Sustainable intensification is the answer to global food insecurity (sir gordon conway)
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Presentation by Sir Gordon Conway, professor of international development at Imperial College, London and former president of the Rockefeller Foundation IFPRI, in collaboration with the USAID Alumni Association, hosted this special event where Sir Gordon Conway emphasized that sustainable intensification offers a practical pathway towards the goal of producing more food while ensuring that the natural resource base, on which agriculture depends, is sustained and improved for future generations. He explored Sustainable Intensification through three mutually reinforcing pillars – Ecological Intensification, Genetic Intensification, and Socio-Economic Intensification.
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Sustainable intensification is the answer to global food insecurity (sir gordon conway)
- 1. Ag4impact.org Tel. +44 (0) 207 594 9337 Twitter:@Ag4Impact Facebook: One Billion Hungry Sir Gordon Conway Professor of International Development Centre for Environmental Policy Imperial College Sustainable Intensification is the Answer to Global Food Insecurity IFPRI and USAID Alumni Washington DC September 20, 2016
- 2. Financial Food security Water Civil Strife Climate Change Energy Supply Ecosystem Functions ‘A Perfect Storm’ The Global Crises Imperial College, London Migration Moral Compass
- 3. Today Imperial College, London Threats and Opportunities Imperial College, London
- 4. 240 million in Sub Saharan Africa, 30% of Popn 360 million in India, 30% of Popn Global Hunger Imperial College, London Imperial College, London
- 5. 0 10 20 30 40 50 World East Africa Central Africa West Africa 1990-92 2014-16 Prevalence of undernourishment (%)Source: Fan based on FAO data 18.6 10.9 47.2 31.5 33.5 41.3 24.2 9.6 Hunger persists in Africa despite progress Imperial College, London
- 6. Child malnutrition Globally 1 in 3 under age 5 In Africa it is over 40%Children are under height for their age and suffer from stunted development and possible blindness and death Imperial College, London
- 7. A Single Mother Farming a Hillside in Western Kenya Mrs Namarunda Imperial College, London Imperial College, London
- 8. Survival line Months 1 2 3 2 31 4 Weeds Pests Drought An Insecure Farm Imperial College, London Imperial College, London
- 9. Targeted fertilisers Imperial College, London Southern Ethiopia Imperial College, London
- 10. Survival line Months 1 2 3 2 31 4 Weeds Pests & diseases Drought Soil Fertility >2 t/ha Resilient Crops A Secure Farm Imperial College, London Imperial College, London
- 11. The Answer Imperial College, London Sustainable Intensification Imperial College, London
- 12. Africa has to Intensify Imperial College, London Imperial College, London
- 13. Intensification We need More food and other agricultural products More nutritious foods Higher farm incomes Greater diversity of production On the same amount of land or less With the same amount or less of water Producing More with Less Imperial College, London Land and Water is in short supply and degrading Imperial College, London
- 14. But it has to be sustainable • With efficient and prudent use of inputs • Pesticides, herbicides, fertilisers • Minimising emissions of Greenhouse Gases • Methane, nitrous oxide, CO2 • While increasing natural capital and environmental services • Soil moisture, natural enemies of pests • Strengthening Resilience • Reducing environmental impact Imperial College, London Imperial College, London
- 15. Global Warming Met Office Hadley Centre, UK and Climatic Research Unit, University of East Anglia, UK Imperial College, London
- 16. RCP2.6 - very low GHG emissions leading to about 20C above preindustrial RCP8.5 - increasing GHG emissions on current trajectory leading to 3-40C above pre-industrial IPPCC WGIIAR5 Technical Summary Future Climate Temperatures Imperial College, London Imperial College, London
- 17. MORE THAN 5% REDUCTION IN LENGTH OF GROWING PERIOD Average Annual Max Temp > 300C Ericksen et al Mapping hotspots of climate change and food insecurity in the global tropics Imperial College, London Climate already changing Africa Imperial College, London
- 18. Precision Farming Imperial College, London Richard Godwin Ingenia,September 2015 Real Time Kinetic System - accuracy to 2-3cm © Claas Imperial College, London
- 19. Precision Farming Imperial College, LondonRichard Godwin Ingenia,September 2015 In-row Robocrop weeding ©Cranfield University Harper Adams University Imperial College, London
- 20. Microdosing in Niger Imperial College, London Imperial College, London
- 21. Multiple approaches Ecology Genetics Socio-economics plus Integrated Imperial College, London
- 22. Use ecological principles to design agricultural practices e.g. Agroforestry Integrated Pest Management Organic farming Sustainable Ecological Intensification Imperial College, London Imperial College, London
- 23. Africa’s soils degrading rapidly For SSA land degradation hotspots affect 26% of the land area The economic loss is about $68 billion a year affecting 180 million people Imperial College, London Le, Q.B., Nkonya, E. and A. Mirzabaev. 2014. Biomass Productivity-Based Mapping of Global Land Degradation Hotspots. (ZEF Discussion Papers 193) Imperial College, London
- 24. Conservation Farming Zambia Imperial College, London Imperial College, London
- 25. Agricultural mitigation Imperial College, London Carbon dioxide Methane Nitrous oxide Imperial College, London
- 26. Agroforestry Imperial College, London Putting Carbon back 2-4 tons C /ha Plus 10-20 tons standing crop Faidherbia Imperial College, London
- 27. The New Rices for Africa (NERICAs) Sustainable Genetic Intensification Imperial College, London Hybrid Rice Developing plants with a combination of traits promoting sustainable production Imperial College, London
- 28. Golden Rice Orange- Fleshed Sweet Potato Blight resistant potatoes Nutrients and disease Imperial College, London Imperial College, London
- 29. $500 million losses a year in Uganda Academia Sinica provided sweet pepper gene Successfully transferred to bananas In Ugandan field trials Entirely government funded Bananas resistant to wilt Uganda Imperial College, London Imperial College, London
- 30. Farmer Associations Cooperatives Cereal Banks Contract Farms Outgrowers Sustainable Socio-Economic Intensification Imperial College, London Sustainably intensify the links between farmers and farmers and value chains Imperial College, London
- 31. African Farmers in the Digital Age Imperial College, London Kofi Annan Gordon Conway Sam Dryden
- 32. Input MarketsInput Markets Imperial College, London
- 33. Output markets Warehouses Imperial College, London Imperial College, London
- 34. URBAN LIVELIHOODS RURAL DEVELOPMENT RESEARCH & DEVELOPMENT NATIONAL MARKETS ASSUMED RISK FOOD PROCESSING YOUTH ADDED VALUE RURAL LIVELIHOODS REGIONAL MARKETS INTERNATIONAL MARKETS FOOD PRODUCTION VALUECHAINS LAND TENURE BUILD RESILIENCE Imperial College, London INSURANCE Value Chains Imperial College, London
- 35. READY TO EAT MILLET MEALS ON THE SHELF TRADITIONAL MILLET BASED MEALS HOME BASED MILLET PROCESSING READY TO COOK MILLET PRODCUTS ON THE SHELF Transformed Millet Value Chain Source: Ousmane Badiane Imperial College, London
- 36. POPULATION GROWTH TO 2050 World Africa Source: UN Population Division, 2012 Population of Tropics will exceed rest of world by 2050 Roughly half of the extra people will be in Sub-Saharan Africa Imperial College, Imperial College, London
- 37. Women Food Processors Imperial College, London Producing snacks Seseco in Uganda Imperial College, London
- 38. Maize Cob Sheller Uganda Youthful entrepreneurs Imperial College, London Imperial College, London
- 39. The total value of agribusiness value chains is estimated at 5 trillion USD Source: KPMG (2014) Insurance UK £6Billion lost every year due to Supply chain disruption Dr Erik Chavez winners-project.org Imperial College, London WINnERS Consortium Imperial College World Food Program IFC, Swiss Re, Willis, Rabobank SAB Miller, Bayer, Syngenta, Yara Sainsburys AGRA European Universities
- 41. Farmer Innovation in the Sunderbans India Resilient livelihoods Imperial College, London Imperial College, London
- 42. Resilient livelihoods Imperial College, London Imperial College, London
- 43. Resilient livelihoods Imperial College, London Imperial College, London
- 44. Some questions Imperial College, London How do we evaluate the performance and outcome of SI technologies and policy interventions? How do we upscale those that are successful? What are the appropriate political, economic and social contexts for success? Imperial College, London
- 45. www.ag4impact.org www.canwefeedtheworld.org twitter:@ag4impact facebook: one billion hungry The Institute for the Future of Food and Nutrition Systems Imperial College, London