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Mekong Delta
I. De Kesel – C. Goetelen – A. Van Iseghem
Prof. Boelens
Flows through:
China – Myanmar – Laos – Thailand –
Cambodia – Vietnam
from: Tanglha Mountains
to: South China Sea
Mekong
Table of contents
Mekong Delta:
• Topics:
– Water management
– Sedimentation
– Urbanization
– Angkor Wat, Combodia VS. West-European
approach
Water management
• Mekong Delta Master Plan (1993)
• Mekong Delta Plan (2010)
• Vietnamese – Netherlands cooperation
Reference: Nijhuis & Meyer, 2014
Approach: begin with the end in mind
1. State-of-the-basin analysis
2. Develop plausible future scenarios and a long-term vision for a safe, prosperous &
sustainable delta
3. Move back to present time and determine no-regret and priority steps
4. Adapt step-by-step within the regular planning system
Reference: Mekong Delta Plan, 2013
Reference: Mekong Delta Plan, 2013
State of the Basin: water related
challenges (timeline)
Reference: Mekong Delta Plan, 2013
Strategies
• ‘Living with the floods’ strategy
• Full protection strategy (closed system)
• ‘Room for the river’ concept (open system)
= middle/long term
No-regret strategies:
• Transit Oriented Development (TOD)
• Water retention strategy
= short term
Reference: Nijhuis & Meyer, 2014
Mekong Delta
Reference: Nijhuis & Meyer, 2014
Sedimentation
• Agriculture and fishery
• N, P, K > 50 mineral fertilizers for rice crops
• Rise of the sea level  sediments ensure that
the land is rising
Upstream
developments
Hydropolitic
Reference: World rivers review – Published
by International Rivers – Vol. 29 / No. 4
December 2014
Urbanization
• Today:
– 17 million inhabitants
– 75% lives in rural area
• Future:
– 2050: 30 million inhabitants
– 50% urbanization rate
Reference: Trang, 2013
• 2010
• 17.4 million
inhabitants
• 30%
urbanization rate
Reference: Trang, 2013
• 2020
• 20-21 million
inhabitants
• 33-35%
urbanization rate
Reference: Trang, 2013
• 2050
• 30-35 million
inhabitants
• 40-50%
urbanization rate
Reference: Trang, 2013
Urbanization
• First class agricultural soils have been (or will
be) turned into industrial zones
– 35% of them are actually occupied
– Lack of cooperation between provinces, towns
and cities (competition between them)
– Fragmentation of urban areas
Can Tho
Reference: DQ Pham, TTT Pham,
2013
Problems
• Flooding
• Urban sprawl
• Industrialization (negative impact on water)
• Unstable urban development strategy
• Insufficient water management
• Lack of integration
Solutions?
Reference: Trang, 2013
Mekong Delta Plan
• Delta stands at a crossroads:
1. Industrialization + urbanization
2. Innovation of agricultural based economy
 4 scenarios:
1. Corridor Industrialization Scenario
2. Food Production Scenario
3. Agro-business Industrialization
4. Dual-Node Industrialization
Corridor Industrialization
• Urban-industrial
concentration in Ho
Chi Minh City – Can
To corridor
• Fragmentation
Reference: Government of Vietnam, 2013
Food Production
• Not able to
materialize the
economic
transition process
• Food production
based economy
Reference: Government of Vietnam, 2013
Agro-Business Industrialization
• Regional hub
specialized in high-
value agriculture
(export/import)
• Non-food industry
and services outside
the delta
• E.g. Dutch
horticulture
Reference: Government of Vietnam, 2013
Dual Node Industrialization
• Diversified economy
• High-value agriculture +
tertiary sector activities
• Integrated/coordinated
spatial planning
• 2 urban-industry
nodes: Ho Chi Minh +
Can Tho
Reference: Government of Vietnam, 2013
Angkor Wat - Cambodia
Socio-ecological resilience
• Complex
• Co-evolution
• To adapt & transform
• Multilayer flood
• Diversification
Reference: Barbara Tempels, 2015

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Seu seminar Ive de kesel

  • 1. Mekong Delta I. De Kesel – C. Goetelen – A. Van Iseghem Prof. Boelens
  • 2. Flows through: China – Myanmar – Laos – Thailand – Cambodia – Vietnam from: Tanglha Mountains to: South China Sea Mekong
  • 3. Table of contents Mekong Delta: • Topics: – Water management – Sedimentation – Urbanization – Angkor Wat, Combodia VS. West-European approach
  • 4. Water management • Mekong Delta Master Plan (1993) • Mekong Delta Plan (2010) • Vietnamese – Netherlands cooperation Reference: Nijhuis & Meyer, 2014
  • 5. Approach: begin with the end in mind 1. State-of-the-basin analysis 2. Develop plausible future scenarios and a long-term vision for a safe, prosperous & sustainable delta 3. Move back to present time and determine no-regret and priority steps 4. Adapt step-by-step within the regular planning system Reference: Mekong Delta Plan, 2013
  • 7. State of the Basin: water related challenges (timeline) Reference: Mekong Delta Plan, 2013
  • 8. Strategies • ‘Living with the floods’ strategy • Full protection strategy (closed system) • ‘Room for the river’ concept (open system) = middle/long term No-regret strategies: • Transit Oriented Development (TOD) • Water retention strategy = short term Reference: Nijhuis & Meyer, 2014
  • 10. Sedimentation • Agriculture and fishery • N, P, K > 50 mineral fertilizers for rice crops • Rise of the sea level  sediments ensure that the land is rising
  • 11. Upstream developments Hydropolitic Reference: World rivers review – Published by International Rivers – Vol. 29 / No. 4 December 2014
  • 12. Urbanization • Today: – 17 million inhabitants – 75% lives in rural area • Future: – 2050: 30 million inhabitants – 50% urbanization rate Reference: Trang, 2013
  • 13. • 2010 • 17.4 million inhabitants • 30% urbanization rate Reference: Trang, 2013
  • 14. • 2020 • 20-21 million inhabitants • 33-35% urbanization rate Reference: Trang, 2013
  • 15. • 2050 • 30-35 million inhabitants • 40-50% urbanization rate Reference: Trang, 2013
  • 16. Urbanization • First class agricultural soils have been (or will be) turned into industrial zones – 35% of them are actually occupied – Lack of cooperation between provinces, towns and cities (competition between them) – Fragmentation of urban areas
  • 17. Can Tho Reference: DQ Pham, TTT Pham, 2013
  • 18. Problems • Flooding • Urban sprawl • Industrialization (negative impact on water) • Unstable urban development strategy • Insufficient water management • Lack of integration
  • 20. Mekong Delta Plan • Delta stands at a crossroads: 1. Industrialization + urbanization 2. Innovation of agricultural based economy  4 scenarios: 1. Corridor Industrialization Scenario 2. Food Production Scenario 3. Agro-business Industrialization 4. Dual-Node Industrialization
  • 21. Corridor Industrialization • Urban-industrial concentration in Ho Chi Minh City – Can To corridor • Fragmentation Reference: Government of Vietnam, 2013
  • 22. Food Production • Not able to materialize the economic transition process • Food production based economy Reference: Government of Vietnam, 2013
  • 23. Agro-Business Industrialization • Regional hub specialized in high- value agriculture (export/import) • Non-food industry and services outside the delta • E.g. Dutch horticulture Reference: Government of Vietnam, 2013
  • 24. Dual Node Industrialization • Diversified economy • High-value agriculture + tertiary sector activities • Integrated/coordinated spatial planning • 2 urban-industry nodes: Ho Chi Minh + Can Tho Reference: Government of Vietnam, 2013
  • 25. Angkor Wat - Cambodia
  • 26. Socio-ecological resilience • Complex • Co-evolution • To adapt & transform • Multilayer flood • Diversification Reference: Barbara Tempels, 2015