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A green revolution for Mozambique, march 5, 2015
1. info@ag4impact.org
Tel. +44 (0) 207 594 9337
Twitter:@Ag4Impact
Facebook: One Billion Hungry
Sir Gordon Conway
Professor of International Development,
Agriculture for Impact,
Imperial College
A
Green
Revolu,on
for
Mozambique?
Maputo,
Mozambique
March
6th,
2015
2. The Global Crises
Financial
Food security
Water
Civil Strife
Climate Change
Energy Supply
Ecosystem
Functions
‘A
Perfect
Storm’
The
Global
Crises
Imperial
College,
London
6.
The
Key
Ingredients
of
a
Mozambique
Green
Revolu,on
• And
from
Value
Chains
to
Local,
Na,onal,
Regional
and
Interna,onal
Markets
• Linked
via
Warehouses
to
Value
Chains
and
Food
Processors
• BEGIN
WITH
• Farmers
with
rights
to
land
and
belonging
to
Farmer
Associa,ons
• With
easy
access
to
seeds,
fer,lisers,
credit
through
Agrodealers
• Provided
by
local
seed
and
fer,lizer
blending
companies
and
local
banks
• PLUS
• Investments
both
technological
and
financial
• Poli,cal
Leadership
and
appropriate
Enabling
Environments
7. Sustainably
Intensifying
the
links
between
farmers
Farmer Associations
Cooperatives
Cereal Banks
Contract Farms
Outgrowers
Farmer
Associa,ons
Imperial
College,
London
12. Maize
Cob
Sheller
Youthful
entrepreneurs
Uganda
Imperial
College,
London
13. URBAN
LIVELIHOODS
RURAL
DEVELOPMENT
RESEARCH
&
DEVELOPMENT
NATIONAL
MARKETS
ASSUMED
RISK
NUTRITION
WASTE
ADDED
VALUE
RURAL
LIVELIHOODS
REGIONAL
MARKETS
INTERNATIONAL
MARKETS
FOOD
PRODUCTION
VALUE
CHAINS
LAND
TENURE
BUILD
RESILIENCE
Imperial
College,
London
14.
Ethiopian
Commodity
Exchange
Imperial
College,
London
15. ¡ There is not much more new arable
land available and water is scarce
¡ We have to intensify
¡ More with Less
¡ Greater productivity but minimised
environmental footprint
We
have
to
Intensify
Imperial
College,
London
16.
But
it
has
to
be
sustainable
• With efficient and prudent use of inputs
• Pesticides, herbicides, fertilisers
• Minimising emissions of Greenhouse Gases
• Methane, nitrous oxide, CO2
• While increasing natural capital and
environmental services
• Soil moisture, natural enemies of pests
• Strengthening Resilience
• Reducing environmental impact
Imperial
College,
London
17.
We
need
Precise
Technologies
Microdosing
in
Niger
Imperial
College,
London
19.
Targeted
Fer,lisers
Ethiopia
Imperial
College,
London
20.
Targeted
Fer,lisers
Mozambique
Imperial
College,
London
Blended
N,
P,
K
Zn,
Mo,
Bo,
S
Plus
Lime
4-‐6
tons
/
ha
21. Mul,ple
Approaches
• Ecology
• Gene,cs
• Socio-‐economics
• plus
Integrated
Imperial
College,
London
22. • Use ecological principles to
design agricultural practices
• e.g.
– Agroforestry
– Integrated Pest
Management
– Organic farming In
Sustainable
Ecological
Intensifica,on
Imperial
College,
London
Intercropping
maize
and
cowpea
23.
Rotate
with
Legumes
Imperial
College,
London
24. Sustainable Genetic
Intensification
• Plants more nutritious
– carbohydrate and protein
– micronutrients (Vit A, iron, zinc)
• Plants more resilient to
– pests and diseases
– climate change
• Plants more efficient at
– converting sunlight to food
– taking up nitrogen from
the atmosphere
– using water
Modern
Plant
Breeding
Sustainable
Gene,c
Intensifica,on
Imperial
College,
London
25.
Orange
Fleshed
Sweet
Potatoes
Imperial
College,
London
26. Sustainably
Intensifying
the
links
between
farmers
and
markets
Kenya
Sussex
Sustainable
Socio-‐economic
Intensifica,on
Tanzania
Imperial
College,
London
27. • Integrated
Pest
Management
(IPM)
• Integrated
Soil
Management
(ISM)
Integrated
Approaches
Imperial
College,
London
28. Africa’s
Soils
are
Degrading
Rapidly
For
SSA
land
degrada,on
hotspots
affect
26%
of
the
land
area
The
economic
loss
is
about
$68
billion
a
year
affec,ng
180
million
people
Imperial
College,
London
29. Healthy
Soils
A
Healthy
Soil
is
strong
in
Structure
With
an
op,mal
mix
of
large
and
small
par,cle
sizes
Providing
good
permeability
and
water
holding
capacity.
It
is
highly
fer,le
with
rich
humus
and
sufficient
nutrients
for
high
yields
It
is
also
rich
in
soil
biota
and
contains
no
pollutants.
REPAIR,
RESTORE,
ENHANCE
AND
CARE
Imperial
College,
London
33. Emissions
con,nue
to
rise
over
next
century,
leading
to
about
40C
above
preindustrial
IPPC,
2014.
Summary
for
Policy
Makers
If
Greenhouse
Gas
Emissions
remain
High
Imperial
College,
London
34. More than 5%
reduction in length of
growing period
Average Annual Max
Temp > 300C
Source:
Ericksen
et
al
Mapping
hotspots
of
climate
change
and
food
insecurity
in
the
global
tropics
Climate
Smart
Soil
CLIMATE
SMART
SOIL
HELPS
AGRICULTURAL
SYSTEMS
BECOME
BETTER
ADAPTED
AND
RESILIENT
TO
THE
ADVERSE
EFFECTS
OF
CLIMATE
CHANGE,
WHILE
MINIMISING
THE
EMISSIONS
OF
GHGS
AND
RESTORING
THE
LOST
CARBON
IN
THE
SOIL
Imperial
College,
London
35. Adapta,on
• Reducing
the
impact
of
high
temperatures
– Eg
by
Mulching
• Conserving
moisture
– Eg
Terracing
• Drought
Tolerant
Varie,es
– Eg
Maize
Imperial
College,
London
36. Increasingly
frequent
and
severe
droughts,
floods,
and
storms
Fer,le
lowlands
good
crops
but
can
be
destroyed
during
flood
Highlands
good
crops
of
maize
and
cassava
during
flood
years,
but
less
produc,ve
otherwise
hOp://www.geog.ox.ac.uk/research/landscape/projects/adap)v...
Eduardo
Mondlane
Resilience
in
Nwadjahane,
Mozambique
Imperial
College,
London
38. Carbon
Sequestra,on
• Key
is
Soil
Organic
Carbon
(SOC)
• SOC
lost
due
to
agricultural
prac,ces
• Can
be
put
back
– Conserva,on
farming
– Agroforestry
Imperial
College,
London
39. Risk
and
The
Dynamics
of
Resilience
The
Dynamics
of
Resilience
Imperial
College,
London
40. Farmer
Innova,on
in
the
Sunderbans
India
How
do
we
build
Resilient
Livelihoods?
Imperial
College,
London
43.
Poli,cal
Leadership
Imperial
College,
London
President
John
Kufuor,
Ghana
President
Filipe
Nyusi,
Mozambique
44. Rural Economy
Farm Household in a
Farmer Association
Seed Co
Agro
dealer
Fertiliser
Co
Banks for
microcredit
Local
trader
Connectivity
Regional trade
National trade
Model
of
Alliance
for
a
Green
Revolu,on
for
Africa
(AGRA)
An
Enabling
Environment
45.
It
is
about
People
46. For more info on Ag4Impact,
go to:
www.ag4impact.org
www.canwefeedtheworld.org
Contact:
gordon@ag4impact.org
Twitter:@Ag4Impact
Facebook: One Billion Hungry