The S&P 500 edged up and the Nasdaq reached another
record closing high on Thursday after the European Central
Bank said it would avoid raising interest rates until mid-
2019, and data showed US economic strength.
1. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
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Special Report
15-Jun-2018
Global markets at a glance
The S&P 500 edged up and the Nasdaq reached another
record closing high on Thursday after the European Central
Bank said it would avoid raising interest rates until mid-
2019, and data showed US economic strength.
The strong US retail sales numbers came a day after the US
Federal Reserve increased its key interest rate and hinted
at the possibility of two more hikes by the end of 2018.
The ECB announced it would end its bond-purchase
program at year-end but signaled that any interest rate
hike was still distant.
Asian shares wobbled on Friday as investors braced for US
tariffs against China, while the euro flirted with two-week
lows after a cautious European Central Bank indicated it
would not raise interest rates for some time.
US President Donald Trump has made up his mind to
impose “pretty significant” tariffs and will unveil a list
targeting USD 50 billion of Chinese goods on Friday, an
administration official said. Beijing has warned that it was
ready to respond
Previous day Roundup
The bulls failed to remain in control of the market on
Thursday amid weak global cues, after the US Federal
Reserve raised its fed funds rate by 25 basis points on
Wednesday.The Nifty held on to its crucial support of
around 10,800, and made a bearish 'Hammer'-like pattern
on the daily chart. Investors are advised to remain cautious
as a decisive breach of 10,767 on Friday could extend the
decline.The Nifty, which opened at 10,832, rose marginally
to hit an intraday high of 10,833.70. It hit an intraday low
of 10,773.55 before ending the session at 10,808, down 48
points.India VIX fell by 4.31 percent to 12.09. The Bank
Nifty has been forming small-bodied candles from the last
couple of sessions, indicating the absence of follow
through on both sides. It has to continue to hold above
26,500 to witness an up move towards 26,750,.
Index stats
The Market was very volatile in last session. The sartorial in
dices performed as follow; Commodities[-2.00pts],
Consumption[ -13.75pts],PSE[ -4.70pts],CPSE[ -
4.20pts],Energy[47.95pts],FMCG[-145.00pts],Auto[-
7.20pts],Pharma[78.50pts],IT[174.30pts],Metal[-
16.10pts],Realty[-0.15 pts], Fin Serv sector[-22.35 pts].
World Indices
Index Value % Change
DJI 25,201.20 -0.47
S&P500 2,779.25 0.02
NASDAQ 7,228.50 -0.04
FTSE100 7,703.70 -0.00
NIKKEI 22,847.99 -0.52
HANG SENG 30,533.10 -0.63
Top Gainers
Company CMP Change % Chg
Lupin 899.60 27.70 3.18
Sun Pharma 559.25 12.95 2.37
Idea Cellular 62.80 1.30 2.11
HCL Tech 936.95 13.25 1.43
Yes Bank 337.20 4.00 1.20
Top Losers
Company CMP Change % Chg
Infosys 1,239.70 -35.10 -2.75
Adani Ports 374.45 -8.40 -2.19
Tech Mahindra 698.80 -15.00 -2.10
ICICI Bank 284.75 -6.00 -2.06
TCS 1,787.55 -36.55 -2.00
Stocks at 52 Week’s HIGH
Symbol Prev. Close Change %Chg
BANDHANBNK 535.7 9.3 1.74
EQ30 324.13 -43.1 -13.3
GLAXO 2803.5 -43.5 -1.55
IBULISL 540.5 4.5 0.83
ICICI500 149.49 -1.49 -1
Indian Indices
Company CMP Change % Chg
NIFTY 10808.00 -48.70 -0.45
SENSEX 35599.82 -139.34 -0.39
Stocks at 52 Week’s LOW
Symbol Prev. Close Change %Chg
ALANKIT 28.05 -0.05 -0.18
ARROWGREEN 142.05 -7.1 -5
ASSAMCO 3.6 -0.05 -1.39
BGLOBAL 3.65 0 0
BHARATIDIL 3.85 0 0
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Special Report
15-Jun-2018
STOCK RECOMMENDATION [CASH]
MMTC [CASH]
This script has given a breakout after breaking its
resistance level of 37 and closed at 39 now 39.85 is only
hurdle for it so we advice to BUY MMTC ABOVE 39.90 TGT
41-44 SL BELOW 37
MACRO NEW
Trends on SGX Nifty indicate a negative opening for
the broader index in India, a fall of 19.5 points or 0.18
percent. Nifty futures were trading around 10,795-
level on the Singaporean Exchange.
The European Central Bank said on Thursday it will
end its unprecedented bond purchase scheme by the
close of the year, taking its biggest step in dismantling
crisis-era stimulus a decade after the start of the euro
zone's economic downturn.Signalling that the move
would not mean rapid policy tightening in the coming
months, the bank also said that interest rates would
stay at record lows at least through the summer of
2019, suggesting protracted support for the economy,
even if at a lower level.
Oil prices were little changed in early Asian trade on
Friday, as investors eyed a key OPEC meeting in
Vienna and Saudi Arabia and Russia, architects of a
producer deal to cut output, indicated they want
production to rise.Brent crude was down 3 cents at
$75.91 a barrel, after settling down 80 cents the
session before. US West Texas Intermediate crude was
up 6 cents, or 0.1 percent, at USD 66.95 a barrel,
having settled up 25 cents. It touched a two-week high
of USD 67.16 on Thursday.
US Treasury yields jumped and Wall Street reversed
earlier gains to close lower on Wednesday, after the
Federal Reserve raised interest rates and signaled that
two more hikes could be coming this year.
RECOMMENDATIONS [FUTURE]
1.ARVIND [FUTURE ]
After consolidating between a range 414-405 the stock has
given a breakout and closed above this range now we can
get a bull run upto 422-424 so we avice to BUY ARVIND
FUTURE AROUND 418-419 TGT 424-430 SL BELOW 413
2.NTPC [FUTURE]
After consolidating between a range 163.50-160 the stock
has given a breakout downside and closed below this range
now we can get a downfall upto 157-156 so we avice to
NTPC FUTURE AROUND 160-159.50 TGT 157.50-155 SL
BELOW 162.
3. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Please refer to disclaimer Epic Research Ltd w w w . e p i c r e s e a r c h . c o
Special Report
15-Jun-2018
MOST ACTIVE CALL OPTION
Symbol Optio
n
Type
Strike
Price
LTP Traded
Volume
(Contracts)
Open
Interest
NIFTY CE 10,900 50.45 1,77,080 35,80,425
NIFTY CE 10,800 96.25 1,75,871 32,28,225
NIFTY CE 11,000 23.5 1,46,734 41,88,525
RELIANCE CE 1,000 20.25 10,013 21,10,000
RELIANCE CE 1,020 11.85 9,140 24,28,000
LUPIN CE 900 27.1 5,671 5,97,000
SUNPHARMA CE 560 15 5,422 15,65,300
INFY CE 1,260 12.3 4,913 6,98,400
MARUTI CE 9,000 111.5 5,823 2,83,500MOST ACTIVE PUT OPTION
Symbol Optio
n
Type
Strike
Price
LTP Traded
Volume
(Contracts)
Open
Interest
NIFTY PE 10,800 83.7 1,52,384 34,30,950
BANKNIFTY PE 26,000 0.05 1,51,567 12,76,440
BANKNIFTY PE 26,700 148 1,51,509 61,880
RELIANCE PE 980 8.1 6,183 19,22,000
RELIANCE PE 960 4 4,234 21,67,000
SBIN PE 280 4.4 3,292 24,81,000
RELIANCE PE 1,000 15.6 3,041 10,77,000
INFY PE 1,240 20.85 3,021 2,30,400
FII DERIVATIVES STATISTICS
BUY OPEN INTEREST AT THE END OF THE DAYSELL
No. of
Contracts
Amount in
Crores
No. of
Contracts
Amount in
Crores
No. of
Contracts
Amount in
Crores
NET AMOUNT
INDEX FUTURES 20719 1890.18 24094 2187.66 247421 20987.60 -297.4824
INDEX OPTIONS 575652 55046.43 578410 55291.21 844372 71683.99 -244.7728
STOCK FUTURES 156555 10305.39 158258 10217.06 1203523 84429.21 88.3335
STOCK OPTIONS 96724 7022.85 98755 7148.41 121104 8762.28 -125.5612
-579.4829
STOCKS IN NEWS
Thomas Cook: The firm has granted options under
the ESOP scheme 2018.
Punj Lloyd: The firm said that ICICI Bank has filed
application before NCL under IBC code.
NIFTY FUTURE
The bulls failed to remain in control of the market on
Thursday amid weak global cues, after the US Federal
Reserve raised its fed funds rate by 25 basis points on
Wednesday.
The Nifty held on to its crucial support of around 10,800,
and made a bearish 'Hammer'-like pattern on the daily
chart. Investors are advised to remain cautious as a
decisive breach of 10,767 on Friday could extend the
decline.so we advice to SELL NIFTY FUTURE AROUND
10800-10780 TGT 10720-10650 SL BELOW 10880
INDICES R2 R1 PIVOT S1 S2
NIFTY 10864.00 10836.00 10804.00 10776.00 10744.00
BANKNIFTY 26682.00 26622.00 26562.00 26502.00 26442.00
4. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
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Special Report
15-Jun-2018
COMMODITY ROUNDUP
Crude oil futures stayed supported after rebounding from
their recent lows on production worries in Venezuela.
However, there is a possibility of some profit selling now as
recent EIA data showed a build of 2.072 million barrels to
436.584 million barrels for the week ended June 1. Gasoline
stockpiles spiked 4.6 million barrels, while distillate stocks
rose by 2.2 million barrels, EIA reported this Wednesday.
WTI Crude oil futures are currently trading at $66.03 per
barrel-up marginally on the day. MCX Crude ended at Rs
4443 per barrel - adding good gains.
Consumer credit in the US increased by less than expected
in the month of April, according to a report released by the
Federal Reserve on Thursday. The Fed said consumer credit
rose by USD9.2 billion in April after climbing by $12.3 billion
in March. The increase in consumer credit was primarily due
to growth in non-revolving credit such as student loans and
car loans, which rose by $7.0 billion in April after soaring by
$13.4 billion in March. Consumer credit rose by an annual
rate of 2.9% in April.
The euro area economy expanded as initially estimated in
the first quarter, the latest estimate from Eurostat showed.
Gross domestic product (GDP) rose 0.4% sequentially in the
first quarter, slower than the 0.7% expansion seen a quarter
ago. The rate came in line with the estimate released on
May 15. On a yearly basis, GDP growth slowed to 2.5% from
2.8% a quarter ago. Gross fixed capital formation advanced
0.5% following the 1.3% gain seen in the prior period.
COMEX Copper soared near three year high in intraday
moves amid supply worries and steady equities. Prices have
soared this week on concerns over supply disruption in
Chile and a weaker dollar index. Copper has gained around
5% this week after the union at BHP's Escondida mine in
Chile, the world's largest, said on Friday it had started the
latest round of wage negotiations. Failure to reach a deal
last year triggered a strike that resulted in a near 8% drop in
annual Copper output. The metal currently trades at $3.26
per pound- up marginally on the day. MCX Copper closed at
Rs 487.55 per kg- up 1% on the day. Large precious metals
speculators cut their bullish net positions in the Copper
Futures markets last week, according to the latest
Commitment of Traders (COT) data released by the
Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). The non-
commercial futures contracts of Copper futures, traded by
large speculators and hedge funds, totaled a net position of
37,600 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday May
29th. This was a weekly drop of -1,412 contracts.
RECOMMENDATIONS
GOLD
TRADING STRATEGY:
BUY GOLD AUG FUT ABOVE 31430 TGT 31480-31530 SL BELOW
31380
SELL GOLD AUG FUT BELOW 31350 TGT 31300-31250 SL ABOVE
31400
SILVER
TRADING STRATEGY:
BUY SILVER JUL FUT ABOVE 40630 TGT 40680-40730 SL BELOW
40580
SELL SILVER JUL FUT BELOW 41380 TGT 41320-41280 SL ABOVE
40420
5. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
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Special Report
15-Jun-2018
NCDEX INDICES
Index Value % Change
Barley 1492 0.13
Castor Seed 4000 1.5
Chana 3375 0.96
Coriander 4408 1.54
Cotton Seed Oilcake 1540.5 2.97
Guar Seed 10 MT 3700 2.48
Jeera 16520 0.92
Mustardseed 3965 0.92
Soy Bean 3365 1.20
Turmeric 7362 0.60
RECOMMENDATIONS
GUARGUM5
BUY GUARGUM5 JULY ABOVE 7790 TARGET 7840-
7890 SL BELOW 7750
SELL GUARGUM5 JULY BELOW 7740 TARGET 7700-
7650 SL ABOVE 7790
CORINDER
BUY DHANIYA JULY ABOVE 4390 TARGET 4440 -
4490 SL BELOW 4340
SELL DHANIYA JULY BELOW 4250 TARGET 4200-4150 SL
ABOVE 4300
Soybean meal exports from Ukraine reached a record 59.3
KMT in April 2017/18 against 32.9 KMT in March 2018 and
33.1 KMT in April 2017. This was contributed to by active
shipments to end markets such as Belarus, Azerbaijan,
Libya, and Georgia.
In total, some 265 KMT of soybean meal was shipped
abroad in September-April this season. This is up 24.3%
year-on-year and an all-time high for this period.
The 2017/18 season witnesses no significant changes in the
pattern of Ukrainian soybean oil exports. As before, the top
importers include the EU (35% of total exports), Belarus
(31%), Azerbaijan (12%), and Georgia (10%).
In its latest Cereal Supply and Demand Brief, the FAO
increased its forecast for the world cereal production in
2018 to 2610 million tonnes, which if confirmed would
represent a 1.5 percent annual drop from the high level of
the previous year. FAO pegs this year's world wheat
production at 754.1 million tonnes, up from the previous
month's forecast on account of improved outlooks in
several major producing countries, while predicting the
production of coarse grains to stand at 1 345 million tonnes,
down 3.2 percent from last year's record high due in part to
farmers shifting to more profitable crops and to dry
weather in some countries.
Worldwide rice output is expected to rise 1.3 percent from
the 2017 level to set a new record of 511.3 million tonnes,
with the increase primarily reflecting improved prospects
for India. The new FAO report offers the latest forecasts
regarding cereal utilization and also trade - which is
expected to reach a record high in the coming year.
6. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
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Special Report
15-Jun-2018
RBI Reference Rate
Currency Rate Currency Rate
Rupee- $ 67.6875 Yen 61.5200
Euro 79.9254 GBP 90.6809
USD/INR
BUY USDINR ABOVE 67.85 TGT 68.35-68.85 SL BELOW 67.35
SELL USDINR BELOW 67.65 TGT 67.15/66.65 SL ABOVE 68.15
GBP/INR
BUY GBPINR ABOVE 91.15 TGT 91.65-92.15 SL BELOW 90.70
SELL GBPINR BELOW 90.20 TGT 89.70-89.20 SL ABOVE 90.70
Euro Falls, Dollar Rises Ahead of G7 Summit. The dollar was
higher while the euro retreated from earlier gains on
Friday, as traders looked ahead to the G7 summit.The U.S.
dollar index, which measures the greenback’s strength
against a basket of six major currencies, was up 0.19% to
93.61 as of 5:17 AM ET (9:17 GMT).All eyes are on the G7
meeting, which kicks off on Friday in Quebec, as trade
tensions between the U.S. and its key allies remain. France
and Germany warned the U.S. that they would not sign a
joint statement without concessions, but the American top
economic adviser Larry Kudlow warned this week that U.S.
President Donald Trump would not back down from his
tough stance on trade.Trump showed no signs of
conciliation late Thursday when he accused France and
Canada of “charging the U.S. massive tariffs and create non
-monetary barriers”.
The Federal Reserve's two-day monetary meeting next
week was also in focus, with a 90% chance of a rate hike.
The euro remained under pressure despite easing political
tensions and expectations for the European Central Bank
to announce the end date of its quantitative easing
program at its policy meeting next week.
EUR/USD has posted gains in the Friday session. Currently,
the pair is trading at 1.1766, down 0.28% on the day. On
the release front, German numbers were a
disappointment. German Industrial Production declined
1.0%, well off the estimate of 0.4%. Germany’s trade
surplus narrowed to EUR 19.4 billion, short of the estimate
of EUR 20.3 billion. French Industrial Production also
declined, with a reading of -0.5%. This missed the estimate
of 0.4%. There are no major U.S events on the schedule.
Later in the day, leaders of the Group of 7 will gather for a
two-day meeting in Quebec City.
7. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Please refer to disclaimer Epic Research Ltd w w w . e p i c r e s e a r c h . c o
Special Report
15-Jun-2018
Date
Commodity/
Currency Pairs
Contract Strategy Entry Level Target Stop Loss Remark
14/06/18 NCDEX DHANIYA JULY BUY 4390 4440 -4490 4340 TGT HIT
14/06/18 NCDEX DHANIYA JULY SELL 4250 4200-4150 4300 NOT EXECUTED
14/06/18
NCDEX
GUARGUM5
JULY BUY 7650 7700-7750 7600 1ST TGT HIT
14/06/18
NCDEX
GUARGUM5
JULY SELL 7470 7430-7380 7510 NOT EXECUTED
14/06/18 MCX GOLD AUG BUY 31270 31320-31370 31220 TGT HIT
14/06/18 MCX GOLD AUG SELL 31170 31120-31070 31220 NOT EXECUTED
14/06/18 MCX SILVER JUL BUY 31270 31320-31370 31220 SL TRIGGERED
14/06/18 MCX SILVER JUL SELL 40570 40520-40480 40620 NOT EXECUTED
Date Scrip
CASH/
FUTURE/
OPTION
Strategy Entry Level Target Stop Loss Remark
14/06/18 NIFTY FUTURE SELL 10880-10860 10800-10750 10900 NOT EXECUTED
14/06/18 NTPC FUTURE BUY 160-161 163-166 158.50 NOT EXECUTED
14/06/18 CANBK FUTURE SELL 279-278 276-272 281 1st TGT HIT
14/06/18 KEC CASH BUY 381.50 385-388 379 SL TRIGGERED
8. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Please refer to disclaimer Epic Research Ltd w w w . e p i c r e s e a r c h . c o
Special Report
15-Jun-2018
The information and views in this report, our website & all the service we provide are believed to be reliable, but we do not accept any responsibility (or
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Disclaimer
NEXT WEEK'S MAJOR U.S. ECONOMIC REPORTS
MONDAY,
JUNE 11
MONDAY, JUNE 11
MONDAY,
JUNE 11
MONDAY, JUNE 11
MONDAY, JUNE
11
MONDAY,
JUNE 11
11 am
TUESDAY,
JUNE 12
TUESDAY, JUNE 12
TUESDAY,
JUNE 12
TUESDAY, JUNE 12
TUESDAY, JUNE
12
TUESDAY,
JUNE 12
6 am
8:30 am Consumer price index May 0.2%
8:30 am Core CPI May 0.1%
2 pm
WEDNESDA
Y, JUNE 13
WEDNESDAY, JUNE 13
WEDNESD
AY, JUNE
13
WEDNESDAY, JUNE
13
WEDNESDAY,
JUNE 13
WEDNESDA
Y, JUNE 13
8:30 am Producer price index May 0.1%
2 pm
2:30 pm Jerome Powell press conference
THURSDAY,
JUNE 14
THURSDAY, JUNE 14
THURSDA
Y, JUNE 14
THURSDAY, JUNE 14
THURSDAY,
JUNE 14
THURSDAY,
JUNE 14
8:30 am Weekly jobless claims 6/2 N/A
8:30 am Retail sales May 0.3%
8:30 am
8:30 am Import price index May 0.3%
10 am Business inventories April 0.0%