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India’s Energy Security: Role
of Renewable Energy
Amit Kumar
TERI, India
Outline
 India's energy scenario
 Challenges
 Energy security
 Rationale for renewable energy
 Market segments
 Conclusions
The Energy and Resources Institute
(TERI)
 An independent, not-for-profit research institute
established in 1974
 Vision
– To work towards global sustainable
development, creating innovative solutions for a
better tomorrow
 Focus on
– Energy, Environment, Bio-technology, and
Sustainable development issues
 1000 Employee (650 Research Professionals)
The Energy and Resources Institute
(TERI)
Sustainable Energy
 Renewable energy technologies
 Sustainable habitats
 Industrial energy efficiency
 Waste management and waste to energy
TERI’s international presence
India’s Energy Scenario
Total primary energy supply mix in
India
40%
24%
6%1%
2%
27%
Coal Oil Natural gas
Nuclear Hydro Biomass and waste
Source: IEA 2009
Energy supply
Coal
 Major energy source,
 81% of total thermal generation
Electricity
 Installed generating capacity ~ 207006.04 MW (CEA, August
2012)
 Suffering from huge shortages (2011-12)
– 8.5% energy shortage (likely to increase to 9.3% in
2012-13)
– 10.6% peak shortage
Target: 15000 MW annually for next 7 years
 Captive power generation
– Currently 30,000 MW using fossil fuels
48%
15%
13%
8%
9%
7%
Industry Transport
Residential and Commercial Other energy users
Non-energy users Agriculture
Sector-wise energy consumption
Electricity fuel mix (As on August 31,2012)
137,936
4,780
39,291
24,998
207,006
34,444
0
50000
100000
150000
200000
250000
Thermal Nuclear Hydro RES Total Captive
Concerns of:
 Energy access
– Increasing energy supply for
sustained economic growth
– Energizing rural areas
– Socio-economic development
 Energy security
– Energy import vulnerabilities
 Ensuring long-term sustainability of
energy use
 Climate change
Challenges
Low per-capita energy consumption
Energy vs. human development
Challenges
Poor electrification status
 Over 289 million people
without access to electricity
(~ 74 million households)
 Over 31,000 villages are
yet to be electrified
 Electricity supply situation
is generally poor even in
electrified villages
Over 80% of rural India
dependent on traditional
fuels for cooking
Urban and peri-urban
 Rapid pace of urbanisation
 Use of commercial energy
increasing rapidly in residential
and commercial sectors
 Electricity supply plagued with
black-outs and brown-outs
Challenges
 India’s energy demand is growing
 Government’s endeavour for
“Electricity for all by 2012”
 Per capita electricity consumption:
~ 800 kWh/year
– World average: 2596 (2005)
– Target is to increase the
availability to 1000 kWh/year
by 2012.
Challenges
 Total commercial energy
consumption is estimated to
increases from 284 mtoe in 2001
to 1727 mtoe in 2031
 The import dependency in 2031
could reach
– Oil: 88%
– Coal: 72%
Challenges
 Community services e.g. health,
drinking water, education, and ICTs
suffer due to lack of energy
services
Challenges
Energy security
 Energy security
– At the national level
– At the village level
 Energy security is not only about the risks of fuel
supply disruption
 Energy security also pertains to fuel price volatility
– The real risk of volatile energy prices -
unpredictable & cause economic activity to decline.
Energy security
 India is endowed with good renewable energy
resources like solar, wind, and biomass
 Even at village level, use of locally available
resources is preferable than using fuels transported
from the far-flung areas.
 Renewable energy is more appropriate as the
resources are diffused and decentralized.
Why renewable energy?
 The demand for energy in the country has been
growing rapidly
 The current trends indicate clearly that the country
would be facing constraints in indigenous
availability of conventional energy resources.
Plan-wise capacity addition
Plan State-Sector Private - Sector Central Sector Total
Target Actual Target Actual Target Actual Target Actual
7th Plan 12925 11867.14 0 0 9320 9534.5 22245 21401.64
% Achievement 92 102 96
8th Plan 14869.7 6835.2 2810 1430.4 12858 8157 30537.7 16422.6
% Achievement 46 50.9 63.4 53.8
9th Plan 10747.7 9352.8 17588.5 5262.2 11909 4504 40245.2 19119
% Achievement 87 29.9 37.8 47.5
10th Plan 11156.84 8244.64 7121 1930.6 22832 13005 41109.84 21180.24
% Achievement 56 27.1 57 51.5
11th Plan 21355.4 16732.4 197.96.5 23012.5 21222 15220 62373.9 54963.9
% Achievement 77.2 117.5 71.7
Why renewable energy?
 Inability of the conventional systems to meet
growing energy demands in an equitable and
sustainable manner.
 Need to efficiently and economically meet the
energy needs of all the citizens, particularly the
rural poor.
Diversity
 In today’s environment, there is a need for a broad
variety of resource options:
– Ranging from conventional fossil alternatives to
renewable (low-risk) energy ones
– Renewables have minimal operating cost risk
Diversity
Sources/Systems Estimated potential
Power from Renewables
Grid-interactive renewable power
Wind Power 45,000
Small Hydro Power (up to 25 MW) 15,000
Cogeneration-bagasse 5,000
Decentralized Energy Systems
Family Type Biogas Plant 12 million
Solar Photovoltaic Programme 20 MW/Sq.km.
Solar water Heating Systems 140 million sq.m. collector area
Renewable energy for diverse needs
 Grid-connected Electricity
 Distributed generation of electricity, heat, and
cooking
– Rural
– Industrial,
– Institutional, commercial and community
Grid connected RETs in India
17967.15
3434.07
1209.6 2109.73
93.68 1044.16
Wind power Small hydro power
Biomass power Bagasse cogeneration
Waste to power - Urban Solar power (SPV)
Distributed Generation of Electricity and
Heat
Off-grid rural electrification
 Around 10,000 villages through off-grid RE
– Solar PV
– Biomass gasification
– Small hydro
Distributed generation in industries
 Captive power generation
– Currently 30,000 MW using fossil fuels
– Industries looking at wind, biomass for captive power
generation.
 Thermal energy
– Hot air for drying
• Spices, fish, tea leaves, and tobacco, etc.
 Hot water
• Leather, dairies, textile, and chemicals, etc.
 Co-generation
– 15,000 MW potential
• Sugar, breweries, caustic soda, and rice mills etc.
Conclusions
 India has abundant renewable energy resources, which can
contribute towards reduction in dependency on imported fossil
fuels.
– Renewables assume special significance in India
considering its geographic diversity and size, not to
mention the size of its rural economy.
 India has to chart out a course of action that meets its
growing energy needs in a sustainable and environmentally
benign fashion.
Conclusions
 This calls for a paradigm shift
– From supply domination to an integrated approach
• A judicious mix of improvements in operational and
end-use efficiencies and renewable energy
technologies.
Thank You!
akumar@teri.res.in
www.teriin.org
Fossil import dependency
Large energy import infrastructure requirements by 2031 in the RES
Coal import: ~1400 million tonnes, Oil import: ~750 million tonnes
Primary commercial energy supply
(2031)
Global solar radiation over India
Wind resources in India
ssssAmit kumar-pres

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ssssAmit kumar-pres

  • 1. India’s Energy Security: Role of Renewable Energy Amit Kumar TERI, India
  • 2. Outline  India's energy scenario  Challenges  Energy security  Rationale for renewable energy  Market segments  Conclusions
  • 3. The Energy and Resources Institute (TERI)  An independent, not-for-profit research institute established in 1974  Vision – To work towards global sustainable development, creating innovative solutions for a better tomorrow  Focus on – Energy, Environment, Bio-technology, and Sustainable development issues  1000 Employee (650 Research Professionals)
  • 4. The Energy and Resources Institute (TERI) Sustainable Energy  Renewable energy technologies  Sustainable habitats  Industrial energy efficiency  Waste management and waste to energy
  • 7. Total primary energy supply mix in India 40% 24% 6%1% 2% 27% Coal Oil Natural gas Nuclear Hydro Biomass and waste Source: IEA 2009
  • 8. Energy supply Coal  Major energy source,  81% of total thermal generation Electricity  Installed generating capacity ~ 207006.04 MW (CEA, August 2012)  Suffering from huge shortages (2011-12) – 8.5% energy shortage (likely to increase to 9.3% in 2012-13) – 10.6% peak shortage Target: 15000 MW annually for next 7 years  Captive power generation – Currently 30,000 MW using fossil fuels
  • 9. 48% 15% 13% 8% 9% 7% Industry Transport Residential and Commercial Other energy users Non-energy users Agriculture Sector-wise energy consumption
  • 10. Electricity fuel mix (As on August 31,2012) 137,936 4,780 39,291 24,998 207,006 34,444 0 50000 100000 150000 200000 250000 Thermal Nuclear Hydro RES Total Captive
  • 11. Concerns of:  Energy access – Increasing energy supply for sustained economic growth – Energizing rural areas – Socio-economic development  Energy security – Energy import vulnerabilities  Ensuring long-term sustainability of energy use  Climate change Challenges
  • 12. Low per-capita energy consumption
  • 13. Energy vs. human development
  • 14. Challenges Poor electrification status  Over 289 million people without access to electricity (~ 74 million households)  Over 31,000 villages are yet to be electrified  Electricity supply situation is generally poor even in electrified villages Over 80% of rural India dependent on traditional fuels for cooking
  • 15. Urban and peri-urban  Rapid pace of urbanisation  Use of commercial energy increasing rapidly in residential and commercial sectors  Electricity supply plagued with black-outs and brown-outs Challenges
  • 16.  India’s energy demand is growing  Government’s endeavour for “Electricity for all by 2012”  Per capita electricity consumption: ~ 800 kWh/year – World average: 2596 (2005) – Target is to increase the availability to 1000 kWh/year by 2012. Challenges
  • 17.  Total commercial energy consumption is estimated to increases from 284 mtoe in 2001 to 1727 mtoe in 2031  The import dependency in 2031 could reach – Oil: 88% – Coal: 72% Challenges
  • 18.  Community services e.g. health, drinking water, education, and ICTs suffer due to lack of energy services Challenges
  • 19. Energy security  Energy security – At the national level – At the village level  Energy security is not only about the risks of fuel supply disruption  Energy security also pertains to fuel price volatility – The real risk of volatile energy prices - unpredictable & cause economic activity to decline.
  • 20. Energy security  India is endowed with good renewable energy resources like solar, wind, and biomass  Even at village level, use of locally available resources is preferable than using fuels transported from the far-flung areas.  Renewable energy is more appropriate as the resources are diffused and decentralized.
  • 21. Why renewable energy?  The demand for energy in the country has been growing rapidly  The current trends indicate clearly that the country would be facing constraints in indigenous availability of conventional energy resources.
  • 22. Plan-wise capacity addition Plan State-Sector Private - Sector Central Sector Total Target Actual Target Actual Target Actual Target Actual 7th Plan 12925 11867.14 0 0 9320 9534.5 22245 21401.64 % Achievement 92 102 96 8th Plan 14869.7 6835.2 2810 1430.4 12858 8157 30537.7 16422.6 % Achievement 46 50.9 63.4 53.8 9th Plan 10747.7 9352.8 17588.5 5262.2 11909 4504 40245.2 19119 % Achievement 87 29.9 37.8 47.5 10th Plan 11156.84 8244.64 7121 1930.6 22832 13005 41109.84 21180.24 % Achievement 56 27.1 57 51.5 11th Plan 21355.4 16732.4 197.96.5 23012.5 21222 15220 62373.9 54963.9 % Achievement 77.2 117.5 71.7
  • 23. Why renewable energy?  Inability of the conventional systems to meet growing energy demands in an equitable and sustainable manner.  Need to efficiently and economically meet the energy needs of all the citizens, particularly the rural poor.
  • 24. Diversity  In today’s environment, there is a need for a broad variety of resource options: – Ranging from conventional fossil alternatives to renewable (low-risk) energy ones – Renewables have minimal operating cost risk
  • 25. Diversity Sources/Systems Estimated potential Power from Renewables Grid-interactive renewable power Wind Power 45,000 Small Hydro Power (up to 25 MW) 15,000 Cogeneration-bagasse 5,000 Decentralized Energy Systems Family Type Biogas Plant 12 million Solar Photovoltaic Programme 20 MW/Sq.km. Solar water Heating Systems 140 million sq.m. collector area
  • 26. Renewable energy for diverse needs  Grid-connected Electricity  Distributed generation of electricity, heat, and cooking – Rural – Industrial, – Institutional, commercial and community
  • 27. Grid connected RETs in India 17967.15 3434.07 1209.6 2109.73 93.68 1044.16 Wind power Small hydro power Biomass power Bagasse cogeneration Waste to power - Urban Solar power (SPV)
  • 28. Distributed Generation of Electricity and Heat
  • 29. Off-grid rural electrification  Around 10,000 villages through off-grid RE – Solar PV – Biomass gasification – Small hydro
  • 30. Distributed generation in industries  Captive power generation – Currently 30,000 MW using fossil fuels – Industries looking at wind, biomass for captive power generation.  Thermal energy – Hot air for drying • Spices, fish, tea leaves, and tobacco, etc.  Hot water • Leather, dairies, textile, and chemicals, etc.  Co-generation – 15,000 MW potential • Sugar, breweries, caustic soda, and rice mills etc.
  • 31. Conclusions  India has abundant renewable energy resources, which can contribute towards reduction in dependency on imported fossil fuels. – Renewables assume special significance in India considering its geographic diversity and size, not to mention the size of its rural economy.  India has to chart out a course of action that meets its growing energy needs in a sustainable and environmentally benign fashion.
  • 32. Conclusions  This calls for a paradigm shift – From supply domination to an integrated approach • A judicious mix of improvements in operational and end-use efficiencies and renewable energy technologies.
  • 34. Fossil import dependency Large energy import infrastructure requirements by 2031 in the RES Coal import: ~1400 million tonnes, Oil import: ~750 million tonnes
  • 35. Primary commercial energy supply (2031)