1. Energy, Climate and UN SDGs
The importance of Peace and the impact of (Ukraine) War
7th June 2022
Adriaan Kamp- Founder of Energy For One World
2.
3. War in Ukraine,
in the “ Year of the Tiger” :
A rare combination of Geo-political interests- , international
security- and global system fault lines that collide:
“ A perfect storm” .
(“ Democracy vs Autocracy”
1. Energy, Energy System and Commodity
Prices, and Access Uncertainties: The
Great-Decoupling
2. De-coupling and glocalisation of Global Value
Chains: Geo-politics, Security, post-Covid,
3. Inflation, Debts, Economic Risks and Stability
International Finance System (risks,
uncertainties)
4. Food, Energy and Finance Insecurities in
Developing and Developed Nations: Rise of
Poverties
5. Nature Agenda, Nature Crisis
6. US/ Western Political System- US Elections,
Western Re-actions, Chaos vs Order.
XiJinping re-election (“ Year of the Tiger”)
4. War in Ukraine
Impact on Energy and Sustainability : “The Great De-coupling” (1)
Closing the Ranks: If…then…Me, We, They,
Them and The Others…
….Are we truly “ in control” ?
Extension of Coal Licenses,
Imports of new LNG to Europe from US, Qatar
Energy Saving Measures,
Sanctioning of Russia Economy and Oil and Gas imports,
(Western Companies sanctionting or exiting Russian Assets
and Market)
Rationing of Gas Consumption,
Doubling of Renewables Capacities,
Subsidizing of Energy Bills to the Consumers,
Access to Oil Reserves,
Scouting for New Safe Resource Basins, including New
Fracking,
Accelerating Transitions, etc. etc.
5. War in Ukraine
Impact on Energy and Sustainability : “The Great De-coupling” (2)
"In uncertain times, one of bp's primary roles
is to maintain the safe, secure supply of the
energy on which societies depend. The
importance of that role has rarely been
clearer than in recent weeks."
Helge Lund, chair
6. And Russian growing list of actions in Energy Land to Europe
● Payments in Roebels
● Gas cut-off Bulgaria, Poland. Yamal line closure
● Electricity cut-off Finland
● Gas cut-off Netherlands
● (EU 6th sanction package) Ban on Russian Oil into Europe
7.
8. And the “ Prize of War” : Commodity Prices, Market Anxieties
10. And another World that is eager & hungry for opportunities:
“ The Prize” : Oil, Food, Power, Influence & Weapons
(Security), Jobs, Economy….
Ukraine crisis: Why India is
buying more Russian oil
12. 12
2021
2030-2050
7.9 Billion
People
10 Billion
People
100 trillion
USD
economy
180-210
trillion USD
225 million
oil eq/day
(15 TW)
500- 750 million
oil eq/day
(55 TW)
414 ppm CO2 and Carbon Budget
consumed for 1.5 degrees/ 21st
century
??? ppm CO2 and
Climate Change Effects
13. Club of Rome (2nd March 1972-2nd March 2022):
50 years Limits to Growth
1972 Limits To Growth.First UN Environmental Conference in Stockholm, Sweden.
Establishment of UNEP in Kenya.
1972 Henry Kissinger and Richard Nixon visit China
1975 End of Vietnam War
1979 Margaret Thatcher PM of UK
1981: Reagan becomes president of the USA. Start of NeoLiberal World Order.
1986: Microsoft IPO
1987 Gro Brundtland Report: “ Our Common Future” Gordon Gekko “ Greed is
Good” in Wall Street Blockbuster Movie
1989 Fall Berlin Wall
1992 Rio Conference
1995 First COP meeting in Bonn
1996 Start of Mobile Internet
2000 China joins WTO- and global free-trade got its other boost
2000 Millenium Development Goals
2001 9/11 - Fall of Twin Tower
2012 Rio + 20
2015 COP21, UNSDGs adopted at UN. Laudato Si!
2021 COP26
19. COP26, Boris Johnson (ala James Bond), Sir David
Attenborough and a Single Number 414
20. COP26 Optimism, New Initiatives and Breakthroughs
Stop Deforestation 2030
Methane Emission Reductions 30% 2030
Clean Technology Initiative
FGANZ- 130 trillion USD in asset finance
First Movers Coalition/ Breakthrough Catalysts
End Fossil Fuel (Coal) Investments/ Beyond Oil and Gas Alliance
Phasing-out the Combustion engine for LCVs
UK-India New Grid Initiative
UK-SouthAfrica New Power Initiative
UK - ESA space Agency Climate Change Research
Scotland Loss and Damage Fund
Etc etc
33. From 80-20 till (60-40) till 20-80 before 2050: 4 Trillion USD/annum
.
34. 1 Energy is a system- behind every button, switch
and fuel pump is a myriad of connections.
2. Energy Transition is a Process, not a destination
and it cannot be delivered all in one go.
3. Diversity in energy systems is increasing in the
broadest sense- geographies, technologies, skills,
and cultures
4. The Future of Energy cannot be predicted, but
better energy futures can be co-created if we avoid
fear , and open-up to new and progressive bridges
and pathways
5. Energy Technology Transition always involves
societal disruption and transformation
1. Rebalancing act between our Engineered World
with that of Nature.
2. Rebalancing act between ourselves- Rich- Poor,
North-South, East-West, Have and Have nots.
3. It is about the Climate AND it is about the UN
SDGs
4. It is about making new Energy-Economies
Architectures: Sustainable, Inclusive and Free
of Concerns. Here and There. Now and
Tomorrow
5. It is about Responsible, Decent and Servant
Leadership
WEC 100 years lessons on Energy
Transitions
EFOW 10 years lessons with Energy
Transition
( e.g. 99 Theses to Build Back Better)
WEC : World Energy Council led by Dr Angela Wilkinson
40. "The invitation we have today is to see and to blend our deep
consciousness and care for Peace, Humanity and Ecology with our
more mainstream energy economics and politics- at play"
Let us direct our work and collective efforts towards attaining
“Energy Free of Concerns & Societies Free of Concerns”
Here and There. Now and Tomorrow
Adriaan Kamp
40
42. The answer to Hate, Greed, Social Injustice is
Dignity (Agape) and Peace
42
43. 43
1. Sustainable Development- a new kind of
Globalization (2016)
2. Sustainable Humanity (2012)
3. We can no longer manage decency (2018)
4. Aga Khan University Special Lecture Series:
Can we find a shared global ethics for the 21st
century? (2020)
“Leading Global Decency”
48. A practice on Global Change, Energy Architecture, UN SDG’s and Our Leadership.
Energy For One World
Adriaan Kamp (Founder)
Skype: Adriaan.Kamp
TelCall Direct line (Netherlands):
0031-614939194
E-Mail:
adriaankamp@energyforoneworld.com
www.EnergyForOneWorld.com