1 8 2
S = {()A 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 IO J K Q
(‘A 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 J K Q
f@A2345678910JKQ
9 A2345678910JKQ)
SC 101
5 . sample space uamlsTw!nLC 2 !n ia
S = {II 12 13 14 15 1 6
21 22 23 24 25 26
37 32 33 34 35 36
41 42 43 44 45 46
51 52 53 54 55 56
61 62 63 64 65 661
6 . Sample s p a c e uow”luxmCGEitl=it%ti Tws r777m7kTxhi”niud~
MizlU 1 %J ;a
S zz IO, 1, 2, 3, . . . . . 1
SC 101 1 8 3
.:,Y
exclusive event UUWI
1 8 4 SC 101
SC 101 1 8 5
+iXlfh 5.2
9,
3
= 3! = 3~2x1 = 6 ;g
via no = n!
I (n-r)!
'iz
1 8 6 SC 101
fix1d1~ 5-6 c&mu 2 flu T!-~nRU~JMw 5 nw!~~~~vilf%
5
c* =
5! 5!
(5-2)!2! =
=
.3! 2!
10 5;
SC 101 1 8 7
1 8 8 SC 101
1
SC 101 1 8 9
s = tq A2345678910JKQ
4, A234567891QJKQ
OA2345678910JKQ
VA234567891QJKQ]
1 9 0
P
1
. . =
1 52
SC 101
:. Pi =
a
n(A)
P(A) = -~
n(S)
fh ~341 P(A)
s = {HH, H T , T H , TTI
SC 101 1 9 1
s zz {ll, 1 2 , . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
6 1 , 62, ._..... 66)
~o?U-JUWO&'d6?U A = 7Co X 5C3
7! 5!
=
7!0! x 2!3!
= 1X5X2 = 10
P(A)
1 0 1
= -~
. . =220 22
1 9 2 SC 101
SC 101 1 9 3
5.3 ngn?l~l9~~9u~~~~nYU(Fundamental Probability Rules)
S = {H, Ti
:* P(S) = P(H) + P(T) = ; + ; = !
A = {II, 22, 33, 44, 55, 661
:. P(A) = 2
5
.-. P(A) = 1 - P(A)
1 9 4 SC 101
events 1 S:l;a'l
P(A U B) = P(A) + P(B',
"na P(A UB)
:. P(AUB)= P(A) + P(B)
4 4 8=
5 2 +x- = 5 2
i
nJ$ 5 cl A LLR: B L$uLM?n?dm?
P(A II B) = P(A) + P(B) - P(A f-l B)
s = IHH, HT, TH, TTI
A = IHH, TT}
B = {HH, HT, TH}
SC 101 1 9 5
P(A) = $
P(B) = ;
. . AfIB = {HHI
P(A n B) = ;
:. P(A U B) = P(A) + P(B) - P(AnB)
2+--13=
4 4 4
4= jy =I = P(S) 1. AUU= s
s = {HHH, HHT, HTH, HTT, THH, THT, TTH, TTT}
1 9 6 SC 101
5.4.1 nl5LLilnLLQQLUJUM~Ulu (Binomial distribution) ihnl~LL?nLL~3Ja~
SC 101 1 9 7
1 9 8
. . P[X=31 =
=
5 x 2 10
=
8x4 = -32
SC 101
. . P[X>21= P[X = 2 1 + P[X=31 + P[X=4] + P[X=51
= 10 10 5 1
q+p+=+z =
2 6
3-F
M~Dal~~~Ml~l~~
P[X>21 = 1 - P[X_<ll i?G
LiEI P[X<ll z= P[X-01 + P[X=ll
1TZ 5-+- = 6
32 32 12
SC 101 199
:_ P[X>21 = 1 - $
2 6
=
37
= P[X=O] + P[X=ll + P[X=21 + P[X=31
1 5 10 10 2 6=
=+-+32+x = 3 2
= P[X=31 + P[X=41
10 5 15
=
=+27 = 32
l
2 0 0
.
SC 101
SC 101 2 0 1
. . q = 1 - P = 1-2 =
2
n = 180
. . i11a&l = np = 180x-- = 3 0
;
d3ulThJluuaJlFl5~lu = e = j-g
P[X=xl =
1
A-ii ./
x-p 2
; L - - l- -
u
2 0 2 SC 101
Y
x PI
SC 101
2 0 4 SC ,101
1 z2
P[Z=ZJ =‘- e-7 -
?a
a,< zi+M
bm~5vii P[73 < x < 7 5 . 5 1
9in X . 7 3 - 6 8=
1
73
. .
z z zz
1 2 . 5
2
x2 = 75.5 :. z2 =
7 5 . 5 - 6 8
-m- = 3
- P[73 < x < 75.51. . = PL2 < z < 31
PlZ i 31 - PiZ & 21
= 0.9987 - 0.9772
= 0.0215
2 0 6 SC 101
SC 101 2 0 7
n. P(AUB)
2 0 8 SC 101
SC 101 2 0 9
n. PIX <107.51
2 1 0 SC 101

ความน่า

  • 2.
    1 8 2 S= {()A 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 IO J K Q (‘A 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 J K Q f@A2345678910JKQ 9 A2345678910JKQ) SC 101
  • 3.
    5 . samplespace uamlsTw!nLC 2 !n ia S = {II 12 13 14 15 1 6 21 22 23 24 25 26 37 32 33 34 35 36 41 42 43 44 45 46 51 52 53 54 55 56 61 62 63 64 65 661 6 . Sample s p a c e uow”luxmCGEitl=it%ti Tws r777m7kTxhi”niud~ MizlU 1 %J ;a S zz IO, 1, 2, 3, . . . . . 1 SC 101 1 8 3
  • 4.
  • 5.
  • 6.
    +iXlfh 5.2 9, 3 = 3!= 3~2x1 = 6 ;g via no = n! I (n-r)! 'iz 1 8 6 SC 101
  • 7.
    fix1d1~ 5-6 c&mu2 flu T!-~nRU~JMw 5 nw!~~~~vilf% 5 c* = 5! 5! (5-2)!2! = = .3! 2! 10 5; SC 101 1 8 7
  • 8.
    1 8 8SC 101
  • 9.
  • 10.
    s = tqA2345678910JKQ 4, A234567891QJKQ OA2345678910JKQ VA234567891QJKQ] 1 9 0 P 1 . . = 1 52 SC 101
  • 11.
    :. Pi = a n(A) P(A)= -~ n(S) fh ~341 P(A) s = {HH, H T , T H , TTI SC 101 1 9 1
  • 12.
    s zz {ll,1 2 , . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6 1 , 62, ._..... 66) ~o?U-JUWO&'d6?U A = 7Co X 5C3 7! 5! = 7!0! x 2!3! = 1X5X2 = 10 P(A) 1 0 1 = -~ . . =220 22 1 9 2 SC 101
  • 13.
  • 14.
    5.3 ngn?l~l9~~9u~~~~nYU(Fundamental ProbabilityRules) S = {H, Ti :* P(S) = P(H) + P(T) = ; + ; = ! A = {II, 22, 33, 44, 55, 661 :. P(A) = 2 5 .-. P(A) = 1 - P(A) 1 9 4 SC 101
  • 15.
    events 1 S:l;a'l P(AU B) = P(A) + P(B', "na P(A UB) :. P(AUB)= P(A) + P(B) 4 4 8= 5 2 +x- = 5 2 i nJ$ 5 cl A LLR: B L$uLM?n?dm? P(A II B) = P(A) + P(B) - P(A f-l B) s = IHH, HT, TH, TTI A = IHH, TT} B = {HH, HT, TH} SC 101 1 9 5
  • 16.
    P(A) = $ P(B)= ; . . AfIB = {HHI P(A n B) = ; :. P(A U B) = P(A) + P(B) - P(AnB) 2+--13= 4 4 4 4= jy =I = P(S) 1. AUU= s s = {HHH, HHT, HTH, HTT, THH, THT, TTH, TTT} 1 9 6 SC 101
  • 17.
    5.4.1 nl5LLilnLLQQLUJUM~Ulu (Binomialdistribution) ihnl~LL?nLL~3Ja~ SC 101 1 9 7
  • 18.
    1 9 8 .. P[X=31 = = 5 x 2 10 = 8x4 = -32 SC 101
  • 19.
    . . P[X>21=P[X = 2 1 + P[X=31 + P[X=4] + P[X=51 = 10 10 5 1 q+p+=+z = 2 6 3-F M~Dal~~~Ml~l~~ P[X>21 = 1 - P[X_<ll i?G LiEI P[X<ll z= P[X-01 + P[X=ll 1TZ 5-+- = 6 32 32 12 SC 101 199
  • 20.
    :_ P[X>21 =1 - $ 2 6 = 37 = P[X=O] + P[X=ll + P[X=21 + P[X=31 1 5 10 10 2 6= =+-+32+x = 3 2 = P[X=31 + P[X=41 10 5 15 = =+27 = 32 l 2 0 0 . SC 101
  • 21.
  • 22.
    . . q= 1 - P = 1-2 = 2 n = 180 . . i11a&l = np = 180x-- = 3 0 ; d3ulThJluuaJlFl5~lu = e = j-g P[X=xl = 1 A-ii ./ x-p 2 ; L - - l- - u 2 0 2 SC 101
  • 23.
  • 24.
    2 0 4SC ,101
  • 25.
    1 z2 P[Z=ZJ =‘-e-7 - ?a a,< zi+M
  • 26.
    bm~5vii P[73 <x < 7 5 . 5 1 9in X . 7 3 - 6 8= 1 73 . . z z zz 1 2 . 5 2 x2 = 75.5 :. z2 = 7 5 . 5 - 6 8 -m- = 3 - P[73 < x < 75.51. . = PL2 < z < 31 PlZ i 31 - PiZ & 21 = 0.9987 - 0.9772 = 0.0215 2 0 6 SC 101
  • 27.
  • 28.
    n. P(AUB) 2 08 SC 101
  • 29.
  • 30.
    n. PIX <107.51 21 0 SC 101