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Risk balanced portfolios Jim Morrison

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Association for Project Management
Association for Project Management

Presentation at APM event Communicating risk across the project portfolio, 4th July 2013

BusinessEconomy & Finance
1 of 9
Jimmy Phillips – People Forum and Engagement Survey Results Jim Morrison Risk Balanced Portfolios
Portfolio Owners Portfolio of projects Annual budgets
Risk Analysis – A Single Project Risk Registers Project Plans Cost Breakdown “21% chance of delivering by ……” “38% chance of staying under budget” “90% chance of ROI being…”
Risk Analysis - Portfolios Uncertain costs Uncertain durations 50% 90% 10%Risk Based Portfolio Forecast
Scenario Modelling Move project starts
Scenario Modelling Move project starts Compress project schedules
Scenario Modelling Move project start Compress project schedules Balance Portfolio
Considerations 1. How much detail is enough? 2. Bespoke software? 3. When in project lifecycle? 4. When in portfolio lifecycle? 5. Correlation 6. (Unintended) consequences? 7. Project outputs 8. Linkage to portfolio value delivery 9. Iteration?
Jim Morrison Principal Consultant www.rheadgroup.com 07595 905225

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