The document summarizes the impact of the war in Ukraine on energy and sustainability. It discusses how the war has caused a "great decoupling" as countries move away from Russian energy imports. This is leading countries to extend coal use, import more LNG, implement energy savings, and accelerate the expansion of renewables. It also notes rising commodity prices and challenges to global food and financial systems. The document argues that energy transitions will be disruptive but also presents opportunities to build more sustainable and inclusive energy-economic systems. Overall it examines the wide-ranging effects of the war and calls for responsible leadership to manage challenges and advance a decarbonized future.

1. Bridging the Gap
Changing Energies- Changes Politics and Communities
The impact of the War in Ukraine
15th June 2022
Adriaan Kamp- Founder of Energy For One World

2. The Frame
How do we fuel 9 Billion People sharing One Planet
over the coming generations- Free of Concerns?
(Bridging the Gap)

3. 3
2021
2030-2050
7.9 Billion
People
10 Billion
People
100 trillion
USD
economy
180-210
trillion USD
225 million
oil eq/day
(15 TW)
500- 750 million
oil eq/day
(55 TW)
414 ppm CO2 and Carbon Budget
consumed for 1.5 degrees/ 21st
century
??? ppm CO2 and
Climate Change Effects

4. Question for the 21st century: Will it all fit?
4

5. Club of Rome (2nd March 1972-2nd March 2022):
50 years Limits to Growth
1972 Limits To Growth.First UN Environmental Conference in Stockholm, Sweden.
Establishment of UNEP in Kenya.
1972 Henry Kissinger and Richard Nixon visit China
1975 End of Vietnam War
1979 Margaret Thatcher PM of UK
1981: Reagan becomes president of the USA. Start of NeoLiberal World Order.
1986: Microsoft IPO
1987 Gro Brundtland Report: “ Our Common Future” Gordon Gekko “ Greed is
Good” in Wall Street Blockbuster Movie
1989 Fall Berlin Wall
1992 Rio Conference
1995 First COP meeting in Bonn
1996 Start of Mobile Internet
2000 China joins WTO- and global free-trade got its other boost
2000 Millenium Development Goals
2001 9/11 - Fall of Twin Tower
2012 Rio + 20
2015 COP21, UNSDGs adopted at UN. Laudato Si!
2021 COP26

6. Sir David Attenborough: A Life on our Planet
6

7. COP26, Boris Johnson (ala James Bond), Sir David
Attenborough and a Single Number 414

8. Science Community : 10 Years

9. COP26 Optimism, New Initiatives and Breakthroughs
Stop Deforestation 2030
Methane Emission Reductions 30% 2030
Clean Technology Initiative
FGANZ- 130 trillion USD in asset finance
First Movers Coalition/ Breakthrough Catalysts
End Fossil Fuel (Coal) Investments/ Beyond Oil and Gas Alliance
Phasing-out the Combustion engine for LCVs
UK-India New Grid Initiative
UK-SouthAfrica New Power Initiative
UK - ESA space Agency Climate Change Research
Scotland Loss and Damage Fund
Etc etc

10. New Coptimism: China- US collaboration on Climate Action

11. SG Guterres at IPCC 6th
assessment mitigation report
publication, 4th April 2022
SG Guterres at Stockholm+50

14. War in Ukraine,
in the “ Year of the Tiger” :
A rare combination of Geo-political interests- , international
security- and global system fault lines that collide:
“ A perfect storm” .
(“ Democracy vs Autocracy”
1. Energy, Energy System and Commodity
Prices, and Access Uncertainties: The
Great-Decoupling
2. De-coupling and glocalisation of Global Value
Chains: Geo-politics, Security, post-Covid,
3. Inflation, Debts, Economic Risks and Stability
International Finance System (risks,
uncertainties)
4. Food, Energy and Finance Insecurities in
Developing and Developed Nations: Rise of
Poverties
5. Nature Agenda, Nature Crisis
6. US/ Western Political System- US Elections,
Western Re-actions, Chaos vs Order.
XiJinping re-election (“ Year of the Tiger”)

15. Ukraine War: (Covid-, Climate-), Food-, Energy-, Finance &
Debt-, Cost of Living- Crisis

17. War in Ukraine
Impact on Energy and Sustainability : “The Great De-coupling” (1)
Closing the Ranks: If…then…Me, We, They,
Them and The Others…
….Are we truly “ in control” ?
Extension of Coal Licenses,
Imports of new LNG to Europe from US, Qatar
Energy Saving Measures,
Sanctioning of Russia Economy and Oil and Gas imports,
(Western Companies sanctionting or exiting Russian Assets
and Market)
Rationing of Gas Consumption,
Doubling of Renewables Capacities,
Subsidizing of Energy Bills to the Consumers,
Access to Oil Reserves,
Scouting for New Safe Resource Basins, including New
Fracking,
Accelerating Transitions, etc. etc.

18. And Russian growing list of actions in Energy Land to Europe
● Payments in Roebels
● Gas cut-off Bulgaria, Poland. Yamal line closure
● Electricity cut-off Finland
● Gas cut-off Netherlands
● (EU 6th sanction package) Ban on Russian Oil into Europe

19. And the “ Prize of War” : Commodity Prices, Market Anxieties

20. 2022
War in Ukraine: Geo-Politics &
Multi-national World order, Peace,
Energy- New Energy Securities, Food,
Finance & Debt, Cost-of Living

21. Some Solutions
(From 99 Theses to Build Back Better)

22. From Old School Economics to Peace-Led Sustainable Economics (1)

23. Sachs on the “ Economy of Francesco” (2)

24. From 80-20 till (60-40) till 20-80 before 2050.

25. Elon Musk: A Future Worth Getting Excited about

26. China Dream: Envision, StateGrid

29. 29

30. 1 Energy is a system- behind every button, switch
and fuel pump is a myriad of connections.
2. Energy Transition is a Process, not a destination
and it cannot be delivered all in one go.
3. Diversity in energy systems is increasing in the
broadest sense- geographies, technologies, skills,
and cultures
4. The Future of Energy cannot be predicted, but
better energy futures can be co-created if we avoid
fear , and open-up to new and progressive bridges
and pathways
5. Energy Technology Transition always involves
societal disruption and transformation
1. Rebalancing act between our Engineered World
with that of Nature.
2. Rebalancing act between ourselves- Rich- Poor,
North-South, East-West, Have and Have nots.
3. It is about the Climate AND it is about the UN
SDGs
4. It is about making new Energy-Economies
Architectures: Sustainable, Inclusive and Free
of Concerns. Here and There. Now and
Tomorrow
5. It is about Responsible, Decent and Servant
Leadership
WEC 100 years lessons on Energy
Transitions
EFOW 10 years lessons with Energy
Transition
( e.g. 99 Theses to Build Back Better)
WEC : World Energy Council led by Dr Angela Wilkinson

31. 31
UN SDGs- Global Responsibilities

32. UNSDGS- Accelerating the Critical Transitions Required
32

34. 34
UN Global Compact- 21 years: It needs your HELP!

35. 197 countries need to change

36. A Couple of (Policy) Recommendations
(from 99 Theses to Build Back Better)
1. Re-frame our present neo-liberal free-market Economies, there where
required: From Wealth to Well-Being, and in more harmony with Nature
2. Take Energy Transition Seriously- for making Energy-Economies Free of
Concerns:
Realize the 3 to 4 tn USD/annum Finance, Capacities and Capabilities
Build-up for “The Great Electrification”.
3. Re-organize present Energy Market Constellation- see Quadrant-, in the
West and with the Rest: Away from Free Market, Portfolio Opportunism &
Sole Ownerships towards true new and shared R&R and commitments
towards New Energy Architectures.( “ Utility to the People” - there where
relevant).
4. Realize UNSDGs in Trade and Trade Relations. Businesses and Governments
can act here more aligned and attuned. Strengthen UN Global Compact.

37. “Sweetspot”
37

38. "The invitation we have today is to see and to blend our consciousness
and care for (Deep) Peace, (Deep) Humanity and (Deep)
Ecology with our more mainstream energy economics and politics- at
play"
Let us direct our work and collective efforts towards attaining
“Energy Free of Concerns & Societies Free of Concerns”
Here and There. Now and Tomorrow
Adriaan Kamp
38

39. 39
1. Sustainable Development- a new kind of
Globalization (2016)
2. Sustainable Humanity (2012)
3. We can no longer manage decency (2018)
4. Aga Khan University Special Lecture Series:
Can we find a shared global ethics for the 21st
century? (2020)
“Leading Global Decency”

42. A practice on Global Change, Energy Architecture, UN SDG’s and Our Leadership.
Energy For One World
Adriaan Kamp (Founder)
Skype: Adriaan.Kamp
TelCall Direct line (Netherlands):
0031-614939194
E-Mail:
adriaankamp@energyforoneworld.com
www.EnergyForOneWorld.com