This document contains various sections including a market view, company update on HEG Limited, news around the world economy, knowledge corner on bought deals, mutual fund corner on ICICI Prudential Balanced Advantage Fund, forex corner, commodity corner, and a report card on J Street recommendations. The overall document provides an overview of the stock market, company and economic updates, and analysis on mutual funds and commodities to help readers stay informed.
The document provides an overview of the performance of global and Indian markets and economic indicators in October 2021. Key points include:
1) Indian markets continued their upward momentum in October driven by India's insulation from slowdowns, stable COVID trends, government reforms and low interest rates.
2) Within India, the real estate sector performed strongly while metals lagged.
3) COVID cases and positivity rates remained under control in India, though upcoming festivals will need close monitoring. Vaccination rates picked up in September.
4) Various economic indicators like e-way bills, vehicle registrations, mobility and power consumption show an improvement in economic activity as COVID cases decline and vaccination increases.
- Global markets are experiencing corrections due to concerns about the Chinese economy and an expected interest rate hike in the US. India's markets have fallen but volatility is expected to decrease as markets stabilize.
- India's industrial production grew slightly less than expected in July due to weakness in some sectors. Inflation data is expected to be released showing a rate between 3-4%.
- The document analyzes economic indicators and market performance in India and globally. It provides an outlook expecting the markets to remain stable with index movements within 5% over the next few months.
We believe that the divergence between Value and Growth stocks continues to prevail, & that volatility is a factor which is inherent in equity as an asset class.
The Union Budget presented by Finance Minister Mr. Arun Jaitley, with the muted expectation, it was a good budget considering the local and global financial constraints. The budget stuck to the path of fiscal consolidation. The Government targets to narrow the central fiscal deficit to 3.5% in 2016-17, after having comfortably met its 3.9% target for 2015-16.
The Indian economy was facing Agrarian distress for the past 3 years. This was primarily because the Minimum Support Prices were raised by less than 5% every year in the backdrop of MSP increases between 12% -16% between 2005 and 2013. This was the primary reason for inflation being in double digits since 2009. By keeping the MSP increases below 5% the food prices continue to be under control and the CPI has remained below the RBI’s threshold of 6%. On this backdrop, the government’s decision on focusing on social sector spending was welcome.
The document provides an overview of global and domestic economic news and market performance for the week of March 7-11, 2016. Key developments included the ECB cutting interest rates further into negative territory to stimulate the eurozone economy, India's retail inflation easing and IIP contracting for a third straight month, and mixed performance across global equity indices with US down 2.7% YTD and China down 20% YTD. Indian indices were also down for the year though FIIs turned to buying Indian stocks this month. The outlook remains cautious with a focus on consumption stocks.
ICICI Prudential Growth Fund - Series 2 (Presentation)iciciprumf
This document summarizes an investment product called the ICICI Prudential Growth Fund - Series 2. The following points are highlighted:
1. It is a 3.5 year close-ended diversified equity fund that aims to provide capital appreciation by investing in 40-60 stocks across market caps with a focus on mid and small caps.
2. The fund maturity is set to end 1 year before the elected government's term to potentially benefit from large deliveries in the last 1-2 years of their term when market valuations may reflect government efforts.
3. A high conviction portfolio will be created using screens for data integrity, company characteristics like competitive edge and financial strength. Valuations will also be
• Historically, financial crisis have generally occurred due to endogenous factors – economic imbalances like high crude prices, high inflation, etc. This time it is different since macros being stable, the current crisis is the result of an external factor i.e. COVID-19
• India’s long term growth story remains intact since it is better placed in terms of fundamentals
• We believe, Emerging Markets have the potential to recover better than Developed Markets & that Value as a theme performs better than Growth during recovery phase. Hence, we recommend investing in ICICI Prudential Value Discovery Fund
• Owing to the temporary economic crisis due to COVID-19, we recommend investing in ICICI Prudential India Opportunities Fund
• Given further uncertainty regarding the spread of COVID-19, volatility is expected to prevail. We recommend investing in ICICI Prudential Balanced Advantage Fund to manage volatility • We remain positive on the Smallcap space as valuations are reasonable & recommend investing in ICICI Prudential Smallcap Fund
• Post any crisis, sectoral leadership has changed in the past. Aim to invest in future potential leaders through ICICI Prudential Focused Equity Fund
The document provides an economic outlook and summary of key events for the week of November 26-30, 2012. It discusses:
- The passage of a bill allowing FDI in retail in India and plans for a National Investment Board.
- Second quarter GDP growth of 5.3% driven by weakness in agriculture.
- Expectations that inflation will be between 7-7.5% in December.
- An agreement on further bailouts for Greece and potential further debt relief.
- Upcoming IPO for Bharti Infratel telecom towers business.
The document provides an overview of the performance of global and Indian markets and economic indicators in October 2021. Key points include:
1) Indian markets continued their upward momentum in October driven by India's insulation from slowdowns, stable COVID trends, government reforms and low interest rates.
2) Within India, the real estate sector performed strongly while metals lagged.
3) COVID cases and positivity rates remained under control in India, though upcoming festivals will need close monitoring. Vaccination rates picked up in September.
4) Various economic indicators like e-way bills, vehicle registrations, mobility and power consumption show an improvement in economic activity as COVID cases decline and vaccination increases.
- Global markets are experiencing corrections due to concerns about the Chinese economy and an expected interest rate hike in the US. India's markets have fallen but volatility is expected to decrease as markets stabilize.
- India's industrial production grew slightly less than expected in July due to weakness in some sectors. Inflation data is expected to be released showing a rate between 3-4%.
- The document analyzes economic indicators and market performance in India and globally. It provides an outlook expecting the markets to remain stable with index movements within 5% over the next few months.
We believe that the divergence between Value and Growth stocks continues to prevail, & that volatility is a factor which is inherent in equity as an asset class.
The Union Budget presented by Finance Minister Mr. Arun Jaitley, with the muted expectation, it was a good budget considering the local and global financial constraints. The budget stuck to the path of fiscal consolidation. The Government targets to narrow the central fiscal deficit to 3.5% in 2016-17, after having comfortably met its 3.9% target for 2015-16.
The Indian economy was facing Agrarian distress for the past 3 years. This was primarily because the Minimum Support Prices were raised by less than 5% every year in the backdrop of MSP increases between 12% -16% between 2005 and 2013. This was the primary reason for inflation being in double digits since 2009. By keeping the MSP increases below 5% the food prices continue to be under control and the CPI has remained below the RBI’s threshold of 6%. On this backdrop, the government’s decision on focusing on social sector spending was welcome.
The document provides an overview of global and domestic economic news and market performance for the week of March 7-11, 2016. Key developments included the ECB cutting interest rates further into negative territory to stimulate the eurozone economy, India's retail inflation easing and IIP contracting for a third straight month, and mixed performance across global equity indices with US down 2.7% YTD and China down 20% YTD. Indian indices were also down for the year though FIIs turned to buying Indian stocks this month. The outlook remains cautious with a focus on consumption stocks.
ICICI Prudential Growth Fund - Series 2 (Presentation)iciciprumf
This document summarizes an investment product called the ICICI Prudential Growth Fund - Series 2. The following points are highlighted:
1. It is a 3.5 year close-ended diversified equity fund that aims to provide capital appreciation by investing in 40-60 stocks across market caps with a focus on mid and small caps.
2. The fund maturity is set to end 1 year before the elected government's term to potentially benefit from large deliveries in the last 1-2 years of their term when market valuations may reflect government efforts.
3. A high conviction portfolio will be created using screens for data integrity, company characteristics like competitive edge and financial strength. Valuations will also be
• Historically, financial crisis have generally occurred due to endogenous factors – economic imbalances like high crude prices, high inflation, etc. This time it is different since macros being stable, the current crisis is the result of an external factor i.e. COVID-19
• India’s long term growth story remains intact since it is better placed in terms of fundamentals
• We believe, Emerging Markets have the potential to recover better than Developed Markets & that Value as a theme performs better than Growth during recovery phase. Hence, we recommend investing in ICICI Prudential Value Discovery Fund
• Owing to the temporary economic crisis due to COVID-19, we recommend investing in ICICI Prudential India Opportunities Fund
• Given further uncertainty regarding the spread of COVID-19, volatility is expected to prevail. We recommend investing in ICICI Prudential Balanced Advantage Fund to manage volatility • We remain positive on the Smallcap space as valuations are reasonable & recommend investing in ICICI Prudential Smallcap Fund
• Post any crisis, sectoral leadership has changed in the past. Aim to invest in future potential leaders through ICICI Prudential Focused Equity Fund
The document provides an economic outlook and summary of key events for the week of November 26-30, 2012. It discusses:
- The passage of a bill allowing FDI in retail in India and plans for a National Investment Board.
- Second quarter GDP growth of 5.3% driven by weakness in agriculture.
- Expectations that inflation will be between 7-7.5% in December.
- An agreement on further bailouts for Greece and potential further debt relief.
- Upcoming IPO for Bharti Infratel telecom towers business.
A general take on the Modi-phenomenon that has swept the stock markets! With structural changes finally being implemented by the new government we can expect a decade of massive growth. First uploaded as an Instablog on SeekingAlpha in September
The Indian stock market gained strength in the previous week supported by stable global markets and positive domestic developments. The government is pushing rural and infrastructure spending to boost consumption, which will benefit sectors like FMCG, consumer discretionary, durables and automobiles. There are challenges for public sector banks regarding their long-term business case and emerging competition from small finance and payment banks. US job growth surged in February indicating labor market strength, while China's auto sales declined and crude oil imports increased sharply in February.
Weekly News: The government cancels approvals of nine SEZ - SMCIndiaNotes.com
The government has cancelled approvals of nine special economic zones, including that of Hindalco Industries, Essar and Adani as no "satisfactory" progress was made to execute the projects.
- US stock markets rose last week after the Fed clarified it was not rushing to taper QE3 stimulus.
- India's industrial production contracted 1.6% in May, below expectations, due to weak manufacturing.
- Earnings season has started positively for Indian IT and private banks, with forecast growth of 0-4% and 15-20% respectively.
The World This Week - 03rd Aug to 08th Aug, 2015
As expected rates were kept unchanged in the RBI credit policy last week but the tone of the policy along with macro economic factors suggest that there could be a chance of rate cut in the next credit policy which is due on 29th September or even before that. The only concern is distribution of monsoon which is very uneven so if monsoon plays out properly then the rates may be cut. The change witnessed from previous credit policy to this one is the probability of another rate cut happening in this calendar year has increased from 50% to 75%. There would be certain consequences of a rate cut. Sectors which would benefit are stable businesses like Auto, Private Banks, and NBFC etc. Sectors like infrastructure, manufacturing, high capital intensive business which are facing problems of raising capital, inadequate profitability etc would still struggle despite a rate cut. Know
The Economic Survey of India 2008-2009 makes several predictions and assessments:
1) It predicts GDP growth of 7.75% if the global economy improves, or 6.25% if the global recession persists.
2) It claims high savings and investment, rural growth, and resilient services exports have protected India's economy despite global conditions.
3) It argues the worst effects may be over and recent measures could facilitate a quick "U-shaped recovery", subject to some factors outside India's control.
This document provides an overview and outlook across various sectors in India and globally. It discusses domestic and global economic factors, equity and debt market performance, sector-specific views, and other relevant topics. Key points include a positive outlook for domestic consumption sectors due to the festive season, signs of recovery in the Indian manufacturing sector, and expectations that global central banks will continue accommodative monetary policies.
This document provides a weekly summary of global and domestic economic news and market performance for the week of August 8-12, 2016. Some key points:
- India's wholesale and consumer price inflation increased in July driven by higher food prices. Industrial production growth slowed in the Eurozone and China.
- US retail sales were flat in July and the budget deficit declined, while China's economic growth slowed with the weakest investment growth in over 15 years.
- The Indian stock market ended the week slightly lower, with the Sensex falling 0.11%. Most sectoral indices also declined over the week except for banking. Commodity prices were mixed with gold falling slightly while crude oil rose.
- The Indian equity markets continue to rise in anticipation of a positive budget and government efforts to remove infrastructure bottlenecks. Business confidence remains positive.
- Monsoon rainfall in June was 40% below normal, raising concerns for agricultural production, but forecasts indicate rainfall in July will offset the deficit. Agricultural impact on GDP is expected to be limited.
- The author remains positive on the Indian equity markets, expecting strong earnings from IT and select other sectors, and more economic reforms from the government that will benefit sectors like banking, oil and gas, and infrastructure.
Market outlook April 2021 - ICICI Prudential Mutual Fundiciciprumf
The resurgence of the pandemic may delay the recovery and growth of the Indian Economy. And with limited room for rate cuts going forward, investors could benefit from active duration management and accrual strategies.
To know more, read our Market Outlook for April 2021.
The Indian equity markets witnessed a rally of approximately 2.5% last week. This was driven by better than expected earnings from major companies as well as public sector banks. The banking sector outlook has been changed to positive based on the strong results. Macroeconomic factors are also positive, with the current account deficit projected to be lower than expected. Globally, markets reacted well to softer US economic data which could postpone Fed tapering.
- The equity markets in India traded in a narrow range over the past week and are expected to remain range-bound in the coming weeks. Key economic data like GDP and core sector growth were in line with expectations.
- In the US, recent data points to continued moderate economic growth and makes the case for an interest rate hike in September. The impact of rate hikes is expected to be greater on developed markets than emerging markets like India.
- Macroeconomic indicators from China suggested efforts to reduce corporate financing costs and tax burdens to boost the economy, while the central bank took measures to inject liquidity into markets.
ICICI Pru MF - Annual Market Outlook 2020iciciprumf
Why Divergence as the theme?
Several polarizing trends have been observed on the Global as well as Domestic front
Divergence is observed in Markets and Economy, Value and Growth theme, Yields on G-Sec and AAA over AA/A, etc
The outlook aims to highlight such divergent trends and ways to navigate the same
Brief on our Equity Outlook
Union Budget, real estate debt de-leveraging and credit growth pick-up key triggers for the markets in 2020
Stark divergence between Value and Growth themes makes Value and Special Situations themes attractive
Asset Allocation schemes may be considered to address near term volatility
Recommend Small and Multicap schemes due to reasonable valuations
Recommend adding equities in a staggered manner through SIP/STP
Our Recommendations
To benefit from Value Vs. Growth divergence - ICICI Prudential Value Discovery Fund
To benefit from Special Situations Theme - ICICI Prudential India Opportunities Fund
To benefit from reasonable valuations - ICICI Prudential Smallcap Fund
To benefit from Volatility - ICICI Prudential Balanced Advantage Fund and ICICI Prudential Asset Allocator Fund
For Long Term Wealth Creation - SIP/STP in ICICI Prudential Multicap Fund and ICICI Prudential Smallcap Fund
Brief on our Debt Outlook
Continue to remain positive on accrual space/spread assets
Recommend combination of short term assets and long term assets with a portfolio maturity range of 2-5 years
Extreme short end (less than 3 months), due to ample liquidity may give lower real returns
Fiscal concerns and inflation in the first half may keep longer end volatile. Hence, use the longer end of the yield curve for trading strategy
Our Recommendations
To earn higher accrual - ICICI Prudential Credit Risk Fund and ICICI Prudential Medium Term Bond Fund
Short/Medium Duration Scheme - ICICI Prudential Banking and PSU Debt Fund and ICICI Prudential Short Term Fund
To benefit from Volatility - ICICI Prudential All Seasons Bond Fund
Short Term Solution - ICICI Prudential Ultra Short Term Fund and ICICI Prudential Floating Interest Fund
- The RBI lowered interest rates last week but further cuts may be limited due to global and local factors like the US Federal Reserve's expected interest rate increases. If the Fed raises rates, emerging markets like India cannot lower rates aggressively.
- Monsoon rainfall is important but full effects won't be known until mid-June. Inflation expectations and weak economic data point to challenges for the equity market. Government capital expenditures will be key as corporate balance sheets limit private investment.
- Tactically, export sectors like IT and pharma that benefit from rupee weakness are preferred, while private banks offer long-term potential after declines and PSU banks are a value opportunity over 5 years.
The RBI recently cut interest rates by 50 basis points, signaling a change in its tight monetary policy. While lower rates will benefit many sectors, the RBI governor warned against expecting immediate further cuts until inflation decreases significantly. Last week, markets were flat with some volatility, and key company results like HDFC Bank met expectations while RIL profits declined. This week, markets will watch the US Federal Reserve's policy meeting for any signs of further quantitative easing measures. European debt issues also remain a key uncertainty.
The Indian market advanced further on gains in heavyweights like HDFC and Lupin. The market gained despite losses in Ranbaxy. Most Asian markets rose on gains in the US and Germany, while Chinese shares slipped on higher inflation. Key results this week include Apollo Tyres, Ashok Leyland, and United Bank of India. The Supreme Court criticized the government over the coal scam probe. The government may use ordinances to pass key economic bills due to its strengthened position in Karnataka.
- The key Indian equity indices Sensex closed the week with marginal gains of 0.5% despite volatility in the market from events like US Fed rate hikes and the de-nuclearization of North Korea. Pharma stocks gained the most while metals and oil & gas dragged.
- Yields on the 10-year Indian government bond eased initially but rose later in the week due to higher inflation numbers. The RBI kept policy rates unchanged.
- Internationally, the US Federal Reserve raised interest rates as expected while China's industrial production growth slowed slightly. The Trump-Kim summit led to agreements on denuclearization.
- Global equity markets declined modestly and bond yields rose due to concerns about tapering of monetary stimulus by central banks like the Fed. Commodity prices increased on hopes of improving demand from China and other large economies.
- In Asia, Chinese economic data surprised on the upside and helped stocks in Shanghai, while most other regional markets declined. Bank of Korea and Bank of Japan maintained interest rates.
- In Europe, French stocks rallied on positive trade data while German and UK stocks fell slightly. Italy's GDP declined less than expected.
- In the Americas, US and Canadian stocks dipped with debate around Fed tapering. US and Canadian trade deficits narrowed.
- Indian stocks extended declines due to weakness in the
A general take on the Modi-phenomenon that has swept the stock markets! With structural changes finally being implemented by the new government we can expect a decade of massive growth. First uploaded as an Instablog on SeekingAlpha in September
The Indian stock market gained strength in the previous week supported by stable global markets and positive domestic developments. The government is pushing rural and infrastructure spending to boost consumption, which will benefit sectors like FMCG, consumer discretionary, durables and automobiles. There are challenges for public sector banks regarding their long-term business case and emerging competition from small finance and payment banks. US job growth surged in February indicating labor market strength, while China's auto sales declined and crude oil imports increased sharply in February.
Weekly News: The government cancels approvals of nine SEZ - SMCIndiaNotes.com
The government has cancelled approvals of nine special economic zones, including that of Hindalco Industries, Essar and Adani as no "satisfactory" progress was made to execute the projects.
- US stock markets rose last week after the Fed clarified it was not rushing to taper QE3 stimulus.
- India's industrial production contracted 1.6% in May, below expectations, due to weak manufacturing.
- Earnings season has started positively for Indian IT and private banks, with forecast growth of 0-4% and 15-20% respectively.
The World This Week - 03rd Aug to 08th Aug, 2015
As expected rates were kept unchanged in the RBI credit policy last week but the tone of the policy along with macro economic factors suggest that there could be a chance of rate cut in the next credit policy which is due on 29th September or even before that. The only concern is distribution of monsoon which is very uneven so if monsoon plays out properly then the rates may be cut. The change witnessed from previous credit policy to this one is the probability of another rate cut happening in this calendar year has increased from 50% to 75%. There would be certain consequences of a rate cut. Sectors which would benefit are stable businesses like Auto, Private Banks, and NBFC etc. Sectors like infrastructure, manufacturing, high capital intensive business which are facing problems of raising capital, inadequate profitability etc would still struggle despite a rate cut. Know
The Economic Survey of India 2008-2009 makes several predictions and assessments:
1) It predicts GDP growth of 7.75% if the global economy improves, or 6.25% if the global recession persists.
2) It claims high savings and investment, rural growth, and resilient services exports have protected India's economy despite global conditions.
3) It argues the worst effects may be over and recent measures could facilitate a quick "U-shaped recovery", subject to some factors outside India's control.
This document provides an overview and outlook across various sectors in India and globally. It discusses domestic and global economic factors, equity and debt market performance, sector-specific views, and other relevant topics. Key points include a positive outlook for domestic consumption sectors due to the festive season, signs of recovery in the Indian manufacturing sector, and expectations that global central banks will continue accommodative monetary policies.
This document provides a weekly summary of global and domestic economic news and market performance for the week of August 8-12, 2016. Some key points:
- India's wholesale and consumer price inflation increased in July driven by higher food prices. Industrial production growth slowed in the Eurozone and China.
- US retail sales were flat in July and the budget deficit declined, while China's economic growth slowed with the weakest investment growth in over 15 years.
- The Indian stock market ended the week slightly lower, with the Sensex falling 0.11%. Most sectoral indices also declined over the week except for banking. Commodity prices were mixed with gold falling slightly while crude oil rose.
- The Indian equity markets continue to rise in anticipation of a positive budget and government efforts to remove infrastructure bottlenecks. Business confidence remains positive.
- Monsoon rainfall in June was 40% below normal, raising concerns for agricultural production, but forecasts indicate rainfall in July will offset the deficit. Agricultural impact on GDP is expected to be limited.
- The author remains positive on the Indian equity markets, expecting strong earnings from IT and select other sectors, and more economic reforms from the government that will benefit sectors like banking, oil and gas, and infrastructure.
Market outlook April 2021 - ICICI Prudential Mutual Fundiciciprumf
The resurgence of the pandemic may delay the recovery and growth of the Indian Economy. And with limited room for rate cuts going forward, investors could benefit from active duration management and accrual strategies.
To know more, read our Market Outlook for April 2021.
The Indian equity markets witnessed a rally of approximately 2.5% last week. This was driven by better than expected earnings from major companies as well as public sector banks. The banking sector outlook has been changed to positive based on the strong results. Macroeconomic factors are also positive, with the current account deficit projected to be lower than expected. Globally, markets reacted well to softer US economic data which could postpone Fed tapering.
- The equity markets in India traded in a narrow range over the past week and are expected to remain range-bound in the coming weeks. Key economic data like GDP and core sector growth were in line with expectations.
- In the US, recent data points to continued moderate economic growth and makes the case for an interest rate hike in September. The impact of rate hikes is expected to be greater on developed markets than emerging markets like India.
- Macroeconomic indicators from China suggested efforts to reduce corporate financing costs and tax burdens to boost the economy, while the central bank took measures to inject liquidity into markets.
ICICI Pru MF - Annual Market Outlook 2020iciciprumf
Why Divergence as the theme?
Several polarizing trends have been observed on the Global as well as Domestic front
Divergence is observed in Markets and Economy, Value and Growth theme, Yields on G-Sec and AAA over AA/A, etc
The outlook aims to highlight such divergent trends and ways to navigate the same
Brief on our Equity Outlook
Union Budget, real estate debt de-leveraging and credit growth pick-up key triggers for the markets in 2020
Stark divergence between Value and Growth themes makes Value and Special Situations themes attractive
Asset Allocation schemes may be considered to address near term volatility
Recommend Small and Multicap schemes due to reasonable valuations
Recommend adding equities in a staggered manner through SIP/STP
Our Recommendations
To benefit from Value Vs. Growth divergence - ICICI Prudential Value Discovery Fund
To benefit from Special Situations Theme - ICICI Prudential India Opportunities Fund
To benefit from reasonable valuations - ICICI Prudential Smallcap Fund
To benefit from Volatility - ICICI Prudential Balanced Advantage Fund and ICICI Prudential Asset Allocator Fund
For Long Term Wealth Creation - SIP/STP in ICICI Prudential Multicap Fund and ICICI Prudential Smallcap Fund
Brief on our Debt Outlook
Continue to remain positive on accrual space/spread assets
Recommend combination of short term assets and long term assets with a portfolio maturity range of 2-5 years
Extreme short end (less than 3 months), due to ample liquidity may give lower real returns
Fiscal concerns and inflation in the first half may keep longer end volatile. Hence, use the longer end of the yield curve for trading strategy
Our Recommendations
To earn higher accrual - ICICI Prudential Credit Risk Fund and ICICI Prudential Medium Term Bond Fund
Short/Medium Duration Scheme - ICICI Prudential Banking and PSU Debt Fund and ICICI Prudential Short Term Fund
To benefit from Volatility - ICICI Prudential All Seasons Bond Fund
Short Term Solution - ICICI Prudential Ultra Short Term Fund and ICICI Prudential Floating Interest Fund
- The RBI lowered interest rates last week but further cuts may be limited due to global and local factors like the US Federal Reserve's expected interest rate increases. If the Fed raises rates, emerging markets like India cannot lower rates aggressively.
- Monsoon rainfall is important but full effects won't be known until mid-June. Inflation expectations and weak economic data point to challenges for the equity market. Government capital expenditures will be key as corporate balance sheets limit private investment.
- Tactically, export sectors like IT and pharma that benefit from rupee weakness are preferred, while private banks offer long-term potential after declines and PSU banks are a value opportunity over 5 years.
The RBI recently cut interest rates by 50 basis points, signaling a change in its tight monetary policy. While lower rates will benefit many sectors, the RBI governor warned against expecting immediate further cuts until inflation decreases significantly. Last week, markets were flat with some volatility, and key company results like HDFC Bank met expectations while RIL profits declined. This week, markets will watch the US Federal Reserve's policy meeting for any signs of further quantitative easing measures. European debt issues also remain a key uncertainty.
The Indian market advanced further on gains in heavyweights like HDFC and Lupin. The market gained despite losses in Ranbaxy. Most Asian markets rose on gains in the US and Germany, while Chinese shares slipped on higher inflation. Key results this week include Apollo Tyres, Ashok Leyland, and United Bank of India. The Supreme Court criticized the government over the coal scam probe. The government may use ordinances to pass key economic bills due to its strengthened position in Karnataka.
- The key Indian equity indices Sensex closed the week with marginal gains of 0.5% despite volatility in the market from events like US Fed rate hikes and the de-nuclearization of North Korea. Pharma stocks gained the most while metals and oil & gas dragged.
- Yields on the 10-year Indian government bond eased initially but rose later in the week due to higher inflation numbers. The RBI kept policy rates unchanged.
- Internationally, the US Federal Reserve raised interest rates as expected while China's industrial production growth slowed slightly. The Trump-Kim summit led to agreements on denuclearization.
- Global equity markets declined modestly and bond yields rose due to concerns about tapering of monetary stimulus by central banks like the Fed. Commodity prices increased on hopes of improving demand from China and other large economies.
- In Asia, Chinese economic data surprised on the upside and helped stocks in Shanghai, while most other regional markets declined. Bank of Korea and Bank of Japan maintained interest rates.
- In Europe, French stocks rallied on positive trade data while German and UK stocks fell slightly. Italy's GDP declined less than expected.
- In the Americas, US and Canadian stocks dipped with debate around Fed tapering. US and Canadian trade deficits narrowed.
- Indian stocks extended declines due to weakness in the
The weekly report provides an overview of the Indian economy and financial markets for the period of July 27th to August 3rd, 2018. Key highlights include:
- The RBI raised the repo rate by 25 basis points to 6.50% in line with expectations.
- Indian equity markets ended higher for the second consecutive week, with benchmarks Sensex and Nifty rising 0.6% and 0.7% respectively.
- India's annual infrastructure output grew 6.7% in June year-over-year.
- The 10-year G-sec yield is expected to trade in a range of 7.60-7.70% in the near term.
The document provides an overview of the R Model Portfolio for November 2022. It summarizes recent performance in global markets and the Indian economy. It then details changes made to the model portfolio, including additions of Escorts Kubota, CEAT, and Varun Beverages, and removals of Maruti Suzuki, Hero MotoCorp, and Cholamandalam. Explanations are provided for changes. Charts show the long-term outperformance of the model portfolio relative to benchmarks.
The markets continued their positive momentum over the past several weeks. Foreign institutional investors have invested around $9 billion in Indian equity markets so far in 2022. The document discusses positive factors in US, European, and other emerging markets that are supporting the rally. It also covers domestic Indian topics like the monsoon rains, inflation numbers, RBI commentary, and proposed reforms in the coal and power sectors.
- The document discusses concerns over Larry Summers potentially becoming the next US Federal Reserve Governor and tightening interest rates more sharply. It summarizes the impact on emerging markets in recent months.
- It also provides updates on upcoming Federal Reserve and RBI meetings, GDP forecasts, recent macroeconomic data from India, and performance of key indices and commodities for the period.
- The document provides an equity market update for November 2018, summarizing macroeconomic indicators, global market performance, and the performance of the Indian market.
- Key developments in October included a decline in major Indian equity indices of around 5% due to domestic and global factors, continued weakness in the rupee, and heavy selling by foreign institutional investors.
- The document recommends that investors continue investing in pure equity schemes through SIPs for long-term exposure, and consider asset allocation schemes for new investments given ongoing volatility.
The document provides an outlook and analysis of the Indian stock market for August 2021 from Kotak Securities. Some key points:
- The Nifty index was flat in July despite volatility, with markets focusing on corporate earnings. Select sectors like metals and IT performed well while autos and banks lagged.
- Globally, major central banks like the US Fed and ECB maintained accommodative monetary policies. However, inflation concerns emerged.
- In India, reforms by the government are expected to continue supporting economic recovery, though risks remain from a potential third COVID wave and rising commodity prices.
- The document recommends several stocks as investment ideas and provides rationale and recent earnings updates for each. It maintains an overall positive
The document provides an overview of developments in the Indian and global economies from September 10-14, 2012. In India, the government increased diesel prices and capped LPG subsidies. It also approved 51% FDI in retail and aviation. The RBI cut a key policy rate and inflation rose. Globally, the US and EU took measures to stimulate their economies through bond purchases. China's exports grew slowly.
Global markets gained as tensions eased over Syria and China reported strong economic data. Most Asian markets closed higher led by gains in China, Japan, and Indonesia. European markets also rose led by Germany. In the US, positive corporate news helped equities rise while Canadian stocks moved up on better China data and rising housing prices. Indian markets rallied on foreign inflows and improving economic indicators, though bond yields rose on inflation concerns.
The document provides a weekly summary of key economic indicators and financial market performance in India for the period of 1st-8th June 2018. Some of the key highlights included:
- The Indian equity market ended the week flat with the Sensex gaining 0.61% supported by expectations of a normal monsoon, rupee strengthening, and falling crude prices.
- Bond yields rose as RBI raised repo and reverse repo rates by 25 bps while maintaining a neutral liquidity stance, suggesting this may be the only rate hike this fiscal year.
- FII investments were positive at Rs. 1,164 crore while DII investments were higher at Rs. 2,470 crore for the week.
- The GDP data for the first quarter of the fiscal year showed stronger growth of 5.7% compared to expectations, led by recovery in manufacturing and industry. GDP growth for the full fiscal year is estimated between 5.5-6%.
- Key economic indicators like IIP and inflation are expected to show continued positive momentum in the coming months.
- Overall, signs point to a strengthening economic recovery in India as various steps are taken by the government to boost infrastructure and industry.
Fundamental Analysis: Oil India, IDFC Limited - SMCIndiaNotes.com
This document is a weekly newsletter from SMC Global Securities Limited providing updates on the stock market and economy for the week of October 27th - 30th 2014. It includes sections on equity markets, derivatives, commodities, currency, IPO, fixed deposit, and mutual funds. The editorial staff are listed and contact information for SMC offices in major Indian cities are provided. The editor's note comments on positive global market movements and reforms in India boosting domestic markets. Key economic indicators to watch in the US this week are also mentioned.
The document provides an equity market and macroeconomic overview for the week of January 6-11, 2014:
- Indian IT stocks performed well due to strong revenue growth from North America and Europe. The sector is expected to see further price-earnings multiple expansion.
- Inflation numbers for India are expected to decline slightly from the previous month's high levels. The RBI policy is expected to keep rates stable given muted growth and sticky inflation.
- Chinese trade surplus declined more than expected in December, missing forecasts. Eurozone inflation dipped slightly. The US unemployment rate fell but manufacturing activity slowed.
See the Chart of Indian IIP Trend in Narnolia Securities Limited Market Diary 14.02.2014
http://www.narnolia.com/index.php/category/archieve/market-diary/
The equity markets were largely flat last week, rising only 0.2%. The RBI significantly tightened liquidity measures to support the falling rupee, increasing borrowing rates and capping overnight loans. This was an attempt to stem the rupee's 10% depreciation against the dollar over the last few months. Most private banks reported strong profits but also increasing non-performing assets. Global markets rose as US banks had strong earnings and the Fed indicated it was not yet ready to reduce monetary stimulus.
- Global equity markets rose as central banks emphasized growth over inflation, though manufacturing data was weak. Bond yields were largely unchanged.
- In Asia, regional markets were up except Japan and Indonesia. China's PMI fell slightly. Taiwan's economy grew slower due to weaker trade. India cut rates further.
- European stocks rose as the ECB cut rates and Italy formed a new government. Growth forecasts for Europe were lowered. UK data beat expectations.
- US stocks outperformed on strong jobs and consumer confidence data. The Fed maintained asset purchases but may adjust the amount based on conditions.
For all those who have missed tracking the Indian economy and markets over the last fortnight, don't fret. Our product, 'The Fortune Cookie', shall keep you updated on such issues.
- The IIP data for May showed slower growth of 2.7% compared to 3.4% in April, indicating India is not completely out of the economic slowdown.
- News from Europe showed the potential acceptance by Greece's Prime Minister of creditor demands, but the EU remains skeptical and a deal is not confirmed.
- For Tata Motors, a slowing Chinese economy and luxury goods market may negatively impact sales and profits from JLR over the next 6-9 months.
- Global equity markets saw modest gains overall while bond yields rose slightly as economic data pointed to continued recovery in major developed economies.
- In Asia, Chinese and South Korean stocks rose on policy support measures, while Japanese stocks fell due to yen strengthening. US stocks were mixed with tech gains and economic data supporting recovery.
- In Europe, stock indices diverged as some PMIs and business surveys improved, while UK GDP growth was solid. Central banks in Hungary and Turkey adjusted rates.
Similar to J street vol-209 weakly research report (20)
This document outlines the terms and conditions of the "Umeed Se Zyada (JUMZ)" brokerage scheme offered by Jhaveri Securities Ltd. Key details include:
- No account opening fee or margin amount is required. Advance brokerage charges are Rs. 499.
- Free turnover of up to Rs. 2 lakh for equity delivery trades and Rs. 20 lakh for equity intraday trades is provided for 45 days from account opening.
- Brokerage rates of 0.06% for equity futures and 0.3% for equity delivery trades apply. Additional charges such as service tax and transaction charges are extra.
- The client can change brokerage schemes by informing the company 7
This document outlines the terms and conditions of the "Umeed Se Zyada (JUMZ)" brokerage scheme offered by Jhaveri Securities Ltd. Key details include:
- No account opening fee or margin amount is required. Advance brokerage charges are Rs. 499.
- Free turnover of up to Rs. 2 lakh for equity delivery trades and Rs. 20 lakh for equity intraday trades is provided for 45 days from account opening.
- Brokerage of 0.06% with a minimum of Rs. 5 is charged for equity futures and intraday trades. Cash/delivery trades are charged 0.3% with a minimum of Rs. 5.
- Additional charges apply for
Kailash Tawaniya's CV provides information about his contact details, education background, work experience, skills, and personal details. He has a BA degree from Veer Narmad South Gujarat University with 45% marks and has 12th and 10th grades from Ajmer Board in Rajasthan with 44% and 42% marks respectively. He has over 7 years of work experience in sales and relationship management roles in textiles, telecom, and finance companies. His most recent salary is Rs. 1.80 lakhs per year and he expects a salary of over Rs. 2.50 lakhs.
The document discusses the winter session of Parliament beginning on November 24th, with the government aiming to pass 67 pending bills. Key bills to be discussed include increasing FDI limits in insurance to 49% and GST constitutional amendment. It also summarizes Q2 FY15 results for Indian companies, noting a 41.8% rise in net profits due to lower costs, but only 5.9% sales growth, the slowest in 5 quarters. Stable rupee and lower commodity prices may aid margins going forward.
The document summarizes the Indian market as being in a consolidation phase in September 2014. Key points include:
1) The NIFTY surged 27% YTD on strong FII inflows and hopes for economic reforms under the new government.
2) The market is expected to remain range-bound in the near term due to potential profit-taking, but long-term investors can view minor corrections as buying opportunities in quality stocks.
3) Earnings growth has started to show green shoots, while the PM's first 90 days in office were seen as promising but not impressive. Brent crude prices hitting 14-month lows will provide a boost to the economy and oil sector.
This document discusses equity systematic investment plans (EQ SIPs) provided by JeTrade. An EQ SIP allows investors to invest fixed amounts in stocks/ETFs regularly at fixed intervals, similar to mutual fund SIPs. Key benefits include systematic and organized equity investing, ability to choose stocks and become one's own fund manager, and typically higher returns than mutual funds. The document provides details on minimum investments, fees, order execution, and portfolio management through JeTrade's EQ SIP service.
The document discusses the benefits of exercise for mental health. Regular physical activity can help reduce anxiety and depression and improve mood and cognitive functioning. Exercise causes chemical changes in the brain that may help boost feelings of calmness, happiness and focus.
The document discusses the benefits of exercise for mental health. Regular physical activity can help reduce anxiety and depression and improve mood and cognitive functioning. Exercise causes chemical changes in the brain that may help protect against mental illness and improve symptoms.
The document discusses the benefits of exercise for mental health. Regular physical activity can help reduce anxiety and depression and improve mood and cognitive functioning. Exercise boosts blood flow, releases endorphins, and promotes changes in the brain which help relax the body and lift the mood.
This document outlines the terms and conditions of the "Umeed Se Zyada (JUMZ)" brokerage scheme offered by Jhaveri Securities Ltd. Key details include:
- No account opening fee or margin amount is required. Advance brokerage charges are Rs. 499.
- Free turnover of up to Rs. 2 lakh for equity delivery trades and Rs. 20 lakh for equity intraday trades is provided for 45 days from account opening.
- Brokerage rates of 0.06% for equity futures and 0.3% for equity delivery trades apply. Additional charges such as service tax and transaction charges are extra.
- The client can change brokerage schemes by informing the company 7
This document is a curriculum vitae for Kailash Tawaniya. It provides his personal details like name, address in Surat, and contact information. It outlines his educational qualifications including a B.A degree from Veer Narmad South Gujarat University with 45% marks. It lists his work experience of over 10 years in sales and relationship management roles at companies in textiles, telecom and finance. It also gives his current salary of 1.7 lakhs per year and expected salary of over 2.5 lakhs.
Kailash Tawaniya is seeking a challenging position where he can contribute to organizational objectives and grow professionally. He has a Bachelor's degree from Veer Narmad South Gujarat University with 45% marks and completed 12th and 10th grades with 44% and 42% marks respectively. He has over 8 years of work experience in sales and relationship management roles in industries like textiles, telecom, and finance. Currently working as a team manager at Jhaveri Securities Ltd since July 2011, he is looking to earn above 2.5 lakhs annually. He has strengths in dedication, confidence, calm thinking, and ambition.
Kailash Tawaniya is seeking a challenging position where he can contribute to organizational objectives and grow professionally. He has a Bachelor's degree from Veer Narmad South Gujarat University with 45% marks and completed 12th and 10th grades with 44% and 42% marks respectively. He has over 10 years of work experience in sales and relationship management roles in industries like textiles, telecom, and finance. Currently working as a team manager at Jhaveri Securities Ltd since 2011, he is looking to earn above 2.5 lakhs annually. He has strengths in dedication, confidence, calm thinking, and ambition.
Kailash Tawaniya is seeking a challenging position where he can contribute to organizational objectives and grow professionally. He has a Bachelor's degree from Veer Narmad South Gujarat University with 45% marks. He has over 10 years of experience in sales and relationship management roles in industries like textiles, telecom, finance and broking. Currently working as a Team Manager at Jhaveri Securities Ltd since July 2011, he is looking for a role paying above 2.5 lakhs per year that allows him to utilize his strengths like dedication, confidence, and ambition.
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L'indice de performance des ports à conteneurs de l'année 2023SPATPortToamasina
Une évaluation comparable de la performance basée sur le temps d'escale des navires
L'objectif de l'ICPP est d'identifier les domaines d'amélioration qui peuvent en fin de compte bénéficier à toutes les parties concernées, des compagnies maritimes aux gouvernements nationaux en passant par les consommateurs. Il est conçu pour servir de point de référence aux principaux acteurs de l'économie mondiale, notamment les autorités et les opérateurs portuaires, les gouvernements nationaux, les organisations supranationales, les agences de développement, les divers intérêts maritimes et d'autres acteurs publics et privés du commerce, de la logistique et des services de la chaîne d'approvisionnement.
Le développement de l'ICPP repose sur le temps total passé par les porte-conteneurs dans les ports, de la manière expliquée dans les sections suivantes du rapport, et comme dans les itérations précédentes de l'ICPP. Cette quatrième itération utilise des données pour l'année civile complète 2023. Elle poursuit le changement introduit l'année dernière en n'incluant que les ports qui ont eu un minimum de 24 escales valides au cours de la période de 12 mois de l'étude. Le nombre de ports inclus dans l'ICPP 2023 est de 405.
Comme dans les éditions précédentes de l'ICPP, la production du classement fait appel à deux approches méthodologiques différentes : une approche administrative, ou technique, une méthodologie pragmatique reflétant les connaissances et le jugement des experts ; et une approche statistique, utilisant l'analyse factorielle (AF), ou plus précisément la factorisation matricielle. L'utilisation de ces deux approches vise à garantir que le classement des performances des ports à conteneurs reflète le plus fidèlement possible les performances réelles des ports, tout en étant statistiquement robuste.
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Adani Group Requests For Additional Land For Its Dharavi Redevelopment Projec...Adani case
It will bring about growth and development not only in Maharashtra but also in our country as a whole, which will experience prosperity. The project will also give the Adani Group an opportunity to rise above the controversies that have been ongoing since the Adani CBI Investigation.
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Enhancing Adoption of AI in Agri-food: Introduction
J street vol-209 weakly research report
1. Index
Market View 1
Company Update 2
Around the
Economy 3
Knowledge Korner 3
Mutual Fund 4
Forex Corner 5
Report Card 6
Positional Call Status 7
Editor & Contributor
Margi Shah
Special Contributors
Ashesh Trivedi
Vimul Solanki
Sagar Soni
For suggestions, feedback
and queries
jstreet@jhaveritrade.com
Market View:
Approach must be to remain select ive
Last Saturday, we have said that caut ious opt imism is requi red in the
market . We have seen ver y high volat i l i t y in the market last week. Inst i-tutes
are also highly select ive in thei r investment st rategy at present . As
we go beyond 8100 nif t y, the element of high volat i l i t y comes in. The P/E
at this level r ises to more than 20. The t rai l ing one year forward P/E is at
histor ic average of 17.5
I t is interest ing to note a repor t by Morgan Stanley which was announced
af ter meet ing key pol icy maker s, business leaders, credit rat ing agencies
and other key personnel and the Modi governments’ agenda to reinvigorate
the Indian economy. As per repor t , the government is t r ying to f ix produc-t
ivi t y growth. According to the f irm there are f ive high pr ior i t y areas for the
government for the economic pol icy.
1. Fast t rack ing investment approval process.
2. Improving business envi ronment leading to lower st ressed asset s.
3. Tweak ing government expendi ture and implement ing GST.
4. The renewed focus on aadhar and f inancial inclusion dr ive.
5. To remain cognizant about cont rol l ing inf lat ion.
These f ive point agenda is going to lead the pol icy of the government . At
internat ional level , the pol icy stance of fed remained unchanged leading to
normalcy in the global market . The no referendum by Scot land is also
posi t ive for the market . Now al l eyes are on pol icy meet ing by RBI on 30 t h
September . Ti l l than remain highly select ive in the market .
Kamal Jhaveri
MD- Jhaveri Securities
- 1 -
Vol.: 209
22nd September, 2014
2. Company Update : HEG Limited.
Vol.: 209
22nd September, 2014
Valuation : Currently, HEG is trading at `316. We Recommend “Accumulate” with ,assigning target
multiple 10x FY17E with target price of `349.
- 2-
Company Basics
BSE ID 509631
NSE Symbol HEG
EQUITY (` in Cr.) 39.96
MKT.CAP (` in Cr.) 1331.47
Financial Basics
FV (`) 10.00
EPS (`) 24.98
P/E (x) 13.34
P/BV (x) 1.44
BETA 0.5221
RONW (%) 12.29
sShare Holding Pattern
Holder's Name % Holding
Foreign 8.56
Institutions 10.68
Promoters 58.78
Non Prom. 0.00
Public & Others 13.51
Government 0.00
Company overview : HEG Ltd, a premier company of the LNJ Bhilwara group, is today India's leading graphite
electrode manufacturer. HEG produces two grades of graphite electrodes - High Power & Ultra High Power -
used in manufacturing steel through the Electric Arc Furnace (EAF) route. It has one of the largest integrated
Graphite Electrode plants in the world. The company exports over 80% of its production to more than 25 coun-tries
of the world.HEG has increased its production capacity and has become a significant global producer of
quality UHP grade electrodes for EAF application. To improve competitiveness and operating efficiency, HEG has
a Captive Power Plant totaling more than 77 MW. HEG has a diversified customer portfolio - ArcelorMittal, Nucor,
POSCO, Emirate Steel Ind, Dongkuk Steel,Severstal, SAIL, Tata Steel, Jindal Group etc.
Investment rational :
Needle coke prices softening a big positive:
Needle coke accounts for the single largest direct cost in the manufacture of graphite electrodes. In 2013 and
2014, needle coke prices declined and are expected to soften further in 2015 on the back of capacity additions in
this segment. Going forward, needle coke availability may not be a critical issue considering the planned installa-tion
of two new units in China and Korea.
Steel demand expected to raise both in domestic and international markets and could boost Graphite
demand: In 2014, World Steel Association expects to see continued recovery in global steel demand with the de-veloped
economies overall returning to positive growth. At the same time they are expecting slower growth in
China. With risks within the developed world receding there is some uncertainty emerging from developing coun-tries
due to unresolved structural issues, political instability and volatile financial markets. All in all, despite eco-nomic
conditions for the global steel industry remaining uncertain and challenging, they are forecasting further
growth for steel demand in 2014.
Captive power generation provides self sufficiency:
Power is a critical unit in the manufacture of graphite electrodes; captive power generation provides a competitive
advantage that is consistent and low cost power supply. HEG has a captive power generation capacity of 77.5
MW of which 64 MW generated through two thermal power plants and 13.5 MW through a hydroelectric power
plant. These facilities are equipped to support increased operations. About 89% of the thermal power produced is
used in house for the production of graphite electrodes while power generated at its hydroelectric power plant is
largely sold on a merchant basis, thus improving realizations per unit and business liquidity. The captive power
generation will continue to be a major source of support to enhance organizational profitability.
3. Around The World
Vol.: 209
22nd September, 2014
Weekly Market Recap :
On the second day of Chinese President Xi Jinping's three-day visit to India, China and India on Thursday, 18 September 2014,
announced that China will invest $20 billion in India over the next 5 years.
The annual rate of inflation based on the monthly wholesale price index (WPI) decelerated to 3.74% in August 2014, from 5.19% in
July 2014.
India's merchandise exports registered a small increase of 2.35% at $26.95 billion in August 2014 over August 2013, data released
by the government after trading hours on Monday, 15 September 2014, showed. Imports rose 2.08% at $37.79 billion in August 2014
over August 2013. The trade deficit increased to $10.83 billion in August 2014, from $10.68 billion in August 2013.
The US Federal Reserve at the end of a two-day policy meeting on Wednesday, 17 September 2014, maintained a commitment to
keep US interest rates near zero for a "considerable time". In a statement after a two-day meeting, it announced a further $10 billion
reduction in its monthly purchases, leaving the program on course to be shuttered next month.
Market Eye Week ahead :
The market may remain volatile as traders roll over positions in the futures & options (F&O) segment from the near month September
2014 series to October 2014 series.
Developments from Prime Minister Narendra Modi's US tour from September 27-30 will be closely watched. Narendra Modi will meet
US President Barack Obama at the White House on 29-30 September 2014.They will discuss ways to accelerate economic growth,
bolster security cooperation, and collaborate in activities that bring long-term benefits to both countries and the world.
In global economic data, the US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) will release its third estimate of Q2 GDP estimate on Friday, 26
September 2014.
As monsoon approaches its retrieval, cumulative rainfall during this year's monsoon has so far up to 18 September 2014 been 12%
below the Long Period Average (LPA).
KEY EVENTS/FACTORS TO WATCH
1. Mon. : ECB President Mario Draghi's speech on European economy
2. No fixed day - Borrowing calendar for second-half
3. Fri - Foreign exchange reserves data, U.S. annualized Q2 GDP Data
Knowledge Corner :
- 3 -
Bought Deal
A bought deal is one form of financial arrangement often associated with an Initial Public Offering. It occurs when an underwriter, such
as an investment bank or a syndicate, purchases securities from an issuer before a preliminary prospectus is filed. The investment
bank (or underwriter) acts as principal rather than agent and thus actually "goes long" in the security. The bank negotiates a price with
the issuer.
In investment banking, a securities offering where an investment bank commits to buy the entire offering from the client company. A
bought deal eliminates the financing risk for the company, which is able to ensure that it raises the intended amount of funds from the
securities offering; however, the client firm will likely get a lower price by taking this approach.
4. Mutual Fund Corner
Fund Name
Scheme Name ICICI Prudential Balanced Advantage Fund
AMC ICICI Prudential Asset Management Company Ltd
Type Equity-oriented
Category Open-ended and Hybrid:
Launch Date December 2006
Fund Manager Manish Gunwani & Manish Banthia
Net Assets
(` In crore ) Rs. 2076.0 crore as on Jun 30
History 2011 2012 2013 2014
NAV (Rs) 12.90 17.20 19.08 23.70
Total Return (%) -8.77 33.33 10.93 24.21
+/- VR Balanced 9.35 10.79 4.55 1.01
Rank (Fund/Category) 3/28 5/29 5/31 49/61
52 Week High (Rs) 14.69 17.26 19.09 23.72
52 Week Low (Rs) 12.78 12.86 16.00 18.47
Net Assets (Rs.Cr) 149.61 182.86 691.73 1278.04
Expense Ratio (%) 2.40 2.40 2.82 -
Fund Performance v/s S&P CNX Nifty
- 4-
18th AuguVsotl,. :2 021049
22nd September, 2014
Composition (%)
Vol.: 204
Equity 44.99
Debt 38.01
Cash 16.99
Source : - www.valueresearchonline.com
—– Fund
—– CNX Nifty
(Rebased to 10,000)
Top 10 Sector Break-Ups
Fund (%)
Financial 18.79
Energy 8.30
Automobile 7.12
Technology 6.41
FMCG 3.52
Healthcare 3.49
Diversified 1.83
Chemicals 1.16
Metals 0.62
Engineering 0.41
Fund Style
Investment Style
Growth Blend Value
Large
Medium
Small
Capitalization
Risk Analysis
Volatility Measures
Standard Deviation 10.63
Sharpe Ratio 1.06
Beta 0.78
R-Squared 0.86
Alpha 5.31
5. Commodity Corner
Forex Corner
Market Eye Week ahead :
For this week, above 60.91 keep view for exit long positions in USDINR pair. On upside above 60.91 near term rise till
61.03 – 61.24 and then 61.57 can be possible targets for traders holding long position.
If close below 60.91 and sustain then support can be seen at 60.70 - 60.49 – 60.15. From medium to long term view, this
week USDINR pair likely to remain range bond “bound” medium term investors can take long position for 61.03 – 61.24 -
61.57 targets. If breaks 60.91 then expect 60.70 - 60.49 – 60.15 as stabilization zone for dollar from long term.
USD/INR
Level S2 S1 CP R1 R2 WRV High Low Close
USD/INR 60.49 60.7 61.03 61.24 61.57 60.97 61.36 60.81 60.91
EUR/INR
GBP/INR
JPY/INR
Level S2 S1
JPY/INR 54.69 55.35
- 5-
- 4 -
CP
56.34
R1
57
R2
57.98
WRV
58.41
High
57.33
Low
55.68
Close
56.01
Level S2 S1
GBP/INR 97.97 98.85
CP
99.91
R1
100.8
R2
101.86
WRV
100.9
High
100.97
Low
99.03
Close
99.74
Level S2 S1
EUR/INR 77.58 77.98
CP
78.71
R1
79.1
R2
79.83
WRV
80.33
High
79.44
Low
78.32
Close
78.38
Market Recap :
Vol.: 209
22nd September, 2014
Scotland's decision to stay in the United Kingdom also
eased investor concerns on Friday after a recent run of
global political obstacles.
The Indian rupee rose on Friday, boosted by strong for-eign
fund flows into markets, although the local currency
fell against the dollar for the week.
The rupee hit a one-month low on Monday, it has steadily
risen since then on optimism that hefty foreign fund flows
will better help it weather any volatility related to potential
U.S. Federal Reserve rate hikes.
Foreign funds have bought debt and equity worth nearly
$3.61 billion so far in September, as per regulatory data,
bringing their total for the year to $33.66 billion.
With few domestic factors next week, traders say foreign
fund flows will determine the rupee's direction ahead of the
Reserve Bank of India's policy review on Sept. 30.
6. J Street Recommendations Report Card
Vol.: 209
22nd September, 2014
Traders long and holding the same can keep the stop loss at 8050-8015. Weakness and correction may be set in for near
term to short term on fall below 8050-8015. On fall and close below 8050-8015 further correction till the levels till 7955-
7920-7850 of can be seen. Subsequently, deeper correction will be seen. Traders may look for rise to 8170-8210-8245 to
exit long.
Trend in investment by foreign portfolio investors (FPIs), trend in global markets, trend in other global emerging markets,
the movement of rupee against the dollar and crude oil price movements will dictate near term trend on the domestic
bourses.
- 6-
Top Fundamental Stocks
Stocks Rec. Date CMP on Rec. CMP Target
Absolute
Return @
CMP
Status
HEG 15/09/2014 333 316 349 -5% Accumulate
All Cargo Logistics 05/08/2014 260 239 342 -8% Buy
GDL 19/08/2014 256 245 348 -4% Buy
Ashok Leyland 04/08/2014 35 40 42 13% Accumulate
PTC India Fin. Ser. 07/07/2014 39 47 45 19% Accumulate
M & M Fin. Serv. 05/07/2014 273 282 33 3% Accumulate
PFC 05/07/2014 323 246 390 -24% Accumulate
Adani Port 05/07/2014 280 285 347 2% Accumulate
L & T 05/07/2014 1750 1535 1866 -12% Buy
KEC Inter 05/07/2014 139 110 123 -21% Buy
ONGC 05/07/2014 415 405 530 -2% Buy
Federal Bank 05/07/2014 127 126 144 -1% Buy
TCI 05/07/2014 225 219 243 -3% Buy
ITDCEM Ltd 16/06/2014 329 466 375 42% Profit Book
It's not important whether you are right or wrong, It’s about how much money you make when you're right and how
much you lose when you're wrong.”
8. J Street Short Term Call Status
Sr.
No. DATE STOCK
- 8-
BUY/
SELL
RANGE
TRIGGER
PRICE
22nd September, 2014
TGT SL STATUS CMP
Vol.: 209
% RE-TURN
24 16/09/14 FEDERALBK BUY
126.50-
128.50
126.50 134-141 122 SL 122 -3.56
25 17/09/14 SSLT BUY 282.50- 284.00 296-312 273 OPEN - -
26 18/09/14 ZEEL BUY 287.50-291 289.00
302.50-
318
277 TGT1 302.5 4.67
27 19/09/14 BANKINDIA BUY 293-296.50 294.00 308-324 282 OPEN - -
28 22/09/14 TCS BUY 2685-2715 2696.00 2822- 2591 OPEN - -
STAUTS CALLS RATIO
TA+PB 20 66.67
SL+EXIT 10 33.33
TOTAL 30 100.00
AVERAGE RETURN 2.59
TOTAL RETURN 85.42
One call on daily basis is given keeping view of short term trading on closing basis.
Time frame and expected % of return is also mentioned with the suggested call.
This call are purely given on technical trading system generated by the Technical Research Desk.
Generally Expected Return on investment is 5-6 % with time horizon of 6-7 days.
Profit Booking update is considered if on an average expected return exceed 3.50-4.00 % against the
Expected return of 5-6%
Risk- Reward ratio percentage wise depends on the volatility of stock Normally it stands ( 3 : 9)