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1. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
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Special Report
3-July-2018
Global markets at a glance
Wall Street ended higher on Monday after a choppy
session, with gains in Apple and other technology stocks
offsetting worries about an escalating trade war between
Washington and its trading partners.
Microsoft Inc , Facebook Inc and Apple Inc each rose 1
percent or more, pushing the S&P 500 information
technology index up 0.99 percent, bringing gains for the
year-to-date to 11 percent as investors bet on strong
earnings from Silicon Valley in the approaching quarterly
reporting season.
"It doesn't look like tech is going to slow down this year,"
said Jake Dollarhide, chief executive officer of Longbow
Asset Management in Tulsa, Oklahoma. "The tech play is
here to say."
Asian shares dropped in tentative morning trade on
Tuesday as sentiment remained fragile in the face of tense
trade relations between the United States and major
economies, with investors braced for another potentially
rocky day for Chinese markets.Investors, worried the trade
row could derail a rare period of synchronized global
growth, have pulled out of riskier assets in the past month
or so.The Asia Pacific MSCI index ex-Japan dropped 0.66
percent on early Tuesday trade, while Japan’s Nikkei
average was little changed.
Previous day Roundup
The NSE Nifty which opened at 10,732.35 rose to an
intraday high of 10,736.15 but then bears took control at
Dalal Street and pushed the index towards 10,600 levels. It
hit an intraday low of 10,604.65 but managed to recoup
half of losses in the last couple of hours of trade before
closing the day at 10,657.30, down 57 points. India VIX
moved up by 3.94 percent at 13.37 levels. On the option
front, maximum Put open interest (OI) was seen at 10,600
followed by 10,500 strike while maximum Call OI was seen
at 11,000 followed by 10,800 strike.
Index stats
The Market was very volatile in last session. The sartorial in
dices performed as follow; Commodities[-50pts],
Consumption[-24.85pts],PSE[-60.80pts],CPSE[-
34.85pts],Energy[-181.4pts],FMCG[-188.5pts],Auto[-
43.25pts],Pharma[-39.25pts],IT[82.8pts],Metal[-
61.55pts],Realty[-3.7 pts], Fin Serv sector[-74.35pts].
World Indices
Index Value % Change
DJI 24,307.20 0.15
S&P500 2,725.25 -0.07
NASDAQ 7,113.50 -0.06
FTSE100 7,547.85 -1.18
NIKKEI 21,644.83 -0.77
HANG SENG 28,144.92 -2.88
Top Gainers
Company CMP Change % Chg
INFY 1,337.80 30.60 2.34
ASIANPAINT 1,293.00 28.55 2.26
TITAN 894.25 15.75 1.79
UPL 624.4 5.60 0.9
BAJAJ-AUTO 2,833.00 22.70 0.81
Top Losers
Company CMP Change % Chg
BHARTIARTL 368.5 -13.45 -3.52
NTPC 154.05 -5.60 -3.51
HINDALCO 222.55 -7.95 -3.45
ADANIPORTS 362.5 -10.65 -2.85
IBULHSGFIN 1,113.00 -29.50 -2.58
Stocks at 52 Week’s HIGH
Symbol Prev. Close Change %Chg
AMJLAND 32 -2.1 -6.56
BATAINDIA 859.4 -22.8 -2.65
BRITANNIA 6213.75 5.25 0.08
ELECTROSL 1.8 0.05 2.78
GARWALLROP 1042.9 43.1 4.13
Indian Indices
Company CMP Change % Chg
NIFTY 10657.30 -57 -0.53
SENSEX 35264.41 -159.07 -0.45
Stocks at 52 Week’s LOW
Symbol Prev. Close Change %Chg
ABAN 112.3 -2.8 -2.49
ADANIENT 113.15 -8.55 -7.56
ADANIGREEN 26.8 -1.4 -5.22
ADANIPOWER 16.15 -0.6 -3.72
AGCNET 101.5 3.8 3.74
2. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
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Special Report
3-July-2018
STOCK RECOMMENDATION [CASH]
GRANULES [CASH]
Due to the weakness in the pharma sector the particular
counter is continuously moving in a downtrend. As per
the market movement the market may show some early
weakness here we can sell from low so our advice is to
SELL GRANULES AROUND 77-76.50 TGT 74.90-72 SL
ABOVE 78.30.
MACRO NEW
Trends on SGX Nifty indicate a flat opening for the
broader index in India, a rise of 5 points or 0.05
percent. Nifty futures were trading around 10,655-
level on the Singaporean Exchange.
Growth of eight infrastructure industries dropped to a
10-month low of 3.6 percent in May due to a decline
in production of crude oil and natural gas. The eight
sectors, which also include coal, refinery products,
fertilisers, steel and cement, had expanded by 3.9
percent in May 2017, according to the data released
by the commerce and industry ministry yesterday.This
is the lowest growth rate since July 2017 when
infrastructure industries had expanded by 2.9 percent.
The growth rate in April was 4.6 percent. The growth
rate of refinery products, steel and electricity declined
to 4.9 percent, 0.5 percent and 3.5 percent in May
from 5.4 percent, 3.8 percent and 8.2 percent
respectively in May 2017.
Finance Minister Piyush Goyal has said India will be
able to restrict the fiscal deficit below the budgeted
level of 3.3 percent of GDP in 2018-19, which has hit
55 percent of the annual target in the first two months
of the financial year.The government has budgeted to
contain fiscal deficit at 3.3 percent of GDP in current
financial year which began in April, lower than 3.53
percent in 2017-18 fiscal.
Bharat Hotels, which runs five-star properties under
'The LaLiT' brand, has filed draft prospectus with
capital markets regulator to garner Rs 1,200 crore
through its initial share-sale.
RECOMMENDATIONS [FUTURE]
1.ASHOKLEY [FUTURE ]
The particular script is consolidating while at its crucial
suppoet level 124 its has crucial resistance levels at 127buy
on reversal would be a good strategy to follow since it has
made a green dozi during its downtrend so we advice to
BUY ASHOKLEY FUTURE AROUND 126.50-127 TGT 129-132
SL ABOVE 125
2.MANAPPURAM [FUTURE]
The particular script is consolidating while in its downtrend
its has crucial resistance and support levels at 100 and
97.40.Sell on breakout would be a good strategy to follow so
we advice to SELL MANAPPURAM FUTURE AROUND 97.20-
97 TGT 95.80-93 SL ABOVE 99
3. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Please refer to disclaimer Epic Research Ltd w w w . e p i c r e s e a r c h . c o
Special Report
3-July-2018
MOST ACTIVE CALL OPTION
Symbol Optio
n
Type
Strike
Price
LTP Traded
Volume
(Contracts)
Open
Interest
NIFTY CE 10,700 105.5 1,66,192 27,05,700
NIFTY CE 10,800 65 1,48,940 30,63,525
BANKNIFTY CE 26,500 58.8 2,87,714 11,33,240
BANKNIFTY CE 26,400 84.8 2,47,467 7,86,080
TATASTEEL CE 580 10.65 8,385 25,92,023
TATASTEEL CE 600 6.05 7,062 21,79,294
TATASTEEL CE 560 17.6 5,235 11,07,684
TATAMOTORS CE 280 6.3 4,885 45,81,000
MARUTI CE 9,000 111.5 5,823 2,83,500MOST ACTIVE PUT OPTION
Symbol Optio
n
Type
Strike
Price
LTP Traded
Volume
(Contracts)
Open
Interest
NIFTY PE 10,600 119.5 1,24,342 48,03,750
NIFTY PE 10,500 85.4 1,17,564 32,64,900
BANKNIFTY PE 26,000 58.1 3,12,058 8,08,200
BANKNIFTY PE 26,100 85.05 2,13,227 3,84,440
TATASTEEL PE 540 15.2 3,132 7,33,151
TATAMOTORS PE 260 7.6 3,027 11,68,500
RELIANCE PE 960 25.45 2,854 8,47,000
VEDL PE 230 6.6 2,795 11,27,000
FII DERIVATIVES STATISTICS
BUY OPEN INTEREST AT THE END OF THE DAYSELL
No. of
Contracts
Amount in
Crores
No. of
Contracts
Amount in
Crores
No. of
Contracts
Amount in
Crores
NET AMOUNT
INDEX FUTURES 25252 2192.04 38031 3439.32 281027 23798.98 -1247.2773
INDEX OPTIONS 916686 88443.33 900605 87198.91 898982 75706.04 1244.4248
STOCK FUTURES 156307 10509.40 148119 9934.65 1221389 84892.41 574.7451
STOCK OPTIONS 87942 6298.92 86421 6178.58 143975 10472.61 120.3403
692.2329
STOCKS IN NEWS
Dr Reddy’s Labs: Company announces launch of
Repatha in India
Aurobindo Pharma: The firm has received USFDA
approval for Ibuprofen OTC capsules. It is a painkiller
drug
Tata Power: Tata Power Renewable Energy
commissioned 100 MW solar capacity in Andhra
Pradesh
NIFTY FUTURE
The NSE Nifty which opened at 10,732.35 rose to an
intraday high of 10,736.15 but then bears took control at
Dalal Street and pushed the index towards 10,600 levels.
It hit an intraday low of 10,604.65 but managed to
recoup half of losses in the last couple of hours of trade
before closing the day at 10,657.30, down 57 points. We
recommend to SELL NIFTY FUTURE AROUND 10630-
10615 TGT 10550-10500 SL ABOVE 10700.
INDICES R2 R1 PIVOT S1 S2
NIFTY 10759.17 10703.33 10649.17 10593.33 10539.17
BANKNIFTY 26500.70 26368.05 26216.70 26084.05 25932.70
4. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
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Special Report
3-July-2018
COMMODITY ROUNDUP
Gold prices edged down in early Asian trade on Monday as
the dollar firmed, changing direction from Friday when the
metal rose for the first time in five sessions.U.S. consumer
prices accelerated in the year to May, with a measure of
underlying inflation hitting the Federal Reserve's 2 percent
target for the first time in six years. White House national
security adviser John Bolton said on Sunday he believed the
bulk of North Korea's weapons programmes could be
dismantled within a year, although some experts say the
complete process could take far longer.
German Interior Minister Horst Seehofer offered his
resignation to party colleagues late on Sunday, party
officials said, escalating a row over migration with
Chancellor Angela Merkel that threatens her fragile
government. Euro zone inflation rose to its highest rate in
more than a year this month as surging energy prices
pushed price growth above the European Central Bank's
target, even if only temporarily, data from Eurostat showed
on Friday. Gold demand improved this week in India as
prices fell to their lowest level in nearly three months, while
demand elsewhere in Asia remained tepid as investors
waited for prices to fall further.
Oil prices fell on Monday as supplies from Saudi Arabia and
Russia rose while economic growth stumbled in Asia amid
an escalating trade dispute with the United
States.Benchmark Brent crude oil fell $1.24 a barrel to a low
of $77.99 before recovering to around $78.50, down 73
cents, by 0935 GMT. U.S. light crude was down 40 cents at
$73.75.
Oil prices rose strongly last week, with the U.S. crude
contract hitting its highest in 3-1/2 years at $74.46.But a
flurry of U.S. announcements over the weekend unsettled
oil markets.
Arabia's output is up by 700,000 barrels per day (bpd) from
May, a Reuters survey showed, and close to its 10.72 million
bpd record from November 2016. output rose to 11.06
million bpd in June from 10.97 million bpd in May, the
Energy Ministry said on Monday.
U.S. production has soared 30 percent in the past two years,
to 10.9 million bpd, meaning the world's three biggest oil
producers now churn out almost 11 million bpd each,
meeting a third of global oil demand.
RECOMMENDATIONS
GOLD
TRADING STRATEGY:
BUY GOLD AUG FUT ABOVE 30320 TGT 30370 30420 SL BELOW
30280
SELL GOLD AUG FUT BELOW 30270 TGT 30220 30170 SL ABOVE
30320
SILVER
TRADING STRATEGY:
BUY SILVER JUL FUT ABOVE 38770 TGT 38820 38870 SL BELOW
38720
SELL SILVER JUL FUT BELOW 38560 TGT 38510 38460 SL ABOVE
38600
5. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
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Special Report
3-July-2018
NCDEX INDICES
Index Value % Change
Barley 1453 1.51
Castor Seed 4172 0.34
Chana 3459 0.17
Coriander 4683 -0.23
Cotton Seed Oilcake 1537.5 0.29
Guar Seed 10 MT 3806 0.89
Jeera 18010 2.83
Mustardseed 3975 0.13
Soy Bean 3514 1.37
Turmeric 7414 -0.78
RECOMMENDATIONS
GUARGUM5
BUY GUARGUM JULY ABOVE 8400 TARGET 8430 8460 SL
8370
SELL GUARGUM JULY BELOW 8240 TARGET 8210 8180 SL
8270
CORINDER
BUY CORIANDER JULY ABOVE 4800 TARGET 4830 4860 SL
4770
SELL CORIANDER JULY BELOW 4640 TARGET 4600 4570 SL
4670
USDA forecasts that China's soybean imports will increase
to 100.5 MMT in MY18/19 from the estimated 97 MMT in
MY17/18. This forecast, is 2.5 MMT lower than USDA's June
forecast. Due to the combination of the moderate increase
in domestic soybean production, together with the
slowdown in growth of soybean meal use, a net growth of
3.5 MMT of soybean imports in MY18/19 is expected to
meet the Chinese demand growth for protein meals.
U.S. soybean exports to China continue to face strong
competition from soybean exports from South America.
Excessive soybean stocks and a fall in the soybean price in
Brazil attributed to the 14.2 MMT of Brazilian soybean
exports to China in the first half of MY17/18. This is
significantly higher than the 5.2 MMT during the same
period in MY16/17.
Despite China's net growth of over 2 MMT of soybean
imports in the first half of MY17/18, total soybean imports
from the United States fell to 24.4 MMT in this period,
down from the 31.6 MMT in the previous year. Chinese
importers note that Brazilian soybeans have a one percent
higher protein content than U.S. soybeans. Importers were
previously willing to pay a slightly higher price for soybeans
with a higher protein content, but with the drop in the price
of Brazilian soybeans, exports are now surging
As per official data, Ukraine supplied some 1 MMT of wheat
to foreign markets in May 2017/18. This was down 10%
from April (1.1 MMT) but up 2% from May 2016/17 (986.8
KMT). In July-May 2017/18, wheat exports totaled 16.3
MMT, or 3% less than in the same period in MY 2016/17.
Ukrainian wheat shipments to the European Union and
Indonesia grew substantially in the current season. In the
period under review, exports to Indonesia increased to 2.1
MMT that was 31% more than in the whole of MY 2016/17.
6. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
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Special Report
3-July-2018
RBI Reference Rate
Currency Rate Currency Rate
Rupee- $ 68.6227 Yen 62.0000
Euro 79.9592 GBP 90.4310
USD/INR
BUY USDINR ABOVE 69.60 TGT 69.90/70.20 SL BELOW 69.30
SELL USDINR BELOW 68 TGT 67.80/67.55 SL ABOVE 68.20
GBP/INR
BUY GBPINR ABOVE 91.50 TGT 91.70/91.90 SL BELOW 91.30
SELL GBPINR BELOW 89.80 TGT 89.60/89.40 SL ABOVE 90.00
The euro was lower on Monday as fears over the prospect
of a global trade war and fresh political uncertainty in
Germany pressured the single currency, while the dollar
pared back overnight gains against the safe haven yen.The
euro came under pressure after Germany's interior
minister offered to resign amid an escalating row over
immigration policy, throwing into doubt the future of
Chancellor Angela Merkel’s coalition government.
The euro had risen on Friday after European Union leaders
reached a deal on migration, easing pressure on Merkel.
The single currency was also pressured lower after U.S.
President Donald Trump ratcheted up trade tensions with
the EU, claiming overnight that it treated the U.S. very
badly and was “possibly as bad as China, just smaller”.
The comments raised the prospect that the U.S. could
impose further tariffs on EU imports, possibly on auto
imports.The EU has threatened to retaliate with tariffs on
up to $300 billion of U.S. products if the U.S. does penalize
EU automakers.
The yuan, which posted its biggest monthly fall on record
last month, was not much changed at 6.6460 per dollar in
offshore trade, just ahead of Friday's seven-month low of
6.6522 to the dollar.
"The Chinese authorities do not seem to have tried to stem
the yuan's fall, which many people take as a message from
Beijing that that's one thing they could do against U.S.
pressure on trade," said Bart Wakabayashi, Tokyo branch
manager of State Street Bank.
The official survey on China's manufacturing sector
published on Saturday suggested growth in the sector
slowed slightly in June after a better-than-expected
performance in May. the Mexican peso gained as much as
1.4 percent, in choppy early Asian trade on Monday after
exit polls showed Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador - widely
known as AMLO - scored a decisive win to secure Mexico's
presidency on Sunday.
7. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Please refer to disclaimer Epic Research Ltd w w w . e p i c r e s e a r c h . c o
Special Report
3-July-2018
Date
Commodity/
Currency Pairs
Contract Strategy Entry Level Target
Stop
Loss
Remark
02/07/18 NCDEX DHANIYA JULY BUY 4720 4750-4780 4690 TGT HIT
02/07/18 NCDEX DHANIYA JULY SELL 4640 4600-4570 4670 NOT EXECUTED
02/07/18
NCDEX
GUARGUM
JULY BUY 8290 8320-8350 8260 NOT EXECUTED
02/07/18
NCDEX
GUARGUM
JULY SELL 7860 7830-7800 7890 NOT EXECUTED
02/07/18 MCX GOLD AUG. BUY 30500 30550 30600 30450 SL TRIGGERED
02/07/18 MCX GOLD AUG SELL 30350 30300-30250 30400 TGT HIT
02/07/18 MCX SILVER JULY BUY 39340 39400-39450 40300 NOT EXECUTED
02/07/18 MCX SILVER JULY SELL 39970 39900-39850 40020 TGT HIT
Date Scrip
CASH/
FUTURE/
OPTION
Strategy Entry Level Target Stop Loss Remark
02/07/18 NIFTY FUTURE SELL 10630-10615 10550-10500 10700 OPEN
02/07/18 YES BANK FUTURE BUY 341-342 345-350 338 SL TRIGGERED
02/07/18 SUN TV FUTURE BUY 797-798 810-820 790 SL TRIGGERED
02/07/18 WELENT CASH BUY 169-170 174-178 166 SL TRIGGERED
8. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Please refer to disclaimer Epic Research Ltd w w w . e p i c r e s e a r c h . c o
Special Report
3-July-2018
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Disclaimer
NEXT WEEK'S MAJOR U.S. ECONOMIC REPORTS
TIME (ET) REPORT PERIOD ACTUAL FORECAST PREVIOUS
MONDAY, JULY 2
9;45 am Markit manufacturing PMI (final) June -- 54.6
10 am
10 am Construction spending May 0.0% 1.8%
TUESDAY,
JULY 3
TUESDAY, JULY 3
TUESDAY
, JULY 3
TUESDAY, JULY 3
TUESDAY, JULY
3
TUESDAY,
JULY 3
Varies
10 am Factory orders May -0.1% -0.8%
WEDNESD
AY, JULY 4
WEDNESDAY, JULY 4
WEDNES
DAY,
JULY 4
WEDNESDAY, JULY
4
WEDNESDAY,
JULY 4
WEDNESD
AY, JULY 4
THURSDA
Y, JULY 5
THURSDAY, JULY 5
THURSD
AY, JULY
5
THURSDAY, JULY 5
THURSDAY,
JULY 5
THURSDA
Y, JULY 5
8:15 am ADP employment June -- 178,000
8:30 am Weekly jobless claims 6/23 224,000 227,000
9:45 am Markit services PMI (final) June 56.5
10 am
2 pm FOMC minutes
FRIDAY,
JULY 6
FRIDAY, JULY 6
FRIDAY,
JULY 6
FRIDAY, JULY 6 FRIDAY, JULY 6
FRIDAY,
JULY 6