasibility report “A feasibility report is a document that assesses potential solutions to the business problem or opportunity, and determines which of these are viable for further analysis.” Example of feasibility study report 1. Description of problem Chong Hike Company is a small business enterprise that loans video to its customer. It runs by one manager, two cashiers and one handyman. Currently the company has 518 members and 2000 videos. This company has recording details of its members and videos manually on paper. It uses a lot of papers and files to keep details of the members and videos. Registering new member and video is very slow. Cashier has to provide member with “Member Registration Form” for customer to fill in and store it in “Member” file. Video details are recorded on paper “Video Registration Form” and store it in “Video” file. Records stored in file are messy, easily lost and faded easily. 2. Objectives -Business-related objectives: -To make registration process faster. -To save time / resources. Computer-related objectives: -To create a database. -Easy editing of records. -Fast search of records. 3. Description of existing solution
  • 14. -Member registration: Process -Add Member A form called “Member Registration Form” is given to customers who are interested to join Video Library Member. Customer fills in the paper form and completed form will be filed in “Member” file. Below is the “Member Registration Form” Process - Edit Member If there is modification, cashier will update the form by crossing the old details and write over new information on the same paper. Process -DeleteMember If a member request to discontinue membership, their details will be cancel off and chopped “Discontinued”. Details of the member remains in the “Member” file. Video Registration: Process – Add Video A form called “Video Registration Form” is filled in by cashier to register new video. Cashier fills in the paper form and completed form will be filed in “Video” file. Below is the “Video Registration Form”: Process - Edit Video If there is modification, cashier will update the form by crossing the old details and write over new information on the same paper. Process - Delete Video
  • 15. If a video is lost or damaged, the details will be cancel off. Details of the video remains in the “Video” file. 2. Evaluation of existing solution with the current system, There are advantages and disadvantages if the company continues to run manually. Advantages: -It runs cheap (e.g. no need to pay high electric bill). Disadvantages: -Slow processing. Improvement: Details of lost videos and discontinued members can be stored separately or be thrown away to avoid duplication. Description of other possible solutions. A computerized database (proposed solution) An interactive database system with simple interface that helps to hold member and video data. It will use several short cut buttons to search, print, view member and video details. Staff will need to undergo short training to understand how the system works. This system will require a new personal desktop computer or laptop to run. It does not require networking because it is dedicated for adding, editing, viewing purpose only. However, computer needs to be maintained regularly against virus. A computerized document (other solution) Details of members and videos are stored in digital document. This system allow fast search of data. Training staff is not necessary. This system will require a new personal desktop computer or laptop to run. It must be installed with word processing software. It does not require networking because it is dedicated for adding, editing, viewing purpose only. However, computer needs to be maintained regularly against virus. ➣ project report “The project report is a document, which gives an account of the project proposal to ascertain the prospects of the proposed plan/activity.” Sample of project report: A Project Report on
  • 16. Internet Banking System Contents • Introduction • Project requirements • System modules • User interface specification • Use case and data flow diagram’s 2 Introduction An Internet Banking System “Internet banking” refers to systems that enable bank customers to access accounts and general information on bank products and services through a personal computer (PC) or other intelligent device.  Our aims at creation of secure banking system.  This will be accessible to all users who have a valid user Id and password.  A customer can access his account from anywhere. Functional requirements:  Customer can request details of the last ‘n’ number of transactions he has performed on any account.  Customer can make a funds transfer to another account in the same bank.  Customer can request for cheque book  Customer can view his monthly statement. She/he can also take print out of the same.  Customer can make EFT’s to accounts at their and other banks. The system is providing balance enquiry facility. Non-functional requirements:  Secure access of require data.  24X7 availability  user friendly  Intelligent user interfaces System Requirements:
  • 17. Software Requirements Hardware Requirements Operating System: Windows or linux or MAC Processor: any User Interface: HTML, APPLET Hard Disk: 10 GB minimum Programming Language: JAVA RAM: 256MB or more Database : oracle Any screen Web Server Tomcat-Apache 1.3 Technologies to be used: •J2EE applications are made up of components. A J2EE component is a self-contained functional software unit that is assembled into a J2EE application with its related classes and files and that communicates with other components. • A servlet is a Java programming language class that is used to extend the Capabilities of servers that host applications access via a request-response Programming model. Although servlet can respond to any type of request, they are commonly used to extend the applications hosted by web servers. •JAVASERVER Pages (JSP) technology allows you to easily create Web content that has both static and dynamic components. JSP technology Makes available all the dynamic capabilities of Java Servlet technology but provides a more natural approach to creating static content System Modules: systemModules Description (a) Login Module A user can login with id & password (b)Open Account New user can add a account (c)Balance Enquiry User can check his balance (d)Account History A user can check his account history (e)Admin Module Admin can change in function or other action (f)Loan Module User can apply for a loan(car,education..) (g)Money Transfer User can transfer money DATA FLOW DIAGRM OF SYSTEM MODULES
  • 18. Enquiry LOGIN MODULE NEW CUSTOME R DATA Balance Money Transfer 9 Loan Module Account opening/history INTERNET BANKING
  • 19.
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  • 24. Conclusion: The application demonstrate the way to develop an online banking system by using interactive web client by using JSP, Servlet with more secure way to access. This means the application server easily deployable and accessible. ➣ technicalreport “A technical report (also scientific report) is a document that describes the process, progress, or results of technical or scientific research or the state of a technical or scientific research problem. It might also include recommendations and conclusions of the research.” Report on
  • 25. THE EFFECTS OF INCREASED ATMOSPHERIC CARBON DIOXIDE Submitted to Mr. David McMurrey, Chairman Coastal Real-Estate Developers Association Corpus Christi, Texas by Environmental Research Associates, Inc. December 9, 1982 TABLE OF CONTENTS LIST OF FIGURES iii ABSTRACT iv I. INTRODUCTION 1 II. NATURAL WEATHER PATTERNS 3 III. MECHANISMS OF THE GREENHOUSE EFFECT 5 Natural Greenhouse Effect 5 Radiation Absorption by Carbon Dioxide and Water Vapor . 6 Positive Feedback Mechanisms 7 IV. CARBON CYCLE 8 CO2 From Fossil Fuel 8 Carbon Dioxide Produced by Different Fuels 10 Future Levels of Carbon Dioxide 11 V. CLIMATIC EFFECTS OF INCREASED CO2 CONCENTRATIONS 13 Changes in Local Weather Patterns 13 1930s as Climate Analog 13 Drought 14 Increased Tropical Storm Activity 14 Sea Level Increase 15 VI. WAYS TO REDUCE GREENHOUSE EFFECT 16 VII. SUMMARY 19 APPENDIX 20 Information Sources 21
  • 26. ABSTRACT Since the Industrial Revolution, man has introduced tremendous amounts of carbon dioxide into the earth's atmosphere. While some of this CO2 is assimilated into natural reservoirs, approximately 50% remains airborne. This increase in CO2 concentration causes what is commonly known as the greenhouse effect. The greenhouse effect is a result of the absorption of infrared radiation by the surface of the earth. This absorption causes an increase in the atmospheric temperature. Increasing the earth's temperature in turn increases the amount of water vapor in the atmosphere. Since water vapor is also a strong absorber of infrared radiation, a positive feedback mechanism is created, leading to further infrared-radiation absorption. As temperatures increase, atmospheric circulation patterns are altered which will change local weather patterns. These changes could have an enormous impact on agricultural production. Attendant to a rise in the mean global temperature is a melting of small but significant portion of the polar ice caps. This will result in a rise in sea level which would flood coastal areas including major population centers. The problem of the greenhouse effect might be remedied by a reduction in the use of fossil fuel, large scale reforestation to increase the capacity of the biotic sink, and development of alternate energy sources such as solar and nuclear fusion. However, not much hope is held out for these remedies. Report on THE EFFECTS OF INCREASED ATMOSPHERIC CARBON DIOXIDE I. INTRODUCTION Before the year 2020, the climate of the earth may be warmer than any time in the past thousand years. This change, which is incredibly fast by geological time scales, will be brought about by increased levels of carbon dioxide in the earth's atmosphere. The most important source of excessive CO2 is the burning of carbon-based fossil fuels for energy production. Carbon dioxide is a by-product of all living systems and is normally considered harmless. It is a minor element in the earth's atmosphere comprising only about 0.03% of the total atmosphere. However, this small amount of CO2, along with water vapor, is responsible for what is commonly known as the greenhouse effect. The fact that changes in CO2 concentrations in the atmosphere could cause changes in the earth's climate has been known for over one hundred years. However, only in the last 5 to 10 years has significant research been done in this field. The most ominous of the effects of a warmer climate will be the shifting of local weather patterns. This shifting will have profound effects on agricultural production in a world that is already unable to adequately feed its citizens today. There will also be an accompanying redistribution of wealth which will likely lead to dangerous social conflicts. It is obvious that the continued introduction of CO2 into the atmosphere will have consequences far worse than producing a slightly balmier climate.
  • 27. The purpose of this report is to examine the climatic changes caused by increased carbon dioxide in the atmosphere and their implications for society. Also discussed will be the mechanisms of the greenhouse effect, the sources and reservoirs of carbon dioxide, and some possible methods to reduce the magnitude of the problem. Note, however, that the most we can do at this point is lessen the severity of the situation. That the mean global temperature will increase in the next few decades is certain. The only questions are how much and how fast. The report examines the effects of increased CO2 concentrations in the earth's atmosphere. The shifting of local weather patterns, the mechanisms of the greenhouse effect, and the sources and sinks of CO2 are also discussed. A list of possible remedies to the problem concludes the report. II. NATURAL WEATHER PATTERNS The earth's climate naturally changes over extended periods of time. Temperatures have been much warmer for 80 to 90 percent of the last 500 million years than they are today. The polar ice caps, for example, are actually a relatively new phenomenon. They were formed 15 to 20 million years ago in the Antarctic and perhaps as recently as 3 to 5 million years in the Arctic. The climate is still dominated by natural cycles of warming and cooling. The most influential of these natural weather patterns is the 180-year cycle. The 180-year cycle predicts that temperatures in the Northern Hemisphere reach a minimum every 180 years. (Climate records for the Southern Hemisphere are incomplete.) The bottom of the last cycle was in the early 1800s, which suggests that we may now be in a period of peak coldness. The winters of 1976 through 1979, which were unusually bitter, seem to reinforce the theory behind the 180-year cycle. This current cooling trend would mask any warming caused by an increased greenhouse effect. However, the 180-year cycle predicts a natural warming trend will begin shortly before the end of this century. At the same time, the effects of elevated CO2 levels on atmospheric temperatures will have increased to new high levels. Figure 1 shows the combined effects of these warming trends. 3 III. MECHANISMS OF THE GREENHOUSE EFFECT For the mean global temperature to stay constant, the earth-atmosphere system must be in radiative equilibrium with the sun. In other words, the incoming solar radiation must match the outgoing thermal radiation from the earth. Of the incoming solar radiation, 35% is reflected back into space. The reflectivity of the earth is its albedo. The albedo is taken into consideration when the total energy flux of the earth-atmosphere system is calculated. Of the remaining 65% of solar radiation that is not reflected back, 47% is absorbed by the surface and 18% is absorbed by the atmosphere. For the temperature of our system to remain constant, this energy that is absorbed by the atmosphere must be radiated back out. This radiation primarily takes place in the 5-micron
  • 28. to 30-micron range of wave lengths, which is in the infrared portion of the electromagnetic spectrum. A micron is one millionth of a meter [2:755]. Natural Greenhouse Effect The effective radiating temperature is the temperature the earth should have for the amount of solar radiation it absorbs. Calculation of the effective radiating temperature gives a value of - 2000 C. However, the observed mean global temperature is 140o C. The difference of 340o C is caused by a natural greenhouse effect that takes place in the atmosphere. As the earth tries to lose heat into space, the atmosphere absorbs infrared radiation emitted by 5 the surface. Specifically, the atmosphere allows 50% of the incoming solar radiation to reach the surface but only 10% of the longwave radiation from the surface to escape. This causes the temperature of the earth-atmosphere system to increase. The magnitude of the greenhouse effect is defined as the difference between the upward infrared radiation from the surface and the upward infrared radiation from the top of the atmosphere Radiation Absorption by Carbon Dioxide and Water Vapor The greenhouse effect is caused by minor constituents in the atmosphere, mainly carbon dioxide and water vapor. The earth must radiate in the 5-micron to 30-micron region. However, water vapor is a strong absorber of radiation over the entire thermal spectrum except in the 8-micron to 18-micron interval. The 12-micron to 18-micron interval is largely blocked by CO2 absorption. In fact, current CO2 levels are sufficient to make the 15-micron band virtually opaque to infrared radiation. The earth is, therefore, constrained to radiate its excess thermal energy in a nearly transparent window from 8 microns to 12 microns. As anthropogenic carbon dioxide is introduced into the atmosphere, mostly by combustion of fossil fuels, absorption of infrared radiation in the 10-micron band and in the wings of the 15- micron band is increased. This increased absorption results in an overall warming of the earth-atmosphere system. 6 Positive Feedback Mechanisms As the climate becomes warmer, positive feedback mechanisms tend to exacerbate the problem. Elevations in temperature decrease the solubility of CO2 in the oceans. Therefore, as temperature increases, the oceans release more CO2 into the atmosphere, which causes another increase in temperature. Even more threatening is the greenhouse water vapor coupling. The atmosphere tends to attain a definite distribution of relative humidity in response to a change in temperature. If the temperature is increased, the relative humidity, which is a measure of the amount of water vapor in the atmosphere, is also increased. At the same time, the vapor pressure of water is raised. The result is more water vapor in the atmosphere, which causes more greenhouse effect,
  • 29. which raises temperatures even higher, which again increases the water vapor in the atmosphere. This positive feedback mechanism approximately doubles the sensitivity of surface temperature to a change in the amount of energy absorbed by the earth [1:19]. IV. THE CARBON CYCLE The annual increase of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere is dependent on several factors. First is the amount of carbon dioxide produced by consumption of carbon-based fuels. Subtracted from this amount is the carbon dioxide that is removed from the atmosphere and stored in reservoirs, or sinks. The most prominent sinks of carbon dioxide are the atmosphere, the oceans, and the biosphere. Also contributing to a net increase in CO2 is the deforestation of large land areas each year. The amount of carbon dioxide produced from fossil fuels and the annual increase in atmospheric concentrations are both well known. Approximately 50% of the CO2 produced from fossil fuel remains in the atmosphere. The rest is absorbed into sinks. The proportion of CO2 that goes into each sink and the mechanisms of CO2 removal are poorly understood. CO2 from Fossil Fuel Since the advent of the Industrial Revolution, about 154.4 Giga tons (G ton) of carbon have been added to the atmosphere. One Giga ton is equal to one billion tons. Even more alarming is the fact that of this 154.4 G tons, about 27%, or 45 G tons, were produced from 1970 to 1978. Overall, the use of carbon-based fuels has increased at an exponential rate of 4.3% per year from 1860 to the mid-1970s. (See Table 1.) High energy costs should help to slow the use of fuels, 8 Although no significant reductions in demand have yet been observed. Table 1. Estimated Carbon Added to the Atmosphere by the Burning of Fuels (G tons per year) Year Carbon Added (G tons) 1950 1.63 1960 2.16 1970 3.96 1975 4.87 1978 5.62 Source: Gordon J. MacDonald. The Long-Term Impacts of Increasing Atmospheric Carbon Dioxide Levels (Cambridge: Ballinger, 1982), 152.
  • 30. It is expected that industrialized countries will be able to significantly reduce the use of fossil fuels for energy production by using clean energy sources such as solar and nuclear. However, a growing world population will place heavy pressure for increased energy use, especially in developing countries. The percentage of CO2 produced by geographical regions in 1974 and the projected contribution expected in 2025 is listed in Table 2. Even though the United States will reduce its contribution from 27% to 8%, the amount produced by developing regions in the same time will more than triple [4]. Carbon Dioxide Produced by Different Fuels The amount of carbon added to the atmosphere depends on the type of fuel being burned. Fuels with a high hydrogen- to-carbon ratio produce the most energy for each unit of carbon released. The dirtiest fuels, in terms of carbon dioxide, are the various synthetic fuels that are produced from coal. Synfuels release large amounts of CO2 because energy must be expended to extract them from coal. Therefore, the carbon dioxide generated from producing the synfuel must be added to that released by combustion. Because the world has very large coal reserves, research into synfuel production has increased greatly. Although synfuels could significantly reduce the dependence of the United States on petroleum, they would tend to accelerate the buildup of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere. Table 3 lists the amount of CO2 released by each type of fuel. Table 2. Percent of Atmospheric CO2 Contribution by Nation and Continent Nation or Continent 1974 2025 USA 27 8 Western Europe 18 10 Central Asia 8 19 Japan, Australia, N. Zealand 7 4 Developing Africa -- 2 Source: Committee on Governmental Affairs, U. S. Senate. Carbon Dioxide Accumulation in the Atmosphere, Synthetic Fuels and Energy Policy (1979), 451. 10
  • 31. Table 3. CO2 Contribution by Fuel Type. Carbon released per 100 quads of energy produced (1 quad=1015 Btu). Fuel Carbon in 10[-15] Grams Oil 2.00 Gas 1.45 Coal 2.50 Synfuels 3.40 Source: Committee on Governmental Affairs, U. S. Senate. Carbon Dioxide Accumulation in the Atmosphere, Synthetic Fuels and Energy Policy (1979), 451. Future Levels of Carbon Dioxide Future inputs of carbon from fossil fuels are dependent upon world energy consumption and on the mix of fuels used. Two models have been devised to estimate the world consumption of carbon-based fuels in the future. The first model is based on the historical growth rate of 4.3% per year. 11 If the world use of fossil fuels is maintained at that level, the proven energy reserves would be exhausted by 2010 to 2015. The second model, and probably the more accurate one, postulates that the current growth rate will continue until 1990, and then the rate of growth will decline to zero over a fifty-year period. Figure 2 graphically compares growth rates from both models. This tapered growth scenario would postpone the exhaustion of proven reserves by ten to fifteen years. However, actual use of carbon-based fuels could continue for some time after this, since the total amount of recoverable reserves is much greater than the proven reserves. Obviously, these estimates are greatly simplified, since they were devised to give minimum times to exhaustion of energy reserves.
  • 32. Table 4. Doubling-Dates for Carbon Dioxide Concentrations for Different Fuel Use Combinations. Fuel 4.3% Exponential Growth Tapered Growth Current Fuel Mix 2035 2055 All Coal After 1990 2030 2045 All Synthetics After 1990 2022 2030 All Natural Gas After 1990 2043 2075 Source: Gordon J. MacDonald. The Long-Term Impacts, 84. 12 V. CLIMATIC EFFECTS OF INCREASED CO2 CONCENTRATIONS Current estimates for doubling-dates of carbon dioxide concentrations range from about 2020 to 2075. A doubling of atmospheric CO2 levels will cause an increase in the mean global temperature of about 30� to 50� C with an increase of about 120� C at the Polar Regions. The reason for the amplified effect at the poles is that the atmosphere has a much lower concentration of water vapor at the poles than at lower latitudes. Therefore, an increase in atmospheric CO2 will cause a relatively larger increase in the greenhouse effect over the poles. This warming then increases the water vapor present by melting ice, which causes the process to be self-enhancing. Changes in Local Weather Patterns As the temperature of the atmosphere is increased, the global circulation patterns will be shifted. This will cause widespread changes in local weather patterns. Although mathematical models devised by meteorologists can describe overall climatic changes, they are not able to predict these small-scale variations in local conditions. One method that can be used is to examine weather records for a period when the temperature was higher than it is today. The 1930s as Climate Analog The most recent global peaked in the 1930s. The 1930s averaged about 10o C warmer than recent decades have. In the United States, a 13 greater number of state records for high temperatures were set in the 1930s than in any decade since the 1870s. The 1OC increase is analogous to the initial decade of CO2-induced warming which should occur shortly after the turn of the century. Drought
  • 33. The most significant feature of a warmer climate is the absence of adequate precipitation. The drought of the 1930s has been called the greatest disaster caused by meteorological factors. Research into climate records by studying tree rings has determined that 1934 was the driest year in the western United States since 1700. If the atmospheric circulation patterns of the 1930s return early next century because of warmer temperatures, agricultural production and water supplies could be seriously affected. Even though food production would decline, modern agricultural practices would probably prevent a catastrophe like the dust bowl of the 1930s. Water supply, however, is a different situation. Particularly hard hit will be the region of the West that draws water off the Colorado River basin. This region, which is already plagued by water shortages, could be devastated by a drought that lasts several years. Increased Tropical Storm Activity The warming of the atmosphere will cause the sea temperature to rise as well. This will result in more tropical storms being generated. The 1930s were a period of increased tropical storm activity. 14 Twenty-one tropical storms blew up in 1933, seventeen in 1936; the current average is nine per year. These storms will also be able to reach higher latitudes because of warmer seas [1:35-50]. Sea Level Increase Researchers have suggested that conditions similar to those of the 1930s could persist for as long as 25 years. During this time the earth's temperature will still be increasing and a longer range problem will become evident. The polar ice caps would begin to melt, raising the sea level. This will be a slow process, but one that will be irreversible once the greenhouse threat is fully realized. A rise in ocean levels of between 15 to 25 feet is possible in as little as 100 years. Coastal regions would be flooded causing tremendous destruction of property. Along the Texas coast, for example, Galveston, Corpus Christi, Beaumont, and Port Arthur all would be permanently inundated. As many as 10 nuclear reactors would be in danger of flooding and contaminating the ocean. The 15- to 25-foot raising of sea levels is for normal tides with storm tides reaching even farther inland [4]. 15 VI. WAYS TO REDUCE GREENHOUSE EFFECT The severity of the consequences of this major climatic change requires that action be taken to lessen man's input of carbon dioxide into the atmosphere. The greenhouse threat is a global problem that calls for global action. Unfortunately, the political structure of the world tends to impede cooperation on a global scale. Even with these difficulties, it is imperative that the use of carbon-based fuels be reduced significantly. The United States, as the world's leading consumer
  • 34. of energy, could influence world opinion and stimulate action by taking decisive measures. Some of the steps that need to be taken are: 1. A concerted effort must be made to conserve fuel with a goal of reducing global consumption 20% worldwide by the year 2000. Public knowledge of the effects of CO2 on the climate is needed. A tax on fossil fuel would provide an extra incentive to conserve. The revenue from such a tax could be used to further development of alternate energy sources. 2. The use of a combination of fossil fuels that will minimize the input of CO2 into the atmosphere must be emphasized. Natural gas is the cleanest of the fossil fuels and large reserves of gas have been found. Coal is also found in abundance in the United States and is therefore likely to be increasingly used for energy production. However, coal releases 75% more CO2 into the atmosphere per unit of energy produced than does natural gas. Because of this, use of coal should be de-emphasized and use of natural gas emphasized. 3. Alternate energy sources, such as solar and nuclear, should be developed. There is a substantial amount of emotional opposition to nuclear power, which will impede the expansion of its use. Solar power, as are wind and wave power, is ideal in that it is constant and non-polluting. The technology is not quite at a stage where solar power is economically feasible. A strong effort must be made to develop this highly attractive source of energy. 4. Reforestation on a massive global scale is needed to provide a large biotic sink in the next few decades. The total respiration of CO2 should be less than the total photosynthesis on a regional and worldwide basis. Fast- growing trees, such as the American Sycamore, can absorb as much as 750 tons of carbon per square kilometer per year. Water hyacinths can absorb 6000 tons of carbon per square kilometer per year. The growth of biomass for energy production could serve as an additional method of reducing CO2 accumulation because it would only involve recycling between carbon pools of the biosphere and the atmosphere. 5. Research into the carbon cycle is needed to reduce the uncertainties surrounding predictions of climatic changes. Although the amount of carbon dioxide that is released and the amount that 17 remains airborne is well known, the method by which CO2 is assimilated into sinks, such as the ocean and the biosphere, is poorly understood. Typical estimates of the amounts of CO2 absorbed annually by the ocean and the biosphere are 2 G tons and 1 ton, respectively [4]. 18
  • 35. VII. SUMMARY Carbon dioxide accumulation in the atmosphere is the most dangerous pollution problem today. This excess of CO2 will cause an increase in the mean global temperature which should be detectable shortly before the end of this century. This warming is caused by the greenhouse effect. CO2 allows incoming radiation from the sun to enter the atmosphere. The heat from the earth's surface, which must radiate in the infrared region of the spectrum, is absorbed by CO2 and water vapor, thereby raising the atmospheric temperature. The greenhouse water-vapor coupling provides a strong positive feedback mechanism. Fossil-fuel use increases at an exponential rate of 4.3% annually. This should cause a doubling of CO2 concentrations by between the year 2020 and the year 2075. This doubling of atmospheric CO2 will cause an increase in the mean global temperature of about 30O C to 50O C. Warmer temperatures will cause a shift in atmospheric circulation patterns. This will cause local weather patterns to change. The results for the United States could be intensive drought, increased tropical storm activity, and a rise in the sea level caused by melting of the polar ice caps. To lessen the severity of the problem, fossil fuel consumption must be curtailed and alternate energy sources developed. Also, a global reforestation program should be undertaken to provide a large biotic sink for CO2 in the new few decades. 19 INFORMATION SOURCES 1. Bernard, Harold W. The Greenhouse Effect. Cambridge: Ballinger, 1980. 2. Bryson, Reid A. "A Perspective on Climate Change." Science (May 17, 1974), 753-759. 3. Committee on Energy and Natural Resources, U. S. Senate. Hearings on the Effects of Carbon Dioxide Buildup in the Atmosphere. Washington: U. S. Government Printing Office, 1980. 4. Committee on Governmental Affairs, U. S. Senate. Carbon Dioxide Accumulation in the Atmosphere, Synthetic Fuels and Energy Policy. A symposium. Washington: U. S. Government Printing Office, Washington: 1979. 5. Gribbin, John. "Fossil Fuel: Future Shock?" New Scientist (December 1980), 541- 543. 20
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