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Copyright © 2014 Prime Decision
Breakout A:
Stripping it back to behaviour
Natalie Horne, Strategy Director
natalie.horne@prime-decision.com
prime-decision.com | @primedecision
Copyright © 2014 Prime Decision
What does Prime Decision do?
We help organisations find new and
unexpected solutions to old challenges.
How? By focusing on behaviour.
Copyright © 2014 Prime Decision
Client partners:
Copyright © 2014 Prime Decision
Academic collaborators:
Copyright © 2014 Prime Decision
The space we play in
Research and data analysis
Insight and assessments
Strategy and planning
Optimisation and experimentation
Experience design
Innovation & co-creation
Behavioural economics workshops
Script
SocialStory
Sync
Sense Scenario
Structure
Copyright © 2014 Prime Decision
Supporters
StaffVolunteers
Public Service-users
Challenging boundaries
Seeing existing behaviours as a resource
Copyright © 2014 Prime Decision
224 million Twitter
mentions
1.2 billion global
impressions
Awareness
Copyright © 2014 Prime Decision
5 years, 46 Fellows, minimum gift of £100,000 each
50% are now participating actively as volunteers
Engagement
Copyright © 2014 Prime Decision
Services
Copyright © 2014 Prime Decision
homo economicus
Optimal,
Normative
Realistic,
Descriptive
Copyright © 2014 Prime Decision
Get ready!
Copyright © 2014 Prime Decision
Which is the best option?
a. 40% chance of winning £22.50
b. 5% chance of winning £180.00
c. 65% chance of winning £15.40
d. 25% chance of winning £36.00
e. 80% chance of winning £11.25
Copyright © 2014 Prime Decision
The best option:
a. 40% chance of winning £22.50 gain £9
b. 5% chance of winning £180.00 gain £9
c. 65% chance of winning £15.40 gain £10
d. 25% chance of winning £36.00 gain £9
e. 80% chance of winning £11.25 gain £9
Copyright © 2014 Prime Decision
Get ready!
Copyright © 2014 Prime Decision
More wins
or losses?
Copyright © 2014 Prime Decision
X 4
X 6
More wins
or losses?
Copyright © 2014 Prime Decision
What did behavioural economists discover?
We are bad at judging probabilities
We are good at judging frequencies
+ many other patterns
Copyright © 2014 Prime Decision
Key insight:
We’re much less
rational than we
might imagine!
Copyright © 2014 Prime Decision
5 classics: Defaults
80% 20%
Copyright © 2014 Prime Decision
5 classics: Defaults
(Johnson & Goldstein, 2003)
Copyright © 2014 Prime Decision
5 classics: Endowment
(Knetsch, 1992)
Copyright © 2014 Prime Decision
5 classics: Endowment
(Knetsch, 1992)
Copyright © 2014 Prime Decision
Web subscription £59
Print plus web £125
Web subscription £59
Print only £125
Print plus web £125
52%
increase
68%
32%
16%
0%
84%
5 classics: Framing
Copyright © 2014 Prime Decision
5 classics: Anchoring
90% survival rate
vs.
10% mortality rate
£99 paid off
£175 paid off
On a monthly bill of £435…
Copyright © 2014 Prime Decision
(Hershfield et al., 2011)
5 classics: Hyperbolic discounting
Copyright © 2014 Prime Decision
Counter intuitive or common sense?
Primacy effect
Priming effects
Hyperbolic discounting
Status quo bias
Conjunction bias
Conformity effects
Affect heuristic
Omission effects
Availability heuristic
Risk aversion
Loss aversion
Framing effects
Anchoring
Confirmation bias
Endowment effect
Social norms
Peak end rule
Asymmetric dominance
Leniency bias
Mental accounting
Salience
Social proof
Misattribution
Reciprocity
Copyright © 2014 Prime Decision
Prospect Theory (1974)
Amos Tversky &
Daniel Kahneman
Copyright © 2014 Prime Decision
System 1
Automatic
Fast
Intuitive
Emotional
System 2
Effortful
Deliberate
Logical
Rational
Copyright © 2014 Prime Decision
A creative, experimental
approach to understanding
and changing behaviour
Behavioural science =
Strategic Tactical
Copyright © 2014 Prime Decision
3 deceptively simple questions:
1. What are people doing?
2. What could they do differently?
3. What could this change be worth?
Copyright © 2014 Prime Decision
+9%
# donations
+5%
Total £ raised
Buy antibiotics for an African child to
stop them dying of TB, with just £1
Buy antibiotics for an African child to
stop them dying of TB
Target behaviour: Optimise donations
Copyright © 2014 Prime Decision
1. Promoting digital self-service
Automotive example
Copyright © 2014 Prime Decision
The story in a nutshell
Reliance on voice is a customer habit.
But it’s also an internal habit. Right now, people are
being driven towards voice by default, not by design.
Copyright © 2014 Prime Decision
Granular analysis:
X% of calls are asking for
standard information
X% of calls are asking for or
amending personal
information
X% are completing an
action that could have
been done digitally X% require support on a
more complex task
Copyright © 2014 Prime Decision
Why humans not robots?
Big picture:
Copyright © 2014 Prime Decision
Where to focus?
Remove
Migrate
Improve
Neutralise
the need
Change the
channel
Enhance the
experience
Copyright © 2014 Prime Decision
Redesigning touch-points:
Web chat optimisation
Agent co-creation
Social media review
Website and contact page
Collateral CTAs
Welcome pack amendment
…etc.
Copyright © 2014 Prime Decision
2. Preventing opportunistic fraud
Insurance sector
Copyright © 2014 Prime Decision
Prosecute
criminals
Raise
premiums
Design experiences
which promote honesty
and accuracy
Copyright © 2014 Prime Decision
Behaving honestly = a balancing act
Maintaining a
positive view
of myself
Cheating for my
own benefit
According to psychologists and behavioural economists
(Ariely, 2011)
Copyright © 2014 Prime Decision
Behaving honestly = a balancing act
According to psychologists and behavioural economists
(Ariely, 2011)
Copyright © 2014 Prime Decision
Depletion
Moral
reminders
Format
Copyright © 2014 Prime Decision
Depletion, time-pressure and self-control
(Mead et al, 2009)
(Shalvi et al, 2012)
Copyright © 2014 Prime Decision
Intervention: Commitment device
C.
Control
No opportunity
to cheat
Opportunity
Cheating is
possible
B.A.
Pledge
Agree to act
honestly/morally
I recognise that I have moral obligation to complete this task honestly.
Copyright © 2014 Prime Decision
Experiment: Results
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
7%
8%
Control Opportunity Honesty
Pledge
75%
decrease in
high claims
95%
Decrease in
maximum
claims
I recognise that I have moral obligation to complete this task honestly.
Copyright © 2014 Prime Decision
What would a customer journey look like which was
designed to promote honesty and accuracy?
Claims processes
Marketing touch-points Customer communications
Investigation and EUO
Preventing opportunistic fraud
Copyright © 2014 Prime Decision
3. Boosting brand engagement
Customer-facing approach
Copyright © 2014 Prime Decision
Red Bull: Giving wings to the science of focus
Copyright © 2014 Prime Decision
Digital content, fuelled by behavioural insight
Copyright © 2014 Prime Decision
Analysing behaviours: The Seven Lenses
Script
SocialStory
Sync
Sense Scenario
Structure(One of Prime Decision’s
proprietary analytical frameworks –
contact for cheat sheet)
Copyright © 2014 Prime Decision
Copyright © 2014 Prime Decision
Copyright © 2014 Prime Decision
Copyright © 2014 Prime Decision
Copyright © 2014 Prime Decision
Copyright © 2014 Prime Decision
Copyright © 2014 Prime Decision
The Seven Lenses – Breakout D
Script
SocialStory
Self
Sense Scenario
Structure(A proprietary
analytical framework –
contact for cheat sheet)
Copyright © 2014 Prime Decision
Conclusions and questions
Use a behavioural perspective to
challenge organisational siloes
Remember the ‘silent factors’
Be resourceful
Connect insight with action
Experiment!
Copyright © 2014 Prime Decision
Hopefully see you for Breakout D!
The Seven Lenses: mini masterclass
Email: natalie.horne@prime-decision.com
Twitter: @natalie_horne
LinkedIn: /nataliehorne
Stripping it back to behaviour. CRM for charity communicators conference, 2 December 2014
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Stripping it back to behaviour. CRM for charity communicators conference, 2 December 2014

  • 1. Copyright © 2014 Prime Decision Breakout A: Stripping it back to behaviour Natalie Horne, Strategy Director natalie.horne@prime-decision.com prime-decision.com | @primedecision
  • 2. Copyright © 2014 Prime Decision What does Prime Decision do? We help organisations find new and unexpected solutions to old challenges. How? By focusing on behaviour.
  • 3. Copyright © 2014 Prime Decision Client partners:
  • 4. Copyright © 2014 Prime Decision Academic collaborators:
  • 5. Copyright © 2014 Prime Decision The space we play in Research and data analysis Insight and assessments Strategy and planning Optimisation and experimentation Experience design Innovation & co-creation Behavioural economics workshops Script SocialStory Sync Sense Scenario Structure
  • 6. Copyright © 2014 Prime Decision Supporters StaffVolunteers Public Service-users Challenging boundaries Seeing existing behaviours as a resource
  • 7. Copyright © 2014 Prime Decision 224 million Twitter mentions 1.2 billion global impressions Awareness
  • 8. Copyright © 2014 Prime Decision 5 years, 46 Fellows, minimum gift of £100,000 each 50% are now participating actively as volunteers Engagement
  • 9. Copyright © 2014 Prime Decision Services
  • 10. Copyright © 2014 Prime Decision homo economicus Optimal, Normative Realistic, Descriptive
  • 11. Copyright © 2014 Prime Decision Get ready!
  • 12. Copyright © 2014 Prime Decision Which is the best option? a. 40% chance of winning £22.50 b. 5% chance of winning £180.00 c. 65% chance of winning £15.40 d. 25% chance of winning £36.00 e. 80% chance of winning £11.25
  • 13. Copyright © 2014 Prime Decision The best option: a. 40% chance of winning £22.50 gain £9 b. 5% chance of winning £180.00 gain £9 c. 65% chance of winning £15.40 gain £10 d. 25% chance of winning £36.00 gain £9 e. 80% chance of winning £11.25 gain £9
  • 14. Copyright © 2014 Prime Decision Get ready!
  • 15. Copyright © 2014 Prime Decision More wins or losses?
  • 16. Copyright © 2014 Prime Decision X 4 X 6 More wins or losses?
  • 17. Copyright © 2014 Prime Decision What did behavioural economists discover? We are bad at judging probabilities We are good at judging frequencies + many other patterns
  • 18. Copyright © 2014 Prime Decision Key insight: We’re much less rational than we might imagine!
  • 19. Copyright © 2014 Prime Decision 5 classics: Defaults 80% 20%
  • 20. Copyright © 2014 Prime Decision 5 classics: Defaults (Johnson & Goldstein, 2003)
  • 21. Copyright © 2014 Prime Decision 5 classics: Endowment (Knetsch, 1992)
  • 22. Copyright © 2014 Prime Decision 5 classics: Endowment (Knetsch, 1992)
  • 23. Copyright © 2014 Prime Decision Web subscription £59 Print plus web £125 Web subscription £59 Print only £125 Print plus web £125 52% increase 68% 32% 16% 0% 84% 5 classics: Framing
  • 24. Copyright © 2014 Prime Decision 5 classics: Anchoring 90% survival rate vs. 10% mortality rate £99 paid off £175 paid off On a monthly bill of £435…
  • 25. Copyright © 2014 Prime Decision (Hershfield et al., 2011) 5 classics: Hyperbolic discounting
  • 26. Copyright © 2014 Prime Decision Counter intuitive or common sense? Primacy effect Priming effects Hyperbolic discounting Status quo bias Conjunction bias Conformity effects Affect heuristic Omission effects Availability heuristic Risk aversion Loss aversion Framing effects Anchoring Confirmation bias Endowment effect Social norms Peak end rule Asymmetric dominance Leniency bias Mental accounting Salience Social proof Misattribution Reciprocity
  • 27. Copyright © 2014 Prime Decision Prospect Theory (1974) Amos Tversky & Daniel Kahneman
  • 28. Copyright © 2014 Prime Decision System 1 Automatic Fast Intuitive Emotional System 2 Effortful Deliberate Logical Rational
  • 29. Copyright © 2014 Prime Decision A creative, experimental approach to understanding and changing behaviour Behavioural science = Strategic Tactical
  • 30. Copyright © 2014 Prime Decision 3 deceptively simple questions: 1. What are people doing? 2. What could they do differently? 3. What could this change be worth?
  • 31. Copyright © 2014 Prime Decision +9% # donations +5% Total £ raised Buy antibiotics for an African child to stop them dying of TB, with just £1 Buy antibiotics for an African child to stop them dying of TB Target behaviour: Optimise donations
  • 32. Copyright © 2014 Prime Decision 1. Promoting digital self-service Automotive example
  • 33. Copyright © 2014 Prime Decision The story in a nutshell Reliance on voice is a customer habit. But it’s also an internal habit. Right now, people are being driven towards voice by default, not by design.
  • 34. Copyright © 2014 Prime Decision Granular analysis: X% of calls are asking for standard information X% of calls are asking for or amending personal information X% are completing an action that could have been done digitally X% require support on a more complex task
  • 35. Copyright © 2014 Prime Decision Why humans not robots? Big picture:
  • 36. Copyright © 2014 Prime Decision Where to focus? Remove Migrate Improve Neutralise the need Change the channel Enhance the experience
  • 37. Copyright © 2014 Prime Decision Redesigning touch-points: Web chat optimisation Agent co-creation Social media review Website and contact page Collateral CTAs Welcome pack amendment …etc.
  • 38. Copyright © 2014 Prime Decision 2. Preventing opportunistic fraud Insurance sector
  • 39. Copyright © 2014 Prime Decision Prosecute criminals Raise premiums Design experiences which promote honesty and accuracy
  • 40. Copyright © 2014 Prime Decision Behaving honestly = a balancing act Maintaining a positive view of myself Cheating for my own benefit According to psychologists and behavioural economists (Ariely, 2011)
  • 41. Copyright © 2014 Prime Decision Behaving honestly = a balancing act According to psychologists and behavioural economists (Ariely, 2011)
  • 42. Copyright © 2014 Prime Decision Depletion Moral reminders Format
  • 43. Copyright © 2014 Prime Decision Depletion, time-pressure and self-control (Mead et al, 2009) (Shalvi et al, 2012)
  • 44. Copyright © 2014 Prime Decision Intervention: Commitment device C. Control No opportunity to cheat Opportunity Cheating is possible B.A. Pledge Agree to act honestly/morally I recognise that I have moral obligation to complete this task honestly.
  • 45. Copyright © 2014 Prime Decision Experiment: Results 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% Control Opportunity Honesty Pledge 75% decrease in high claims 95% Decrease in maximum claims I recognise that I have moral obligation to complete this task honestly.
  • 46. Copyright © 2014 Prime Decision What would a customer journey look like which was designed to promote honesty and accuracy? Claims processes Marketing touch-points Customer communications Investigation and EUO Preventing opportunistic fraud
  • 47. Copyright © 2014 Prime Decision 3. Boosting brand engagement Customer-facing approach
  • 48. Copyright © 2014 Prime Decision Red Bull: Giving wings to the science of focus
  • 49. Copyright © 2014 Prime Decision Digital content, fuelled by behavioural insight
  • 50. Copyright © 2014 Prime Decision Analysing behaviours: The Seven Lenses Script SocialStory Sync Sense Scenario Structure(One of Prime Decision’s proprietary analytical frameworks – contact for cheat sheet)
  • 51. Copyright © 2014 Prime Decision
  • 52. Copyright © 2014 Prime Decision
  • 53. Copyright © 2014 Prime Decision
  • 54. Copyright © 2014 Prime Decision
  • 55. Copyright © 2014 Prime Decision
  • 56. Copyright © 2014 Prime Decision
  • 57. Copyright © 2014 Prime Decision The Seven Lenses – Breakout D Script SocialStory Self Sense Scenario Structure(A proprietary analytical framework – contact for cheat sheet)
  • 58. Copyright © 2014 Prime Decision Conclusions and questions Use a behavioural perspective to challenge organisational siloes Remember the ‘silent factors’ Be resourceful Connect insight with action Experiment!
  • 59. Copyright © 2014 Prime Decision Hopefully see you for Breakout D! The Seven Lenses: mini masterclass Email: natalie.horne@prime-decision.com Twitter: @natalie_horne LinkedIn: /nataliehorne