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Financial Workshop 2012
• Basic Accounting
• Investment Fundamentals
• Investment Performance
• Shopping Center Finance
• Case Discussion
• Investor Relations
Instructor:
Robert Scholem, CPM®, CSM, CRX
Property Management Education Series
Improve Field and
Corporate Processes
PROGRAMS
Collect and Analyze Information
STAKEHOLDER
COMMUNICATION
Develop Additional
Services
Department Work Streams
PROCESS
Improve and Develop Common Standards
FOUNDATION
BUILDING
VALUE
CREATION
PEOPLE
Develop Core Competencies
EXPENSE MANAGEMENT INCOME GENERATION
Business Areas and Core Initiatives
Business Areas Core Initiatives
• Property maintenance
• Field inspection / audits
• Tenant relations
• Emergency response
• Vacancy profiles
• CAM / CAPEX budgeting
• Policies / best practices
• Competency assessment
• Training and development
• Property analytics
• Vendor management
• UMS
• Gateway
• Building efficiency
retrofits
• Rate optimization
• On-site energy
production (Solar, etc.)
• Tenant EMS
Field Operations
Deliver best-in-class tenant experience while cost
effectively managing and maintaining our
properties.
Corporate Services
Support improved field operations and services by
developing effective people and processes.
Energy Services
Create and manage energy initiatives that reduce
expense or generate additional income.
• Trash / recycling
• Storage trailers
• HVAC maintenance
Tenant Services
Create and manage non-energy initiatives that
reduce expense or generate additional income.
• Other services
Accounting Basics
 General Ledger: is a series of pages in a notebook for
entering receipts and expenses by account.
A separate ledger is maintained for each account. An
account is a series of items paid regularly, and grouped by
activity or purpose.
 Balance Sheet, Assets and Liabilities: is a statement of the
financial position of a firm or property; normally calculated
at the end of a fiscal period.
Asset: something owned by or owed to the business.
Liability: something not owned by the firm, but something
for which the firm is responsible.
Such as: debt, loans, bills, mortgages
 Owners’ Equity: is the difference between the Assets and
Liabilities.
Basic Accounting Principles
Cash Accounting
 Is a system of making
entries into accounts when
bills are paid and
expenditures are made.
Accrual Accounting
 Is an accounting system in
which income and expenses
are entered into the books
when they are due.
Cash Flow
The site manager’s performance overall is based on the ability to
meet the following goals:
 Generate income; both gross and net
 Meet budget projections for income and expenses
 Control expenditures while maintaining the physical integrity of the
property
 Satisfy the owner’s financial goals for the investment
Cash Flow Calculation
Gross potential rental income
- Vacancy and rental loss
+ Miscellaneous income
= Effective gross income
- Operating expenses
= Net operating income (NOI)
- Debt service
- Capital expenses
= Cash flow
Net Operating Income (NOI)
A key value found on the Cash Flow Model is
net operating income (NOI). NOI is important
because the assumptions and judgments made in
calculating NOI have great impact on the
ultimate decision to invest in a given property
and at what price. Lenders use NOI to
determine loan amount, investors look at NOI
to determine what they will pay, and appraisers
use it to determine market value.
Managers and the Bottom Line
 Empty space reduces the amount of effective
gross income.
 Prompt collections policy reduces potential late
fees or interest on bills or delayed maintenance.
 Lack of good maintenance may adversely impact
tenant retention, and thereby income
 Careful record keeping for sound budgeting.
 Accurate forecasting and pacing maintenance to
minimize variances from budget.
Investments
What is an investment ?
 An investment is an expenditure of money for
income or profit; capital outlay.
 Investments are dynamic in nature.
 Some investments produce guaranteed income
while others fluctuate depending on market
conditions.
The Four Investor Questions:
1. How much money goes into the investment?
2. When?
3. How much money comes out of the investment?
4. When?
Types of Investments
 Loan Type Investments:
Rate of Return: Stated
Investor Position – Loan
Examples:
Bonds
Mortgages
Land Contracts
Securitized Debt
 Equity Investments:
Rate of Return: Variable
Investor Position – Ownership
Examples:
Stocks
Partnership interests
Collectibles
Real Estate
Investment Characteristics
 Liquidity: The ability to convert an asset to cash quickly,
without loss of principle.
 Marketability: The ability to convert the asset to cash
quickly, at any price.
 Leverage: The use of borrowed funds to finance a portion
of the purchase price of an investment.
 Management: The cost of monitoring an investment.
 Tax Impact: The effect of federal income tax laws on the
income, profits, or losses from an investment.
 Rate of Return (yield): A measure of investment
performance.
 Risk: The possibility of losing either the principle invested
and/or the potential income from the investment.
Risk Management
 Risk analysis: The process of evaluating alternative investments
based on their level of risk.
 Diversification: Investing in multiple investments with varying
risk levels reduces the chance that all investments will be affected
by the same turn of events.
 Insurance: Protection against costs incurred by external events.
 Shifting risk: Leases can be structured to shift exposure of
increased costs.
 Forms of Ownership: Investors can structure ownership to limit
losses to their capital.
 Due diligence: The process of examining a property and all
related materials to reduce risk.
Valuing Real Estate Investments
Types of Value:
1. Investment Value: Value to a specific investor
2. Insurable Value: Value of those portions of physical
property
3. Assessed Value: Established by tax assessor
4. Liquidation Value: Price resulting from a forced
sale
5. Replacement Value: Value of a substitute property
6. Market Value: “The most probable price a property
would bring in a competitive and open market”
Appraisal Approaches to Market Value
 Sales Comparison Approach:
This approach equates the value of a property to prices that
buyers have historically paid for similar properties, or
“comparison shopping”.
 Cost Approach:
Considers the current cost of reproducing a property minus
accrued depreciation; which includes: physical
deterioration, functional obsolescence, and external
obsolescence.
 Income Approach:
Is based on the premise that a correlation exists between
the income a property produces and its value.
Direct Capitalization
Direct capitalization is a process of converting a one-year of
stabilized NOI into a market value of a property.
Investors use this method to determine investment value.
Direct Capitalization (IRV) Formula:
I where: V = Market Value
V = I = First year NOI
R R = Capitalization Rate
Using Cap Rates
Example: What value should I use for a property?
Local retail property A sells for $9,500,000 with a NOI of
$665,000; what is the Cap Rate:
$665,000 ÷ $9,500,000 = 7.00 %
Local retail property B sells for $7,750,000 with a NOI of
$550,250; what is the Cap Rate:
$550,250 ÷ $7,750,000 = 7.10 %
Local retail property C is for sale with a NOI of $625,000; what
should we value the property?
If we take the average Cap Rate of 7.05%:
$625,000 ÷ 7.05% = $ 8,865,248 value
If we want a value based on a 8% return:
$625,000 ÷ 8.00% = $ 7,812,500 value
Direct Capitalization (Cap Rate)
 Investors use Direct Capitalization to determine Investment Value
 Appraisers use Direct Capitalization to determine Market Value
Advantages:
Simplicity of calculation
Accounts for Vacancy and Credit Loss
Disadvantages:
Does not account for financing and impact of taxation
Only looks at a one year forecast
Utilizing the IRV formula :
Income (NOI) X Cap Rate = Investment Value
Value works inversely to Rate; so the higher the Cap Rate, the lower the
property value. Consequently, the lower the Cap Rate, the higher the
property value.
Income Approach to Market Value
Direct Capitalization:
Is the process of converting a
one-year stabilized NOI into a
market value of the property.
Using V = I/R
Deriving value using Cap Rate:
1. Use comparable sales with
known NOI to calculate a cap
rate (R);
2. Divide property NOI (I) by the
cap rate (R) to determine the
value (V)
Discounted Cash Flow:
This model determines property value
by discounting the following values
to a present value:
NOI for all years until sale
Sale proceeds
Applying Discounted Cash Flow
1. Develop forecast of each year NOI
2. Estimate sales reversion
3. Determine appropriate discount rate
4. Solve for Present Value (PV)
A discount rate is not the same as a capitalization rate. A discount rate is used to
convert a specified future income stream for a given period plus the sale proceeds
into a present value or internal rate of return (IRR).
An overall capitalization rate (cap rate) is computed by dividing the NOI of a recent
sold comparable by its sale price.
Investment Value
Sales Comparison Approach
This method determines a property’s
worth relative to other comparable
properties that have been recent sold in
the market; in terms of price per square
foot or unit.
Price/square foot
X Total square feet of building
Investment value
Pros: Investor can compare the per square
foot costs of an existing property to
current land and construction costs.
Can compare old and new properties.
Cons: Disregards the income of a property
thus investment performance. Lacks
sufficient comparables for specialized
properties.
Gross Rent Multiplier
The investment value of a property is
determined using the “gross rents’ an
investor anticipates the property will
produce at EOY 1 (or potential rental
income (PRI)) multiplied by a given
factor (GRM).
Gross rent multiplier X
Forecast 1st year PRI = Value
Pros: Its simplicity; little information
required
Cons: Simplicity also limits its reliability
since it does not take into account;
vacancy loss, operating expenses,
financing, and tax impacts.
Internal Rate of Return (IRR)
The IRR for an investment is the percentage rate that each dollar earns each year while it
remains in the investment.
Represents the “Return On” portion of the investment and is expressed as an annual
percentage rate.
 In order to have a POSITIVE IRR, there must be a complete return of the initial
investment.
 This can be from either the periodic cash flows, or from the sale of the property, or from
both
 If there is NOT a complete return of the initial investment, the IRR will be NEGATIVE
 A return EQUAL to the initial investment yields an IRR+ZERO
Pros: Common investment measure
Incorporates entire Cash Flow Model
Answers 4 basic investment questions
Cons: Measures “internal” rate only
Does not account for reinvestment
May understate the true initial cost of the deal
Net Present Value (NPV)
The NPV is a measurement of how much more or less an investor
can pay in order to achieve a desired yield in relation to a given
initial investment and corresponding IRR.
The NPV of an investment is the sum of the present values of all
future cash flows, netted against (added to) the initial investment.
 A Negative NPV indicates: The investment generates a yield that
is LESS than the investor’s desired yield.
The investor would have to pay that much LESS for the
investment in order to achieve the desired result.
 A Positive NPV indicates: The investment generates a yield
GREATER than the investor’s desired yield.
The investor could pay that much MORE for the investment
and still achieve the desired yield.
Cash Flow Worksheet
Cash Flow Analysis Worksheet
Property Name: Pine Grove S/C Square Footage: 53,040 Mortgage Data
Amount:
Purchase Price: 7,100,000
$ Interest Rate:
Acquisition Costs (+): 71,000 Amortization Period
Loan Fees/Costs(+): 125,000 Loan Term
Mortgages (-): (3,786,435) Periodic Payment
Initial Investment: 3,509,565
$ Annual Debt Service
Operating Year
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Income:
Base Rent 749,887 759,935 769,898 775,858 776,634 777,426 778,234 779,058
Less; Vacancy/Credit Loss 5.00% % (37,494) (37,997) (38,495) (38,793) (38,832) (38,871) (38,912) (38,953)
Effective Rental Income 712,393 721,939 731,403 737,065 737,803 738,555 739,323 740,105
Common Area Reimbursement 34,749 35,791 36,865 37,971 39,110 40,284 41,492 42,737
Insurance Reimbursement 41,580 42,827 44,112 45,436 46,799 48,203 49,649 51,138
Real Estate Tax Reimbursement 174,903 180,150 185,555 191,122 196,855 202,761 208,844 215,109
Other Income
Sub 251,232 258,769 266,532 274,528 282,764 291,247 299,985 308,984
Gross Operating Income 963,625 980,708 997,935 1,011,593 1,020,567 1,029,802 1,039,307 1,049,090
Expenses: psf
Common Area 0.66 35,100 36,153 37,238 38,355 39,505 40,691 41,911 43,169
Insurance 0.79 42,000 43,260 44,558 45,895 47,271 48,690 50,150 51,655
Real Estate Tax 3.33 176,670 181,970 187,429 193,052 198,844 204,809 210,953 217,282
Management 0.71 37,494 37,997 38,495 38,793 38,832 38,871 38,912 38,953
Ground Lease 2.84 150,874 150,874 150,874 150,874 150,874 150,874 150,874 150,874
Total Expense 8.34 442,138 450,254 458,593 466,968 475,326 483,934 492,800 501,932
Net Operating Income 521,487 530,454 539,342 544,625 545,241 545,868 546,507 547,158
Mortgage Interest 213,156 209,102 204,807 200,257 195,436 190,328 184,916 179,183
Cost Recovery/Depr. 39yr 145,641 145,641 145,641 145,641 145,641 145,641 145,641 145,641
Capital improvements 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Leasing Commissions 5,000 5,000 5,000 5,000 5,000 5,000 5,000 5,000
Taxable Income 157,690 170,711 183,894 193,727 199,164 204,899 210,950 217,333
Tax Liability (Savings) 34.00% % 53,614 58,042 62,524 65,867 67,716 69,666 71,723 73,893
Net Operating Income 521,487 530,454 539,342 544,625 545,241 545,868 546,507 547,158
Annual Debt Sevice 281,326 281,326 281,326 281,326 281,326 281,326 281,326 281,326
Funded Reserves
Cash Flow before Taxes 240,161 249,128 258,016 263,299 263,915 264,542 265,181 265,832
Tax Liability (Savings) 53,614 58,042 62,524 65,867 67,716 69,666 71,723 73,893
Cash Flow after Taxes 186,546 191,086 195,492 197,432 196,199 194,876 193,458 191,938
Cap Rate and IRR
EOY Cash Flows + Sale Proceeds
0 ($2,909,565.00)
1 $186,546.00 + $0.00
2 $191,086.00 + $0.00
3 $195,492.00 + $0.00
4 $197,432.00 + $0.00
5 $195,199.00 + $0.00
6 $194,876.00 + $0.00
7 $193,458.00 + $5,266,766.00
8 $0.00 + $0.00
9 $0.00 + $0.00
10 $0.00 + $0.00
0.00%
$3,711,290.00
14.14%
Internal Rate of Return
Pine Grove S/C 8% Cap analysis
Annual NPV and IRR Calculations
NPV Discount Rate
Net Present Value
EOY Cash Flows + Sale Proceeds
0 ($3,509,656.00)
1 $186,546.00 + $0.00
2 $191,086.00 + $0.00
3 $195,492.00 + $0.00
4 $197,432.00 + $0.00
5 $195,199.00 + $0.00
6 $194,876.00 + $0.00
7 $193,458.00 + $5,266,766.00
8 $0.00 + $0.00
9 $0.00 + $0.00
10 $0.00 + $0.00
0.00%
$3,111,199.00
10.76%
Annual NPV and IRR Calculations
Internal Rate of Return
Pine Grove S/C 7% Cap analysis
NPV Discount Rate
Net Present Value
Effects on Cap Rates
 Market Conditions/Economy
 Location
 Cost of Money (Interest Rates)
 Tenant Mix
 Occupancy
 Property Condition
 Available Parking
 Comparable Sales
Impacts on Shopping Center Value
Workshop on Income and Expenses on Value
Cash Flow Analysis Worksheet
Property Name: River Plaza Square Footage: 35,291 Mortgage Data
Amount:
Purchase Price: 10,980,000
$ Interest Rate:
Acquisition Costs (+): 400,000 Amortization Period
Loan Fees/Costs(+): 180,000 Loan Term
Mortgages (-): (8,300,000) Periodic Payment
Initial Investment: 3,260,000
$ Annual Debt Service
Operating Year
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Income:
Base Rent $811,914 $814,908 $837,142 $849,412 $852,554 $859,625 $877,972 $881,271
Less; Vacancy/Credit Loss 5% (40,596) (40,745) (41,857) (42,471) (42,628) (42,981) (43,899) (44,064)
Effective Rental Income 771,318 774,162 795,285 806,941 809,927 816,643 834,073 837,207
Common Area Reimbursement 93,698 96,509 99,404 102,386 105,457 108,621 111,880 115,236
Insurance Reimbursement 9,529 9,814 10,109 10,412 10,724 11,046 11,378 11,719
Real Estate Tax Reimbursement 111,167 114,502 117,937 121,475 125,119 128,873 132,739 136,721
Other Income 2,500 2,500 2,500 2,500 2,500 2,500 2,500 2,500
Sub 216,893 223,325 229,949 236,773 243,801 251,040 258,496 266,176
Gross Operating Income 988,211 997,487 1,025,235 1,043,714 1,053,728 1,067,683 1,092,569 1,103,383
Expenses: psf
Common Area 2.95 104,108 107,232 110,449 113,762 117,175 120,690 124,311 128,040
Insurance 0.30 10,587 10,905 11,232 11,569 11,916 12,274 12,642 13,021
Real Estate Tax 3.50 123,519 127,224 131,041 134,972 139,021 143,192 147,488 151,912
Management 4% 1.12 39,528 39,899 41,009 41,749 42,149 42,707 43,703 44,135
Operational 0.02 706 727 749 771 794 818 843 868
Total Expense 7.89 278,449 285,987 294,480 302,823 311,056 319,681 328,986 337,977
Net Operating Income 709,762 711,500 730,755 740,891 742,672 748,002 763,584 765,406
Mortgage Interest 576,978 567,799 557,956 547,402 536,085 523,950 510,937 496,984
Cost Recovery-Improvements 39 yrs 230,770 230,770 230,770 230,770 230,770 230,770 230,770 230,770
Capital Improvements 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Leasing Commissions
Taxable Income (97,986) (87,069) (57,971) (37,281) (24,183) (6,718) 21,877 37,652
Tax Liability (Savings) 34% Tax Rate (33,315) (29,604) (19,710) (12,675) (8,222) (2,284) 7,438 12,802
Net Operating Income 709,762 711,500 730,755 740,891 742,672 748,002 763,584 765,406
Annual Debt Sevice 703,952 703,952 703,952 703,952 703,952 703,952 703,952 703,952
Funded Reserves
Cash Flow before Taxes 5,810 7,548 26,803 36,939 38,720 44,050 59,632 61,454
Tax Liability (Savings) (33,315) (29,604) (19,710) (12,675) (8,222) (2,284) 7,438 12,802
Cash Flow after Taxes 39,125 37,151 46,513 49,615 46,942 46,334 52,194 48,653
Value: Cap Rate @ 7.00% 10,139,463 10,164,284 10,439,355 10,584,159 10,609,599 10,685,746 10,908,337 10,934,378
Exploring The REIT Industry
WHAT IS A REIT?
• Real Estate Investment Trust (REIT): A company that owns and for the most part operates income-
producing real estate (Examples: apartments, office buildings, warehouses, shopping centers, etc.)
• Formed in 1960 when congress passed the Real Estate Investment Trust Act
This allowed small investors to have access to commercial real estate by owning shares of a
REIT stock
• Can be either publically traded, non-exchange traded, or privately held
Investor benefits diversification & liquidity
• REIT industry trade organization is National Association of Real Estate Investment Trusts (NAREIT)
www.reit.com
But management of assets was not permitted until 1986 Act
FOR INTERNAL USE ONLY - NOT FOR EXTERNAL DISTRIBUTION
THE EVOLUTION OF THE REIT INDUSTRY
US REIT BY GROWTH AND MARKET CAP
Source: NAREIT
KEY POINTS:
–REITs own approx. $730 billion of commercial real estate Approx. 10%-15% of the overall commercial real estate market
–2009/2010 – Avg. about 98 equity offerings $25B
–REIT investor acceptance 15 REITs currently in S&P 500 (Kimco April 2006)
1960 – Initial
formation of the
REIT Industry
1971 – Market
Cap $1.5B
1986 – Tax
Reform Act:
REITs integrate
property mgmt.
2001 - REIT
Modernization Act:
Allowed REITs to
boost earnings
through TRS
2006 – Market
Cap: $400B
2010 – Market
Cap $391B
1991 – Modern
REIT Era: Kimco
leads the way!
1992 – Formation
of UPREITs and
DownREITs
2008 –
Economic
Recession
FOR INTERNAL USE ONLY - NOT FOR EXTERNAL DISTRIBUTION
THE REIT STRUCTURE
•Why be a REIT Tax election
•Primary benefit :
• Do not pay any corporate income tax $ taxed at investor level
•REITs must adhere to several compliance requirements:
• Distribute at least 90% of taxable net income as dividends to shareholders
• Derive at least 75% of gross income from real estate income
• Have at least 75% of assets in real estate
• Have a minimum of 100 Shareholders
• No more than 50% of shares be held by 5 or fewer individuals
• Have no more than 25% of assets invested in stocks of TRS
•Additionally:
• Can generate additional revenue through taxable REIT subsidiary (TRS)
• TRS allows REITs to engage in ancillary business activities
FOR INTERNAL USE ONLY - NOT FOR EXTERNAL DISTRIBUTION
REIT INVESTOR ADVANTAGES
1. For public traded REITs Liquidity
*Investors buy/sell shares more easily than through traditionally real estate investments
2. Manageable portfolio diversification Not limited to any specific real estate class
3. Low initial investment vs. traditional real estate investment – Kimco trading in the $18 per share range
4. Shareholder not personally liable for debt incurred by REIT
5. Does not pay corporate income tax
6. Distribute at least 90% of taxable income as dividends to shareholders (dividend yield valuation
consideration)
Since 1995 April 2011
Equity REITs 5.9% 3.3%
10-Yr Treasury
Bond
4.7% 3.3%
S&P 500 1.8% 1.9%
Average Dividend Yield
Source: NAREIT, Bloomberg
FOR INTERNAL USE ONLY - NOT FOR EXTERNAL DISTRIBUTION
TYPES OF REITS
REIT
(Real Estate Investment Trust)
Equity REIT:
Owns and operates income
producing assets. This
represents 90% of all
REITs.
Mortgage REIT:
Lends money to an owner
of real estate and does not
have direct ownership of an
asset. This represents
approx. 9% of all REITs.
Hybrid REIT:
A cross between a equity
and mortgage REIT and
represents approx. 1% of all
REITs.
FOR INTERNAL USE ONLY - NOT FOR EXTERNAL DISTRIBUTION
US REIT BREAKDOWN (BY MARKET CAP)
Source: NAREIT
Retail
Regional Malls
10.6%
Shopping Centers
9.1%
Apartments
12.5%
Office
12.2%
Industrial
4.8%%
Lodging/Resorts
5.2%
Mortgage
8.6%
Mixed
2.9%
Timber
6.3%
Health Care
12.6%
Diversified
9.1%
Manufactured Homes
0.7%
Self Storage
6.2%
FOR INTERNAL USE ONLY - NOT FOR EXTERNAL DISTRIBUTION
EQUITY REIT SECTORS
Property Type/ Top REITs Income Drivers Avg. Lease Duration
Hotel/ Lodging:
• Host Hotels & Resorts
• Hospitality Properties Trust
Room Rates
Occupancy levels
Daily
Self Storage:
• Public Storage
• Shurgard Storage Centers
Household Units, Size, and Income
Population and Economic Growth
Month – to – Month
Apartments:
• Equity Residential
• Avalonbay Communities
Employment 6 – 12 Months
Industrial:
• ProLogis
• AMB Property
Increase in flow of goods
Expansion in storage requirements
6 Years
Retail:
• Kimco Strips
• Simon Property Group Malls
Retailer demand
Consumer spending
3 – 5 Years (Strips)
7 – 10 Years (Malls)
10+ Years (Anchor)
Office:
• Boston Property
• SL Green Realty
Office Job Growth
Economic Conditions
5 – 7 Years (Suburban)
10 – 12 Years (Central Business District)
Health Care:
• HCP
• Ventas Inc.
Aging Demographics
Proximity to Oldest Daughter
Proximity to Nearest Hospital
10 – 15 Years
Source: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research
FOR INTERNAL USE ONLY - NOT FOR EXTERNAL DISTRIBUTION
 Sector Retail (Shopping Centers)
 History Started in 1958 | 1991 IPO that initiated modern REIT era;
NYSE-listed for ~20 years; S&P 500 in 2006
 Dividend $0.18 quarterly | $0.72 annually, ~3.9% yield (03/31/11)
 Shopping Center Properties 948 properties; 137.5M | 89.0M sq. ft. (gross/pro-rata)
 Geographic Footprint 44 states, Puerto Rico, Canada, Mexico and South America
 Occupancy (pro-rata) 5-year average: 94.2% | High: 96.3% (12/31/07) | Low: 92.3% (6/30/09)
 Enterprise Value $12.6B (03/31/11)
 Credit Rating Investment Grade  BBB+ | BBB+ | Baa1 (S&P | Fitch | Moody’s)
 FFO Guidance Range $1.17 - $1.21 per diluted share (Recurring FFO)
 First Call Consensus $1.20 per diluted share
LARGEST SHOPPING CENTER OWNER
AND OPERATOR IN NORTH AMERICA
FOR INTERNAL USE ONLY - NOT FOR EXTERNAL DISTRIBUTION
REIT RETURNS
1. Total return profile of a REIT stock includes stock price appreciation as well as dividend
yield
2. REITs outperformed the bigger market over longer periods of time (10, 15, 20 year spans)
39.5%
5.2%
3.0%
11.8% 11.0% 12.0%
22.6%
2.2% 2.9% 2.6%
6.9%
8.8%
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
20.0%
25.0%
30.0%
35.0%
40.0%
45.0%
1-Year 3-Year 5-Year 10-Year 15-Year 20-Year
Historical Compound Annual Total Returns: REITs vs. S&P 500
NAREIT Equity S&P 500
Source: NAREIT
REIT Return
Profile
Equity
Growth through
acquisitions,
developments,
redevelopments
Bond
Receive steady
stream of income
through lease
structures
FOR INTERNAL USE ONLY - NOT FOR EXTERNAL DISTRIBUTION
KEY REPORTING METRICS
OPERATING
Occupancy %:
 This is the amount of space being occupied for a
particular area (i.e. shopping center, office building).
 Occupancy % is calculated using the occupied space
divided by total space.
Leasing Spreads:
 This is the difference between the current rent and the
prior rent on a lease.
 A spread is calculated for all comparable leases which
include renewals, options and new leases.
Same Site Net Operating Income (NOI) Change:
 This measures NOI on the same pool of properties that
were owned + operated for the entirety of both periods,
which will provide insight as to how a portfolio of assets
are performing.
FINANCIAL
A. Funds From Operations (FFO) - as defined by
NAREIT:
 Net Income (Including any impairment charges)
 - gains from sale of property
 + real estate depreciation & amortization
 (include Prorata of share of unconsolidated JV)
 = FFO
B. Recurring FFO - defined individually by REIT:
 Reported FFO
 +/- non-recurring transactional items
 + impairment charges
 = Recurring FFO
C. Adjusted FFO (AFFO) - defined individually by REIT:
 Reported FFO
 - recurring capital expenditures
 +/- adjust for straight line / adjust for FAS 141
 +/- other non-cash activity
 = AFFO
FOR INTERNAL USE ONLY - NOT FOR EXTERNAL DISTRIBUTION
THE FOUR VALUATION METHODS
Methods Description Pros Cons
Price-to-FFO • Same as price-to-earnings
ratio
• Calculated as current stock
price/FFO per share
• Most standardized
comparison across all
REITs.
• May not be a robust proxy
for cash flow as it includes
non-cash items
• Doesn’t adjust for
differences in capital
structure
Price-to-Forward Net Asset
Value (NAV)
• Similar to using price to book
ratios
• Approximation of the
liquidation value of
underlying real estate,
before income taxes on
property sales
• Can apply different multiples
to different cash flows
• Can adjust the capital
structure to see levered vs.
unlevered
• Many assumptions needed
in the NAV calculations by
analyst
• Ignores the company’s
business enterprise
Dividend Yields • Calculated as the annual
dividend divided by the
current stock price.
• No assumptions needed
• Easily compared across all
companies and stock indices
• Need to look at AFFO
estimate and payout and
coverage ratios to determine
the quality of cash flow,
because dividend may be
set too high
Implied Cap Rates • Calculated by dividing
forward NOI estimate by
sum of equity market cap
based on today’s stock price,
plus NAV liabilities minus
NAV assets
• Reveals the real estate
returns required by capital
market
• There can be some
variations in calculating cap
rates
FOR INTERNAL USE ONLY - NOT FOR EXTERNAL DISTRIBUTION
NET ASSET VALUE (NAV)
 Attempt to approximate the liquidation value of the underlying real estate before the
impact of taxes on property sales
 A six step method is used when attaining NAV estimates
1. Determine forward 12-month cash net operating income (NOI)
 Revenue – Operating Exp. + Other Sources of Income = NOI
2. Determine market value of assets by applying a cap rate
 Net Pro Forma NOI / Cap Rate
3. Determine value of third party income
 Apply a cap rate or multiple to a third party income
4. Determine gross market value of assets
 After adding results from steps 2 and 3 together add all
assets to the total
5. Determine net market value of assets
 Deduct liabilities from step 4 to get NAV
6. Determine NAV per share
 NAV / Diluted Shares Outstanding = NAV per share
FOR INTERNAL USE ONLY - NOT FOR EXTERNAL DISTRIBUTION
REIT PRESENTATION SUMMARY
 REITs own and operate income-producing real estate
 REITs are not taxed at the corporate level
 REIT returns exhibit characteristics of both equities and bonds
 Three types of REITs
• Equity REIT
• Mortgage REIT
• Hybrid REIT
 Biggest sectors of REITs are in retail, health care, apartments, and office buildings
 Kimco led the way for many REITs to enter into the public market
 Three different calculations for funds from operations (FFO)
• FFO
• Normalized FFO
• Adjusted FFO (AFFO) – true cash flow
 Four different valuation methods used to calculate the value of a REIT
• Price-to-FFO
• Price-to-Forward NAV
• Dividend Yields
• Implied Cap Rates
FOR INTERNAL USE ONLY - NOT FOR EXTERNAL DISTRIBUTION
QUESTIONS?

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Shopping Center Financial Workshop

  • 1. Financial Workshop 2012 • Basic Accounting • Investment Fundamentals • Investment Performance • Shopping Center Finance • Case Discussion • Investor Relations Instructor: Robert Scholem, CPM®, CSM, CRX Property Management Education Series
  • 2. Improve Field and Corporate Processes PROGRAMS Collect and Analyze Information STAKEHOLDER COMMUNICATION Develop Additional Services Department Work Streams PROCESS Improve and Develop Common Standards FOUNDATION BUILDING VALUE CREATION PEOPLE Develop Core Competencies EXPENSE MANAGEMENT INCOME GENERATION
  • 3. Business Areas and Core Initiatives Business Areas Core Initiatives • Property maintenance • Field inspection / audits • Tenant relations • Emergency response • Vacancy profiles • CAM / CAPEX budgeting • Policies / best practices • Competency assessment • Training and development • Property analytics • Vendor management • UMS • Gateway • Building efficiency retrofits • Rate optimization • On-site energy production (Solar, etc.) • Tenant EMS Field Operations Deliver best-in-class tenant experience while cost effectively managing and maintaining our properties. Corporate Services Support improved field operations and services by developing effective people and processes. Energy Services Create and manage energy initiatives that reduce expense or generate additional income. • Trash / recycling • Storage trailers • HVAC maintenance Tenant Services Create and manage non-energy initiatives that reduce expense or generate additional income. • Other services
  • 4. Accounting Basics  General Ledger: is a series of pages in a notebook for entering receipts and expenses by account. A separate ledger is maintained for each account. An account is a series of items paid regularly, and grouped by activity or purpose.  Balance Sheet, Assets and Liabilities: is a statement of the financial position of a firm or property; normally calculated at the end of a fiscal period. Asset: something owned by or owed to the business. Liability: something not owned by the firm, but something for which the firm is responsible. Such as: debt, loans, bills, mortgages  Owners’ Equity: is the difference between the Assets and Liabilities.
  • 5. Basic Accounting Principles Cash Accounting  Is a system of making entries into accounts when bills are paid and expenditures are made. Accrual Accounting  Is an accounting system in which income and expenses are entered into the books when they are due. Cash Flow The site manager’s performance overall is based on the ability to meet the following goals:  Generate income; both gross and net  Meet budget projections for income and expenses  Control expenditures while maintaining the physical integrity of the property  Satisfy the owner’s financial goals for the investment
  • 6. Cash Flow Calculation Gross potential rental income - Vacancy and rental loss + Miscellaneous income = Effective gross income - Operating expenses = Net operating income (NOI) - Debt service - Capital expenses = Cash flow
  • 7. Net Operating Income (NOI) A key value found on the Cash Flow Model is net operating income (NOI). NOI is important because the assumptions and judgments made in calculating NOI have great impact on the ultimate decision to invest in a given property and at what price. Lenders use NOI to determine loan amount, investors look at NOI to determine what they will pay, and appraisers use it to determine market value.
  • 8. Managers and the Bottom Line  Empty space reduces the amount of effective gross income.  Prompt collections policy reduces potential late fees or interest on bills or delayed maintenance.  Lack of good maintenance may adversely impact tenant retention, and thereby income  Careful record keeping for sound budgeting.  Accurate forecasting and pacing maintenance to minimize variances from budget.
  • 9. Investments What is an investment ?  An investment is an expenditure of money for income or profit; capital outlay.  Investments are dynamic in nature.  Some investments produce guaranteed income while others fluctuate depending on market conditions. The Four Investor Questions: 1. How much money goes into the investment? 2. When? 3. How much money comes out of the investment? 4. When?
  • 10. Types of Investments  Loan Type Investments: Rate of Return: Stated Investor Position – Loan Examples: Bonds Mortgages Land Contracts Securitized Debt  Equity Investments: Rate of Return: Variable Investor Position – Ownership Examples: Stocks Partnership interests Collectibles Real Estate
  • 11. Investment Characteristics  Liquidity: The ability to convert an asset to cash quickly, without loss of principle.  Marketability: The ability to convert the asset to cash quickly, at any price.  Leverage: The use of borrowed funds to finance a portion of the purchase price of an investment.  Management: The cost of monitoring an investment.  Tax Impact: The effect of federal income tax laws on the income, profits, or losses from an investment.  Rate of Return (yield): A measure of investment performance.  Risk: The possibility of losing either the principle invested and/or the potential income from the investment.
  • 12. Risk Management  Risk analysis: The process of evaluating alternative investments based on their level of risk.  Diversification: Investing in multiple investments with varying risk levels reduces the chance that all investments will be affected by the same turn of events.  Insurance: Protection against costs incurred by external events.  Shifting risk: Leases can be structured to shift exposure of increased costs.  Forms of Ownership: Investors can structure ownership to limit losses to their capital.  Due diligence: The process of examining a property and all related materials to reduce risk.
  • 13. Valuing Real Estate Investments Types of Value: 1. Investment Value: Value to a specific investor 2. Insurable Value: Value of those portions of physical property 3. Assessed Value: Established by tax assessor 4. Liquidation Value: Price resulting from a forced sale 5. Replacement Value: Value of a substitute property 6. Market Value: “The most probable price a property would bring in a competitive and open market”
  • 14. Appraisal Approaches to Market Value  Sales Comparison Approach: This approach equates the value of a property to prices that buyers have historically paid for similar properties, or “comparison shopping”.  Cost Approach: Considers the current cost of reproducing a property minus accrued depreciation; which includes: physical deterioration, functional obsolescence, and external obsolescence.  Income Approach: Is based on the premise that a correlation exists between the income a property produces and its value.
  • 15. Direct Capitalization Direct capitalization is a process of converting a one-year of stabilized NOI into a market value of a property. Investors use this method to determine investment value. Direct Capitalization (IRV) Formula: I where: V = Market Value V = I = First year NOI R R = Capitalization Rate
  • 16. Using Cap Rates Example: What value should I use for a property? Local retail property A sells for $9,500,000 with a NOI of $665,000; what is the Cap Rate: $665,000 ÷ $9,500,000 = 7.00 % Local retail property B sells for $7,750,000 with a NOI of $550,250; what is the Cap Rate: $550,250 ÷ $7,750,000 = 7.10 % Local retail property C is for sale with a NOI of $625,000; what should we value the property? If we take the average Cap Rate of 7.05%: $625,000 ÷ 7.05% = $ 8,865,248 value If we want a value based on a 8% return: $625,000 ÷ 8.00% = $ 7,812,500 value
  • 17. Direct Capitalization (Cap Rate)  Investors use Direct Capitalization to determine Investment Value  Appraisers use Direct Capitalization to determine Market Value Advantages: Simplicity of calculation Accounts for Vacancy and Credit Loss Disadvantages: Does not account for financing and impact of taxation Only looks at a one year forecast Utilizing the IRV formula : Income (NOI) X Cap Rate = Investment Value Value works inversely to Rate; so the higher the Cap Rate, the lower the property value. Consequently, the lower the Cap Rate, the higher the property value.
  • 18. Income Approach to Market Value Direct Capitalization: Is the process of converting a one-year stabilized NOI into a market value of the property. Using V = I/R Deriving value using Cap Rate: 1. Use comparable sales with known NOI to calculate a cap rate (R); 2. Divide property NOI (I) by the cap rate (R) to determine the value (V) Discounted Cash Flow: This model determines property value by discounting the following values to a present value: NOI for all years until sale Sale proceeds Applying Discounted Cash Flow 1. Develop forecast of each year NOI 2. Estimate sales reversion 3. Determine appropriate discount rate 4. Solve for Present Value (PV) A discount rate is not the same as a capitalization rate. A discount rate is used to convert a specified future income stream for a given period plus the sale proceeds into a present value or internal rate of return (IRR). An overall capitalization rate (cap rate) is computed by dividing the NOI of a recent sold comparable by its sale price.
  • 19. Investment Value Sales Comparison Approach This method determines a property’s worth relative to other comparable properties that have been recent sold in the market; in terms of price per square foot or unit. Price/square foot X Total square feet of building Investment value Pros: Investor can compare the per square foot costs of an existing property to current land and construction costs. Can compare old and new properties. Cons: Disregards the income of a property thus investment performance. Lacks sufficient comparables for specialized properties. Gross Rent Multiplier The investment value of a property is determined using the “gross rents’ an investor anticipates the property will produce at EOY 1 (or potential rental income (PRI)) multiplied by a given factor (GRM). Gross rent multiplier X Forecast 1st year PRI = Value Pros: Its simplicity; little information required Cons: Simplicity also limits its reliability since it does not take into account; vacancy loss, operating expenses, financing, and tax impacts.
  • 20. Internal Rate of Return (IRR) The IRR for an investment is the percentage rate that each dollar earns each year while it remains in the investment. Represents the “Return On” portion of the investment and is expressed as an annual percentage rate.  In order to have a POSITIVE IRR, there must be a complete return of the initial investment.  This can be from either the periodic cash flows, or from the sale of the property, or from both  If there is NOT a complete return of the initial investment, the IRR will be NEGATIVE  A return EQUAL to the initial investment yields an IRR+ZERO Pros: Common investment measure Incorporates entire Cash Flow Model Answers 4 basic investment questions Cons: Measures “internal” rate only Does not account for reinvestment May understate the true initial cost of the deal
  • 21. Net Present Value (NPV) The NPV is a measurement of how much more or less an investor can pay in order to achieve a desired yield in relation to a given initial investment and corresponding IRR. The NPV of an investment is the sum of the present values of all future cash flows, netted against (added to) the initial investment.  A Negative NPV indicates: The investment generates a yield that is LESS than the investor’s desired yield. The investor would have to pay that much LESS for the investment in order to achieve the desired result.  A Positive NPV indicates: The investment generates a yield GREATER than the investor’s desired yield. The investor could pay that much MORE for the investment and still achieve the desired yield.
  • 22. Cash Flow Worksheet Cash Flow Analysis Worksheet Property Name: Pine Grove S/C Square Footage: 53,040 Mortgage Data Amount: Purchase Price: 7,100,000 $ Interest Rate: Acquisition Costs (+): 71,000 Amortization Period Loan Fees/Costs(+): 125,000 Loan Term Mortgages (-): (3,786,435) Periodic Payment Initial Investment: 3,509,565 $ Annual Debt Service Operating Year 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Income: Base Rent 749,887 759,935 769,898 775,858 776,634 777,426 778,234 779,058 Less; Vacancy/Credit Loss 5.00% % (37,494) (37,997) (38,495) (38,793) (38,832) (38,871) (38,912) (38,953) Effective Rental Income 712,393 721,939 731,403 737,065 737,803 738,555 739,323 740,105 Common Area Reimbursement 34,749 35,791 36,865 37,971 39,110 40,284 41,492 42,737 Insurance Reimbursement 41,580 42,827 44,112 45,436 46,799 48,203 49,649 51,138 Real Estate Tax Reimbursement 174,903 180,150 185,555 191,122 196,855 202,761 208,844 215,109 Other Income Sub 251,232 258,769 266,532 274,528 282,764 291,247 299,985 308,984 Gross Operating Income 963,625 980,708 997,935 1,011,593 1,020,567 1,029,802 1,039,307 1,049,090 Expenses: psf Common Area 0.66 35,100 36,153 37,238 38,355 39,505 40,691 41,911 43,169 Insurance 0.79 42,000 43,260 44,558 45,895 47,271 48,690 50,150 51,655 Real Estate Tax 3.33 176,670 181,970 187,429 193,052 198,844 204,809 210,953 217,282 Management 0.71 37,494 37,997 38,495 38,793 38,832 38,871 38,912 38,953 Ground Lease 2.84 150,874 150,874 150,874 150,874 150,874 150,874 150,874 150,874 Total Expense 8.34 442,138 450,254 458,593 466,968 475,326 483,934 492,800 501,932 Net Operating Income 521,487 530,454 539,342 544,625 545,241 545,868 546,507 547,158 Mortgage Interest 213,156 209,102 204,807 200,257 195,436 190,328 184,916 179,183 Cost Recovery/Depr. 39yr 145,641 145,641 145,641 145,641 145,641 145,641 145,641 145,641 Capital improvements 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Leasing Commissions 5,000 5,000 5,000 5,000 5,000 5,000 5,000 5,000 Taxable Income 157,690 170,711 183,894 193,727 199,164 204,899 210,950 217,333 Tax Liability (Savings) 34.00% % 53,614 58,042 62,524 65,867 67,716 69,666 71,723 73,893 Net Operating Income 521,487 530,454 539,342 544,625 545,241 545,868 546,507 547,158 Annual Debt Sevice 281,326 281,326 281,326 281,326 281,326 281,326 281,326 281,326 Funded Reserves Cash Flow before Taxes 240,161 249,128 258,016 263,299 263,915 264,542 265,181 265,832 Tax Liability (Savings) 53,614 58,042 62,524 65,867 67,716 69,666 71,723 73,893 Cash Flow after Taxes 186,546 191,086 195,492 197,432 196,199 194,876 193,458 191,938
  • 23. Cap Rate and IRR EOY Cash Flows + Sale Proceeds 0 ($2,909,565.00) 1 $186,546.00 + $0.00 2 $191,086.00 + $0.00 3 $195,492.00 + $0.00 4 $197,432.00 + $0.00 5 $195,199.00 + $0.00 6 $194,876.00 + $0.00 7 $193,458.00 + $5,266,766.00 8 $0.00 + $0.00 9 $0.00 + $0.00 10 $0.00 + $0.00 0.00% $3,711,290.00 14.14% Internal Rate of Return Pine Grove S/C 8% Cap analysis Annual NPV and IRR Calculations NPV Discount Rate Net Present Value EOY Cash Flows + Sale Proceeds 0 ($3,509,656.00) 1 $186,546.00 + $0.00 2 $191,086.00 + $0.00 3 $195,492.00 + $0.00 4 $197,432.00 + $0.00 5 $195,199.00 + $0.00 6 $194,876.00 + $0.00 7 $193,458.00 + $5,266,766.00 8 $0.00 + $0.00 9 $0.00 + $0.00 10 $0.00 + $0.00 0.00% $3,111,199.00 10.76% Annual NPV and IRR Calculations Internal Rate of Return Pine Grove S/C 7% Cap analysis NPV Discount Rate Net Present Value
  • 24. Effects on Cap Rates  Market Conditions/Economy  Location  Cost of Money (Interest Rates)  Tenant Mix  Occupancy  Property Condition  Available Parking  Comparable Sales
  • 25. Impacts on Shopping Center Value Workshop on Income and Expenses on Value Cash Flow Analysis Worksheet Property Name: River Plaza Square Footage: 35,291 Mortgage Data Amount: Purchase Price: 10,980,000 $ Interest Rate: Acquisition Costs (+): 400,000 Amortization Period Loan Fees/Costs(+): 180,000 Loan Term Mortgages (-): (8,300,000) Periodic Payment Initial Investment: 3,260,000 $ Annual Debt Service Operating Year 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Income: Base Rent $811,914 $814,908 $837,142 $849,412 $852,554 $859,625 $877,972 $881,271 Less; Vacancy/Credit Loss 5% (40,596) (40,745) (41,857) (42,471) (42,628) (42,981) (43,899) (44,064) Effective Rental Income 771,318 774,162 795,285 806,941 809,927 816,643 834,073 837,207 Common Area Reimbursement 93,698 96,509 99,404 102,386 105,457 108,621 111,880 115,236 Insurance Reimbursement 9,529 9,814 10,109 10,412 10,724 11,046 11,378 11,719 Real Estate Tax Reimbursement 111,167 114,502 117,937 121,475 125,119 128,873 132,739 136,721 Other Income 2,500 2,500 2,500 2,500 2,500 2,500 2,500 2,500 Sub 216,893 223,325 229,949 236,773 243,801 251,040 258,496 266,176 Gross Operating Income 988,211 997,487 1,025,235 1,043,714 1,053,728 1,067,683 1,092,569 1,103,383 Expenses: psf Common Area 2.95 104,108 107,232 110,449 113,762 117,175 120,690 124,311 128,040 Insurance 0.30 10,587 10,905 11,232 11,569 11,916 12,274 12,642 13,021 Real Estate Tax 3.50 123,519 127,224 131,041 134,972 139,021 143,192 147,488 151,912 Management 4% 1.12 39,528 39,899 41,009 41,749 42,149 42,707 43,703 44,135 Operational 0.02 706 727 749 771 794 818 843 868 Total Expense 7.89 278,449 285,987 294,480 302,823 311,056 319,681 328,986 337,977 Net Operating Income 709,762 711,500 730,755 740,891 742,672 748,002 763,584 765,406 Mortgage Interest 576,978 567,799 557,956 547,402 536,085 523,950 510,937 496,984 Cost Recovery-Improvements 39 yrs 230,770 230,770 230,770 230,770 230,770 230,770 230,770 230,770 Capital Improvements 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Leasing Commissions Taxable Income (97,986) (87,069) (57,971) (37,281) (24,183) (6,718) 21,877 37,652 Tax Liability (Savings) 34% Tax Rate (33,315) (29,604) (19,710) (12,675) (8,222) (2,284) 7,438 12,802 Net Operating Income 709,762 711,500 730,755 740,891 742,672 748,002 763,584 765,406 Annual Debt Sevice 703,952 703,952 703,952 703,952 703,952 703,952 703,952 703,952 Funded Reserves Cash Flow before Taxes 5,810 7,548 26,803 36,939 38,720 44,050 59,632 61,454 Tax Liability (Savings) (33,315) (29,604) (19,710) (12,675) (8,222) (2,284) 7,438 12,802 Cash Flow after Taxes 39,125 37,151 46,513 49,615 46,942 46,334 52,194 48,653 Value: Cap Rate @ 7.00% 10,139,463 10,164,284 10,439,355 10,584,159 10,609,599 10,685,746 10,908,337 10,934,378
  • 26. Exploring The REIT Industry
  • 27. WHAT IS A REIT? • Real Estate Investment Trust (REIT): A company that owns and for the most part operates income- producing real estate (Examples: apartments, office buildings, warehouses, shopping centers, etc.) • Formed in 1960 when congress passed the Real Estate Investment Trust Act This allowed small investors to have access to commercial real estate by owning shares of a REIT stock • Can be either publically traded, non-exchange traded, or privately held Investor benefits diversification & liquidity • REIT industry trade organization is National Association of Real Estate Investment Trusts (NAREIT) www.reit.com But management of assets was not permitted until 1986 Act FOR INTERNAL USE ONLY - NOT FOR EXTERNAL DISTRIBUTION
  • 28. THE EVOLUTION OF THE REIT INDUSTRY US REIT BY GROWTH AND MARKET CAP Source: NAREIT KEY POINTS: –REITs own approx. $730 billion of commercial real estate Approx. 10%-15% of the overall commercial real estate market –2009/2010 – Avg. about 98 equity offerings $25B –REIT investor acceptance 15 REITs currently in S&P 500 (Kimco April 2006) 1960 – Initial formation of the REIT Industry 1971 – Market Cap $1.5B 1986 – Tax Reform Act: REITs integrate property mgmt. 2001 - REIT Modernization Act: Allowed REITs to boost earnings through TRS 2006 – Market Cap: $400B 2010 – Market Cap $391B 1991 – Modern REIT Era: Kimco leads the way! 1992 – Formation of UPREITs and DownREITs 2008 – Economic Recession FOR INTERNAL USE ONLY - NOT FOR EXTERNAL DISTRIBUTION
  • 29. THE REIT STRUCTURE •Why be a REIT Tax election •Primary benefit : • Do not pay any corporate income tax $ taxed at investor level •REITs must adhere to several compliance requirements: • Distribute at least 90% of taxable net income as dividends to shareholders • Derive at least 75% of gross income from real estate income • Have at least 75% of assets in real estate • Have a minimum of 100 Shareholders • No more than 50% of shares be held by 5 or fewer individuals • Have no more than 25% of assets invested in stocks of TRS •Additionally: • Can generate additional revenue through taxable REIT subsidiary (TRS) • TRS allows REITs to engage in ancillary business activities FOR INTERNAL USE ONLY - NOT FOR EXTERNAL DISTRIBUTION
  • 30. REIT INVESTOR ADVANTAGES 1. For public traded REITs Liquidity *Investors buy/sell shares more easily than through traditionally real estate investments 2. Manageable portfolio diversification Not limited to any specific real estate class 3. Low initial investment vs. traditional real estate investment – Kimco trading in the $18 per share range 4. Shareholder not personally liable for debt incurred by REIT 5. Does not pay corporate income tax 6. Distribute at least 90% of taxable income as dividends to shareholders (dividend yield valuation consideration) Since 1995 April 2011 Equity REITs 5.9% 3.3% 10-Yr Treasury Bond 4.7% 3.3% S&P 500 1.8% 1.9% Average Dividend Yield Source: NAREIT, Bloomberg FOR INTERNAL USE ONLY - NOT FOR EXTERNAL DISTRIBUTION
  • 31. TYPES OF REITS REIT (Real Estate Investment Trust) Equity REIT: Owns and operates income producing assets. This represents 90% of all REITs. Mortgage REIT: Lends money to an owner of real estate and does not have direct ownership of an asset. This represents approx. 9% of all REITs. Hybrid REIT: A cross between a equity and mortgage REIT and represents approx. 1% of all REITs. FOR INTERNAL USE ONLY - NOT FOR EXTERNAL DISTRIBUTION
  • 32. US REIT BREAKDOWN (BY MARKET CAP) Source: NAREIT Retail Regional Malls 10.6% Shopping Centers 9.1% Apartments 12.5% Office 12.2% Industrial 4.8%% Lodging/Resorts 5.2% Mortgage 8.6% Mixed 2.9% Timber 6.3% Health Care 12.6% Diversified 9.1% Manufactured Homes 0.7% Self Storage 6.2% FOR INTERNAL USE ONLY - NOT FOR EXTERNAL DISTRIBUTION
  • 33. EQUITY REIT SECTORS Property Type/ Top REITs Income Drivers Avg. Lease Duration Hotel/ Lodging: • Host Hotels & Resorts • Hospitality Properties Trust Room Rates Occupancy levels Daily Self Storage: • Public Storage • Shurgard Storage Centers Household Units, Size, and Income Population and Economic Growth Month – to – Month Apartments: • Equity Residential • Avalonbay Communities Employment 6 – 12 Months Industrial: • ProLogis • AMB Property Increase in flow of goods Expansion in storage requirements 6 Years Retail: • Kimco Strips • Simon Property Group Malls Retailer demand Consumer spending 3 – 5 Years (Strips) 7 – 10 Years (Malls) 10+ Years (Anchor) Office: • Boston Property • SL Green Realty Office Job Growth Economic Conditions 5 – 7 Years (Suburban) 10 – 12 Years (Central Business District) Health Care: • HCP • Ventas Inc. Aging Demographics Proximity to Oldest Daughter Proximity to Nearest Hospital 10 – 15 Years Source: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research FOR INTERNAL USE ONLY - NOT FOR EXTERNAL DISTRIBUTION
  • 34.  Sector Retail (Shopping Centers)  History Started in 1958 | 1991 IPO that initiated modern REIT era; NYSE-listed for ~20 years; S&P 500 in 2006  Dividend $0.18 quarterly | $0.72 annually, ~3.9% yield (03/31/11)  Shopping Center Properties 948 properties; 137.5M | 89.0M sq. ft. (gross/pro-rata)  Geographic Footprint 44 states, Puerto Rico, Canada, Mexico and South America  Occupancy (pro-rata) 5-year average: 94.2% | High: 96.3% (12/31/07) | Low: 92.3% (6/30/09)  Enterprise Value $12.6B (03/31/11)  Credit Rating Investment Grade  BBB+ | BBB+ | Baa1 (S&P | Fitch | Moody’s)  FFO Guidance Range $1.17 - $1.21 per diluted share (Recurring FFO)  First Call Consensus $1.20 per diluted share LARGEST SHOPPING CENTER OWNER AND OPERATOR IN NORTH AMERICA FOR INTERNAL USE ONLY - NOT FOR EXTERNAL DISTRIBUTION
  • 35. REIT RETURNS 1. Total return profile of a REIT stock includes stock price appreciation as well as dividend yield 2. REITs outperformed the bigger market over longer periods of time (10, 15, 20 year spans) 39.5% 5.2% 3.0% 11.8% 11.0% 12.0% 22.6% 2.2% 2.9% 2.6% 6.9% 8.8% 0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 25.0% 30.0% 35.0% 40.0% 45.0% 1-Year 3-Year 5-Year 10-Year 15-Year 20-Year Historical Compound Annual Total Returns: REITs vs. S&P 500 NAREIT Equity S&P 500 Source: NAREIT REIT Return Profile Equity Growth through acquisitions, developments, redevelopments Bond Receive steady stream of income through lease structures FOR INTERNAL USE ONLY - NOT FOR EXTERNAL DISTRIBUTION
  • 36. KEY REPORTING METRICS OPERATING Occupancy %:  This is the amount of space being occupied for a particular area (i.e. shopping center, office building).  Occupancy % is calculated using the occupied space divided by total space. Leasing Spreads:  This is the difference between the current rent and the prior rent on a lease.  A spread is calculated for all comparable leases which include renewals, options and new leases. Same Site Net Operating Income (NOI) Change:  This measures NOI on the same pool of properties that were owned + operated for the entirety of both periods, which will provide insight as to how a portfolio of assets are performing. FINANCIAL A. Funds From Operations (FFO) - as defined by NAREIT:  Net Income (Including any impairment charges)  - gains from sale of property  + real estate depreciation & amortization  (include Prorata of share of unconsolidated JV)  = FFO B. Recurring FFO - defined individually by REIT:  Reported FFO  +/- non-recurring transactional items  + impairment charges  = Recurring FFO C. Adjusted FFO (AFFO) - defined individually by REIT:  Reported FFO  - recurring capital expenditures  +/- adjust for straight line / adjust for FAS 141  +/- other non-cash activity  = AFFO FOR INTERNAL USE ONLY - NOT FOR EXTERNAL DISTRIBUTION
  • 37. THE FOUR VALUATION METHODS Methods Description Pros Cons Price-to-FFO • Same as price-to-earnings ratio • Calculated as current stock price/FFO per share • Most standardized comparison across all REITs. • May not be a robust proxy for cash flow as it includes non-cash items • Doesn’t adjust for differences in capital structure Price-to-Forward Net Asset Value (NAV) • Similar to using price to book ratios • Approximation of the liquidation value of underlying real estate, before income taxes on property sales • Can apply different multiples to different cash flows • Can adjust the capital structure to see levered vs. unlevered • Many assumptions needed in the NAV calculations by analyst • Ignores the company’s business enterprise Dividend Yields • Calculated as the annual dividend divided by the current stock price. • No assumptions needed • Easily compared across all companies and stock indices • Need to look at AFFO estimate and payout and coverage ratios to determine the quality of cash flow, because dividend may be set too high Implied Cap Rates • Calculated by dividing forward NOI estimate by sum of equity market cap based on today’s stock price, plus NAV liabilities minus NAV assets • Reveals the real estate returns required by capital market • There can be some variations in calculating cap rates FOR INTERNAL USE ONLY - NOT FOR EXTERNAL DISTRIBUTION
  • 38. NET ASSET VALUE (NAV)  Attempt to approximate the liquidation value of the underlying real estate before the impact of taxes on property sales  A six step method is used when attaining NAV estimates 1. Determine forward 12-month cash net operating income (NOI)  Revenue – Operating Exp. + Other Sources of Income = NOI 2. Determine market value of assets by applying a cap rate  Net Pro Forma NOI / Cap Rate 3. Determine value of third party income  Apply a cap rate or multiple to a third party income 4. Determine gross market value of assets  After adding results from steps 2 and 3 together add all assets to the total 5. Determine net market value of assets  Deduct liabilities from step 4 to get NAV 6. Determine NAV per share  NAV / Diluted Shares Outstanding = NAV per share FOR INTERNAL USE ONLY - NOT FOR EXTERNAL DISTRIBUTION
  • 39. REIT PRESENTATION SUMMARY  REITs own and operate income-producing real estate  REITs are not taxed at the corporate level  REIT returns exhibit characteristics of both equities and bonds  Three types of REITs • Equity REIT • Mortgage REIT • Hybrid REIT  Biggest sectors of REITs are in retail, health care, apartments, and office buildings  Kimco led the way for many REITs to enter into the public market  Three different calculations for funds from operations (FFO) • FFO • Normalized FFO • Adjusted FFO (AFFO) – true cash flow  Four different valuation methods used to calculate the value of a REIT • Price-to-FFO • Price-to-Forward NAV • Dividend Yields • Implied Cap Rates FOR INTERNAL USE ONLY - NOT FOR EXTERNAL DISTRIBUTION