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Macroeconomics
What is macroeconomics? What are macroeconomic goals? How is national income measured? How can economic growth be achieved? 2
What is macroeconomics? Macroeconomics is the study of a national economy. 3
Macroeconomic Goals 4
5 National Income
Two Sector Circular Flow of Income Monetary Flow Households RealFlow Good and Services =  Output (O) Expenditure  on Goods and Services (E) Wages, Rent and Profits (Y) Factors of Production Firms E = O = Y 6
Four Sector Circular Flow of Income Leakages (L) Injections (J) Saving  (S) Households Investments (I) Income Exports (X) Imports  (M) Government Spending (G) Expenditure Taxes (T) Firms O = E = Y 7 Sum J = Sum L
Measuring National Income Income Method Output Method Households Good and Services Wages, Rent and Profits Expenditure  on Goods and Services Factors of Production Firms Expenditure Method 8
How is national income measured? 9
How is national output measured? 10
How is national expenditure measured? 11
What is GDP? 12
GDP GDP = Gross Domestic Product = Total Value of all Spending in an Economy = The Total Value of all final Goods and Services in an Economy regardless of who owns the productive assets. GDP = C + I + G + (X – M) 13
GNP GNP = Gross National Product = Total Income Earned by a nation’s factors of production regardless of where the assets are located 14
Real GDP Real GDP = Nominal GDP adjusted for inflation 15
Calculating Real GDP Real GDP = Nominal GDP of year measured 16 X 100 GDP Deflator
The Uses of National Statistics 17
Limitations of the Data 18
Introduction to Development 19
What is economic development? Economic Development is a multidimensional concept that includes poverty reduction, provision of education, health care and law and order, civil liberties and civic participation. 20
Why GDP fails to accurately measure welfare 21
Why GDP may understate improvements in welfare 22
Why GDP may overstate welfare 23
How can development be measured? GDP per capita Human Development Index 	Aims to stress the human dimension of economic growth 24
How can development be measured? 25
How is the HDI determined? 26
How can development be measured? 27
Developing and Developed  28
How can development be measured? Important Indicators of development Infant mortality rate Maternal mortality ratio Enrolment in each level of education Literacy  Internet users per 1000 29
30 Macroeconomic Models
What is aggregate demand (AD)? Aggregate Demand is the aggregate (total) spending on goods and service in a period of time at a given price level. 31
32
What are the components of AD? C =	all household consumption on durables, non-durables and services I =  firm’s replacement investment(spending on capital to maintain productivity) or induced investment to increase production G = all government spending  X-M = spending by foreigners on exports less domestic spending on imports  33
What causes shifts in AD? 34
What causes Changes in Consumption? AD AD AD AD 35
What causes Changes in Consumption?   AD AD AD AD 36
What causes Changes in Consumption?  AD AD AD AD 37
What causes Changes in Investment? AD AD 38
Demand for investment funds? 39
What causes Changes in Investment?  AD AD AD AD 40
What causes Changes in Investment?   AD AD AD AD 41
What causes Changes in Investment? AD AD 42
What causes Changes in Government Spending?  AD AD AD AD 43
What causes Changes in Export and iMport spending? AD AD 44
What causes Changes in Export and iMport spending? AD AD AD AD 45
What is aggregate supply (AS)? Aggregate(total) Supply isamount of goods and services that all industries will produce at a given price level. 46
What is aggregate supply in the short run (SRAS)? 47
What are the components of AS? 48
What causes shifts in SRAS? 49
What causes shifts in SRAS?  AS AS AS AS 50
What causes shifts in SRAS?  AS AS AS AS 51
What causes supply shocks?  AS AS 52
Macroeconomic Equilibrium 53
Shifts in AD 54
Shifts in SRAS 55
The Business Cycle Fluctuations in the growth of real output, consisting of periods of expansion and contraction called business cycles or trade cycles. 56
Business Cycle 57
Business Cycle: Expansion 58
Business Cycle: Peak 59
Business Cycle: Contraction 60
Business Cycle: Trough 61
Relationship between real GDP and Employment 62
Using Diagrams to Illustrate Macroeconomic Goals  63
Using Diagrams to Illustrate Macroeconomic Goals  64
Changes in SR Equilibrium     65
Changes in AD  66
Changes in SRAS  67
Economic  Scenarios   68
Deflationary (recessionary) gap  69
Recession  A recession is when the economy experiences two consecutive quarters of falling GDP. 70
Inflationary gap  71
Full employment level of output  72
Causes of  Business Cycle    73
Changes in AD  74
Changes in AS  75
What is the neoclassical perspective? 76
The Neoclassical LRAS 77
Neoclassical (Free Market)  LRAS  78 LRAS perfectly inelastic at Full Employment Level of Output (Ymax) Potential Output = Quantity and Quality of FOPs not Price
Why is the LRAS vertical? 79
Implications of the neoclassical LRAS? 80
Long-run equilibrium  81
Long-run equilibrium and Decline in AD  82
Return to Long-run equilibrium  83
Long-run equilibrium  84
Long-run equilibrium and Increase in AD  85
Return to Long-run equilibrium  86
What is the Keynesian perspective? 87
The Keynesian SR/LRAS? 88
 Keynesian SR/LRAS 89 Segment 1: Spare  capacity in the economy, LRAS perfectly elastic
 Keynesian SR/LRAS Keynes argued that as there is nothing inherent in the economy to move the SR into the LR, then SRAS = LRAS NB  In diagrams taking a Keynesian you may see the AS curve labeled Keynesian AS or simply LRAS as long as the diagram’s title makes clear which perspective is being adopted   90
Inflationary Gap in the Keynesian Perspective 91
Full Employment Equilibrium in the Keynesian Perspective 92
Economic Growth: Improved Quantity & Quality of FOPs  93
Economic Growth: Neoclassical Perspective  94
Economic Growth: Keynesian Perspective 95
96  Demand-side and Supply-side policies
Policy Alternatives to Manage the Economy 97
Expansionary Policies (in recession) 98
Contractionary  Policies (in inflation) 99
Strengths of Fiscal Policy 100
Weaknesses of Fiscal Policy 101
Strengths of Monetary Policy 102
Weaknesses of Monetary Policy 103
The Neoclassical/Monetarist Challenge Argument that discretionary fiscal polices that try to stabilize the economy are so flawed that they actually cause instability Alternative policies Ensure steady supply of money Ensure price and wage flexibility Focus on supply-side policies to achieve economic growth 104
Supply-side Policies 105
Market-orientated Policies 106
Market-orientated Supply-side Policies: Objectives 107
108
Reduce Government Sector: Pros and Cons 109
110
Improving incentives : Pros and Cons 111
112
Make labor more responsive to supply and demand : Pros and Cons 113
114
Government policies to improve industry: Pros and Cons 115
Shifting the SRAS and the LRAS in the AS-AD Model 116
The multiplier, accelerator and crowding-out effect HL Topics 117
The Multiplier Effect 118
119 Marginal Propensity 1
Example of the Multiplier in Effect 120 Assumption 60% of additional income spent on Consumption (MPC = 0.6) The Multiplier = 1/1-MPC
The Multiplier Effect 121
The Accelerator Theory & the Combined multiplier/accelerator effect Argues that small changes in GDP produces larger changes in investment spending.  These fluctuations interact with the Multiplier effect to increase the momentum of business cycle. 122
Crowding-out Effect 123
Crowding-out Effect 124
Crowding-out Effect 125
126 Unemployment and Inflation
Unemployment 127
128
129
Economy at Potential  130
Types of Unemployment  131
Keynesian Remedy for Unemployment During a Recession 132
Neoclassical Remedy for Unemployment During a Recession 133
Real Wage Unemployment 134
Eliminating Cyclical (Demand-deficient) Unemployment 135
Inflation and Deflation 136
Inflation & Deflation 137
Demand-pull Inflation 138
Cost-push Inflation 139
140
Stakeholders and Inflation 141
142
“Good” Deflation 143
Macroeconomics Section 3.5 HL Topics Measuring Inflation The Phillips Curve NRU &  NAIRU 144
Measuring Inflation The consumer price index (CPI)  compares the value of a basket of goods and services in one year with a same basket in the base year.  145
Problems Measuring Inflation 146
The Phillips Curve 147
NRU = NAIRU If governments avoid demand-side expansionary policies Non-accelerating inflation rate of unemployment is achieved (NAIRU) 148
Long-run Phillips Curve 149
Phillips Curve 150
Phillips Curve 151
No-classical challenge to the Phillips Curve 6% = NRU Wages set to rise by at least 2% as workers expect this rate of inflation a =  Labor Market at equilibrium  152
LR Phillips Curve If expansionary policies adopted, inflation would  increase to 4% or more.  Real wages have fallen and firms hire additional labor.  153
LR Phillips Curve Unemployment is now below NRU at 4%. (b) Workers have fallen for the “money illusion” and slow to realize that real wages have fallen because inflation is actually over 4%.  154
LR Phillips Curve Once workers realize real wages have fallen they will demand at least a 4% pay rise.  Real wages will return to previous levels and firm will fire workers. Unemployment has returned to (c)   155
LR Phillips Curve Any attempt to to increase AD will only result in temporary changes to unemployment but increasingly high rates of inflation 156
LR Phillips Curve Friedman argued that no trade off exists if governments do not use demand side policies. 157
158 Income Distribution
Income Distribution and Equity Vertical Equity = treating people differently to achieve greater fairness e.g. people on low incomes pay less tax than people on high incomes  Horizontal  Equity = people should be treated the same e.g. people who have the same income should pay the same tax 159
160
161
Progressive, Proportional and Regressive Taxation Progressive: as income increases, the fraction paid in tax increases Proportional: as income increases the fraction paid in taxes remains constant Regressive: as income increases, the fraction paid in taxes decreases 162
Progressive, Proportional and Regressive Taxation 163
164
Lorenz Curve Perfect income equality Inequality of income 165
Calculating Gini Coefficient Gini Coefficient = A/A+B 166 A B
Gini Coefficient Gini Coefficient = areas between diagonal and Lorenz Curve/entire area under diagonal Values closer to 0 = greater income equality Values closer to 1 = greater income inequality 167
Laffer Curve (HL Extension) 168
Laffer Curve  169
Activity Select one of the OECD economies to study in detail over Section 3 Undertake research to find the following: Real GDP for the last decade Real GDP per Capita for the last decade Real GDP growth for the last decade What conclusions can you draw?  170
Activity  Visit www.nationmaster.com or any reputable site and gather data on the various measure of development for your OECD country of focus and compare it with the developing nation you chose early in the course. 171
Typical Examination Questions 172 These questions focus on Measuring National Income and Macroeconomics Models. Explain the  possible limitations of using GDP as a measure to compare welfarebetween countries. Using the circular flow of income diagram, explain the link betweensaving and investment. Use AS/AD diagrams to explain the causes of inflation (or deflation). Identify the components of aggregate demand (or aggregate supply) and briefly explain factors which might determine these components. Evaluate the likely impact on an economy of a substantial rise (or fall) in the level of interest rates (or other components of AD)
Typical Examination Questions These questions focus on inflation and deflation: What are the problems associated with measuring inflation? Explain the possible causes of a rise (or fall) in the rate of inflation in an economy. Evaluate the likely effects of a rising (or falling) rate of inflation on the performance of an economy.  Explain the costs of inflation and deflation. Evaluate the view that governments should make the control of inflation their highest priority Evaluate the possible impact on economic performance that may result from a government decision to bring inflation under control.  173
Typical Examination Questions These questions focus on unemployment: Explain the different types of unemployment. Evaluate polices aimed at achieving full employment in an economy.  Explain the costs of unemployment.  Discuss the reasons why government find the goal of full employment difficult to achieve. 174
Typical Examination Questions These questions focus on monetary and fiscal policy: Discuss the strengths and weaknesses of demand-side policies.  Discuss the strengths and weakness of supply-side policies. Explain the purpose of various demand-side (or supply-side) policies. 175
Typical Examination Questions These questions focus on income distribution: With the use of examples, explain the difference between a progressive tax and a regressive tax.  With the use of examples, explain the difference between direct and indirect taxes. Explain the possible impact on the distribution of income of a government shifting its main source of tax revenue from progressive direct taxes to regressive indirect taxes. Evaluate the methods government use to redistribute income in an economy. 176
Typical HL Examination Questions In addition to the questions above, HL students need to prepare for the following: Explain the relationship between the Lorenz Curve and the Gini coefficient. Explain how increasing government spending can lead to crowding out. Use the Phillips curve to explain the concepts of Natural Rate of Unemployment and outline its usefulness. Explain the multiplier and the accelerator effects. Use the Laffer Curve to explain the likely impact of progressive and regressive tax systems.    177
On-Line Resources (1) Keynes and Hayek Rap Nationmater is a massive central data source and a handy way to graphically compare nations that compiles data from such sources as the CIA World Factbook, UN, and OECD.  CIA Factbook The World Factbook provides information on the history, people, government, economy, geography, communications, transportation, military, and transnational issues for 266 world entities.	 Gapminder, an excellent way to visual information 178
On-Line Resources (2) International Monetary Fund  also provides international data. National Council on Economics Education  is another excellent source of information. The organization also has worksheets to help student analyze current GDP data. TheEconomist Debates Commanding Heights Triple A Learning Economics Blog 179

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