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STOCK MARKET
What is fundamental Analysis?
Its consists of three Aspects
1)Economic Analysis
2) Industry Analysis
3)Company Analysis
Its is also knows as E.I.C analysis
Its is a study which answers the question ‘which shares to
buy”
It is based on the study of the fundamental parameters of the
company like profits, operating income, EPS , PE ratio, debt
equity ratio, order book etc
What is fundamental Analysis?
Gross Domestic Product
GDP is the market value of all good and services produced
within India
It simply shows the economic progress made by the country
in a year.
Most important indicator for the investment and selection of
country
FII follows this data most closely
GDP Growth Rate
GDP shows country’s economic progress
GDP data comes every quarter
In 2008 during world recession the world GDP was -1.2%
while India grew at 5.3%
The data shows how the country is progressing and key
factor for capital flows
Today our GDP is below 5% which is worrying Factor
GDP DATA
From 1999 to 2008 world GDP grew only 2.9%
US contributed 24.3% in 2010 from 29.8% in 1999 to
world GDP
India contributed only 1.6% in 1999 to 2.3% in 2010 of
world GDP
Composition of Indian GDP
Service sector has 55% contribution
Agriculture has 18%
Industries account for 26%
Agriculture though is lowest but provides employment to
62% of population directly or indirectly
Indian GDP can grow at 9% only if Agriculture grows at 4%
World GDP Composition
US , UK, Japan, Germany, France and Italy are service
oriented economies
They all have more than 80% contribution from services
sector
3 Key Parameters
70% of working population below 35% years of age
Out of total production we consume 86% and export only
14%
Our saving rate is 37% highest in (world Average 24%)
Indian produces highest number of English speaking
graduates
USA consumes world 40% produces
Population is our strength
US, china & Japan suffering from ageing population.
In 2020 India will have 147 million people in working group
In 2020 China working population will reduce by 50 million
Causes of inflation
There are 2 main causes of inflation
1. excessive money supply
2. Demand/supply mismatch
Indian economy has actual problem of demand supply on
agriculture side
Black marketing and hoarding results in rise of food grain
prices
Data of Inflation
Inflation is calculated by two ways
1. CPI (consumer price Index Method)
2.WPI (wholesale price Index Method)
Indian Government declares data by WPI method
CPI always higher that WPI
Deflation
Deflation is a situation where the prices are very low but
then also there is no demand for goods & services
 In 2008 there was fear that deflation would set in India
But that would never occur due to huge middle class
population
They always buy when prices are low
Inflation & Interest rates
Continuous price rise is called as Inflation
High Inflation leads to high Interest rates
High interest leads to low demand as cost of capital goes up
Low demand results in to low consumption
Low consumption results in to low GDP growth
Low GDP growth means stock market down
World interest Rates
USA 0.25%
Japan 0%
Bank of England 1%
Europe 1%
Australia 2%
China 3.3%
India average 9 to 10%
Capital Flows
FII Borrow money from these cheap markets
They invest in to emerging countries like India, brazil,Russia
& china (BRIC)
India most Favourite for FII’s
Disinvestment Targets
Coal India Rs 15000 Cr
IOC Rs 19000 Cr
Sail Rs 8000 Cr
MOIL India Rs 1200 Cr
Power Grid Rs 7000 Cr
IIP Data
IIP Data Stands for Index for Industrial Production
This shows the Industrial production Data
September IIP data Comes 2%
Nov 2010 IIP came 10.8% which was very good indicator
High data shows high demand
Low data show that manufacturing is less
In foreign countries the same Indicator is called as PMI
Purchaser manager Index
Reading of more than 50 shows that Economy is expanding
Reading of less than 50 shows that Economy is contracting
Currently Indian PMI Reading is at 47
Industry Life Cycle
3 main stages of Industry Life Cycle
Pioneering Stage
Expansion Stage
Maturity Stage
Valuation Ratios(Price Earning Ratio)
Two version of Price/Earnings
Leading P/E= Market price per share
Forcasted EPS over next 12 months
Trailing P/E= Market price per share
EPS over pervious 12 months
Can also be calculated as
PE= Current Market Capitalization
Net Income Attributable to shareholders
Technical Analysis of Stock Markets
Technical Analysis: (TA)
“is a financial term used to denote a security analysis
discipline for forecasting the direction of prices through
the study of past market data, primarily price and
volume”
Share Price
Price is a consensus between a buyer and a Seller As
there is always a contradictory view in the market
Important Price Fields:-
Open
High
Low
Close
Types of charts
• Line charts – Only price field can
be used, preferably close
Bar charts –difficult to
understand and interpret when
continuous in series
Japanese Candlestick charts – easy to
understand and interpret
 
GDP 
BILLION 
USD
GDP YOY GDP QOQ
INTEREST 
RATE
INFLATION 
RATE
JOBLESS 
RATE
GOV. 
BUDGET
DEBT/GDP
CURRENT 
ACCOUNT
EXCHANGE 
RATE
POPULATIO
N
UNITED STATES 15685 1.60% 2.80% 0.25% 1.00% 7.30% -4.10% 101.60% -3.00 119.89 315.09
EURO AREA  12195 -0.40% 0.10% 0.25% 0.70% 12.20% -3.70% 90.60% 1.50 1.36 332.88
CHINA  8230 7.80% 2.20% 6.00% 3.20% 4.00% -1.50% 23.00% 2.30 6.09 1354.04
JAPAN  5960 2.70% 0.50% 0.00% 1.00% 4.00% -9.20% 211.70% 1.10 102.22 127.52
GERMANY  3400 1.10% 0.30% 0.25% 1.24% 5.20% 0.10% 81.00% 6.30 1.36 81.84
FRANCE  2613 0.20% -0.10% 0.25% 0.60% 10.90% -4.80% 90.20% -1.90 1.36 65.28
UNITED KINGDOM 2440 1.50% 0.80% 0.50% 2.20% 7.60% -6.10% 88.70% -3.70 1.63 63.26
BRAZIL  2435 3.30% 1.50% 10.00% 5.84% 5.20% 2.38% 65.10% -2.40 2.31 193.94
RUSSIA  2015 1.20% -0.26% 5.50% 6.30% 5.50% -0.02% 8.40% 4.80 33.14 143.35
ITALY  2013 -1.90% -0.10% 0.25% 0.75% 12.50% -3.00% 127.00% -0.70 1.36 59.39
INDIA  1842 4.40% 0.60% 7.75% 7.00% 3.80% -5.30% 67.57% -4.60 62.37 1217.00
Commodity Trading
Major Trading is done on MCX & NCDEX Commodity
Exchange
Commodities Available
Bullion Gold and Silver Oil & Oilseeds Castor Seeds, Soy
Seeds, Castor Oil, Refined Soy Oil, Soymeal, Mustard
SeedSpices Pepper, Red Chilli, Jeera,Turmeric Metals
Zinc,Lead, Copper, Nickel, Steel ingots Energy Crude Oil,
Natural Gas, Heating oil, GasolinePulses ChanaOthers
Rubber, Guar Seed , Guargum , Cashew, Almond,Gur,
Coffee
ACTIVE COMMODITIES
5 Products Account for more then 80% of the–MCX volume
I,e Gold28%, Silver17%, Crude22%Copper15%,
NGas6%, Others12%,
Delivery Requirements……..
Open a Commodity demat A/cin NSDL &CDSL
Sales Tax VAT TIN Norequired for that place which you wish
to take delivery, or that location which you have received the
deliveryfrom the exchange.
If youdon't have theSales Tax VAT TIN No,then you can
appoint an agent(agent details required) I.e..Name of agent, Sales
Tax VAT TIN Noof agent , Address & Telephone no of agent.
( You can also appoint to SHAREKHAN as a agent for taking the
delivery inGold & Silver)
Purely a credit balancein ledger at the time of marking delivery.
Forward Markets Commission (FMC) headquartered at Mumbai,
is a regulatory authority which is overseen by the Ministry of
Finance, Govt. of India. It is a statutory body set up in 1953 under
the Forward Contracts (Regulation) Act, 1952. 
"The Act provides that the Commission shall consist of not less
than two but not exceeding four members appointed by the
Central Government out of them being nominated by the
Central.......
How to open DE-MAT and Trading
account
Individual,Patnership firm,HUF, a Body Corporate or any legal
entity under the provision of The patnership act of
1932/companies Act,1956. Can open demat account.
 pan card,bank details,cancel cheque and address proof & his or
her Passport size Photograph etc.
Above entity can Open Trading account with above account only
Minor Cannot open Trading account.
Trading account is required to do Transaction on exchanges like
Bse, Nse & other Regional for buying & selling of shares
Benefits of Opening a Demat
Account
 Easy and convenient way to hold securities
 Immediate transfer of securities
 No stamp duty on transfer of securities
 Safer than paper-shares (earlier risks associated with physical certificates such as bad
delivery, fake securities, delays, thefts etc. are mostly eliminated)
 Reduced paperwork for transfer of securities
 Reduced transaction cost
 No "odd lot" problem: even one share can be sold
 Change in address recorded with a DP gets registered with all companies in which
investor holds securities eliminating the need to correspond with each of them
separately.
 Transmission of securities is done by DP, eliminating the need for notifying companies.
 Automatic credit into demat account for shares arising out of bonus/split,
consolidation/merger, etc.
 A single demat account can hold investments in both equity and debt instruments.
 Traders can work from anywhere (e.g. even from home).
How to buy, Sell & Use Stoploss
 29/11/2013 12:39:49 : Trade Confirmation : Sharekhan Order ID - 397055024 Exchange Order
ID - 2013112902701611 Exchange DateTime - 29/11/2013 12:39:50 BOUGHT against
ADANIPORTS 100 out of 100 at Rs.159 Amount Rs.15900 Exchange Trade No.- 1010205 for
Customer ID - 402269 S2k ID - W414156, Name - PAWAN KUMAR
 29/11/2013 12:50:07 : Trade Confirmation : Sharekhan Order ID - 397059523 Exchange Order ID -
2013112935297529 Exchange DateTime - 29/11/2013 12:50:07 SOLD against KTKBANK 142 out of
500 at Rs.102.8 Amount Rs.14597.6 Exchange Trade No.- 34099049 for Customer ID - 1509054 S2k
ID - 1509054, Name - MAKARAND
 29/11/2013 09:15:56 : Trade Confirmation : Sharekhan Order ID - 396909024 Exchange Order ID -
2013112900085284 Exchange DateTime - 29/11/2013 09:15:56 BOUGHT against ALOKTEXT 50 out
of 50 at Rs.7.75 Amount Rs.387.5 Exchange Trade No.- 12652 for Customer ID - 1461673 S2k ID -
1461673, Name - ABHIJEETKUMAR .
 29/11/2013 13:55:22 : New Order Confirmation : Your request to place Sharekhan Order ID -
397087296 Exchange Order ID - 2013112903432347 Exchange DateTime - 29/11/2013 13:55:24 NEW
SELL 50 ALOKTEXT at Rs.7.3 SLTRGR Price Rs.7.5 has been CONFIRMED by the Exchange - NSE
for Customer ID - 1461673, S2k ID - 1461673, Name - ABHIJEETKUMAR M MURKUMBI
Derivatives-Future & option
Future:-A future Contract is an Agreement between two parties
to buy & sell an asset at a certain time in the future at certain
price. Future contracts are special types of forward contracts in
the sense that former are standardized exchange Traded contracts.
Options are of two types:- Calls & puts. Calls give buyer the right
but not the obligation to buy a given quantity of the underlying
Asset, at the given price on or before a given future date. Puts
gives the seller the right but not the obligation to ell a given
quantity of underlying Asset at a given price on or before given
future date.
Margin is Required to Trade in Future contract to buy or sell
future contract , This is decided by Exchange & it may change on
daily basis, it depend on the Volatility of the stock or Market.
To Buy Options I,e Call or Put you need to pay premium
upfront . Options buying is less risky compare to selling of
Option, as Your Risk is only Confine to your premium you paid
upfront.
To sell Options I,e Call or put you need to pay Margin as the risk
in this case is Unlimited
THANK YOU…

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Stock market

  • 2. What is fundamental Analysis? Its consists of three Aspects 1)Economic Analysis 2) Industry Analysis 3)Company Analysis Its is also knows as E.I.C analysis
  • 3. Its is a study which answers the question ‘which shares to buy” It is based on the study of the fundamental parameters of the company like profits, operating income, EPS , PE ratio, debt equity ratio, order book etc What is fundamental Analysis?
  • 4. Gross Domestic Product GDP is the market value of all good and services produced within India It simply shows the economic progress made by the country in a year. Most important indicator for the investment and selection of country FII follows this data most closely
  • 5. GDP Growth Rate GDP shows country’s economic progress GDP data comes every quarter In 2008 during world recession the world GDP was -1.2% while India grew at 5.3% The data shows how the country is progressing and key factor for capital flows Today our GDP is below 5% which is worrying Factor
  • 6. GDP DATA From 1999 to 2008 world GDP grew only 2.9% US contributed 24.3% in 2010 from 29.8% in 1999 to world GDP India contributed only 1.6% in 1999 to 2.3% in 2010 of world GDP
  • 7. Composition of Indian GDP Service sector has 55% contribution Agriculture has 18% Industries account for 26% Agriculture though is lowest but provides employment to 62% of population directly or indirectly Indian GDP can grow at 9% only if Agriculture grows at 4%
  • 8. World GDP Composition US , UK, Japan, Germany, France and Italy are service oriented economies They all have more than 80% contribution from services sector
  • 9. 3 Key Parameters 70% of working population below 35% years of age Out of total production we consume 86% and export only 14% Our saving rate is 37% highest in (world Average 24%) Indian produces highest number of English speaking graduates USA consumes world 40% produces
  • 10. Population is our strength US, china & Japan suffering from ageing population. In 2020 India will have 147 million people in working group In 2020 China working population will reduce by 50 million
  • 11. Causes of inflation There are 2 main causes of inflation 1. excessive money supply 2. Demand/supply mismatch Indian economy has actual problem of demand supply on agriculture side Black marketing and hoarding results in rise of food grain prices
  • 12. Data of Inflation Inflation is calculated by two ways 1. CPI (consumer price Index Method) 2.WPI (wholesale price Index Method) Indian Government declares data by WPI method CPI always higher that WPI
  • 13. Deflation Deflation is a situation where the prices are very low but then also there is no demand for goods & services  In 2008 there was fear that deflation would set in India But that would never occur due to huge middle class population They always buy when prices are low
  • 14. Inflation & Interest rates Continuous price rise is called as Inflation High Inflation leads to high Interest rates High interest leads to low demand as cost of capital goes up Low demand results in to low consumption Low consumption results in to low GDP growth Low GDP growth means stock market down
  • 15. World interest Rates USA 0.25% Japan 0% Bank of England 1% Europe 1% Australia 2% China 3.3% India average 9 to 10%
  • 16. Capital Flows FII Borrow money from these cheap markets They invest in to emerging countries like India, brazil,Russia & china (BRIC) India most Favourite for FII’s
  • 17. Disinvestment Targets Coal India Rs 15000 Cr IOC Rs 19000 Cr Sail Rs 8000 Cr MOIL India Rs 1200 Cr Power Grid Rs 7000 Cr
  • 18. IIP Data IIP Data Stands for Index for Industrial Production This shows the Industrial production Data September IIP data Comes 2% Nov 2010 IIP came 10.8% which was very good indicator High data shows high demand Low data show that manufacturing is less In foreign countries the same Indicator is called as PMI Purchaser manager Index Reading of more than 50 shows that Economy is expanding Reading of less than 50 shows that Economy is contracting Currently Indian PMI Reading is at 47
  • 19. Industry Life Cycle 3 main stages of Industry Life Cycle Pioneering Stage Expansion Stage Maturity Stage
  • 20. Valuation Ratios(Price Earning Ratio) Two version of Price/Earnings Leading P/E= Market price per share Forcasted EPS over next 12 months Trailing P/E= Market price per share EPS over pervious 12 months Can also be calculated as PE= Current Market Capitalization Net Income Attributable to shareholders
  • 21. Technical Analysis of Stock Markets
  • 22. Technical Analysis: (TA) “is a financial term used to denote a security analysis discipline for forecasting the direction of prices through the study of past market data, primarily price and volume”
  • 23. Share Price Price is a consensus between a buyer and a Seller As there is always a contradictory view in the market Important Price Fields:- Open High Low Close
  • 24. Types of charts • Line charts – Only price field can be used, preferably close Bar charts –difficult to understand and interpret when continuous in series
  • 25. Japanese Candlestick charts – easy to understand and interpret
  • 26.   GDP  BILLION  USD GDP YOY GDP QOQ INTEREST  RATE INFLATION  RATE JOBLESS  RATE GOV.  BUDGET DEBT/GDP CURRENT  ACCOUNT EXCHANGE  RATE POPULATIO N UNITED STATES 15685 1.60% 2.80% 0.25% 1.00% 7.30% -4.10% 101.60% -3.00 119.89 315.09 EURO AREA  12195 -0.40% 0.10% 0.25% 0.70% 12.20% -3.70% 90.60% 1.50 1.36 332.88 CHINA  8230 7.80% 2.20% 6.00% 3.20% 4.00% -1.50% 23.00% 2.30 6.09 1354.04 JAPAN  5960 2.70% 0.50% 0.00% 1.00% 4.00% -9.20% 211.70% 1.10 102.22 127.52 GERMANY  3400 1.10% 0.30% 0.25% 1.24% 5.20% 0.10% 81.00% 6.30 1.36 81.84 FRANCE  2613 0.20% -0.10% 0.25% 0.60% 10.90% -4.80% 90.20% -1.90 1.36 65.28 UNITED KINGDOM 2440 1.50% 0.80% 0.50% 2.20% 7.60% -6.10% 88.70% -3.70 1.63 63.26 BRAZIL  2435 3.30% 1.50% 10.00% 5.84% 5.20% 2.38% 65.10% -2.40 2.31 193.94 RUSSIA  2015 1.20% -0.26% 5.50% 6.30% 5.50% -0.02% 8.40% 4.80 33.14 143.35 ITALY  2013 -1.90% -0.10% 0.25% 0.75% 12.50% -3.00% 127.00% -0.70 1.36 59.39 INDIA  1842 4.40% 0.60% 7.75% 7.00% 3.80% -5.30% 67.57% -4.60 62.37 1217.00
  • 27. Commodity Trading Major Trading is done on MCX & NCDEX Commodity Exchange
  • 28. Commodities Available Bullion Gold and Silver Oil & Oilseeds Castor Seeds, Soy Seeds, Castor Oil, Refined Soy Oil, Soymeal, Mustard SeedSpices Pepper, Red Chilli, Jeera,Turmeric Metals Zinc,Lead, Copper, Nickel, Steel ingots Energy Crude Oil, Natural Gas, Heating oil, GasolinePulses ChanaOthers Rubber, Guar Seed , Guargum , Cashew, Almond,Gur, Coffee
  • 29. ACTIVE COMMODITIES 5 Products Account for more then 80% of the–MCX volume I,e Gold28%, Silver17%, Crude22%Copper15%, NGas6%, Others12%,
  • 30. Delivery Requirements…….. Open a Commodity demat A/cin NSDL &CDSL Sales Tax VAT TIN Norequired for that place which you wish to take delivery, or that location which you have received the deliveryfrom the exchange. If youdon't have theSales Tax VAT TIN No,then you can appoint an agent(agent details required) I.e..Name of agent, Sales Tax VAT TIN Noof agent , Address & Telephone no of agent. ( You can also appoint to SHAREKHAN as a agent for taking the delivery inGold & Silver) Purely a credit balancein ledger at the time of marking delivery.
  • 31. Forward Markets Commission (FMC) headquartered at Mumbai, is a regulatory authority which is overseen by the Ministry of Finance, Govt. of India. It is a statutory body set up in 1953 under the Forward Contracts (Regulation) Act, 1952.  "The Act provides that the Commission shall consist of not less than two but not exceeding four members appointed by the Central Government out of them being nominated by the Central.......
  • 32. How to open DE-MAT and Trading account Individual,Patnership firm,HUF, a Body Corporate or any legal entity under the provision of The patnership act of 1932/companies Act,1956. Can open demat account.  pan card,bank details,cancel cheque and address proof & his or her Passport size Photograph etc. Above entity can Open Trading account with above account only Minor Cannot open Trading account. Trading account is required to do Transaction on exchanges like Bse, Nse & other Regional for buying & selling of shares
  • 33. Benefits of Opening a Demat Account  Easy and convenient way to hold securities  Immediate transfer of securities  No stamp duty on transfer of securities  Safer than paper-shares (earlier risks associated with physical certificates such as bad delivery, fake securities, delays, thefts etc. are mostly eliminated)  Reduced paperwork for transfer of securities  Reduced transaction cost  No "odd lot" problem: even one share can be sold  Change in address recorded with a DP gets registered with all companies in which investor holds securities eliminating the need to correspond with each of them separately.  Transmission of securities is done by DP, eliminating the need for notifying companies.  Automatic credit into demat account for shares arising out of bonus/split, consolidation/merger, etc.  A single demat account can hold investments in both equity and debt instruments.  Traders can work from anywhere (e.g. even from home).
  • 34. How to buy, Sell & Use Stoploss  29/11/2013 12:39:49 : Trade Confirmation : Sharekhan Order ID - 397055024 Exchange Order ID - 2013112902701611 Exchange DateTime - 29/11/2013 12:39:50 BOUGHT against ADANIPORTS 100 out of 100 at Rs.159 Amount Rs.15900 Exchange Trade No.- 1010205 for Customer ID - 402269 S2k ID - W414156, Name - PAWAN KUMAR  29/11/2013 12:50:07 : Trade Confirmation : Sharekhan Order ID - 397059523 Exchange Order ID - 2013112935297529 Exchange DateTime - 29/11/2013 12:50:07 SOLD against KTKBANK 142 out of 500 at Rs.102.8 Amount Rs.14597.6 Exchange Trade No.- 34099049 for Customer ID - 1509054 S2k ID - 1509054, Name - MAKARAND  29/11/2013 09:15:56 : Trade Confirmation : Sharekhan Order ID - 396909024 Exchange Order ID - 2013112900085284 Exchange DateTime - 29/11/2013 09:15:56 BOUGHT against ALOKTEXT 50 out of 50 at Rs.7.75 Amount Rs.387.5 Exchange Trade No.- 12652 for Customer ID - 1461673 S2k ID - 1461673, Name - ABHIJEETKUMAR .  29/11/2013 13:55:22 : New Order Confirmation : Your request to place Sharekhan Order ID - 397087296 Exchange Order ID - 2013112903432347 Exchange DateTime - 29/11/2013 13:55:24 NEW SELL 50 ALOKTEXT at Rs.7.3 SLTRGR Price Rs.7.5 has been CONFIRMED by the Exchange - NSE for Customer ID - 1461673, S2k ID - 1461673, Name - ABHIJEETKUMAR M MURKUMBI
  • 35. Derivatives-Future & option Future:-A future Contract is an Agreement between two parties to buy & sell an asset at a certain time in the future at certain price. Future contracts are special types of forward contracts in the sense that former are standardized exchange Traded contracts. Options are of two types:- Calls & puts. Calls give buyer the right but not the obligation to buy a given quantity of the underlying Asset, at the given price on or before a given future date. Puts gives the seller the right but not the obligation to ell a given quantity of underlying Asset at a given price on or before given future date.
  • 36. Margin is Required to Trade in Future contract to buy or sell future contract , This is decided by Exchange & it may change on daily basis, it depend on the Volatility of the stock or Market. To Buy Options I,e Call or Put you need to pay premium upfront . Options buying is less risky compare to selling of Option, as Your Risk is only Confine to your premium you paid upfront. To sell Options I,e Call or put you need to pay Margin as the risk in this case is Unlimited